(No) Debt Rattle October 14 2025

 

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  • #197669
    John Day
    Participant

    Debt Cycle Crisis https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/debt-cycle-crisis

    John Mauldin, The Final Crisis: This is Our Future
    ​ I’ve been reviewing Ray Dalio’s latest book, How Countries Go Broke. He shows in exhaustive detail how our current party is quickly approaching its lights-out moment.​.. Ray’s historical research found a specific sequence of events usually defined the cycle-ending crisis.​..
    ..I want to review a critical distinction Ray found in his research. Debt crises unfold differently depending whether the monetary system is based on hard money or fiat money.
    ​ Note that a “hard” currency in this sense doesn’t have to be gold, silver, etc. It can be a government-issued currency that’s pegged to some other currency the issuing government can’t control. This lack of control is the key.
    ​ Here’s Ray:
    ​ “In brief, the way the hard currency cases work is that the governments have made promises to deliver money that they can’t print (e.g., gold, silver, or another currency that the parties view as relatively hard, like the dollar). Throughout history, when coming up with these hard currencies that they can’t print to pay debts becomes tough, the governments almost always renege on their promises to pay in the currency that they can’t print, and the value of their money and the debt payments denominated in it tumble at the moment the promise is broken.
    ​ “After governments break their promise by not going back to having a hard currency, they have what is called a fiat monetary system. In these cases, the currency’s value is based on the faith and incentives that the central banks provide. The most recent shift of most currencies from being hard to being fiat started on August 15, 1971. I remember it well because I was clerking on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the time and was surprised by it; then I studied history and found that the exact same thing happened in April 1933, and I learned how they worked.
    ​ “In fiat monetary systems, central banks primarily use interest rates, their ability to monetize debt, and the tightness of money to provide the incentives for lender-creditors to lend and hold debt assets. And throughout history they, like central governments and central bankers operating in hard currency regimes, have created too much debt (which are claims that people believe they can turn in to get money, which they expect they can use to buy things), so there are the same types of debt/credit dynamics at work…
    ​ “Big Debt Cycles through history have typically included currency regimes going back and forth between being hard and fiat because they each led to extreme consequences and required movements to the opposite—the hard currency regimes broke down with big devaluations because the governments couldn’t maintain debt growth in line with their monetary constraints, and the fiat monetary systems broke down because of the loss of faith in the debt/money being a safe storehold him of wealth.”
    ​ One critical point here: debt cycles happen even if you have a hard currency. They look somewhat different but still occur. This is because both regimes consist of humans who demand and extend unwise amounts of credit.
    ​ The Big Debt Cycles Ray Dalio describes generally last around 80 years. They are composed of smaller cycles which average around six years. The US has seen 12 of these short-term cycles since 1945 (80 years ago). We are presently almost six years into the short-term cycle that began in 2020. These timespans can vary a bit, but it certainly appears we are approaching the end of a short-term cycle which will likely also conclude a Big Debt Cycle.​ In my view, it is not coincidence other cycles are similarly approaching critical phases: Neil Howe’s Fourth Turning, George Friedman’s institutional and social cycles, and Peter Turchin’s “elite overproduction” theory…
    ..Ray Dalio says the current short-term debt cycle revolves around the monetization of government deficits. The shortfalls were already giant before the pandemic. The policies governments developed to handle that problem made the debt problem far worse…
    ..The Fed’s 2022-2023 rates hikes seemed aggressive mainly because they followed (belatedly) a period of unprecedented debt stimulus. It didn’t so much “tighten” policy as simply bring it back closer to normal. But it didn’t feel that way those who had been feasting on debt…
    ​..Dalio’s archetypical “Final Crisis” has nine stages. He notes there can be big variations in what happens and when it happens.​..
    ​ ..This is our future:
    ​“1. The private sector and government get deep in debt.
    ​ “2. The private sector suffers a debt crisis, and the central government gets deeper in debt to help the private sector.
    “3. The central government experiences a debt squeeze in which the free-market demand for its debt falls short of the supply of it. That creates a debt problem… Big net selling of the debt is the big red flag.
    “4. The selling of government debt leads to a simultaneous a) free-market-driven tightening of money and credit, which leads to b) a weakening of the economy, c) declining reserves, and d) downward pressure on the currency.​..
    “5. When there is a debt crisis and interest rates can’t be lowered (e.g., they hit 0% or long rates limit the decline of short rates), the central bank “prints” (creates) money and buys bonds to try to keep long rates down and to ease credit to make it easier to service debt. It doesn’t literally print money; it essentially borrows reserves from commercial banks that it pays a very short-term interest rate on. This creates problems for the central bank…
    ​*“6. If the selling continues and interest rates continue to rise, the central bank loses money because the interest rate that it has to pay on its liabilities is greater than the interest rate it receives on the debt assets it bought. When that happens, that is notable but not a big red flag until the central bank has a significant negative net worth and is forced to print more money to cover the negative cash flow..​. The central bank can’t make its debt service payments, though it doesn’t default on its debts because it prints money. When done in large amounts, that devalues the money and creates inflationary recessions or depressions.
    “7. Debts are restructured and devalued. When managed in the best possible way, the government controllers of fiscal and monetary policy execute what I call a “beautiful deleveraging,” in which the deflationary ways of reducing debt burdens (e.g., through debt restructurings) are balanced with the inflationary ways of reducing debt burdens (e.g., by monetizing them)…
    “8. At such times, extraordinary policies like extraordinary taxes and capital controls are commonly imposed. (Read this twice! – JM)
    “9. The deleveraging process inevitably reduces the debt burdens and creates the return to equilibrium. One way or another, the debt and debt service levels are brought back in line with the incomes that exist to service the debts. Quite often, there are inflationary depressions, so the debt is devalued at the end of the cycle, government reserves are raised through asset sales, and a strictly enforced transition from a rapidly declining currency to a relatively stable currency is simultaneously achieved by the central bank linking the currency to a hard currency or a hard asset (e.g., gold)​…
    ​..“At the early stage of this phase, it is imperative that the rewards of holding the currency and the debt denominated in it, and the penalties of owing money, are great in order to re-establish the creditability of the money and credit by rewarding the lender-creditors and penalizing the borrower-debtors. In this phase of the cycle, there is very tight money and a very high real interest rate, which is very painful but required for a while.​..
    ​..Our current situation, as I see it:
    Stages 1, 2, 3 and 4 have already happened.
    ​ Stage 5 is underway as the Fed tries to see how low it can push rates without raising inflation, while Congress and the President seek ways to salvage politically popular spending programs and tax policies.
    ​ Stage 7 may be starting as some of the riskiest private borrowers (First Brands, Tricolor) start hitting the wall.
    Stages 6, 8 and 9 are still over the horizon.​ [​Q: Uh, how are we not in the first half of Stage 6?]
    ​ If I’m right, we still have some time to prepare, but it’s running out. Dalio holds out hope this could end in one of his “Beautiful Deleveraging” scenarios.​ https://www.mauldineconomics.com/frontlinethoughts/the-final-crisis-this-is-our-future

    After Reported “Shouting Match”, Zelensky & Trump Agree Battlelines Should Be Frozen Before Final Peace Can Be Brokered​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/zelensky-trump-agree-battlelines-should-be-frozen-final-peace-can-be-brokered

    If a substantive agreement between Russia and the US is signed… ‘Orban’s triumph, Europe’s humiliation’: EU shocked by Putin-Trump meeting​ https://en.topcor.ru/65171-triumf-orbana-unizhenie-evropy-es-shokirovan-vstrechej-putin-tramp-the-telegraph.html

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow, says these shows say what Putin can’t politely say: Does the Vladimir Solovyov talk show speak for President Putin?
    Last night’s news in The Financial Times, backed up by coverage in this morning’s BBC provides irrefutable evidence that Mr. Solovyov’s program is backed by the Putin government not only as a safety valve for Opposition criticism but at times as an unofficial channel for setting out the strident nationalist positions that the President himself will not say publicly.
    ​ “Trump urged Zelensky to accept Putin’s terms or ‘be destroyed.’ This article in the FT explains in detail how in their closed-door meeting in the White House President Trump raged at Zelensky, insisting that his country’s survival depends on submitting to Vladimir Putin’s terms for peace, beginning with the surrender of all of the Donbas, including the territory not yet overrun by Russian troops.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2025/10/20/does-the-vladimir-solovyov-talk-show-speak-for-president-putin/

    #197670
    John Day
    Participant

    J​ohn Helmer, TPP STANDS FOR TRUMP-PUTIN PEACE AND THE PROOF OF THE PUDDING –ANTICIPATING THE MENU AT THE BUDAPEST SUMMIT
    ​ Sources in Moscow in a position to know believe that President Vladimir Putin convinced President Donald Trump on the telephone last week of three things. The first is that they can strike terms for a settlement of the Ukraine war by the time they meet in Budapest. The second is that Budapest can be a peace agreement for which Putin will nominate Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize. The third is that if Trump won’t agree on terms and escalates with more weapons, more Americans on the ground, and more sanctions, he will lose the war, lose the lives of the Americans, and be forced into his very own Saigon 1975 and Kabul 2021 – that’s to say, MALA, Make America Lose Again.
    ​ “It’s going to happen now,” the Russian sources say. When Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov meets Secretary of State Marco Rubio in a few days’ time, the sources expect “there will be a deal from the Russian side.”
    ​ The catch, they also say, is that Putin can make his deal concessions so attractive that Trump is bound to agree, but at least three of his decision-makers may not. The Russian sources believe they are Vice President JD Vance, Central Intelligence Agency Director John Ratcliffe, and White House advisor Stephen Miller.​ https://johnhelmer.net/tpp-stands-for-trump-putin-peace-and-the-proof-of-the-pudding-anticipating-the-menu-at-the-budapest-summit/#more-92601

    ​ Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant repairs begin in Ukraine as ceasefire zones set
    The plant’s last external lines were severed in September in attacks that Russia and Ukraine blame on each other.​ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/18/zaporizhzhia-nuclear-plant-repairs-begin-in-ukraine-as-ceasefire-zones-set?traffic_source=rss

    Trump says he’ll think about Kremlin’s Russia-Alaska tunnel pitch​ https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/17/musk-trump-putin-tunnel-russia-alaska.html

    ​ Ian Welsh, China Seizes The Master’s Weapon As It Makes Itself The New Hegemon
    ​ US sanctions on Iraq in the 90s under Billy Clinton killed at least hundreds of thousands of people. I once talked to an Iraqi oncological pediatrician from the 90s and her incandescent rage over all the children who died of cancer she couldn’t save because of American sanctions was so hot it blotted out the sun.
    ​ Once such sanctions had been rare (though there are cases back in the 50s.) The most notable is the multi-generation trade blockade of Cuba.
    But from Clinton on use of these sanctions became routine, “Treasury’s Wars.” Millions died, many more were impoverished.
    ​ So, China has learned from the evil master. And it has decided that if there is such a weapon, it will have it and use it and no one else can have it.
    Everyone who rages against this is correct. No country should have this power. Not America. Not China. No one.​ https://www.ianwelsh.net/china-seizes-the-masters-weapon-as-it-makes-itself-the-new-hegemon/

    I​n a modest beginning: U.S. MISSILE FACTORIES GOING INTO OVERDRIVE
    U.S. defense officials aren’t guessing… they’re gearing up. Production lines are doubling output on Tomahawks, SM-6s, and other precision weapons as Pentagon planners brace for a missile-heavy conflict in the Pacific. China’s expanding arsenal now includes hypersonics that can reach the U.S. mainland, with newer models pushing further and faster than ever. Washington’s worry? In a real fight, America runs out of missiles first.​ https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1979230940237853030

    #197671
    John Day
    Participant

    They would have to be bad; then worse after that… The First 48 Hours of a War With China ‘Could Be Ugly’ https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/the-first-48-hours-of-a-war-with-china-could-be-ugly/

    ​ Caitlin Johnstone​, Israel Flipped Out And Killed 45 Palestinians After Running Over Their Own Bomb
    ​ In today’s news, Israel’s stupid fucking genocidal rapists ran over an unexploded ordnance from their own evil carpet bombing campaign, blamed Hamas for the explosion, started bombing the fuck out of Gaza again, killed scores of civilians, said they were once again cutting off aid to the enclave, and then quietly backed down on urging from Washington.
    ​ Rather than report that Israel violated the ceasefire agreement as blatantly as any agreement could possibly be violated, the western press have been referring to this as a “test” of the ceasefire.​ https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/israel-flipped-out-and-killed-45

    ​ Israel Launches Wave of Heavy Airstrikes Across Gaza, Killing at Least 45​ – Reports contradict Israel’s claim that its troops came under attack in Rafah on Sunday​ https://news.antiwar.com/2025/10/19/israel-launches-wave-of-heavy-airstrikes-across-gaza-killing-at-least-21/

    ​ Soon after the explosion in Rafah, I’m told by a source familiar, the White House and Pentagon knew that the incident was caused by an Israeli settler bulldozer running over unexploded ordnance — contradicting Netanyahu’s claim that Hamas had popped up from tunnels. After Netanyahu said he was blocking all aid from entering Gaza in response, and unleashed a bombing campaign, the administration conveyed to Israel that they know what happened. Netanyahu then announced he would re-open the crossings in a few hours.​ https://x.com/ryangrim/status/1979973964719124613

    ​ Israel reaffirms commitment to ceasefire after launching wave of strikes on Gaza
    Hamas allegedly carried out attacks with an RPG and sniper fire against Israeli troops​ https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/israel-gaza-ceasefire-attack-hamas-latest-b2848013.html

    #197672
    John Day
    Participant

    Israeli forces kill Palestinian, detonate home, and detain 10 in West Bank raids​ https://en.yenisafak.com/turkiye/israeli-forces-kill-palestinian-detonate-home-and-detain-10-in-west-bank-raids-3709523

    Israeli forces fire on Palestinian farmers during olive harvest​ https://en.yenisafak.com/world/israeli-forces-fire-on-palestinian-farmers-during-olive-harvest-3709500

    ​Mostly “remote learning” ;-( 300,000 Gaza students resume studies amid ongoing aid blockade https://en.yenisafak.com/world/300000-gaza-students-resume-studies-amid-ongoing-aid-blockade-3709501

    ​ Palestinian National Council chief calls for deployment of international forces to protect Gazans
    Rawhi Fattouh calls Israel’s killing of 11 Palestinians in Gaza a ‘crime’ and demands global action to halt ongoing violations
    ​ Fattouh also called on the world powers and the US administration to “ensure the ceasefire holds and provide Palestinians with food, shelter, and medical care in line with the principles of justice and human rights.”
    ​ He said Israel’s justification for targeting the vehicle, claiming it neared the so-called “yellow line,” constitutes “a grave violation of international humanitarian law” and further evidence of Israel’s “disregard for human values and international conventions that prohibit attacks on civilians.”
    ​ The “yellow line” is an unofficial demarcation separating areas where Israeli forces are stationed from those where Palestinians are allowed to move within the Gaza Strip.​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/palestinian-national-council-chief-calls-for-deployment-of-international-forces-to-protect-gazans/3720640

    Egypt expected to lead proposed post-war Gaza stabilization force: Diplomats​ https://www.arabnews.com/node/2619358/middle-east

    #197673
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Adding, want another one? Base assumption, “We are invading and conquering Venezuela with 2,000 men for the oil.” But ALSO “We can’t possibly take Venezuela with 2,000 men so Trump is a moron.”

    First: We are not taking Venezuela, that is impossible with 250,000 men, so cross that right off. Once we took it I have no idea what we’d do with it after, so that’s a non-starter. There is not a single person, Private, Captain, Midshipman, or General, including Hegseth, who won’t tell you so, so cross that off.

    We’re also not there for the oil, believe it or not. We WERE, under Maduro, because we desperately needed their heavy to mix with our too light fracking product. At least two refineries were set up that way and it costs billions to refit them. But they DID refit them. Long since. And so to “Be there for the oil” we would have to pay billions and disrupt our refineries AGAIN. When we’re doing quite nicely with Russian Urals heavy, thank you.

    Not saying it’s impossible but I don’t see the driver and only proves your map is a decade out of date, so go put some tinfoil on your antenna, buddy.

    This is why Trump and the admin have given up talking to anybody. It will only alert everyone to what they’re doing and their real strategy, and what’s the point? NYT, WSJ, BBC will only use that to STOP them.

    But, how about this for a premise: Trump is NOT invading Venezuela, since that’s impossible and every general he talks to will tell him so, AND we are not there for the oil, because it will be an an expensive nuisance that can easily be cut off again, THEN — and only then now — can you ENGAGE YOUR BRAIN and ask, “okay, what’s happening there, then?”

    I’ll tell you I don’t know, I can only guess, but at least I’ve gotten one step further by not being blind to the question itself.

    #197674
    John Day
    Participant

    Türkiye ready to serve as de facto guarantor if 2-state solution implemented: Foreign minister
    ‘This is a major commitment, one not every state can undertake,’ Hakan Fidan says
    ​ Fidan stressed that Türkiye’s defense and intelligence coordination demonstrates its willingness to accept greater responsibility if peace is achieved.
    “If a two-state solution based on the 1967 borders is implemented, and Palestinians gain a sovereign and equal state, we are ready to act as a guarantor,” Fidan said. “This is a major commitment, one not every state can undertake.”​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkiye/turkiye-ready-to-serve-as-de-facto-guarantor-if-2-state-solution-implemented-foreign-minister/3720706

    ​ Fascinating Background – The CIA Was Misleading Witkoff and Kushner on Key Intelligence About Hamas During Critical Phase of Peace Negotiations
    ​ A fascinating hour-long interview with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner as they outline the backstory to the Israel-Hamas peace agreement in Gaza.
    During a segment (prompted below) Witkoff and Kushner are outlining the step-by-step process as they engaged the leaders of Qatar, Turkey and Egypt.
    ​ Witkoff reveals how the CIA was briefing them both, multiple times a day, and the briefing itself was exactly the opposite of what Emir of Qatar and Presidents of Turkey and Egypt were telling them.​ https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2025/10/19/fascinating-background-the-cia-was-misleading-witkoff-and-kushner-on-key-intelligence-about-hamas-during-critical-phase-of-peace-negotiations/

    ​Illegal Israeli deals to steal Palestinian gas: Whitewashing Gas Exploration in Post-Genocide Gaza https://scheerpost.com/2025/10/18/whitewashing-gas-exploration-in-post-genocide-gaza/

    Who would shoot missiles into a gas tanker taking gas to Yemen? New Images Show LPG Tanker Severely Damaged After Explosion Off Yemen
    Some are reporting that an “American MQ-4C ‘Triton’ maritime surveillance drone” was patrolling the airspace “prior to the incident.”​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/lpg-tanker-reportedly-hit-unknown-projectile-yemen

    ​ Celia Farber, Chaos In Gaza After Internal Battles Between Hamas And Armed “Clans,” Lead To Reignited War. USA Says The War Is OVER; Ben Gvir Calls On Netanyahu To “Renew Full Scale Fighting,” At “Full Strength.”
    ​ Witkoff, Vance and Kushner Headed For Israel. All of This Was Predictable And Predicted. Nothing Was in Place In Gaza To Support Stability During Early Truce Days​ https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/chaos-in-gaza-after-internal-battles

    #197675
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Armed, Israeli-funded “civilian” gang members? “Direct & Grave Violation” – Ceasefire On Thin Ice As Hamas Kills Gazan Civilians, Israel Retaliates To ‘Yellow Line’ Threat​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/where-are-protesters-us-warns-hamas-planning-ceasefire-violating-attack-palestinian

    ​He can keep making it be “not over”: Netanyahu says Gaza war not over until Hamas disarms https://www.arabnews.com/node/2619404/middle-east

    ​ Israel kills 11 Palestinian family members in Gaza’s deadliest truce breach
    Strike on civilian vehicle by Israeli military in Gaza City marks deadliest violation of eight-day ceasefire with Hamas.​ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/10/18/israel-kills-11-palestinian-family-members-in-gazas-deadliest-truce-breach

    ​ Have the Nuremberg Trials Been Forgotten?
    Former chief of Israeli military intelligence, Aharon Haliva, called for the reprisal killing of 50 Palestinians for every one Israeli.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/have-the-nuremberg-trials-been-forgotten

    A guy operating an earth mover to do repairs: 1 killed in Israeli airstrike on vehicle in southern Lebanon despite ceasefire​ – Drone strike hit excavator in Tyre district of southern Lebanon, says local media​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/1-killed-in-israeli-airstrike-on-vehicle-in-southern-lebanon-despite-ceasefire/3720556

    #197676
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ UN rapporteur says deadly Israel strikes on vehicles in Lebanon could be war crimes
    A UN rapporteur says Israel’s deadly strikes on civilian vehicles in Lebanon since last year’s ceasefire could amount to war crimes.​ https://www.newarab.com/news/israels-deadly-lebanon-strikes-could-be-war-crimes-un

    ​ Epstein survivor says she was beaten, raped by ‘well-known PM’, referring to Israel’s Ehud Barak
    ​ “After the attack, I couldn’t stay a fool. Having been treated so brutally and then seeing Epstein’s callous reaction to how terrorized I felt, I had to accept that Epstein meted out praise merely as a manipulation to keep me subservient,” she wrote. “Epstein cared only about Epstein.”
    ​ Giuffre referred to the man as the ‘Prime Minister,’ fearing retribution if she revealed his identity, although she had previously pointed to former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak in court filings as one of the many elites who had raped her, a claim he has repeatedly denied.
    ​ According to Giuffre, she first encountered the ‘Prime Minister’ on Epstein’s private island when she was 18 years old in 2002, where he subjected her to violent and terrifying acts.
    ​ She described how he repeatedly choked her to the point of losing consciousness, inflicting extreme fear and violence upon her, which she detailed in her memoir.
    ​ The politician “raped me more savagely than anyone had before,” Giuffre said, adding that she immediately went to Epstein to beg him not to send her back to the prime minister.
    ​ But Epstein showed indifference, stating, “You’ll get that sometimes,” when confronted with the politician’s brutality.​ https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2025/10/19/757203/Israel-Virginia-Roberts-Giuffre-Jeffrey-Epstein-victim-beaten-rape-Israel-prime-minister-Ehud-Barak-

    Trump Accused of Unlawful Assaults at the Caribbean: 108 U.S. Organizations Demand Accountability​ https://www.telesurenglish.net/trump-accused-of-unlawful-assaults-at-the-caribbean-108-u-s-organizations-demand-accountability/

    ​Coming in hot for a mock attack: U.S. B-52 and F-35Bs Conduct Joint Strike Demo Near Venezuela to Signal Defense Commitment. https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/aerospace-news/2025/u-s-b-52-and-f-35bs-conduct-joint-strike-demo-near-venezuela-to-signal-defense-commitment#google_vignette

    Trump deploys secretive ‘Night Stalkers’ regiment as Venezuela mobilizes MILLIONS of troops raising fears of all-out war​ https://endtimeheadlines.org/2025/10/trump-deploys-secretive-night-stalkers-regiment-as-venezuela-mobilizes-millions-of-troops-raising-fears-of-all-out-war/

    #197677
    John Day
    Participant

    Democrats block bill to pay US troops during gov’t shutdown​ https://americanmilitarynews.com/2025/10/video-democrats-block-bill-to-pay-us-troops-during-govt-shutdown/

    ​They mention Thanksgiving in passing: When could the shutdown end? 5 key dates to watch​ https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5561093-shutdown-end-dates-to-watch/

    Amazon Web Services, AWS Identifies Root Cause Of Widespread Internet Outage Affecting US-East Services​ https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/internet-outage-sparked-operational-issues-amazon-aws-data-centers-northern-virginia

    ​ C​athering Austin Fitts advocates physical gold in-hand, vegetablegardens and safer locations, like semi-rural. Escaping The ‘Digital Concentration Camp’; Gold Fights The ‘Financial Control Grid’​ https://www.zerohedge.com/precious-metals/escaping-digital-concentration-camp-gold-fights-financial-control-grid

    ​ Starving people form opposing teams: Over 50,000 Christians killed in Nigeria by Islamist extremists
    According to the report “Martyred Christians in Nigeria” issued by Intersociety, over the past 14 years at least 52,250 Nigerian Christians have been brutally murdered at the hands of Islamist militants.​ https://www.vaticannews.va/en/church/news/2023-04/over-50000-christians-killed-in-nigeria-by-islamist-extremists.html

    #197678
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Peter McCullough MD on something safer and better than statins, Anti-Atherosclerotic Properties of Nattokinase
    Widely used product for Spike detoxification has added benefits fighting heart and vascular disease​ http://thefocalpoints.com/p/anti-atherosclerotic-properties-of

    ​ Something I posted in April 2023, focuses on the third study he mentions:
    Effective management of atherosclerosis progress and hyperlipidemia with nattokinase: A clinical study with 1,062 participants
    ​ ​Nattokinase (NK), known as a potent fibrinolytic and antithrombotic agent, has been shown to have antiatherosclerotic and lipid-lowering effects. However, data on human clinical studies are limited. In this clinical study involving 1,062 participants, our objective was to examine the efficacy of NK in atherosclerosis and hyperlipidemia and safety at the dose of 10,800 FU/day after 12 months of oral administration. Various factors, including lower doses that influence NK pharmacological actions, were also investigated.
    ​ ​We found that NK at a dose of 10,800 FU/day effectively managed the progression of atherosclerosis and hyperlipidemia with a significant improvement in the lipid profile. A significant reduction in the thickness of the carotid artery intima-media and the size of the carotid plaque was observed. The improvement rates ranged from 66.5 to 95.4%. NK was found to be ineffective in lowering lipids and suppressing atherosclerosis progression at a dose of 3,600 FU/day. The lipid-lowering effect of NK was more prominent in subjects who smoked, drank alcohol, and subjects with higher BMI. Regular exercise further improved the effects of NK. Co-administration of vitamin K2 and aspirin with NK produced a synergetic effect. No noticeable adverse effects associated with the use of NK were recorded.
    ​ ​In conclusion, our data demonstrate that atherosclerosis progression and hyperlipidemia can be effectively managed with NK at a dose of 10,800 FU/day. The lower dose of 3,600 FU per day is ineffective. The dose of 10,800 FU/day is safe and well tolerated. ​ ​Some lifestyle factors and the coadministration of vitamin K2 and aspirin lead to improved outcomes in the use of NK. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2022.964977/full

    Shingles Vaccine Theoretical Efficacy Down to 56% – Enthusiasm Dropping as More Shingles Pop Up in Vaccinated https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/shingles-vaccine-theoretical-efficacy

    This specific human gene mutation reported is linked to cancer. Jessica Rose Ph.D. Gene mutations reported to VAERS in COVID-19 shot context
    More evidence of harms from the DNA-containing N1-modified mRNA COVID shots​ https://jessicar.substack.com/p/epigenetic-gene-mutations-reported

    ​ The Texas Medical board hassled me for ivermectin treatment, too: Texas Doctor Will Appeal Medical Board’s Reprimand Over Attempt to Provide Ivermectin to COVID Patient
    ​ Dr. Mary Talley Bowden, an ear, nose and throat specialist, said the Texas Medical Board’s reprimand doesn’t take away her license, so she’s “basically fighting on principle.” She also plans to file two lawsuits alleging the board violated her rights to free speech and due process, and she also plans to work with lawmakers to pass legislation that would prevent hospitals from denying patients’ requests to consult with outside physicians.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/texas-doctor-will-appeal-medical-boards-reprimand-provide-ivermectin-covid-patient/

    #197679
    John Day
    Participant

    Canadian Government Has Now Euthanized 90,000 Citizens with ‘Assisted Suicide’ Program​ https://slaynews.com/news/canadian-government-euthanized-90000-citizens-assisted-suicide-program/

    #197680
    zerosum
    Participant

    It’s VERY SIMPLE.

    The gov. spends too much money.
    The tariffs bring in money.
    The gov. shutdown stops the spending.

    Execution is difficult.

    ———–

    #197681
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    Big Balls attackers

    I agree that one goal of the Juvenile criminal court should be rehabilitation, rather than punishment. However, the first priority should be protecting the public. Releasing juvenile offenders over and over does not accomplish either goal.

    #197682
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Different thinking.

    #197683
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    My mother was considering getting the shingles vaccine after my parents’ friend had a shingles outbreak a few weeks ago. I urged her to reconsider — and in that discussion we realized that she and my dad had spent time with their friend during his outbreak, and that this exposure — potentially — could work as the requisite immunity booster, although being around someone with chicken pox would work better. (Shingles is much less likely to spread the varicella virus than is chicken pox.). The other route to dealing with shingles is to be somewhat vigilant, and to notice any outbreak very early and get on antivirals to send it back into dormancy. My sister’s youngest three children still have yet to contract chicken pox — with kids getting vaccinated it simply isn’t circulating like it did when I was young. (I brought it home to my sibs when I was in kindergarten.) Ironically, vaccines to prevent chicken pox in kids are leading to shingles outbreaks in adults, because adults are getting naturally boosted by caring for kids with chicken pox. It’s a great money making scheme for the vaccine pushing pharmaceutical companies — they get to sell shingles vaccines to the adults and chicken pox vaccines to the kids.

    #197684
    WES
    Participant

    Da Boyz:

    Da Boyz have nicely carpet bombed the paper gold and silver markets, this morning.

    Gold down over $250 and silver down over $4.

    Very nice job!
    While you made big paper money profits, you didn’t create a single ounce of real gold nor silver!

    P.S. No real gold or silver was harmed by Da Boyz’s actions

    #197685
    WES
    Participant

    Record Paper Gold Price Smash:

    Today’s paper gold price smash of over $250 was Da Boyz’s biggest US Dollar drop ever!

    That said, it is also a sad reflection on the remaining value of the US Dollar, too.

    #197686
    zerosum
    Participant

    DISASTER ….. 5 PATRIOT Launchers, 1 IRIS-T And SU-24 Destroyed By Iskanders
    Military Summary 2024.08.17


    #197687
    jb-hb
    Participant

    Like Tom Lord-Alge ruining music with compression: “…but then I can fix it with even more compression” (a real quote)

    You can always fix inflation from printing, by printing even more and using the printed dollars to bid down the things that inflation drives up.

    #197689
    John Day
    Participant

    @Phoenixvoice: Make sure your mom keeps her vitamin-D level up so her immune system has enough to work properly. (I like to pronounce it “chingos”, with a wry smile.)

    And also: “Big Balls” has earned his name yet again. What a catch for some lucky young lady.
    He protects women and takes the blows himself; an “old school” kinda’ guy.
    😉

    #197690
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    “JD Vance credits service in Marine Corps for teaching him how to Live Like An Adult”

    Two things:

    1. No he didn’t…. liar. Hell even DeeBS agrees with me and never credit The Navy for such HorseShit NonSense Or as D and Day like to conjugate verbs, ‘HorseSense’

    2. No applicant features such horseshit as an attribute or qualification for anything.

    “…nicest sense of personal honor…” my ass

    #197691
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Brilliant inner workings of the system.
    Commercial interruptions, on my machine at least, rather underline the message of the content.

    #197692
    Topcat
    Participant

    Bret Weinstein and his wife took off several weeks from the “Internet” to go hiking in a disconnected location.

    Having returned he found his ‘internet life’ to be extra crazy. Crazier than he remembered it upon return to it from even a short vacation.

    Here is his short comment on it; Plato’s Cave Wall mind mended with a Hall of Mirrors

    #197693
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Someone was looking for the post-vax/Covid repair quick links.

    Does anyone have them?

    #197694
    those darned kids
    Participant
    #197695
    those darned kids
    Participant

    topcat: it’s not just the internet. i walk a lot. like a lot. and what i see is that people’s driving is getting far more manic.

    and, this madness is accelerating.

    really accelerating.

    #197696
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    Just got off the phone with a client. He has been a client for nearly 20 years. He is in his sixties. “Ever since covid…” his health has deteriorated precipitously…multiple strokes. He says his life “sucks.” For the first decade that he was a client, his mother was still living, and she lived with him. She was quite vibrant until she passed, her health seemed pretty good. Not so for his health the past several years.

    I become so angry sometimes at this insane “health system” that we have. It constantly prescribes treatments and medicine that cause harm — a few weeks ago my father had a corrective surgery, it went well, etc., but he was having the runs afterwards, and feeling ill from that. I encouraged my mom to check the meds that he had been prescribed, post-operative. Among other things, he had been prescribed a proton-pump inhibitor. I do not know exactly why a PPI would be the “standard of care” after his particular surgery, but he was prescribed it, even though he has never had any propensity for acid reflux — and it turns out that the PPI was the cause of the problem. (Possibly because it was heart surgery? The doctor wanted to be sure that any “heart pain” was not actually “heartburn,” i.e. acid reflux?) He stopped the PPI, his bowels returned to normal, and soon felt much better.

    And then this insane covid vax…which cannot be so easily undone as simply stopping a medicine which the body clears out in a few hours or days. Caveat emptor — applied to a different area than the Romans were thinking — as a patient, not just a “buyer” — when the money part is often completely or partially obfuscated. I can see why the Hippocratic Oath came to be in the first place. It is needed today just as much (or more so) than ever before. Doctors need to treat cautiously and with wonder the ability of the human body, rather than thinking themselves akin to God.

    On another note: I lack compassion for food stamp recipients who are threatening commission of crime if their food stamps are cut off. The likely end-scenario for that behavior is to destroy the food stamp program. “Don’t bite the hand that feeds you.” Idiots. During covid, the food stamp allotments were very generous. I didn’t spend all that my household was allotted. I have a 2 month cushion. The way to not be super-stressed by changes in the outside world is to build up self-sufficiency and resilience, not to lash out when others’ behavior is not as we would wish it to be.

    #197697
    those darned kids
    Participant

    and don’t feed the hand that bites you, either.

    #197698
    WES
    Participant

    An interesting comment I saw by commentor Ision on CK on ZH’s Oxford article:

    Charlie Kirk was murdered by his Israeli security team members, probably accidentally, in an attempt just to wound him with a remote activated squib, which unintentionally moved, so its shaped charge severed his main arteries when they detonated it, and his entire investigation, at all levels, has been deliberately stopped, with no official information being released, and all media coverage silenced…by the government.

    Kirk was NOT shot with a 30-06 rifle. No bullet has been recovered, or produced. No exit wound has been found. No photos of the arrested suspect with any rifle at any time. No confession has ever been made by the arrested suspect at any time, who constantly denies any involvement to this day. No identification of any of those involved in the shooting, who were on Kirk’s detail, or accounting for the illegal tampering of the crime scene by them…and illegally moving Kirk’s corpse from scene, along with illegally sanitizing the scene, after the fact. No photo of the recovered rifle, just media example photos of the supposed rifle type were published. No DNA testing was started upon any recovered evidence PRIOR to the arrest of the current suspect, when the government then had 150 pound of it locked in a cell, which they could then “find” anyplace they wished to “find” it. The DNA test on the rifle was performed by the ATF, not the FBI, and they were not given the rifle until mid afternoon…of the previous day….upon which Patel announced the discovery of the current suspect’s DNA on that rifle…when there had not been sufficient time to perform ANY DNA test upon that rifle, by the ATF.

    Israel caused the death of Kirk…and the very same security team, with KNOWN Israeli operatives upon it…were also the ones TRUMP was using…when HE was shot during his campaign. But, in Trump’s shooting…he was only wounded…but THAT was enough to get him back under Israel’s control…and Trump has been allowed to live. They probably wanted to teach Kirk a serious lesson…get him back on the course Israel wanted…just like they have done with many other politicians and powerful people for years…and just screwed this one up. They weren’t really properly prepared for Kirk to die…and Kirk’s team had to improvise on the go…covering Israel’s involvement…and spitting out an absurd cover story…while playing “The Confusion Game”…which is an old Intelligence Agency tactic….as they covered things up.

    WHO IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SILENCING OF THE CHARLIE KIRK ASSASSINATION? WHICH OF OUR GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS IS ACTIVELY SUPPRESSING IT? WHY IS PATEL THIS INCOMPETENT?

    #197703
    zerosum
    Participant

    Killzone Russians Calling For More Soldiers Retreat From Pokrovsk Started? MS For 2025.10.22

    #197704
    aspnaz
    Participant

    Either RIM has:
    a) Fallen ill and is unable to operate the site.
    b) Taken Jew money to close down the site.
    c) Stopped taking Jew money to support the Israeli starvation in Gaza.
    d) Pissed off to Gaza to help the Jews starve more Gazans.
    e) Sucking off Trump and is “busy right now”.
    f) Ran out of food and was eaten by his real world clients.

    Looks like we will be able to post until the service provider bills are not paid and the site closes. All good things come to an end, but this was not really a news site, it was more about the comments; I haven’t read the news section for at least six months, but I did enjoy the art and the Calvin cartoon. Oh well, I can find those elsewhere. As for my fellow commenters, if this is the end of TAE then keep it up at some other site, don’t let the bastards get away with it. In case this is the end, adios amigos (that’s American for goodbye friends).

    #197705
    zerosum
    Participant

    STOP. THINK.
    Ukraine apparently attacked another refinery in Hungary.
    Ukrainian media is celebrating.
    Why doesn’t Hungary invoke NATO Article 5 against Ukraine?

    #197706
    those darned kids
    Participant

    aspnaz: have a little empathy, here. the most logical answer is our host is ill. all the other things you wrote are mean. people make mistakes, and often they are misguided.

    nonetheless, our host has never expressed any desire to be violent, so ¿why do you impinge such thoughts upon him?

    grace is one of the keys to goodness.

    #197707
    John Day
    Participant

    No reply from R.I.M. and no reply about his status yet from our mutual friend in Athens…

    Input from Phoenixvoice appreciated today.

    #197708
    WES
    Participant

    RIM:

    The main reason I believe RIM is not currently enjoying good health, and possibly hasn’t (chronic) for some time now, is the simple fact that he recently moved back to his home country, from Athens, so he could access better health care.

    That RIM was in Athens before, may have been to live in a warmer climate to help cope and alleviate a chronic health issue.

    If so, I am hoping RIM can return to better health soon, so he can return to a warmer and more enjoyable climate.

    #197709
    aspnaz
    Participant

    those darned kids said

    aspnaz: have a little empathy, here. the most logical answer is our host is ill. all the other things you wrote are mean. people make mistakes, and often they are misguided.

    Like RIM’s empathy for the starving Gazans?

    grace is one of the keys to goodness.

    Your concept of goodness does not match my concept of goodness. Does RIM aspire to goodness in his support of the starvation of Gaza? If so then he will not mind me pointing out that he is being very “good”, his concept of “good”. Grace has nothing to do with goodness, it is superficial and meaningless.

    #197710
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @aspnaz doesn’t give a flying fuck about the people of Gaza or anyone else. The only person aspnaz cares about is aspnaz. That’s why he’s able to take Chinese money to use RIM’s website to attack the completely innocent RIM with such viciously false and totally fabricated lies. He just makes shit up, 100% invented from the putrescent muck that he calls his mind.

    Aspnaz is just another fool, albeit a very annoying one, who has taken the bait that since virtually all of the bad guys either “Identity” as Jewish, are allied supporters of people who identify as Jewish, or happily work for people who fall into those two basic categories that therefore all of the bad guys are Jewish and all of Jewish are bad guys.

    He doesn’t give a damn (or know a damn) about the Jews either. He’s just shoveling shit like he’s being paid to. When all of the “Jews” are finally genocided out of existence by mean spirited morons like Aspnaz psychotic criminals will just rebrand and continue under another name, maybe as Chinese Commies!

    His withered soul has made his brain small, his eyes weak and his bank account empty, and that’s why he’s moonlighting as a ChiCom troll.

    #197711
    aspnaz
    Participant

    @DBS Do you masturbate as you write your comments to me?

    #197712
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    @aspnaz

    Christ almighty man!
    DBS needs an exorcist after his latest diatribe on you in defense of RIMs established pose on China and clapper bells.

    DeeBS extravagantly intricate apologetics for Judaism are only separated by two lines, one paragraph and a leap of inverted logic from the website’s sophomoric China=Bad theme.
    So maybe you just caught him in a rare fowl mood.

    #197713
    Dr. D
    Participant

    And as almost certainly our host is ill, and almost by definition, seriously so, this is your go-to reaction, naturally and automatically.

    Then when such appalling, selfish, hateful, behavior is pointed out to you, both double down, not caring a whit about anything but themselves.

    …But really, being SO lost in possession that they don’t even think they should PRETEND, either to be human, or to care. I mean, even psychopaths PRETEND. You’ve put yourself lower than that even.

    Can’t say I’m surprised, but I am disappointed. For years people have proposed this to you, demonstrating the possibility of change, that you’re exposed and everyone sees you, and you’ve resisted as we — as humans — try to say “Are they really all that bad tho?” Well here we go: something real and serious has happened, and now we know.

    Would that this would matter, and we can all still be redeemed, but you reach a point where you can’t hear anything but your own demons, and at that point “Some men you just can’t reach.”

    Hope you’re well Raul. The site will clock out and we’ll have to come up with something, but without Foss or a successor, that was always going to happen. Anyone remember ex CIA guy Chapman from waaaaaaay back? He’d also have loved to see everything that’s happened since then, all in the news.

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