ashvin

May 092012
 
 May 9, 2012  Posted by at 6:52 pm Finance Comments Off on Political Machinations of Greece (LIVE)

Alexis Tsipras on the left, PASOK Chief Evangelos Venizelos on the right

Athens News Live Blog: 9.30pm After his attempts to form a government, the Syriza leader, Alexis Tsipras, has said he will hand back the exploratory mandate to form a government to the president at 1pm on Thursday, since the creation of a coalition government was not made possible.

Tsipras, addressing the first session of the party’s new parliamentary group, the members of which he called “comrades”, he said that it was clear that Syriza’s proposals “had broad social support but weak parliamentary support”. “We cannot make our dream for a government of the left a reality; we shall continue, however, to be in the front line of the struggle,” he added.

Tsipras said that not all was lost and that the party had succeeded in getting its message out there: “The new [austerity] measures and how they can be pushed through parliament are no longer in the spotlight. We have forced a discussion on our policies, which were backed by the people at the polls, and this is a great victory.”

Via Ekathimerini:“I call on all the political forces of the center-right, those who entered and those who remained out of Parliament, to set aside personal differences and party rivalry to protect the rights built up over the last few decades,” said Samaras.

However, by last night there had been no positive responses to Samaras’s call. “I do not think Mr Samaras can be trusted to pull something together at a time when New Democracy is falling apart,” said Manos, who said it would be much easier for his party to join forces with Democratic Alliance.

Karatzaferis was also dismissive of a return to ND, which he considers the home of two MPs – Adonis Georgiadis and Makis Voridis – who “betrayed” LAOS when they joined the conservatives.

Twitter Update: The parties keep hitting us with the danger of us exiting the but their policies have cost us 75mil euro

According to Bloomberg flashes, Alexis Tsipras, head of the left-wing, anti-memorandum Syriza party, has just said he will NOT be able to form a coalition government with New Democracy or PASOK. If true, then this means that Greece must go to another round of elections and that the rest of us, including those still foolsih enough to have money invested in the markets, will be left with high levels of uncertainty/volatility for a few more weeks. More importantly, though, it shows that the Greek political complex has become much too rigid and reactionary for the Eurocrats to manage.

Here are some other updates from Athens News Live Blog (will add any relevant updates at the top as they come in):

9.01pm< KKE has moved to ask for another electional battle./i>

 

8.59pm New Democracy leader Antonis Samaras has commented on his meeting with Alexis Tsipras and naturally, it isn’t positive. Samaras noted that he would back a government of national security if it meant staying in the euro. Furthermore, he added that he alone had sent a letter to Brussels asking for significant changes in the bailout policy and as that letter had been positively received, he saw no point in going back on such a request. He stressed that in negating the memorandum, Alexis Tsipras wants Greece to exit the euro and enter into bankruptcy. “This is something I cannot agree to” he said. He noted that the Greek public had voted for a political change, but also to stay in the euro. The ball is now firmly in the court of Evangelos Venizelos, but there is little hope that he will find a solution where others have not.

May 082012
 
 May 8, 2012  Posted by at 11:24 pm Finance Comments Off on Spain Has Been Shut Out

Mariano Rajoy, Prime Minister of Spain, made a very interesting comment in the Senate today. He told the politicians that virtually EVERYONE in Spain, including banks, corporations and regional governments, have been locked out of credit markets. The only institution that is still able to issue debt, according to Rajoy, is the Spanish Treasury itself. Now, that’s a frightening statement for the leader of a country to make in public – yet what’s even more frightening for the Spanish people, one-fourth of whom are unemployed, is that it can’t be too far from the truth.

Emma-Ross Thomas reports from Madrid for Bloomberg (h/t po1):

Spain Says Treasury Is Only Entity Left Able to Get Funding

 

Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said the debt agency is the only borrower left in Spain that can finance itself on markets as banks, companies and regional administrations have been shut out.

 

“Today, the Treasury is practically the only one that finances itself on the markets,” he said in the Senate in Madrid today. Being locked out of debt markets isn’t “theoretical” as it’s “happening to the immense majority of regions, our whole financial sector and most big companies.”

 

Rajoy once again raised the threat of an international bailout as he seeks to convince Spaniards to accept spending cuts even as unemployment approaches 25 percent. His comments also underline the challenge the government faces as it tries to overhaul the banking industry without overburdening public finances.

 

Rajoy, in power since December, declined to answer a question from reporters as he left the Senate on how much public money may be needed to shore up Bankia, the lender with the biggest Spanish asset base and 38 billion euros ($49 billion) of real-estate assets.

 

Alfonso Alonso, the head of Rajoy’s People’s Party in Parliament, said today it seems “obvious” that Bankia will need help cleaning up its balance sheet after the Economy Ministry said it aimed to restructure the lender. Rodrigo Rato said yesterday he was standing aside as chairman of the group and proposed Jose Ignacio Goirigolzarri, former chief operating officer of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya SA (BBVA), as executive chairman.

When you think about it, though, even the Spanish Treasury has been effectively locked out of private credit markets. It has only been able to receive funding at relatively low interest rates (compared to those of, say, Greece) by the good grace of the ECB, which has gifted under-secured cash to the peripheral European banks, which have, in turn, recycled that cash into their government’s debt. At the same time, bond markets have been somewhat placated by the constant expectation that either the EFSF/ESM will acquire enough capital to backstop Italy and Spain, or that the ECB/Germany will relent and agree to directly monetize Eurozone government bonds.

Both of those things are looking extremely unlikely at this point, especially in the wake of the Greek/French elections and the message that systemic austerity will no longer be tolerated. Without the pillars of austerity and “structural adjustment”, there is very little justification for the ECB or Germany to continue backstopping the peripheral finances of the Eurozone. It’s not as if the consumers or businesses in these countries can even afford to buy Germany’s exports anymore, as made all too clear by Rajoy’s comments, and the failure of peripheral banks is all but guaranteed. When a financial institution such as Bankia is bailed out, make no mistake – there will be no one able or willing to bail out the Spanish Treasury.

May 072012
 
 May 7, 2012  Posted by at 5:17 pm Finance Comments Off on A Defiant, Yet Desperate Leap Into the Dark

It is now 100% clear to everyone that the European people, and specifically the Greek people, are almost unified in their resistance to further austerity. Last year, we would occasionally hear some ill-informed pundits squack on about how most of the Greeks still like the Euro and wouldn’t really mind making “a few” sacrifices to stay in it, but now those people are forced to shut up, sit back and learn a thing or two. The message of “no more austerity for the people and welfare for the banks” has reached an unquestionable level of pitch perfection.

The fate of Greece, its political economy and its people, though, still remains as uncertain as ever. There are still many issues the Greeks must hammer out for themselves WITHOUT the interference of the Troika. While the people have clearly expressed their unwillingness to entertain any more pro-austerity policies crafted by the “moderate” coalition government of PASOK and ND, they have not made clear whether they will ultimately embrace the policies of the far left or the far right, or a combination of both.

There are both major advantages to be had and major pitfalls to be encountered with either one. What is clear, though, is that a turn too far to the right, i.e. to the Golden Dawn neo-nazi party and its policy platform, may be a turn into the most bitter parts of European history in the 20th century. It would be tragic for the Greeks to finally escape an oppressive EU regime only to fall under the dictates of an equally oppressive/dangerous reactionary regime, which would also have consequences for the rest of Europe and the world. Maria Margaronis describes Greece’s sudden “leap into the dark” in an article for the Guardian.

Greece takes a leap into the dark, driven by defiance and despair

 

The message of Sunday’s election in Greece is clear: the Greeks have said no to more of the cuts and austerity measures that have devastated the country, pushing unemployment above 20%, shattering the healthcare system, tearing families apart and leading some to suicide. It was above all a vote of rage against the two major parties, Pasok and New Democracy, which between them ran the economy into the ground, signed up to a disastrous austerity programme in exchange for dead-end bailouts from the EU and IMF, and then allowed the blows to fall on the most vulnerable.

 

The medium, though, is more confused and troubling. As elsewhere in Europe, the draining away of the centre has revealed a jagged landscape: the shorthand of “extremes of left and right” doesn’t begin to map it. The most obvious rift in Greece in the last months – a rift that’s been described to me more than once as a “civil war”– has been between those who are for and against the “memorandum”, the EU/IMF schedule of demands. The pro-memorandum forces want to keep Greece in the eurozone at any cost; most of their opponents also want to stay in Europe – but not of “Merkozy”, austerity and the banks.

 

Across that rift runs an older, deeper one, whose roots go back at least as far as to the actual civil war that followed the Axis occupation, leading to 30 years in which the left was outlawed, and culminating in the neo-fascist junta of 1967 to 1974. The social and political collapse brought by the crisis has revived those memories, too, as well as old family loyalties. In the summer of 2011, when the aganaktismenoi (“outraged”) of Syntagma Square briefly became the darlings of the foreign media, conservative truck drivers could rub shoulders with eco warriors and direct democracy mavens; the Greek flag could stand for self-determination as well as nationalism. But not any more.

 

The biggest shock of yesterday’s election was the arrival of the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn in parliament, with 21 out of 300 seats and 7% of the popular vote – the first neo-Nazi party to enter a European assembly since the second world war.

 

Its leader, Nikolaos Michaloliakos, threw Greek journalists who wouldn’t rise for him out of his press conference and dedicated his victory to “the brave boys in the black shirts”. “Those who slander us,” he barked, and “those who betray this country should be afraid: we’re coming.” Near Kalavryta in the Peloponnese, the site of one of the most terrible Nazi massacres in the 1940s, Golden Dawn graffiti calls for “a new Holocaust to clear the filth from the country”.

 

It’s not yet clear, demographically, where this horrifying surge has come from. But Golden Dawn won votes across much of the country – and not just in the inner cities, where it is encouraging the persecution of immigrants and woos old ladies with offers to escort them to the cash machine. It also got the votes of one in 10 young people. Adding Golden Dawn’s vote to those of the other two far-right parties, Laos and Panos Kammenos’ Independent Greeks, one in five Greeks voted for rabid nationalism and anti-immigrant rhetoric.

 

Three things have nurtured the rise of Golden Dawn and its less flagrant cousins. First, the humiliation and rage provoked by the austerity measures and by the crude scapegoating of Greeks abroad; second, the presence of thousands of destitute migrants desperate to go north but trapped in Greece by the EU’s cynical migration policies; third, the fact that mainstream politicians – especially but not only conservative New Democracy leader and likely new prime minister Antonis Samaras – have shamelessly pandered to their blood-and-belonging nationalism. Samaras has promised to support the church and religious education and to repeal a law giving citizenship to children of legal immigrants; one of his campaign ads featured Hagia Sophia in Istanbul, the lost cathedral of Byzantium and symbol of Greek irredentism, shorn of its Ottoman minarets.

 

The other surprise winner inlast night’s election was Alexis Tsipras’s Syriza, the Coalition of the Radical Left, which easily beat Pasok to second place, sweeping all of the greater Athens region and Thessaloniki. But predictions either of a revolution on the edge of Europe or of a miraculous rebirth of radical politics are a little premature. Syriza is not so much a party as a campaign coalition, the product of repeated efforts to bind the fissiparous Greek left into an electoral force. Its deepest historical root is in the old Eurocommunist party, but it includes a range of tendencies from Trotskyist to left nationalist, from Maoist to green.

 

Tsipras’s stroke of genius in the election campaign was to offer a political home to a broad spectrum of anti-memorandum forces: the trade unionists disillusioned with Pasok, the protesters in the squares, the occupiers of schools and government buildings, the organisers of solidarity networks and barter systems and alternative micro-economies. His popularity surged a few weeks ago when he proposed a government of the three left parties, including the Communists (who would never allow such a thing). Adept at being all things to all potential constituents, he has made few proposals for reform beyond making the rich pay tax; he speaks easily of “the people” and has implicitly compared himself to Chávez and Allende.

 

Tsipras is the man of the moment, the one who has managed to channel a diffuse but powerful hunger for rebellion and release; but beyond rejecting the memorandum, it’s not clear what he plans to do with his new power. Like all left populists, has a nationalist streak: he condemned the last government for being “not quite Greeks”, and though he has been impeccable on race and immigration, he hasn’t ruled out co-operating with the hard-right Independent Greeks on the issue of the memorandum.

 

Greece has said no to austerity; it isn’t clear what it’s said yes to yet. Much will depend on what kind of government, if any, can be formed out of the fragments and on what happens elsewhere in Europe: on whether François Hollande sticks to his promises, on next year’s election in Germany. Driven by a heady mixture of defiance and despair, the Greeks have taken a frightening, thrilling leap into the dark. We can’t know yet where it will take them, or the rest of us.

May 062012
 
 May 6, 2012  Posted by at 6:34 pm Finance Comments Off on Escape from the Eurozone

It appears that the Eurocrats still haven’t managed to structurally assassinate democracy in Europe, and they are running out of time to get the job done. The weekend’s elections in Greece and France were a major disappointment for the EU experiment, to say the least. One of the key pillars of that experiment has become the drive for an impossible level of “fiscal discipline” through austerity, and now this pillar is facing its most existential threat to date.

Democracy Still Isn’t Dead in Europe

“As long as strains of democracy remain alive and well within Eurozone nations, the Euro will be buried that much deeper in its grave. And for every inch deeper it goes, it will take much more than an inch to get back to where it was before. Remember, it takes a lot of effort/coordination to keep the Euro alive, and very little to let it die. In the “distant future”, there most likely won’t be anyone deciding any issues for an entire continent of people.”

The European people have now pushed the Euro a few more feet under, as they expressed their discontent in voting booths located in both the periphery and the core, and there is no doubt that the entire world will take notice in upcoming weeks. The most important story of the weekend is the one in Greece, where the pan-European, pro-banker platform of austericide for the masses first began and may first end. Greek political parties that are critical of the status quo bailout-austerity process took down a whopping 33%+ of the vote.

The left-wing Syriza party and right-wing Independent Greeks party want to nullify all the agreements reached with the Troika to date, or “abolish the memorandum”, and the communist KKE party would like to leave the EMU altogether. Meanwhile, the pro-austerity PASOK and New Democracy parties got pummeled down to just above 30% of the vote, down from 77% in the 2009 elections. It is also the first time the neo-nazi Golden Dawn party is set to gain enough votes (6-7%) to get seats in Parliament, which certainly adds something to the bitter sentiment draping the country now.

Here is a report on the results from Ekathimerini:

Election swing leaves Greece teetering

 

Greece was plunged into political uncertainty on Sunday night as national elections produced a fragmented Parliament of at least seven parties and a result that could preclude New Democracy and PASOK forming a coalition government over the next few days.

 

The possibility of the two parties that backed Greece’s new bailout combining their forces was undermined by a collapse in their support, particularly in the case of PASOK. The Socialists suffered a drubbing around the country and looked to have been beaten into third place by the Coalition of the Radical Left (SYRIZA) with what could be PASOK’s worst ever showing at the ballot box.

 

The election result was also notable for the entry into Parliament of the neo-Nazi Chrysi Avgi (Golden Dawn), which in 2009 had only gained 0.29 percent of the vote and looked set to gather close to 7 percent at these elections.

 

With 45 percent of the vote counted last night, New Democracy was leading with 20.23 percent. It was followed by SYRIZA on 15.94 percent and PASOK on 13.92 percent. The right-wing anti-bailout Independent Greeks party, formed just a few months ago, came fourth with 10.40 percent. The Communist Party (KKE) garnered 8.36 percent, which was lower than most opinion polls had suggested. Chrysi Avgi gained 6.84 percent and the Democratic Left was the last party certain of a place in Parliament with 5.99 percent.

 

Two other parties, Ecologist Greens and the nationalist Popular Orthodox Rally (LAOS), were close to gaining seats in the House with less than half of the votes counted.

 

The result means that in the best-case scenario, New Democracy, which will be awarded an extra 50 seats, and PASOK would only have a majority of a few MPs in the 300-seat Parliament. Even if they were able to agree to form a coalition, it would have weak political legitimacy in wake of an election that saw Greek voters move en masse toward parties that opposed the bailout agreed with the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

 

PASOK leader Evangelos Venizelos and New Democracy chief Antonis Samaras both declared themselves open to the idea of forming a pro-European national unity administration that would include other parties and would seek to renegotiate the terms of the EU-IMF loan agreement.

 

 

However, the possibility of a third group joining such a government looked extremely slim last night.

 

Perhaps the best hope for Greece’s two main parties would have been Democratic Left, which maintained a clear pro-European stance during the campaign. However, party leader Fotis Kouvelis repeated his position that cooperation with New Democracy and PASOK was not in Democratic Left’s intentions. “The results show people’s frustration and anger,” he said.

 

A failure by PASOK and ND to form a government would leave second-placed SYRIZA, the night’s big winners, with the option of trying to form a government. Greece’s electoral law means that in case of a hung parliament, the first party has three days to form a government, followed by the second party and then the group that comes in third.

 

SYRIZA leader Alexis Tsipras, who at 38 led his party to its best election showing, ruled out the option of working with either New Democracy or PASOK and said he would try to form a coalition of parties opposed to the EU-IMF memorandum, starting with those on the left.

 

Tsipras said in a speech from his headquarters that the austerity policies of German Chancellor Angela Merkel “have suffered a crushing defeat.” He said he would appeal to the “forces of the left” in a bid to form a coalition to “abolish the memorandum.” “Their signatures have been undermined by the popular mandate,” he said, referring to the leaders of the outgoing coalition government.

 

 

If the top three parties fail to form a coalition government, President Karolos Papoulias has the right to broker a deal to create a national unity administration. If this effort fails, Greece will have to go to new elections.

“Political uncertainty” is just a bit of an under-statement here, even for a country like Greece. This unsurprising, yet forceful rebuke of the Eurocratic agenda by the Greek people calls into question all of the austerity-soaked adhesive that was acting as the ONLY thing still holding the Union together. We see a somewhat milder, yet very similar popular sentiment being expressed in France through democratic elections as well. The bottom line there is that pro-austerity, status quo President Sarkozy is out, and the guy critical of it all, Francois Hollande, is in.

Here’s Henry Samuel for the Telegraph:

France elections 2012: Francois Hollande victory sets EU on course for turmoil

 

The effects in France were equally as momentous as those in Greece as Mr Sarkozy was ousted from the Elysée after just one term in the worst setback for the centre-Right for over 30 years.

 

The “silent majority” that Mr Sarkozy repeatedly swore would “submerge” his Socialist rival and all those who predicted he stood no chance, failed to speak up at the 11th hour.

 

 

Exit polls cited by France 2 television gave the Socialist 51.9 per cent of the vote with a turnout of around 81 per cent, as joyful crowds gathered in his rural fiefdom of Tulle and in front of Socialist headquarters in Paris. Mr Hollande was expected to pledge his victory would be a force for change not just in France but in Europe, as he prepared for a political battle with Angela Merkel between her economic doctrine of austerity and his emphasis on state spending to kick start the economy.

 

The triumphant candidate reacted to his victory by telling supporters he had a mandate to change France.

 

“On this May 6, the French have just chosen change in bearing me to the office of president,” the 57 year-old told a cheering crowd in his hometown of Tulle, in the rural Corrèze region. “It is the French dream that I will strive to make whole during the mandate that has just been given me.”

 

Jean-Marc Ayrault, the man who is expected to be France’s next prime minister, said: “We must get out of this austerity in Europe and tonight all our partners in governments around Europe have understood that was the choice of François Hollande to re-orient Europe.”

 

Up to 100,000 jubilant supporters flocked to Paris’s revolutionary Place de la Bastille, a pilgrimage site for the Left, chanting “François President”.

 

Many were too young to remember that it was here that a gigantic crowd gathered for the 1981 victory of the last Socialist president, François Mitterrand.

BUT, despite all of this popular resistance against the status quo across Europe, it is a mistake to think that the banking/corporate elite will simply turn off the bailout-austerity wealth convyer without a fight here. As Hollande prepares to take office and establish his policy agenda, the markets will apply enormous amounts of pressure on him to reverse course and take a more pro-austerity stance, as will many of the people surrounding him. However, the same tactics are very unlikely to work in Greece at this point – a country now closer than ever to its bittersweet escape from the Eurozone.

May 062012
 
 May 6, 2012  Posted by at 6:01 pm Shelter Comments Off on Retrospective #3: Thermal Mass

This is the third in an ongoing series documenting the principles and practice of eco-thrifty renovation by Estwing of the ETR Blog, being published every Saturday in the Wanganui Chronicle.

 


Last week I wrapped up my column with words of wisdom that did not quite make the list of trending terms on Twitter. For those of you who missed the re-Tweets, those words were, “A window is simply a hole in the side of your home with a piece of glass (two if you’re lucky) in it. Windows can gain heat energy or lose it. Because winter is the time of year that we’re mostly concerned about this, I’ll put it as straightforward as possible. In winter, northerly facing windows are net energy gainers and southerly facing windows are net energy losers. Summer is a different story, and there is such a thing as too much incoming solar heating even in winter, just ask the hippies from the 1970’s who had good intentions but incomplete design ideas.”

Did anyone ask an aging hippy? If so, they probably said those early passive solar structures were too damn hot on sunny winter days and that they had to open the windows to keep it comfortable. That’s because they probably had heaps of sun-facing glazing but not enough thermal mass. Thermal what? This is probably the least understood aspect of passive solar design, which it probably why it was overlooked by many early solar builders (who may or may not have also been under the influence of Jimi Hendrix.)

Just as solar gain is easy to understand by thinking about a car parked in the sun, thermal mass can be experienced by placing one’s hand (or bum) on a sun-baked stone or concrete stoop or curb 30 minutes after sundown. Massive things (ie, they contain lots of mass) gain heat slowly and lose it slowly. Wanganui owes its moderate climate in large part to the thermal mass of the Tasman Sea. Water and anything that sinks in water can be classified as ‘massive’ while anything that floats in water is more ‘insulative’. (Insulation will be discussed next week.) Just as the Tasman moderates Wanganui’s climate, certain massive elements inside of the building envelope can moderate a structure’s climate. In new dwellings this usually takes the form of an insulated concrete slab. But our 100 year-old villa is on piles. How did we add mass without buckling our aging rimu floor joists? (Truth be told, I did sister up some of the joists before we took the measures described below, but that was purely precautionary. I am VERY conservative.)

We added thermal mass in three ways, and did so only on the north side of our home and only in places where the low-angle sun strikes it directly during winter months. For the most part, our thermal mass is invisible. In other words, if you walked through our home it would not be immediately apparent. For example, on those walls that receive direct sunlight in winter we added an extra layer of plasterboard (aka Gib). The mass of plasterboard can be ascertained by selecting a sheet measuring 1.2 X 2.4 metres and lifting it over one’s head. Another ‘invisible’ way we added mass was to install an antique, cast iron, claw-foot bathtub in our sun-drenched bathroom. (Ascertain mass as described above.)

 

 

And finally, we added mass inside of our building envelope by the careful locating of our code-approved antique Shacklock 501 coal range (300 kg), with brick surround (300 kg) and steel-reinforced, fully inspected concrete hearth (100 kg). This 700 kg behemoth receives direct sunlight in winter from three different windows at three different times of day.

 

This 700 kilogram beast stores sunlight energy on clear days and can be fired up with wood on cloudy days.

 

This heat energy is stored in the mass, which prevents our home from overheating, and then releases it slowly at night as our home cools (despite our best efforts to hold in the heat with insulation: the topic of next week’s column).

PS – I learned yesterday that a house behind us was purchased by some Australian speculators for $75,000 four months ago. They’ve spent $50,000 renovating and it was just appraised for $90,000. And it is still uninsulated. Glad we went the eco-thrifty route.

Peace, Estwing

Apr 302012
 
 April 30, 2012  Posted by at 3:56 pm Finance Comments Off on “If Only” They Had Listened

Protest against education and health care spending cuts in Madrid on April 29, 2012

The populist reaction to bankster-led austerity in Europe is reaching a boiling point now, as elections near in several countries (Greece, France) and there is no way for politicians to spin the record levels of unemployment and ubiquitous conditions of credit/economic contraction that now exist. A full quarter of the adult populations in Greece and Spain are unemployed, the other peripheral nations are fast approaching that same critical territory and even the “core” nations have officially re-entered what the pundits call “recession”. Perhaps the most disappointing thing about all of these realizations is that they are only happening now.

What if the Europeans had listened to the numerous analysts who were screaming at them YEARS ago that propping up the monetary union and the European banking system through systemic austerity programs was a recipe for economic disaster? We hear that type of thing a lot, don’t we? “If only” they had done this, “if only” they had done that. Yet, we always end up in this last minute, fourth down situation in which the next play offered up is going to absolutely WILD and with little chance of success. That’s not to say the populist movements won’t succeed, but only that a lot of different things have to go right for them to abandon the current suicidal austerity regimes and exit the Union in a peaceful and relatively orderly way.

It is a very stressful and disappointing situation to be in, but I believe we will at least find out soon what the last play of this Eurocratic game from Hell will be. If not the last play, then one of the plays leading up to the last play. We cannot say for certain what the outcome of these plays will be, but we can be sure that it will be a messy one for almost all Europeans involved, and that’s what really leaves me feeling crushed with disappointment today. On the other hand, it is still uplifting to see the European protesters in action, fighting for their rights until the bitter end, whatever end that may be. Here’s Patrick Donahue for Bloomberg:

Europe’s Anti-Austerity Calls Mount as Elections Near

 

A recession in Spain and forecasts of rising unemployment in the 17-nation euro area are amplifying criticism of the German-led austerity agenda in election campaigns this week in France and Greece.

 

With Spain’s largest unions leading marches involving thousands of protesters in 55 cities yesterday, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s government battled to prevent Spain from becoming the next country to seek a bailout. In France, where the presidential-election runoff is set for May 6, Socialist frontrunner Francois Hollande pushed back against German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s focus on deficit reduction.

 

Watching Spain now is exactly like watching Ireland around October 2010 before Ireland was forced into its bailout,” Megan Greene, a senior economist at Roubini Global Economics LLC, told Bloomberg Television’s “Street Smart” on April 27. “The government can’t win no matter what it does.”

 

Spain’s economy shrank in the first quarter as the nation officially entered its second recession since 2009. Gross domestic product contracted 0.3 percent. Joblessness in the euro area probably to rose to 10.9 percent last month, the highest since 1997, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

 

As Spanish joblessness reached almost one in four of the working-age population, Hollande demanded that euro-area leaders move to promoting growth from cutting budgets, as agreed by 25 European governments in the so-called fiscal pact. Merkel drew the line at re-opening talks on the fiscal treaty, though she said growth could be boosted with labor-market reform and European Union funding.

 

 

A war of words erupted last week between Hollande, who decried Germany’s fiscal-focused leadership in the two-year-old financial crisis, and Merkel, who said that the turmoil can’t be resolved without cutting debt. Polls show that Hollande is likely to succeed Nicolas Sarkozy as France’s next president after winning the first round of voting April 22.

 

“You, the French people, are going to vote to give Europe a new focus on growth, on progress, on the future,” Hollande told 17,000 supporters yesterday in Paris. “The head of the ECB can also see that some government heads also understand that austerity alone won’t help cut debt. They are starting to hear what we are saying,” he said.

 

Greece will also hold elections on May 6, with polls indicating no party will win enough votes for a parliamentary majority. The lack of a clear mandate could complicate Greek bailout efforts, since the new government must spell out to global creditors in June how it will make fresh budget cuts.

 

Spain figured at the center of last week’s debate, with borrowing costs climbing after Standard & Poor’s cut the kingdom’s sovereign credit rating for the second time this year, to BBB+ from A, on concern about further fiscal tightening and the country’s banks.

 

Roubini’s Greene said that concerns on Spanish debt were self-sustaining as markets gyrated from worries about the effects of more austerity to a lack of budget discipline. She predicted Spain would seek bailout aid early next year [I predict sooner].

Apr 262012
 
 April 26, 2012  Posted by at 7:30 pm Finance Comments Off on Dangerous Debt Collectors

If you have the bad luck to find yourself taking a trip to a hospital in Minnesota, Michigan or Utah in the near future, be on the lookout for debt collectors from Accretive Health posing as hospital employees, accessing your private medical records and trying to get at your wallet while simulatenously discouraging you from taking on any additional medical treatment, regardless of whether you may actually need it to oh, say, save your life. Private collection companies like Accretive and their practices represent the quintessence of debts, legitimate or otherwise, endangering one’s physical health.

Following up on the Physical Risks of Debt presented a few days ago, in which we discussed the use of “debtors’ prisons” as a means of coercing payments, a related and just developing story was brought to my attention (h/t JoeP). It is the rather egregious story of “undercover” debt collectors who pose as the front-line staff of hospitals, including employees working in patient registration, scheduling and billing, with the full support of the hospitals that house them. This story was just broken by the New York Times on Tuesday, with Jessica Silver-Greenerg reporting:

Debt Collector Is Faulted for Tough Tactics in Hospitals

 

Hospital patients waiting in an emergency room or convalescing after surgery are being confronted by an unexpected visitor: a debt collector at bedside.

 

This and other aggressive tactics by one of the nation’s largest collectors of medical debts, Accretive Health, were revealed on Tuesday by the Minnesota attorney general, raising concerns that such practices have become common at hospitals across the country.

 

The tactics, like embedding debt collectors as employees in emergency rooms and demanding that patients pay before receiving treatment, were outlined in hundreds of company documents released by the attorney general. And they cast a spotlight on the increasingly desperate strategies among hospitals to recoup payments as their unpaid debts mount.

 

To patients, the debt collectors may look indistinguishable from hospital employees, may demand they pay outstanding bills and may discourage them from seeking emergency care at all, even using scripts like those in collection boiler rooms, according to the documents and employees interviewed by The New York Times.

 

In some cases, the company’s workers had access to health information while persuading patients to pay overdue bills, possibly in violation of federal privacy laws, the documents indicate.

 

The attorney general, Lori Swanson, also said that Accretive employees may have broken the law by not clearly identifying themselves as debt collectors.

 

Accretive Health has contracts not only with two hospitals cited in Minnesota but also with some of the largest hospital systems in the country, including Henry Ford Health System in Michigan and Intermountain Healthcare in Utah. Company executives declined to comment on Tuesday.

 

 

As hospitals struggle under a glut of unpaid bills, they are reaching out to companies like Accretive that specialize in collecting medical bills.

 

Hospitals have long hired outside collection agencies to pursue patients after they have left hospital facilities. But financial pressures are altering the collection landscape so that they are now letting collection firms in the front door, according to Don May, the policy adviser for the American Hospital Association, a trade group.

 

To achieve promised savings, hospitals turn over the management of their front-line staffing — like patient registration and scheduling — and their back-office collection activities.

 

Concerns are mounting that the cozy working relationships will undercut patient care and threaten privacy, said Anthony Wright, executive director of Health Access California, a consumer advocacy coalition. “The mission of these companies is in direct opposition to the supposed mission of these hospitals.”

 

 

Employees were told to stall patients entering the emergency room until they had agreed to pay a previous balance, according to the documents. Employees in the emergency room, for example, were told to ask incoming patients first for a credit card payment. If that failed, employees were told to say, “If you have your checkbook in your car I will be happy to wait for you,” internal documents show.

 

Employees at Accretive’s client hospitals ask patients to make “point of service” payments before they receive treatment. Until she went to Fairview for her son Maxx’s ear tube surgery in November, Marcia Newton, a stay-at-home mother in Corcoran, Minn., said she had never been asked to pay for care before receiving it. “They were really aggressive about getting that money upfront,” she said in an interview.

 

Ms. Newton was shocked to learn that the employees were debt collectors. “You really feel hoodwinked,” she said.

 

While hospital collections at Fairview increased, patient care suffered, the employees said. “Patients are harassed mercilessly,” a hospital employee told Ms. Swanson.

We are talking about a complex, multi-faceted issue here, and it’s not just the “evil” debt collectors who are to blame for all of our problems. It’s really a combination of an oppressive debt-based, for-profit system and an entitlement culture that has led many of these institutions and people into the thankless situation they are now in. On the other hand, many of these private institutions have benefitted tremendously from the promotion of this credit-entitlement complex over the years, and now they are intentionally subverting the system’s rules in a malicious way to save their own asses.

What’s important for our purposes, though, is to simply understand that there are real risks associated with any form of debt and that is why it’s generally a great idea to stay out of it. It is also important to understand what [few] rights you have when dealing with debt collectors. The primary source of protection is the Fair Debt Collection Practices Act (FDCPA), which was created “to eliminate abusive practices in the collection of consumer debts, to promote fair debt collection, and to provide consumers with an avenue for disputing and obtaining validation of debt information in order to ensure the information’s accuracy“.

The FDCPA is just one means of protection from debt collectors, and will obviously be very limited in its ability to shield us from the immense power/influence of large creditor institutions and governments that bend to their will, but right now it could still provide much-needed relief for some people who are being constantly harassed for payments. So here is what the Act requires of “debt collectors” (who are defined broadly), and more information on the FDCPA can be found here on the Federal Trade Commission’s website.

Fair Debt Collection Practices Act

 

The Act requires debt collectors to do the following (among other requirements):

 

*Identify themselves and notify the consumer, in every communication, that the communication is from a debt collector, and in the initial communication that any information obtained will be used to effect collection of the debt.

 

*Give the name and address of the original creditor (company to which the debt was originally payable) upon the consumer’s written request made within 30 days of receipt of the §1692g notice;

 

*Notify the consumer of their right to dispute the debt (Section 805), in part or in full, with the debt collector. The 30-day “§1692g” notice is required to be sent by debt collectors within five days of the initial communication with the consumer, though in 2006 the definition of “initial communication” was amended to exclude “a formal pleading in a civil action” for purposes of triggering the §1692g notice,[24] complicating the matter where the debt collector is an attorney or law firm. The consumer’s receipt of this notice starts the clock running on the 30-day right to demand verification of the debt from the debt collector.

 

*Provide verification of the debt[25] If a consumer sends a written dispute or request for verification within 30 days of receiving the §1692g notice, then the debt collector must either mail the consumer the requested verification information or cease collection efforts altogether. Such asserted disputes must also be reported by the creditor to any credit bureau that reports the debt. Consumers may still dispute a debt verbally or after the thirty-day period has elapsed, but doing so waives the right to compel the debt collector to produce verification of the debt. Verification should include at a minimum the amount owed and the name and address of the original creditor.[13]

 

*File a lawsuit in a proper venue. If a debt collector chooses to file a lawsuit, it may only be in a place where the consumer lives or signed the contract[26] Note, however, that this does not prevent the debt collector from being sued in other venues for violating the Act, such as when the consumer moves outside the venue and a letter demanding payment is forwarded to the new address, even if the debt collector is unaware of such a change in residence.

Apr 252012
 
 April 25, 2012  Posted by at 9:32 pm Finance Comments Off on The Imperial Symbolism of Pizza Hut

The following brief article + videos were sent to me by a friend via email. Let me give you a fair warning before I post it’s contents here – the whole ordeal may make you sick to your stomach, so keep a bottle of Pepto Bismol and a trash bin nearby. And if it somehow manages to make you drool instead, then I seriously recommend that you take some time to reflect on your eating habits. Now, with that disclaimer out of the way, here is Mary Beth Quirk for The Consumerist:

Nothing Says Stuffed Crust Pizza Like Cheeseburgers and Chicken Nuggets

 

We’ve already slobbered over Pizza Hut’s hot dog-stuffed crust over in the United Kingdom, and now yet another non-American outpost of the chain is getting something we are downright turning green with envy over. Well, jealous or slightly nauseated: Pizza Hut Middle East has smushed cheeseburgers and chicken fillets into its crust.

 

Eater.com blows the delectable lid off this hot story, explaining that not only is the Crown Crust a delight on the mouth, but that the toppings that go on the pizza are all part of the theme. So the cheeseburger-stuffed crust pie has special sauce and burgery toppings, while the chicken one has barbecue sauce and green peppers.

 

Pizza Hut Middle East has a long record of blowing our minds and its customer’s tastebuds. In 2010, it put meatballs and cream cheese balls in their Crown Crust.

 

It’s kind of beautiful in an artery-clogging way, don’t you think? That’s rhetorical. It IS a work of art.

 

Check out the video evidence of each offering below.

 

 

 

You may now be wondering what the point of posting this literally heart and gut-wrenching article was. Well, to explain that, I have to turn to the very humurous and equally insightful comments of another friend that were emailed to us in response:

“This is a triumph. I think the hot-dog stuffed crust pizza takes the top prize. It does make sense that these wonderful products are the brainchildren of thinner nations. Americans have gotten so fat that we have lost the wide-eyed hunger needed for getting fat. The American ambition has now turned to staying fat, which requires a very different and less imaginative skill set.

 

Addendum: We had our day though. The Big Mac, the Double Decker Taco, the Choco Taco, the (blase) cheese stuffed crust pizza were all products of the Red, White, and Blue back when we gave a damn about getting fat. Now we just eat 10 of them a day for maintenance.”

That’s a description of the last stages of a bloated Empire in a nutshell – it diverts ever-more resources from innovation and expansion into simply maintaining the unsustainable extravagance that it has built up over many years. This is true regardless of what specific aspect of the American Empire we are talking about – the resources forcefully stripped from peripheral “colonies” have been used to fashion an elaborate insitutional framework in the sectors of government, corporate business, education, agriculture, healthcare, etc., and now it takes everything we have (or get) to prop these mindlessly bureacratic institutions up.

Obesity in America is deeply symbolic of this underlying reality, as it is perhaps the number one factor contributing to skyrocketing costs in the “healthcare” industry. As my good friend says above, the food industry can’t even innovate and market new grossly unhealthy produts in the States anymore. They just keep churning out the same old crap and we keep eating it, because no one knows how to grow their own food, team up with local farmers/distributors and/or shop for healthier foods without breaking their increasingly strained budgets. It is all a tragicomic reflection of an All-American Empire in decline.   

Apr 252012
 
 April 25, 2012  Posted by at 3:47 pm Finance Comments Off on Revisiting the Physical Risks of Debt

captivechristmas

December 1919. “Christmas tree at the District Jail, Washington, D.C., and some of the prisoners.” National Photo Co. Collection glass negative.

One foundational piece of advice here at TAE as been to get out of debt and stay of debt – not only because the monetary costs of such debt will grow, but also because debt can be used as a means of physical repression and enslavement. It gives public (government) and private institutions the sufficient amount of leverage they need to take control of both your possessions and your body, with the latter being a much more pronounced risk during a period of credit contraction. Here are a few snippets about this issue from Our Depraved Future of Debt Slavery (Part II):

If you are allowed to voluntarily downsize your living standards and retain some freedom of movement/action, then you are not really a slave. And that’s not meant to demean the existential struggle of the chronically unemployed and/or homeless people living on the streets or in the subway, whose numbers are bound to increase and many of whom will die of sickness, cold and hunger, but it’s hard to say that they are “attached” to our economic system of complicity and coerced participation. The most obvious way this slavish attachment forms is through personal debts/obligations.

 

That’s why it’s very important to pay off your mortgage(s), car loans, student loans, outstanding balances on past bills, etc., throw away your credit cards and generally avoid taking on debt at all costs. However, that is not a panacea for avoiding debt slavery by any means. One reason is that, as mentioned in Part I, creditors and third party debt collectors may literally conjure up debts for people who never agreed to take on those debts, by failing to account for payments, illegally jacking up interest rates, retro-actively inserting penalty clauses and other similar tactics. Or, they may simply doctor up brand new “contracts” that never existed.

 

 

Where can any of these people turn to for relief or protection? Can they seek help from their local police departments or court systems? Traditionally, those have been potential avenues for at least a modicum of justice. Soon, however, even these institutions will be well into the process of being privatized in the name of “fiscal responsibility” and “market efficiency”, which is really code for corporate control over all facets of the modern state. Wealthy corporate conglomerates will not only have seized the “power of the purse”, but also the state’s dispute resolution mechanisms and its monopoly to use coercion and violence in pursuit of vaguely-defined goals.

A recent article in the Daily Mail begins to paint the picture of how many Americans are already well within the confines of debt slavery, with almost nowhere or no one to turn to for help. It shows us how the American legal system is like a big glop of silly putty for the powerful institutions – it can be deformed, twisted and redesigned into almost any shape they desire. First, we hear the story of Lisa Lindsay – a breast cancer patient and survivor who was jailed over a $280 medical bill which was sent to her in error, since she had already paid it off.

Breast cancer survivor handcuffed and thrown in jail over a mistaken $280 medical bill as ‘debtor’s prisons’ return to the U.S

 

A breast cancer survivor who was sent to prison over a mistaken $280 medical bill has highlighted the return of debtor’s prisons in the U.S.

 

Illinois resident Lisa Lindsay had received the medical bill in error and was told she did not have to pay up.

 

However, the bill was turned over to a collection agency and state troopers arrived at her home and took her away in handcuffs.

 

The Illinois teaching assistant eventually had to pay more than $600 to escape prison, as legal fees were added to the bill.

 

‘I paid it in full so they couldn’t do it to me again,’ said Lindsay whose plight has alerted law-makers in Illinois to the growing problem.

 

The case of Lindsay as well as others suggests that more people than ever before in the U.S are being thrown in ‘debtor’s prisons’ for not being able to pay back loans.

So, first of all, Lindsay represents all the people out there who are being saddled with debts that they don’t even owe, conjured out of thin air. How many times have you heard of someone receiving a medical bill “in error”, or bills in general? Sometimes we are talking about honest mistakes by the institution involved, but it’s easy to see how this can be done intentionally for the benefit of private creditors, as well as a state/local governments that are primarily concerned with squeezing revenue from their citizens (Lindsay had to pay $600+ to make up for the $280 she never owed).

The second important thing to not here is the technical reason for why these people are being hauled off to jail for failure to pay debts. It is NOT because failing to pay a debt is a jailable offense – in fact, the Supreme Court has ruled that it is unconstitutional for the state to imprison people for civil debts (especially those who cannot afford to pay). What is happening here is that people are being jailed on contempt of court rulings due to their failure to appear at judicial hearings and/or violation of court orders. We see how this works with the story of Jack Hinton:

Disabled roofer Jack Hinton sat in jail until he could come up with $300 on a debt he owed a lumberyard.

 

According to a hearing transcript, a central Illinois judge listened to Hinton’s story, noted he’d recently been paid after finishing a roofing job, and said: ‘Mr. Hinton, you had $1,000 in your pocket, you chose to spend it elsewhere in violation of the court order. That lands you in jail.’

 

Hinton’s wife took out a loan to buy his freedom. Her $300 went to the debt collector.

 

Debt collectors have become so aggressive claim some that poor people who are behind on payments of as little as $25 a month are being sent to jail.

 

Even though debtor’s prisons have been illegal since 1833, lenders are being accused of exploiting legal loopholes to have their borrowers found and sent to jail until they pay up.

 

Acting within the law, debtors aren’t arrested for nonpayment, rather for failing to arrive to court hearings thereby falling foul of contempt of court laws.

 

This results in a police arrest warrant being issued for ‘failure to appear’, the debtor is tracked down, packed off to jail and can only get out by paying the set bail bond which of course matches the amount owed.

 

Critics of legal loopholes allowing prison time to be dished out to bad borrowers say it is reminiscent of 19th century Victorian debtor’s prison like this one at St Briavels Castle in Wales

 

Indeed, it is extremely easy for creditors and third party debt collectors to engage in these work-arounds with the complicity and the resources of the state. The only thing these collection agencies are required to do is file a complaint in court, give the defendant “notice” (via mail) and post an attorney in the courthouse, who will sit back and wait to see if the debtor shows up. If they never receive a copy of the complaint and the summons, or they are simply unable to show up for court, then the creditor gets a default judgment and every available taxpayer-funded means at their disposal to enforce it.

If they do manage to show up, then the creditor will most likely get a judgment anyway, including court costs and interest. Technically, the burden of proof for establishing the existence and the amount of the debt is on the plaintiff, but practically it ends up being on the defendant, who will not have counsel in a civil proceeding. At this point, the new class of alleged debtors have pinned all of their hopes on state legislatures reacting quickly and swiftly to close the various loopholes and provide them with the slightest degree of protection (I wouldn’t hold my breath).

Affecting everyone who owes money from health care services to automobile loans, debt collectors are using publicly funded courts, sheriff deputies and county jails to pressure people with prison to pay back their money reports CBS News.

 

And now some state legislators are trying to plug this loophole by making court notices be served in person rather than mail, arrest warrants to expire after a year and the bail bond returned to the debtor not the lender

 

 

In fact in Illinois alone, legislation designed to plug loopholes aimed at debtors is waiting to pass through the state senate.

 

Creditors have been manipulating the court system to extract money from the unemployed, veterans, even seniors who rely solely on their benefits to get by each month,’ said Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan last month in a statement voicing support for the legislation.

 

‘Too many people have been thrown in jail simply because they’re too poor to pay their debts. We cannot allow these illegal abuses to continue.’

 

A 2010 report by the American Civil Liberties Union that examined five states – Georgia, Louisiana, Michigan, Ohio, and Washington — discovered that people were being imprisoned at ‘increasingly alarming rates’ through legal debts.

 

Some of the examples cited included a woman who arrested four individual times for failure to pay $251 in fines and costs related to a fourth-degree misdemeanor conviction.

 

Another example that the ACLU used was of a mentally ill juvenile imprisoned by a judge for a conviction for stealing school supplies.

 

‘The sad truth is that debtors’ prisons are flourishing today, more than two decades after the Supreme Court prohibited imprisoning those who are too poor to pay their legal debts,’ said the ACLU.

 

‘In this era of shrinking budgets, state and local governments have turned aggressively to using the threat and reality of imprisonment to squeeze revenue out of the poorest defendants who appear in their courts.’

As made clear in my series on debt slavery, the truth is that most state governments are a) complicit in the process of debt enslavement and b) unable to do much about it, anyway. These states rely heavily on the federal government for funding, especially in recent years as their public finances have collapsed, and the Feds have never been hesitant to lace those funds with strings. On top of that, the federal government can simply supersede state laws in this area by making issues related to debt forgiveness a federal concern, under the guise of interstate commerce or “national security”, and invoking the supremacy clause.

The point is that this form of debt slavery will be a very real risk for people in upcoming years, and only has the potential to get much worse before it gets any better. It is especially a risk for those with limited means and/or unserviceable debts, but the people with sizable assets and relatively few debts can fall victim as well. This is not an issue of what people rightly owe to other parties, but rather of how much labor and surplus wealth can be extracted from a formerly wealthy population by any means necessary. While we can justifiably expect that this wealth conveyor will break down in the future, along with the associated risks of debt slavery, we should also remember that it will not disappear overnight.

Apr 242012
 
 April 24, 2012  Posted by at 5:07 pm Finance Comments Off on Just Wait Til’ Next Weekend

By now, everyone is used to the predictable progression of the Eurozone sovereign debt and banking crises – a rather mundane week or two is followed by an “earth-shattering” weekend, only to give way to a few more mundane weeks, which inevitably leads us to the next game-changing weekend. And while this process may get very dis-alarming after awhile, like the boy who cried wolf, we should keep in mind that the internals of the Eurozone deteriorate faster and faster as this cycle progresses.

The current week is one marked by uncertainty over the political processes in various EZ countries, such as France, the Netherlands and Greece, and specifically over how the elections in these countries will impact various agreements that the pundits expected to be signed, sealed and delivered by now. Namely, the fiscal treaty compact reached in the Fall of last year (the only thing that was accomplished at that uber-hyped Summit in November), and the hyper-drive austerity programmes that were to be implemented across the Continent in earnest.

Yesterday, we discussed why the French elections and the dissolution of the Dutch government are throwing a major spanner into the works of those illusory agreements. Let’s not forget about Greece, though. The tiny EU country that got this whole ball rolling back in 2010 is still in more dire shape than ever, and is still a razor-thin hair short of saying, “keep your bankster bailouts and mandated economic suicide… we want change!”. The Greek people may finally get that opportunity next Sunday, May 6, during their national elections (also the date of France’s run-off elections).

Both in the voting booths and out in the streets, the people will have the opportunity to take center stage in this tragically unfolding drama and tell their leaders that enough is enough. There is not a single credible analyst left who believes that current policies of bailouts conditioned on austerity will put Greece on a sustainable debt/GDP path, and all of the recent data coming out of Greece, and the Eurozone in general, hammers that point home. Next weekend may be the last [slim] chance the Greek people have to avoid being fed into the Eurocentric meat grinder, where all warm-blooded souls become property of the super-parasitic elite.    

George Georgiopoulos reports on this Greek tragedy for Ekathimerini, and I have highlighted the only points that really matter for the Greek people in bold:

BoG chief sees 5-pct recession; stresses need for reforms [Update]

 

Greece’s economy will contract a deeper than expected 5 percent this year, the country’s central bank chief said on Tuesday, piling more pressure on to a citizenry already battered by crippling austerity and record joblessness.

 

The projection topped a previous forecast the central bank made in March, when it projected the 215-billion-euro economy would contract 4.5 percent after a 6.9 percent slump in 2011.

 

Twice bailed-out Greece is in its fifth consecutive year of recession.

 

 

Athens is under pressure to apply more fiscal austerity to shore up its finances as part of a new rescue package agreed this year with its euro zone partners and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to avert a chaotic default.

 

Its continued funding under the 130-billion-euro package will hinge on meeting targets.

 

Provopoulos warned that Greece’s eurozone membership was at stake if it failed to follow through on its pledges, especially after national elections next month.

 

”If following the election doubts emerge about the new government and society’s will to implement the programme, the current favourable prospects will reverse,” he said.

 

Greece is set to pick a new government on May 6, with the two main parties in the current coalition seen barely securing a majority in parliament, according to the latest opinion polls.

 

Whoever wins will have to agree additional spending cuts of 5.5 percent of GDP, or worth about 11 billion euros for 2013-2014, and gather about another 3 billion from better tax collection to keep getting aid, the IMF has said.

That is the only hope for the Greeks now – to create enough doubt over their “will” (ability) to implement the untenable austerity measures so that the populations (and, God willing, some of the politicians) of Northern Europe will finally understand what the Greek protesters on the streets of Athens have been trying to say all along – “we cannot continue to physically survive within this torturous Union, and neither can you”.