Apr 222025
 


Edward Hopper The Lee Shore 1941

 

Trump Wants Direct Talks With Xi – Politico (RT)
China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer Able To Hide It (ZH)
China’s Gray Trade Strategy Blunts Impact of US Tariffs (Gorrie)
The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)
Trump Wants Piece Of Russia Claimed By Kiev – WSJ (RT)
Trump Slams Supreme Court Over Blocking Deportations (JTN)
Do You Prefer White Liberal States To Hispanic States? (Paul Craig Roberts)
Trump Wants A Deal. Putin Wants Victory. Ukraine Will Get What It Deserves (RT)
Putin Reacts To EU Threats On Victory Day (RT)
Is a Coup Against Pete Hegseth Brewing at the Pentagon? (Margolis)
Hegseth Slams Media Over Latest Smear Campaign: ‘Full of Hoaxsters’ (Margolis)
US Senator Ron Johnson Says New 9/11 Investigation Could Happen (RT)
Canada’s Conservatives See A Reversal of Fortune (JTN)
Trump Administration Halts New York Offshore Wind Project (Wade)
The UK Is Doubling Down On Wind Energy (ZH)

 

 

 

 

Rickards
https://twitter.com/JimFergusonUK/status/1914201957213814828

112
https://twitter.com/defense_civil25/status/1914296461870702669

O’Leary

Thiel

Tucker

 

 

 

 

Trump shuts down all potential communication lines between him and Xi. Except for those he wants. Direct line. Call me.

Trump Wants Direct Talks With Xi – Politico (RT)

US President Donald Trump has stifled almost every channel of diplomatic outreach with China, aiming to deal directly with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, as the trade war between the two superpowers escalates, Politico has reported citing anonymous sources. The increasing tit-for-tat duties between the US and China is part of a broader US tariff campaign against more than 90 countries, said to be aimed at addressing unfair trade imbalances. While Trump has paused the hikes for most countries for 90 days, Beijing was excluded and faces a 145% tariff. China has retaliated with 125% tariffs on US goods and restricted certain key exports. The US president is adamant about direct negotiations with Xi, and has stifled other diplomatic avenues, Politico wrote on Saturday, citing anonymous former US State Department officials and an industry official.

Trump has not authorized White House delegates to engage with Beijing, the outlet cited its sources as saying. In addition, the Senate has not confirmed a US ambassador to China, Trump has not nominated an official to lead a diplomatic effort, and Washington has thus far not reached out to the Chinese embassy, Politico reported. “The backchannels don’t work because President Trump doesn’t want them to,” Ryan Hass, former director for China, Taiwan, and Mongolia at the National Security Council during the Obama administration, told the outlet. “Trump wants to deal directly with President Xi in the same way he has with [Russian President Vladimir] Putin,” he said. Washington is waiting for Beijing to reach out and call first, CNN wrote earlier this month, citing anonymous officials.

“China wants to make a deal. They just don’t know how quite to go about it,” Trump has said. “They’re proud people.” Additionally, Washington intends to use negotiations over potential tariff exemptions to pressure US trading partners to curb their ties with China and ramp up pressure on Beijing, the Wall Street Journal reported last week, citing unnamed sources. In a statement on Monday, the Chinese Commerce Ministry stressed that it would retaliate against any country that takes such a deal “at the expense of China’s interests.”

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Memories of all the roads to nowhere and the giant empty apartment buidings a few years ago.

China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer Able To Hide It (ZH)

Official economic data from any government is always treated with suspicion by anyone with common sense. The US, for example, witnessed some of the most egregious statistical tinkering imaginable under the Biden Administration, not to mention outright lies and propaganda from the establishment media on the health of the economy. To this day no one has been fired (or tarred and feathered) for hiding the reality of the stagflation crisis. Any government or corporate economist that called the threat “transitory” should be stripped of their financial prestige and banished to a cash register at Arby’s. And let’s not forget Biden’s misrepresentation of the labor market, portraying millions of new jobs for illegal migrants and visa holders as if they were jobs benefiting American citizens. In the US and across the western world, lying about the economy is generally seen by politicians as a temporary solution to secure reelection.

However, in China, lying about the economy is treated as a national security imperative. If there’s anything in the world that gives communists a feeling of existential dread, it’s the fear that their ideological enemies will discover proof that communism doesn’t work. The Trump Administration’s tariffs on China are not the initiator of the nation’s troubles, they are more a bookend to a process of decline that has been ongoing for years. Overall tariffs on Chinese goods currently sit at 124%, but some goods will be taxed as high as 245%. Trump has given a 1 month exemption on electronic parts and devices, perhaps to offer manufacturers like Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft time to arrange sourcing from alternative vendors. The problem for Chinese manufacturers is not just the tariffs but the uncertainty of timing and sudden changes to policy. They say no one is willing to make a big move on production or shipments until the trade landscape becomes more predictable. This means most Chinese factories are frozen in stasis.

Trump’s tariff actions are widely criticized by the media as erratic or poorly planned, but what they don’t understand is that uncertainty is the real leverage, not the tariffs. What seems like a spur of the moment decision or a sudden capitulation on Trump’s part can be highly effective at throwing foreign governments and corporations off balance. Globalism requires a perpetual status quo, change of any kind is like holy water to a vampire. Chinese shipments are on standby and orders are frozen. Nothing is moving. At bottom, China will not be able to survive tariffs on the current scale for long (a single year of 124% tariffs would crush China’s economy beyond repair). The US is 15% of China’s export market, which may not sound substantial but their next largest trading partner (outside of Hong Kong) is Vietnam at 4% of exports.

In terms of domestic buying, China is 11% of the global consumer market which is not too shabby, but compared to the US with its 30%-35% global consumer market share there is no chance that the Chinese will be able to fill the void domestically and stay afloat. But the situation is far worse than most people know… China has been suffering from a deflationary crisis since 2023. An uptick in exports during the pandemic was offset by the CCP’s draconian lockdowns. This was, essentially, fiscal suicide on the part of the government and China has been struggling ever since. Their property market has imploded, partially due to overbuilding through government subsidized infrastructure programs that flooded the market with poorly constructed homes and buildings that were then left to rot. Corporate defaults have run rampant and left investors with nothing.

There was some optimism that the government’s measures to end the crisis had been working to reinvigorate the market, but on Mar 31st, government-linked developer Vanke reported a record 49.5 billion yuan (S$9.1 billion) annual loss for 2024. It’s the company’s first full-year loss since its initial public offering in 1991, reigniting concerns about the sector and showing just how deep the problem runs. When these projects do finally see some progress it is often due to dangerously poor construction standards and subpar workmanship; what many now refer to as “Tofu Dreg” buildings. The deflationary spiral has been eating away at employment and has also resulted in numerous factories refusing to pay their workers on time (or at all). Unpaid wages are leading to frequent protests and a disturbing trend of factory fires. The government is limited in how it can respond to the problem. Stimulus is an option, but China’s overall non-financial debt is well over 300% of GDP already.

China’s attempts to hide the decay from the outside world are becoming less and less effective. With Chinese citizens able to access the internet beyond the “Great Firewall”, more and more videos are being leaked by people within the country who are tired of the misinformation. Again, the CCP views negative economic data as a national security threat and any citizen caught leaking this info could be subject to harsh punishment. Chinese citizens have taken substantial risks to get the truth out there. It cannot be stressed enough that the global economy is largely a farce, but China is closest to the edge of the cliff in terms of consequences and crisis. The interdependency of globalism has left many nations without the ability to weather a trade dispute and China’s survival is almost entirely based on steady exports to the west and the US in particular. Don’t let high paid TikTok and YouTube influencers fool you with videos of Chinese skyscrapers caked with LED lights or lavish parties with dancing robots. This is not the true China. Underneath the facade is a nation on the brink of disaster.

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China tries to export to US via Vietnam because of tariffs. Easy to shut down.

China’s Gray Trade Strategy Blunts Impact of US Tariffs (Gorrie)

Is a new boom in deceptive trading practices taking shape in many parts of the world? As the U.S.–China trade war intensifies, it certainly looks that way. With U.S. tariffs reaching 145 percent on Chinese imports—at least at the time of this writing—Beijing’s new strategy seems to include the use of so-called gray trade to bypass American trade barriers. Gray trade involves rerouting goods through low-tariff countries, such as Vietnam, Mexico, or Malaysia, to conceal their Chinese origin and thereby reduce U.S. import duties. This sneaky tactic has surged as a response to President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff policies, making China’s goods less competitive in the U.S. market due to their added cost.

Gray Trade Loophole Strategy The simple idea behind gray trade is to exploit loopholes in U.S. Rules of Origin, the trading guidance for determining a product’s country of origin for tariff purposes. Chinese goods, for example, will remain unassembled or may be about 90 percent manufactured before being shipped to an intermediary country. There, they undergo final production, assembly, processing, repackaging, or relabeling to qualify as originating from that country, rather than from China. For example, Chinese electronic parts may be sent to Vietnam, assembled into a product, and then labeled, “Made in Vietnam.” This enables China to benefit from the 10 percent tariff on Vietnamese imports under Trump’s 2025 reciprocal tariff regime, instead of the 145 percent tariffs on Chinese goods. It’s a perfectly sensible response by Beijing, and there’s no doubt that Chinese firms are rerouting goods through Vietnam, Mexico, and Turkey to exploit lower tariffs on goods sourced from those countries. A related tactic occurring in Mexico involves dividing goods into packages that are below the $800 tariff-free threshold for non-Chinese origins, a tactic called the “Tijuana two-step.”

China Has to Resort to Gray Trade But gray trade isn’t new or even unfamiliar to the second Trump administration. During Trump’s first term, Chinese solar manufacturers bypassed 30 percent tariffs by partnering with their neighbors in Southeast Asia. In 2025, tracing the movement and provenance of vast numbers of products is complex at best and nearly impossible at worst, making it a challenge to disrupt gray trade. It’s no mystery why Beijing is engaging in gray trade. With its exports to the United States accounting for 10 percent of its trade and supporting between 10 million and 20 million jobs, some experts say the world’s largest manufacturer faces an estimated 80 percent decline in its exports over the next two years, if the gray trade were to cease.

As domestic economic conditions decline due to the anticipated extensive trade tensions, China’s 2025 GDP projections have fallen from 5 percent to as low as 4 percent, potentially resulting in a 20 percent drop in GDP growth in just one year. With joblessness among its young people (ages 16 to 24) already approaching 17 percent, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) faces a growing resentment among its people. The Party would like to avoid an uprising by its younger generation. The gray trade has provided a much-needed cushion against the blow of the Trump administration’s high tariffs. For instance, according to official data, China’s exports surged by 12.4 percent in March, with exports to ASEAN increasing by 11.6 percent and exports to Vietnam climbing by nearly 19 percent.

Impact on Low-Tariff Countries But it’s not just China that gains from gray trade. Its low-tariff country partners also gain economically from gray trade but face risks, too. Gray trading partners, such as Vietnam, Malaysia, and Mexico, profit from trade and processing fees, with some estimates on the social media platform X reaching as high as 10 percent. It’s worth noting that between 2017 and 2022, Vietnam replaced almost half of China’s lost market share in U.S. imports. However, gray trading partner countries risk the consequences of U.S. pushback, resulting in a delicate balancing act for these countries caught between gray trade with China and managing important trading relationships with the United States.

Economic and Geopolitical Implications Economically, gray trade preserves China’s U.S. market access for the moment, but it raises costs as intermediaries take their cut, with logistics costs also increasing. For U.S. consumers, it may delay steep price hikes, but won’t eliminate them. Geopolitically, Beijing’s retaliatory 125 percent tariffs on U.S. goods, plus adding barriers to U.S. beef and LNG imports, raise tensions even higher. CCP leader Xi Jinping’s recent visits to Vietnam, Malaysia, and Cambodia could have secured their gray trade hubs going forward.

But the impact of gray trade is perhaps deeper and wider than many may expect. On the one hand, it’s a reasonable response on China’s part to U.S. tariffs. But on the other hand, there are greater risks. The United States could expand tariffs or use the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) to close loopholes. That, too, may be a rational response by the United States, or it could make things worse. “The global trade system for the past ninety years is collapsing, leaving it difficult for people to forecast the economic impact and tell where the bottom for a market is,” Vincent Chan, a China strategist at Aletheia Capital Ltd., told Bloomberg. As new phases of U.S. trade policy and responses unfold, the biggest risk may be uncontrolled escalation in both tariff retaliation and other forms of retaliation. In short, the impact of the gray trade may be deeper and wider than many expect, and it could even lead to a global trade war, with its own far-reaching implications.

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Pepe is in China and in love.

The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)

There could not be a more strategic place to spend these past Trump Tariff Tizzy (TTT) heady days than in Shanghai – China’s trade, commercial and cultural capital. From the top of the Jin Mao tower in the world class Lujiazui financial district in Pudong, an elegantly discreet art deco companion to the World Financial Center super-skyscraper – the trademark symbol of China’s economic power – it’s as if the spokes of a wheel radiated to the Bund and beyond tracking a ceaseless drive to counteract the absurd idiocy of the “Emperor of Tariffs”, relentless mocked across myriad Chinese social media platforms. I have had the privilege to transit from the Bund Financial Center, which hosts among others the Fosun Foundation – a bamboo-inspired architectural masterpiece – to the China Academy at the immaculate campus of Fudan University, where I shared a seminar with star professor Zhang Weiwei and a round table with top PhD students from several disciplines. Professor Zhang Weiwei is the foremost conceptualizer of China as a civilization-state.

The key theme of our seminar was the Russia-China strategic partnership, but inevitably the focus switched back and forth to the rationale behind the Emperor of Tariffs. The questions from the students were as sharp as they come. That was compounded with an in-depth interview for China Academy hosted by their CEO, the formidable Pan Xiaoli. A visit to the HQ of Guancha – the top independent new/analysis site in China, whose several channels in several different platforms reach an astonishing 200 million people – could not have been more timely. Guo Jiezhen, a research fellow from the China Institute, who was part of our round table at Fudan University, came up with one of the more astute analyses of what he describes as Trump’s “deranged money-making technique”.

While meeting with Guancha’s new editor-in-chief He Shenquan and discussing with hyper-competent international relations specialist Kelly Liu and Yang Hanyi – the China Institute’s communication officer – we watched together an exceptional podcast featuring PLA Colonel Wang Lihua, Gao Zhikai – Deputy Director of the Center for China and Globalization (CCG) – and the always essential Li Bo, President of the Shanghai Chunqiu Development Strategy Institute. And that’s when Mao Zedong’s legendary 1960s formulation of the US as a “paper tiger” – quoted in everything from Latin American guerrilla slogans to Godard movies – resurfaced with full force. Wang Lihua picked up on what President Xi had told Putin at their landmark meeting at the Kremlin two years ago: we are right in the middle of changes not seen in 100 years. Wang: “This change cannot be changed all at once, and the trade war between China and the United States will not be resolved once and for all. This kind of friction and struggle, in the words of Chairman Mao, is ‘making trouble, failing, making trouble again, failing again, until destruction.’”

Wang wrapped up with what may encapsulate the general feeling in China, identified in every nook and cranny across Shanghai: “It is difficult for the United States to repair itself from within. Now the United States has to confront China and the whole world, and its strength is obviously not enough, so failure is inevitable. We are not afraid of a protracted war, because time is on our side.” China “not afraid of war”, however it may manifest itself, from hybrid to hot, is the consensus feeling in Shanghai, borrowing from the Maoist concept of “united front”, and espoused from academics and business leaders to residents of “model quarters” of the Maoist era still impeccably preserved – and with an eye for innovation (example: row after row of a.c. outlets to feed the array of electric bikes parked in the internal patios).

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Hard bargain.

Trump Wants Piece Of Russia Claimed By Kiev – WSJ (RT)

The US intends to assert control over the Russian territory surrounding Europe’s largest nuclear power plant as part of a mediated agreement between Kiev and Moscow, according to the Wall Street Journal. The proposal is part of a reported package of options that the US expects Ukraine to respond to by the end of this week. Last Thursday, senior members of US President Donald Trump’s administration met with Ukrainian and European officials in Paris. One of their ideas aimed at facilitating a peace agreement between Kiev and Moscow involves designating the land around the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant (NPP) as neutral territory under US control, the newspaper reported Sunday, citing anonymous sources. The former Ukrainian region hosting the facility voted to join Russia in 2022, though Kiev has dismissed the referendum as a sham.

In March, Trump claimed that Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky had proposed that the US take ownership of his country’s nuclear power plants. Zelensky, however, refuted this assertion, stating that he and Trump only discussed potential US investments in the Zaporozhye NPP. Additionally, Washington has suggested recognizing Russian sovereignty over Crimea, not opposing Russian control over four other former Ukrainian regions, including Zaporozhye, and rejecting Ukraine’s bid for NATO membership, according to the WSJ. However, the list of proposals does not include any cap on the strength of the Ukrainian army or ban on troop deployments by European NATO members in Ukraine, the newspaper noted. If the US, its European allies, and Ukraine achieve a “convergence” this week, the package will be presented to Moscow, the WSJ reported.

Moscow has firmly rejected any proposed NATO presence in Ukraine and has asserted that the Istanbul agreement — a truce proposal negotiated in 2022 that includes limitations on the Ukrainian military — should serve as the foundation for a future peace accord. This plan was rejected by Kiev following intervention from then-British Prime Minister Boris Johnson. Russia has accused the EU and the UK of attempting to undermine Trump’s mediation efforts in order to prolong the conflict in Ukraine. The US president has cautioned that his administration would “just take a pass” if the diplomatic effort becomes too challenging.

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“We cannot give everyone a trial, because to do so would take, without exaggeration, 200 years..”

“What a ridiculous situation we are in..”

Trump Slams Supreme Court Over Blocking Deportations (JTN)

President Donald Trump on Monday slammed the United States’ court system, including the Supreme Court, over their response to his efforts to deport illegal migrants, stating it is “not possible” to try every person who is in the U.S. illegally. The Supreme Court over the weekend temporarily blocked Trump’s latest round of deportations under the 1798 Alien Enemies Act. Trump’s deportations have come under scrutiny after he removed hundreds of illegal migrants he accused of being gang members without due process. The president defended his actions in a post on Truth Social, claiming it would take “200 years” to try every illegal migrant, and slammed the Supreme Court for allegedly not wanting him to “send violent criminals and terrorists back to Venezuela.”

“I’m doing what I was elected to do, remove criminals from our Country, but the Courts don’t seem to want me to do that,” Trump wrote in the post. “My team is fantastic, doing an incredible job, however, they are being stymied at every turn by even the U.S. Supreme Court, which I have such great respect for, but which seemingly doesn’t want me to send violent criminals and terrorists back to Venezuela, or any other Country.” The president praised Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito’s dissent, stating the justice was right for wanting to “dissolve the pause on deportations.” “If we don’t get these criminals out of our country, we are not going to have a country any longer,” Trump insisted. “We cannot give everyone a trial, because to do so would take, without exaggeration, 200 years. We would need hundreds of thousands of trials for the hundreds of thousands of Illegals we are sending out of the country. Such a thing is not possible to do.

“What a ridiculous situation we are in,” he concluded.

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“Millions of immigrant-invaders can enter America illegally, but they cannot be deported until they have had their day in court..”

“The deportation hearings, which will be shopped to Democrat district and appeal courts, will take years and will not be resolved until Trump’s term is over.”

Do You Prefer White Liberal States To Hispanic States? (Paul Craig Roberts)

Like Trump’s on-off-on tariffs, the US Supreme Court’s rulings are off-on-maybe-we will see. Last week the Court overruled Boasberg and said that Trump had the authority to deport illegal aliens. But by the time last Saturday arrived, the Court had changed its mind and “paused” the deportation of illegal entrants. The Court now has decided that those who had entered the US illegally, thus committing a crime, had the right to challenge their deportation in US courts.Here is the Supreme Court’s ruling: “The government is directed not to remove any member of the putative class of detainees from the United States until further order of this court.” Note the Court’s use of the word “putative.” The Court is saying that it is uncertain that the illegals are illegals. Once you have walked in, you are an American, right? That seems to be the Democrats’ position. What will the Court’s position be?

Amazing, isn’t it. Millions of immigrant-invaders can enter America illegally, but they cannot be deported until they have had their day in court. To be clear, what the US Supreme Court has ruled is that there will be no further deportations. The 16 or 30 million, or whatever the figure, illegal entrants are here to stay. The deportation hearings, which will be shopped to Democrat district and appeal courts, will take years and will not be resolved until Trump’s term is over. For decades American conservatives have thought that the most important reason to have a Republican president is Supreme Court Appointments, but now we see it matters not to have a Republican majority on the Supreme Court. The Court, whether Republican or Democrat, has no comprehension of American survival. The courts are preoccupied with grabbing power from the executive.

Just as the US took Texas, Colorado, California and the SouthWest from Mexico, the hispanics are taking it back with the aid of the Democrat Party and the US Supreme Court. And, of course, with the acquiesce of Republicans who are incapable of fighting. The question is: how much do we really care? Would you prefer to have white liberal Colorado, California, Arizona or Hispanic Colorado, California, and Arizona. I would prefer the Hispanics. They are more decent people than white liberals, and, unlike white liberals, they do not hate America. Perhaps the ignorant insouciance of the American courts will have the unintended result of replacing anti-American blue states with Hispanic states. It would be a huge improvement in the quality of America.

Read more …

Sergei Poletaev.

Trump Wants A Deal. Putin Wants Victory. Ukraine Will Get What It Deserves (RT)

The Easter ceasefire has come and gone, with Russia and Ukraine trading accusations over thousands of violations as fighting resumes across the front lines – yet another reminder of how difficult it is to bring this war to an end. Amid the renewed hostilities, Donald Trump’s long-promised peace plan is colliding with geopolitical realities. Despite backchannel talks with the Kremlin and growing pressure from both allies and opponents, Trump has yet to produce a deal that doesn’t resemble capitulation – or undermine his own political standing. With a new offensive looming and patience wearing thin, the real question now is whether peace is still on the table – and if so, on whose terms.

The Relentless Push for Peace The fundamental difference between President Donald Trump and his predecessor, Joe Biden, is that Trump is genuinely trying to negotiate a meaningful peace with Russia. He has no interest in prolonging what he sees as a losing war inherited from Biden, and he’s determined to end it. But he also knows he can’t accept just any deal – he needs a version of peace that won’t look like a defeat. After all, his critics are ready to frame any compromise as his own personal Afghanistan.That’s the framework Trump is working within. What motivates Russian President Vladimir Putin isn’t really a top concern for him. So, he sends a trusted confidant – Steve Witkoff – to explore the possibility of striking a deal with the Kremlin. In his meeting with Putin, Witkoff likely hears the same hardline message the Russian leader shares in public – and, reportedly, in private calls with Trump: lasting peace can only be achieved on Moscow’s terms.

At a minimum, that means reviving the Istanbul agreements with additional territorial concessions. At most, it involves Russia’s sweeping 2021 demands to redraw Eastern Europe’s security architecture and, in effect, reverse the legacy of the Cold War. It also seems Putin thinks he can secure at least his minimum objectives through brute force. Whether he’s bluffing or not, he’s clearly using the threat of escalation to pressure Trump. The message is implicit: Worried that Ukraine’s collapse will be blamed on you? There’s one way to prevent that – make a deal with me. In return, Trump could preserve face, gain economic wins like Nord Stream 2, and claim peace during his term. Meanwhile, Putin gets what he really wants: a thaw in US-Russia relations, an end to sanctions, and, crucially, legitimization of Russia’s actions in Ukraine. And if future conflicts arise, he’ll be in a stronger position. Not to mention, it would strike a blow against the globalists – an enemy both men seem to share.

That’s the pitch Putin’s been making, and by all indications, it’s what he and Witkoff discussed in their five-hour meeting. Witkoff, for his part, appears to be on board – he said as much during a Fox News appearance on April 15. But the final call rests with Trump, not Witkoff. And Trump faces a difficult challenge: even if he wants to make a deal, how can he ensure it sticks? It’s not just Ukraine and Europe trying to sabotage the talks – that was to be expected – but opposition is also coming from inside Trump’s own camp. Take Keith Kellogg, for example. He might tell Trump that Ukraine will never accept any such agreement. He could argue that Europe is fully aligned with Kiev and that if Trump really wants peace, he’ll need to get Putin to accept a European military presence in Ukraine. You want peace? Here’s the map – go make it happen.

Then there’s Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who may quietly but firmly advance the globalist view: any peace must be on Western terms, not Russian ones. He might even bring a fresh round of sanctions and another military aid package for Ukraine to the table. It’s a situation reminiscent of 2016. Back then, Trump had seemingly cordial relations with Putin but ended up expanding anti-Russia measures due to domestic constraints. Today, his political position at home is stronger – but so are the stakes.

Read more …

EU knows no shame.

Putin Reacts To EU Threats On Victory Day (RT)

Russian President Vladimir Putin has commended the courage of European leaders who choose to come to Moscow for events commemorating the 80th anniversary of victory in World War II, despite pressure on them from EU officials.Last week, the bloc’s top diplomat and former Estonian prime minister, Kaja Kallas, warned the leaders of EU member and candidate states against flying to Russia to take part, recommending instead that they visit Kiev to show solidarity with Ukraine. Other EU officials have reportedly threatened to derail membership bids for candidate countries whose leaders defy Brussels on the matter. Journalists asked Putin to comment on the reports after the All-Russian Municipal Service Award ceremony in Moscow on Monday.

“Those who are going to come to Russia have much more courage than those who are hiding behind someone’s back and trying to threaten others,” he replied.“In this case, [threatening] those who are going to celebrate the historical merits of people who gave their lives in the fight against Nazism,” Putin said. According to Kallas, participation in this year’s events in Moscow “will be not taken lightly.” Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, the only EU member state leader who has promised to attend, blasted the statement as outright “disrespectful.” “Is Ms. Kallas’s warning a form of blackmail or a signal that I will be punished?” he wrote on X last week. “The year is 2025, not 1939,” he added.

The president of EU candidate Serbia, Aleksandar Vucic, similarly indicated that he would not change his plans in the face of pressure from Brussels. “I have not changed my decision… Eight months ago, I announced my visit to Moscow, publicly,” he said last week, according to Serbian media.Moscow has extended multiple invitations to this year’s landmark celebrations, including to the heads of China, India, and Brazil, as well as a number of other international leaders. Victory Day is one of the most important national holidays in Russia. The event is celebrated annually on May 9 to mark the 1945 triumph of the USSR over Nazi Germany and its allies, and to honor the estimated 26.6 million deaths the Soviet Union suffered in World War II. Around 18 million were civilian deaths.

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Recently Hegseth, JD Vance, Tulsi Gabbard and Susie Wiles voted against bombing Iran. Three Pentagon staff departed. This is the result. Usual suspects: NPR, NYT, Politico et al.

Is a Coup Against Pete Hegseth Brewing at the Pentagon? (Margolis)

Something tells me that the liberal media is trying to force Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth from the Pentagon. According to a report from Politico, the Pentagon has become a “chaotic” mess because of Hegseth’s alleged influence, and it’s becoming a problem for the administration. “It’s been a month of total chaos at the Pentagon. From leaks of sensitive operational plans to mass firings, the dysfunction is now a major distraction for the president — who deserves better from his senior leadership,” the article claims. “President Donald Trump has a strong record of holding his top officials to account. Given that, it’s hard to see Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth remaining in his role for much longer.” It’s a claim so ludicrous that you almost have to appreciate the creative writing involved. What’s the evidence? A few anonymous complaints and a spin cycle that would make a laundromat envious.

John Ullyot, the writer of the article, claims that he’s a Hegseth supporter, yet the Pentagon recently asked him to resign. So I’m sure he doesn’t have an axe to grind. But let’s take a look at what he’s claiming anyway. According to Ullyot, the Pentagon “is in disarray under Hegseth’s leadership.” Curiously, to prove his point, he cites the “Signalgate” kerfuffle as evidence of the chaos, not the successful mission against the Houthi rebels in Yemen. Despite his repeated claims of supporting Hegseth, his narrative sounds like it was lifted straight from the Democrat playbook. I suspect he leans on his supposed backing of Hegseth not out of conviction, but as a shield to lend credibility to what amounts to a repackaged left-wing hit job on the Pentagon.

“Yet even strong backers of the secretary like me must admit: The last month has been a full-blown meltdown at the Pentagon — and it’s becoming a real problem for the administration,” Ullyot writes. Let’s not pretend that this isn’t orchestrated. The timing is telling. Hegseth has been critical of the Biden administration’s dismal defense policies, exposing its failure to prioritize American security interests. And now, as if by magic, Politico drops a hit piece linking him to alleged dysfunction at the Pentagon by a “friend.” Give me a break. He sounds like the next Omarosa. We saw this play out during Trump’s first term, and it looks like it’s happening all over again — figures who claim to support the president suddenly breaking ranks “for the greater good.” But scratch the surface, and it’s clear that they’re serving as mouthpieces for the deep state, trying to create the very dysfunction and chaos they claim already exists.

It’s a classic tactic: create the chaos, then point to it as proof they were right all along. Ullyot claims that “There are very likely more shoes to drop in short order, with even bigger bombshell stories coming this week, key Pentagon reporters have been telling sources privately.” Ahhh, sources. If anything, this article proves one thing: the left and their media enablers are running scared. So let’s call the situation what it is. Politico isn’t reporting the news; it’s trying to shape it. Hegseth stands for values that terrify the liberal elite: strength, accountability, and an America-first mindset. And that’s why the left is working so hard to undermine him, even if it means stretching the truth to the breaking point to create chaos.

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Hegseth survived phase 1. That emboldened him, also because it shows Trump’s trust and loyalty.

Hegseth Slams Media Over Latest Smear Campaign: ‘Full of Hoaxsters’ (Margolis)

Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth didn’t hold back when asked about the latest media-driven controversy involving internal Signal messages and supposed leaks from the Pentagon. Speaking during the White House Easter Egg Roll, Hegseth delivered a scathing rebuke of the press, accusing it of orchestrating a smear campaign using anonymous sources and recycled narratives. “What a big surprise,” Hegseth said, when asked about the so-called “Signal chat controversy.” “A few leakers get fired and suddenly a bunch of hit pieces come out from the same media that peddled the Russia hoax. They got Pulitzers for a bunch of lies — Pulitzers for a bunch of lies, and on hoaxes, time and time again.” Hegseth wasn’t finished. As reporters tried to pepper him with more questions, he tore into what he sees as the media’s standard operating procedure: relying on unverifiable leaks and turning them into politically motivated attacks.

“This is what the media does,” he said. “They take anonymous sources from disgruntled former employees and then they try to slash and burn people and ruin their reputations.” “But it’s not gonna work with me,” he added defiantly. “Because we’re changing the Defense Department. We’re putting the Pentagon back in the hands of war fighters, and anonymous smears from disgruntled former employees on old news doesn’t matter.” Former Pentagon official John Ullyot, who was recently asked to resign, just penned a thinly veiled hit piece in Politico claiming that the Pentagon has descended into “chaos” and predicting that Hegseth’s ouster is imminent. The article leans heavily on anonymous sources and paints a conveniently damning picture that plays right into the hands of the deep state.

It’s a familiar playbook: pose as a concerned insider while amplifying the very narrative the left wants to push. The timing is no accident. These attacks are surfacing just as Hegseth is aggressively working to clean house, purge entrenched bureaucrats, and return the Pentagon to the control of actual warfighters. This isn’t genuine concern; it’s a coordinated attempt to take down an outsider who refuses to play by their rules. As the secretary stood alongside his father and his children, he reminded reporters what motivates him. “This is what we’re doing it for. These kids right here. This is why we’re fighting the fake news media. This is why we’re fighting slash-and-burn Democrats. This is why we’re fighting hoaxsters.” When one reporter tried to interject with another question, Hegseth cut through the noise.

“This group right here,” he said, pointing toward the assembled press, “full of hoaxsters that peddle anonymous sources from leakers with axes to grind. And then you put it all together as if it’s some news story.” Despite the media’s coordinated efforts to generate controversy, Hegseth made it clear he isn’t backing down.“I’m really proud of what we’re doing for the president — fighting hard across the board,” he said before heading off to enjoy the Easter event with his family. “I’ve spoken to the president, and we are gonna continue fighting on the same page all the way.” In typical fashion, the media tried to create a scandal. But in Pete Hegseth, they’ve found someone unafraid to punch back.

https://twitter.com/VigilantFox/status/1914484235597176850

Read more …

24 years ago.

US Senator Ron Johnson Says New 9/11 Investigation Could Happen (RT)

Republican Senator Ron Johnson has suggested that new congressional hearings into the September 11 attacks may be forthcoming, citing unanswered questions surrounding the official narrative and the handling of evidence. On September 11, 2001, al-Qaeda terrorists hijacked four passenger airliners, crashing two into the World Trade Center towers in Manhattan. A third plane struck the Pentagon, while the fourth crashed into a field in Pennsylvania. According to the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), World Trade Center Building 7 collapsed due to fires ignited by debris from one of the nearby towers. During an interview with conservative commentator Benny Johnson published Monday, Senator Johnson questioned several aspects of the 9/11 investigation, including the collapse of Building 7.

“I don’t know that you can find structural engineers – other than the ones that have the corrupt investigation inside NIST – that would say that that thing didn’t come down in any other way than a controlled demolition,” he said. Johnson, who chairs the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, also criticized the removal and destruction of physical evidence from the site, calling it “totally contrary to any other firefighting investigation procedures.” “Where’s all the documentation from the NIST investigation? There are a host of questions that I want and I will be asking, quite honestly, now that my eyes have been opened,” he added. When asked whether the public might see hearings on the issue, Johnson replied, “I think so.”

He further suggested that President Donald Trump, “being a New Yorker himself,” might have an interest in reopening the case: “What actually happened in 9/11? What do we know? What is being covered up? My guess is there’s an awful lot being covered up in terms of what the American government knows about 9/11.” Johnson also said he recently spoke with former Congressman Curt Weldon and plans to “work with him to expose what he’s willing to expose.” Earlier this month, Weldon urged Trump to appoint “people of impeccable integrity” to lead a commission to “study the facts” surrounding 9/11.

In an interview with journalist Tucker Carlson, Weldon dismissed the label of conspiracy theorist, suggesting that the CIA and the government have long engaged in disinformation. “You know, what gets me is reporters who call people conspiracy theorists. Well, that’s all the agency does! They’re the ones who create the conspiracies,” he said. “They have whole courses for their agents on how to make people look like they’re conspiracy theorists.” The 9/11 Commission Report, released in 2004, remains the most comprehensive federal review of the attacks. However, critics have pointed to omissions and the continued classification of key government documents. Johnson also referenced a bipartisan effort with Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) in 2023 to obtain unredacted FBI files. “We wanted to get those answers, those documents for the families. Again, we didn’t get squat from the FBI,” he said.

Read more …

January: Conservatives polled 92.5%. April, 3 months later, they poll 38%. ¿Perqué? A very fertile breeding ground for TDS.

Canada’s Conservatives See A Reversal of Fortune (JTN)

Before Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau stepped down in favor of Mark Carney, Canada’s Conservative Party was expected to streamroll the national elections and overturn more than a decade of far-left liberal leadership. But under Pierre Poilievre, the Conservatives have seen their electoral prospects fall off a cliff as he has struggled to meet the moment and galvanize his supporters on a promise of tangible change. Betting markets currently hand Carney a 76.6% chance of winning the election, to Poilievre’s 23.3%. The figure represents a stunning reversal from mid-January, when Poilievre was assigned a 92.5% chance of winning. The Canadian Broadcast Corporation’s current polling shows Carney’s Liberal Party with 43.2% support, while Poilievre and the Conservatives trail with 38.0%.

Canada is a multi-party parliamentary democracy that often sees other blocs gain seats in its legislature, though no other party is expected to seriously compete for the premiership. Under CBC estimates, the Liberals have an 83% shot at an outright majority and a 13% shot at winning a plurality, while the Conservatives reportedly have a 2% chance of taking the most seats. “I have never seen a transformation of our voter landscape in Canada of that nature,” pollster Frank Graves told Politico. Adding to Poilievre’s own shortcomings is the ongoing tariff row between Canada and the United States, which has allowed the Liberals to own the nationalist angle while Carney’s status as a fresh face has let him shed much of Trudeau’s baggage. The Conservatives were the favorites to win as recently as mid-March. So why the massive flip? In short, Poilievre, Trump and immigration.

Since returning to the White House, President Donald Trump criticized the trade relationship between Ottawa and Washington, suggesting that the Canadians enjoyed unfair advantages due to dubious practices to undercut American markets. “The dominant issue is, how do we negotiate future trade relationships with the United States and all those sorts of issues around tariffs,” Politico’s Graves said. “And [Carney] has a very large advantage on that.” While Trudeau was still in office, he traveled to Mar-a-Lago on a high-profile visit to address prospective tariffs. Trump later mocked Trudeau as the “governor of Canada,” leaning into his tounge-in-cheek rhetoric of making the country the 51st American state. Trudeau himself was widely lampooned in the Canadian media for seemingly surrendering his dignity to the American president.

After Trudeau resigned, however, Trump went further and announced reciprocal tariffs, which have seen Carney garner support for opposing them and triggered a nationalist Canadian response on the left to Trump himself. Trump’s nominal ideological link to the Conservatives as a fellow politician on the right, moreover, appears to have hurt the party’s image, despite Poilievre’s own criticisms of Trump and the tariffs. “It produced this really dramatic rise in national attachment, which is the main factor that propelled the Liberals to their elevated position,” Graves said of Trump’s goading.

Like many Western countries, Canada is struggling with an identity crisis amid mass immigration, notably from South Asian countries such as India and Bangladesh. Trudeau was comparable to President Joe Biden in allowing large numbers of migrants into the country. The sheer volume of migrants contributed substantially to an ongoing housing shortage in Canada and, like in America, overwhelmed public services. Immigration ranked among the leading contributors to Trudeau’s decline in popularity.

Though the issue may have stoked considerable frustration in the electorate, the Conservatives struggled to harness voter discontent about immigration and were hesitant to lean into deportations in the way that Trump did while campaigning for the White House. Poilievre has called for “moderate, reasonable levels of immigration” though he has made no commitment to specific immigration levels. In recent weeks, however, he has softened somewhat on the issue and issued statements more welcoming to immigrants, though that has come with some backlash. “Bring your culture, bring your traditions, bring your family, but do not bring foreign conflicts onto our streets,” Poilievre said this month. The clip went viral, attracting millions of views and thousands of comments, nearly all of which condemned the soft stance on immigration.

Though the Canadian Conservative Party occupies the right side of the Canadian aisle, as one would expect, they are far from the ideological siblings of the MAGA-dominated Republicans in the United States. Rather, under its current leadership, the Conservatives more closely resemble the GOP of Mitt Romney and so-called “RINOS.” Graves gave Poilievre credit for running a “disciplined campaign” but asserted he had not been able to pivot on his messaging in response to Trump, especially in light of a subset of his supporters liking the American president.

“They’ve tried a lot of things,” he said. “They’ve tried labeling Carney as another Trudeau. That’s not penetrating. They’ve tried going after him on an ethics issue. But in our testing on this stuff, they haven’t figured out a message that’s really resonating.” Poilievre used the approach of likening Carney to Trudeau as recently as Sunday, saying then that the only adjustments he made to the former prime minister’s platform were to “increase inflationary spending even higher.” “Canada can’t afford a 4th Liberal term of the same Liberals pushing higher taxes, higher spending, and higher inflation,” he posted. The election is set for next Monday. Canadian law prohibits publication on Election Day of previously unreleased polls as well as the release of “exit polls” before all polling stations are closed.

Read more …

“This halt is to remain in effect until further review is completed to address these serious deficiencies.”

Trump Administration Halts New York Offshore Wind Project (Wade)

The Donald Trump administration has halted a massive New York offshore wind project as it conducts a financial and regulatory review of plans to erect towering turbines along the nation’s coastlines. The Interior Department issued an order earlier this week calling for the immediate halt of construction on the Empire Wind Project “until further review,” citing new information suggesting that the Joe Biden administration “rushed through its approval without sufficient analysis.” “Approval for the project was rushed through by the prior administration without sufficient analysis or consultation among the relevant agencies as relates to the potential effects from the project,” Interior Secretary Doug Burgum wrote in a letter to the Bureau of Ocean Management, which oversees federal offshore lease permits. “This halt is to remain in effect until further review is completed to address these serious deficiencies.”

The project’s developer, Norway-based Equinor, said Thursday that it was complying with the Trump administration’s order to halt the project but is considering a potential legal challenge. “Upon receipt of the order, immediate steps were taken by Empire and its contractors to initiate suspension of relevant marine activities, ensuring the safety of workers and the environment,” the company said in a statement. “Empire is engaging with relevant authorities to clarify this matter and is considering its legal remedies, including appealing the order.” Gov. Kathy Hochul blasted the decision, saying Empire Wind 1 already employs hundreds of New Yorkers, including 1,000 “good-paying union jobs” as part of a growing sector that she claimed has “already spurred significant economic development and private investment.”

“This fully federally permitted project has already put shovels in the ground before the President’s executive orders—it’s exactly the type of bipartisan energy solution we should be working on,” she said in a statement. “As Governor, I will not allow this federal overreach to stand. I will fight this every step of the way to protect union jobs, affordable energy and New York’s economic future.” New York’s Empire Wind is one of several offshore wind projects under development off the Atlantic coastline that could be impacted by the Bureau of Ocean Management’s review of federal leases. President Donald Trump had campaigned on a promise to end the offshore wind industry, arguing it is too expensive and hurts birds and marine animals. He previously issued an order suspending new leasing for wind projects in federal waters. Massachusetts is working with Rhode Island on three projects totaling 2,678 megawatts of offshore wind, which, when completed, will be capable of providing enough electricity to power more than 1.4 million homes.

In August, the U.S. Department of Energy awarded $389 million to Massachusetts and several New England states for improvements to the power grid aimed at significantly increasing the region’s capacity for offshore wind. The Power Up New England plan—a collaboration between Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island and Vermont and several utilities—calls for expanding and upgrading the shared interconnection points for undersea cables that bring power from offshore wind turbines to the regional grid. But the push to develop wind comes amid increasing turbulence in the nation’s nascent green industry. Even before the Trump administration’s scrutiny of the projects, developers were scaling back—or in some cases backing out of projects—citing supply chain disruptions, higher construction costs and a lack of tax credits from the states and federal government. Some states, like New Jersey, have struggled to go it alone on offshore wind and have ended up scrapping some projects.

Read more …

Must be a different science.

The UK Is Doubling Down On Wind Energy (ZH)

The U.K. is already a world leader in wind energy, having rapidly expanded both its onshore and offshore wind capacity over the last decade. Now, under the new Labour government, the U.K. hopes to expand its wind power sector even further through the massive expansion of the Rampion offshore wind farm. This is expected to help the government progress towards achieving its net-zero carbon ambitions. In 2023, 46.4 percent of the UK’s electricity was generated using renewable energy sources, of which wind energy contributed 61 percent. Around 39.7 percent of the U.K.’s wind energy is generated onshore and the remaining 60.3 offshore. The U.K. constructed its first commercial onshore wind farm in 1991, generating 1 GW of wind capacity. In 2024, the U.K.’s wind energy capacity increased to 30GW, double that of 2017. The U.K. has 11,906 turbines, with 9,141 onshore and 2,765 offshore, consisting of 10 floating and 2,755 fixed turbines.

Approximately 32,000 people are employed in the U.K.’s offshore wind industry, a figure that is expected to increase to over 120,000 by 2030. The government also hopes to achieve 60 GW of wind capacity by the end of the decade, which could add as much as $58.5 billion to the economy. By the beginning of 2025, the U.K. had grown its offshore wind energy capacity to become the largest in Europe and second only to China, at 14 GW. In early April, the government approved plans to develop Rampion 2, an offshore wind farm with enough energy to power around 1 million U.K. homes. The expansion of the Rampion offshore wind farm, off England’s south coast, would include the addition of 90 turbines to add 1.2 GW of capacity. The project is expected to create 4,000 jobs during the construction phase, which is scheduled to commence in 2026. The government decision on the expansion was expected to be delivered in February but it has been delayed while more information is collected from the project’s developer.

The wind farm is being developed by RWE as the majority shareholder (50.1 percent), a Macquarie-led consortium (25 percent), and Enbridge (24.9 percent). The electricity produced at Rampion will be transported to land via subsea cables. An underground cable will then deliver the power inland to a new substation at Oakendene near Cowfold before connecting it to the national grid at Bolney in Sussex. The wind farm is expected to be operational by the late 2020s. Danielle Lane, the director of offshore wind development U.K. and Ireland at RWE, stated, “We are delighted to receive the development consent order for the proposed Rampion 2 offshore wind farm. This is a key milestone in the development of the project, as Rampion 2 can play an important role in helping secure the U.K.’s energy supplies from our abundant wind resource and play a key role in supporting the U.K. government’s clean power ambitions.”

Since coming into power last July, the Labour government has gone full throttle on the deployment of green energy, with plans to double the U.K.’s onshore wind, triple its solar power, and quadruple its offshore wind power capacity by 2030. It has also announced plans to reduce the contribution of natural gas to the country’s electricity generation to just 5 percent by the end of the decade. Thanks to the development of a more friendly investment environment, in an event in October some of the world’s largest green energy companies pledged to invest almost $31.39 billion across the U.K., demonstrating that greater public investment in the sector is attracting higher levels of private financing.

U.K. Energy Secretary Ed Miliband said, “The U.K. has a boundless supply of wind that cannot be turned on and off at the whims of dictators and petrostates. It’s time to get off the fossil fuel rollercoaster, roll out clean power, protect our energy security and bring down bills for good.” He added, “This project puts us within reach of our clean power offshore wind target,” Miliband said. “Through our plan for change, we’re getting on with delivering the clean energy and jobs Britain needs.” Last year was a record year for wind energy production, with onshore and offshore projects producing 83 terawatt-hours (TWh) of electricity across Great Britain, an increase from almost 79 TWh in 2023. In around 10 days in December alone, over 50 percent of Britain’s electricity production came from wind.

However, there are also less windy periods, where energy production is lower. This suggests the need for greater investment in battery storage technology to make the renewable energy source more reliable and help reduce the U.K.’s reliance on fossil fuels during low-production times.The U.K. is already a major onshore and offshore producer of wind energy, having developed several projects over the last three decades. The approval of the new Rampion 2 project is expected to put the country on track to achieve its end-of-decade climate goals, by decarbonising its transmission network. This is one of many clean energy projects the Labour government has announced over the last eight months, with the ambitious green transition agenda expected to attract high levels of private funding in the sector.

Read more …

 

 

 

 

Bhattacharya
https://twitter.com/plantparadise7/status/1914251645430489245

 

 

Makary

 

 

 

 

RFK
https://twitter.com/AVPac_US/status/1914432756815421626

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sagan

 

 

 

 

Goats

 

 

Cat

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Home Forums Debt Rattle April 22 2025

Viewing 40 posts - 1 through 40 (of 47 total)
  • Author
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  • #186560

    Edward Hopper The Lee Shore 1941   • Trump Wants Direct Talks With Xi – Politico (RT) • China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer A
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle April 22 2025]

    #186562
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Christ! Last week was Holy Week!

      Official economic data from any government is always treated with suspicion by anyone with common sense. The US, for example, witnessed some of the most egregious statistical tinkering imaginable under the Biden Administration, not to mention outright lies and propaganda from the establishment media on the health of the economy. To this day no one has been fired (or tarred and feathered) for hiding the reality of the stagflation crisis. Any government or corporate economist that called the threat “transitory” should be stripped of their financial prestige and banished to a cash register at Arby’s.
      banished to a cash register at Arby’s

    Come to Butler you stupid asses and we’ll go to Arby’s or Sheetz for lunch. After meeting those nice ppl y’all can share your musings about America on those same ppl and gauge their reaction. Wait! No!

    ….and Jesus, I thought the article was about China’s recent economic past but the Dude was also writing about western Pennsylvania, right!?!?
    “Arby’s”??
    Stagflation dismisses the fact the “economics” were being manipulated by those same Leeeeders to guarantee the financial prestige of the select few…..(((few, The 2.3%ers)))).

      Are 50% of America’s millionaires or billionaires really Jews?

    He’s or She’s gonna discredit my neighbors who work at Arby’s or Burger King or Sheetz?

    We got roads to nowhere in Pennsylvania too.
    We got pockets of economic prosperity like Wexford and Cranberry Township OR as D and his Team of Merry Apologists call them “Targeted GDP for Me” but not for the masses of Thee.
    D’s Jesus never would have been so offensive to have thrown The MoneyChangers out of hs Father’s house, right?

    #186563
    Topcat
    Participant

    Trump is utterly deluded by Kellog about Ukraine and Russia.

    The Russians are not ‘in stalmate’, they’re winning big time.

    The Russian economy is going gangbusters, not at exhaustion. The ‘sanctions’ are actually protective tariffs helping Russian businesses develop into a self sufficient Russian economy that needs very little to none external imports.

    The Russian are not only advancing across the entire front-line, they are poised on the eve of a great offensive the likes of which has not happened since the Red Army crushed the Germans in WWII.

    Trump had better ditch Kellog and the other neocons and throw the flaming bags of dog shit known as ‘ukraine’ into the EU’s lap.

    If not his domestic agenda will self terminate on that hill.

    The Woke Black Plague will consume all in it’s diseased path.

    #186564
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    More on the Popester from the fawning Catholic at TCTH.

    Pope Francis Dead

    Edited for accuracy:

      The exact cause of death has not been shared, all things considered Francis’s’s’s death within 24 hours of Veep JD Hamel Vance’s private audience with the Pope Feancis remains cause for concern particularly when questions of The Antichrist are not yet muted. Nevertheless “At 7:35 this morning, the Bishop of Rome, Francis, returned to the home of the Father,” said Cardinal Kevin Farrell in an announcement of the death. Francis, who suffered from chronic lung disease and had part of one lung removed as a young man, was admitted to Gemelli hospital on Feb. 14, 2025, for a respiratory crisis that developed into double pneumonia. He spent 38 days there, the longest hospitalization of his 12-year papacy.
      Kevin Farrell cardinale also stated Papal Policy will be revisited in a review of exposing The Bishop of Rome and Pope of da People to an Antichrist less than one month after discharge from an ICU, which also carries extraordinarily high mortality in 80s year olds even without planned exposure to An Antichrist.
    #186565
    Michael Reid
    Participant
    #186566
    Topcat
    Participant

    The Third leading cause of Death in the US is: Medical Error

    Heart disease and cancer are 1 and 2

    Actually the ‘Medical Industrial Complex is probably the No. 1 cause of Death because many of the cancer and heart issues were misdiagnosed and handled poorly resulting in a huge number of additional deaths counted as heart and cancer fatalities when in fact they were from gross incompetence.

    #186567
    Topcat
    Participant

    Letting kids decide ‘what gender they are’ is emblematic of USSA mental breakdown as a culture.

    #186569
    Dr. D
    Participant

    3,000 Gold.

    Whoops! $3,500 gold. I blinked. No news. No nothin’. No one cares. No miners. No silver. What gold?

    Oh and oil is way down too, so miners should have doubled on both sides: high sales, low costs. But in a world with Zero Price Discovery, NOPE.

    https://www.kitco.com/chart-images/LFgif/AU0365nyb.gifgif

    http://dailybail.com/storage/chart-gold-REAL-dollar-inflation.gif2

    (Link bots)

    #186572
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Sorry there are a lot of charts, lots of ways to look at it, but when it went vertical (which is nigh impossible to tell) it DOUBLED from there to $880. So even IF we’re at the vertical, it could be $7,000. Obviously it should be $10,000/…oh wait, in 2001. Or higher in 2008. We are now printing a TRILLION every 60 days and it’s not that? O Rlly?

    How about $34 to $900, 30x. Our bottom $250 x 30 = $7500 again. But INFLATION ADJUSTED AGAIN.

    https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/ Radically low-balls it, but 85%. Eighty-Five. So $13,870. Getting close now. That’s a 4x from here, practically flat in Bitcoin terms. Daily gyrations. But.

    So what’s silver? Well half the previous high. That would be as if $450 for gold. It’s a 10-bagger to catch up to gold. Checked how? Gold-silver ratio is 100:1 right now. Nosebleed high used to be 75:1 was the ultra-top. 45 was a low.

    ratio
    http://forbestadvice.com/Money/Investing/Metals/Gold-Silver_Price_Ratio_Graph.png

    Gold $3500 = $87 silver. Gold $7500 = $187 silver. $13,800 gold = $345 silver.

    Okay, fine. What do you think if the others, stocks, bonds, housing which are all 9x bubbles, all drop at the same time? Like gold is only $10,000 (timing, taxes) but I dunno, Toyota is 75% down in value (not worrying about numeric value CAPE, PE, Sales) of all-time highs. Maybe housing is better: you SELL the gold at +$10,000 and BUY what? Housing average doubled AGAIN, so houses are near $400k. They fall to $80k. 8 coins vs 40.

    Something like that.

    (more link bots)

    #186573
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Goes with this chart:
    otm
    https://www.oftwominds.com/photos2025/bubble2.png

    Yeah, the LIES are the part everyone LOVES. The FIX is the part everybody hates. That’s the #Opposite of what works. On this chart NEITHER are rational. It should rise slow and steady as actual value rises. The Fed (and many, many friends) make sure it doesn’t by MAKING the market leave intelligent pricing, and front running it.

    “What if that’s true and there are four or five demands for each ounce of gold? And the answer is you’re going see chaos like you’ve never seen before. By and large I don’t sell silver or gold, ok? Those my insurance policy against financial chaos.
    The relative value of gold and silver shares compared to the price of gold and silver is the lowest it’s been in 45 years ok? I look at gold going up 3% in one day. A 3% move in gold in one day is a big damn move. We had three of them last week.” — Moriarty

    Many seeing the wind blow:
    “Then came the part no one saw coming. Maher opened up about a recent dinner he had with President Trump—and pushed back on the idea that engaging with him was somehow off-limits.
    “I voted for Obama, I voted for Clinton,” Maher said. “But the idea that I could talk to them as freely as I felt this conversation was going, is emblematic to me of why the Democrats lose the elections. Because they just don’t feel that this is like a real person.”
    He got even more honest: “And I know it’s so weird to say that about Donald Trump, who I’ve said a jillion times is, you know, a whiny little b*tch, I could go through my greatest hits of insults. But this was about getting past that and maybe seeing that if we met in person, we don’t hate each other as much. And we don’t!” — Bill Maher

    Actually that debunks two more of the thousands and thousands and thousands and thousands of false things they’ve said.

    SO: Bill Maher hates Trump, insults him non stop for decades, tells every current lie about him, says he’s a whiny bitch, so Trump invites him to the White House, is perfectly polite, they have a great time. …According to Maher, not to me.

    So 1) Trump is a narcissistic egotist. 2) Has thin skin, 3) takes up every vendetta, attackign everyone but more ESPECIALLY anyone who crosses him or insults him.

    …Except Bill Maher, JD Vance, Tulsi Gabbard, and everybody else that was a never Trumper, did all the same, who he how works with daily without comment.

    Yup! That’s the truths! The Media would never lie!

    Anyway that was in this interview where Conservatives and Liberals are both attacking Woke insanity like a Tag-Team. That is, not the Democrats, who have been around (slaving) for 200 years. The SOCIALISTS. As in “Democratic Socialists of America”, AOC, “Critical Theory”=”Critical Race Theory”, Feminists, who are open Marxists, every professor, all those guys.

    GOOD, in one sense. Then not AS good (for them), since Woke is 30% of the Democratic Party and they can’t win until that transition ends. Not saying 70% of their party is anti-Woke, but they would go back to being moderate, slow-lane total kill-150-million-more-people-slowly Socialist party like they have been since 1910. That’s a step in the right direction. Where businesses, speech, and guns exist.

    “With Eye On Iran, US Sends More Bunker-Busting Bombs To Israel

    In contrast to my triumphalism, even if they’re not used, it’s hard to impossible to get them back. If Israel falls, then…? And can they really not use them somewhere without us?

    sin
    https://sinfest.xyz/btphp/comics/2025-04-22.jpg
    Offensive. But is it offensive ENOUGH for a genocide? A: There’s no such number.

    “Chinese Plastics Factories Face Mass Closure As US Ethane Disappears

    Didn’t see that coming. Probably overblown, but pointing up that trade wars do indeed have two sides.

    “Congressman Visits Ukraine Frontlines, Filmed Firing Heavy Weapon

    Talking about the war/foreign policy side of this. Should he just be arrested for attempted murder on arrival? I mean, you can’t tourist Thailand on human safari, right? So why can you land somewhere, kill people and go home? One of the hundred details of no Act of War.

    Trump is preparing to unlock a $150 TRILLION natural trust — buried under U.S. soil for 161 years.”

    I’d rather he didn’t: we’re using it all to make beanie babies and vinyl siding, paving farmland for malls and constructing self-immolating Teslas. However…

    “Death of the 112th Pope will lead to Judgment Day in 2027 — a 12th century prophecy of St. Malachy!”

    Yes, this is fascinating. And that This last Pope was an Anti-Pope (too soon?) in every way, just as predicted. From Hogue, a lifelong scholar, that Malachy is a fake, but a strange sort of fake. It may have been written in 1500, not 1200, but is still predictive. And that after that, (it wasn’t well-known for centuries) at some point Popes were playing INTO the prophesy, to make it seem like they should be elected. But that still doesn’t change that it’s impossible to predict, no one believed the Church would fall as recently at 10 years ago it was inconceivable. Now it seems self-evident.

    As this happens ALSO the Christians are persecuted, yes, by their own church, yes, and even the elect are fooled, yes. Israel gets so utterly whack they rebuild the temple, yes, try digital ID, yes, and there are worldwide problems, even in Gog and Magog, yes. China has so many people they can march a million men from the east, yes, to control oil wells near the Euphrates, yes.

    ““These tariffs are not going to be forever … Let this administration get this thing done and let’s move on. Because the last 20 administrations never dealt with it.”

    Hate to agree with this jerk, but seriously…

    “Xi will never do this, save face” Um, don’t tell Xi what to do. They already have an off-ramp, or the Chinese would be the easiest to manipulate on the planet. This can be solved overnight, there are no issues that can’t be dealt with, it’s part of compromise.

    “Tucker Carlson tells Alex Jones that a false flag attack disguised as a fight against “racism” will be used to permanently shut down free speech on social media.”

    Wait, Tucker tells Jones? And this event hasn’t already happened and been tried? We fought free speech 2014 > 2024. And mostly won now, we’ll see, constant vigilance.

    Trump shuts down all potential communication lines between him and Xi. Except for those he wants. Direct line. Call me.”

    Huh. That makes no sense. And it makes no sense to admit/leak it. I can’t even guess: the Media trying to make it even worse than it is, just making this up? How exactly would you stop Xi from sending intermediaries? Suppose Xi calls? And? So what?

    “• The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)

    I have lost all concept of what “Bullying” even means. Asking for stuff instead of being a doormat?

    1. An act of intimidating a weaker person to do something, especially such repeated coercion.
    2. Persistent acts intended to make life unpleasant for another person.

    Who is “Weaker”? Do we know? Can two equals “bully” one another? Isn’t that a rivalry? China sure made our life intolerable the last 20 years, could they stop bullying us? A “Bully” when faced is often defeated in the playground. Doesn’t that mean the bully was weaker in fact and the victim was stronger? Shades of “Lupins” here.

    What I see is this is all PERCEPTION. Feminine. This is not fact-based, bullying is about FEELINGS. Psychology. A weaker person finds out they can make a stronger person FEEL things, feel weak. Nothing to do with actual power parity. So how do we quantify everyone’s FEELINGS? I can’t SEE them. There’s no thermometer. And the readings are objectively false.

    This is why the word “Bullying” is in every sentence right now, or every Democratic one.

    BTW, so weird, they have gone “Dark Woke” now? Are these guys for reals? I thought they were social engineers. Apparently – and seems to have already failed and fallen flat (NYT article) – that it’s “Mean Woke”. That is, they are allowed to swear a little more, bully others, that sort of thing. What. The. F—k? Like, THIS is what you think voters are mad about and people want? My holy mother of God.

    My read is: they think being mean = TRUMP. THAT is why he’s winning voters. So if they can be equally mean, low, and racist, they’ll be popular too!!!!! What. The. F—k? Like I hope you didn’t spend any money on this, because it sure looks like you didn’t ASK ANYONE. Poll America. Heck: poll your own people. How about Medicare For All? Might win? Lay off the trans people beating girls into the hospital, stealing their scholarships, too easy to hand that to Republicans, as Maher says? Just UP the one issue a few points, DOWN the other issue a few points.

    But no: we’re going to advise swearing. “Make cussing Great Again” Party. SMH

    Vaguely getting a sense of what “Woke Right” is, as apparently it’s all gossip, rumor and innuendo now, and nobody defines anything, there are not even definite events. It’s like a swirling egregore, a drifting cloud of consciousness. It’s Right people who are against Free Speech and …other things, still undefined. Oh! Yeah, we call them “Not Republicans”, RINOs, and traitors. We already had words for that. Or Zionists, the other “woke” faction, meaning pure deranged racists. (Unf the anti-Zionists seem to be pure racists too)

    Weird to be trying to talk in a world where now no words have any meaning. Or think in one.

    “Now the United States has to confront China and the whole world, and its strength is obviously not enough, so failure is inevitable.”

    Huh. IS that what we’re doing? I hope this guy is right and China is so entirely misreading us right now, it’ll work much better if that’s true. We’re Transforming from an Empire – which the people never approved of – BACK to a trading nation that is self-sufficient. To do that we need to dump the pirates off the deck and out of the bridge.

    Speaking of, Hegseth again? So worked so well the first time: leak, then firings a week later. More some scandal TO leak – but one that basically is harmless again – and find more moles and traitors in the DoD. Fire them all next week. Repeat until there’s something resembling institutional loyalty again.

    “• Trump Wants Piece Of Russia Claimed By Kiev – WSJ (RT)

    Same concept as us taking NordStream? That Ukr/UK will refuse to bomb it then?

    “• Trump Slams Supreme Court Over Blocking Deportations (JTN)

    What people miss is this IS “Due Process”. When you are known to be a non-citizen, the person you meet checks a box on a clipboard, that’s it. That’s your process. This isn’t like jury-trial stuff. So sliding-scale that in your mind.

    That’s also the process with Garcia. It was only because of his previous two court cases that said he should be deported, that he could NOT be deported. Huh? Yes, the court said he couldn’t be deported bc he would be killed in El Salvador. That is no longer true (arguably) but they did not hold that 60-second meeting and check the box saying so. So yes, his process was infringed, I do not like it, would prevent it from happening again, send someone a sternly-worded reprimand, and export him a minute later. That he is in prison in El Sal is NOT US. We didn’t order, recommend, or do that. He’s wanted for crimes in El Sal, so when he lands in his home country, where he lives, in his home, they were mad at him and processed him according to their own customs. Unfortunately for him, our paperwork had already proved he was MS-13 and that is a crime in El Sal, but what can you do? Send him to Portugal? That’s not how things work.

    He has no interest in prolonging what he sees as a losing war inherited from Biden, and he’s determined to end it. But he also knows he can’t accept just any deal – he needs a version of peace that won’t look like a defeat. After all, his critics are ready to frame any compromise as his own personal Afghanistan.That’s the framework Trump is working within.”

    I believe this is true, and it’s shocking by its rareness. Somebody finally just says the obvious instead of TDS and DonaldTelepathy. He implies but I’ll be more explicit: Trump will get this deal, it will require no Euros in Odessa, who have already invaded there, and Europe will refuse. That’s enough. Trump is off the hook then. That is Kellogg’s and Rubio’s part to play there, that Ukr and UK/France will not allow it. Good: it’s your war, have fun.

    As Duran says (I’ve stepped away since nothing is happening) “If you couldn’t win the war WITH the United States, what makes you think you’re going to win one without them???” A: Because they must, or they will collapse. It doesn’t matter. Trump, etc, is only “Where you place the blame.”

    It’s not whether you win or lose,but where you place the blame.”

    Reminder: since we use that 99% of the time, that comes from Sportsmanship: “It’s not whether you win or lose, but how you play the game.”

    Russian President Vladimir Putin has commended the courage of European leaders who choose to come to Moscow for events commemorating the 80th anniversary of victory in World War II,”

    Shows how rabidly pro-war they are. Russia invited all these leaders, who are openly bombing them. Does that seem pro-war? No, it seems like “Let’s sit down and talk.”

    ““It’s been a month of total chaos at the Pentagon.”

    They – everyone – has an incredibly low bar for “Chaos”. If by “Chaos” you mean everyone comes in at 7, parks their car, gets coffee, then works in an office all day same as last year, then yes, total chaos. “Cats and Dogs” n’ stuff.

    Please make words have meanings again. Like two people were fired. Much wow.

    ““The entire Pentagon is working against you and working against the monumental change that you are trying to do”

    If they weren’t, he wouldn’t be doing his job. Actually he needs to cut $1Trillion and half the men…or rather half the administrators, keeping all the dog-faces.

    On September 11, 2001, al-Qaeda terrorists hijacked four passenger airliners, crashing two into the World Trade Center towers in Manhattan.”

    Did they though?

    “The next step is [to halt] the mRNA platform itself… the manufacturer has no idea what dose they’re giving, no idea where it goes in the body, and whether they are producing off-target antigens”

    This is probably a better vector for stopping, looking, and fixing this. And also true, which goes to show just how crappy it, and our companies, are.

    “Massive rise in chronic diseases – 1 in 6 women now affected with autoimmune diseases – 50% of kids are sick – Pre diabetes affects about 20% of teens – 70% of kids are not qualifying for the military”

    The autistic online are savagely attacking RFK for this. How dare you remove 50 years of debilitating chronic diseases. Have you no decency, sir?

    “Would parents still say yes….?” Yes. They absolutely would, and punch you, climb over the table to do it.

    Sagan: He’s really commenting on JOURNALISTS. We’d talk about “Readers have a 6th grade level” so write to a 5th grade level. Yes, but when you do that it goes: College > High school > 8th Grade, > 7th Grade > 6th Grade, and so on each decade. Well you win! Now we’re here. …As any illiterate moron could have figured out.

    Why? How about 1890-1920. People actually WERE illiterate. They literally had NOT completed the 5th grade and were hired in the mills. And the reporters wrote to pull them UP as much as they could, instead of down. People like Dorothy Parker and Winchell were up to being Hemingway, etc, and decade by decade literacy and book sales went UP.

    “I go to Coney, the beach is divine I go to ballgames, the bleachers are fine I follow Winchell and read every line That’s why the lady is a tramp”

    They’re now like We can’t write higher like Hah-vard (which is apparently illiterate, since they’re now providing remedial mth and english classes on entry) because the horrible pe-ople can’t read it. Maybe so. But that was the same in 1890, so they just wrote to the next level UP, not down. They’re like “We can’t step from Liverpool to Plymouth in one foot” so therefore it’s impossible to embark. All or nothing. Perfect or worthless. Cluster creed. BPD, etc.

    Sagans’ pale blue dot. But Monty Python did it much better.

    Science is when you don’t provide information and don’t discuss and debate, Carl.

    #186574
    John Day
    Participant

    Trump ordered the flags to half mast after the death of the 112th pope.
    Judgement day approaches and stuff.
    Peak oil-plus-condensates was still November 2018.
    My corn is all tasseled out and we’re getting lots of green beans and a few early tomatoes.

    #186575
    zerosum
    Participant

    Secrets and lies.

    China is going down.
    USA is going down.

    What’s next?

    Collecting taxes/tariffs from where it doesn’t exist.
    Spending money/taxes/tariffs that doesn’t exist.
    ————-
    (in the west, they believe that),…

    • China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer Able To Hide It (ZH)

    Official economic data from any government is always treated with suspicion by anyone with common sense.
    The US, for example, witnessed some of the most egregious statistical tinkering imaginable under the Biden Administration, not to mention outright lies and propaganda from the establishment media on the health of the economy.
    To this day no one has been fired (or tarred and feathered) for hiding the reality of the stagflation crisis.
    Any government or corporate economist that called the threat “transitory” should be stripped of their financial prestige and banished to a cash register at Arby’s.
    And let’s not forget Biden’s misrepresentation of the labor market, portraying millions of new jobs for illegal migrants and visa holders as if they were jobs benefiting American citizens.
    In the US and across the western world, lying about the economy is generally seen by politicians as a temporary solution to secure reelection.

    China’s attempts to hide the decay from the outside world are becoming less and less effective.
    It cannot be stressed enough that the global economy is largely a farce, but China is closest to the edge of the cliff in terms of consequences and crisis.
    The interdependency of globalism has left many nations without the ability to weather a trade dispute and China’s survival is almost entirely based on steady exports to the west and the US in particular.
    Underneath the facade is a nation on the brink of disaster.
    ————
    In China

    • The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)

    I have had the privilege to transit from the Bund Financial Center, which hosts among others the Fosun Foundation – a bamboo-inspired architectural masterpiece – to the China Academy at the immaculate campus of Fudan University, where I shared a seminar with star professor Zhang Weiwei and a round table with top PhD students from several disciplines. Professor Zhang Weiwei is the foremost conceptualizer of China as a civilization-state.

    The key theme of our seminar was the Russia-China strategic partnership, but inevitably the focus switched back and forth to the rationale behind the Emperor of Tariffs.
    The questions from the students were as sharp as they come.
    That was compounded with an in-depth interview for China Academy hosted by their CEO, the formidable Pan Xiaoli.
    A visit to the HQ of Guancha – the top independent new/analysis site in China, whose several channels in several different platforms reach an astonishing 200 million people – could not have been more timely.
    Guo Jiezhen, a research fellow from the China Institute, who was part of our round table at Fudan University, came up with one of the more astute analyses of what he describes as Trump’s “deranged money-making technique”.
    ————-

    In Russia

    Victory Day is one of the most important national holidays in Russia.
    The event is celebrated annually on May 9 to mark the 1945 triumph of the USSR over Nazi Germany and its allies, and to honor the estimated 26.6 million deaths the Soviet Union suffered in World War II.
    Around 18 million were civilian deaths.
    ———–
    The Relentless Push for Peace
    • Trump Wants A Deal. Putin Wants Victory. Ukraine Will Get What It Deserves (RT)

    The Easter ceasefire has come and gone, with Russia and Ukraine trading accusations over thousands of violations as fighting resumes across the front lines – yet another reminder of how difficult it is to bring this war to an end.
    Amid the renewed hostilities, Donald Trump’s long-promised peace plan is colliding with geopolitical realities.
    ————
    • Is a Coup Against Pete Hegseth Brewing at the Pentagon? (Margolis)

    Something tells me that the liberal media is trying to force Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth from the Pentagon.
    Politico isn’t reporting the news;
    it’s trying to shape it.
    Hegseth stands for values that terrify the liberal elite: strength, accountability, and an America-first mindset.
    And that’s why the left is working so hard to undermine him, even if it means stretching the truth to the breaking point to create chaos.
    ———-
    • Hegseth Slams Media Over Latest Smear Campaign: ‘Full of Hoaxsters’ (Margolis)

    It’s a familiar playbook: pose as a concerned insider while amplifying the very narrative the left wants to push.
    The timing is no accident.
    These attacks are surfacing just as Hegseth is aggressively working to clean house, purge entrenched bureaucrats, and return the Pentagon to the control of actual warfighters.
    This isn’t genuine concern; it’s a coordinated attempt to take down an outsider who refuses to play by their rules.
    As the secretary stood alongside his father and his children, he reminded reporters what motivates him.
    “This is what we’re doing it for.
    These kids right here.
    This is why we’re fighting the fake news media.
    This is why we’re fighting slash-and-burn Democrats.
    This is why we’re fighting hoaxsters.
    ” When one reporter tried to interject with another question, Hegseth cut through the noise.
    This group right here,” he said, pointing toward the assembled press, “full of hoaxsters that peddle anonymous sources from leakers with axes to grind.
    And then you put it all together as if it’s some news story.”
    Despite the media’s coordinated efforts to generate controversy, Hegseth made it clear he isn’t backing down.“I’m really proud of what we’re doing for the president — fighting hard across the board,” he said before heading off to enjoy the Easter event with his family.
    “I’ve spoken to the president, and we are gonna continue fighting on the same page all the way.” In typical fashion, the media tried to create a scandal.
    But in Pete Hegseth, they’ve found someone unafraid to punch back.
    ———–

    #186576
    those darned kids
    Participant

    • Trump Wants Direct Talks With Xi – Politico (RT)
    ¢¢ ol’ donny is gonna outsmart them orientals.

    • China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer Able To Hide It (ZH)
    ¢¢ putin is dying!

    • China’s Gray Trade Strategy Blunts Impact of US Tariffs (Gorrie)
    ¢¢ the u.s. is like, ¿what, 7%? of their deal. they don’t care. it’s like yesterday thinks it can beat up tomorrow.

    • The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)
    ¢¢ nope.

    • Trump Wants Piece Of Russia Claimed By Kiev – WSJ (RT)
    ¢¢ haha! told you he was the piece president.

    • Trump Slams Supreme Court Over Blocking Deportations (JTN)
    ¢¢ try being illegal in méxico. you’ll be on a bus and out faster than you can say “parangaricutirimícuaro”, or maybe “taco”.

    • Do You Prefer White Liberal States To Hispanic States? (Paul Craig Roberts)
    ¢¢ it’s called “new mexico”, not “new robertshire”.

    • Trump Wants A Deal. Putin Wants Victory. Ukraine Will Get What It Deserves (RT)
    ¢¢ trump wants trump. putin wants a vacation. ukraine was probably a really nice place.

    • Putin Reacts To EU Threats On Victory Day (RT)
    ¢¢ the russians shoulda lost on purpose! so there!!!

    • Is a Coup Against Pete Hegseth Brewing at the Pentagon? (Marigolds)
    ¢¢ flush them all to hell.

    • Hegseth Slams Media Over Latest Smear Campaign: ‘Full of Hoaxsters’ (Margolis)
    ¢¢ hell has many layers.

    • US Senator Ron Johnson Says New 9/11 Investigation Could Happen (RT)
    ¢¢ mr johnson is the definition of “limited hangout”.

    • Canada’s Conservatives See A Reversal of Fortune (JTN)
    ¢¢ who cares? cbdc and gringonomic union, here we come!¡!

    • Trump Administration Halts New York Offshore Wind Project (Wade)
    ¢¢ we’ll kill the whales with mercury from beautiful coal instead.

    • The UK Is Doubling Down On Wind Energy (ZH)
    ¢¢ they kill whales the green way.

    #186577
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Good for Pete…

      “I’ve spoken to the president, and we are gonna continue fighting on the same page all the way.” In typical fashion, the media tried to create a scandal.
      But in Pete Hegseth, they’ve found someone unafraid to punch back.

    ….and Pete punches up and down when he’s tied one on, probably. ETOH among other desirable things can lead to rather angry disinhibition…….. ?word!?

    #186578
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    O’Leary, tariffs, China

    And 3 years ago “everybody” was saying that the sanctions against Russia were going to bring it to its knees. Didn’t happen.

    Just because O’Leary would cut a deal, does not mean China will. The premise of the golden rule is that another’s desires and motivations are so similar to my own that we respond similarly. Sometimes, that premise is wrong.

    #186579
    jb-hb
    Participant

    I had an argument with a friend about China about 20 years ago.

    HE maintained that “China cannot live without us. They DEPEND on us!”

    I asked why….

    “For our consumption.”

    People still think this 20 years later?!?!? They need a horde of locusts across the Pacific ocean to continuously gobble up cheap products?!?!?

    I explained the Chinese are interested in tech and industry transfer, not feeding American locusts. When the transfer is complete, there will be little reason not to sell THEIR OWN people consumer products. Why the hell not?

    How are the Chinese not delighted? The transfer is DONE. Is this pure force of habit? Did the temporary tactic turn into “just the way things are. What we always do”? Does China exist for, is the Chinese identity now tech and industry transfer without end? Like, “Without that, what will I be???

    You can stop doing what the USSR did – everybody smoking appalling tobacco plant stems for over half a century because the Soviets are shipping all the tobacco overseas.

    Chinese youth are miserable. US youth are miserable. Absolutely, this needs to stop. All this shit about oh no the “economy” without any sane thought about the economy, “the service industry” (same bullshit I’ve heard all my life) and so on does not compute to me.

    All this weird projection of viciousness, of wanting to cause suffering also does not compute. Who fucking cares. Why can’t Chinese youth have enough hope in life to not lie flat? Why can’t they drive a befinned Cadillac and go to the burger joint or something? The current state of affairs is sick, bad for everyone. DGAF about the Dow.

    #186580
    jb-hb
    Participant

    How is China being “beaten” even a thing? China WILL be beaten! China will NEVER be beaten! It’ll take xyz to beat China! !!1!1!!!!!!

    The US unilaterally erecting tariffs, rebuilding its manufacturing base, and giving US working class something productive and life-sustaining to do… this requires China be “defeated” how?? Seriously, how?

    Are we waiting for China’s permission? Is China’s’ mere existence the problem, they must willingly lay down and die or something? So long as anyone remembers the name China no one will have a working class job in the US???

    What does “defeat” consist of? Just, the US erecting enough tariffs to have the industrial base it wants? Is that it? What countermoves is China undertaking to prevent the US from building factories or mines? I’m having a hard time understanding what the trade war or winning/losing really consists of.

    #186581
    jb-hb
    Participant

    “…perhaps the ignorant insouciance…” DRINK!

    #186582
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying (Pepe Escobar)
    ¢¢ nope.

    Pepe could have just said they’re inscrutable, you know, the Chinese.
    Wait! Whoah! That’s a reference to the Filipino.
    My bad!

    #186583
    jb-hb
    Participant

    In 2020, I bought my own bread machine and started baking my own bread instead of buying store bread.

    Wonder Bread™: We will take no bullying!

    #186584
    zerosum
    Participant

    Code words, (by politicians to hide the truth): Deficit spending. Election promises.

    Collecting money/taxes/tariffs from where it doesn’t exist.
    Spending money/taxes/tariffs that doesn’t exist.
    ———–
    Code words: IMF project slowing down of GDP

    #186585
    tboc
    Participant

    on Sagan
    curiously enough the first step in a scientific enquiry is to entertain the possibility there is something one does not know
    the second step is to be prepared to continue the enquiry when the hypothesis is falsified and accept your wave form has collapsed and your true state is ignorance

    THAT WILL NEVER CATCH ON

    would you kind readers accept that Mr. O’Leary acquired his wealth under the current regime and is more than just perhaps trading on insider information? something in the neighborhood of seeing exactly what the black budgets are and circling the wagons in an amoral attempt to rob the system before it collapses to secure the gains from the earlier corruption?

    dear friends, we HAVE a service economy.
    i mean one can take a cruise from the harbor to crab island hang with the in crowd and cruise back to the harbor, a three hour entertainment, for sixty one unit fiat notes
    hell pull out the card and do the snuba cruise, a c note

    every economic effort over the last fifity five years has been in pursuit of limiting the possiblity of indvidual self sufficeincy. here is where I really piss everyone off.

    every citizen of The United States contributed to building this current culture. even those of us who remained on the periphery participated, there is no off grid if you possess and utilize anything you did not personally assemble. there was only propaganda, plausible deniability donned by the public at large eager to accept National Security Secrets as necessary to the defense of the Republic. The citizens of The United States have built and given their life blood to this economy and this culture. We knew there was a Lie being told and anyone who asked Who is doing the Lying was delegated to the poor side of town.

    The hypothesis of a service economy has been falsified.
    Nothing else has been planned.
    Fifty Five Years of planning and effort will not be undone in a matter of months.
    We are being Lied to again and we know it. and we will do an O’Leary in an attempt to save ourselves.
    or we could be scientifc

    THAT WILL NEVER CATCH ON

    #186586
    jb-hb
    Participant

    So we are all collectively complicit in a system of…

    yawwwwwwwwn

    even stone age peoples knapping rocks developed specialization. 1000’s-mile trade networks transporting better rock to the people that wanted it. Do you suppose EVERY rock-knapper was being off-grid, personally going to North Dakota to transport their rock down to the Ohio Valley or the Lower Mississippi?

    so what is this false proposition, to be “off-grid” that has failed? Go on and do it then, show us.

    Aside from AFKTT, who was asking for what is proposed? And even HE failed at it, got a bit angry when it was proposed he failed to live up to his principles, give up electricity or computers or the internet or anything.

    “The citizens of The United States have built and given their life blood to this economy and this culture. We knew there was a Lie being told and anyone who asked Who is doing the Lying was delegated to the poor side of town.”

    This sounds vaguely like the Current-Year Marxist “black people built the united states we wuz kangs” line.

    Capitalism being: do something or make something that someone would willingly pay you for – of course there are services and there is currency to pay for it. Mind blown.

    #186587
    those darned kids
    Participant

    may i humbly nominate the esteemed mitt “doggone” romney as the new head of the w.e.f., replacing the departing klaus “you be happy” schwab!?

    #186588
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Elon Musk is kinda stupid, in the usual humanoid kinda way. I ain’t saying that he’s low IQ or anything like that, he’s plenty smart in the college boy sense of the sord, BUT, I am saying that he is stupid in the sense that he was an easier-than-usual mark for buying into bullshit lies that sounded sweet to his ears. that smarter-than-him Con Men who were easily able to play to his ego and blind side, by selling him what he wanted to hear, and what he wanted to hear was that he RIGHT. Just like dumber people, like thee and me.

    We all want to be told that we’re right, and smart and better than the other eight and half billion people who have been working so hard for so long. It’s easy to overlook the patently obvious fact that if these problems that he is so brilliant at solving, were easily solvable by one smart guy then they all would have been solved long ago by people one helluva lot smarter than him.

    Elon got to be rich by doing what the deep-state planners overpaid him to do, and what they were paying him to do was bring in the ultra-high-tech control system of digitized money, surveillance, Artificial Intelligence, Brain Chips and centralized-computerized-networked-AI Everything-CONTROL of everything necessary to biological life, including everything from mobility to thinking. Long story short, his great wealth has more to do with him being given YOUR money to do the BLOB’S work. And he’s done a very tidy job, too, I must say.

    Thanks, Elon. Good boy!

    #186589
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

     My take…some “drunk and sloppy” people have inviolable principles, but Pete was probably selected over 14 million other more qualified ppl exactly for his “drunk n sloppy” bonafides.

    So, from Xymphora:


      As drunk and sloppy as Hegseth is, I’m not forgetting that the attacks on him occurred after he reportedly conveyed the Pentagon view to the White House that it would be very stupid for the US to be involved in any military attack on Iran.

    …except that would be AntiSemitic not to support a War against Iran, right?

    Then there’s China and Gambling are bad

      Time for China to revoke Las Vegas Sands’ gambling license in Macau. Miriam Adelson is one of the biggest financial backers of Trump. Sands derives 80% of its revenue from Macau. No sense allowing her to continue to rake in Chinese money. Cut the head of the snake.

    Again, it’s AntiSemitic to suggest there’s anything wrong with Miriam Adelson making money off Chinese folk or being labeled unAmerican.

    Let the howling commence

    #186590
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    Let the howling commence

    Not howling, Doc. The voice of reason telling YOU to stop howling. In your lust for the blood of the Pharisees you call also for the blood of the Disciples, and Jesus Himself, for that matter. Besides, the cold eye and the steady hand shoot straighter.

    #186591
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Indeed…

      Elon got to be rich by doing what the deep-state planners overpaid him to do, and what they were paying him to do was bring in the ultra-high-tech control system of digitized money, surveillance, Artificial Intelligence, Brain Chips and centralized-computerized-networked-AI Everything-CONTROL of everything necessary to biological life, including everything from mobility to thinking. Long story short, his great wealth has more to do with him being given YOUR money to do the BLOB’S work. And he’s done a very tidy job, too, I must say.

    …..and he’s anti-anti-Semitic. That helps a lot.

    #186592
    zerosum
    Participant

    China – US = spending problems – tariff = embargo = pain

    #186593
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Gotta calls them balls and strikes as I sees ’em.

    #186594
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Lesson in projection of the inner object state:

    DBS:

      “….your lust for the blood of the Pharisees you call also for the blood of the Disciples, and Jesus Himself,…

    ….notwithstanding a whole lot of deflection and transference.
    “Lust for blood” ….the mirror isn’t flattering either.

    #186595
    Red
    Participant

    Under CBC estimates, the Liberals have an 83% shot at an outright majority and a 13% shot at winning a plurality, while the Conservatives reportedly have a 2% chance of taking the most seats.

    CBC estimates! Jesus H Christ! The CBC gets its funding from .gov. 1.4 billion a year, and they want another billion/yr going forward. The Conservatives are promising cuts to the CBC, personally I like to see them cut it all and make them fund on their own merit. Global and Bell also got major cash infusions from .gov during the shut up and shoot campaign over the last five years. Think they’re going to say anything anti Liberal? Talking with people around my hood it doesn’t seem very Liberal leaning. No campaign signs around on lawns either, none of any stripe. The advance polls are seeing a major influx, unusual. The last time it happened it was a change the .gov movement to make sure Harper didn’t get back in. Careful what you wish for. We went from Harper to Trudeau, makes one worry a little that change may not work out so well.

    #186596
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    @DrDRich

    Not projection Doc, nor transference, not even all that personal. When someone else, anyone else, throws around that term “anti-Semitic” (from EITHER side of the piss fight) they are going to hear from me about it because it is B U L L S H I T ! It’s dangerous bullshit. It both directly and indirectly encourages a mind set in which an ENTIRE labeled group (Semite, Anti-Semite, Jew Gentile, Whit, Black, etc etc) is praised or condemned solely on the basis of an all-inclusive label that pays no heed to the real sins or real virtues of the individual real people that are being painted with that label.

    I’m advising you not to do it, and I will continue to advise you when you don’t. I do not give a DAMN how you try to make it personal, or distract attention from the main point. If you do it, and I catch you doing it, I’m going to criticize it.

    Let’s not waste time playing word games. Just stop being mentally lazy by lumping everyone together into a one-size-fits-all gunny sack and then kicking the sack. Lazy, lazy, lazy, and just plain wrong.

    #186597
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #186605
    Dr D Rich
    Participant

    Veep Jack Daniels Hamel Vance

    Nepotism and Favoritism: why not? It’s good business for JD especially.

      Vance highlights personal warmth alongside diplomatic ties because for him and the Tech Bros, this relationship with India is personal.

    Anti-Chinese too! Like a glove…

      The Tech Bros love India, and with JD and Usha Vance representing close ties to the nation, JD Vance fits the pro-India trade position like a glove. Usha Vance’s parents are Telugu-speaking teachers from Andhra Pradesh. They had moved to the US in the early 1970s.

    Awe inspiring
    Warms the cockles of my shells

    #186606
    John Day
    Participant

    Traversing Discontinuity https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/traversing-discontinuity

    Over Easter weekend I participated in a memorial bike ride and a sad “celebration of life” for a dear friend from college. Much discussed was the “craziness of Trump”, which was broadly stated as an opening remark, as if things are otherwise ok with political-economies.
    I broached the topic of thermoeconomic analysis, and the implications of a global oil + condensates peak in November 2018, for a financial system based upon exponential growth, and got some sustained attention from the post-ride bicyclists on Saturday, but there were a lot of people at the celebration, and attention spans were a bit shorter… I did often say that I did not vote for Trump, was not a Trump fan, and agreed that one could not take his statements at face value because he would quickly change them if they were trending wrong on social media. However, I said, I model him as a rational actor, with better information than I have, and assume that he is probably also more intelligent than I am, hard as that is for a human to think or say…
    Debt has grown exponentially since November 2018, while real economy, 90% correlated with oil production, has been in a bumpy stagnation at best. “Help, I’ve fallen and can’t get back up!”
    Global financiers have been accustomed to creating bottlenecks in money-supply, which they control, to manipulate the real world of resources, industry, trade and war, but real-world shortages are overtaking the growing money-supply, and they need a “Great Reset” to regain control of the system through financial means. Some of them want WW-3, particularly if they can strip Russia of resources to use as collateral. However, a big war with China and debt default may have to suffice. Resetting the global monetary system to gold, which does not grow exponentially, makes sense in an economy that cannot grow, but Bitcoin may be even more enticing.
    This economic decline is not equally true of every country. The Russian economy, with the most resources per capita is still growing, though the EU and China are much constrained by resource shortages. Pre-negotiations are taking place, to establish opening offers, which remain very unrealistic from the fuel-starved yet pompous EU, while China has her honor to uphold, or the governing elites might lose power if they accept humiliation.
    The US, devolving the global-reserve-currency status to some mix of gold, oil and Bitcoin would gain advantage by moving first and decisively, and also has the second most natural-resources per capita.
    There are powerful national and international interests at play, not just global finance, this time. Cutting-out global finance would be very good for the #1 and #2 resource countries, Russia and the US, but very bad for London, Brussels and even New York “financial-interests”.

    Yanis Varoufakis presented his read of the Team Trump strategy to devalue the $US, while maintaining value against other fiat currencies, by devaluing against Gold and Bitcoin, perhaps raising gold valuations high enough to even blow a Bitcoin bubble large enough to pay off US Treasury debt outright, with Treasury holdings. Crypto’s role in Trump’s economic masterplan (with special emphasis on stablecoins)​
    To get a whiff of the answer, take the case of Japanese institutions that hold in excess of $1 trillion of dollars, the result of decades of Japanese net exports to the United States. To drive the dollar down, but avoid strengthening the pretensions to reserve currency status of either the euro or China’s renminbi up, Trump would like to bully Tokyo to dump most of these dollars in the money markets but not convert them into euros or renminbi. What could do the trick? How about convincing, with an element of strongarming, the Japanese to swap their dollars for crypto? That would work, especially if the Federal Reserve dominated the crypto scene.​ https://www.yanisvaroufakis.eu/2025/03/19/cryptos-role-in-trumps-economic-masterplan-with-special-emphasis-on-stablecoins-unherd/

    The Honest Sorcerer, Being Certain About Uncertainty
    As drilling for (and refining) oil takes up more and more energy per barrel of gasoline, jet and diesel fuel returned year after year, so does the cost imposed on the entire economy continue to mount. Depletion doesn’t mean that we run out of oil or other minerals one day to the next. It manifests in ever increasing energy costs, as the best locations with the highest grade stuff run out one after the other. Replacing these once rich resources with poorer quality, harder-to-reach, faster and faster depleting, increasingly smaller locations is a losing proposition — not just in America, but worldwide. As the energy costs of extracting Earth’s riches continue to rise, and as the returns per barrels and kilowatts invested keep falling, more and more projects will be cancelled. Eventually, natural depletion will become prominent and global oil output will begin to fall.
    ​ Added on top of this purely geology-driven phenomena is the increased cost of borrowing as central banks continue fighting windmills by raising interest rates. They do this ostensibly to arrest inflation, but in effect all they achieve is the immiseration of the average worker through higher banking costs and increased mortgage payments. This in effect simultaneously reduces demand for oil (as the consumption of goods made and transported by it fall) and increases the cost of drilling replacement wells.​..
    ..The International Energy Agency has already cut its 2025 oil demand growth forecast as a result. Major banks also lowered their forecasts of oil prices for the foreseeable future. Again, with a constantly rising energy, material and monetary cost of replacing depleted wells, we have just got a lot closer to a permanent decline in oil production. World crude oil output has already peaked in November, 2018 and at such low prices it looks increasingly unlikely that we will reach that level again…
    ..This trade madness has thr​own ​a monkey wrench into the system. Sure enough, no responsible company manager would allow investments to happen in a country which could raise or drop tariffs one day to the next, making assumptions needed to start a two to three year undertaking impossible to make.
    ​ These tariffs are not the root cause, however, but a sign of extreme desperation in the face of global decline. We are facing a terminal crisis of the oil based economy, and not just in the US. The 1970’s oil shock, gave us a forewarning what to expect should oil production began to decline again (as it did back then). Rising prices. Stagnating economic output. Shortages. This time, however, there is no gold standard to leave behind, no country with a vast resource base and cheap labor left to outsource production into, and no trade left to liberalize.​..
    ​..Bloomberg goes one step further still, implying that tariffs are in fact a dress-rehearsal for a war with China. A fight which “nobody” wants —  except for the entirety of the US congress, the Department of War (ahem, “Defense”), not to mention think tanks founded by rich oligarchs, hoping to earn a fortune on it (1). From this perspective tariffs look like an attempt to simulate the effect of a major war between the two superpowers in preparation for the real one. Other “benefits” include a leverage over allies and large corporations — motivating them to impose their own sanctions on China in return for tariff relief and exemptions — not to mention the fantastic opportunity they provide for insider trading.​ https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/being-certain-about-uncertainty

    ​Alex Krainer has specifics on the manipulation of the definition of Canadian tar sands as “proven reserves”, which allowed the vast leveraged housing bubble to be collateralized, which led to the housing bubble and Global Financial Crisis in 2008. He was trading oil options and following all of the official projections then, but what he actually saw was very different. Gods of finance & gods of war
    ​ How high-level banking interests determined the most momentous events in our recent history.​ https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/gods-of-finance-and-gods-of-war

    ​A resource poor, export-oriented economy needs resources and markets. China Is In Economic Dire Straits And They’re No Longer Able To Hide It https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/china-economic-dire-straits-and-theyre-no-longer-able-hide-it

    #186607
    John Day
    Participant

    Chinese Plastics Factories Face Mass Closure As US Ethane Supply Evaporates​ https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/chinese-plastics-factories-face-mass-closure-us-ethane-disappears

    ​ Chinese pride: Pepe Escobar, The Shanghai Spirit – China Will Take No Bullying
    In all conversations and debates, a constant: no illusions about Trump 2.0’s shifting strategy, and how it should be turned against him, Sun Tzu-style; how China must amass a solid set of bargaining chips; and most of all how, from the beginning, this was always a war of an elite section of the American ruling classes on China. The rest of the world is a sideshow.
    So it’s no wonder that in every business dinner, after a matchless gastronomic feast, the conversation soon veered on how China’s strategy will not be about immediate damage control; and how China is already eyeing new links and nodes to deepen its long-term global competitiveness.
    It’s an open question whether Trump 2.0 and his team of Sinophobes will manage to prevent the emergence of a Global Majority strategic alliance against the Empire of Chaos.
    In Shanghai, and across China, submission is simply not an option. In cultural terms, Trump has managed to antagonize 1.4 billion Chinese, simultaneously, by treating the civilization-state without respect. The one thing that irks Chinese the most is mistreatment (see, for instance, the “century of humiliation”). https://sputnikglobe.com/20250421/pepe-escobar-the-shanghai-spirit-china-will-take-no-bullying–1121902677.html

    In a hole and digging: “China Will Never Accept It”: Beijing Warns Countries Against Trade Deal With Trump At China’s Expense https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-will-never-accept-it-beijing-warns-countries-against-trade-deal-trump-chinas-expense

    Xi has to deliver for China or he dare not meet: Trump wants direct talks with Xi – Politico
    The US president is reportedly not interested in informal diplomatic contact with China on trade https://swentr.site/news/616077-trump-wants-talks-xi/
    Gobbledygook may mean that critical-AI-mass must be reached to control human populations, no matter how much electricity it takes out of the real economy.
    AI Power Demand Is Remaking Our Energy Ecosystem, While Painting A Target On Its Own Back
    ​ The energy transition and AI revolution are fundamentally reshaping our relationship with electricity from the demand and supply sides simultaneously.
    Ambitious and novel energy projects, from Stargate to Southern Company’s new Vogtle nuclear plant to Google’s combined data center and solar energy industrial parks are helping advance this vision.
    ​ If we make the right choices now—bringing security considerations into our infrastructure investments and enlisting the right partners in that cause—we can build an energy system that is not just cleaner and more abundant, but fundamentally more defensible than what came before.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ai-power-demand-remaking-our-energy-ecosystem-while-painting-target-its-own-back

    #186608
    John Day
    Participant

    ​She and her family were spot-bombed at home by Israel after she made a good documentary. Caitlin Johnstone,
    “I Want A Death That The World Will Hear” — Journalist Assassinated By Israel For Telling The Truth
    ​ Israel assassinated a photojournalist in Gaza in an airstrike targeting her family’s home on Wednesday, the day after it was announced that a documentary she appears in would premier in Cannes next month.
    ​ Her name was Fatima Hassouna. Nine members of her family were also reportedly killed in the bombing. She was going to get married in a few days.
    The documentary is titled Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk, and it’s about Israel’s crimes in Gaza.​ https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/i-want-a-death-that-the-world-will

    ​ With Eye on Iran, US Sends Bunker-Busting Bombs to Israel
    Nine shipments of US munitions capable of hitting underground facilities arrived in Israel last week.​ https://news.antiwar.com/2025/04/20/with-eye-on-iran-us-sends-bunker-busting-bombs-to-israel/

    Houthis Claim Attacks On Two US Aircraft Carrier Groups Off Yemen​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/houthis-claim-attacks-two-us-aircraft-carrier-groups-yemen

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow, President Putin’s 30-hour Easter cease-fire
    As of now, the Russians have reported that the Ukrainians violated the cease-fire hundreds of times over the past night, sending drones and artillery shells their way. Of course, for their part, Kiev was already last night denouncing alleged Russian violations. And yet the tally is not exactly equal. The major Western media were obliged to report Vladimir Putin’s speech to the armed forces yesterday ordering the cease fire, and he looked very earnest on screen. By contrast, Volodymir Zelensky’s taped response looked scrappy and ill-prepared.
    ​ Finally, I wish to add here a further consideration on the seemingly poor judgment of Team Trump in advancing the Kellogg solution as the end game to the war. Surely, they understood as I do that this solution would be unacceptable to both warring parties. Accordingly, it is entirely possible, if not likely that Trump chose it precisely in order to provide himself with a justification before his opponents in the States and abroad for washing his hands of Ukraine when the parties reject it.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2025/04/20/president-putins-30-hour-easter-cease-fire/

    ​Simplicius has more information. Both sides retrieved bodies from battlefields: Easter Ceasefire Brings Brief Glimmer of Humanity Amidst the Chaos https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/easter-ceasefire-brings-brief-glimmer

    #186609
    John Day
    Participant

    Putin and Trump both dislike “Eurofascism” (bankers?): Opposition to ‘Eurofascism’ driving rapprochement with US – Russian spy agency
    Western Europe is predisposed to tyranny and “global conflicts,” Moscow’s Foreign Intelligence Service says​ https://swentr.site/russia/616011-svr-eurofascism-france-britain/

    ​Actually? European Union bans commemorating the defeat of Nazi Germany
    The European Union is warning European leaders not to attend the 80th anniversary of Victory Day in Moscow on May 9.
    ​ Ostensibly, the rationale for such a ban is that Russia is allegedly waging a war against Ukraine and threatening the rest of Europe, according to the EU. That’s one way of seeing it.
    ​ Another way of seeing the matter is that the conflict in Ukraine is a proxy war sponsored by the EU and NATO to defeat Russia, eight decades after Nazi Germany failed to do it.​ https://strategic-culture.su/news/2025/04/18/european-union-bans-commemorating-defeat-of-nazi-germany/

    ​ Putin reacts to EU threats over Victory Day
    The Russian leader has praised the bravery of European leaders who defy Brussels to visit Moscow for the May 9 celebration​ https://swentr.site/russia/616076-putin-reacts-eu-pushback/

    Trump hopeful for Russia-Ukraine peace deal ‘this week’​ Moscow and Kiev have accused each other of violating an Easter truce​ https://swentr.site/russia/616036-hopefully-russia-ukraine-peace-trump/

    ​They can geolocate such images. where was he? Shooting Russians? Congressman Visits Ukraine Frontlines, Filmed Firing Heavy Weapon https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/congressman-visits-ukraine-frontlines-filmed-firing-heavy-weapon

    #186610
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Republican war-poseur U.S. Congressman Backtracks On Social Media Post Claiming He Fired Weapons At Nuclear-Armed Russia​
    ​ “It was my profound honor to deliver a very ‘personal’ message to Vladimir Putin today, from the front lines of the war near the Russian border, on behalf of our PA-1 community. The only permissible details to share are that ‘the message was delivered on target,’” the post reads.
    ​ The “personal” message was scrawled on one or more pictured artillery shells. It said, “To: Putin From PA-1 [Fitzpatrick’s district near Philadelphia] #PeaceThroughStrength.”
    ​ Ostensibly taken near the Russian border, the video shows Fitzpatrick firing two projectiles. “The message was delivered on target,” but the congressman said could not give any more details.​ https://thefederalist.com/2025/04/21/u-s-congressman-backtracks-on-social-media-post-claiming-he-fired-weapons-at-nuclear-armed-russia/​

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow​, Russian Vessels on the Line: Moscow Threatens Consequences for Baltic Provocations!
    Aside from the official protests and warnings from the Russian Ministry of Affairs spokeswoman Zakharova that the video exhibits, the Russian talk shows have been devoting attention to the Estonian provocations. Last night’s Solovyov program gave the subject ample time, with the host suggesting that Russia is ready to send military vessels to accompany its commercial ships through the Baltic waters and is ready not only to sink whatever navy Estonia thinks it has​, but to level the country to the ground.
    ​ We can assume that the authorities in Tallinn are watching these Russian shows and are unlikely to take actions that would precipitate the Russian response that has been sketched for them.
    ​ I close this brief note with one other observation from last night’s Solovyov show, this time from the retired colonel who regularly appears as panelist. He remarked that Merz does not know what he is talking about, since the Taurus, while a good missile, is utterly unsuited for a mission of destroying a bridge. Its main use is for destroying underground bunkers and the like. Moreover, the Ukrainians will require some period of time to put any Taurus missiles to use. It can be carried by the French fighter jets that are on promise, by the Eurofighters which are not yet on delivery schedule to Kiev, but not by the F-16s which they recently received. Surely a solution will be found to enable use of the Taurus, but not at once. Or to put it more broadly: not in time to save the necks of the floundering Ukrainian armed forces now under strong pressure from a Russian offensive.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2025/04/21/russian-vessels-on-the-line-moscow-threatens-consequences-for-baltic-provocations-tn-world/

    ​ Trump plans new envoy trip to Russia – CNN
    Steve Witkoff, who has already met with President Putin three times this year, has reportedly been tasked with getting Moscow to agree to a Ukraine peace framework​ https://swentr.site/news/616006-cnn-witkoff-another-meeting-russians-ukraine-peace/

    ​ The non-NATO country could be India. ​Ukraine would “recognize” that Russia holds the land it holds, but would call it “Ukraine”. ​Who would sign for Ukraine?​ New York Post learns details of ceasefire monitoring plan within Trump’s peace initiative​ Details: Although the details of the peace deal have not yet been determined, a senior administration official told the news outlet that they could include the deployment of European forces to Ukraine if a ceasefire is reached. “The hard part is what does a security force look like – we’re calling that a ‘resiliency force’,” the official said.
    ​ “The resiliency force is part of the security guarantees that the Ukrainians want and we hope they get,” he added.
    A separate force to monitor the ceasefire is also being discussed. It would be a joint commission of Russians, Ukrainians, and a third non-NATO country. The mission would monitor the front line to ensure that both sides lay down their arms.​ https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/04/22/7508622/

    ​ Putin Offers To Halt Fighting Along Current Front Lines In Ukraine President Vladimir Putin has offered to halt his invasion of Ukraine across the current front line as part of ongoing efforts to work with US President Donald Trump toward reaching a permanent peace deal. This reportedly happened during ongoing dialogue with Trump’s top envoys.
    ​ This is according to several sources which spoke to Financial Times, which wrote further in a Tuesday report, “The proposal is the first formal indication Putin has given since the war’s early months three years ago that Russia could step back from its maximalist demands to end the invasion.”
    ​ “The Russian president told Steve Witkoff, Trump’s special envoy, during a meeting in St Petersburg earlier this month that Moscow could relinquish its claims to areas of four partly occupied Ukrainian regions that remain under Kyiv’s control, three of the people said”​. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/putin-offers-freeze-ukraine-invasion-along-current-front-line-report

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