Debt Rattle July 15 2026
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July 15, 2026 at 9:47 am #244876
Raúl Ilargi Meijer
KeymasterClaude Monet Japanese Footbridge 2 1899(?) • Trump Backs Off 20% Fee Plan For Hormuz (ZH) • The US Needs to Hit Iran Harder to End the War (Victor Dav
[See the full post at: Debt Rattle July 15 2026]July 15, 2026 at 10:20 am #244904Dr. D
ParticipantSort of yesterday, Mamdani rent going straight up, 8%, national rent and housing costs slowly creeping down. Just like gas prices. So…headlines, right? NYTimes is all over this one. We’re saved!
Yeah, no. If you hadn’t guessed. And you sure not saved if you’re in any Blue area coast to coast! They are keeping rents and housing high and refusing Federal money to start businesses. Thanks government! You’re the bestest!
“• American Democracy Has Proven Itself to Be a Fraud (Paul Craig Roberts)
Yes, but sadly and amazingly we are still the least bad! Holy smokes! What are the rest of you knuckleheads doing? Particularly the hand grenade and/or the Eugenics capitals of the world? The U.S. does this, and it’s been bad many times before – worse than now! Impossible as that may be to believe – but we TRY TO FIX THINGS. That’s it. That’s the magic. We TALK about it, admit it, discuss it, then try to get better. Such Wow.
“• Lindsey Graham Was A Monster, But Not Exceptional (Amar)
That’s for sure. Thankfully he’s been getting steadily more rare.
““You are the highest ranking gay public policy officeholder… “ (Bessant)
The Left only cares where people’s pee-pee goes. That’s what makes them saints or monsters. Ummm. Creepy and disturbing much? Leave my pee-pee out of this discussion, thanks. The Right does too? When was the last time? The 1990s? 30 years ago? Exhibit A: I Present to you, Scott Bessant. Big Gay Patton to you sir.
Antarctica: If an entire continent the size of North America is cooler, that’s neither evidence nor news.
No doubt like population, if it’s higher we’re all going to die; but if it’s lower we’re all going to die too! Government, please help! Raise my taxes! There’s nothing higher taxes or murdering a few thousand people can’t fix!
“IRGC Vows ‘Not A Drop Of Oil & Gas Will Be Exported’ From Region Amid Sustained Cross-Gulf Fighting
I mean, except for the 175 ships. AND all the Chinese ships. AND all the former Venezuelan ships. AND…
Oh and all the pipelines that go everywhere and will be finished shortly. And… What they really mean is is no IRANIAN oil will be leaving the region, while Qatar, UAE, Saudi, Iraq, Turkey, and Bahrain are all fine.
“Jack Smith’s Team Spied On 44 Lawmakers’ Texts, Built A Case On Them, And Misled Congress: GrassleyHoly. Wow.
Should Congress at least be annoyed by this? Maybe? It’s only been since 9-12 and the “Let’s spy on everyone or else send them powder from Ft Deitrick” day.
“New York’s Millionaire Exodus Is Costing Billions In Lost Revenue
“In New York, the top 1% of earners pay about 45% of all state income taxes in any given year…”I for one say that’s not enough. We’re not done until the departure of ANY millionaire collapses the entire budget. …As it did in New Jersey.
“Sheriff Says Somali Youth Gangs Are Running Wild In MinneapolisYou can just remove the word “Somali”. I don’t care. Blue cities always love drugs, crime, and violence. Always have. They hate poor and colored people like cancer; as you notice none of the NICE Blue areas have this problem: they are policed fine. Only the poor and working districts. Yay!
If this is “Just a thing” why are Red Cities and areas not (as) susceptible to it?
Like this: “footage from Northern Ireland captures police sprinting past a group of knife- and stick-wielding feral youths to cuff a local man who had grabbed a stick to protect the native women and children in his street.”
Police exist to protect YOU from US. They exist to help criminals and are doing a stellar job. All blue cities have to do is nothing, actually. Inform the public they are free to defend themselves, we’ll clean up the bodies since that’s all they respond to anyways. In six months, the criminals will be gone and the remaining ones much better behaved.
“Did The AI Bubble Just Burst This Week?
Maybe. And other nations seem to have made up this bubble as the lever to pop and drop us, but the market hasn’t been rational since I don’t know when. It’s definitely a bubble and maybe the biggest, from Day 1. But the level of interventions is almost impossible to measure.
Helga LaRouche showing that the Germans really DO have no understanding of humor. That’s just as funny as always.
And day after day, Trump now says “You’re not getting anything for free, no weapons for your war, and I’m shutting off your oil too.” Fight the war now, you p—ks. Trump is the Prime warmonger who shuts off weapons swapping for factories that will never be built and bombed in days if they were.
You can tell they have nothing to say as both articles go long on adjectives, pejorative slander, and short on facts or understanding. Brain stoppers. Skim skim skim.
“The sort of person who insists that his facts should come in popularly advertised brand-labeled packages should not expose himself to the mental anguish he will suffer in confronting even the simple day-to-day truths of routine counterintelligence work. On this level, the world is very complicated; in this realm, there are few allies, and almost no one operates openly under the brand label of the one, two, or three interests he ultimately serves.”
If only they followed their own advice. They call Trump being sarcastic 5D chess and that’s it’s a conspiracy theory. It’s 1D chess, mostly. If you just accurately accounted all the 1D chess, we could discuss the possibles far more coherently. “I shut off your oil and removed all my troops from the area” isn’t 5D chess.
“the region has witnessed a return to full-scale US-Iran war, “
It would seem the US identified the hub of the missiles and IRGC bunker on the coast, just as desired. It appears a 5,000lb bunker buster was dropped on it, lighting off all the other weapons and rocket fuel. The U.S. was not similarly attacked. This is 1D chess again: you shoot missiles at random ships who are in Omani waters, and the U.S. blows up wherever they came from. So all attacks are one-shot. All radars are one-use. They can SAY lots of things, but the half-trillion dollar military is down to a handful of cruise missiles and another IRGC base and command center is taken out with each use, then pretty soon whoever they call the iRGC commander is standing in the woods with two sticks and it doesn’t matter if he’s the Lead General or not. This is the unfortunate reality of war: you need to hurt them back. They haven’t hit a Denny’s. Okay, well we can clearly keep this up 1,000 years militarily.
“War On Iran: Oil Supplies Will Again Be In Trouble – This Time For Real
Ah! They’ve been biding their time, luring us in, and being all-around nice guys so far. They let us bomb them for months with a bomber from 1952 just to give us that false sense of security.
“Col. Larry Wilkerson: Full-Scale U.S.-Iran War Erupts, Every Front Now Active”
Iran has zero fronts active on the United States. Are they massing in Tijuana? Their amphibious fleet is boarding in Cuba. Maine is in play for invasion now. What “Fronts”, Larry?
“Iran’s response to US strikes will not be proportional”Wow, truer words were never said. Iran is being attacked at an 80:1 ratio. I mean, thanks, if you claim that’s voluntary because you’re being nice, but as far as wars go, that’s a problem. And still zero attacks on anything in the U.S., supplying our forces 5,000 miles away not disrupted at all. This is also militarily a problem. At least stop us from reloading our WWII-era bombers.
No support from China, Russia, or even Yemen. Not Turkey, a muslim country with relevant military – to the contrary, Iran is bombing them for no reason anyone can explain. Chinese railway cut off. Resupply ports blockaded. If you say that’s bad or illegal I can certainly agree with that, but it’s not militarily relevant to think things. Opinions aren’t operable to deliver bullets.
July 15, 2026 at 10:34 am #244905Michael Reid
ParticipantScott Ritter: Iran’s Missiles SMASH US Base in Jordan, Saudi Airport STRUCK as Trump Orders War
July 15, 2026 at 11:01 am #244906₿oogaloo
ParticipantHas anyone else seen those collapsing polls? I haven’t. Anyone?
Well, if the new trend for discussion on the TAE board is to post AI search results, I will give it a go once.
The prompt: “One columnist today said that Trump’s poll numbers have been collapsing. Another said “I do not see any evidence of that.” What is the truth in the context of the resumption of the war between the US and Iran?”
The response: The short answer is that **there is little evidence that Trump’s poll numbers are “collapsing” in the wake of the renewed fighting with Iran.** There is evidence that they have **declined from the beginning of his second term**, but the available polling suggests that the recent resumption of hostilities has **reinforced an already-existing weakness rather than triggered a dramatic new collapse.**
A few distinctions are important.
**1. Overall job approval**
The highest-quality recent polling shows relative stability.
* An AP-NORC poll conducted in mid-June found Trump’s overall approval at **37%**, essentially unchanged from May (37%) and February (36%), despite the Iran conflict. Approval of his handling of Iran was also largely unchanged. ([apnorc.org][1])
That is inconsistent with the idea of a sudden collapse.
**2. Reuters/Ipsos tells a somewhat different story—but not a recent collapse**
Reuters/Ipsos found Trump’s approval at **34%**, tying the lowest level of his second term. However, Reuters itself emphasized that this represented **a return to his previous low**, not a new plunge. Trump had begun the term around 47%, then gradually declined over several months because of inflation, immigration controversies, and other issues. The Iran war appeared to contribute to that weakness. ([investing.com][2])
In other words:
* From inauguration: substantial decline.
* After the Iran war: modest additional deterioration or no recovery, depending on the poll.
* After the renewed fighting this month: not enough evidence yet of another sharp downward move.**3. Americans are skeptical of the Iran war itself**
This is where the polling is much clearer.
Recent surveys show:
* Only about **one-quarter** of Americans think the war has been worth its costs.
* A majority doubt that any ceasefire or agreement will produce lasting peace.
* Roughly four in five Americans now expect a prolonged U.S. military involvement after fighting resumed. ([investing.com][2])That suggests considerable public pessimism about the conflict.
**4. But opposition to the war is not the same as collapsing presidential approval**
Historically, those two measures often diverge.
A president can be viewed negatively on one issue while maintaining a relatively stable overall approval rating because voters continue to prioritize:
* inflation,
* immigration,
* taxes,
* crime,
* judicial appointments,
* or party identification.Trump’s coalition has remained highly polarized. Republican approval of his performance remains very high, while Democratic approval remains extremely low. That polarization tends to dampen large swings in overall approval. ([apnorc.org][1])
### Why two commentators could honestly disagree
Both statements you quoted could be defended depending on what data they were using.
The columnist saying **”Trump’s poll numbers have been collapsing”** is probably referring to:
* the decline from roughly the high-40s early in the term to the mid-30s today, or
* issue-specific polling on Iran, where public opinion is clearly negative. ([investing.com][2])The columnist saying **”I do not see any evidence of that”** is probably looking at:
* the most recent polling surrounding the renewed Iran fighting, which shows Trump’s approval remaining roughly where it already was rather than suddenly falling. ([apnorc.org][1])
So, based on the polling available **after the resumption of hostilities**, the second characterization is closer to the evidence. Trump’s approval ratings are **low**, and many Americans are skeptical of the Iran conflict, but there is **not yet clear evidence of a dramatic new collapse in his overall approval** attributable to the renewed war.
July 15, 2026 at 11:06 am #244907₿oogaloo
ParticipantI have been following my own advice and taking a break from TAE. I even removed it from my bookmarks on my phone. I can still check in, but it takes more work. And when I do check in, what do I see? Lots of Zionist propaganda, lots of anti-Iran vitriol, and virtually no criticism of the genocidal expansionist ethno-supremacist apartheid state in the Middle East. I am not going to restore the bookmark anytime soon.
July 15, 2026 at 12:17 pm #244908tboc
ParticipantAll media exist to invest our lives with artificial perceptions and arbitrary values.
Marshall McLuhan -
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