Jan 232026
 
 January 23, 2026  Posted by at 2:53 pm Finance Tagged with: , , , ,  Add comments


Jasper Johns Map 1961 (yes, it’s the US)

Post brain fart, we’ll slowly be coming back, having used the forced pause to make some long intended changes. Let’s see where this leads us. I want to do some more writing than in the past few years, though I don’t know if I even still know how to do it. But losing RT again seems a good moment to do it (BTW, if anyone has a URL for RT that works in Holland, you’d make me very happy)

 

 

Late last month, I noticed something that hasn’t seemed to make the news very much. oddly enough. That is, Matt Margolis reported, based on a report by Maria Bartiromo at Fox Business who in turn quoted a CNBC article , citing the Commerce Department. According to them, annualized Q3 US GDP went places that for a long time nobody said it could. It rose 4.3%. Not 1, not 2, not even 3, but 4.3%. That is a serious number. People were saying 5% came to mind. Yesterday,a month later, President Trump mentioned 5.4% (not sure for what period). And despite all the commentary on his Davos “performance”, nobody even mentioned, let alone tried to refute, the number.

New GDP Numbers Just Dropped, and Democrats Should Be Freaking Out (Matt Margolis)

Democrats just watched economic reality obliterate their favorite doomsday talking point. The U.S. economy grew at an amazing 4.3% annualized rate in the third quarter of 2025, blowing past expectations and handing the Trump administration a massive win heading into 2026. “The U.S. economy grew at a much greater-than-expected pace in the third quarter, boosted by strong consumer spending, a delayed report released Tuesday showed,” CNBC reported Tuesday morning. “U.S. gross domestic product, a sum of all goods and services produced in the sprawling U.S. economy, expanded by 4.3% in the July-September period, the Commerce Department said in its initial reading of third-quarter growth. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect a gain of 3.2%.”

Maria Bartiromo underscored just how significant the number was on Fox Business. “We’re, we are looking right now at the GDP number at 4.3%,” she said. “This is the actual number, versus an estimate of 3.3%.” She then turned to Mark Tepper, CEO of Strategic Wealth Partners, for his take. Tepper framed the report as part of a broader economic trend that has consistently surprised to the upside. “So, last week, we talked about inflation coming in lower than expected,” he said. “Now, economic growth is one full percentage point faster than expected. It was supposed to come in at 3.3, came in at 4.3. This is a direct result of everything President Trump has put in place.”

Cue Democrat panic. He went on to outline several drivers behind the surge, pointing to trade policy, technological gains, and resilient consumers. “Net exports are on the rise because of Trump’s tariff policy, which is leveling the trade playing field,” Tepper explained. “AI’s increasing productivity, businesses are investing in spending, and the consumer remains strong.” He added that even more fuel is on the way. “And just think, next, I think, well, next quarter, they’ll, they’ll end up getting an extra $150 billion in refund checks that they can then, uh, deploy and spend as well.” Tepper concluded, “So, great number.”

Bartiromo agreed and looked ahead to what could come next. “Great number, 4.3%, and I’ve got to say when I see a GDP of 4.3%, I have to believe 5% is not far away,” she said, referencing a forecast made on her program the week before. “And that, of course, is what Louis Navolari told us last week, Mark, that we’re gonna see a 5% GDP handle in the first half of the year.” Tepper said the prediction is holding up well. “He, uh, looks like Nostradamus right now,” he remarked. “I mean, uh, he almost predicted that on the head.” With current momentum, Tepper said the next milestone is within reach. “Um, obviously 5% is well within our reach, especially given the consumer tailwinds I just mentioned.”

Naturally, legacy media outlets are already scrambling to frame this as “unexpected,” despite the fact that Donald Trump has been saying all along that his policies were going to work. The left wants a recession. We’re getting record growth instead.

Things I’m interested in now:

• CNN’s Q3 2025 GDP numbers.

• Trump admin’s Q4 GDP numbers

 

 

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Home Forums 23-1-2026 US GDP

Viewing 40 posts - 41 through 80 (of 216 total)
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  • #229052
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229053
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229054
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229055
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229056
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229064
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Pay very close attention to what two of the richest and influential mean in our industrialized high-tech society are saying, because what they are explicitly saying is that they intend to sink the lion’s this civilization’s purchasable vital resources (water, electrical power, strategic metals, money, human workforce and computational machine intelligence). They acknowledge that they have talked about this at length already and have decided to take all of these things and use them to replace that human workforce with robots guided by Super machine intelligence, even though they have no clear picture or supportable expectation that their scheme has any hope of sucess. Elon admits that he has no idea of what the results will be even a mere 10 years down the road, much less anything longer range than that.

    He has no idea what the 10-year results will be, and yet they intend to just bet the whole farm and do it anyway.

    #229087
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229088
    Topcat
    Participant

    47 years of holding the line on the national budget while expanding westward and adding 16 new states.

    Indiana (Dec 11, 1816)
    Mississippi (Dec 10, 1817)
    Illinois (Dec 3, 1818)
    Alabama (Dec 14, 1819)
    Maine (Mar 15, 1820)
    Missouri (Aug 10, 1821)
    Arkansas (Jun 15, 1836)
    Michigan (Jan 26, 1837)
    Florida (Mar 3, 1845)
    Texas (Dec 29, 1845)
    Iowa (Dec 28, 1846)
    Wisconsin (May 29, 1848)
    California (Sep 9, 1850)
    Minnesota (May 11, 1858)
    Oregon (Feb 14, 1859)
    Kansas (Jan 29, 1861)

    Contrast that era against the current era for federal. budget deficits.

    25 years in a row since 2001

    #229092
    Topcat
    Participant

    Car Insurance last 5 years

    Cumulative Increase since 2020: Premiums have surged by more than 50% to 64% since 2020.

    Home insurance premiums in the U.S. have risen by nearly 70% over the last five years

    Recent Annual Increases
    Private health insurance premiums saw high growth rates in the latter half of this five-year period:

    2025: 6% increase for family plans.
    2024: 7% increase.
    2023: 7% increase.
    2022: 4% increase.
    2021: 4% increase

    Wages vs. Inflation (January 2021 – July 2025)

    While nominal wages (unadjusted for inflation) have seen high growth, the purchasing power of those wages, when measured against the CPI, has slightly decreased overall.

    Average hourly earnings (nominal): Rose 21.8%.

    Consumer Price Index (CPI): Rose 22.7%.

    Average real hourly earnings (adjusted for inflation January 2021 – July 2025): Declined 0.7%.

    Now we know the Empire of Lies can’t accurately report anything correctly…..like EVER

    So even the real purchasing power of the average America has gone down the last 5 years as the Federal deficit grew…

    Despite……..


    Cumulative Federal Deficit: Over this five-year period (2021–2025), the federal government ran a cumulative deficit of approximately $9.46 trillion.

    National Debt Growth: Total federal debt surpassed $37 trillion in August 2025.

    Debt held by the public grew by 21 percentage points as a share of GDP over the last six years, reaching 99.8% at the end of FY 2025

    #229093
    Topcat
    Participant

    The average price of ground beef in December 2025 was approximately $6.69 per pound, compared to around $4.60 per pound in December 2021.

    Where’s the Beef?

    #229094
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229095
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229097
    Topcat
    Participant

    Demonrats

    #229098
    Topcat
    Participant

    Congress

    The Land of Opportunity

    #229099
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229112
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229119
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Keeping track, back to Celtic and the US$ collapse. Yes, it continues down. This is Trump’s plan, and they were trying to stop it. (Trade+manufacturing). It looks impressive at say, $110 to $97, but if you zoom out we’re like at 60% midline of the long term range. 90 is the next line, a way down from here.

    For example, the pound was 5:1 in 1930, and fallen to 2.5 collapsing to 1 in 1980. THAT’S a drop.
    chart
    https://www.miketodd.net/encyc/dollar-verylong.gif

    Our DXY has moved for years/decades since 2000 (Euro) and doesn’t have effects on daily life.

    Again, you could or maybe should say Gold:Dollar means dollar is sudden devalue like FDR. Maybe. But gas is $3. Eggs are unchanged. Steak is going back to $4. A “Devalue” by definition should mean “All things.” And the “All things” does not include Bitcoin, which should be up front and early.

    Noting Hamburger is cherry-picking. Yes, prices did not drop sharply (deflation) but cows are regenerated on a multi-year line (Google “cow gestation, months”) whereas chickens are up in weeks. So they pick the price that literally can’t fall and not the one that already has. Nice. No good faith actors.

    “Horton: “Zionism Ultimately Is The Achilles Heel In America First”

    Mainstream. Yes, the plan to split Maga and get rid of Trump (because he’s globalist n’ stuff) is to go America First vs Israel. And it’s a good plan! It might work. …But I don’t think so bc it’s too late and too obvious and that gap is covered too well. Look at Tucker coming out to stop it almost before they started trying.

    Candice has hit this with every barrel in the arsenal, whatever other problems she may have. OBVIOUSLY a lot of Right people, including here, are very anti-Israel, anti-Jew and don’t need any encouragement. They don’t say, but Evangelical megachurches are a zero. No one goes to church and they’re a laughingstock generally, so it’s been astroturf since they knocked out the last organic (although probably not clean, nor Christian) guys in the 90s. Hey: THEY wanted this. Sold. You say all Christians are Tammy Fae? Fine, now that ship is sunk and you can’t drive it around unloading cannons on people. But the media pretends there are like any Christians here and around outnumbered by furries. Or that those who go are actually Christian in anything but name. That’s how you have a rise “Christian Nationalists”. By being less of both than 2002. Overton remains roped to a rocket sled, shooting across the salt flats to the Left.

    Same with Government: YOU made government ruthless, rapacious, incompetent, and untrusthworthy. You wanted that headline in the papers (Set the stage for collapse in RussianRev 2.0). Okay well now the People are not going to flee TO GOVERNMENT, which is the problem. They’re especially going to to back to the Constitution of “Leave us the f—k alone.” You sank your own ship.

    THey’ve flip flopped 5x on this now. YASSS government. Oh wait, Trump, yes maybe no government? Comey government but not Congressional? Wait, Biden YASSS government, wait …no government. Trump’s in? No government and no courts again! …Except for the courts we like, but not. But yes. And obey the government. Unless they’re bad and you don’t want to. We’ll burn the country down if you enforce the (fraud) law, but that’s because we believe in rule of law.

    All discredited, gibbering, baboon nonsense, as per Medicine, College, Harvard, Jeffrey Sachs…

    Varufakis: “The UN has failed everything it’s ever done, just as the League of Nations before it. We must never, never change it.”

    And you wonder why we’re ruled by oligarchs. These are the Schuuuper Schmartz “Resistance.” Yet whenever anything happens, we have to do exactly the same thing but more of it. If they misbehave “They’re trying” if anyone else does: THE HAMMER!

    This is after his nation was raped and chained, with him at the helm watching.

    Ok man. I’ll be over here if you actually want to try something new.

    #229125
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229133
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Just a follow up on my earlier insertion, What a shameless boot licking.
    Police and national guard may not all be on it to enforce an illegal order. But ICE goons will.

    Challenging times ahead.

    #229134
    Dr. D
    Participant

    ICE is arresting and jailing people for antisemitism now?

    Would you like to present some examples?

    If things were bad, they wouldn’t have to be made up. Making things up in generally proof nothing real is happening.

    Meanwhile, with 12,000 arrests in UK, no comment. Germany kills every opposition candidate night of the election. No comment. It’s only bad here. You’re right! Clearly the U.S. is way worse than, say, Australia. …Or China.

    So do you want to post the antisemitism arrests ICE has made, their names and dates?

    #229136
    Topcat
    Participant

    One of the few good things Trump is trying to do is deport illegal immigrants.

    Hardly enough, several hundred thousand so far VS 15-20 MILLION let in, but it’s a start.

    The ‘self-deported’ at 2-3 million is far, far more than ICE, but it’s a least worth it for that.

    At the current rate it will take a DECADE or more to bring the illegal numbers down.

    PLUS the H-1B1 program that allows employers to temporarily employ foreign workers is a CORRUPT to the core Pay 4 Play© gift to Trump’s Oligarch Tech Pals© (TOTP)

    Ah…mericans have never had a modern ADULT conversation about immigration

    Like who benefits from importing workers and paying them below minimum living wages.

    Who gains from cheap imported labor?

    Yuppie Soccer Moms getting cheap Nannies and maids?

    High Tech monopolists with the H-1B1 scam?

    Can’t train enough Ah..mericans to do the work?

    Have a total Shity ‘education system’ that can’t produce even basic literacy in math and reading at scale for the need?

    Look in the Phucking mirror Ah…merica.

    Find your own ass with your two hands before bring in foreigners for a change.

    Oh yah, I forgot.

    Anyone hiring an illegal should go to jail

    No ‘exceptions’

    The local contractor and local business owner all the way up to the parasitic corporations.

    That includes Musk and Cook

    And the rest of Silicon Alley.

    Repeat until it sinks in:

    Anyone hiring an illegal should go to jail

    It’s truly hilarious that the current crop of AWEFUL Karen copers are trying to say that Trump and his ICE don’t have authority over State laws in regards to immigration laws and policies.

    Obama SET THE PRECEDENT when he sued Arizona in 2012 for passing MORE RESTRICTIVE and HARSHER immigration laws than the Federal government had at the time.

    So ‘Bottom’s Up” Barry didn’t want a state like Arizona actually trying to stop illegal immigration with LAWS that required things like ID, he maintained ONLY the federal government can do that which ironically gives total control to the Federal government.

    Hahahaha

    Karma Baby!

    Now the AWEFULS and insane Woketurds have their panties in a bunch and think state lawsuits against ICE have standing.

    The Supreme Clowns have already ruled on the matter.

    Case closed

    #229138
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229139
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229142
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229143

    The internet was just the start,
    Then Apple took the helm.
    The smart phone played the biggest part:
    ’Twas made to overwhelm.

    Now swamped with trash and hugely overloaded,
    The populace becomes too quickly goaded.

    #229145
    kultsommer
    Participant

    ICE is arresting and jailing people for antisemitism now?

    Not.
    Yet.

    #229146
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Michael Reid’s “China related “posts clearly explain, especially the first one on the previous tab ,why the US “lob creators” make all the monumental effort, very successful I may add, to demonize the other systems.

    To put that in the contest of sports. Imagine your favorite sport figure or a team literally “loosing their head” just hearing the name of their opponent?

    #229147
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229151
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Just staying alive these days, day-to-day, is like juggling chain saws.

    #229156
    Topcat
    Participant

    Limeyland ain’t got no Spine.

    #229159
    Topcat
    Participant

    Put your money where your mouth is

    So how accurate is Kalshi as a predictive betting construct?

    Based on research from late 2025, Kalshi prediction markets have shown a high level of accuracy, with approximately
    78% of their markets proving to be accurate.

    (resolving to “yes” or “no” based on implied probability)

    Here are key findings regarding the accuracy and performance of bets on Kalshi:

    Calibration & Accuracy:

    When measuring calibration—whether markets at a certain probability (e.g., 70% odds) resolve “yes” that same percentage of the time—researchers found that Kalshi is “almost perfectly accurate,” according to a December 2025 analysis.

    Comparison to Competitors: In a study comparing major prediction markets, Kalshi’s 78% accuracy rate ranked behind PredictIt (93%) but ahead of Polymarket (67%).

    #229160
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229161
    Topcat
    Participant

    Canada-Da

    Shows it’s True Colors

    #229162
    Topcat
    Participant

    The “Checklist”

    #229166
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229167
    Topcat
    Participant

    In other words:

    It’s All Fake n’ Gay n’ Retarded®

    #229169
    Topcat
    Participant

    #229179

    Your soul is a pretty high price to live in hell.
    Traffic? Goodness- the place is teeming with traffic nowadays!

    #229184
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #229185
    Michael Reid
    Participant

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