March 24, 2022 at 2:21 am #104807VietnamVetParticipant
The Korean War is forgotten. But it cemented the first Cold War into place until the Reagan/Gorbachev detente. Due Strategic Communications bombardment from all combatants, it is simply impossible to determine the front lines and the flow of battle in these initial stages of WWIII. If Russia seizes Odessa, Ukraine will be a rump state. The West will try to keep a guerrilla war going in Western Ukraine if occupied.
The underlying problem is that the Western Empire wants to maintain the fiction that it still a hegemon and the dollar the global reserve currency. NATO/Russian Federation, both, are likely to take risks that could blow the conflict up into a nuclear holocaust. Europe is resource depleted. The basic problem for the Russian side is that the Kremlin could not wait to be attacked first by the neo-Nazis but invaded Ukraine on three sides in a war of aggression and lost the high moral ground. The tragedy is that all of the combatant states have been neoliberalized and are dysfunctional. None care how many of their citizens are killed or maimed.
The only way to stop the slaughter and lower the risk of a nuclear war is to partition Ukraine and make the Dnieper River the DMZ between East and West the same as the 38th parallel is in Korea.March 24, 2022 at 2:31 am #104808my parents said knowParticipant
It came on so sudden! Or no, perhaps worse-
It’s been building for decades with crimes upon crimes.
But it’s easy to see, now, we’re under that curse:
We are living in interesting times.March 24, 2022 at 2:36 am #104809WESParticipant
The US is fighting the Ukrainian War to the last Ukrainian!
Meanwhile the Russians have switched to a low casualty approach to fighting the war.
That does not bode well for the Ukrainian army.
The Russian army has been in the field for a month now.
They have worked out any kinks, and are now acclimated to local fighting conditions.
They are now a well oiled lean and mean fighting machine.
The same can not be said for the Ukrainian army.
Their is no longer any central Ukrainian army command structure left.
There are no Ukrainian army supply chains functioning.
Individual Ukrainian army units are now left to their own devices.
All Ukrainian army units are surrounded and cannot move.
The Ukrainian army has very little night fighting capabilities.
For the Ukrainian army, simple things like food and fuel are starting to run low.
The Russians are switching to night fighting operations.
All Russian air operations are now run at night.
No surrender now means slaughter.
Good till the last Ukrainian.March 24, 2022 at 3:51 am #104810ezlxa1949Participant
Veracious Poet wrote, “If I was Putin I’d also make damn sure Russia’s border was overly secure, as not only will espionage agents/assassins be illegally entering, but also migrants from surrounding regions harmed by U$/EU Empire idiocy…”
A big problem for Russia is its sheer size and long borders, many of which meander over open territory with no easy defences. To monitor and protect these costs a LOT. If China and Mongolia stay on side, that helps. Don’t know what Kazakhstan might do. In the south, the Caspian and Black Seas plus Caucasus Mountains afford good protection. In Europea lot depends on the stance of Romania/Moldava, Hungary, Slovakia, Poland, the Baltics, and Finland.
Interesting to note Kaliningrad, potentially very useful Russian exclave. This could be a major headache for hostile parties, or it could fold quickly. Depends what’s stored in it…March 24, 2022 at 4:07 am #104811TAE SummaryParticipant
The Empire As We Know It
– Electricity: cheap and available 24/7.
– Gas: cheap and always available.
– Food: cheap and always available.
– Making money: Invest in stocks, crypto or NFT’s. manual labor is for losers.
– Growing your own food: A hobby.
– Health: Live however you want and get expensive health care when you’re old…knee replacements, dialysis, bypass surgery, etc.
– Men: optional.
– Everyone has a cell phone. Everyone goes to college. Everyone eats out. Everyone invests. Everyone goes on cruises. Everyone has new shoes.
An Empire collapses slowly … then all at onceMarch 24, 2022 at 5:04 am #104812Figmund SreudParticipant
“About a third (35%) of Americans say they would favor military action…even if it risks a nuclear conflict with Russia.”
Public Expresses Mixed Views of U.S. Response to Russia’s Invasion of UkraineMarch 24, 2022 at 9:05 pm #104854
2 days ago Tam Hob wrote (to me and I just saw it):
“You posted yesterday – how to reduce community vulnerability when no one much is currently interested in growing veggies? This occurred to me too a couple of years ago, I don’t want ours to be the only family looking well fed in a starving neighbourhood. Accordingly I’ve been madly burying kilos of acorns a year from fast maturing oak species. I collect the acorns from trees I’ve id’d in my home town and I use a bit of old pipe attached to a long sharp tipped walking stick to make the hole and drop the acorn in, then close the hole by stepping on it. We don’t have squirrels so most come up. I walk at least an hour nearly every day and I’ve done that pretty much anywhere there is open public ground and I think a tree might survive the mowers. Also as I go, I also identify patches of weeds growing in waste areas against future medicinal needs: St John’s Wort, Briar Rose, Elderberry etc.
My second idea was to naturalise potatoes on any neglected waste areas I come across, I buy about 35 kg of seed potato a year and dig for tubers in the less visible areas I’ve already planted. As well as digging them in, anyone dumps a load of branches, lawn clippings or leaves in a nature reserve near me and it gets a potato under it. The mowers often mow the plants but they seem to do well enough to spread a few square metres over several years and there are tubers there when I dig. Lots of plant diversity and clover around them so disease build up doesn’t seem to be an issue. Approximately 30% of the ‘grassy’ areas in our local parks are actually edible annual and perennial weed greens (stellaria, plantain, dandelion, sheep sorrel, oxalis, purslane etc) so I’m confident that vitamins and minerals are a lesser issue than calories since a little bit of those go a long way.
Most recently I’ve started planting the edges of tennis courts and fencelines etc with scarlet runner beans. Big seeds so easy to plant with my stick and pipe, they look so pretty people don’t pull them up and they regrow for seven years, good protein and very productive. It’s not enough by itself of course but I figure it will all help. I’m also internally debating the ethics of naturalising oil olives as well. They are certainly very weedy in my area and the birds will takeover spreading them if I can get some going in the cotoneaster thickets around the place. On the downside they are also very weedy in bush areas.
We have different climates of course, but I understand sweet potato does well around you?”
Sweet potatoes would potentially work here. (Taro (aka “elephant ears”) would probably work along Texas waterways, though it is listed as an “invasive species” and spreading it would probably be a felony.
You are an impressive guerilla-gardener, Tam!March 24, 2022 at 9:08 pm #104855
I thought I posted this earlier, but I do not see it: (picture with sprouting banana plant)
Last night I noticed an email from Google that the blog post “Worst Enemy” from 3/19/22 had been “deleted” due to violation of some condition in the list on their website, to which they thoughtfully sent a link for my edification.
The post had garnered over 100 views on Blogger, and 380 on Substack, where it remains uncensored https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/worst-enemy?s=w
I started up the Substack blog after the 2/22/22 post “Two New Countries” prompted Google to delete my blog and gmail account.
It was the same vague “figure out your sin” message.
We jumped through Google’s hoops and it was all reinstated, including the “Two New Countries” post, which had looked at Russian recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics, declared 8 years previously by the republics, under duress of Ukrainian nationalist genocide, following the US-instigated 2014 coup.
Substack allowed me to send to subscribers, so I did not have to do that via gmail, which was the likely reason our gmail account was “disappeared” at the same time as Johnday’s Blog.
I had started Johnday’s Blog in spring 2016, when my bcc email news-sends to about 200 friends started getting blocked, no matter what I did to comply. The main anti-narrative work I was doing was documenting the Democratic Primary fraud, which was disenfranchising Sanders voters (like myself). That censorship stopped 3 days after Trump was elected (without my help. I voted for Jill Stein). It happened again leading up to the 2018 and 2020 elections, b ut people could look at the blog if the email did not go through.
There has been censorship associated with my medical investigations of the COVID pandemic, suppression of early and hospital medical treatments, including ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine. The American Board of Family Medicine is reviewing my Board Certification status (31 years) for “discouraging patients from vaccination against COVID-19”, also known as “informed consent”. They cited the (factual, linked) information on my blog as damning evidence. They are dragging this process out.
What is consistent is that information disputing or disproving the current Control-Narrative being promulgated by power-elites is what will be censored.
The “Worst Enemy” post addressed this specifically, and included multiple narrative-deflating links and excerpts, opening with an essay that explained how “The West Is At War With Itself”, or self-defeating, or “its own worst enemy”. This begs the question of “why that post?”. There was analysis of the Ukraine war from various sometimes-censored Russian and Russia-friendly sites.March 24, 2022 at 9:10 pm #104856
Mish Shedlock may crack that nut open with this article about how the Biden administration is driving oil prices up, while pretending to try to lower them.
It is not merely the sanctions against Russian oil and gas. There is more.
I have been aware of predictions that the world would face an oil supply crisis in 2023 since late 2021. It seems to me that the price shock early this year will reduce the demand for oil at these high prices by depressing economies. That “heads it off at the pass”, softening the hard supply-inadequacy shock.
The control-narrative of war-with-Russia is tried and true, worked well for the “owners” for most of my life, and has now been fully-rehabilitated for the peak-oil crisis.
Last June Gail Tverberg had this analysis: Where Energy Modeling Goes Wrong
Summary: The economy is approaching near-term collapse, not peak oil. The result is quite different.
The modeling that comes closest to being correct is that which underlies the 1972 book, The Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows and others. This modeling was based on physical quantities of resources, with no financial system whatsoever. The base model, shown here, indicates that limits would be reached a few years later than we actually seem to be reaching them. The dotted black line in Figure 1 indicates where I saw the world economy to be in January 2019, based on the limits we already seemed to be reaching at that time.
(I think that line is drawn at 2010, myself.)
There is a control-narrative scramble to herd people into a response to the end-of-cheap-energy, as pollution, global warming, and global shortages of critical minerals for batteries, chips and electric motors break the finely tuned global economy and supply chains.
“We” tried Global-Warming/climate-change, but it was hard to get people motivated to change, and businesses still had to maximize profits and compete, so buying an electric car, solar panels and wind turbines happened, but there was no reduction in mining or burning.
Climate change is happening, but it’s less of threat than running short of oil, which is slated to happen first.
“COVID-Pandemic” control-narrative DID decrease global oil usage, even American oil consumption decreased, but that control-narrative is worn out. It spent its last burst on mandating the deadly mRNA gene-therapy “vaccines”, which make people up to 3 times as likely to catch the latest COVID variant when it comes to town.March 24, 2022 at 9:11 pm #104857
The WAR-With-Russia control-narrative can be “turned up to eleven”, and evokes the rational fear of nuclear Armageddon. Russia and Europe seem to be cooperating. What could go wrong?
War could go wrong, of course, but there are a lot of economic and financial details to work out. There is going to be a “new” world financial order, and all of the players want to control it so that it sends them rent payments without fail. I commonly see the threat of the Chinese Yuan/renminbi displacing the dollar as global reserve currency shot down, but it is a straw-man threat.
What the Chinese, Russians, other Asian countries, Iran and others are looking at is a specific global trade currency, such as John Maynard Keynes described in the 1930s-1940s, but which was not adopted at Bretton Woods. It would be backed by commodities, like gold, oil, wheat, rice and soybeans, and actual industrial output from factories. Saudi Arabia is making it clear that it is happy to consider divorce from the $US, as that “protection” deal looks like it might better be serviced by Russia and China soon.
What the global banking friends would like to see is global digital currency, and they are willing to give us free-money in a digital account so that we will become reliant upon it. California seeks to be an innovator, but the EU is all over it, too.
Yes, the currency will hyperinflate this way, but novel “fixes” like eliminating your money will become available to central bankers.
In general drjohnsblog.substack.com will be a better place to look for my research as we go forward into harsher economic times, and probably harsher censorship of truthful foils to the dominant control-narrative. “WAR!” will be the control narrative for the foreseeable future, and the real problem will be global resource depletion.
Keep those points in mind, and steer towards food security and lower cost living, especially where you cn grow vegetables and the local people and weather won’t (usually) try to kill you.
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