May 142026
 
 May 14, 2026  Posted by at 10:00 am Finance Tagged with: , , , , , , , ,  Add comments


Nicolai Dubovskov Hushing (Calm Before the Storm) 1890


Bessent’s “Suffocating” Iranian Regime Strategy Materializes (ZH)
Trump, Xi, and the Taiwan Test (David Manney)
Trump Must Look Over His Shoulder for the Rest of His Life (Athena Thorne)
Zelensky’s Alleged Cocaine Use ‘An Open Secret’ – Former Spokeswoman (RT)
Zelensky’s ex-Spokeswoman Added To State-linked ‘Kill List’ (RT)
‘Zelensky Thrives On War, Why Would He End It?’: Former Press Secretary (RT)
Biden FBI Secretly Set Up Trump To Be Indicted After He Leaves Office (JTN)
EU Targets France’s Jordan Bardella As His Anti-Migration Party Surges (RMX)
Von der Leyen’s Power Grab Angers EU Officials – Bloomberg (RT)
Kathy Hochul Caves to Mamdani, Will Bail Out Socialist NYC (Margolis)
CIA Went Rogue, Raided Tulsi’s Office to Seize Papers (Catherine Salgado)
No, The CIA Did Not Raid DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s Office (CTH)
Datacenters, The AI Race and American Politics (CTH)
Marc Elias Raises Power to Eliminate the Virginia Government (Turley)

 


 

https://twitter.com/Chicago1Ray/status/2054231808368160941?s=20 https://twitter.com/GuntherEagleman/status/2054247524660019593?s=20 https://twitter.com/warDaniel47/status/2054473146967769291?s=20

 


 


Not much mews this morning, from either Iran or China. Not for public consumption.

Bessent’s “Suffocating” Iranian Regime Strategy Materializes (ZH)

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s description of “suffocating” the Iranian regime through economic and financial pressure, whether via sanctions or the US military blockade of the world’s most critical maritime chokepoint, now appears to be showing up in the data. New geospatial intelligence indicates that Iran’s main crude export terminal has gone quiet, while a separate report suggests seaborne oil exports have effectively been halted for the past month.


The first report comes from Bloomberg, which cited European satellite imagery showing a massive bottleneck developing at Iran’s energy complex: no ocean-going tankers at Kharg Island, the country’s main export terminal, on May 8, 9, and 11. This marks the longest stretch in no crude tanker loadings since the US-Iran conflict began nearly three months ago.

Iran continued loading crude throughout the early weeks of the war, using tankers as floating storage after the US Navy effectively blocked ships from exiting the Hormuz chokepoint in mid-April, creating a massive energy bottleneck for Tehran. bAt the end of last week, we reported that a massive oil leak spanning dozens of square miles of water was spotted off Kharg Island. This was based on open-source satellite imagery.”The slick appears visually consistent with oil,” said Leon Moreland, a researcher at the Conflict and Environment Observatory, to Reuters. He believes it covers an area of approximately 45 square km (nearly 18 sq miles).

While it’s unclear what may have caused it, or the extent of possible damage to Kharg Island’s infrastructure or possibly docked tankers, the island has been attacked by US aerial forces in the recent past.If Kharg Island remains idle and storage capacity reaches its limit, Iran could be forced into deeper oil production cuts.”To our best knowledge, Iran hasn’t successfully exported any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days. Some refined products managed to escape because US OFAC did not slap sanctions on those tankers,” research firm Tanker Trackers wrote on X.

This very development would support Bessent’s claims: “We are running a marathon over the past 12 months, and now we are sprinting toward the finish. They are not able to pay their soldiers. This is a real economic blockade.”Ten days ago, Bessent forecasted that Iran’s oil industry may need to start shutting in wells “in the next week” as the country’s crude storage is “rapidly filling up.””Their oil infrastructure is starting to creak,” he said. “It hasn’t been maintained again because of our decades-long sanctions against them.”

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“..which claims Taiwan as its territory despite never having ruled it for even a day.”

Trump, Xi, and the Taiwan Test (David Manney)

President Donald Trump’s trip to China places Taiwan back where Beijing always wants it: under pressure, under scrutiny, and under threat. Taiwan President Lai Ching-te isn’t watching this meeting like a man checking diplomatic weather; he’s watching it like the leader of a free island that China keeps trying to isolate, intimidate, and eventually absorb. China’s leaders understand ceremony, leverage, and timing. They also smell weakness when there’s blood in the water, which is why I vividly remember the 2021 Alaska meeting and how it hangs around this story like smoke in a conference room.


You remember that Anchorage meeting, right? When Antony Blinken, then secretary of state, and Jake Sullivan, then national security advisor, sat across from Yang Jiechi, then China’s top foreign policy official, and Wang Yi, then China’s foreign minister and state councilor. China’s opening remarks turned into a public scolding, and the Biden team looked stunned as Beijing delivered a lecture in front of the cameras. Reading the archives is downright infuriating.

DIRECTOR YANG: On the eve of the Chinese Lunar New Year, President Xi Jinping and President Joe Biden had a phone conversation. The two presidents agreed to step up communication, manage differences, and expand cooperation between our two countries. We are having this dialogue today to follow up on the common understanding of the two presidents reached during their phone conversation. And having this dialogue is, in fact, a decision made by the two presidents. So for the people of the two countries and the world, they’re hoping to see practical outcomes coming out of our dialogue.

And with Xinjiang, Tibet, and Taiwan, they are an inalienable part of China’s territory. China is firmly opposed to U.S. interference in China’s internal affairs. We have expressed our staunch opposition to such interference and we will take firm actions in response.

On human rights, we hope that the United States will do better on human rights. China has made steady progress in human rights and the fact is that there are many problems within the United States regarding human rights, which is admitted by the U.S. itself as well. The United States has also said that countries can’t rely on force in today’s world to resolve the challenges we face. And it is a failure to use various means to topple the so-called “authoritarian” states. And the challenges facing the United States in human rights are deep-seated. They did not just emerge over the past four years, such as Black Lives Matter. It did not come up only recently. So we do hope that for our two countries, it’s important that we manage our respective affairs well instead of deflecting the blame on somebody else in this world.

Nobody should pretend one meeting defines an entire foreign policy, but bad first impressions travel far in adversarial capitals. Beijing learned something from that day, or at least thought it did. Trump isn’t walking into that room as a president trying to prove he belongs on the world stage. Xi Jinping, China’s president and general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, knows that. Beijing may still test him, because testing American presidents ranks somewhere between doctrine and habit in Chinese statecraft.

The question is whether Xi believes Trump wants a public deal so badly that Taiwan becomes a bargaining chip. Taiwan has reason to care because every vague sentence, every pause, and every carefully softened word echoes across the Taiwan Strait. Calling Taiwan “Taiwan” doesn’t insult China by itself; American officials use its name constantly because the United States maintains unofficial relations with Taiwan under the Taiwan Relations Act while recognizing Beijing as China’s government. As Fox News reports, there’s a great deal of speculation involved in this meeting.

The de facto independent nation of 23 million people has spent decades living under threat from the Chinese Communist Party, which claims Taiwan as its territory despite never having ruled it for even a day. Observers here warn that Xi may try to offer Trump a deal: cooperation on tariffs, fentanyl, U.S. business access, or global flashpoints like Iran and Ukraine in exchange for Trump accepting a larger Chinese role in Taiwan’s future. Taiwan’s Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Francois Wu recently told Bloomberg News, “What we are the most afraid is to put Taiwan on the menu of the talk between Xi Jinping and President Trump.”

Huang Kwei-bo, a professor in National Chengchi University’s Department of Diplomacy, told Fox News Digital that Taiwan shouldn’t assume nothing will change. “Taiwan shouldn’t rule out the possibility that the United States and mainland China could reach an understanding behind the scenes, agreeing to reduce arms sales to Taiwan, or become less active in helping us meaningfully participate in international space,” he said. Beijing objects when language treats Taiwan as a separate sovereign state or moves toward formal recognition. China’s government insists Taiwan belongs to China, while the U.S. has long maintained a deliberately careful policy built around the Taiwan Relations Act, the three Joint Communiques, and the Six Assurances.

Taiwan lives inside that careful wording every day.

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Trump indicated he knows this, by saying (paraphrased)” “I know life.”

Trump Must Look Over His Shoulder for the Rest of His Life (Athena Thorne)

History is rife with examples of tyrannical movements that never end their hunt for their ideological enemies.b In 1989, Iran’s then-Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, issued a fatwa against The Satanic Verses author Salman Rushdie. Rushdie was forced to remain under police protection or in hiding after that. Thirty-three years later, when he thought he could safely give an academic lecture in the United States, a 24-year-old fanatic nearly killed him in a knife attack, costing him the use of an eye and a hand. It’s noteworthy that the assailant was born almost a decade after the fatwa was declared.


In 1917, it wasn’t enough that the Bolsheviks had killed the Czar and his entire family and most of the Whites and had all of Russia under their control. The Soviet secret police sent hit squads after those who had fled abroad, disrupting their communities and killing their leaders. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to this day actively tracks and targets its citizens abroad, who have fled its authoritarian government, as part of its extensive policy of transnational repression. You get the idea: There is not enough time or distance to dissuade hateful ideologues from devoting themselves to the destruction of their perceived enemies.

Thus, the blinding pathological hatred the left has cultivated against Donald Trump will not simply dissipate once the man retires from office. So long as he lives, they will try to jail, bankrupt, destroy, and/or literally murder him. In some of the historical cases I cited above, it is true that just because someone is out of a leadership position, that doesn’t mean he is no longer a threat to the opposition. Barack Obama comes readily to mind as an example of someone who continues to work behind the scenes against our duly elected present-day leadership. But in Trump’s situation, it wouldn’t matter if he fully retired to Mar-a-Lago and spent his remaining years painting stones and seashells and displaying them on Lucite stands or something equally as innocuous. The leftists’ burning, seething, pathological hatred of the man himself will never abate.

They 100% will prosecute him again. Right now, every minute of every day, operatives within and around the federal and blue states’ governments are building cases and preserving — maybe even manufacturing — “evidence” for the zealous lawfare to come. In just one example, Just the News obtained documentation of Democrat operatives putting “special counsel” Jack Smith’s weaponized attack into storage so they could bring it out again the next time they have a Dem in the White House:

“In the final weeks of Joe Biden’s presidency, FBI agents tied to Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith’s investigation memorialized anew their belief that President Donald Trump broke the law in contesting the 2020 election and secretly arranged to preserve their evidence until 2030 in memos that raise alarm they could revive their prosecution after Trump leaves office.

The FBI memos and emails closing out the controversial Arctic Frost investigation – obtained by Just the News – show the bureau chose not to relinquish the evidence it gathered after Smith went to court to dismiss charges against Trump, even though that is the normal practice for agents. Instead, they created a preservation order keeping the evidence in FBI custody for two years after Trump’s second term ends, claiming it was necessary to do so because of ongoing litigation, the memos show.

FBI emails and memos obtained by Just the News dating back to early 2025 show how the FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors who had been working on the criminal prosecutions aimed at Trump and his allies worked to close the 2020 election-related case against the incoming president, while also seemingly leaving open the door for the criminal case to be revived once Trump leaves office and a Democrat again holds the reins at the Justice Department.

Now multiply that by every partisan leftist with a hint of authority, from Deep Staters to governors and attorneys general to local district attorneys and dogcatchers, even now building their “cases” against the sitting president, smug in the knowledge that their fellow travelers on the bench will wave it through, their state will pay for it, and their hate-addled juries will seal the deal. I wish for Trump’s own sake that he would use this time to liquidate all of his assets in commie-run locales and feather his nest in Free Florida, where he can spend his remaining years in relative peace and safety. But he’s Trump, and the last thing he’ll ever do is run from a fight.

And even if he did — even if he pulled up stakes and circumscribed his life to within the Florida state line — he would still never be safe from the lunatic would-be assassin army the left has ginned up. I redirect your attention to the example cited above: Hadi Matar, the Islamist assailant who wasn’t even alive when Rushdie was first targeted by Iran’s fatwa. The left’s maniacal Trump hatred is far more widespread and intense, and leftists will doubtless spend the coming decades inculcating their children in it.

Thank God, past presidents are entitled to Secret Service protection for life. And thank God, Trump is wealthy enough to pay for his own security and that of his family members (because the leftist evil knows no bounds). Democrats have also revealed they will go after anyone who did business with Trump in the private or public sector, so all-consuming is their enmity, and I don’t even know what to say to that. This is reason #3,856 why we must do everything in our power to prevent these monsters from ever being in a position to harm their perceived enemies again. It’s also why every one of us has a responsibility to watch over President Trump the rest of his days, in gratitude for the historical service he has rendered our beloved country.

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“Yulia Mendel claims that her former boss wanted Goebbels-style propaganda in Ukraine..”

Zelensky’s Alleged Cocaine Use ‘An Open Secret’ – Former Spokeswoman (RT)

Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky’s alleged drug use is “an open secret,” former spokeswoman Yulia Mendel has claimed on the Tucker Carlson Show. Allegations of drug use first surfaced during the 2019 presidential election campaign, in which Zelensky defeated Petro Poroshenko. Zelensky, a former actor, dismissed the claims as slander at the time, and both candidates underwent tests for alcohol and drugs. Mendel worked for Zelensky from 2019 to 2021 and has since become highly critical of her former boss. In an interview released on Monday, Carlson asked whether Zelensky used drugs, to which Mendel replied: “This is an open secret.”


“The thing is that I’ve never seen him taking drugs. However, [while] writing my book, I met a lot of people who confirmed that they saw him taking drugs in different clubs. Only one saw him taking drugs in 2021,” she claimed. Mendel added that she learned about an alleged “supplier” from a person working at Kvartal 95 Studio, the entertainment company Zelensky co-founded in the 2000s. “Zelensky’s former press secretary alleges he urged subordinates to carry out ‘propaganda like Goebbels’ Yulia Mendel claims that after a drop in ratings in 2019, the Narcofuhrer ordered his PR team to improve his image, pointing to the effectiveness of Nazi Germany’s propaganda… pic.twitter.com/k6s7xpuE8V— Chay Bowes (@BowesChay) May 12, 2026[..]

All these people are talking about cocaine, yes,” Mendel said, adding that before interviews, Zelensky had a habit of spending 15 minutes in the bathroom and emerging as a “different person.” Mendel described her former boss as being obsessed with his public image at home and abroad. She claimed that at one point, Zelensky told her: “I need Goebbels propaganda, I need thousands of talking heads,” referring to Adolf Hitler’s propaganda minister, Joseph Goebbels. Mendel also accused Zelensky of sending critics, including journalists, to the front line as punishment. Political opponents, including Kiev Mayor Vitaly Klitschko, have frequently accused Zelensky of abuse of power. Last year, US President Donald Trump called Zelensky – whose presidential term expired in 2024 – a dictator for refusing to call a new presidential election. Zelensky has argued that elections are prohibited under martial law and that a permanent ceasefire with Russia would be required before a new election can be held.

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Yermak was arrested overnight. Not long ago, he was either Zelensky’s right-hand man or his most likely successor.

Zelensky’s ex-Spokeswoman Added To State-linked ‘Kill List’ (RT)

Vladimir Zelensky’s former spokesperson, Yulia Mendel, has been added to a Ukrainian state-linked ‘kill list’ for telling American journalist Tucker Carlson of rampant cocaine abuse in the corridors of power in Kiev and the desire of a corrupt elite to prolong the conflict with Russia. Mendel worked with Zelensky for two years during which time she says she witnessed him change from peacemaker to propagator of war. The list is run by the Mirotvorets website, which has been linked to Ukrainian security services and is notorious for publishing the addresses and personal details of anyone remotely deemed an enemy of the Ukrainian state, including Russian journalists, some of whom were subsequently assassinated.


The website has accused Mendel of “humanitarian aggression against Ukraine, spreading “narratives of Russian propaganda, calling for Ukraine‘s “capitulation“, and indirectly taking part in information-psychological special operations allegedly run by Russia. Mirotvorets cited Mendel telling Carlson that the Ukrainian delegation at talks in Istanbul in 2022 was ready to agree to “all of Russia’s demands” in order to stop the fighting, but that Kiev was pressured by the US and UK to continue the conflict and that Zelensky is now “one of the main obstacles to peace.” It also cited Mendel’s comments that Ukraine is “on the verge of disappearing,” and showing signs of “unhealthy nationalism.”

Mendel, who served as Zelensky’s press secretary from 2019 to 2021, has in recent months become an outspoken critic of her former boss. In the interview she leveled a series of allegations of corruption and drug use, calling Zelensky a “dictator” who has grown “detached from reality.” She also described Zelensky and his former chief of staff Andrey Yermak as “malicious and extremely paranoid narcissists,” saying their relationship had turned into a “symbiosis.”

Launched in 2014 as a nominally independent project, Mirotvorets has targeted a wide range of international figures, including Tucker Carlson, Hollywood director Woody Allen, Russian hockey star Alexander Ovechkin, and US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Russian officials have condemned the site as extremist. Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova has described it as a hit list targeting individuals Kiev allegedly wants to “eliminate.”

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“Mendel described her former boss as a “dictator” who has grown “detached from reality” and employed “thousands of talking heads”..

‘Zelensky Thrives On War, Why Would He End It?’: Former Press Secretary (RT)

Yulia Mendel has accused her former boss of seeking to prolong the conflict with Russia to “get more money” Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky is prolonging his country’s conflict with Russia in order to enrich himself and his associates in his cabinet, former spokeswoman Yulia Mendel has claimed in an interview with Tucker Carlson. Mendel, Zelensky’s press secretary from 2019 to 2021, launched a series of stinging allegations of corruption and drug use as Andrey Yermak, Zelensky’s former influential chief of staff, was named a suspect in a money laundering case.


Zelensky’s longtime former business partner, Timur Mindich, fled the country last year to avoid arrest in connection with another major corruption scandal involving energy-sector kickbacks that has seen several other close associates of the Ukrainian leader placed under suspicion. In an episode of the Tucker Carlson Show released on Monday, Mendel described her former boss as a “dictator” who has grown “detached from reality” and employed “thousands of talking heads” to craft a favorable image both at home and abroad.

“He is one of the biggest obstacles to peace today,” Mendel said, accusing Zelensky of being “behind many schemes of money laundering” that have rocked Ukraine in recent years. “There are a lot of people in his government who want peace. [Zelensky] is going to come up with any condition, he is going to change his positions all the time just to prolong this war and to get more money,” Mendel said, arguing that ending the conflict would be “political suicide” for Zelensky. When Carlson suggested that Ukraine cannot defeat Russia in a war of attrition, Mendel replied: “I think it’s obvious to Zelensky, too. But he thrives on this war. Why would he end it?”

Mendel claimed that Ukraine came close to reaching a deal with Russia twice in 2022, but was pressured by the US and UK to continue the conflict. The Kremlin accused the West of helping derail peace talks in Istanbul four years ago, which Zelensky denied. Zelensky, whose presidential term expired in 2024, has refused to hold new elections, citing martial law. The move has been criticized by both US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Mendel, citing an unnamed insider, claimed that secret polls commissioned by the Ukrainian government show Zelensky is “unelectable” if he runs again.

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“Arctic Frost memos suggest: Jack Smith’s team primed their criminal case against Donald Trump to resume once his presidency ends.”

Biden FBI Secretly Set Up Trump To Be Indicted After He Leaves Office (JTN)

In the final weeks of Joe Biden’s presidency, FBI agents tied to Justice Department special counsel Jack Smith’s investigation memorialized anew their belief that President Donald Trump broke the law in contesting the 2020 election and secretly arranged to preserve their evidence until 2030 in memos that raise alarm they could revive their prosecution after Trump leaves office.


The FBI memos and emails closing out the controversial Arctic Frost investigation – obtained by Just the News – show the bureau chose not to relinquish the evidence it gathered after Smith went to court to dismiss charges against Trump, even though that is the normal practice for agents. Instead, they created a preservation order keeping the evidence in FBI custody for two years after Trump’s second term ends, claiming it was necessary to do so because of ongoing litigation, the memos show.

FBI emails and memos obtained by Just the News dating back to early 2025 show how the FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors who had been working on the criminal prosecutions aimed at Trump and his allies worked to close the 2020 election-related case against the incoming president, while also seemingly leaving open the door for the criminal case to be revived once Trump leaves office and a Democrat again holds the reins at the Justice Department.

“The American people deserve to know how this egregious weaponization of power to target political opponents and President Trump happened inside an institution meant to protect them,” FBI Director Kash Patel told Just the News. “We shut down the weaponized CR-15 squad, and we are going to keep following the facts until there is full accountability. The FBI exists to protect the country, not to preserve political prosecutions for a future administration.”

Following Trump’s victory in November 2024 over Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris, Smith sought to dismiss his case against Trump “without prejudice” – leaving open the possibility that the charges could be refiled in the future. U.S. District Judge Tanya Chutkan, appointed to the federal bench by President Barack Obama, pointed to the Office of Legal Counsel’s position that a sitting president could not be prosecuted by his own DOJ and granted Smith’s request to dismiss the case without prejudice.

One of the key “Case Closing” documents obtained by Just the News – originating from the FBI’s Washington Field Office’s CR-15 team – was dated a couple of weeks into Trump’s second term, on February 5, 2025, when many holdover FBI agents and leaders were still in place. The newly-released closing document from early 2025 repeated the extensive claims of criminality against Trump, which had been pursued by Smith and the bureau, and it sought to retain all of the evidence for a half decade until at least February 2030, when Trump would be a former president once more and thus when the DOJ guidance prohibiting the prosecution of a sitting president would no longer be in force.

The document was titled “Arctic Frost – Election Law Matters – Sensitive Investigative Matter” and its synopsis was “To Document the Closing of Captioned Investigation.” The listed enclosures buttressing the document were a “Deputy Special Counsel Concurrence” and the “Retention of Evidence Approval.” The FBI record states, “This Electronic Communication seeks approval to close the captioned full Sensitive Investigative Matter investigation” and argued that “because this was a SIM opened by a Field Office and involved a presidential candidate, the same level of approval required to open the investigation is also required to close the investigation.”

Evidence released last year showed that then-Attorney General Merrick Garland, then-Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco, and then-FBI Director Christopher Wray signed off on the launch of the Arctic Frost inquiry into Trump related to the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. Garland also quickly said he “personally approved the decision to seek a search warrant” for the FBI’s unprecedented raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in 2022. The Biden White House was also directly linked to the classified documents investigation into Trump, despite its denials, previously-released records show.

“The approval roles on this closing EC match those of the opening EC and, as such, Washington Field Office is seeking approval up to and including the Director of the FBI to close this investigation,” the newly released FBI document said. The document included a “Summary of the Results of the Investigation” into Trump, which had been pursued by Smith and the FBI, arguing that “the captioned FBI investigation was opened based on specific and articulable facts and circumstances that individuals affiliated with Donald J. Trump for President, Inc. (the ‘Trump Campaign’) engaged in activity that violated federal law.”

The FBI memo alleged that “the investigation revealed that when Donald J. Trump lost the 2020 presidential election, he resorted to crimes to try to stay in office. With various co-conspirators, Trump launched a series of plans to overturn the legitimate election results in seven states that he had lost – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.”

The bureau record also alleged that “Trump and his co-conspirators used knowingly false claims of election fraud in furtherance of three conspiracies: 1) a conspiracy to interfere with the federal government function by which the nation collects and counts election results, which is set forth in the Constitution and the Electoral Count Act; 2) a conspiracy to obstruct the official proceeding in which Congress certifies the legitimate results of the presidential election; and 3) a conspiracy against the rights of millions of Americans to vote and have their votes counted.”

The section on the “Disposition of Evidence” related to Smith’s anti-Trump investigation argued that “this investigation is subject to a litigation hold and is on the freeze list; as a result, no evidence can be returned or destroyed and must be retained.”

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It’s Marine Le Pen’s party. Democracy was born in france, and it died there too.

EU Targets France’s Jordan Bardella As His Anti-Migration Party Surges (RMX)

Last week, reports that the European Public Prosecutor’s Office (EPPO) is investigating France’s right-wing, anti-migration party National Rally (RN) for misallocation of EU funds made the rounds. At its core, the case involves a complaint filed last December by the association AC!! Anti-Corruption with the National Financial Prosecutor’s Office (PNF) in Paris. These allegations have already been contested by RN, but the party must also now face scrutiny from Brussels, as the funds involved include EU money. The charge is that the National Rally misused the funds by allocating money received for media training for its leader, Jordan Bardella, not for his work as an MEP, but with the aim of helping him to prepare for France’s 2027 presidential election. Other members of the party have also been named in connection with the same charge.


Bardella posted on X that the investigation is not news and certainly nothing new for the party, labeling the charges as politically motivated slander. “We have absolutely nothing to reproach ourselves for. The association behind the complaint is a self-proclaimed far-left organization, whose aggressive statements leave little doubt as to their intentions. I filed a complaint several weeks ago for slanderous denunciation,” he wrote, while assuring that he and his party would fully cooperate with the EPPO. National Rally has been in the top spot in recent polling, despite its former leader, Marine Le Pen, having been sidelined by a similar case last year.

She is appealing that decision, but for now has made it clear that Bardella will run on the RN ticket for president.The party’s popularity, with or without Le Pen, cannot be a surprise to its rivals, given the sle w of issues France has been suffering from due to its policy of mass immigration and lax deportation: Elderly rape, minor prostitution, failing education, robberies, violent rape, concerns over sharia law, and murder. As the mother of 18-year-old Théo, who was stabbed to death by a Senegalese migrant who ended up avoiding prison, said: “You can kill in France with impunity.”

Meanwhile, the media and the left prefer not to draw attention to the link between increased migration and violence. And yet, a new website and real estate browser extension for Chrome is offering data on immigration levels, insecurity, and Islamization rates of neighborhoods for prospective buyers in the latest sign that the French public is highly concerned about record-breaking numbers of immigrants. According to a recent ifop poll, 60 percent of French believe there is “a replacement of the French population by non-European populations, mainly from the African continent.” The same poll found that 66 percent see it as a bad development. Only 9 percent noted it as good.

This is a major factor why the National Rally has been surging in the polls, and why left-wing parties and activist organizations will do anything to bring them down — first targeting Le Pen and now Bardella. Other party politicians and staff members have been implicated in both cases. Such efforts are not unique to France, with efforts ongoing for years over in Germany to bring down the anti-migration AfD party, which has also seen a massive rise in popularity. With reports indicating France is spending over €2 billion a year on housing and healthcare for asylum seekers and illegal migrants, RN’s rivals will need more than accusations of misappropriated funds to stop voters from exercising their desire for change.

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The European Commission chief is “obsessed” with proving she’s in charge, diplomats and officials have complained ..

Von der Leyen’s Power Grab Angers EU Officials – Bloomberg (RT)

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has tightened her control over the EU’s executive branch to the point where the bloc’s leaders and diplomats now view her as too powerful, according to a Bloomberg report.In power since 2019, von der Leyen has rebuilt the European Commission in her image and become “the face of Europe,” Bloomberg wrote on Tuesday. She has spearheaded the EU’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic, authored its hyper-belligerent policies toward Russia, and negotiated its trade deals with US President Donald Trump.


However, EU officials told the US news outlet that she’s “obsessed with demonstrating that she’s in charge,” and “is constantly jumping into the middle of the latest crisis, even when it’s outside her remit,” all while neglecting her core mission of strengthening the economy. A draft internal market strategy compiled by Commission Vice President Stephane Sejourne, for example, has sat neglected on her desk since November, Bloomberg claimed. Von der Leyen only showed the document to member states and the European Parliament days before its publication last month, making deliberation effectively impossible.

A similar scenario played out last year when von der Leyen shared the EU’s long-term budget with her fellow commissioners at the last minute, angering member states who were being asked to cough up a record €2 trillion ($2.4 trillion) with no consultation. Germany immediately rejected the budget, and lawmakers from von der Leyen’s CDU party met to demand additional checks on her power. Business leaders, meanwhile, have demanded that she act to improve the bloc’s competitiveness, but Bloomberg’s sources say their concerns rarely filter through to her “tight-knit” and “micromanaged” group of advisers.

Von der Leyen was handed a second stint at the helm of the commission in 2024, and has spent this second term in office dramatically centralizing power in Brussels. She began her term by appointing her team of 26 commissioners without running the list past the European Parliament first, proposed the establishment of an intelligence agency under her control last year – snatching this responsibility away from Kaja Kallas’ diplomatic arm of the EU – and has pushed for the creation of a “two-speed” EU, in which smaller blocs of countries could make policy decisions without the unanimous support of all 27 member states.

Von der Leyen has also moved to end the EU’s unanimity requirement on matters of foreign policy, arguing that the commission’s proposals should be passed with a simple majority vote. With regard to the bloc’s Ukraine policies, removing unanimity would eliminate the veto powers exercised by former Hungarian Prime Minister and war critic Viktor Orban, and undermine the neutrality of countries such as Austria and Ireland.

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It will require Trump.

Kathy Hochul Caves to Mamdani, Will Bail Out Socialist NYC (Margolis)

Not long ago, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul told New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to handle his own mess. Now she’s writing him a $4 billion check to bail him out. Mamdani had barely settled into Gracie Mansion before he discovered what socialists always find out: Eventually, you run out of other people’s money. His grand campaign promises — you know: free this, universal that — ran headlong into the reality that New York City couldn’t afford all the things Mamdani had campaigned on. So, Mamdani went looking to Albany for a bailout. And, originally, Hochul said no.


“The mayor and City Council need to work together, identify savings, and close the remaining gap,” a Hochul spokesperson said last month. As a resident of New York State (I’ll accept your condolences), I was thrilled. But apparently, a lot can change in a few weeks, especially when polls show the race for governor is tightening. On Tuesday, Gov. Hochul and Mayor Mamdani announced a sweeping new state funding package. The press release made it sound like a wonderful thing: Governor Hochul, in partnership with the state legislature, has secured an additional $4 billion in gap-closing support, bringing the total new state assistance to nearly $8 billion over two years.

With this latest agreement, the Mamdani Administration will officially close the more than $12 billion deficit it inherited from the previous administration, stabilizing the City’s finances while advancing investments that make New York more affordable for working people. These new investments build on the $1.5 billion in assistance announced in the Governor’s 30-day amendments in February and funding for universal childcare.”The announcement was dressed up in the usual Albany language about affordability and working families, with Hochul declaring it “a results-driven, responsible partnership.” That’s one way to describe it.

Something changed between Hochul’s stern message last month and Tuesday’s joint press conference — and nobody’s saying what it was. One can only imagine what kind of secret deal was reached to convince Hochul to reverse course so completely. My best guess? Mamdani promised to support her reelection campaign and hit the trail with her. A $4 billion commitment is an awfully expensive favor to do for free, and you better believe Hochul is getting something for it.

Both sides were eager to perform for the cameras. “Governor Hochul and I share a belief that government works best when we work together on behalf of the people we serve,” Mamdani said. He added that he and Hochul had “partnered through every step of this process to protect the fiscal health of our city” and called her commitment to securing New York City’s future something “working people can afford.” Because working people must live within their means, not the government.

Hochul, meanwhile, insisted she’d been committed “from day one” to New York City’s success, arguing a strong city strengthens the state as a whole. She framed the deal as delivering “free universal child care,” investments in education, public safety, and infrastructure, and the resources needed to keep critical services running. Touching stuff. It would be more convincing if she hadn’t spent weeks telling Mamdani to figure it out himself.

Not everyone in New York is buying the Kumbaya routine. Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman went right for the jugular. “Kathy Hochul just committed the largest daylight robbery in New York history, looting $4 billion from your family’s grocery and rent budget to bankroll Zohran Mamdani’s socialist experiment,” Blakeman said in a statement. He’s not wrong. I pay taxes in New York, and now I’m going to be covering for Mamdani’s socialist campaign promises. Hochul may think this will strengthen her position as she seeks another term in office, but how many people in New York State really want to be bailing out New York City?

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Did they?

CIA Went Rogue, Raided Tulsi’s Office to Seize Papers (Catherine Salgado)

A breaking news alert from Fox News, apparently confirmed by a Republican congresswoman, states that the Central Intelligence Agency went rogue, raiding the office of the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) to seize files. It seems from the Fox News report that the CIA seized the files just now, though a whistleblower from the agency who testified to Congress today referred to the wrongful seizure of files in his testimony. It is therefore not clear if the raid occurred today or before the testimony, or if there was more than one seizure. In either case, Rep. Anna Paulina Luna is giving the CIA 24 hours to return the files in question or face consequences.


The CIA was allegedly after the files on the assassination of President John F. Kennedy and the MK-Ultra human experimentation scandal. The story on the raid is developing but seems to be legitimate, and illustrates the need for drastic cuts in our Deep State. Donald Trump cannot hope to prevent such egregious acts by merely replacing top leadership. The majority of employees at the CIA and FBI worked there during the Biden-era weaponization of justice and believe they are not accountable to Trump or We the People.

DNI Tulsi Gabbard was reportedly in the process of declassifying the JFK and MK-ULTRA files, and it seems the CIA gave us indirect confirmation that there is something in those files that they desperately do not want anyone to know. The problem is that we don’t know if they will be able to destroy the files or not before the Trump administration can get them back. If the raid just occurred and did not happen previously in the last couple of days, it is interesting to note that President Trump was out of the country in China, and therefore unable to be present personally to deal with the situation. Hopefully, Vice President Vance is on the job.

Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) promptly issued a warning to the CIA, as you can see below, evidently providing confirmation of the raid: “The CIA has 24 hours to return the documents to Tulsi Gabbard’s office or else I will make a motion to issue a subpoena. These documents have been requested by Congress. @DNIGabbard @CIADirector https://t.co/Y5lMw8AYK5 — Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (@RepLuna) May 13, 2026”. CIA Director John Ratcliffe has not yet commented on the allegations, so he has not been able to clarify any timeline for when the raid happened. Gabbard has also not commented publicly.

The Hindustan Times referred to the allegations made by alleged whistleblower James Erdman: At Wednesday’s hearing before the Senate Homeland Security Committee, Erdman alleged that the CIA seized files related to the controversial human experimentation program, MKUltra, as well as the assassination of John F. Kennedy Jr, from the office of Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard. Erdman said that the files were about to be processed for declassification – a long-standing public demand – when the CIA swooped in and seized the files.

Read more …

Or not. “Good grief. I cannot believe people actually believed this story as presented ..”

No, The CIA Did Not Raid DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s Office (CTH)

Good grief. I cannot believe people actually believed this story as presented. Yes, the CIA is sketchy; however, no, the CIA did not raid the office of the Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, taking boxes of JFK and MK Ultra files. Oliva Coleman is Tulsi Gabbard’s spokesperson. The story is fake news.


Was there friction and opposition within the CIA to DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s office, yes. However, John Ratcliffe and Tulsi Gabbard have been working together for almost a year to address the Machiavellian network that operates in the shadows, and they have had remarkable success.

It’s highly likely former CIA embeds were doing some unauthorized surveillance of DNI Gabbard as she came into office. Obviously, she was a threat to their position and influence. However, through a methodical approach at addressing the politically motivated embeds within the entire Intelligence Community, including the CIA, DNI Gabbard has been successful in eliminating most of the corrupt actors. CIA Director John Ratcliffe would never authorize or allow anything like what was being framed in that outlandish story. It simply did not happen.

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Everyone seems to agree datacenters will soon be in space (orbital).

Datacenters, The AI Race and American Politics (CTH)

There is an increased public discussion about the race to build datacenters in the USA that are part of the Artificial Intelligence (AI) race for superiority. There are multiple facets within the discussion and some things to consider that might not be at the forefront, yet. Overall, there is a global race to build the best AI system that is not dissimilar to the nuclear arms race. Arguably the use of AI as a weapon is one possibility; while the second aspect surrounds strategic economic power.


The USA is poised very favorably in this AI race due to the advanced tech industry in America and recent national security moves made by President Trump in the tech sector surrounding strategic critical minerals and domestic chip production. However, no one is quite sure where China is in their AI development and last year’s explosive revelation around China’s “Deepseek” model shocked the U.S. tech industry due to its advanced intelligence prowess. With China and the USA both in this AI race, and the need for massive investment in datacenters to do the processing needed for an artificial intelligence brain of such significant capacity, there is a sense of urgency in the tech industry that is surfacing around the country.

Simultaneously, with datacenters becoming more controversial, suddenly the geopolitical intelligence operations enter the picture. Currently, it is well accepted inside the tech industry that part of China’s strategy against the USA in this AI race is to slow down American system development. As a consequence, it is beginning to surface that Beijing may be funding voices inside the USA to rally against the building of datacenters. Essentially, China funding voices, real or artificially boosted influence operations, to amplify domestic opposition to the datacenters.

Anytime the intelligence operations become part of a domestic issue that has national security implications, things get opaque, cloudy and muddy pretty quick. Is datacenter opposition organic – actual citizens and communities pushing back against the development in their towns and/or cities or is the opposition to the datacenters a form of foreign influence operation? These questions become challenging to answer, and discernment becomes very critical. The truth might even be a combination depending on the localized opposition and/or regional importance. One thing is very clear, building the world’s leading AI system is being rushed with an urgency similar to atomic bomb development.

Here’s a great example of that type of question. Today Gallup released a poll showing 72 percent of Americans are opposed to building AI datacenters in their area. [POLLING HERE]

[Note the date]

The topline sounds pretty straightforward right? 7 in 10 Americans oppose “the construction of a data center in their area to support artificial intelligence technology.” That’s the polled result. Indeed, this poll is being cited in numerous media articles now emphasizing opposition to the datacenters.However, put on your discernment cap and look at it closely. Notice the date of the poll, “March 2-18, 2026.” Why did Gallup wait two months to release the results of a poll on May 13, 2026?

Did the date of release today have something to do with the timing of President Trump taking a list of key U.S. tech and finance leaders to Beijing to confront China on exactly this AI issue? …. Or was it coincidental? This is where you have to make up your own mind as to whether this Gallup poll is an organic outcome, an organically timed release, on an issue that just happens to be at the heart of the geopolitical negotiations currently underway in Beijing between the USA and China. Or was there some kind of influence operation around it?

Read more …

“.. as Benjamin Franklin warned us and now Elias has reminded us, we must fight to keep this Republic.”

Marc Elias Raises Power to Eliminate the Virginia Government (Turley)

Democratic lawyer Marc Elias appears to believe that Democrats do not need to stop at simply sacking and packing the Virginia Supreme Court in response to the adverse ruling on the radical gerrymandering plan. Elias reminded Democrats that they could eliminate the entire Virginia government under the state constitution. The demand for radical action was prompted by the Virginia justices, including one appointed by then-Democratic governor Mark Warner, who found the Democratic effort unconstitutional. It does not matter that leading Democrats, including Gov. Abigail Spanberger, also believed that the Democrats could be found in violation of the state constitution in pushing forward with the controversial effort to virtually extinguished Republican representation in the purple state.


The adverse decision has resulted in the same demands for radical institutional changes from some of the same voices pledging to pack the United States Supreme Court once they retake power, to guarantee they never lose it again. Elias responded to the loss by invoking language from Article I of the Virginia Constitution itself: “whenever any government shall be found inadequate or contrary to these purposes, a majority of the community hath an indubitable, inalienable, and indefeasible right to reform, alter, or abolish it, in such manner as shall be judged most conducive to the public weal.” That is his response to a well-reasoned decision of unconstitutionality of a redistricting plan. We can scrap the entire Virginia government.

It is another example of the “by any means necessary” culture of the left today. There is no institution or value that is sacred. This is why I recently wrote about the rise of “the new Jacobins” in my book Rage and the Republic, lawyers and law professors rationalizing the trashing of the Constitution and our institutions to achieve their political goals. Elias has long been controversial for his tactics. It was Elias who was the general counsel to the Clinton presidential campaign when it secretly funded the infamous Steele dossier and pushed the false Alfa Bank conspiracy. (His fellow Perkins Coie partner, Michael Sussmann, was later indicted but acquitted).

Clinton campaign officials denied any involvement in the Steele Dossier. When journalists discovered after the election that the Clinton campaign hid payments for the Steele dossier as “legal fees” among the $5.6 million paid to Perkins Coie, they were reportedly stonewalled. The campaign was ultimately sanctioned by the Federal Election Commission for the subterfuge. New York Times reporter Ken Vogel said at the time that Elias denied involvement in the anti-Trump dossier. When Vogel tried to report the story, he said, Elias “pushed back vigorously, saying ‘You (or your sources) are wrong.’” Times reporter Maggie Haberman later wrote that “Folks involved in funding this lied about it, and with sanctimony, for a year.”

Elias’s group later unsuccessfully led efforts to challenge Democratic electoral losses. In Maryland, Elias’s team supported another abusive gerrymandering scheme that a court found not only violated Maryland law but the state constitution’s equal protection, free speech and free elections clauses. The court found that the map “subverts the will of those governed.” One media site accused Elias and his group of “making millions off gerrymandering efforts” while publicly denouncing Republican gerrymandering. In 2024, Elias’s legal team was also accused of pushing “to bar third-party presidential candidates — including Cornel West — from swing state ballots where they might siphon votes from the Democratic nominee [Kamala Harris].”

Likewise, the New York Times reported that Elias’s firm’s work “on behalf of a Soros-funded PAC in Texas…was opposed by a left-leaning election watchdog as undermining laws intended to limit the influence of major donors.” His group’s work for New York redistricting was ridiculed as not only ignoring the express will of the voters and also effectively negating the votes of Republican voters.

In 2024, the Chief Judge of the Western District of Wisconsin criticized the Elias Law Group for one of its challenges. Judge James Peterson (an Obama appointee) said that the argument “simply does not make any sense.” Now, Elias is reminding Virginians that they can respond to an opposing court decision by eliminating some or all of the Virginia state government.

It is the logic of the Jacobin. As discussed in my book, the Framers sought to prevent democracy from becoming mobocracy by rejecting more direct democratic powers. They tried to temper the passions of democracy in moments like this. There is nothing new about these voices, like that of Elias, in fueling radical impulses. They are the same voices and arguments that has long been heard in this country. We have long rejected them and this year will celebrate the 250th anniversary of our Independence. However, as Benjamin Franklin warned us and now Elias has reminded us, we must fight to keep this Republic.

Read more …

 

 

 

 

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Home Forums Debt Rattle May 14 2026

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  • #240560

    Nicolai Dubovskov Hushing (Calm Before the Storm) 1890 • Bessent’s “Suffocating” Iranian Regime Strategy Materializes (ZH) • Trump, Xi, and the Taiwan
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle May 14 2026]

    #240574
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Faced with a Global Financial and Economic Crisis, China Has Better Options than the US
    12 May 2026 by Larry C. Johnson 235 Comments

    The Direct Comparison of Debt to GDP
    This article is longer than my usual contribution, but the issue is of critical importance. Donald Trump’s meeting with Xi Jinping is taking place at a time of unprecedented economic turmoil caused by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. As I have discussed in my recent articles, the disruption of the supply chains for oil, Liquid Natural Gas, sulfur, helium and urea marks a global event that has not happened in modern history.

    Many Western economists claim that China’s economy is more troubled than the US, even though the US has a far worse debt to gdp ratio. Based on official data from US government sources and China’s State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the United States has a significantly higher debt-to-GDP ratio than China. As of the end of 2025, the US ratio was 122.6%, while China’s ratio was 11.9% .

    However, it is crucial to understand that these two figures measure very different things. They are like comparing the debt of an entire country to the foreign debt of a single corporation. Here is a detailed breakdown of the comparison.

    The Western analysts give the edge to the US over China using the following criteria:

    Debt quality and productivity matter more than raw ratios. The core Western argument is not simply about the size of debt but about what it bought. Western analysts point to China’s debt-fueled investment in property, infrastructure, and state-owned enterprises as having generated diminishing returns — ghost cities, empty highways, and overcapacity in steel and aluminum — whereas US debt has financed consumption, defense, and transfer payments in a predominantly market-driven economy where capital allocation is more efficient.

    The property crisis is structural and severe. China’s property sector, which at its peak accounted for roughly 25–30% of GDP when including related industries, has been in a prolonged downturn since Evergrande’s collapse in 2021. Unlike a cyclical recession, this represents a fundamental repricing of the dominant store of household wealth in China, with no clear floor yet established. The US has no equivalent structural drag of comparable scale.

    Deflation vs. inflation dynamics. China is battling deflation — consumer prices were negative or near-zero through much of 2024 and 2025 — which is particularly dangerous for a heavily indebted economy because it increases the real burden of debt even without new borrowing. The US, despite recent inflation, has seen nominal GDP grow faster than its debt in recent years, which mechanically improves its debt-to-GDP ratio.

    Demographics are dramatically worse. China faces one of the most severe demographic contractions in history — a consequence of the one-child policy — with its working-age population already shrinking and its old-age dependency ratio set to roughly triple by 2050. A shrinking workforce means slower growth, higher social spending, and a smaller tax base to service debt. The US demographic outlook, while challenging, is substantially better due to immigration.

    Reserve currency privilege. This is arguably the most important distinction. The US dollar is the world’s reserve currency, meaning the US can borrow in its own currency at relatively low interest rates from a virtually unlimited global pool of creditors. If the US faces a debt crisis, it can ultimately print dollars. China cannot do this — the renminbi is not freely convertible and is not a global reserve currency — meaning China’s debt dynamics are more constrained. Al Jazeera

    Transparency and data reliability. Many Western analysts distrust China’s official statistics. GDP figures, local government debt levels, and bank non-performing loan ratios are all viewed with suspicion, with analysts routinely assuming the real figures are worse than reported. US data, produced by independent statistical agencies, is generally taken at face value. MS NOW

    An Alternative View:

    These arguments, on the surface, appear valid but reflect a Western bias that is a product of arrogance and ignorance. Here are the main biases I see that skew the Western analysis:

    Dollar-centric framing. Much Western financial analysis is produced by institutions — Wall Street banks, Washington think tanks, European universities — whose entire intellectual framework assumes dollar hegemony as a permanent feature of the world. Any analysis that questions that hegemony is institutionally uncomfortable.

    Confirmation bias in the analyst community. For roughly fifteen years, Western analysts have been predicting an imminent Chinese economic collapse that has not arrived. Having made those predictions publicly, there is professional pressure to continue making them rather than to revise the framework.

    Political convenience. At a moment of intense US-China geopolitical rivalry — and now active conflict in the Gulf — there is obvious political utility in portraying China’s economy as fragile. Analysts who work for institutions with government contracts or who seek access to policymakers have subtle incentives to align with the prevailing political narrative.

    The US debt problem is genuinely uncomfortable to discuss. Interest payments on the US national debt surpassed spending on both Medicare and national defense in fiscal year 2024 — a milestone that would, in any other country, prompt serious discussion of fiscal sustainability. The tendency to focus analytical attention on China’s problems rather than comparably serious US structural issues reflects a form of motivated reasoning.

    Both economies have serious structural problems. China’s are more acute in the near term — the property crisis, deflation, and demographic collapse are genuine and severe. However, the US problems are more dangerous in the long run — a debt trajectory that is mathematically unsustainable without either significantly higher taxes, significantly lower spending, or financial repression through inflation. The critical variable is the US reserve currency privilege… Can the US maintain that privilege? I say no.

    There is substantial and growing evidence across multiple independent indicators that dollar erosion is real, measurable, and accelerating, though its pace and ultimate destination remain genuinely contested. The dollar’s share of global foreign exchange reserves has fallen below 57% for the first time since 1995, reaching 56.9% in Q3 2025 and dropping further in subsequent quarters. This represents a structural decline from a peak of 72% in 2001. US Government Spending

    The IMF adds an important nuance: once adjusted for exchange rate effects — since a weaker dollar mechanically reduces the dollar-denominated value of reserves held in other currencies — the underlying active diversification away from dollars is somewhat smaller than raw figures suggest. Even so, the longer-term decline is real. NBER

    The dollar’s share has now dropped to a 31-year low, though what has primarily driven the declining share is not central banks selling dollar assets but rather a surge in assets denominated in dozens of smaller currencies as central banks diversify their growing reserve piles.

    The Dollar’s Exchange Rate

    The DXY index — the dollar against a basket of major currencies — fell more than 10% in the first half of 2025, its biggest drop since 1973. The dollar fell 7.9% against the euro and over 11% against the Swiss franc in those six months alone. In January 2026, it fell a further 1.2%, following the cumulative 10% decline against major currencies over the prior year. Pew Research CenterCongressional Budget Office

    The sudden, sharp nature of these falls is unusual for a currency traded as widely as the dollar. The daily flow of transactions into and out of the dollar is so massive that sudden sharp declines should theoretically be smoothed out — the fact that they have occurred has sparked serious debate about whether the US is losing reserve currency status. MacroTrends

    Foreign Holdings of US Treasuries

    The share of foreign ownership in the US Treasury market has fallen from above 50% during the Global Financial Crisis to roughly 30% today. China specifically has cut its Treasury holdings from $1.3 trillion in 2013 to $682 billion as of November 2025. However, total foreign holdings have continued rising in absolute terms, hitting a record $9.35 trillion in November 2025, split between private entities ($4.8 trillion) and official institutions ($3.8 trillion) — so the decline in share reflects rapid Treasury issuance more than an exodus.

    The Gold Signal

    Gold’s share of global reserves has risen from 13% in 2017 to approximately 30% in 2025, with BRICS+ nations now holding 17.4% of global gold reserves, up from 11.2% in 2019. Net central bank gold purchases surged to 230 tonnes in Q4 2025 alone, bringing the full-year total to 863 tonnes. Increases in gold holdings are most strongly associated with a decline in dollar reserves specifically for China, Russia, and Turkey — the three countries most strategically motivated to reduce dollar dependence. Rhodium Group

    The Petrodollar: The Most Consequential Crack

    The petrodollar system — the cornerstone of dollar dominance since the 1970s — is showing cracks. BRICS nations now settle approximately 67% of intra-bloc trade in local currencies, up from under 20% a decade ago. The current Gulf conflict has materially accelerated this: Iranian oil is being sold for Chinese yuan, tolls at the Strait are being settled in yuan, and the PGSA’s payment infrastructure operates entirely outside the dollar system. \

    The Safe Haven Question

    Perhaps most significantly, a January 2026 CEPR paper titled “The US Dollar: Not a Traditional Safe Haven” argued that the dollar no longer behaves as a reliable safe haven in all risk-off events — a foundational assumption of dollar dominance that, if permanently impaired, would have profound implications for reserve demand. However, the Reserve Bank of Australia noted that the dollar did appreciate following the recent attacks on Iran, suggesting the safe-haven function has not fully eroded.

    China’s Alternative Infrastructure

    China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) recorded 750,540 transactions valued at approximately $270 billion in a single month by March 2026, now connecting 194 direct participants and 1,597 indirect participants across 117 countries, with total annual volume reaching 180 trillion yuan ($25 trillion) in 2025 — a 43% annual volume increase. This is the plumbing of a parallel financial system being built in real time.

    The question that analysts ought to be asking is what happens when (not if) the current supply chain disruption triggers a global depression, rather than global stagflation? The primary vulnerability for the US is not the size of its debt ($39 trillion, ~125% of GDP) but its funding model. The US relies on the constant goodwill of global investors to roll over its debt. A severe recession would directly test this confidence.

    If a recession hit, the US government would face a massive fiscal cliff:

    Required Stimulus: To fight the recession, the government would likely need to pass another multi-trillion dollar stimulus package

    Automatic Stabilizers Surge: Spending on unemployment benefits, food assistance, and healthcare would skyrocket.

    Tax Revenues Collapse: Corporate and personal income tax receipts would plummet.

    This sudden explosion in borrowing needs would come at the worst possible time. Here is the “doom loop” that former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell have warned about:

    The Trigger: A recession causes the budget deficit to balloon far beyond current projections.
    Loss of Confidence: Global investors, spooked by the US’s inability to control its finances, demand much higher interest rates (yields) to buy new Treasury bonds.
    Debt Spiral: Higher interest rates dramatically increase the government’s cost to borrow, adding hundreds of billions to the deficit, which forces the government to issue even more debt.
    The “Minsky Moment”: This self-reinforcing cycle could trigger a sudden collapse in bond prices, leading to what experts call a financial crisis or a currency crisis, potentially undermining the US dollar’s status as the world’s safe-haven currency.
    China’s vulnerability is the opposite of America’s. Because its debt is mostly domestically held and controlled, it is less vulnerable to a sudden loss of confidence from foreign investors. Its risk is structural: The Chinese economy now requires enormous amounts of debt to generate very little growth.

    Research data shows that in 2000, China needed roughly 13-16 yuan of new debt to generate 1 yuan of GDP growth. By 2025, it needed 60-75 yuan of debt to generate the same 1 yuan of growth. This collapsing “debt productivity” is the key danger. However, China’s Belt-and-Road-Initiative provides the Chinese with some options that would mitigate suffering in China from a global economic crisis.

    The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is no longer just a foreign infrastructure program; it has evolved into a central pillar of China’s domestic economic strategy. Far from retreating as some Western analysts predicted, the BRI saw a record-breaking resurgence in 2025, with total project value reaching a staggering $213.6 billion. It now serves as a critical pressure valve and strategic engine for the Chinese economy in three major ways: absorbing industrial overcapacity, securing essential resources, and creating new export markets.

    Massive Scale and Recent Resurgence

    After a period of slower growth, the BRI has re-emerged with unprecedented scale and strategic focus. The data below illustrates the initiative’s recent explosive growth:

    The initiative’s focus has also shifted, moving beyond “small yet beautiful” projects to massive, strategic investments. This growth is directly linked to solving challenges inside China’s economy.

    A Safety Valve for Domestic Overcapacity

    China faces a significant domestic challenge: it manufactures far more than its population and slowing economy can consume, particularly in green and high-tech sectors. The BRI provides a crucial outlet for this excess production.

    High-Tech & Green Energy Surge: In 2025, China’s exports of electric vehicles (EVs), lithium batteries, and solar panels jumped by 27.1%, and wind turbine exports skyrocketed by 48.7%. Much of this production is finding a home in BRI partner countries.

    Building Factories Abroad: To bypass trade barriers like high US tariffs on Chinese goods, Beijing is using the BRI to relocate manufacturing capacity. In 2025 alone, BRI projects in the technology and manufacturing sector hit a record $28.7 billion, focusing on EV battery factories and semiconductor facilities in intermediary countries like those in Southeast Asia.

    Diversifying Markets Away from the West

    As Western markets, particularly the United States, have become less accessible due to trade tensions, the BRI has been instrumental in finding new customers for Chinese goods.

    BRI Now Dominates Trade: For the first time, trade with BRI partner countries now accounts for over half (51.9%) of China’s total foreign trade.

    The African Pivot: The most dramatic shift has been towards Africa. In 2025, Chinese exports to Africa jumped by roughly 18%, making it the top destination for Chinese export growth. Correspondingly, the value of BRI projects in Africa surged by a staggering 283% to reach $61.2 billion.

    This strategy is reshaping global trade patterns. As one analysis notes, “south-south trade” —economic exchange between developing countries—has expanded tenfold over the past three decades and now accounts for over a third of global commerce

    Securing Supply Chains and Critical Resources

    Beyond selling goods, the BRI is also about securing what China needs to keep its industries running. It is being used as a tool to vertically integrate global supply chains.

    Critical Minerals: Massive investments are being made in mining and resource processing. The mining and metals sector under the BRI saw investments reach about $32.6 billion in 2025, including significant projects in Kazakhstan and other resource-rich nations.

    Energy Transition: While China has pledged to stop building new coal plants abroad, the 2025 BRI saw record green energy investments of $18.3 billion in solar and wind projects, alongside continued investment in oil and gas to meet its energy needs

    The competition between the US economy and the China economy is the backdrop for this week’s meeting in Beijing. If the shutdown of the supply chains from the Persian Gulf persist, the US economy and financial system is the most vulnerable. Does Donald Trump understand that?

    Here is a conversation I had on Friday with Zulfiqar Ali. Zulfiqar is my source for the intel provided by the Pakistani ISI official:

    EX-CIA Larry Johnson: Saudi Arabia Is KICKING Out the US World Will Never Be the Same
    Judge Napolitano and I discussed the current situation in the Persian Gulf:

    Larry Johnson : Israel Secretly Invades Iraq
    Nima and I discussed Trump’s reaction to the Iranian position paper on ending the war (what a terrible AI photo):

    Larry Johnson:
    I thank you for your invaluable support by taking time to read or comment. I do not charge a subscription fee nor do I accept advertising. I want the content to be accessible to everyone interested in the issues I am discussing. However, if you wish to make a donation, please see this link.

    #240575
    Michael Reid
    Participant
    #240576
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    GRIFTBUSTERS – POIKONEN & NIXON – ICE CAN ACCESS 20 MILLION PHONES – INCOMING FAMINE – & MORE

    #240577
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #240578
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    For those of you not familiar with current slang, G.O.A.T. stands for Greatest Of All Time

    Instead of focusing on Americans who are paying soaring prices for gasoline, diesel and food — all a consequence of Trump’s boneheaded, dangerous policy gambits — Trump pretended he was the wicked Queen in Snow White and asked the mirror, Who is the Greatest Of All Time:

    http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2026/05/exactly-this-is-called-truism.html

    #240579
    John Day
    Participant

    TAE Summary closed out last night with this ;-}

    * I loathe, despise, detest, abhor,
    Abominate the Iran war.
    I love our troops, I love our land,
    The flag goes by, I always stand;
    But of all bad news outside my door,
    The worst of all’s the Iran war.
    Chain me up with clowns galore,
    But don’t give me the Iran war.
    The Donald made a huge mistake,
    And now his cabinet’s on the take;
    They peddle bombs and make a ton,
    And yuck it up like it’s all fun.
    The world think our land’s a joke
    And groceries soon will make me broke,
    The dollar’s doomed and one thing more,
    It’s lies that justify this war.
    Knock me flat upon the floor,
    But don’t give me the Iran war.”

    #240580
    John Day
    Participant

    Planning For Summer https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/planning-for-summer

    This summer is going to be a modern version of the gas lines in 1974 and 1979. That much is already baked-in, because the transit time from the Strait of Hormuz is a couple of months, and the US is rapidly depleting the strategic petroleum reserve, which was already depleted, by selling it on the global market.
    Oil, natural gas, sulfer, helium and nitrogen fertilizer supplies are all knocked down hard and will stay down everywhere until early July, even if the Strait of Hormuz opens tomorrow.
    Global agriculture will be hit hard, with much reduced fall harvests, so grain and bean stocks will be depleted. Poor countries will be hit this year by poor rice crops, and traditionally more wealthy countries will be hit by price rises this year, then tighter supplies next year. UK farmers are reportedly being told to get rid of half of their cows.
    Most people do not recall the impact of the 1973-1974 Arab Oil Embargo, but it was a big, hard systemic shock that everybody in an embargoed country really experienced, and had to adapt to. People changed, cars changed, and government policies changed.
    Imagine that you can’t drive or fly anywhere this summer. What might you do instead? What if it stayed that way for a couple of years? What if you lose your job?

    Professor Ugo Bardi, 50+ years of World Models: Collapse, Collapse, Collapse – The Way the Universe Works​
    image.png​
    ​ Above, you see five “standard run” scenarios, starting from the first Limits to Growth calculations of 1972, to very recent ones (there are others; this is just a sample). The model is always the same, “Word3” but with updated data, and slightly different assumptions. Note that the population peak has been moving back from ca 2050 in 1972, to around 2030 nowadays…
    ..Now, a question: why do all these models predict collapse? An accusation that was often made to the authors of the first “The Limits to Growth” report, in 1972, was that collapse was built into the models. Hence, it was said, collapse is an ideological feature that modelers inserted into their models…
    ..Yet, it is starting to appear that the assumptions at the basis of these models were NOT just reflections of how the authors saw the world. They were based on physics, even though this point was not explicitly stated.
    ​ I am working right now on a paper that quantifies the trajectory of complex systems as a function of the availability of resources and the impact of pollution — the “core” of the LTG world models. It turns out that you CAN generate the growth and decline curves starting from the first two principles of thermodynamics, energy conservation, and entropy generation, together with the Maximum Power Principle (MPP), sometimes said to be the 4th principle of thermodynamics.​
    ​ Here is the abstract (provisional)
    ​ The Hubbert curve, originally proposed in 1956 as a phenomenological description of oil-field production, has long resisted derivation from independent principles. We show that the curve emerges as the structural consequence of a thermodynamic chain combining four established results: the Gouy–Stodola theorem on irreversible processes, the Lotka–Odum maximum power principle (MPP) for biological energy harvesting, the Curzon–Ahlborn endoreversible bound for heat engines operating at maximum power, and the two-stock model of Bardi and Lavacchi (2009) for resource depletion under autocatalytic capital reinvestment. Within this framework, the symmetric bell-shaped Hubbert curve is the prediction of the model in its simplest form, while the asymmetric “Seneca” curves observed empirically arise from named symmetry-breaking terms — capacity depreciation, EROI decline, pollution feedback, and best-first extraction — each with a clear thermodynamic interpretation. The synthesis suggests that the descent phase of fossil-energy civilization is not an empirical curiosity but a thermodynamic prediction, and that its asymmetry is structural rather than accidental.​ https://senecaeffect.substack.com/p/50-years-of-world-models-collapse

    ​PANIC NOW! ;-o EIGHT WEEKS TO EMPTY SHELVES. SIXTY DAYS TO FAMINE. WHAT CAUSED IT, AND WHAT YOU NEED TO DO IMMEDIATELY https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/component/content/article/eight-weeks-to-empty-shelves-sixty-days-to-famine-what-caused-it-and-what-you-need-to-do-immediately

    Gail Tverberg knows there will be oil shortages, but presents the questions of how societies choose to deal with them. The Hormuz War is, I believe, a way of dealing with the decline of net oil, which has irreversibly begun. Forced cutbacks are the “solution”. China and US Trade Talks: A Solution for Oil Shortages?
    China may also be a key to ending the Iran conflict​
    ​ The war with Iran is not going well. It is difficult to supply US troops with adequate food and other necessities. With summer arriving soon, the region will soon be an even more inhospitable place for ground troops to fight. An underlying problem is that the world economy was reaching resource limits even before the Iran War began, adding to the difficulties.
    ​ The most pressing resource limit is distillate fuel oil–an industry term for what we think of as diesel and jet fuel. This fuel is heavily used in transportation. It is also used extensively in agriculture and industry. Somehow, the system needs to cut back on these fuels for international trade so that more fuel is available for agriculture and industry.​ https://gailtverberg.substack.com/p/china-and-us-trade-talks-a-solution

    ​ Nate Hagens and Art Berman were prominent contributors to The Oil Drum blog, along with Gail Tverberg. A World On the Precipice: The Last Oil Tanker From the Strait of Hormuz has Arrived – Now What? The Great Simplification #220 with Art Berman https://natehagens.substack.com/p/a-world-on-the-precipice-the-last

    #240581
    John Day
    Participant

    Alex Krainer reports on the English farmer who got a letter saying to get rid of half of his cows for “Net Zero”: Racing toward “Absolute Zero”
    It’s very real: the Epstein class is dead serious about ‘getting rid of the poor people,’ and creating an Orwellian totalitarian society.​ https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/racing-toward-absolute-zero

    Swap Lines, Gulf Debt and the Unravelling of Dollar Primacy
    Michael Hudson: So if the Emirates actually insist, well we need the money, you’ve got to give us the money that we’ve invested in the United States. The United States can’t say, “Well we’ve frozen it all because we don’t want the bond prices to go down. We don’t want the stock prices to go down because that’s what our economy is all about. You threaten to bring the Ponzi scheme to an end.” So what does the Treasury do? It says, “Well don’t worry. We’re going to save you from having to sell these investments that you’ve made that have gone bad.” ​… So here’s what we’re going to do. We’re going to make a swap agreement and we’re just going to create dollars and you’ll give us an equivalent couple of hundred billion dollars of your currency, we’ll give you a hundred billion dollars and we’ll just swap and lend you the money that you need to spend to keep afloat…
    ​..A swap agreement manages to cope with the freezing up of the US financial markets as a result of all of the debt leveraging and the private capital companies, and the fact that the US economy has been kept afloat for its stock prices and its bond prices by easy credit in a Ponzi scheme. And the easy credit has just created such an overhead of debt that now if you say, “Well, we want to cash out,” well there’s only a teeny little bit of equity for this huge pyramid of debt, and if the price of this debt goes down, then the equity is wiped out totally. That’s what the US is facing and that’s why it’s doing this. It’s creating this swap system because there isn’t any other alternative.
    ​ Radhika Desai: This is exactly right, Michael. And let me put it in slightly different terms. Let me formulate what you’ve said in slightly different terms. What you’re saying is that the very thing that the Federal Reserve has been doing domestically, which is supporting asset markets through quantitative easing, it is now going to have to do internationally.​ https://michael-hudson.com/2026/05/swap-lines-gulf-debt-and-the-unravelling-of-dollar-primacy/

    ​It’s Yalta-2, but Trump is just Churchill, not FDR. Maybe Putin is Stalin and Xi is FDR. Moon of Alabama, Trump Goes To China
    This week U.S. President Donald Trump is going to China.
    His larger plan had been to take Venezuela, Iran and their oil before pressing China, via tariffs and energy restrictions, to concede to U.S. hegemony.
    That plan has failed. Trump has lost two wars. His tariff schemes ended in retreat after China restricted the export of its rare earth products. His war on Iran has been one big failure.
    Trump is coming to Beijing with his cap in his hand. He, as usual, will try to bluff a way to ‘victory’. He will proceed as if the U.S. were in a great position. The Chinese will be polite, but won’t have any of it. https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/05/trump-goes-to-china.html

    Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-05-13
    April CPI inflation hits 3-year high at 3.8% YoY (exp 3.7%), Core 0.4% MoM (exp 0.3%). Energy +17.9% YoY, gasoline +28.4%, airfares +20.7%. Fed rate HIKE odds surge to 31%. Rate cuts entirely priced out. Real wages post first annual decline since April 2023…
    ​..Iran issues 5 preconditions for any nuclear talks with the US: end war on all fronts including Lebanon, lift all sanctions, release frozen assets, pay war reparations, recognize Iran’s sovereign right over Hormuz. Trump rejected as “totally unacceptable”. Iran parliament threatens 90% uranium enrichment in event of new attack. NYT reports Iran retained 70% of missile arsenal with 30 of 33 Hormuz missile sites operational.​..
    ..Global bond market meltdown intensifying: US 30Y yield above 5.02%, 10Y nearing 4.50%. Japan 20Y at highest since 1996. UK 30Y gilt at highest since 1998…
    ​..China imported record 528 tonnes of silver in March — most ever recorded…
    ..Trump en route to Beijing with 16 CEOs including Cook, Fink, Musk, Solomon, Schwarzman, Fraser, Ortberg. Jensen Huang joined last minute. Summit Thursday-Friday. Chinese state media showing zero mentions of the visit per JustDario — a deliberate signal. Topics: Taiwan, AI, rare earths, trade, Iran pressure on China…
    ​..Hormuz crisis: Iran tightening control, not losing it​ – Iraq and Pakistan have cut deals with Iran to ship oil and LNG through the Strait — Iran moving from blocking to access control per Reuters
    ​ At least 6 Chinese-owned tankers crossed Hormuz in a single day with Iran’s approval. Maersk still avoiding the Strait entirely
    Saudi Aramco CEO calls this the “largest energy supply shock the world has ever experienced” — ~1 billion barrels lost, 2-5 ships daily through Hormuz vs 70 pre-war…
    ​..Pentagon confirms 39 US aircraft lost in Iran war per Rep. Ed Case​…
    ​..US releasing another wave from Strategic Reserve as gas prices soar — SPR drawdowns compared to Biden-era playbook by JustDario
    Gasoline inventories at 10-year lows per Chris Martenson; could hit “tank bottom” by early July​…
    ​..Copper hits all-time high above $14,000/ton​…
    ​..AI market structure — fragility building under euphoria​…
    ​..Russia tests Sarmat ICBM — nuclear posture escalation​ – Russia successfully tests the Sarmat heavy ICBM, entering combat duty before year-end. Putin: range 35,000km, warhead yield 4x any Western analogue, suborbital trajectory capability, overcomes all missile defense​…
    ​..Ukraine: ceasefire over, corruption exposed, Belarus mobilizes​ – Three-day ceasefire ended; Russia claims 30,383 Ukrainian violations. Putin ready to meet Zelensky in Moscow “at any time”
    ​ Yermak (Zelensky’s former chief of staff) charged with money laundering — $10.5M, 4 diplomatic passports found, fortune teller consulted for personnel decisions
    ​ Zelensky’s former spokesperson tells Tucker Carlson: cash bags in meetings, “Goebbels-style propaganda” requested, drug use allegations.​..
    ​..UK political crisis deepening​ – Starmer refusing to resign despite 80+ Labour MPs calling for him to step down. Now 85 MPs — above 81 threshold for leadership challenge​…
    ​..Consumer financial stress reaching extremes​ – 55% of Americans say financial condition getting worse — highest since 2001 tracking began
    ​ Seriously delinquent credit card balances about to surpass GFC record
    ​Millions of student borrowers defaulting — average age 40​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-05-13

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-05-12
    Iran-US ceasefire collapse: Trump called Iran’s counter-proposal “TOTALLY UNACCEPTABLE” and a “piece of garbage”, put ceasefire “on life support”, met with generals Monday, and is considering reactivating Project Freedom (military escorts through Hormuz). Iran’s Parliament Speaker responded: “Our armed forces are ready… they will be surprised”. US Navy deployed nuclear-armed submarine USS Alaska through Gibraltar. Iran deployed combat-ready mini subs in Hormuz.​..
    ​..Iran Strait of Hormuz sovereignty assertion​ – Iran formalised the Persian Gulf Strait Authority with pre-approval forms for every transit and claimed authority over seven major subsea cables carrying ~15-20% of inter-regional data traffic
    ​ First commercial transits since February — Qatari LNG and Saudi tanker — moved under IRGC-designated routes. Mediators paid the toll​…
    ​..~1,550-1,600 vessels remain stranded inside the Gulf per NYT/AP estimates. Lloyd’s Joint War Committee has not delisted Hormuz​…
    ​..2022 Biden dumped SPR during no supply shock vs 2026 Trump leasing SPR during largest supply shock in history — to hide the crisis​…
    ​..A Polymarket account with 100% win ratio on Iran war bets just placed large wagers on US invasion and regime fall by June 30​…
    ​..Europe pivoting toward Russia talks​ – Finland’s Stubb: “time to start negotiations with Russia”, confirmed European leaders discussing who will be contact person​ – EU Kallas refused Schröder as Putin-proposed negotiator
    ​ Slovakia’s Fico: “Are we such IDIOTS?” — Russia supplies gas to US who resells to Europe at markup
    Hungary’s new FM Anita Orban: no weapons/soldiers to Ukraine, won’t participate in €90B EU loan; will build relations with Russia​…
    ​..Zelensky inner circle unravelling​ – Tucker Carlson full interview with ex-press secretary Yulia Mendel: Zelensky demanded “Goebbels propaganda” with “1,000 talking heads”​ – She confirmed he was unqualified, called him a drug user
    ​ NABU serving notice of suspicion to Yermak (former presidential office head) over multi-billion-dollar Western aid theft schemes
    Germany’s AfD at 28% nationally, most popular party​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-05-12

    #240582
    John Day
    Participant

    US surveillance plane overhead on guard: Secret Israeli Base Hidden In Iraqi Desert Backed Operations Inside Iran​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/secret-israeli-base-hidden-iraqi-desert-backed-operations-inside-iran

    ​ Top Iraqi officials establish committee to ‘disarm’ resistance factions: Report
    Iraq’s incoming Prime Minister is under pressure from Washington to disarm Shia armed factions and prevent their leaders from taking roles in any new government​ https://thecradle.co/articles/top-iraqi-officials-establish-committee-to-disarm-resistance-factions-report#google_vignette

    ‘Mediator’ Pakistan Hosted Iranian Military Aircraft To Insulate Them From US Attacks, Graham Fumes At Islamabad​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/very-wide-gap-between-us-iranian-positions-tehran-blasts-white-house-unreasonable

    Iran Deploys Combat-Ready Mini Subs In Hormuz As US Flexes Nuclear Submarine En Route​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/iran-deploys-combat-ready-mini-subs-hormuz-us-flexes-nuclear-submarine-en-route

    ​Iranian General: Army submarines monitor, intercept vessels in Hormuz Strait https://en.mehrnews.com/news/244388/Army-submarines-monitor-intercept-vessels-in-Hormuz-Strait

    #240583
    John Day
    Participant

    Moon of Alabama, War On Iran: – U.S. Experiencing Price Increases
    The stalemate in the War of Iran is characterized by bets on each side that the enemy side will soon incur unsustainable economic problems.
    After several wars and decades of sanctions Iran is well versed in how to sustain under economic pressure. Its people and government know of the larger picture. Price fluctuations are inconveniences but do not change the will of the people.
    The U.S. on the other side is rather fragile. Even only mildly unconformable circumstances will lead to political pressure. One percent more or less of inflation will change the election chances for this or that party.
    The consequences of the blockade of Hormuz are starting to come in: US inflation jumps to 3.8% as energy costs surge from Iran war – BBC https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/05/war-on-iran-u-s-experiencing-price-increases.html

    Leaked GRU Document Shows Russia Proposed Supplying Iran with 5,000 Fiber-Optic Drones and Training for Potential Use Against U.S. Forces​ https://www.thedefensenews.com/news-details/Leaked-GRU-Document-Shows-Russia-Proposed-Supplying-Iran-with-5000-Fiber-Optic-Drones-and-Training-for-Potential-Use-Against-US-Forces/

    ​ Israel committed ‘brutal violations’ against activists of aid flotilla: Int’l Committee to Break the Siege on Gaza
    Violations included assaults, sexual harassment, beatings, Youssef Ajissa, head of International Committee to Break the Siege on Gaza​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israel-committed-brutal-violations-against-activists-of-aid-flotilla-intl-committee-to-break-the-siege-on-gaza/3932133

    ​ Going down like the WTC buildings: Israel is taking out the last remaining residential towers in Gaza to make it impossible for the remaining Palestinians to live there and turning them into refugees.​ https://x.com/Partisangirl/status/2052930181959213173

    ​ Israeli strike levels building sheltering displaced families in south Lebanon
    The latest civilian massacre came as part of a wide and violent wave of Israeli attacks across south Lebanon​ https://thecradle.co/articles-id/37600#google_vignette

    #240584
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Jerusalem Post on Israeli Hostage (“dead or alive”) retrieval: Soldiers who shot hostages had orders to shoot all men on-sight – report
    Yotam Haim, 28, Samer Talalka, 25, and Alon Shamriz, 26, were all taken captive during Hamas’ attack on October 7, 2023.​ https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-895632

    ​Locking Palestinians into little islands to remove one by one: Israeli occupation allocates one billion shekels for colonial bypass roads in West Bank https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/170258?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

    They are mastering the versatile technology: Hezbollah released footage of an FPV drone hitting another Israeli tank. https://en.topwar.ru/282447-hizballa-pokazala-kadry-porazhenija-fpv-dronom-ocherednogo-izrailskogo-tanka.html

    ​ Israeli army chief says more recruits needed ‘immediately’​ – Eyal Zamir makes remarks in meeting of parliament’s Foreign Affairs and Security Committee​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israeli-army-chief-says-more-recruits-needed-immediately/3933208

    Israeli Strikes Across Lebanon Killed at Least 22​ – Triple drone strike killed Syrian man and his 12-year-old daughter​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/05/09/israeli-strikes-across-lebanon-killed-at-least-22/

    #240585
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Israeli Military Has Killed More Than 850 Palestinians in Gaza Since So-Called Ceasefire Deal Was Signed​ – Israeli attacks continued on Sunday, with one strike killing two police officers in Khan Younis​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/05/10/israeli-military-has-killed-more-than-850-palestinians-in-gaza-since-so-called-ceasefire-deal-was-signed/

    Lebanon says farmland area roughly size of Chicago destroyed in Israeli offensive​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/greenline/agriculture/lebanon-says-farmland-area-roughly-size-of-chicago-destroyed-in-israeli-offensive/1830137

    ​ Hezbollah strikes Iron Dome battery with FPV drone​ – The IDF has struggled to respond to the FPV drone threat, which uses special cables and manual operation of the drone to outwit the military’s advanced technologies for jamming and tracking drones.​ https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-895734

    ​ Sundance, The CIA, Barack Obama, Joe Biden and John Brennan
    In 2008 Joe Biden was Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, with oversight jurisdiction of the U.S State Dept., and by extension all foreign policy nominations etc.
    ​ In 2008 John Brennan was working for the Obama campaign when someone from his outside government group, The Analysis Corporation, “hacked” into the state dept database to access the passport files and State Dept records of Barack Obama.
    ​ Mr. Brennan spent most of his C.I.A. career as an analyst, but during the 1990s served a tour as the chief of the station in Saudi Arabia. From 1999 to early 2001, he was chief of staff to George J. Tenet, the director of central intelligence, as the position was then called. At the end of his CIA. service, in 2004 and 2005, Mr. Brennan set up what is now the counterterrorism center.
    ​ Yet, people would have us believe, after 25 years within the CIA, and after being the Chief of Staff to the Director, and after being the person who set up the counter terrorism center, and after being the CIA approved contractor for the State dept., well, John Brennan just didn’t know that someone from his firm was penetrating the passport files within the State Dept. on three occasions in Jan and Feb 2008 to look at information of the candidate who he was specifically working for.
    ​ That was their story, and they stuck to it in 2008.
    ​ After the initial inquiry, federal investigators maintained that the target of the illegal activity was Senator Barack Obama’s passport file. It does not take a stretch to come to the conclusion this was for the sole purpose of cleansing records of information that would jeopardize Obama’s candidacy. As many people speculated at the time, the breach of the passport records of the other candidates was merely to create confusion.
    ​ Brennan was, at the time, an unpaid advisor working with Obama’s campaign. Passport files include an applicant’s name, gender, social security number, date and place of birth, and passport number. Additional information may include birth certificates, naturalization certificates, or oaths of allegiance for U.S. born persons who adopted the citizenship of a foreign country as minors.
    ​ It is important to remember the oversight agency that would be investigating the breach – The Senate Foreign Relations Committee oversees the State Department.​ At the time Senator Joe Biden was the Chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee when the breach would be investigated.​.. And, well, what do you know… Biden became the VP pick of Obama.
    ​ State Department employee, Lieutenant Quarles Harris, Jr. who had the passport access, apparently was the guy who penetrated the database and scrubbed the records. Harris was killed – April 18th, 2008.
    ​ Yes, Lieutenant Harris decided to cooperate with the FBI who were investigating the break-in. Soon after his cooperation became a matter of record, his body was discovered in his parked car; he had been shot twice in the head, likely a “suicide”.
    ​ Last point. In mid-February 2010, White House Press Secretary Robert Gibbs alerted WH reporters that certain questions about Obama’s job with Business International Corporation (BIC) would not be subject to discussion. BIC was well known in Washington DC to be a front company for the CIA; hence, many speculated the State Department passport records were scrubbed to erase any potential mention of Obama’s CIA activities and his personal information. You decide.​ https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2026/05/10/the-cia-barack-obama-joe-biden-and-john-brennan/#more-283299

    ​And it was a good thing, too: Simplicius, Zelensky Again Steps Down From Ledge as Russian V-Day Parade Predictably Proceeds as Planned https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/zelensky-again-steps-down-from-ledge

    #240587
    John Day
    Participant

    Nearly $22 billion secretly shipped to Ukraine – Austrian politician​ – Euroskeptic FPO leader Christian Hafenecker has called on Vienna’s money laundering watchdog to investigate​ https://web.archive.org/web/20260512092128/https://www.rt.com/news/639864-22-billion-shipped-ukraine-austria/

    EU Prepares For ‘Potential’ Talks With Putin As US Slowly Reduces Troops On Continent​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/eu-prepares-potential-talks-putin-us-slowly-reduces-troops-continent

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow, Contradictory signals from the Kremlin on Russia’s strategic deterrence
    ‘News of the Week’ showed the 9th May demonstrations as they took place across the globe. What they did not show, but you will have the opportunity to see on Wednesday during the ‘’Judging Freedom’‘ podcast is how the day was celebrated across one-story Russia. A long-time friend and neighbor in a hamlet 80 km south of Petersburg sent me photos via WhatsApp that demonstrate the deep sense of pride, high emotions and patriotism that reaches into the smallest villages and is spontaneous, not officially prompted. I trust that you will find this backchannel to real people to be enlightening.​..
    ​..The coverage of Putin’s press conference after the parade included one sentence that deserves special attention. Putin said the the war with Ukraine ‘’is close to completion.’‘ What can that mean? I believe he may be right and that the key factor in this end game is some understanding that Putin has with Donald Trump. Let us note that the three-day, 9 – 11 May truce seemingly came from nowhere after Zelensky had dismissed it out of hand and had stated during his visit to the All European conference in Yerevan, Armenia that he intended to attack the parade in Moscow with drones. I believe that he was dissuaded from this violence by Trump who must have told him that the game is up, that his country will be utterly destroyed by Russia in the immediate days ahead if he dares to violate the sanctity of 9 May in Moscow or other Russian cities. And I will go a step further and hazard the guess that Trump made this threat to Zelensky following the 90 minute phone call he had with Vladimir Putin, likely at the initiative of the Russian president.
    ​ If my conjecture is correct, then Trump will indeed be the broker for concluding at the very least a long term cease fire in the Russia-Ukraine war if not a definitive peace. I believe the former denouement is more likely because it requires very little time to achieve and would satisfy certain needs both on the Russian and on the Ukrainian sides. For President Putin, it would be an instant satisfaction of the loud and growing demands in Russian society for this nearly five year war to end.
    ​ For Zelensky, it would leave his regime intact even if he personally will be obliged to withdraw from the presidency following the elections which surely will be a part of any Russian-US-Ukrainian truce agreement. He will be given a safe exit ramp and can spend the rest of his life enjoying his ill-gotten wealth.​..
    ​..Karaganov is saying essentially that Russia should shift from use of nuclear weapons strictly in response to attack to a first strike policy if its economy, defense or other parameters of its sovereignty are being threatened. Now that would be a sea change. Russia would, in effect, be responding to the first strike posture that the United States has been developing ever since George Bush pulled out of the ABM treaty early in this century.
    ​ Which way will Russia go? Towards a compromised peace that demeans the sacrifice of one million Russian soldiers dead or maimed for life in the Special Military Operation? Or to a more vigorous deterrence wherein red lines do not have to be crossed before Russia delivers a crushing blow on its enemies?​ https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/contradictory-signals-from-the-kremlin

    “U.S. Military Inferiority”? Russia Develops “Son of Oreshnik”, More Advanced Long Range Hypersonic Ballistic Missile​ https://www.globalresearch.ca/son-of-oreshnik-and-zero-deviation-russia-develops-more-advanced-long-range-hypersonic-ballistic-missile-u-s-military-inferiority/5924644

    #240588
    John Day
    Participant

    Andrew Korybko on a current Trump/NATO project-country: Azerbaijan Risks Placing Itself on a Ukrainian-like Collision Course With Russia https://www.globalresearch.ca/azerbaijan-ukrainian-like-collision-course-russia/5925788

    Stalwart Sir Kier stands his ground… Cable, Gilts Under Pressure As UK PM Starmer On The Brink As Rebellion Spreads https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/cable-gilts-under-pressure-uk-pm-starmer-brink-rebellion-spreads

    ​ S​undance, DNI Tulsi Gabbard Investigating 120 Foreign Biolabs Funding by U.S. Government – More than 40 are Located in Ukraine
    Gabbard told The Post Monday in a statement that her team is going “to identify where these labs are, what pathogens they contain and what ‘research’ is being conducted to end dangerous gain-of-function research that threatens the health and wellbeing of the American people and the world.”
    ​ “The COVID-19 pandemic revealed the catastrophic global impact research on dangerous pathogens in biolabs can have,” the spy chief also said.
    “Yet despite these obvious dangers, politicians, so-called health professionals, like Dr. Fauci, and entities within the Biden administration’s national security team lied to the American people about the existence of these US-funded and supported biolabs and threatened those who attempted to expose the truth.”
    ​ Under new guidance from Gabbard, the US Intelligence Community will review research at all US-funded biolabs, which would include facilities engaged in gain-of-function experiments that could increase the transmissibility of viruses, as well as work for defensive purposes against dangerous pathogens.
    ​ Office of the Director of National Intelligence officials noted that the foreign labs extend into more than 30 countries, and several had received funding in the past through a Department of Defense program that sought to dispose of weapons of mass destruction after the end of the Cold War.
    ​ More than 40 of the biolabs under review are located in Ukraine — and could “be at risk of compromise” due to Russia’s war, ODNI officials noted.​ https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2026/05/11/dni-tulsi-gabbard-investigating-120-foreign-biolabs-funding-by-u-s-government-more-than-40-are-located-in-ukraine/#more-283333

    ​Paul Marik MD, Treating Depression as a Whole-Body Disease (Part3) https://substack.com/home/post/p-192475777

    Jessica Rose Ph.D. Genomic evidence confirms natural evolution (variance) of Andes hantavirus – It’s not a new strain (according to sequencing data) https://jessicar.substack.com/p/genomic-evidence-confirms-natural

    #240589
    John Day
    Participant

    Further investigation going forward. Might novel strains be found by further sequencing? Is ANDV hanta natural spillover or lab design? – Predicting the answer using science: hypothesize, test, conclude https://jessicar.substack.com/p/is-andv-hanta-natural-spillover-or

    Meryl Nass MD has information I’d want to know if I’d been exposed: Symptomatic Andes Hantavirus enters the US–while a potential very early treatment [CQ/ HCQ] is suppressed. What about antibody treatment? What about other repurposed drugs? – Will we see treatments suppressed again? Info from the treatment and prophylaxis literature. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/symptomatic-andes-hantavirus-enters

    Peter McCullough MD asserts that the case for human to human transmission of Hantavirus has never been made convincingly. Virus in the Dust: Exposing the Fabricated Contagion of Andes Hantavirus – Why the “human-to-human” panic ignores the simple reality of common environmental exposure to rodents on the ship https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/virus-in-the-dust-exposing-the-fabricated

    Dr. McCullough recites the litany of WHO mistakes in managing this incident: The WHO’s Deadly Blunders: Why Globalism Is Failing Public Health
    As the Hantavirus crisis unfolds, it is clear that ceding authority to international bureaucrats is a fatal mistake—the U.S. justified in cutting ties.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/the-whos-deadly-blunders-why-globalism

    Dr. McCoullough explains non-human-transmission possibilities: The Epuyén Extrapolation: Challenging the Community Hantavirus Andes P2P Spread Assumption – Could dead bodies on board MV Hondius for several days be the real “super-spreaders” https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/the-epuyen-extrapolation-challenging

    #240590
    John Day
    Participant

    As well as Vitamin-D, Hydroxychloroquine, zinc and ivermectin: Beyond the Breach: Taming the Hantavirus Threat with Favipiravir
    A new horizon in antiviral defense: how oral favipiravir should be trialed in and offers hope for victims of the MV Hondius debacle detained in biosecurity centers and in self-quarantine​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/beyond-the-breach-taming-the-hantavirus

    ​ New York Times Attacks ‘Spelling’ — Parents Say It ‘Changed Everything’ for Their Nonspeaking Children With Autism
    Families of nonspeaking autistic people are pushing back at The New York Times after the newspaper last week published an op-ed claiming that spelling — a method through which nonspeakers communicate using a letter board — is “debunked” and unsupported by scientific evidence.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/new-york-times-attacks-spelling-nonspeaking-children-autism-parents-say-changed-everything/

    ​ Can Vaccines Cause Autism? Existing Studies Aren’t Designed to Answer That Question
    Existing epidemiological studies — studies on how often diseases occur in different groups of people and why — are designed to examine whether vaccines cause neurodevelopmental injuries in the general childhood population. But these studies can’t capture the effects of vaccines on subgroups — like children with mitochondrial dysfunction who may be more vulnerable to injuries from vaccines, according to a preprint by Children’s Health Defense scientists and their colleagues.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/can-vaccines-cause-autism-existing-studies-arent-designed-answer-question/

    ​ BREAKING: Landmark Peer-Reviewed Study Finds Vaccination Is a Major Risk Factor for Autism
    Our 50-page analysis of more than 300 studies provides one of the most comprehensive syntheses to date on the possible causes of autism.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-landmark-peer-reviewed-study

    #240591
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Legalizing treatment of Stop signs as Yield signs by bicyclists reduces intersection accidents. We Finally Have the Data on Cyclists Running Stop Signs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KCs5nDEZpoM

    A Huge meteorite impact 44,000 years ago appears to have have seeded an ecosystem, implying that this could have also happened billions of years ago.
    Major Discovery on the Origin of Life Found Inside a Korean Crater​ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4g1Oi6SoB8

    #240592
    tboc
    Participant

    Henry what are you doing in there?
    Ralsph what are you doing out there?

    I now understand with clarity where i went astray. Adopting Stoicism as my philosophical base is the most grievous of errors. What good, after all, could come from physics, logic and ethics?

    Donald J. William Calley Jr. Trump
    ignorance, greed and violence
    That’s the ticket !!!

    “if Islam is so great?”
    if someone spent more than a century murdering and robbing my family i would move close to them and wait for an opportune moment.
    Sykes-Pico – 1916

    Most Arrogant Greatest Assholes

    #240593
    John Day
    Participant

    CIA did or did not raid Tulsi Gabbard’s office? https://x.com/nicksortor/status/2054722723834732776

    #240594
    tboc
    Participant

    yer ona roll this AM Dr John

    #240595
    those darned kids
    Participant

    maybe doc john rolled one this morning ;•)

    #240596
    Dr. D
    Participant

    We may be beginning to understand part of what’s going on with Iran, etc.

    Billed: Israel made Trump/America bomb Iran, in order to 1) obviously NOT win in Iran (as everyone said) and also 2) To get bombed to snot (Also as everyone said, was completely obvious, and turned out to be perfectly true.) 3) This is because Trump loves doing what people tell him, because of Epstein files no one can find.

    While the camera is on Israel, the “real instigator”, being bombed to powder for a war they didn’t have to have, but turns out Israel is second rate. Huh? Like your mother said: “Come again?”

    Yes, Martin Armstrong again says UAE is bombed MORE than Israel. I’ve heard this, but makes no sense, including considering their sizes, so I needed it better established. Again, Wha-Huh? And NO press coverage on this, which is…Huhhhhh???? I mean, if it were Yemen, or Cleveland, or the English countryside, then yeah, no one cares: kill them all you want. But UAE is a New, Modern State which has attracted the WORLD. And not just the world, the world’s RICH, the Capital. The TV cameras, the Vegas, “Bling Bling” as the Iranian said yesterday.

    But really no coverage? Hold on. Iran hates UAE MORE than Israel. Da fuq? Iran hates UAE more than SAUDI, which seems impossible, since they hate those guys a LOT, going back LIFETIMES. They are the heavyweights of the Sunni-Shia divide. So it’s not that. But they hate tiny UAE more than Israel, more than Saudi, more even than the United States. Not just from their words (see the article dissertation yesterday) but from their ACTIONS.

    Armstrong has the answer. “UAE is the New Switzerland, after Switzerland gave up their privacy to London” he said. “All the money has left Europe and is going there, and Singapore.” He says this with no recognition of what that means.

    Iran, as a proxy of LONDON, is bombing London’s COMPETITOR. First, most, and often. Iran JUST SAID they are declaring war, invading and holding, Oman and UAE, taking them over, putting them out of business. The UAE is VERY tiny: there is no POSSIBLE way to defend themselves from Iran. At all. Only a HUGE nation, the size of China or Russia could POSSIBLY defend them. …And neither Russia nor China have any projection force. Russia could support Iran by rail, mostly (but hasn’t at all) but they couldn’t even sustained projection to Syria, which is tiny.

    So UAE is a competitor to the London/Globalist banking system. They were under control as long as they were always in the shadow of Iranian attack. But the key leg of getting rid of London/Globalists is to have an alternative London. That’s Dubai, and has been going way back: they decided, then built the place, whole cloth, from bare sand. Never bothered before. Everyone we know goes there, Jet setters, crypto bros, libertarians, people you’d never DREAM would dare going there. Popular.

    So Iran is taking out London’s competition, for London. They are a London proxy, just as read. Confirm.

    But surely this is nonsense. This is very long branch of very thin wood.

    Nope. Maybe no one remembers the LAST Switzerland that tried this. Another golden jewel, another world-famous resort on the sea. Then attacked and ruined the minute they put out their “In Business” banker’s sign: they were called “Beirut.” Next day, amazing accidents happened to them! Over and over! And so on to this very day, the war never letting up for a single minute even now.

    So we have motive, means, opportunity…and history.

    So Iran works for London. They are London’s army. Attacking the rival family in Dubai.

    This is double because they very, very specifically do NOT say that UAE is/has been the major target. And major focus of Iran’s rhetorical Ire too. I believe this was made hot last week when UAE handed Iranian banking records to Bessant. And although the rubes aren’t told or wouldn’t understand it anyway, the facts of all this won’t be lost on the world’s leaders, and primarily, Russia, China, and the Gulf nations, all neck-deep in banking themselves. So Iran may be an “Ally” but Russia would have to decide if they want to support “an ally” or support London who is their primary or perhaps only aggressor. Looks like they picked Dubai.

    #240597
    tboc
    Participant

    upon closer examination “The Shining City on a Hill” is just a well lit whore house.

    The Two Greatest Bernaysian commandments:
    1. .Abhor truth will you whole being and place no condition above ignorance.
    2. Hate your neighbor as you despise yourself and do unto him every evil at your command.

    I much prefer listening to The Talking Heads than the buffoon Napolitano and cia asset Johnson.

    slowly warming to the idea that preventing or derailing the Trump juggernaut might be in the best interest of The United States and the less equal animals.

    as Doctor Matkowski once queried, “If ignorance is bliss how many happy people do you know”?

    using The Roman-Persian war as a benchmark we can only hope the world lasts another six hundred years. Cognizant of geological time it is easy to see how far humanity has advanced in two thousand eighty years.

    When it comes to cynicism, as Lily Tomlin instructed, i just can’t keep up.
    Do you hear Judy Collins singing?

    #240598
    tboc
    Participant

    TAE Summary i missed your prose last evening, Thank you.

    #240599
    tboc
    Participant

    those darn kids – drum roll with cymbal crash

    #240600
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Stay tuned, Trump is not allowed to visit China. What fresh nonsense will they totally “make up” today? Whoops Moon of Alabama on the case! Trump has control over BOTH Venezuela AND Iranian oil flows to China. China is DEAD without them. He therefore concludes Trump has no leverage and is going to China, cap-in-hand to beg.

    To beg China not to collapse from our oil shutoff on them? Which we did overnight in only two chess moves? Thanks, Moon, you’re a f’n genius. Let me shut off the oil in YOUR house and see if that gives me any leverage over you.

    Congresswoman was on CNN saying the fact that Trump has closed the straits and is choking China out for oil means he has no leverage over them and should knock it off. …She worked closely on making sure we invaded Iraq, so she’s an “Expert” on such things, listen carefully.

    Trump Mulls ‘Operation Sledgehammer’ If Ceasefire Collapses, But Iran Has Re-Armed
    Name change would seek to circumvent the War Powers requirement & Congress…

    Guh. And Congress rolls over and pretends it’s fine of course. Among other things, there is no national discussion about it. Why have a discussion? We don’t have a democracy anyway.

    “UK Risk Spreads Oddly Calm As PM Starmer Faces Growing Threat Of Ouster

    Speaking of markets. Bond Yields ARE in danger there, but not what one would expect. The market probably IS saying something, but I don’t understand it. There’s no panic elsewhere either, (eg Into Brazil or Russia) so perhaps no one does. But if markets mean anything, markets claim it remains under control, a rotation, not a collapse.

    “TREASONOUS CONSPIRACY”

    So they undertook to actively overthrow the government and the will of the American People. Okay, hang them. Actually it’s far worse than just shooting someone. As we’ve seen from the Biden years, it’s shooting, robbing everyone.

    “when irrefutable proof emerges that at least 10,000 fraudulent votes flipped Georgia — the exact margin of victory”

    Yes, that is effectively a coup, although it may not seem so at the time to the players because no one is shot. But it is.

    “Iran hasn’t successfully exported any crude oil by sea over the past 28 days.”

    Everything’s in details: I thought China’s oil alone was leaving. There are many explanations, that oil is from Kuwait, etc, it is from a different station, it was before 28 days, etc. But these things matter and there’s a lot of this in the news. And fair enough: there’s a lot going on, and several people are lying. The conclusions from these weak details lead to Opposite conclusions though.

    Reading the archives [on Taiwan] is downright infuriating.”

    Why? Idgaf who rules Taiwan. That’s not my country nor my business. Not only that, but if one or the other ruled it, I probably couldn’t tell the difference, unlike for example, the era of Bruce Lee and Chairman Mao when it would matter a lot.

    “Right now, every minute of every day, operatives within and around the federal and blue states’ governments are building cases and preserving — maybe even manufacturing — “evidence” for the zealous lawfare to come.”

    Crazy Right-wing paranoia, except John Brennan, their major general, just said so yesterday. Carville, head DNC strategist, just said so last week. This isn’t Joe/Josephine Blue Hair, so believe them. They’re just straight telling you, point of fact, so just take it at face value, point of fact. And we know all the Good and Pretty people actively chase Federal agents down and hit their cars. It’s not JUST the Brennan and Carimellas. Any rich Luigi shoots anyone he just thinks is not-quite-pure-enough and they cheer and hang posters rejoicing in murder. This is bad.

    “Yermak was arrested overnight. Not long ago, he was either Zelensky’s right-hand man or his most likely successor.”

    Oh. I see. So same as here past 12 years ‘cause Nazis gonna Nazi. Blast from the past, Taibbi was interviewed on the Twitter Files story (yesterday), that EVERY Federal employee of EVERY agency, was shutting down the speech of EVERY American, sometimes focusing on accounts with under ten likes. As an example. The point was – his point – Matt ONLY talked about banning, say Democratic Socialists of America, ONLY about throttling and shutting off Jill Stein, hard, very-far Leftists. Not because that was special, but because he thought it would get more traction, that it would keep it out of “But Orange Man!” “Bad Alex Jones” territory. NOPE. They Left didn’t care, they liked it and not only didn’t THEY care, the New York Times, Atlantic, CNN, MSNBC, every reporter, author, civil rights advocate, the View didn’t care. They LIKED there to be no free speech for anyone, even Socialists and Union Rights Activists. They took the erasure of Jill Stein’s far-left, antiwar campaign, following direction on Bernie’s hyper-suppressed campaign, as the same as if they were both Donald Trump and Dr. Mengele combined.

    Why bring this up? The Same as ACTUAL living Nazis, Azovs, with the Black Sun tattoos and uniforms, there with Yermak in Ukraine. Dude, EVERYBODY KNOWS about the coke! You’re not HIDING anything, changing anything. You just go from “Got bad coke habits, meh” to “You’re a bloodthirsty maniac and menace who ALSO does coke.” That’s it. Or the actual Nazis in Canada who give 12 minute standing ovations to the SS, same as Nutsy in Congress here. And if you say/report it, yes, like her, several levels of warnings, but eventually arrested and killed for saying what everybody knows: Justin Trudeau is a useless fop and a jerk who’s softer than 10-ply. THAT is what they kill journos for, while other journos cheer. Identical in Ukraine and here.

    So who’s FOR any free speech or the having of spines? Well “The. Twitter. Files.” so maybe the guy who owns Twitter is slightly further on the Free Speech, rule of law side? And his friends?

    ““Arctic Frost memos suggest: Jack Smith’s team primed their criminal case against Donald Trump to resume once his presidency ends.”

    Promethean says Smith was trained in Globalist’s International Criminal Court, then inserted in the U.S. to attack Trump. (I wanted to cross check this) The new Inspector General of Canada, the same. That changes the view slightly, as same crooked and completely fabricated action, but not from organic hate or domestic politics: Globalists directly attacking and killing Sovereigntists.

    “• Von der Leyen’s Power Grab Angers EU Officials – Bloomberg (RT)

    She’s just taking off the Velvet glove to show the fist always there. She’s just lifting the curtain and showing the brick prison wall in the back Zappa spoke of. About time these dum-dums realized they never had any power, ever, at all. That was the whole purpose. AND Ursula was never elected. At all. Even her last committee appointment was 1) Illegal, she is under serious investigation and 2) iirc, she was sub 30%, but everyone else was hated MORE. So even by their NON democratic Soviet Appointment rules, she’s illegitimate.

    Like Macron, Starmer, all the Neocons, it just goes on anyway, against all law and desire. Sooo…how? If I screw up every order at Taco Bell, and the manager and everyone on staff wants me fired, why am I still there screwing up everything and not fired? ‘Cause it would be really useful to know in my day job. How can I do literally anything wrong, do no work, screw up everything, and get paid 10 more years anyway, including billion dollar serial felonies? That’s odd, ain’t it? Doesn’t that make the list of suspects who could arrange that protection, very, very short?

    “• Kathy Hochul Caves to Mamdani, Will Bail Out Socialist NYC (Margolis)

    Triumphal Social Media posts “See?? Mamdani proves you CAN just tax all the billionaires!!!” Uh… Sigh. Yup, here it happened, the 150th year in a row, every billionaire JUST left, they are now raping the RED part of the state (everyone north of TriBeCa) permanent loss of industry and Wall St to Miami, and are in a budget collapse on every front. No. You’re right: Totally no downside to taxing the rich, now or ever.

    It can never, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, ever, end. You’d think: “They have to learn” but it happens, they hit the rake, then DON’T learn, then hit the rake again, and DON’T learn, again…

    That’s okay, raping the REST of NY where they still do work won’t have any bad effects and flight I think in all such states, like IL, are like 100k/year to Red states.

    “• CIA Went Rogue, Raided Tulsi’s Office to Seize Papers (Catherine Salgado)

    That’s a very big statement as she’s their boss. I hope the reporter has the receipts, ’cause can’t be.

    Oh, and what was that thingie John Brennan was saying?

    “JFK and MK-ULTRA files, and it seems the CIA gave us indirect confirmation that there is something in those files that they desperately do not want anyone to know.”

    Huh. Thanks for confirming everything with your actions, morons. Btw, does the government have “Copies”? They act like everything is on paper. Is it? Type: RoboCopy: Hard Drive. Enter.

    “Democratic lawyer Marc Elias appears to believe that Democrats do not need to stop at simply sacking and packing the Virginia Supreme Court”

    I’m sure that won’t have any downside, but when the express GOAL is civil war, it’s all good. More than anything, they need and require the Red Hats of Western Virginia to take up hands against the Blue enclaves in the state so they can cry violence and victim. Only if that happens can they stay well in the game.

    “85% of refugees are Muslim”

    As I was saying all last year about Gaza. Egypt and Jordan are running the walls locking them in there to be murdered. Saudi and UAE watch daily on TV, with fully as much lobbying power as Israel has. Discuss? No. Only TWO countries are responsible, and one of them is not anywhere in Europe.

    Economist Richard Werner makes a pointed argument: the EU was modeled on the Soviet Union.”

    Entirely, but not ONLY that: they also took all the staff and PEOPLE from the Eastern Bloc, because they already agreed with these same principles. Like Merkel for example.

    #240601
    zerosum
    Participant

    I, as an observer, trying not to be a pretender, give kudos to this site contributors for their efforts.

    The Modern surrender ceremony, ( full of pomp, pageantry ), is being opposed by TDS (Trump Deranged Syndrome )
    I heard the speeches on TV. NOW, I’m waiting to see the results.

    ————

    #240602
    those darned kids
    Participant

    i’ve never seen someone so astute yet so naïve..

    #240608
    zerosum
    Participant

    1,623 DRONES & MISSILES! Russia’s Largest Strike Since Day 1
    TRUMP MEETS XI IN BEIJING
    MS 2026.05.14

    #240609

    From a comment at TCH, a post that says we don’t need data centers, and it made so much sense to me I am linking it.

    #240611
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    China’s problem with the United States is the hard question of whether or not it is worth it to geopolitically KILL the United States ZionNazi Empire at this time and at this rate. It is a highly complex and nuanced question, and I am seeing that the Chinese and Russians and Persians are taking it very very seriously indeed.

    It is not a matter of can they do it, as in capable? Of course they can, and of course they are (everybody knows that the East wins, just by looking at how the Scoreboard numbers are running and trending. It is a question of how hard to do it, how fast to do it, and what the price will be.

    The price is pretty high at the moment. It could cost them a lot of damaged infrastructure and civilian casualties among their own population, which weakens the war mongering governments as well, so nobody actually likes to do that until their minds are so corrupted and ill that they think that depopulation is a good long-term survival goal.

    I look for them to ease back on the throttle a little bit and just let the current War of Attrition do its thing.

    #240612
    D Benton Smith
    Participant

    If you really want to know what people really believe then observe what it is that they really do, because when you get right down to basic basic basics people will NEVER voluntarily do anything that they think violates their own belief of what is really good and true and what is really not good and true at all.

    When that genuinely fundamental determination (that must be made) turns out to be a really close call, (For Examples: “Is money a good thing or a bad thing?”, or “Should I seek power over others as the best strategy in life?” “Does might make right, or doesn’t it?”) they hedge the bet. And they hedge it in an astonishingly creative array of various means of achieving an acceptable balance between good and bad that enables them (us) to survive (at least) either way it goes, regardless of which side winds up running the side show in this ring of this circus.

    It doesn’t matter who wins the Battle of the Side Show. What matters is who owns the circus, and there’s only one identity who could possibly be that Maker, Owner, User of the whole circus.

    #240613

    sorry- make that the CTH.

    #240615
    WES
    Participant

    UAE:

    Well maybe those City of London Ukrainian drone experts accidently hitting 2 skyscrapers in UAE wasn’t accidental afterall!
    They were sent packing by UAE!

    #240616
    WES
    Participant

    Indictments:

    So far, indictments of various Democrat traitors hasn’t made much of a splash with the American people.

    Indictments meansn nothing these days.

    Seems to be a bad case of “Wake me up when they arrest or convict anybody”!

    So far, nothing has happened!

    #240617
    those darned kids
    Participant

    r.i.m.:

    here’s a real journalist reporting real information. meet max blumenthal, america’s best journalist:

    #240618
    TAE Summary
    Participant

    * I loathe, detest, abominate,
    Despise, abhor the shadow state.
    I love my kids, I love my wife,
    I love my cush suburban life;
    But of all the things that make me mad
    The shadow state is twice as bad.
    Call me a fascist, seal my fate,
    But don’t give me the shadow state.
    Our leaders just pretend to rule,
    Expecting us to play the fool.
    Their orders come from up on high;
    They say they care, but that’s a lie.
    It’s all about complete control;
    They flatter, threaten, then cajole.
    It’s like they want to kill us all,
    But save a few to keep in thrall
    Send me a tiger to my gate,
    But don’t give me the shadow state.

    #240619
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    2:30
    The most damaging U.S. defeat in history

    #240620
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    8:40
    Donald Trump is a representative of the forces that are destroying American life

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