Debt Rattle January 28 2020
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Walker Evans Vicksburg, Mississippi. “Vicksburg Negroes and shop front.” 1936 • Coronavirus Has Killed 106 And Infected 4,515 People In China (
[See the full post at: Debt Rattle January 28 2020]40 days later they estimate possibly 200,000 “have” it. If it has anything like 3:1 transmission ratio, this would be required. Yet 2,000 have had a test and prove it. Death toll at 100, as statistically close to zero as possible. So statistically, 2,000 deaths / 365 = 5 deaths per day getting hit by lightning = 220 people, twice as likely as Kung-flu, officially.
NYC has 40,000 health care workers who need gloves Lord knows, 5x a day? 110,000 gloves is a Tuesday. Sounds impressive unless you ask a single question. It’s journalists, so we’re safe.
“The wildcard is not the fatality rate, but how infectious the Wuhan virus is.”
Yeah, because if it doesn’t kill anyone, it’s not going to be that interesting. Right now you could slip in the shower while choking on a hot dog and still survive corona. The economic effects of a panic you yourself invented out of whole cloth? Why did you do that? Or are there 5,000 dead bodies somewhere?
“the USA can get on with other business.”
Hurling complete bull-pucky has been our top business since the 1650s. Gold on the beaches of Virginia, fish jump into the boats. Why stop now?
“A US lawyer has called on Prince Andrew to “stop playing games”
If I were Andrew, I’d call on the U.S. to stop playing games and talk to Ms. Maxwell, who apparently can fly around the world as she pleases while people such as Assange are in jail.
It’s a show. A sham. A con. A put-up. WWE monster trucks for the hoi-polloi.
Trump is losing to all Democrats? Are they mental? Almost all Democrats are “my candidate or bust” so the turnout will be 1/2 – 1/4 turnout for any single offering. And I’m afraid that includes Bernie, especially lately when he’s pro-open border and re-education camp, and so weak on his competitors like Biden, I have no historical example to compare him to. He’s the weakest candidate ever, who attacks his own supporters while defending his attackers. That’s not a winning hand. And thus, impeachment, garden-variety election tampering, just like 4 out of 5 times. Hey, isn’t that what HE’S on trial for? Funny ol’ world.
Even more appropriate questions from Smith:
https://www.oftwominds.com/blogjan20/questions-coronavirus1-20.htmlWhat I forgot to add earlier: we’ve known had 2 days in a row of 15 deaths added, followed by 2 days with 25 added. Too much coincidence.
Most workers in US hospitals, that is, technicians, secretaries, nurses and non-physician hospital administrators could take a lesson from Dr. D on how critical reading skills, technical writing/reading and familiarity, if not expertise, in statistical methods are essential to understanding the news and, in fact, doing their jobs. However, even among physicians, Dr. D is a rare breed many of whom are marginalized as non-team players on the healthcare team or more injurious yet, labeled bullies for asserting their intellect against the status quo which preserves the jobs.
Gotta improve the run on sentence“Jiao said China was sending about 6,000 medical personnel to Hubei from around the country – with more than 4,000 already there and 1,800 more due to arrive by Tuesday evening – to work in Wuhan and seven other cities in the province. In Wuhan, more than 10,000 hospital beds have been made available for patients, he said, while another 100,000 are being prepared.”
I’m trying to imagine my gov. responding …. and I cannot see it happening
Make 1,000 hospital beds available in days not years
Then days later being told to make 2,000 beds available
and to make things even more challenging build facilities for 100,000 within weekssorry my gov. could not respond not even with installing tents, no sewage, no garbage, no water service
Sorry, where are the thousands of health workers going to stay, get service etc.Yes, China is the best place to test a pandemic response plan.
I saw pictures of +200 body bags after the Iran plan crash. I’m sure that I won’t see body bags from the virus deaths. How have they planned for the storage and disposal of the bodies?Prince Andrew is the ONLY famous person associated with Epstein.
He is FOREIGN so he can be pursued at will.
Ignore any elephants in the room, especially the one with a Bill Clinton T-shirt. That is not the elephant you are looking for!
I like the observation that just a few months ago, Carrie Lam announced a ban of all face masks in Hong Kong, and now she’s wearing one all the time.
Dr. D: “WWE monster trucks for the hoi-polloi.”
And the national political scene is a soap opera.
Keeping up with the ( ? )
I can’t keep up!Lily Tomlin: “No matter how cynical I get, I can’t keep up.”
Resent because the edit function sucks, like most things digital these days:
Perhaps a good place to survive a pandemic would be places where habibs are common apparel. More effective and elegant than plastic&paper face masks.
I will attempt to be moderate and what is called ‘reasonable’, and suggest that the kung flu will not become a sweeping killer like the Spanish flu, nor will it be contained. It will persist and make the rounds and add to the weight already dangerously sagging the rafters of modern civilization’s sheltering roof.
I suspect we’ll soon dispense with the absolute protection from disease transmitted by hand, that disposable latex gloves provide, and resume rigorous hand-washing with stern soap.
It makes me all itchy and scratchy (moderate reasonableness not the corona virus).
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Less moderate but not necessarily unreasonable, I will ponder if dear Prince Andrew is following orders: keep your mouth shut. If he confesses to his own sins of privileged sex trafficking, said confession will want to leak onto others.
I wonder if he won’t come down with the flu and be quarantined, and if that flu won’t manage to kill him despite advanced medical treatment. I don’t see any harm in lining one’s chapeau with tin foil, although I think that the fashion potential of brainwave protective gear has been neglected.
But let’s get serious:
MIT tests tinfoil hat radio protection
I always wanted to see Dave Grohl in tinfoil. How about you?
I loved this:
“The helmets shielded their wearers from radio waves over most of the tested spectrum (YouTube user Mrfixitrick likewise demonstrates the blocking power of his foil toque against his wireless modem) but, surprisingly, amplified certain frequencies: those in the 2.6 Ghz (allocated for mobile communications and broadcast satellites) and 1.2 Ghz (allocated for aeronautical radionavigation and space-to-Earth and space-to-space satellites) bands.”
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While the knee-jerk ‘Trump is bad/Obama-Dems were good’ tonality mars this otherwise nifty comic (I suppose the artist knows what sells to his primary audience), it is nonetheless nifty. The crow drawings are priceless, but then, I’m a big corvid fan:
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Regarding Orlov’s blog: while his erudition and analysis are superb, he seems obsessively fond of vinegar as a mouthwash. His humor is pretty good but leans too heavily on sarcastic bite. But that’s not why I don’t subscribe to his blog.
I don’t subscribe to his blog because, when I did, I discovered that, as a moderator, he is heavy-footed, even an ass, in that regard, altho I suspect he’s mostly a mensch in the flesh. (And, while the articles are very good, the fun is in the comments section.)
One of the difficulties in being so very right so very often in so many ways, especially regarding things that are sacrosanct, taboo, and wrapped in normative tinfoil, is that one tends to succumb to the bitterness of ‘victorious defeat’: no matter how accurate your assessment is, the drumming of herd hooves will generally drown out your message.
Now that he wears a Russian Orthodox beard https://i.pinimg.com/originals/07/5b/15/075b15eff566af7fafae6b3b146bd683.jpg , I see him as an Old Testamental prophet of the curmudgeon variety, standing atop a city’s walls, hollering, “Woe unto Babylonistan! For you will not stop fucking sheep, and that’s why you all have the clap!”
I finally got some money coming in soon and will send some Raul’s way. Maybe enough for him to replace that worn-out cranial colander and replace it with something elegant, like this:
France’s internal sructure has fully eroded. It can only collapse. When you fuck with firefighters, you fuck with serious trouble. They’ll have to remove the Velvelt Glove entirely now, revealing the Iron Claw, to maintain power, and that is merely a strategic retreat.
France has a knack for leading the radical way. After all, their nation is based on the kingdom of Charlemagne, who first made it clear that Europe was European not Roman.
I note:
“Professional firefighters represent just 16 percent of the 247,000 firefighters in France, with the remainder comprising volunteers and military personnel.”
One wonders if this will actually strengthen the Chinese people. After all, as America amply demonstrates, nothing degrades quite like an addiction to success.
Bosco::. Hope your nose is doing O.K. Can relate!
I commented yesterday about my nose’s experiences!
WESp
Viral Culture Media,
It’s good to understand what is going on with the novel Wuhan coronavirus, since you may very well contract it.This virus likely originated somewhere around October 1, 2019, based on regression analysis of mutations from the studied cases, and the known rate of mutation. The cluster described in the Wuhan seafood and live-animal market came fairly late in that process. It could have stated anywhere, including there. https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/01/wuhan-seafood-market-may-not-be-source-novel-virus-spreading-globally
The biggest factor facilitating global spread of the virus is asymptomatic infection, or very mild symptoms, which do not curtail the activity or travel of a carrier. Screening by checking for fever is in place, but it is already apparent that this virus has a long incubation period before symptoms, when people can travel, and it really seems that some people without fever or significant illness are spreading the virus. Since there is no known effective treatment, quarantine of cases is the main approach to limit spread. It may be expected that many cases will be missed and spread will go on. I have been keeping up with this and have looked at all I could again today. The incubation period looks like 7 to 14 days, a long one. We just don’t know how many people in the world are carrying this virus, or where they are, or who they will pass it to. A case has been confirmed in Germany in a young man who has not been to China. How many cases have not been diagnosed in Germany? We sure don’t have access to the test kits in Austin yet. We will not know how many people have the virus today until they get symptoms in 1-2 weeks, and we still won’t know then, because many will have mild symptoms.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/01/24/coronavirus-infections-no-symptoms-lancet-studies/ https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reaction-to-news-reports-that-the-china-coronavirus-may-spread-before-symptoms-show/
The Ro (“R naught”) of this virus is not really known, but it is seeming to spread faster than SARS, so estimates of 2.5 to 3.5 new cases per introduced case are the most common estimates. Let’s say the Ro is 2.5, and half of those cases don’t have a fever, so can’t be isolated. If there is perfect isolation of people with a fever, some will already have spread it, and the half without fever will be spreading it, so Ro will still be 1.5 or greater. Spread will continue.
Coronavirus family is a rapidly mutating RNA-virus family, so particular features of the virus will change as it spreads from host to host and mutates. Some mutations may increase fatalities; others decrease them. Some mutations may make quarantine easier, and others may make it more difficult.
As it is today, this virus is global, with a moderately high Ro, and is unusually hard to impose quarantine upon, due to long incubation period, and spread by those with little to no subjective illness.
Infectious coronavirus particles can persist on a surface for 4 days. Washing hands and surfaces is an important control measure once the virus gains entry to an area.
Take 5000 units per day of vitamin D3, available for cheap where vitamins are sold. Get plenty of sleep, regular activity, and eat fresh fruits and vegetables. Don’t smoke stuff.You are likely to be exposed to this virus before summer, unless something changes fundamentally, which it could.
Public Health Doctor
http://www.johndayblog.com/2020/01/viral-valentine.htmlRegarding climate disruption, remember when this album turned the non-academic mainstream music world inside out? If, back in 1938, Benny Goodman Band’s live Carnegie Hall performance of Sing Sing Sing provided the rimshot that was heard around the world, this song provided the bass solo that turned bassplayers from well-intentioned harmonic grounders best felt and not heard into the star of many bands:
…from yesterday:
Portland now is just another urban nightmare, an over-priced and over-crowded cram of people, money, and utopian delusions. But I’m glad to be here, and there an awful lot of sincerely kind people.
Yes, so my sister (now lives in Salem) tells me; not sorry to have left.
Being a native New Yorker (Queens); I found Portlanders friendly, but not willing friends.
Very different cultures; I’m quite social, but very bad at it…
I find Thai culture very much to my liking. The language is daunting, but doable with willing teachers; the people.When editing, scroll down to this box and text;
Keep a log of this edit:Uncheck the box and your edit will be fine.
Testing
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/
Event 201
The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hosted Event 201, a high-level pandemic exercise on October 18, 2019, in New York, NY. The exercise illustrated areas where public/private partnerships will be necessary during the response to a severe pandemic in order to diminish large-scale economic and societal consequences.For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic, but we explicitly stated that it was not a prediction. Instead, the exercise served to highlight preparedness and response challenges that would likely arise in a very severe pandemic. We are not now predicting that the nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people. Although our tabletop exercise included a mock novel coronavirus, the inputs we used for modeling the potential impact of that fictional virus are not similar to nCoV-2019.
Bosco:. Thanks for your response.
To be honest I had never heard of HHT before! You learn something every day!
Googled it and it looks like you were the unlucky receiptent of a 50% chance of getting a recessive Gene from one of your parents. Likely your luckier siblings didn’t get it?
Well on that genetic lottery issue I can relate also!
I am the lucky receiptent of a 25% chance of receiving a recessive gene from “both” of my parents. Both my brother and sister are fine.
I have what they call Ushers Syndrome. Most people only get RP (retinitis pigmentosa) in the eye. Ushers just means both my eyes and ears are affected (i.e. double bad).
Retinitis pigmentosa (RP) causes vision lost in the eye starting with loss of peripheral vision as the eye cells attached to the light receptors in the eye slowly die off and continues inwards towards the center of the eye, creating tunnel vision, until all sight is finally lost (the window closes).
Luckly I have the slowest type of Ushers Syndrome. Most People with Ushers Syndrome are blind and deaf by their twenties. I still have a few degrees of vision left in the center of my eye. This remaining tunnel vision is why I can still read for now but someday that too will close.
In my younger days, I did managed to travel and see the world. Saw 44 of the US states & about 30 countries.
The biggest problem I face right now is the poor resolution of what I am seeing, so often things appear very foggy. Whether I am well rested or tired greatly affects my vision too. Yeah they took my driver’s license away about 15 years ago!
Of course I am as deaf as a bat but surprisingly I can still hear better than my deaf wife. My 23 year old son and 19 year old daughter appear to both be fine.
Basically I got all the crappy stuff genetic wise. In addition to Ushers, I got also got cronic nose bleeds, severe allergies (food & environmental), and severe eczema or dry skin. The allergies caused cronic red rashes/hives all over my body making “itchy” my middle name!
A couple of years ago my brother heard about phototherapy on the radio in Detroit while driving into work at GM. Yeah, he gets to crash cars into the wall as part of his job! But it is a very stressful job.
So I investigated it, it was too expensive, so then I built my own UV B light fixture for $400 and that, after 64 years of living hell, has made my skin behave itself! So I am no longer tortured by red rashes and eczema now. I typically do 5 minutes a night just before going to bed. Too bad I wasn’t able to figure this out long before but then none my doctors or specialists in Toronto could either!
So for that I am very grateful my skin is no longer torturing me every minute that I am awake anymore.
Well, I am glad your move to the coast with it’s increased humidity and likely milder more even temperatures has help you cope better with your HHT. Since it is a cronic condition learning to cope better is all the help that is available. But often we suffer greatly before finding coping solutions.
Such is the struggle of life!
“When editing, scroll down to this box and text;
Keep a log of this edit:Uncheck the box and your edit will be fine.”
Thanx. I learn something new every day.
“I find Thai culture very much to my liking. The language is daunting, but doable with willing teachers; the people.”
I’ve heard good things about the IndoChinese peoples in general. But then, they have a genuine culture percolated through millennia. America is a hothouse experiment in ambitious escapism.
“You learn something every day!”
btw, I wrote “I learn something every day” before reading your remark. Little copincidences make my day (and your average fiction plot).
I’ve heard good things about the IndoChinese peoples in general. But then, they have a genuine culture percolated through millennia. America is a hothouse experiment in ambitious escapism.
I don’t know about IndoChinese; but my experience with S.E. Asia culture (LAO, Burmese, Thai, Vietnamese, and Kampucean) has been just grand.
Don’t underestimate the U.S. culture; it was once as conservative as the Asian cultures; being the best mix of numerous European cultures; tolerant and also conservative, in the best of ways.
How else could the U.S. achieve what it has?
Only to destroy that great model through unchecked violence and averice…
They (S.E. Asians) are generally conservative in the best meaning of that phrase…“Basically I got all the crappy stuff genetic wise. In addition to Ushers, I got also got cronic nose bleeds, severe allergies (food & environmental), and severe eczema or dry skin. The allergies caused cronic red rashes/hives all over my body making “itchy” my middle name!”
Speaking of coin cidences, it’s very timely for me to be reminded how lucky I am. While HHT ain’t no fun, things could be so much worse for me. I am doing a major uplift of my life after several years of just hanging on, and it’s good to be reminded of my relative blessings. I did phone survey work for a psoriasis/eczema foundation and the stories I heard made me weep.
Youa re obviously a very tough hombre.
While the Ushers in Ushers syndrome appears to be the last name of a researcher who first identified the illness, I like to think of it as a folk name referencing the advantages of having deaf-blind church ushers who don’t hear the money hit the collection plate nor see when it is safe to pilfer bills from same.
“while driving into work at GM. Yeah, he gets to crash cars into the wall as part of his job! ”
Adds new meaning to “driving into work”.
“So I investigated it, it was too expensive, so then I built my own UV B light fixture for $400 and that, after 64 years of living hell, has made my skin behave itself! ”
More coincidence: I turned 64 this month. Not only does She still need me and feed me, but this is the year I plan to be able to return the favor with some major publishing success.
Happy Talk (Very unlike me not to post the original of such vintage treasure, but this Captain Sensible guy has a parrot and, it seems, lots of fun. Plus, the displayed lyrics show how the lyrics have standalone power.)
I don’t think I want to see a remake of this chestnut, though:
My father says that children keep growing,
Rivers keep flowing too.
My father says he doesn’t know why,
But somehow or other they do.
–They do! some how or other they do.–
A hundred million miracles,
A hundred million miracles are happ’ning ev’ry day,
And those who say they don’t agree
Are those who do not hear or see.
A hundred million miracles,
A hundred million miracles are happ’ning ev’ry day,
–Miracle of changing weather:–
When a dark blue curtain is pinned by the stars,
Pinned by the stars to the sky,
Ev’ry flow’r and tree is a treat to see,
The air is very clean and dry.
Then a wind comes blowing the pins all away,
Night is confused and upset!
The sky falls down like a clumsy clown,
The flowers and the trees get wet.–Very wet!–
A hundred million miracles,
A hundred million miracles are happ’ning ev’ry day,
And when the wind shall turn his face,
The pins are put right back in place!
A hundred million miracles,
A hundred million miracles are happ’ning ev’ry day!
In ev’ry single minute so much is going on,
Along the Yangtse Kiang or the Tiber or the Don.
A hundred million miracles!
A swallow in Tasmania is sitting on her eggs,
And suddenly those eggs have wings and eyes and beaks and legs!
A hundred million miracles!
A little girl in Chungking, just thirty inches tall,
Decides that she will try to walk and nearly doesn’t fall!
A hundred million miracles!
A hundred million miracles, a hundred million miracles,
A hundred million miracles are happ’ning ev’ry day!
My father says the sun will keep rising over the eastern hill.
My father says he doesn’t know why but somehow or other it will.
–It will! somehow or other it will.–Oh, we’re depraved vicious beasties, we homo saps. But we’re not without virtues.
SP fwiw, WES, I’d say your arrow hit its mark, assuiming that your aim was to console and inspire.
P.S. Can’t stop myself. For all that was wrong with the 20th Century and American dominance in particular, the era produced some of the finest dreams art could conjur and USA, at a time when the Melting Pot was still a swirl of color not the dreary grey of today’s phony rainbow of faux diversity, stood high on that stage:
“Don’t underestimate the U.S. culture; it was once as conservative as the Asian cultures; being the best mix of numerous European cultures; tolerant and also conservative, in the best of ways.
How else could the U.S. achieve what it has?”I adore USA culture, for sure. Alas, it fell victim not only to its own unique success but also that of Enlightenment<>Modernism’s self-deluding narcissistic grandeur. It peaked at Woodstock, which was a populist expression of the naive wisdom of children raised on that extravagant excess. We were trying to get across the idea that it was, as Bucky Fuller said so well, Utopia or Bust, and Utopia requires a healthy respect for each other, nature at large, and whatever divbine intelligence might be lurking amid all the gorgeous cruelty of Big History.
G.K. Chesterton wrote somewhere that (paraphrase alert) ‘The average American is just fine; it’s the ideal American who is the problem.’
Now we’re all Ideal Americans whether we want to be or not. It’s mandatory, like the useless vote in Australia. Forced dreams become forced nightmares like the American Dream (which was always a weird mirage like Bali Ha’i on the movie screen).
But, uh, you got to have a dream, right? We humans live in a dream world called civilization, one that has its head in the clouds, where they should be but has its feet on rotting pavement because waking up was too much work, or something.
“One striking finding of such complexity studies is the apparently ranked order among all known material systems in the universe. Although the absolute energy in astronomical systems greatly exceeds that of humans, and although the mass densities of stars, planets, bodies, and brains are all comparable, the energy rate density for humans and modern human society are approximately a million times greater than for stars and galaxies.”
Our candles burn at both ends…
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