(No) Debt Rattle October 14 2025

 

Home Forums The Automatic Earth Forum (No) Debt Rattle October 14 2025

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  • #208811
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Some people might challenge my statement that Internet “outages” cause human deaths.

    To them I say, I am under no obligation to prove the veracity of patently obvious facts. If I say, “My goodness! The sun is beautiful today, and the sky so blue!” I don’t have to document it with the evidence that you’re looking straight at with your very own “Baby Blues”.

    When the network which the world runs on stops working for a few hundred million people all at once in an entire region, then there ARE human fatalities as a DIRECT consequence (indirect consequences also count, but that’s a separate conversation.)

    THAT is the kind of network we should pin the world’s hope of survival upon? Say, you wouldn’t be interested in buying a nice bridge between Manhattan and Brooklyn, would you?

    #208813
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #208817
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #208825
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    The life, times and works of the ancient Nazarene, Yeshua (translated to Greek and Latin as Jesus) are easily and by far the most closely and deeply studied as any other topic in the known history of Earth.

    Nevertheless, controversy continues.

    And yet despite the many highly contentious arguments about what did or did not transpire there are a few things, at least, upon which virtually 100% of all students and teachers agree upon which are NOT inquestion.

    The man existed, he preached certain things, and the Romans and Jewish hierarchy executed him for it.

    So what did he say, basically? He said that he was the living God and that the only way to evade death was by following his advices about a) acknowledging God as the Creator of everything, b) Loving God, Loving each other and treating each other the same way they would treat Him, and want to be treated themselves, and lastly (but not least by any means) that He was the ONLY way to evade death and live happily forever.

    If you do not already believe that to be the case then I have only one thing to say to you about that. Review the evidence and take another look at your conclusions. You might get pleasantly surprised.

    #208842
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #208861
    D Benton Smith
    Participant
    #208884
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    “We’re wired to feel gratitude for the bullet that missed instead of asking why someone was shooting at us in the first place.” Grok 4.1

    I don’t know about you guys, but I consider that to be scary good stuff for an AI to be “thinking” up.

    #208897

    The Italian Renaissance flourished in an era of the city state. It was a violent, corrupt time.
    From the compost pile comes food, fruit, and flowers.

    #208898
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    IF TAE keeps running (by some miracle or secret benefactor, or BOTH), and since there is currently no user-accessible way to register new accounts, then eventually the ability to log into and post on The Automatic Earth will become one of the most valuable identification verification methods and NONCENSORABLE communications channels on the entire Internet.

    Consider the (above) statement carefully, because it is the truth. If TAE ceases to exist altogether, then all bets are off, BUT if it continues to function then what I just wrote is a valid analysis and conclusion.

    #208899
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    In other words, and in this brief(?) moment we possess one of the ONLY non-censorable communications channels IN THE WORLD. Us handful of current registered commentators on The Automatic Earth can literally say absolutely anything that we want and virtually no one can stop us (for now).

    Don’t waste it.

    #208901
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    I agree with this guy. It’s time we got this truly horrifying (and fatally evil) stuff out into the daylight and publicly examined.

    #208913
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #208917
    maryballon
    Participant

    DBS what you wrote about the novelty of TAE is really important. Thank you. Can we do anything to support “it”? Does Patreon or Paypal still accept money? Also, where is the group called TAE these days?

    #208921
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @maryballon

    I suppose that someone with technical skills (or serious determination) could do a forensic analysis of the TAE site that’s reachable on-line, and some standard sleuthing of usernames and personal information divulged over time, and MAYBE come up with a means of preserving the forum’s online presence and functionality, but that seems to me like a LOT of work to invest in a VERY long shot.

    #208931
    those darned kids
    Participant

    #209021
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Rape island

    #209178
    Dr. D
    Participant

    No Raul back ever. Bad sign, that may be it.

    The most dangerous number in finance right now is 1.71%.
    That’s Japan’s 10-year bond yield. Highest since 2008. Here’s why your retirement just got obliterated:
    For 30 years, Japan printed infinity money at 0% rates and exported it worldwide. $3.4 trillion flowed into US Treasuries, European debt, emerging markets. This invisible bid kept YOUR mortgage cheap, YOUR stocks inflated, YOUR government solvent. November 10th, 2025: The bid disappeared.”
    Yen carry, that was all fiat inflation, ever. Since “Wall Street” in 1986.

    We’re seeing say, BTC drop. “Liquidity” is being yanked. They’re not trying to crash it seems, but it’s going neutral. Or trying. Guess – and Luongo is back, I think he moved to TN — US/China/Rus are trying to set the rules as the superpower. They are leaving EU out in the cold. Partially usual reason, but if Europe wasn’t a wreck with nothing, they’d have a seat at the table bc you couldn’t help it. It would be Realpolitik, regardless of how evil behaved. But they’re not, they got nothin’. So cutting liquidity to stabilize the system and start paying producers reasonable (not perfect) prices will crack them. I think that’s what’s going on. So enough to knock them out, but not enough to sink China. See?

    Since that’s risk, gold up. BTC down/mixed. If inflation, ppl go to the Dow. But not the Russell. They’re hiding in the U.S. bc least bad, and Stocks won’t lose as much in inflation. Not saying true– plumbing has all changed, but 100 years of just printing makes them THINK so. Same with DAX despite Germany sunk. If you have capital controls in Hambourg, where else can you go? You can’t easily go to Singapore or Toronto Miners. So they hide in what they can get: German stocks. Until they can’t.

    So the PLAN was to kill everyone, first easy with I dunno, maybe a voluntary medical shot or something, then hard with a crash and war, reset the system, sit in your walled castle, and install the Elon-bots and Hunger Game flying cars. Boom, 1B humans left, all under control like Planet Krypton or what they claim was the Annunaki. Yeah, f— off.

    Helmer interview is AMAZING. Just what I’ve been saying but distilled to a single line. At 40min, he literally says “Trump is retreating on all fronts, losing” Every time there is a negotiation, not a war, he’s losing. Every time there’s a peace treaty and not a bombing, he’s discredited. Threatening war to bring them to peace talks is stupid, all wrong. Okay, well. Now I know why you speak, and in a British accent, straight out of MI6. I guess I’m on “Team Losing” then! If Peace is “Losing” then I’m for losing! If Trump has to trick you into peace, ends war, and that’s losing, well, so sad! I guess we’ll all have to put up with the endless failure and shame that causes us. If Peace breaks out fully, and he’s never elected again, well. He’ll just to have to go down in the history books as a failed dead-end Presidency. …According to Helmer, Dances with Bears.

    So the mask is off. This is what they actually think. “War is Peace”. War is #Winning, Good. Peace is for #Losers, Bad. Alrightie then! I mean, I already knew you Europeans like that, but this makes it super easy to quote! And he’s a “Contrarian” supposedly against war and the West. If these are your friends I’d hate to see your enemies!

    #209209
    chooch
    Participant

    Raul,

    Are you interested in selling TAE?

    #209258
    John Day
    Participant

    DBS wrote: “In other words, and in this brief(?) moment we possess one of the ONLY non-censorable communications channels IN THE WORLD. Us handful of current registered commentators on The Automatic Earth can literally say absolutely anything that we want and virtually no one can stop us”:

    BWAHAHAHAHAAAA!
    ;-D

    #209262
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @JohnDay

    Now the only stumbling block between me and world domination is in coming up with some kind of agenda and Manifesto. Workin’ on it.

    #209263
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Trump’s “war prevention and peace brokerage”?!
    It could be It could also “said”:
    He allowed war in Gaza to continue and is still ongoing, so the World can see Israel for what it truly is.

    #209264
    kultsommer
    Participant

    It could be also “said”

    #209275
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @JohnDay

    Here a first rough draft of my Manifesto:

    “Trying my damnedest to do unto others as I would have them do to me under comparable circumstances, while also loving them no matter what and forgiving their trespasses against me (and others) , but finding the assignment to be a Hell of a lot harder than my first estimations had led me to expect. Working on it.”

    #209276
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #209278

    The reply numbers are jumping by large amounts. Chooch’s reply is #209209. John Day’s reply immediately follows and is #209258. I can’t seem to find why wordpress would do this. It is the only thing visible to me that signals that the site “has collapsed”.
    Subtracting 197446 (the first reply number of this Oct 14th post) from 209264 (the last reply as I write), gives 11818 replies for that day. The number given is 1818 (accurate, I think).
    Debt Rattle has some very dedicated followers.
    This is the time of year I would donate to this site. I send it snailmail, so I will write Mr. Jarvis and ask if there is any point in doing so this year. Maybe he’ll offer some info.

    #209281
    zerosum
    Participant

    Mass Strike on Western Ukraine
    Rats in Panic
    Severk is About to Fall
    Military Summary For 2025.11.19


    ————

    #209284
    tboc
    Participant

    dbs
    Galatians 2:20
    Matthew 11:30

    #209288
    zerosum
    Participant

    Comment on TAE and RIM

    We know that winter is coming.
    We cannot affect the coming of winter.
    I hope that I’ll still be around this coming spring.

    #209289
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    My assessment of Gilbert Doctorow is that the folks he trusts as sources of information about Russian strengths and weaknesses both on the battlefield and world markets, think that Russia isn’t winning. Doctorow (and both the people he listens to and thus the people who he advises) still do think that Russia can be defeated (or at least be pushed back to former borders) in this huge contest presently involving and enveloping the entire world.

    He thinks that the United States and the Great Western Empire that THINKS it runs the world, is negotiating from a position of strength. Well, they’re not. They’re LOSING, and the sooner that they wake up to that demonstrably true fact then the sooner thing can settle back into their “normal” state of ordinary treachery and the rest of us “normal” folk can all get back to and on with our normal lives.

    I think that Doctorow (etc) are catastrophically mistaken, but we needn’t wait to see which side is right. It’s being DEMONSTRATED as we speak. No need to call the outcome early unless you have your own skin in the game. Everyone else can just get on with their intended and necessary business, because things are going to be the way things are going to be, and you might as well deal with that because you don’t have any other choice. In other words, we all SHALL deal with it.

    #209290
    zerosum
    Participant

    The Defeat Of The West And Europe’s Bleak Future

    You can read and Evaluate the many comments of the coming of winter.

    #209293
    John Day
    Participant

    @DBS: re: “Manifesto” … What means “love your enemies”?
    Day before yesterday I had lookedat a happy picture of young Hillary and Vince Foster together, and was just touched by the happy-to-be-in-young-lovelook in Hillary’s face and body.
    I meditated on the suffering she, as a human who felt that, has felt since she had to have Vince “Arkancided”. This anguish must live inside of her.
    I did not start out in that direction, but it was a good direction for my meditation to go on the ride.
    It was prompted by this particular song, which is a meditation unto itself, including the words:
    “If you were to kill me now, right here, I would still look you in the eye, and I would burn myself into your memoery, as long as you were still alive…”. In The Eye, Suzanne Vega https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tXwmeEZPl0Y

    #209294
    John Day
    Participant

    @MPSK: I would also send a check to Daniel Jarvis. Please let us know if he replies.

    #209295
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #209297
    John Day
    Participant

    @DBS: I think Doctorow is clearer-headed than that. I follow him closely, but he gets a lot of flak for being an outlier, doing his own analysis. What he sees is that Russia is winning, but is frustrated at many levels that this war is not yet concluded, and many Russians, stratified by wealth and education, etc. would like it concluded, preferably without a big push in many cases, but the cry for a big push is rising.
    Putin is adept, and balances the western-liberal Russians against this. They remain considerable, but are keeping a lower profile lately.
    Doctorow has quit saying that he thinks the war will end this winter, and says the Ukrainian military keeps having the will to fight and die, which is primary, as is western funding and supply.
    He stated fairly regulalry that Russia is “winning”, compares prisoner-exchange and casualty numbers, ground advances, and the rapidity with which Ukrainian forces are now relinquishing positions.

    What we don’t see is the secret negotiations between the US and Russia. The corruption-scandal is an off-ramp for the current regime, but the transition must be arranged through secret negotiations, which are complicated…

    #209298
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #209299
    John Day
    Participant

    Another Way https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/another-way

    Mamdani has a chance to gain some funding for public projects without raising taxes: Ellen Brown: Why New York City Needs a Public Bank
    ​”We will build a city-owned bank — not to serve shareholders, but to serve you. A bank that invests in housing, in transit, in climate resilience. A bank that puts our money to work for our people.”​ — Zohran Mamdani, Victory Speech, Nov. 4, 2025
    ​ Mamdani’s plan to fund his reforms through $9 billion in new taxes on corporations and high earners is already bumping up against political and fiscal realities.​ Income taxes are the province of the state, not the city, and NY State Governor Kathy Hochul is standing firm in her resistance to raising them.​
    ..In his June 2025 primary speech, he pledged to create a city-owned bank to fund housing, transit and climate resilience — calling it “a tool to break Wall Street’s grip on our future.” …
    ..These statements align with his legislative record. Mamdani was a co-sponsor of Assembly Bill A3352, the New York Public Banking Act, and he has consistently advocated for public finance alternatives during his tenure in the State Assembly…
    ​..A public bank is a bank owned by the people through their government (local or federal). It can hold public funds, issue loans for public purposes and reinvest profits in the community. This is not a utopian idea; it’s a proven model. The proof is in an unlikely state, conservative North Dakota.
    ​ While New York City entrusts its public funds to Wall Street banks — paying billions in interest to private lenders — the state of North Dakota has taken a radically different approach. Its public funds are held in the Bank of North Dakota (BND), a state-owned institution that reinvests profits locally, finances infrastructure, and cushions the blow of economic shocks. While NYC relies on private-profit-driven banks to finance public needs, BND operates as a public utility — prioritizing resilience, affordability and sovereignty.​ https://scheerpost.com/2025/11/17/ellen-brown-why-new-york-city-needs-a-public-bank/

    ​ Trump Says He Plans To Meet With NYC Mayor-Elect Mamdani To “Work Something Out”
    Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani said he hoped to press President Trump to help ease the affordability crisis.
    ​ He said that if the president were willing to find common ground on the issue, he would be willing to work with him.
    “The president ran a campaign where he spoke about a promise to deliver cheaper groceries, a promise to reduce the cost of living,” Mr. Mamdani said at news conference at a food pantry in the Bronx, where he served meals to visitors.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-says-he-plans-meet-nyc-mayor-elect-mamdani-work-something-out

    ​ The Honest Sorcerer points out that countries export what’s left over. The Oil Import Curse – Why oil imports might fall far faster, far sooner than supply
    Countries depending on oil imports are in for a rough ride and the US will be no ex​ception either. Should world oil supply fall to half of its present value by mid century, as forecast by energy intelligence company Rystad, oil importing regions are posed to lose 75% of their imports in a matter of 15–20 years.​ https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/the-oil-import-curse

    ​For what do they prepare? FT Confirms Our Report From 2024 That China Is Buying 10x More Gold Than Officially Disclosed https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ft-confirms-our-report-2024-china-buying-10x-more-gold-officially-disclosed

    #209301
    Rover
    Participant

    DBS- keep up the good work on the manifesto. It’s assuring to see many of us are still here, & sharing whatever insights we may have come across. :- )

    #209302
    John Day
    Participant

    Poland Suspects Russia In “Unprecedented Act Of Sabotage” Of Rail Line​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/poland-suspects-russia-unprecedented-act-sabotage-rail-line

    Two Ukrainians Working For Russian Intelligence Behind Unprecedented Rail Sabotage: Poland Claims​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/two-ukrainians-working-russian-intelligence-behind-unprecedented-rail-sabotage-poland

    ​ Andrew Korybko notes that minimal bomb-damage done to some rails, not a train, Poland’s Railroad Sabotage Incident Is Highly Suspicious
    This might be a false flag to undermine the partial de-escalation of Polish-Belarusian tensions and provoke a worsening of Russian-US ones. It also comes six weeks after Russian spies warned about a joint Polish-Ukrainian “simulated (false flag) attack on critical infrastructure in Poland”.​ https://korybko.substack.com/p/polands-railroad-sabotage-incident

    ​ And “the best defense is a good offense”, right? Germany’s Merz says EU must be transformed into European defense union
    Chancellor Merz says Germany must take greater responsibility for Europe as the continent faces threats from Russia, tensions with the US, and a more assertive China​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/germany-s-merz-says-eu-must-be-transformed-into-european-defense-union/3745904

    ​ [Cull the humans that give birth.​ It works in Ukraine.] Denmark’s drive to conscript teenage girls: ‘We’re pretty scared’
    As the threat from Russia increases, it is no longer only young men who are being called to serve.​ https://archive.is/hQS4c#selection-1499.0-1505.97

    #209303
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Not even in WW-2 was this done. Ursula von der Leyen is urging EU leaders to agree to seize Russian assets.​ https://en.topwar.ru/273807-ursula-fon-der-ljajen-ugovarivaet-liderov-es-reshitsja-na-izjatie-aktivov-rf.html

    ​ Moon of Alabama, Ukraine Is Buying Fighter Jets With Money It Does Not Have?
    Over the next two years Ukraine plans to spend some €140 billion ($162b) it does not have to continue its war with Russia. There is serious doubt that the European Union, which has already shuffled €180 billion ($216b) to Ukraine, will be able to pay even a fraction of that.
    Despite Ukraine’s lack of money it acting president Vladimir Zelenski is announcing deals to procure expensive military aircraft at an unprecedented scale.
    In late October he went to Sweden to buy JAS 39 Gripen-E multi-role fighter jets build by Saab…
    ..It should also be noted that these figures do not include weapons, which must be purchased separately.
    ​ The total price tag for the fighter jets is more than $20+ billion. The price is likely to increase because it will take many years to build the planes:
    Even for Sweden’s own Air Force, Saab plans to complete its 60-aircraft order only by 2030.
    ​ Currently, Saab’s production facilities in Linköping can manufacture about 12 aircraft per year. However, the company aims to significantly increase this rate through localization in other countries.
    ​ Not even a month later Zelenski visits France to buy the even more expensive Rafale jets…
    ​..The real price for Rafale jets is not known but it has two engines while the Gripen-E is a one engine plane. Rafale is said to be the second most expensive jet fighter flying in western air forces.
    ​ When those just ordered planes would arrive is also not known. The capacity to build them is already sold out for the next five years..​.
    ​..I wonder about the strategy behind announcing deals that involve such large sums of money Ukraine does not have for planes that will not even be build during the next five years.​ https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/11/ukraine-is-buying-fighter-jets-with-money-it-does-not-have.html

    Like “Helping An Alcoholic By Sending Another Crate Of Vodka”: Orbán Blasts Brussels Over EU Funding Ukraine​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/its-astonishing-viktor-orban-reacts-europe-attempting-fill-ukraines-157bn-budget-gap

    ​ Just discussing surrounded Ukrainian soldiers in Pokrovsk, without Russia: Witkoff, Zelensky, Erdogan To Meet In Turkey In Effort To Revive Peace Talks https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/witkoff-zelensky-erdogan-meet-turkey-effort-jump-start-peace-talks-again

    Trump Stuns Press In Defending MbS Over Khashoggi Murder, As Saudis Float $1 Trillion Investment​ https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/trump-stuns-press-defending-mbs-over-khashoggi-murder-saudis-float-1-trillion-investment

    #209305
    John Day
    Participant

    Larry Summers Goes Into Hiding; Messages Sought Epstein’s Advice On Cheating With Daughter Of CCP Official​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/larry-summers-goes-hiding-messages-sought-epsteins-advice-cheating-daughter-ccp-official

    Senate Unanimously Approves Bill To Release Epstein Files​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/house-passes-bill-release-epstein-files-comer-torches-hakeem-jeffries-seeking-post-prison

    Trump Blasts “Big, Fat, Rich Insurance Companies” As Lawmakers Propose Ways To ‘Fix’ Obamacare​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trump-blasts-big-fat-rich-insurance-companies-lawmakers-propose-ways-fix-obamacare

    ​ Can we just pay directly for care​ from health-savings-accounts? “People Love It”: Trump Talking To Dems About ‘Direct Payment’ Health Care Plans
    President Donald Trump on Sunday said that he’s spoken with congressional Democrats about a plan to hand people cash that they can use to purchase their own health insurance.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/people-love-it-trump-talking-dems-about-direct-payment-health-care-plans

    ​This pressures the Supreme Court before midterms and lets Trump off the hook if tarriffs are disallowed. Trump promises $2,000 tariff checks by mid-2026 https://www.axios.com/2025/11/17/2000-tariff-dividend-trump-check-2026

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