Nov 172020
 
 November 17, 2020  Posted by at 10:00 am Finance Tagged with: , , , , , , ,


Paul Klee Still Life 1929

 

2018 NY Times Video: How Easy It Is to Hack a Dominion Voting Machine (Vaughn)
Voting Fraud Is a Real Concern. Just Look Around the World (NW)
Don’t Mess with Miz Powell (Jim Kunstler)
Trump May Try To Deny Biden 270 Electoral Votes – Dershowitz (ET)
Biden Campaign Director Arrested For Electoral Fraud (PN)
Durham’s Lame Duck Period (Turley)
The Lawless Campaign To Harass Lawyers Representing The Trump Campaign (Turley)
Moderna COVID19 Vaccine Candidate Is 94.5% Effective – Trials (RT)
The Endemic Mindset (Guinn)
65 Virus Cases, With 1 Cluster, In WHO Geneva Staff (AP)
The Economy is Imploding from Over-Capacity and Corrupt Cartels (CHS)
Zombification in Europe in Times of Pandemic (Vox.eu)
Is There Really A China Economic Miracle? (Lacalle)
Rents In British Cities Fall By Up To 15% Amid Covid ‘Exodus’ (G.)

 

 

The Trump legal team doesn’t have to prove the voting machines WERE manipulated, only that they COULD BE.

 

 

 

 

The only reason to use voting machines is to allow cheating.

2018 NY Times Video: How Easy It Is to Hack a Dominion Voting Machine (Vaughn)

Much to their current chagrin, in April 2018, The New York Times published a video of a University of Michigan computer scientist, J. Alex Halderman, showing a group of students how easy it is to rig a Dominion Voting Machine. The name of the video is “I Hacked an Election. So Can the Russians.” A caption next to the title read, “It’s time America’s leaders got serious about voting security.” At the time, Democrats were focused on Robert Mueller’s Special Counsel investigation and were anxiously waiting for his team to find evidence that President Trump had colluded with the Russians to win the 2016 election. A colleague of mine, The Western Journal’s Jared Harris, dug up this little gem.

The video shows Homer Simpson using a touch screen to vote for Barack Obama, but it instantly turns into a vote for John McCain. Professor Halderman narrates the brief video and tells students that the Dominion Accuvote TS and TSX machines are obsolete models, but were still being used in American elections.Halderman continues his monologue:”I’m here to tell you that the electronic voting machines Americans got to solve the problem of voting integrity, they turned out to be an awful idea. That’s because people like me can hack them, all too easily.I once turned a voting machine into a video game. Imagine what the Russians and the North Koreans can do.I’ve even gone to Congress to raise the alarm. He is seen testifying at a Congressional hearing. “These machines are vulnerable to sabotage and even to cyberattacks that could change votes.”


Halderman tells viewers how to hack the Dominion voting machines. Step 1: Buy a voting machine on eBay, or if you’re the North Koreans, Hack the manufacturer and steal their software code. Step 2: Write a virus. Step 3: Email your virus to every election official responsible for programming the voting machines with new ballots. Step 4: Wait. Step 5: Hijack the programming and let the election officials copy your invisible malicious code onto the voting machines. Step 6: Watch your code silently steal votes.

How I Hacked an Election

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Good overview.

Voting Fraud Is a Real Concern. Just Look Around the World (NW)

Thirty-seven states have changed their mail-in voting procedures this year in response to the coronavirus. They have followed the lead of Democrats and the media, who claim that concerns about voter fraud and vote buying are figments of the Republican imagination. President Trump’s comments on Thursday and Friday about voter fraud with mail-in ballots have sent the media into a frenzy. One “news” article after another since then has asserted that President Trump’s warning is “baseless” (Associated Press and The Washington Post) or “without evidence” (The New York Times, Politico and NBC News). Liberals and progressives often try to model the U.S. on Western European countries, but you never hear them arguing that we should adopt their voting rules. There is a reason for that.

Banning mail-in voting or requiring people to use photo IDs to obtain a mail-in ballot is quite common in developed countries, especially in Europe. To study this, the Crime Prevention Research Center, of which I am the president, created a database on voting rules around the world. Here is what we found. Besides the United States, there are 36 member states in the OECD. Forty-seven percent ban mail-in voting unless the citizen is living abroad, and 30 percent require a photo ID to obtain a mail-in ballot. Fourteen percent of the countries ban mail-in voting even for those living abroad. In addition, some countries that allow voting by mail for some citizens living in the country don’t allow it for everyone.

For example, Japan and Poland have limited mail-in voting for those who have special certificates verifying that they are disabled. France has made an exception this year to its ban on mail-in ballots to those who are sick or at particular risk during the coronavirus pandemic. Poland will allow mail-in ballots for everyone for this year only. Brazil and Russia satisfy the economic standards of the OECD, but are excluded for various political reasons. Both countries completely ban mail-in voting and require photo IDs for in-person voting. Among the 27 countries in the European Union, 63 percent ban mail-in voting unless living abroad and another 22 percent require a photo ID to obtain a mail-in ballot. Twenty-two percent ban the practice even for those who live abroad.

There are 16 countries in the rest of Europe, and they are even more restrictive. Every single one bans mail-in voting for those living in the country or require a photo ID to obtain a mail-in ballot. Sixty-three percent don’t allow mail-in ballots even for citizens living outside of the country. Are all of these countries, socialist and non-socialist alike, Western and Eastern European, developed and undeveloped, acting “without evidence?” It is not as though people in these countries haven’t heard the same arguments about the importance of the ease of voting—or about how photo ID requirements will, as one professor in the U.K. explained, supposedly “lead to people not being able to vote.”

These countries have learned the hard way what happens when mail-in ballots aren’t secured. They have also discovered how hard it is to detect vote buying when both those buying and selling the votes have an incentive to hide the exchange. France banned mail-in voting in 1975 because of massive fraud in Corsica, where postal ballots were stolen or bought and voters cast multiple votes. Mail-in ballots were used to cast the votes of dead people.

Dominion

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“Maybe ex-CIA chief John Brennan never should have messed with General Mike Flynn. Just sayin’.”

Don’t Mess with Miz Powell (Jim Kunstler)

An eerie silence oppressed the election news-space much of last week as Mr. Trump and his people seemed to lay low, Br’er Rabbit style, and a lot of folks wondered what was going on in that-there briar patch. Towards the weekend, Rudolf Giuliani methodically described some of the evidence at hand about janky ballot reporting, but that must have been too plodding for the Big Media gang. Then another Trump lawyer, Sidney Powell, came on Lou Dobbs’s Friday evening news show and some people started paying attention to some things she said, like, “I’m going to release the kraken” — referring to the largest and most feared sea monster in Old Norse mythology. Miz Powell, she means bidness. She went on, “We have staggering statistical evidence; we have staggering personal testimony… we’re beginning to collect evidence on the financial interest of the governors and secretaries of state who bought into the Dominion [vote tabulation] systems… President Trump won this election in a landslide, it is irrefutable… we are gonna go after it, and I am going to expose every one of them.”

Well, that might have put the fear of Gawd in some people. In case anyone in the back-of-the-class wasn’t paying attention, Miz Powell went back on the air Sunday morning with Maria Bartiromo and said, “We’re fixing to overturn the results of this election in multiple states… President Trump won not by hundreds of thousands of votes but by millions of votes that were shifted by this software that was designed expressly for that purpose…. We have so much evidence I feel it’s coming in like a firehose.” Is Ms. Powell bluffing? Why would she try, since the time left in this game is short and her only play is to show her cards? “I never say anything I can’t prove,” she declared.

[..] It’s a pretty rich gameboard out there and the clock is ticking. The possible outcomes are several: The state legislatures in disputed states could choose their own elector slates. In short order, the President’s lawyers will take their case to the US Supreme Court, which might invalidate the disputed states’ elections and send the contest into the House of Representatives a la the 1876 Hayes-Tilden election. The Department of Justice could level felony charges before December 8 at a long list of companies and persons involved in demonstrable ballot fraud. This could amount to decapitation of the Deep State. Would Mr. Barr dare? A lot of people doubt it. I’m sure readers can conjure up other possibilities.


In any case, a final victory for Joe Biden would hopelessly taint any administration he leads and would lead to much harsher resistance coming from the other side this time — while he is trying to govern during an economic calamity worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s. Maybe ex-CIA chief John Brennan never should have messed with General Mike Flynn. Just sayin’.

Read more …

“.. if the one vote doesn’t give the leading candidate 270 electoral votes, then automatically it goes to the House of Representatives, where a whole new process takes over, and a process that clearly favors President Trump..”

Trump May Try To Deny Biden 270 Electoral Votes – Dershowitz (ET)

Harvard Law professor emeritus Alan Dershowitz predicted that President Donald Trump will attempt to settle the election in a way not seen since the 19th century. In an interview with Newsmax, the longtime legal expert said Trump no longer is attempting to reach 270 Electoral College votes but will instead focus on denying Democratic nominee Joe Biden’s chances of getting 270 votes. “Let’s look at the big picture: The big picture now has shifted,” Dershowitz told the website. “I do not believe that President Trump is now trying to get to 270 electoral votes. I think he thinks that’s out of the question.” Trump hasn’t signaled in public about his chances of securing 270 votes due to several legal challenges.

“What he’s trying to do is to deny Joe Biden 270 votes, by challenging in Pennsylvania, Georgia, in Nevada, in Michigan, in Arizona,” Dershowitz said, adding that not allowing Biden to reach 270 out of 538 votes would eventually force House state delegations to vote, where Republicans have an advantage over Democrats. Currently, the GOP has a 26-23-1 state delegation majority in the House of Representatives. “If he can keep the Biden count below 270, then the matter goes to the House of Representatives, where, of course, there is a Republican majority among the delegations of states, and you vote by state if it goes to the House,” Dershowitz said. “He’s trying to follow the playbook of three elections of the 19th century.”


Dershowitz noted that a number of things would have to align perfectly for Trump to win under that circumstance. “You need a perfect storm for it to work,” he said. “You need to get enough states, enough state attorneys general, or state departments, or whoever, secretaries of state or governors that are Republican that legitimately refuse to certify the results because they’re under challenge on the day the Electoral College meets by statute.” “If on that day, Biden doesn’t have 270 votes—you don’t get to vote two or three times on that; as far as the Constitution’s concerned, it’s one vote—and if the one vote doesn’t give the leading candidate 270 electoral votes, then automatically it goes to the House of Representatives, where a whole new process takes over, and a process that clearly favors President Trump,” added the former law professor.

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Hmmm.

Biden Campaign Director Arrested For Electoral Fraud (PN)

The Democrat Director of Texas state political strategy for the Joe Biden Presidential campaign has been arrested for electoral fraud. Democratic Party operative Dallas Jones was formally accused of helping to run an illegal ballot harvesting operation in the state of Texas on behalf of the Joe Biden campaign during this contested Presidential election. According to the National File, two investigators, including a former FBI agent and former police officer, testified under oath that they have Democratic Party internal documentation, as well as video evidence and witnesses, for their investigation. The following is an affidavit from private investigator and retired Houston police officer Mark A. Aguirre, which was submitted under oath.

“My name is Mark A. Aguirre. I am above the age of eighteen years and am fully competent to make this affidavit. The facts stated in this affidavit are within my personal knowledge and are true and correct. “I am a retired captain with the Houston Police Department. I am now a private investigator. “I am currently involved in an investigation related to a wide-ranging and fraudulent ballot harvesting scheme in Harris County intended to rig the elections in the Houston/Harris County area. This scheme involves voter fraud on a massive scale. “Based on interviews, review of documents, and other information, I have identified the individuals in charge of the ballot harvesting scheme. These individuals include political consultant Dallas Jones, who was recently hired by the Joe Biden for President campaign to oversee their Harris County initiative, District 13 Texas State Senator Borris Miles, who is the handler of Mr. Jones, political consultant Gerald Womack, and Precinct 1 Harris County Commissioner Rodney Ellis.


One of the companies these individuals are using as a front for this operation is AB Canvassing, although there are others that have been identified that we are investigating.” “I have in my possession video-taped interviews of witnesses attesting to the aforementioned people having groups of people completing thousands of absentee and mail-in ballots, including completing ballots for deceased individuals; illegally going into nursing homes, with the complicity of the nursing home staff, and filling out and forging the signatures of nursing home residents; signing up homeless individuals to vote using the ballot harvester’s address, then completing the ballot and forging the homeless individual’s signature.

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Where is Durham?

Durham’s Lame Duck Period (Turley)

Before going dark in October, U.S. Attorney John Durham’s investigation made headlines with the criminal plea of former FBI lawyer Kevin Clinesmith, who lied to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) court in order to continue surveillance of a Trump campaign adviser. There have been rumors for months that Durham found material not disclosed by special counsel Mueller or the Justice Department’s inspector general in their prior investigations. He also is known to have been working with a grand jury as part of his investigation. There is ample reason why a Biden administration would want to see Durham’s investigation closed.

Earlier this year, disclosures contradicted Biden’s denials that he knew of or was involved in the investigation of figures like Trump national security adviser Michael Flynn; the disclosures indicated Biden may have sought to “unmask” Flynn in surveillance reports. There also are accounts from the Oval Office that Biden was briefed on the Flynn investigation, including the fact that the FBI thought his discussions with Russian diplomats were “legit.” Earlier, FBI investigators sought to end the Flynn investigation for lack of evidence of any crime; according to one report, Biden raised the possibility of prosecuting Flynn under the Logan Act, a federal law widely viewed as unconstitutional.


The Durham investigation may not result in new indictments but could result in the release of new evidence. Indeed, the greatest risk of intervention by the Biden administration would be the withholding of any report or the use of classification rules to bar parts of its release. That report could shed light on how the Russia investigation began and was sustained, despite early intelligence refuting the collusion allegations. This includes recently released information that President Obama was briefed on intelligence suggesting that Hillary Clinton was working to falsely paint Trump as colluding with Russians. Such findings could be highly embarrassing not only to Obama administration officials but a number of congressional Democrats — including Rep. Schiff, who assured the public that, after contrary findings by the special counsel and the inspector general, his House committee had clear evidence of collusion. Schiff never produced that evidence.

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A “dangerous attack on our democracy” indeed.

The Lawless Campaign To Harass Lawyers Representing The Trump Campaign (Turley)

As in the past, there is a disturbing symbiosis of the media and activists feeding off each other. When Biden was viewed as the likely winner, theories of voting irregularities instantly became “conspiracy theories.” Groups like the Lincoln Project targeted law firms and launched a campaign to force lawyers to abandon Trump as a client. This effort resulted in Twitter blocking the Lincoln Project for targeting individual Trump lawyers in a tweet (accompanied by a skull-and-crossbones emoji) that was deemed threatening and abusive. That only seemed to thrill the Lincoln Project. It reportedly joined Democrats in targeting law firms like Porter, Wright, Morris & Arthur and threatening its lawyers with professional ruin. It claimed that any firm working for Trump on election litigation was part of a “dangerous attack on our democracy.”

Trying to strip people of their counsel, of course, is the real attack on our democracy — and it worked: The firm buckled and withdrew, saying the pressure caused internal struggles and at least one lawyer’s resignation. Other campaigns have targeted individual lawyers and what used to be called “fellow travelers” during the McCarthy period. After the election, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) called for liberals to assemble enemies lists of those “complicit” in the Trump administration. (Ironically, the first entry by a Bernie Sanders surrogate were the Republicans who founded the Lincoln Project). Former Obama spokesman Hari Sevugan proudly tweeted: “WH staff are starting to look for jobs. Employers considering them should know there are consequences for hiring anyone who helped Trump attack American values.”


However, the effort to intimidate lawyers representing Trump or his campaign is not about vengeance. It is about insurance. Even though the success of these challenges is small and shrinking, opponents do not want to risk any judicial scrutiny of the vote. Social media campaigns targeted the clients of firms like Jones Day, while the Lincoln Project pledged $500,000 to make the lives of these lawyers a living hell. It is the kind of tactic used by Antifa and other activists to “deplatform” speakers or harass individuals at their homes. Trump is highly unpopular with many Americans — and virtually all of the media — so it is popular to harass anyone who supports or represents him. It is mob justice targeting the justice system itself.

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The Moderna vaccine appears to be far superior when it come to storage:

ZH: “Pfizer’s vaccine must be stored ultra-cold until a few days before it is used, but can be kept at refrigerator temperatures for as much as five days. Moderna, meanwhile, pointed to new data showing its vaccine is stable at refrigerator temperatures for 30 days, much longer than a previously estimated seven days.”

Moderna COVID19 Vaccine Candidate Is 94.5% Effective – Trials (RT)

A new Covid-19 vaccine candidate is almost 95 percent effective, its American manufacturer has said, potentially giving it the edge in the race to defeat the virus. US-based biotechnology company Moderna announced on Monday that the two-dose mRNA-1273 vaccine it is developing has an efficacy of 94.5 percent, based on the results of a Phase-3 study, involving over 30,000 people. In the clinical trials, 90 cases of Covid-19 were observed in the group given the placebo, compared to five cases among those given the vaccine. It comes as a rival vaccine by US-based Pfizer and German firm BioNTech was found to have an efficacy of 90 percent, while the developers of Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine reported a 92 percent efficacy.


“The overall effectiveness has been remarkable…it’s a great day,” Moderna’s chief medical officer, Tal Zaks, told BBC News. The company now intends to apply for an emergency use authorization with US regulator the Food and Drug Administration in the coming weeks. Europe’s health regulator, the European Medicines Agency, said on Monday that it had started a real-time “rolling review” of Moderna’s vaccine candidate, following similar checks on Pfizer and AstraZeneca’s vaccines. Moderna expects to have 20 million doses of its vaccine ready to ship to the US by the end of the year and said it remains “on track” to manufacture between 500 million and a billion doses globally in 2021. It also announced on Monday that its vaccine has a better shelf life and stability than that of Pfizer’s, which must be stored at -70 degrees Celsius, or -94 Fahrenheit.

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“In the real world, the difference between 1,500 deaths in a day and 1,000 is staggering, real and personal. To the endemic mindset, they are functionally identical.”

The Endemic Mindset (Guinn)

The endemic mindset is the world of abstractions we see under the influence of learned helplessness. There are only so many days in which death or hospitalization counts may still function as information for the human mind. There are only so many descriptions, images or videos of hospitals in the early stages of being overwhelmed which will be able to change anyone’s perspective. There is a point of diminishing informational returns from another story about a lost small business, or a struggling low income family. In the real world, the difference between 1,500 deaths in a day and 1,000 is staggering, real and personal. To the endemic mindset, they are functionally identical. In the real world, the difference between a 60% drop in revenue and a 30% drop in revenue is breathtaking.

To the endemic mindset, they are functionally identical. In the real world, the difference between being out of work for 9 months and being out of work for 4 months may be nearly existential. But if we are not the one affected, to the endemic mindset, they are functionally identical. In short, the endemic mindset is one in which our default expectation is that our world has become permanently worse in a way that we are helpless to do anything about.I don’t think I miss the mark by saying that ALL of us are suffering from this just a little bit.At some point in the last several months, did it start to feel like checking in every few days with elderly neighbors wasn’t really helping? Did it feel like extraordinary support of waitstaff, servers and owners of local businesses demanded much of you and still couldn’t keep them from going under?

Did your capacity to give to local food security charities give way to a recognition that the need never went away? Are you a financial advisor or professional being asked for good advice or wisdom about how to navigate “these challenging times”, and feeling like you ran out of both months ago? Are you a parent forced into remote learning supervision, feeling like you’ve botched it and waiting out the clock to give you a reprieve?Does the choice between standing outside in the cold, six feet apart, mask obscuring any sign of warmth or human emotion, or staying at home for Thanksgiving with the same people you’ve seen day in and day out for 8 months make you want to scream?


In your heart of hearts, do all of those things make it a little bit easier to believe that there’s just maybe nothing we can do that’s really going to take this shock away? That maybe we live our lives and weather all of this as best we can? If you are feeling that a bit – I feel that pull from time to time, too, if it helps – it doesn’t make you bad. It makes you human.

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Listen to the scientists.

65 Virus Cases, With 1 Cluster, In WHO Geneva Staff (AP)

The World Health Organization has recorded 65 cases of the coronavirus among staff based at its headquarters, including at least one cluster of infections, an internal email obtained by The Associated Press shows, despite the agency’s past assertions that there has been no transmission at the Geneva site.The revelation comes amid a surge of cases in Europe, host country Switzerland, and the city of Geneva, in particular, and the email said about half of the infections were in people who had been working from home. But 32 were in staff who had been working on premises at the headquarters building, indicating that the health agency’s strict hygiene, screening and other prevention measures were not sufficient to spare it from the pandemic.

Farah Dakhlallah, a WHO spokeswoman, confirmed the accuracy of the information about the case count in an email to the AP and that officials were still investigating.“We have not yet established whether transmission occurred on campus, but are looking into the matter,” Dakhlallah said. Raul Thomas, who heads business operations at WHO, emailed staff on Friday noting that five people — four on the same team and one who had contact with them— had tested positive for COVID-19. While the email did not use the term “cluster,” one is generally defined as two or more cases in the same area, and the five cases indicate basic infection control and social distancing procedures were likely being broken.


A previous email he sent on Oct. 16 indicated that no clusters had been found at the site. “As per standard protocols, these colleagues are receiving the necessary medical attention and are recovering at home,” the email Friday said. “These last five cases bring the total reported number of affected members of the Geneva based workforce to 65 since the beginning of the pandemic.”

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Zombies.

The Economy is Imploding from Over-Capacity and Corrupt Cartels (CHS)

Here’s the fantasy: if we stop the shutdowns, the economy will naturally bounce back to its oh-so wunnerful perfection of Q3 2019. This is a double-dose of magical thinking and denial. The U.S. economy was unraveling in 2019 from 11 long years of Fed-induced over-capacity in almost everything (except integrity, competition, transparency and social cohesion) and the bone-crushing burden of corrupt, greedy cartels that have the nation by the throat. The reality nobody dares mention is that thanks to 20 years of the Federal Reserve’s easy money, there’s rampant over-capacity everywhere you look: there’s too many cafes, bistros, restaurants, fast-food outlets, hotels, resorts, AirBnBs, unprofitable Tech Unicorns, airline flights, Tech startups, office towers, retail space, malls, absurdly overpriced apartments for rent, storage facilities, delivery services, office sublets, colleges, attorneys, unemployed workers with multiple credentials–the list of too much, too many is endless.


Thanks to the Fed, the most profitable venture was borrowing to increase capacity, then borrow some more to extract the phantom value created by the greater capacity. Nobody cared if the office tower remained mostly empty; the money was made in building it and extracting its “value” via debt, not operating a legitimate enterprise. This Fed-created house of cards was never sustainable, or healthy, as all the incentives to add capacity were perverse. The illusion that every mall, office tower, retail space, college, apartment building, etc. would be filled was only plausible as long as consumers and zombie corporations were borrowing and spending more than they earned. That was never sustainable, but rather than look at the systemic set-up of an insanely predatory, fragile debt bubble resting precariously on over-capacity, the status quo is blaming Covid and lockdowns. The problem isn’t the pin, it’s the bubble that was begging to be popped by something, anything.

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A double edged sword.

Zombification in Europe in Times of Pandemic (Vox.eu)

The COVID-19 crisis has prompted extraordinary financial support to firms by governments and central banks. This support has taken the form of public credit guarantee schemes, debt moratoria, direct support to firms via financial aid programmes, central bank lending and purchase programmes, and a loosening of micro- and macro-prudential supervisory rules. While this support is crucial to keep a cash-strapped economy afloat, it has invigorated a debate on whether such policies are promoting ‘zombie’ lending and ‘zombie’ firms. Zombie lending is generally defined as lending to non-viable (i.e. zombie) firms. The literature proposes different methods to measure zombies, which remains challenging, however.

The ‘zombification’ of the economy refers to a situation where public support programmes and bank lending actions keep unviable firms alive. This term gained widespread prominence following the Japanese crisis of the 1990s, when a collapse in real estate prices followed by a prolonged period of low growth resulted in many weak banks and firms, with weak banks preserving their lending relationships with weak firms, rolling over credits to unviable firms. Why would banks lend to alleged zombie firms? The literature has put forward two main explanations. On the dark side, banks may want to engage in the ‘evergreening’ (i.e. rolling over) of existing loans to avoid loan loss recognition. Recognising loan losses implies a deterioration of capital buffers.


It therefore follows that especially low-capitalised banks have an incentive to lend to zombies. On the bright side, banks may lend to zombies to preserve valuable relationships. To the extent that relationship lenders have an informational advantage over their customers, this may allow them provide credit to illiquid but viable firms in crisis times. Provision of such liquidity to firms in distress has the positive externality that it can avoid disruptions of supply chains.

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“If the economic situation were in the announced expansion, inventories would be falling rapidly when sold.”

Is There Really A China Economic Miracle? (Lacalle)

The year 2020 will be an extremely tough year for the European economy. Added to an unprecedented drop is a strong impact in the fourth quarter due to the new lockdowns. Morgan Stanley estimates that the eurozone’s GDP will fall by 2.2% in the fourth quarter, a 7% drop in the full year 2020. In addition, the investment bank lowers the outlook for 2021 with a rebound of only 5% in the average of the euro area, delaying the recovery of 2019 GDP to 2023. The “jobless recovery” is even more worrying. The apparently spectacular rebound data for the third quarter resulted in zero job creation. Unemployment in the eurozone in September stood at 8.3% and in Spain at 16.5%, not counting the millions of furloughed jobs in Europe.

In this environment, the United States’ recovery seems much stronger. GDP recovered in the third quarter to just 3.5% below 2019 levels. Unemployment has fallen to 6.9% in October but remains well above the record employment levels of 2019. However, the data from China is apparently spectacular. The manufacturing and services index already show an enviable expansion. GDP for the first three quarters is already growing at 0.7% after an expansion of 4.9% in the third quarter. Urban unemployment in China is 5.4% after shooting to a paltry 6%. What is behind the Chinese miracle compared to the poor eurozone?

A planned GDP. The GDP of China is dictated by production, not demand. It is not an observed GDP, but rather planned by the government together with the provinces. For this reason, many analysts scrutinize the data and deduct various factors, including the increase and valuation of inventories. It is not by chance that inventories of iron ore, automobiles and finished goods have risen to the highest level in seven months as the economy recovers. If the economic situation were in the announced expansion, inventories would be falling rapidly when sold.


Much is produced that is then not sold and remains in warehouses. Thus, it is not surprising that industrial prices fell 2.1% in September, export prices 0.9%, and the country’s debt soared 13.5% amid an apparently miraculous recovery. Industrial business profits have fallen 2.4% between January and September and, furthermore, factory door prices fell faster than expected in September and were at risk of deflation. These are signs of a slowly recovering economy, like all others, but not of a growth miracle.

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People flee cities everywhere.

Rents In British Cities Fall By Up To 15% Amid Covid ‘Exodus’ (G.)

Private rents in Britain’s cities have fallen by as much as 15% over the past year as tenants quit urban areas for a new life in the suburbs or the countryside, data shows. What has been described by some an “exodus” from the cities sparked by the Covid-19 pandemic is now pushing up rental costs in rural areas. In October, average rents in the countryside were 5.5% higher than a year earlier, while typical city rents were down by almost exactly the same amount (5.3%), according to figures for Great Britain from the estate agents Hamptons International. This gear change in demand has created a glut of properties in some areas and shortages in others. There were 29% more homes available to rent in cities than at the same time last year, while the number available in the countryside was down sharply – by 48%.


The reassessing of priorities brought on by the pandemic, with millions working from home and many wanting more space, combined with plummeting numbers of international students, is wreaking particular havoc on central London. Hamptons said rents in inner London were down by 14.9% year on year as landlords slashed costs to attract tenants – lopping almost £400 off the average monthly rent, which fell from £2,564 in October 2019 to £2,182 last month. The figures come after a series of surveys suggesting that many city dwellers have either moved out or are planning to do so after re-evaluating their lifestyle. Many are likely to have concluded that they will be able to continue working from home for at least part of the week once the crisis has subsided.

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Cars collecting food in Dallas

 

 

 

 

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Home Forums Debt Rattle November 17 2020

This topic contains 35 replies, has 16 voices, and was last updated by  Noirette 2 weeks ago.

Viewing 36 posts - 1 through 36 (of 36 total)
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  • #65687

    Paul Klee Still Life 1929   • 2018 NY Times Video: How Easy It Is to Hack a Dominion Voting Machine (Vaughn) • Voting Fraud Is a Real Concern. Ju
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle November 17 2020]

    #65688

    riesterm
    Participant

    Sidney Powell did not seem to unleash the ‘Kraken’ yesterday, as she stated she would over the weekend.

    What’s rumbling out there?

    Anybody heard anything?

    #65689

    I don’t think she named a date.

    #65690

    riesterm
    Participant

    I think you are correct; somewhere I thought I saw/heard mention of Monday.

    #65691

    Dr. D
    Participant

    Hahahaha. When the World Economic Forum saw people were reading their white papers and watching their videos, they had to remove their own site! That’s right folks! After 10 years of nattering, there is now NO “Economic Reset”. It’s a conspiracy theory.

    True false false true, false true true false. …Depending on the day and what we’re trying to accomplish.

    Thanks Justin: without your help we’d never have gotten a high enough profile to have everybody realize Covid is a scam used to bring in world-wide Stalinism of a few oligarchs loading your daughters on private jets, and you: having no heating oil, owning nothing. You can see it here: https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Trudeau-Grest-Reset.mp4

    “In the book, Schwab explains with excitement how upcoming technology will allow authorities to “intrude into the hitherto private space of our minds, reading our thoughts and influencing our behavior. …Schwab went on to explain how his book, ‘Shaping the Future of The Fourth Industrial Revolution’, was particularly popular in China,” Oh I’ll bet it is.

    “Schwab also openly endorses something the media still claims is solely a domain of discussion for conspiracy theorists, namely “active implantable microchips that break the skin barrier of our bodies.”

    See? It’s all made up by crazy people! Except when it’s true, but when it’s true it’s false, false true false false true. #AntiLogos. Reality is whatever I SAY it is, in the last 5 minutes. 5 minutes from now, it changes again. “We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality.” Meaing we make s—t up, make CNN reports it, and arrest you if you are skeptical about it on Facebook. STASI, much?

    So what do people who need something to be randomly true or false, here or there, today or tomorrow do?

    “PCR tests have proven remarkably unreliable with high false result rates, and aren’t designed to be used as a diagnostic tool in the first place as they cannot distinguish between inactive viruses and “live” or reproductive ones.”

    Dr. Mike Yeadon, former vice president and scientific director of Pfizer, has even gone on record stating that false positive results from unreliable PCR tests are being used to “manufacture a ‘second wave’ based on ‘new cases,’” when in fact a second wave is highly unlikely.

    “Perhaps most importantly of all, the PCR tests cannot distinguish between inactive viruses and “live” or reproductive ones.

    What that means is that PCR tests cannot detect infection. Period. It cannot tell you whether you’re currently ill, whether you’ll develop symptoms in the near future, or whether you’re contagious.”

    That is, they promote methods that are also random and can be steered and controlled. So they can lockdown and protect their insider oligarch empires wherever they need. …Oh and killin’ you of course, as a delightful bonus. By the 25,000’s according to UK, which is equivalent to 250k unnecessary deaths in the U.S. – more than the virus itself. As predicted.

    VP of Pfizer says this is bulls—t. Along with the creator of the test. Along with high profile rock stars and people like Musk taking tests that give random results. What does it take? Is there ANY level of illogic and abuse that can make people stand up for themselves?

    Speaking of: “Unelected Officials Override The President To Continue Wars (But Only Kooks Believe In The Deep State)” https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2020/11/14/unelected-officials-override-the-president-to-continue-wars-but-only-kooks-believe-in-the-deep-state/

    I said it and had it printed at great expense, but when you quote me you’re lying, you tinfoil hat anon-chan-minon, or whatever insults they’re using these days.

    What is the joke? “I’ve even seen politicians tell the truth! Honest! Whenever they say the other candidate is lying.”

    No how on earth could Justin, Klaus, be this illogical, be this dumb?

    Ex-fencing coach, telecom CEO face charges in $1.5 million bribery scheme to get kids into Harvard”

    Idiot sons of idiot sons. Can’t do basic math. Failed everything they touch and are promoted. Got wealthy on insider trading then bought their way into Harvard, 7 generations deep. Y’know, like “W”. If every time you fail, i.e. are totally wrong, you get rewarded, where WOULD you get the idea that Reality exists? Why WOULD you adjust your behavior to succeed or tell the truth? You wouldn’t, and they don’t.

    …But WE do. WE can fail. WE are arrested. WE are not bailed out. WE die by the thousands with each new WHO/CDC contradiction, with each new failed decision, with each new lockdown. So WE have to know the truth. Because there is one.

    “If the courts rule Dominion’s voting machines to be unconstitutional, then how many millions of ballots will be discarded? Who wins the election if those millions of potentially fraudulent votes are discarded?”

    Well that won’t happen, but the short answer is, it would probably run out of time and end up in a House vote, as has happened before. This would probably minimize the Civil War and has been the target they (T) have been aiming for.

    Difference in Michigan. Yes. But not only that, ALL the swing states just – poof – all stopped counting at exactly the same time: 4am. Exactly when they lost. That’s never happened before and didn’t happened in the other states. After the windows were boarded up and the lights came back on, each swing state’s vote count had radically changed in an extremely improbable way, just like Michigan’s. So if lightning strikes one election ever 220 years, but THEN strikes all 6 elections in the same hour of the same year??? “There’s no evidence,” that’s what.

    2018 NY Times Video: How Easy It Is to Hack a Dominion Voting Machine (Vaughn)”

    Apparently the Democrats sent an official letter of warning about Dominion voting in late 2019 as well. Outlining the same things. Then they all happily used it and put on their surprised face. My guess is they expected both sides to cheat, but one side let go of the rope in the Tug-o-War and other side fall-down-go-boom.

    Oh and Dominion was apparently so bad the Philippines kicked them out for fraud? Check me on this.

    But “There’s no evidence.”

    NYTimes: Trump “Fans Conspiracies” Like Russiagate, NYT? Like Stormy Daniels? Like Ukrainian phone calls? Like gay people in cattle cars, shooting immigrants at the borders, like rounding up black people in the streets, all three groups of which voted INCREASINGLY for Trump? Those kind of weird conspiracies? Darn those people who print and fan them, “evidence-free” for 4 years.

    bundles of paper write-in ballots trucked in desperately to support the fraud during the hours-long blackout periods late on election night when it became obvious that the Trump vote was more overwhelming than anticipated.”

    So obvious even life-long blue dogs can see it. You stopped the vote when? When the Trump vote completely overran the Dominion “rounding up” vote shifting and they needed more actual ballots, as provided by mobsters in Philly.

    “these international relationships point to possible “foreign interference” in US elections,”

    Okay, neat. But why? Because foreign interference gives the platform for the DNI and Pentagon to get involved. NOT BILL BARR, Bush holdover extraordinaire. And if foreign, that is TREASON, as prosecuted by the ARMY, under COURT MARTIAL, in Guantanamo, and not by Bill Barr in Federal Court 2nd NYC district or Northern Court of Virginia.

    Coming into focus yet? And why the DNC was very sure it was safe to do a little meddling on the side?

    “Biden Campaign Director Arrested for Electoral Fraud (PN)”
    “There’s no evidence.”
    “The Lawless Campaign to Harass Lawyers Representing the Trump Campaign”
    “There’s no evidence.”
    Boarding up windows and harassing the other lawyers into submission outside the courtroom really shows you have a solid case you’re proud of and can win with no problem.

    “the health agency’s strict hygiene, screening and other prevention measures were not sufficient to spare it from the pandemic.”

    But doing the same thing with NON healthcare professionals, who are careless or DGAF, will spare the rest of us from the pandemic. Right. Sure it will. …I said back in January. Ain’t nobody gonna follow no rules. Never have before and this time won’t be different. It’s easier to get a bag of heroin and a loaded revolver on the streets of Chicago than a prescription and a license anywhere in the U.S. But we have a solution! We’ll pass a law!!! This time Mister, we’re serious! You’ll respecy-my-authoritiee-see-if-you-won’t!

    …Or you could act like a smart person for 10 seconds and plan around what people are ACTUALLY like. What they’re ACTUALLY willing to and capable of doing.

    Nah! “It’s not if you win or lose (and we really, REALLY like losing); it’s where you place the blame.” So long as the 300 million deaths are your fault: it’s GREAT!!! You shouldn’t have resisted. Resisted the Economic Reset that keeps us oligarchs in total control, and you owning nothing and in total poverty and total dependency, unable even to dare object. As written in the WEF, then erased, then re-instated, then erased.

    The U.S. economy was unraveling in 2019 from 11 long years of Fed-induced over-capacity in almost everything”

    Which is why with $2T doubling quarterly, they ran out of time for a planned Economic Reset. And to keep them all from being hung from lightpoles, they need worldwide martial law. Forever. …If only, if only, we had some kind of excuse to keep us from being chased down the street and hung for our crimes…

    Oh well, I guess we’ll die then. You nabbed us. It’s a fair cop.

    “The COVID-19 crisis has prompted extraordinary financial support to exclusively large firms and insider oligarchs by governments and central banks.”

    What a coincidence! If only we had that $1B loan for Manny’s Crab Shak in New Gloucester, maybe small business could compete in our “Capitalist/Failure of Capitalism” system.

    Rents in British Cities Fall by Up to 15% Amid Covid ‘Exodus’ (G.)”

    15%? Don’t buy until is -90%. And to do that and make life safe for oligarchs and BlackRock to buy up and gentrify Harlem like a bad RoboCop movie, we only need .9 DeBlasios. Killin’ some folks, killin’ some folks, helpin’ the rich by killin’ some folks.

    Anyway, 15% is nothing. You – I mean THEY – won’t buy until you get the land for NOTHING, that is for back taxes, AND aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand, as Biden has promised, all the oligarchs that caused the deaths get trillions in reconstruction money to “Build Back Better.” You didn’t think Manny’s Crab Shak was going to get those loans, did you? Look at ’08! Only oligarchs and Long Island wives of Fed bankers. Kash-n-Karry.

    All approved by you. And paid for by you. Just keep playing along.

    Remember yesterday: Saying you should “resist” colonization and slavery is calling for open violence. It’s only by “Doing what you’re told” that we’re all saved and the beatings will stop. …Or won’t actually. history says they never have before.

    #65692

    zerosum
    Participant

    Oversupply
    https://charleshughsmith.blogspot.com/2020/11/dont-blame-covid-economy-is-imploding.html

    Don’t Blame Covid: The Economy is Imploding from Over-Capacity and Corrupt Cartels
    The way forward is obvious: stop the Fed from blowing ever-larger bubbles and eliminate cartels and monopolies. But that will require ending the absurd farce of pay-to-play “democracy” that enables the debt / asset bubbles and cartels / monopolies.

    (However, its not going to happen)
    ——
    Unintended consequences will be made worst.
    Thousands of cars lined up to collect food in Dallas, Texas, over the weekend, stretching as far as the eye can see.

    What’s next, free medical care for those that require it? Affordable tuition and skills training? Paying personal support workers a living wage? When will it end?
    ——
    Simple example: public rest stops on the Interstates.
    Socialism: pile out & use the restrooms for free.
    Capitalism.: Privatized and pay a $5.00 user fee?

    What about the people who don’t even have a car to get to a food bank. I feel like it’s pretty short-sighted to criticize hungry people for having a means to get food. How many of those folks in line are adding the fear of having their cars repossessed to their list of worries

    #65693

    Mr. House
    Participant
    #65694

    zerosum
    Participant

    (Bloomberg) — The world is awash with too much savings and central banks don’t have the tools on their own to combat the economic stagnation that’s a result.

    That was one of the conclusions of a high-powered panel at the Bloomberg New Economy Forum on Monday that included former Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and ex-U.S. Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers.

    I’ll give my opinion.

    They are lying. Here is the real problem.

    Banks have already spent the saving of people. Its gone. Therefore, if people want to get their savings, the banks cannot give it to the savers without printing more money.
    That is the same problem with all the pension plans. The money is gone. All pension are now paid out from printed money.
    Do you really think that the pension money was invested and producing a return on investment high enough to keep up with your pension income?

    #65695

    Mr. House
    Participant

    @zerozum

    I know they’re lying. Now why would they lie about something like that, but not something like covid? Why would you tell the truth about one thing (which to me appears like you’re trying to cover your past mistakes while also reducing the freedom of the people even more) but lie about another?

    #65696

    zerosum
    Participant

    Follow the bouncing ball
    Don’t cut off your nose.

    Tories put lack of action on Huawei, China in crosshairs with new motion


    Conservative Leader Erin O’Toole spoke ahead of the debate on his party’s motion, which calls for MPs to demand that the government table a decision on whether to allow Huawei to participate in the country’s 5G network as well as a plan for how they will counter Chinese influence in Canada.

    https://nypost.com/2020/11/14/china-pushes-forward-on-6g-while-us-still-working-on-5g/
    China pushes forward on 6G, while US still working on 5G
    By Melanie GrayNovember 14, 2020

    https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-asia-china-54852131
    China sends ‘world’s first 6G’ test satellite into orbit

    China has successfully launched what has been described as “the world’s first 6G satellite” into space to test the technology.

    It went into orbit along with 12 other satellites from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center in the Shanxi Province.

    #65697

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @Dr D

    You strike me as a man who does not tremble at the prospect of mountainous stacks of homework. Still, I should warn you that the hot lead I’m about to hand over is one of the deepest of rabbit holes. Luckily (or un-luckily ?) much of the research work is incontestably legitimate and certified true by the highest levels of whatever bastion of academic authority you choose to believe in (the United States Army Nuremberg Trials legal teams, for example)
    Here is the tip : Klaus Schwab is a Nazi. By that I mean a Nazi of the old school goose stepping Heil Hitler jack boots and nifty uniforms variety. As in a real and actual Nazi Nazi . . . or at least his dear old Papa was.
    Once you start down that rabbit hole you will almost immediately encounter the most recent avatar of the ancient Habsburg/Hohenzollern crowd and their present day Euro-dreams. Oh my. Such a mess.
    Long story short : the Globalists / Davos Crowd / Fourth Industrial ( Fourth Reich ?) / European dynastic families / etc. etc. are pretty much the same bunch that gave us WW1, Hitler, WW2, and whatever the hell is going on now

    I’m sure you don’t give a damn about the conspiracy theory aspects of such a deep dive ( and neither do I ) , but when it comes to understanding their present day “Organizing Board” and structure it is invaluable. For example, did you know that there is actually a current King of Prussia ? Well there is. His name is Georg Friedrich Ferdinand , he’s a gen-u-wine Hohenzollern, richer than Midas, and (seriously) dead set on returning to power. Judging from his wealth, activities and grasp of European legal procedures I would have to say that he’s got a pretty good shot at it. I kid you not.

    Here is a good place to start , if you’re interested in preventing the the World Economic Forum from accomplishing its stated goals :

    https://www.maneco64.net/post/the-origins-of-the-world-economic-forum-go-back-to-the-third-reich

    #65699

    Maxwell Quest
    Participant

    Dr. Shiva just presented another tutorial on the fraudulent MI election results yesterday.
    In it we learn that he ran in the Sept 2020 Massachusetts GOP primaries for the U.S. Senate. From what evidence he could gather, it looked as if the GOP screwed him out of a primary win by using the “Weighted Race” feature of the voting software. It’s a clever little “bipartisan” mechanism for dialing in via software variables who will win or lose a particular race.

    They probably thought he was just another techno nerd sticking his nose where it didn’t belong, and that he would just go away after getting kicked in the coin purse by democracy American style. You know, the kind of race where it doesn’t even require a platform or ground campaign in order to win. You can just sit back and let the voting software do the heavy lifting. Sound familiar? Little did they know their little primary “glitch-driven” victory would come back to bite them in the ass two months later. Something tells me that Dr. Shiva is not going away quietly:

    “Dr. SHIVA: MIT PhD Continued Analysis of Michigan Votes Reveals More Election Fraud”

    It’s a follow-on to his previous presentation with a good bit of preparatory groundwork on “pattern recognition” before he gets into the actual MI voter data analysis. And thankfully, he addressed a major weakness that I (and many others) pointed out in his first presentation: the lack of historical (or untainted) voting examples for use as a comparison to the 2020 results. This comparison makes it easier for non-geeks to spot the vote tabulation fraud in all its visual glory.

    I took the liberty of making a couple small edits to Quint’s monologue from the movie Jaws:

    “… and sometimes the nerd would go away. Sometimes he wouldn’t go away. Sometimes that nerd, he looks right into ya. Right into your eyes. You know the thing about a nerd, he’s got lifeless eyes, black eyes, like a doll’s eye. When he comes at ya, doesn’t seem to be livin’. Until he bites ya, and those black eyes roll over white. And then, ah then you hear that terrible high pitch screamin’, the ocean turns red and spite of all the poundin’ and the hollerin’ they all come in and rip your fake election to pieces.”

    #65700

    Susmarie108
    Participant

    “The Trump legal team doesn’t have to prove the voting machines WERE manipulated, only that they COULD BE.”

    Not so fast. As I was coached by D Benton Smith on yesterday’s thread – “How (as in the step-by-step kind of “how”) could a scheme of such magnitude actually be executed is not a substantially useful question because It doesn’t matter if a specific crime is possible. It only matters if a specific crime was actually committed.” Then…”The real problem is not the evidence. The problem is the Gatekeepers.” We already know there was fraud to some degree/at some level/somewhere – so what’s gonna be done about it and who will hold “them” accountable? Ohhh nothing and no one. Yes, everyday is Groundhog Day in the USA.

    As for the CHS posting Oversupply – right-on! As a long-time reader of his blog and numerous books, I am following a roadmap he has outlined; it provides a practical and simple Way forward. You can leave the cartels/monopolists behind by: banking with regional and local institutions, reducing/eliminating debt, taking good care of the things you own (I drive a 1999 Jeep and 2009 Chevy truck), growing food, eating home cooked meals, trading locally with locally owned businesses, thoughtfully engaging in your community, LOVINGLY caring for family/friends/neighbors, making music and art, going outside, walking/exercising/yardwork, living on PURPOSE, smiling around town.

    Caitlin Johnstone has it right with today’s post: “Biden Will Likely Be Worse Than Obama. The Left Must Lead The Backlash, Or The Right Will.”

    Biden Will Likely Be Worse Than Obama. The Left Must Lead The Backlash, Or The Right Will.

    #65702

    Dave Note
    Participant

    I admire Sidney Powell. She is not only a brilliant lawyer and former prosecutor but possesses great moral integrity.

    However, the clock is running out on any type of legal challenge that would practically make a difference.

    Look at the incredibly biased corrupt behavior of the judge in the Flynn case, Emmet Sullivan. What a sorry excuse for a justice. The guy should be disbarred for his disgraceful behavior.

    Sidney prevailed against Sullivan to a point and then he stonewalled her by illegally refusing to drop the case and proceeded to put on an astonishing display of conflict of interest and outright political bias against Flynn and her.

    This is just a tiny sample of what she will face appealing to various judges on the grotesque election fraud.

    They can simply run the clock out like a sports game and win by grand premeditated inaction.

    The U.S. is looking like Germany in the 20’s

    It’s so time consuming to evaluate all the totally weaponized, confirmation biased, conflicting info on what is happening that I’m starting to not give a damn.

    Bernays and Goebbels have won. The Big Lie works like a charm 100 years later, with virtually infinite informational resources, humans have actually devolved. How pathetic and with the stakes so high.

    I listened to a podcast of Nate Hagens recently. He spoke eloquently as usual about how human ‘economics’ is merely a sub-set of Ecology, the study of real energy flows in real time in the real world.

    He said the virus was a trigger but not the cause of the global economic meltdown. It was a house of cards before the virus. He said governments had better bailout real people soon, not just bankers and .001% percenters,

    The economic help for the small person and small business is hopelessly stalled in politics. Big banks and big tech got billions in a day for relief, everyone else got a single $1200 check, if that,

    Far as I can see were headed toward a Mad Max Greatest Depression plus civil war, the 70 million cheated by the election will be out for a blood sport event.

    #65703

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @Dr D

    Post Script

    ( I understand and fully accept in advance that you may not be interested in any of this stuff at all )

    There is one more news clip that is a real time saver if you want to check this line of research in greater depth. It is from CNN of all places !! That’s a little chilling, in its own right. It means that Georg Friedrich has absolutely top notch public relations advisors. The sort that charge tens of $millions, not tens of $thousands for their services.

    Here’s the link to the CNN article : https://www.cnn.com/videos/arts/2020/09/25/interview-with-georg-friedrich-prince-of-prussia-extended-tv.cnn

    That’s the end of it. I will not be bothering you this kind of thing any further. Did so just this once because it looked like you MIGHT be interested.

    #65704

    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    Dr. D:

    Regarding the efficacy of the PCR test as a diagnostic tool, I respectfully disagree. Sure, I can read the concerns of many that deactivated (“dead”) virus particles are being detected and causing “false positives” — but that this is a widespread or major problem disagrees with my personal experience regarding myself and my household members.

    My mother had Covid symptoms at the end of September. She and my father were tested, using PCR. She came back positive; he came back negative. My father never showed symptoms, and never retested. He had an antibody test last week, but they haven’t received the results yet. We are curious what they may reveal, especially since he had direct contact with her throughout her illness and confinement.

    Within two days of my mother’s positive Covid diagnosis, I, my partner, and my three children submitted to PCR testing. We all tested negative. 8 days after my mother’s positive test, my partner began showing symptoms, and underwent PCR testing — he came up as positive. On day 9 I had no symptoms, but went in again for PCR testing — I was positive for Covid. On day 10 I began showing clear symptoms of Covid. On day 13 I took the children to be retested with PCR — they came back as negative.

    I missed several medical appointments during Covid quarantine and isolation — for one appointment I found out that I now couldn’t go to the appointment until I had a negative Covid test. My health insurance *only* covers the cost for super-sensitive PCR testing and I didn’t want to shell out over $200 for the less sensitive rapid test. I was very concerned — I didn’t want to delay this visit any longer, it was for a thumb injury that might require surgery — I had heard that PCR testing can give a positive result for quite a while after recovery from Covid, and I did not want to have this medical appointment delayed any further.

    On day 20 (from my mother’s positive PCR Covid test, 10 days after my symptom onset) the children, myself, and my partner again went for PCR testing. ALL FIVE OF US TESTED NEGATIVE.

    As I diagnostic test, for the seven people in my household, the PCR test was very effective. It caught my Covid positivity a day before symptom onset. It indicated Covid positivity for those showing Covid symptoms. It returned a negative value after Covid symptoms had abated for the two that had been sick with positive Covid tests. There were no “false positives.”

    Does this mean that PCR testing never gives false positives? Of course not. However, no medical test is perfect. We want tests that give very few false positives or negatives, so that we can make wise decisions both personally and socially. It seems ridiculous to vilify a medical test simply because it is not “perfect.” It gives us needed information, and it gives us that information with a high level of accuracy — which is what we need.

    My household is all recovered here — with (so far) no indication of long-term effects. My Covid case and my mother’s case were mild. My partner’s was moderate — no hospitalization or trouble breathing, but he had intermittent fevers for 9 days.

    #65705

    Mr. House
    Participant

    @Phoneixvoice

    Glad to hear everyone in your house is doing well!

    “On day 10 I began showing clear symptoms of Covid.”

    Can you describe these? A gentleman who works for my dad lives with his grandaughter. She tested positive for COVID and he negative. I asked what symptoms she had and he said a runny nose. Wouldn’t you expect everyone around someone who had covid to get it based on the way the media reports on it?

    #65706

    Mr. House
    Participant

    Is it safe to ask, based on our lived exp. the past nine months, are we overreacting?

    #65707

    Mr. House
    Participant

    anyone i’ve spoken with who’s family has had it also said
    “My household is all recovered here — with (so far) no indication of long-term effects.”

    What is going here?

    #65708

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Let’s first stipulate upfront that we are in a number of related situations which pose significant threats to our lives and/or well being in one way or another.

    In any disaster that’s serious enough to kill you (that is, result in your physical demise) there are just Two (and a half) Rules for Happy Living :

    #1. Stay alive. Do whatever it takes to remain alive. If there is mortal danger, then don’t fall victim. In other words, Don’t get dead. Do what you have to do . If it’s a false alarm then make your call on whether it is false (or not) and proceed accordingly. In either case, you HAVE TO BE ALIVE in order to move on to ANY next step.

    #2. Do whatever it takes to prevent this sort of shit from ever happening to you again.

    Now there is one additional major point to make, which is also painfully simple (although not at all obvious until push comes to shove) and that is the plain fact that reality is one hell of a lot different than TALKING about what may or may not prove out to be reality.

    Here are the current urgent issues which, in my opinion, call for the application of the above two and a half rules :

    Covid -19 PLUS how Covid-19 is being used by the authorities for purposes far beyond the scope of public health. These purposes may be nefarious and a threat to your life.

    The rigged election which (if team Biden gets its way) will bring the Chinese Communist Party even more deeply into your lives than it already is. The CCP is demonstrably a threat to the life and well being of any population under its rule or influence.

    World economic collapse ( The Reset , Fourth Turning, Great Depression 2.0 , whatever you care to call it. )

    I don’t pretend to have all (or even a lot) of the answers to these issues. I just thought it would be useful and timely to say something to help us all stay focused.

    #65709

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @DaveNote

    reference : ” The U.S. is looking like Germany in the 20’s ”

    It sure is, and I don’t think that it’s entirely a coincidence. I think it’s because it’s the same opposed teams fighting the next round of the same damned war.

    #65710

    Geppetto
    Participant

    Tuesday morning beatdown on TAE. I’m depressed. Not really! hahahahah!

    Once again reading Dr. D I find I agree with much of his insight(?) Many of his conclusions I have come to on my own via my own evidence discovery. Yet I have to be careful I am not just reinforcing a bias, Which is most likely just my ego tripping.

    Hey Zero! I look at the Highway rest stop as representation of my taxation. Nice highways, public libraries, protected wilderness as well as county, state and federal parks amongst other things. As part of my productive social contract I gladly pay to enjoy those resources. Sure there has been much subversion and corruption of those institutions but hey it has and does work pretty good for me….so far. Also I’m working on what I am calling Zerosum’s third thought hypothesis. More later.

    @Susiemarie108

    I have been a CHS reader( not follower!) for many years. I like his take. He is prone to blame everything on the Fed. I get it. His solution is only common sense. so…. Meh. We dance on the surface of things here. Is DBS’s obvious knowledge of things you and I have not been privy to knowledge of the root or a result of the real root? I think it’s way deeper. And… somehow related to the Zerosum third thought hypothesis. David Bohm, Karl Friston and Ian McGilchrist may have some clues ..maybe not.

    @phoenixvoice

    Did you receive treatment of any kind? Would the outcome have been different if you did not know what you were sick from? Kary Mullis warned of the misuse of the PCR test as a diagnostic tool. Looking back at the history of HIV/AIDS in social context I would agree.

    Do you ever get the feeling that somebody on TAE might be a time traveling space man/woman that knows how to cheat the second law…that is just pushing our buttons? Maybe its all of us, expressing our mitochondrial genetic heritage across time. Maybe…my body is just a passenger, riding a double helix train to somewhere?

    Taleb likes to tell his don’t cross the river if it’s 4′ deep story. Probability and all. I say… ‘learn to swim’…. IF you want to know what is on the other side of that river…

    Ciao

    P.S: I ‘m sure you noticed that a bunch of kids mentored by some old NASA engineers and funded by a billionaire in co-operation with a federal agency just sent an explosively propelled machine into low earth orbit and rendezvous with the ISS? I found it funny in contrast to the other group of kids that are mentored by marxist/anarchist college professors and use handheld explosive devices to burn innocent peoples private property. Funny ..NOT funny.

    #65711

    zerosum
    Participant

    @ Mr. House

    Historical info
    Before covid19

    When Your Bank Goes Bust…Run! Or… How Congress Already Stole Your Savings.


    When Your Bank Goes Bust…Run! Or… How Congress Already Stole Your Savings.
    – Bertolt Brecht
    – Tuesday, November 17, 2020 –
    ——
    @ Geppetto
    Also I’m working on what I am calling Zerosum’s third thought hypothesis. More later.
    Thanks. Covid19 makes imperative to get a better understanding of microscopic life forms, the bottom of the pyramid of life.

    #65712

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @geppetto

    reference : ” Is DBS’s obvious knowledge of things you and I have not been privy to knowledge of the root or a result of the real root? ”

    Both.

    And you’re right, it’s way deeper. Too deep for a platform like TAE which already has an accepted focal range and exists due to the long and faithful work (for low pay) of it’s co-founder Raul . I would not be willing to lead us down some other garden path of discussion without his express request to do so.

    #65713

    ctbarnum
    Participant

    “(Bloomberg) — The world is awash with too much savings and central banks don’t have the tools on their own to combat the economic stagnation that’s a result.

    Translation: Too much money is being hoarded by the cartels and 1% and central banks don’t have the tools to combat it. Governments are too corrupt to address it.

    #65714

    Geppetto
    Participant

    @ D Benton Smith

    Your prudence is kindly appreciated. Thank you

    #65715

    Mr. House
    Participant

    @Zerozum

    Thanks for the suggestion, and excellent article. I found this one to be very interesting

    From Ebola 2014 to COVID-19, or…    Propagandizing the Profits of Panic.    

    #65716

    Doc Robinson
    Participant

    Moderna COVID19 Vaccine Candidate is 94.5% Effective – Trials

    How mRNA vaccines work (image)

    mRNA vaccines are “an entirely new technology that hasn’t seen a single approved product.” What could possibly go wrong?

    I could see myself maybe getting an mRNA vaccine for something as bad as Ebola, but I think I’ll take my chances by skipping the Covid-19 vaccinations.

    Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine data ‘open the floodgates’ for mRNA in infectious disease. Other areas? Not so fast: analysts

    #65718

    Mr. House
    Participant

    @D Benton

    “And you’re right, it’s way deeper. Too deep for a platform like TAE which already has an accepted focal range and exists due to the long and faithful work (for low pay) of it’s co-founder Raul . I would not be willing to lead us down some other garden path of discussion without his express request to do so.”

    What are you suggesting that is so deep it may blow our minds?

    #65719

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @ Mr.House

    reference : ” What are you suggesting that is so deep it may blow our minds?”

    Re-reading what I wrote to Geppetto , it does come across as a bit dramatically arcane, but that was not the contextual meaning, nor was it it my intent to convey mysterious allure. The truth of the matter is that many of the folks on TAE are long term professionals ( maybe even experts, who knows ?) in fields which are not within the purview or focus of the subjects TAE traditionally addresses ( and very successfully, I might add ). This platform covers a lot of ground, but it doesn’t cover everything. I simply do not want to distract the conversation from what has worked so well for quite a long time.

    On top of that, The Automatic Earth is Raul’s intellectual property , not mine. He has curated it very very well, in my opinion, and I am grateful that he lets me have my say without censure. I sometimes include snippets and bits of wise observation or pithy commentary from my area of expertise, but that does give me any sort of right to turn his platform into my megaphone.

    Having said all that, I do not mean to imply false modesty on my part. I’m very confident of my accomplishments in my field of endeavor, which, to be bluntly frank, is what most people would call “deep” . So, when knowledge from my working life seems pertinent and relevant to things that come up on TAE I sound off and contribute my two cents worth.. Otherwise not. No one cares (nor should they) about credentials. All that matters is the veracity of what is said.

    #65720

    VietnamVet
    Participant

    What is going on? There is way too much debt. The top 1% own all the assets and profit off the renters. The cars in line for food in Dallas are not owned but are financed with five year loan payments that keep getting rolled over.

    The supply system financed with digital money is breaking down. Workers are ill, out of work, isolated at home. The USA is a sick nation supplied by a mostly virus free Asia. The Empire (whose protection money financed Wall Street) has fallen. The USA is Incapable of serving and protecting its citizens. The wealthy’s assets will not be used to rebuild the public health service to fight the pandemic in the West. The federal government has done nothing for the last eight months as a quarter million Americans died early. If fraud is proven (a possibility due to rampant corruption and incompetence; despite media denials) this will freeze the US government to a stop with the Presidential Election thrown into the House. A Dark Winter is coming, indeed.

    #65721

    Mr. House
    Participant
    #65722

    John Day
    Participant

    @D Benton Smith : Very decent of you to not hog Ilargi’s blog with deep-rabbit-hole stuff, sir.
    Feel free to expound at length on http://www.johndayblog.com if you are so inclined.
    Like most geeks, I suck that stuff up.
    Conspiracy: It’s why you’re what’s for dinner!

    @Vietnam Vet: Take 5000 units/d of vitamin-D, grow vegetables, ride a bike (where it’s safe) and get all your surgeries when you are young.

    Peace.

    #65723

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @vietnamvet

    I read and reread your analysis three times over. It’s insightful, astute and accurate, but what really impressed me was how you said so much with so few words . That’s elegant on top of eloquent. Well done, man.

    #65724

    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @JohnDay

    Thank you for the invite. I believe I’ll pop over there right now and have a look.

    #65743

    Noirette
    Participant

    After reading most of the link about Ebola (from Mr. House) I was going to post a link to Operation Dark Winter (Actually, I was surprised that it had a wiki entry) — Joe Biden has been babbling on about a *dark winter* to come. Not that he knows exactly or even vaguely what he is talking about, it sounds evocative, who knows if the reference is deliberate or not. Mr House beat me to it.

    So here is Operation Atlantic Storm, 2005, which also has a brief confused entry. (Bio-terror small pox outbreak simulation.) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_Storm

    There was also a Pandemic exercise at the WEF, Davos, with K. Schwab in charge, in Jan. 2017:

    To make the case directly to key decision makers, the World Bank Group is working with Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, to conduct the first set of pandemic simulation exercises that are designed to recreate a disease outbreak scenario to provoke a robust discussion about pandemic preparedness among policymakers. President Jim Yong Kim, Bill Gates and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany will jointly host simulation exercises on pandemic preparedness for the Heads of State and private sector leaders during the next World Economic Forum in Davos in January 2017 and the G-20 Heads of State meeting in July 2017.  In preparation for the two major events, the World Bank will collaborate with the technical team from WHO, WEF and the German government to conduct similar exercises for G20 technical staff and and G20 Ministers of Health. Simulation exercises help make a theoretical possibility real, by allowing policymakers to role-play and map out gaps and concrete solutions to those gaps along with their peers.
     
    https://blogs.worldbank.org/health/pandemic-simulations-preparing-catastrophe-we-hope-will-never-happen

    Here is Bill Gates at the WEF 2017 talking about the next great epidemic. The first sentence is about vaccines, DNA and RNA vaccines.

    link is to CBSN (MSM) https://bit.ly/2UBkt0X

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