Michael Reid
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After BRITAIN’s Failed Attempt to attack Russian AirBases, UK servicemen were BLOWN to BITS in ODESA
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Joined Dec 11, 2007
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2,161,569 viewsAnd finally, a ‘black swan’ now can be observed swimming in increasingly sunlit waters – Eric Katz writing in Notus writes that, “a draft report inside the U.S. Treasury Department is set to warn of the risks posed by the artificial intelligence market, likening key aspects of it to the dotcom bubble that upended the U.S. economy when it burst in the early 2000s”.
Treasury analysts wrote –
“Career Treasury analysts found that AI firms are more deeply entrenched in the U.S. economy than their dotcom predecessors and pose significant risk to the entire system if financial conditions change, productivity goals are missed or various choke points stymie growth”.
Iran War 3.0
Contact us: info@strategic-culture.suWhen the U.S. Navy, in co-ordination with Qatar and Oman, tried to slip a convoy of four vessels through the Strait of Hormuz, via Omani waters, on Tuesday night – rather than pass via Iran’s officially approved route – Trump may have imagined (or been told) that with the massive funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei under way, that Iran would not react as the U.S. Navy attempted to force open an American corridor. Trump however, misread the Iranian jibe – Hormuz is its’ ‘atomic weapon’. Iran will not relinquish it.
Trump insists – in clear contradiction to the terms set out in paragraph five of the MoU – that Iran has no right to interfere with any ship trying to transit the Strait of Hormuz. Iran nonetheless is acting within the terms of the agreed de-escalation framework, and has warned repeatedly that it would strike any vessel circumventing the Iranian control mechanism.
Iran responded directly to Trump’s challenge to Iranian control of the Strait by striking two vessels with missiles and a third with an armed drone. A forth Qatari-owned tanker, laden with liquefied natural gas, was set ablaze, forcing its crew to abandon the stricken vessel.
These Iranian ripostes provoked Trump to order American air strikes against Iranian targets; to reimpose sanctions on the Islamic Republic’s oil exports; and to revoke the MoU framework he had signed with what he called the “Iranian scum” – thus ending the ceasefire. “We hit them hard last night,” Trump said at the NATO summit in Ankara. “We will probably hit them hard again tonight”.
Trump did hit Iran again Wednesday night – even though Iran had not attacked another vessel seeking to by-pass the Iranian corridor. In response, Iran launched ballistic missiles and drones at U.S. bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE and Muwaffaq Al-Salti airbase in Jordan.
Vice-President Vance is saying to Iran, “If you try to close the Strait of Hormuz, the American military will respond. It’s that simple” – i.e. Iran either keeps the Strait fully open to all, or the U.S. will keep hitting it, as it did on Tuesday night.
Iran insists that it is the U.S. that has violated the MoU and (via the spokesman for Iran’s Parliamentary National Security Committee) warns that further attacks by the U.S. on Iran will be met by a comprehensive all-out surprise offensive by Iran – and potentially by other options too, such as an Iranian withdrawal from the NPT, changing the country’s nuclear doctrine, and closing the Bab al-Mandab Strait alongside the Strait of Hormuz.
So, Vice-President Vance is saying if Iran restricts Hormuz (i.e. it stays open to friendly states’ vessels) the U.S. will escalate. And Iran is responding to this threat by warning that it will escalate militarily – two strikes for every one American strike – and that they may also turn to new doctrines of warfare.
Essentially, Trump has plunged into an escalatory trap, seemingly in part out of pique at his collapsing polls at home. He did, however, directly put himself in this situation by trying to ‘act cute’ during the Khamenei funeral pre-occupations in order to try to gain a ‘quick win’.
How long will this escalatory episode last? Certainly, it will not lead to the opening of the Strait; nor bring a return of the status quo ante that preceded the war. As long as Iran maintains its ability to exert control over Hormuz, there is no basis to assume that the situation will return to what it was.
On the contrary, and more likely, the crisis will accelerate the onset of looming global economic crisis that could last until the economic pain becomes acute, as the drawdown on sour crude continues – and as the effects on the real economy in the West become visible.
With shortages of munitions and the drawdown on air assets from the Middle East already beginning, Trump probably lacks the wherewithal to go full ‘Iran War 3.0’.
The timeline to this new bout of low-intensity tit-for-tat therefore, is likely dictated by refinery inventories in the U.S.; but also by the extent of the ‘hurt’ being experienced by Trump back home in the context of his fading political prospects, but also by his dislike for any personal humiliation.
Where did this all go wrong? Possibly the crux of it derives from the moment that Iran’s new Supreme Leader, Sayyed Mojtaba, issued his statement that he had held a different view on the MoU to that of the negotiating team, but had agreed to proceed with it after receiving an assurance from the Iranian President that he would ensure and take into account Iran’s overarching principles in respect to relations with the U.S..
The Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei’s statement put on notice both the U.S. – and the Iranian negotiators – that Iran’s approval of the MoU was no open mandate, but rather closely tied to the 10 principles originally enunciated bythe new Supreme Leader.
At some point, the Iranian leadership seemingly came to the conclusion that Iran was being played by the U.S.; that the MoU was a deception –
“and that the entirety of events since the announcement of the MoU reflected a U.S. strategy based on the view that in the previous round of the war against Iran – [that the U.S. and Israel] failed to achieve their objectives – necessitating a halt to the confrontation, albeit temporarily, in order to regroup and prepare ‘more thoroughly’ for a new round when the right conditions arise”.
This led to the Iranian reassessment that the Hormuz and Lebanon components constituted the vital leverage to engage in a new war as the West ramps up pressure as a holding strategy – whilst the U.S. and Israel prepare for the next round of war.
The interim U.S. strategy is no change to U.S.-Israeli objectives, but rather an adjustment to their operational mechanisms to provide for certain compromises that Washington considers necessary (i.e. closer working with Turkey and via Erdogan to engage Syria’s Jolani) to reshuffle the Lebanon deck, and then to ‘assess how the cards lie’, as Vance outlined.
It is not certain that this new U.S. policy will work. The world is changing rapidly. Their expected triumph of Israel over the Middle East has resulted in failure. Trump’s MoU ploy to open Hormuz likely will fail, too.
The connected war on Russia and the siege of China are faltering too – and Israel’s (until now unassailable) hold over the U.S. is in question too. A senior U.S. democrat, Rahm Emanuel, and potential 2028 U.S. Democratic presidential candidate, spoke in Israel yesterday; he warned in no uncertain terms that Israel “has lost the world’s support, become a ‘regional pariah’, [and that its] alliance with the U.S. is ‘at a crossroads’”.
And finally, a ‘black swan’ now can be observed swimming in increasingly sunlit waters – Eric Katz writing in Notus writes that, “a draft report inside the U.S. Treasury Department is set to warn of the risks posed by the artificial intelligence market, likening key aspects of it to the dotcom bubble that upended the U.S. economy when it burst in the early 2000s”.
Treasury analysts wrote –
“Career Treasury analysts found that AI firms are more deeply entrenched in the U.S. economy than their dotcom predecessors and pose significant risk to the entire system if financial conditions change, productivity goals are missed or various choke points stymie growth”.
“A downturn in the AI market would send shockwaves throughout the entire economic ecosystem”.
A market downturn in the U.S. – exacerbated by an energy crisis – could spell disaster for Trump’s midterm hopes.
EIR Daily News • Sunday, July 12, 2026
EIR NewsJuly 12, 2026 . 4:39 AMOver 40 million Iranians mourned the passing of there Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khemeini. CC/Tasnim News Ageny/Masoud Shahrestani
The LeadLet’s Keep the Republic: Defeat The Empire for All Humanity
by Megan Dobrodt (EIRNS) — Jul. 11, 2026
“Both theaters of war, the Iran situation and also the war in Ukraine, are escalating,” Schiller Institute founder Helga Zepp-LaRouche told the 162nd meeting of the International Peace Coalition on July 10. “I think that if we are not changing course very, very quickly, that we soon will have reached a point of no return.”
There is no sign, however, that the Epstein-class elites of the West intend to do any such thing, as over the past week we have witnessed a ratcheting up of provocations, broken commitments, and further moves toward militarization—including with nuclear-capable weapons.
Regarding Iran—which just finished burying its assassinated Supreme Leader before a reported 40 million mourners, the largest funeral in recorded history—the situation remains very volatile, with renewed attacks on both sides. Despite media rumors and Trump’s claims to the contrary, Iranian officials have announced that at this point they are not seeking negotiations with the United States and that the US has repeatedly breached the June MOU. As if to prove the point, on Friday, the State Department piled new sanctions on Iran. President Trump took to Truth Social late Thursday night to announce that “1,000 Missiles are Locked and Loaded and aimed at the Islamic Republic of Iran, with thousands…more to immediately follow,” should Trump be assassinated. Should we be surprised if, as reports claim, British intelligence’s proxy, Israel, did, indeed, pass intelligence to the US about such an alleged assassination plot?
It would behoove anyone who might otherwise get swept up in reacting to the death threats coming from both sides to ask themselves, “Cui bono?” If such an assassination were to become the fuse to a world war, who built the bomb?
The Ukraine situation is no different. On Friday, a Russian military expert charged that American intelligence helped organize and support a thwarted drone attack on the Rostov-on-Don airfield, understood to be the operational nerve center of Russia’s Special Military Operation, while earlier in the week, NATO’s Ankara summit locked in €70 billion in new 2026 arms for Kiev, and Germany moved to buy up to 400 nuclear-capable Tomahawk missiles from Washington.
But the real target of all this was never Tehran or Moscow; it is the emergence of a new system of governance, a win-win paradigm of development among sovereign nations, outside the control of the geopolitically driven, neo-imperialist elites of London and Wall Street. That imperial structure, administered via the bestial Epstein class, is what must be broken by those patriots in the West who still remember the mission of the recently celebrated US Declaration of Independence.
Even inside Washington, cracks are showing due to growing pressure from the American population. Rep. Ro Khanna, [detained for over an hour] this week in the West Bank by armed settlers carrying American-made M4s, called the Democratic establishment “clueless about how much of a moral test” Palestine, Gaza, and Israel have become. Rep. Thomas Massie has announced that he will vote down the rule to bring the NDAA bill to the floor unless his amendment striking Section 219—the US-Israel military merger—is included. Sen. Chris Van Hollen and others are circulating a Dear Colleague letter against the Senate’s companion provision. Rep. Adam Smith, who initially opposed that same amendment, reversed himself after his own constituents made clear they’d had enough.
Why are the Epstein-class elites so desperate to keep the war machine running regardless of the cost? Because their system is utterly bankrupt, and they know it. A real president—one capable of keeping the republic—would do what independent presidential candidate Diane Sare is calling for: implement Lyndon LaRouche’s Four New Laws to Save the USA, starting with the reinstatement of Glass-Steagall and a bankruptcy reorganization of the entire speculative financial system, clearing the way at last for a return to the American System of credit-driven physical development.
“The big enemy which we have to fight,” Zepp-LaRouche said, “is the idea of empire”—the evil and inhuman system the United States was founded to end. The people who wrote the Declaration would likely not recognize what has been made of the US republic in service of a financier class that answers to no one; they would, however, recognize those founding intentions in the New Paradigm now taking shape among the BRICS and the Global Majority. They would embrace China’s Belt and Road Initiative not as a rival to be contained, but as a fellow traveler on the same road they set out on in 1776—and they would celebrate, joyfully, a real chance to free humanity from poverty and war forever.
“You can actually win against the empire if you unite and have a good plan,” Zepp-LaRouche said in referencing Friedrich Schiller’s purpose in writing his Revolt of the Netherlands. “You can bend even the stretched arm of the worse dictator and actually win for the good cause.”
Overwhelming Congress with calls to block the NDAA’s Section 219 in the House and 1217 in the Senate is an urgent task for anyone who wishes to do just that. As Diane Sare’s call to action reads, “Call your congressmen today and every day until their office confirms that they will not pass the NDAA if it includes any provision to merge our military with Israel or any other nation. In this 250th anniversary year of our Declaration of Independence, let’s heed Ben Franklin’s admonition and keep our Republic.”
Contents
Strategic War Danger
Who’s Stoking Trump’s Assassination Fears? (↓)
More Time to Stop NDAA Merger of U.S., Israeli Militaries! (↓)
US Promoting Counter-narrative of an Iran Seeking to Bow Down Before Trump (↓)
Thwarted Rostov-on-Don Plot Was ‘Tip of the Iceberg,’ Russian Expert Says, Citing Direct US Involvement (↓)
Poland, France Hold First Talks on Macron’s Nuclear Umbrella (↓)
New World ParadigmChina, Namibia Elevate Ties to ‘Community With a Shared Future’ (↓)
Science and TechnologyChina Recovers Long March-10B Booster in World-First Net Capture (↓)
Collapsing Imperial SystemIsraeli Settlers, IDF Detain Rep. Khanna in West Bank for 90 Minutes (↓)
In-Depthhttps://eir.news/2026/07/daily-brief/eir-daily-news-sunday-july-12-2026/
Larry Counts Hours …
Let’s follow the timeline. According to the official story: 911 call from his DC residence at 8:30pm ET on July 11 for suspected cardiac arrest. He “died at home.” This is total bullshit! So let’s go thru the timeline. Senator Graham arrived in Kyiv between 09:45–10:45 local on July 10th. The train he took from Poland departed Warsaw at 18:15 hours local on July 9th. It was an overnight train. To arrive in Poland in time to take the 18:15 train, Lindsey would have departed Dulles International Airport at around 0700 local on July 9 — the flight from Dulles to Warsaw is 9 hours. So Lindsey Graham arrives in Kyiv by 11 am Friday morning. He meets with Zelensky and tours a drone factory. Then we are asked to believe that he returns to Washington, DC after spending less than 24 hours on the ground. Again, I call bullshit!!The earliest train back to Warsaw departs Kyiv-Pasazhyrskyi at 07:40–08:00 on the 11th and arrives Przemyśl Główny in the afternoon (~17:00–18:00). That is at least nine hours. That would make it roughly 1100 hours in Washington, DC. Let’s assume he has an hour to get to the airport and the plane takes off at 1900 hours local from Poland. The flight going west takes 10 hours… This means the earliest the plane could have landed at Dulles is midnight on the 11th. That is 3 ½ hours after Graham reportedly died at home. As I noted at the outset… The story of Lindsey Graham’s death at home is BULLSHIT!
I agree with Larry–the timeline issue is critical here. Could it be that Lindsey met his end in Kiev? I am not saying it is 100% but the probability is very high that he died in Kiev. Was he an accidental (or maybe deliberate?) victim of Russian strikes at the drone factory he visited or was something else involved in his demise? Who knows. But there is very little doubt that he was a war criminal, warmonger, supporter of terrorism and genocidal maniac. Good riddance.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2026/07/larry-counts-hours.html
D writes:
We hit the bridges to China, etc, so they can’t resupply to build the more missiles. This sucks because when Iran becomes normal again, they’ll have to rebuild all that stuff and it’s pointless and expensive.
I conclude:
D is RETARDED and sorry for your loss of decency
Stanislav Krapivnik: BREAKING: U.S. Strikes Iran as Tehran Targets ATACMS| Lindsey Graham Dead at 71
