John Day

 
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  • in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247686
    John Day
    Participant

    Celia Farber, 2013 Study Found Lipid Nano-Particles Accumulate In The Ovaries Of Every Species Tested: Dr. Michael Yeadon https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/2013-study-found-lipid-nano-particles

    ​ Meryl Nass MD, New Zealand investigation reveals that govt ministers knew of the high risk of myocarditis to teens before the seond dose, but kept vaccinating them anyway​ – This is just as bad as vaccinating in pregnancy–a deliberate attack on our children​ https://merylnass.substack.com/p/new-zealand-investigation-reveals

    ​Paul Marik MD, with a topic that is a burning question for some people: Unproven Cancer Treatments: Separating Hope From Evidence – Part 1 https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/unproven-cancer-treatments-separating

    Stored agricultural surpluses were worth murdering for, worth defending, and could feed an army. Patrilineal clan societies formed raiding parties, defensible towns and armies. Genghis Khan’s Y chromosome flourished. Most Y chromosomes died out. When Our Simplest Invention Killed 95% Of All Men Alive https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DXd-iGbxdPE

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247685
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Steve Kirsch with evidence that is strictly avoided: The average age that parents noticed their children became autistic shifted dramatically after the MMR shot rolled out – Listen to this testimony in Congress on April 3, 2000 by Dr. Bernard Rimland. As soon as they rolled at the MMR shot, the average age parents noticed autism shifted to when the MMR was given. https://kirschsubstack.com/p/the-average-age-that-parents-noticed

    Steve Kirsch, The autism survey that “they” will never do – Bret Weinstein replicated my autism survey results using his followers. Will any pro-vaccine group show we got it wrong? No. Never. They won’t even try. https://kirschsubstack.com/p/the-autism-survey-that-they-will

    ​ Breaking Up MMR Vaccine Will Benefit Kids — But It Could Be Years Before Single Shots Are Available
    President Donald Trump’s executive order calling for separating the measles, mumps, rubella (MMR) vaccine into three single-disease vaccines administered at separate medical visits is a long-overdue step in the right direction, according to doctors, scientists and medical freedom advocates who spoke with The Defender. However, it could be years before separate vaccines become available.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/breaking-up-mmr-vaccine-single-shots-benefit-kids-could-take-years/

    ​ MMR is typically given at 1 & 4 years of age. Measles morbidity and mortality increase after puberty. I’d wait​ 10 years. Vaccine-Maker Claims Splitting MMR Shot Could Take Up To 10 Years​ https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/splitting-mmr-vaccine-could-take-10-years-merck

    ​ Franklin O’Kanu, The Complete Vaccine Harm Profile: A Comprehensive Reference Guide – A systematic documentation of vaccine injuries, mechanisms of harm, historical coverups, and real-world evidence https://unorthodoxy.substack.com/p/the-complete-vaccine-harm-profile

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247684
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Meta Faces Unprecedented Legal Reckoning Over Youth Mental Health As Massive Multistate Trial Begins
    Just weeks after suffering a massive legal defeat in New Mexico, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram is now defending itself in a California federal court against a bipartisan coalition of 29 states. The states say Meta deliberately designed its platforms to addict children and harvested their data in violation of federal law.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/meta-faces-unprecedented-legal-reckoning-over-youth-mental-health-massive-multistate

    ​ Trump’s Executive Order Gives Revived Task Force 90 Days to Produce Vaccine Safety Report
    An executive order signed Monday gives the HHS Task Force on Safer Childhood Vaccines 90 days to produce a report that could shape the nation’s childhood vaccination policy. After decades of ignoring a legal requirement that the task force evaluate and report on vaccine safety, HHS reestablished the task force just months after attorney Ray Flores, with funding from Children’s Health Defense, sued the agency.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/trump-executive-order-task-force-on-safer-childhood-vaccines-90-days-produce-safety-report/

    ​ ​Fauci would kill himself in his car if he started to talk. Fauci In Hiding As ABC Censorship Bombshell Explodes
    Dr. Anthony Fauci just refused a private transcribed interview with Sen. Ron Johnson’s subcommittee. The same week, a former ABC News correspondent revealed that the network gutted a 2021 Wuhan lab leak investigation after the script was sent to Fauci for review.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/fauci-hiding-abc-censorship-bombshell-explodes

    ​ Meryl Nass MD, Acting FDA Commissioner Janet Woodcock (who killed HCQ) asked Fauci and Francis Collins to help study reported vaccine injuries in May 2021 – Senators Rand Paul and Ron Johnson released another tranche of Fauci documents over the weekend. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/acting-fda-commissioner-janet-woodcock

    Celia Farber is dubious, but there are a lot of facts to legally discover: I’ve Changed My Mind: The Fauci Hearings Were Just Political Fish-In-Barrel Shooting: Beware Of Half-Heroes
    ​ Did You Know The Zelenko Protocol Was Invented By Ralph Baric To Protect THEM In The Event Their Bio- Weapon Sickened Them? What Did David Martin Hand-Deliver To Paul and Johnson, And When?​ https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/ive-changed-my-mind-the-fauci-hearings

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247683
    John Day
    Participant

    Women Flee Ceuta After 15 Rapes Recorded Since Migrant Invasion​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/women-flee-ceuta-after-15-rapes-recorded-migrant-invasion

    ​ GB News Host Forced From Home By Migrant Gang Death Threats
    GB News presenter Patrick Christys was ordered by police to abandon his home in the middle of the night after a credible death threat from the Channel people-smuggling gangs he continues to expose in Calais. The threat-to-life notice from the Metropolitan Police left Christys and his heavily pregnant wife, fellow GB News presenter Emily Carver, packing bags and fleeing to a safe house.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/gb-news-host-forced-home-migrant-gang-death-threats

    ​ Blasphemy Law Is Back: Retired British Police Officer Fined For Islam Joke​
    A retired British police officer has been handed a criminal conviction and more than £1,000 in fines for resharing a satirical Facebook meme poking fun at Islam.​..
    ..The case has sparked fresh warnings that blasphemy laws, abolished in England in 2008, are being revived by the back door – but only for one religion…
    ​..The second image showed a man in a turban next to a rasher of bacon with the caption: “Fun facts about Bacon! People who eat bacon have a lower chance of marrying a 9-year-old!” That post led to the conviction.​ The judge decided it was about religion rather than politics and was therefore “grossly offensive.”​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/blasphemy-law-back-retired-british-police-officer-fined-islam-joke

    Trump’s DOJ Will Reportedly Support End Of National Firearms Act After 92 Years​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/trumps-doj-will-reportedly-support-end-national-firearms-act-after-92-years

    ​ ‘No Guardrails’: Youth Sports Leagues Mandating Digital IDs, Selling Kids’ Biometrics for Profit
    National and local youth sports leagues are harvesting children’s biometric data for profit while telling parents it’s a requirement for their child to play, according to Michelle and Doug Bottoms. Attorney Greg Glaser said the practice violates the Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/no-guardrails-youth-sports-leagues-mandate-digital-id-sell-kids-biometrics-profit/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247682
    John Day
    Participant

    Meryl Nass MD, It was only a matter of time, and the middle east kerfuffle speeded it up: China takes the polar route to Europe
    Russia has been expanding its ice cutter fleet. And now Scott Ritter tells us that China will be running weekly container ships through the Arctic to Europe. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/it-was-only-a-matter-of-time-and

    It’s an age of economic and population decline that we are entering: Beyond the Age of Growth – An Interview to Ugo Bardi https://senecaeffect.substack.com/p/beyond-the-age-of-growth

    The Honest Sorcerer notes that China has about 30 years of coal at the current burn rate: Coal: The Next Chokepoint – How ‘peak coal’ could become China’s Achilles’ heel https://thehonestsorcerer.substack.com/p/coal-the-next-chokepoint

    When will the bubble pop? WSJ Catches Up, Discovers AI’s Off-Balance Sheet Liabilities Are $3 Trillion And Growing $1.2 Trillion Per Quarter https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/wsj-catches-discovers-ais-balance-sheet-liabilities-are-3-trillion-and-growing-12-trillion

    Second Ceuta Border Invasion Attempt Underway As Military-Aged Migrants Mass Near Spanish Enclave https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/spains-vox-party-demands-morocco-pay-migration-crisis-ceuta-faces-public-health

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247681
    John Day
    Participant

    Israeli Strikes Kill at Least 11 in Deadliest Lebanon Attack Since June – Israel presents attacks as targeting ‘terrorist infrastructure,’ but hit home full of civilians https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/15/israeli-strikes-kill-at-least-11-in-deadliest-lebanon-attack-since-june/

    Israeli Flags on Lebanon Road Violate UN Resolution, UNIFIL Says https://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5308090-israeli-flags-lebanon-road-violate-un-resolution-unifil-says

    ISRAELI MEDIA: What Israel Began in Gaza Is Spreading to Palestinians Everywhere https://israelpalestinenews.org/israeli-media-what-israel-began-in-gaza-is-spreading-to-palestinians-everywhere/

    Celia Farber, Alex Jones Blasts Tim Pool And Other Influencers For Secret Meetings With Netanyahu; Israel Spent $1.3 Billion Last 18 Months Alone On US Social Media, Says Jones
    Receiving Money From Any Entity You Cover Is A Hanging Crime In Journalism. Always Was. Banishment, And The Resignation of All Your Bosses, If You Did This. How Is This Reality? https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/alex-jones-blasts-tim-pool-and-other

    Judge Throws Out “Political Prosecution” of Pro-Palestinian University of Michigan Student
    The student, Hiab Teshome, is also a graduate student union leader in tense contract negotiations with the school. https://www.dropsitenews.com/p/university-michigan-eli-savit-student-pro-palestine-felony-charges-thrown-out

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247680
    John Day
    Participant

    A bullet in the back: Palestinian nurse faces permanent paralysis https://israelpalestinenews.org/a-bullet-in-the-back-palestinian-nurse-faces-permanent-paralysis/

    Israeli forces prevent UNICEF water tanker from reaching besieged homes in Qusra https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/173670?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

    UN: Nearly 3,000 settler attacks recorded in West Bank since start of 2025 https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/08/17/368473/

    US lawmaker urges action against West Bank occupier violence
    House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries urges Trump administration to ‘compel the Israeli government to protect the lives, property and livelihood of innocent Palestinian civilians’ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/us-lawmaker-urges-action-against-west-bank-occupier-violence/4030049

    Thin cloth tents: Gaza: Over two million displaced people face disaster as winter approaches https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/08/17/368479/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247679
    John Day
    Participant

    US Navy Destroyer Suffered 4-Day Power Outage In Sweltering South China Sea https://www.zerohedge.com/military/us-navy-destroyer-suffered-4-day-power-outage-sweltering-south-china-sea

    US Lost 25% Of Its Reaper Drones In Iran War, Officials Estimate https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-lost-25-its-reaper-drones-iran-war-officials-estimate

    ‘Do What Israel Tells You!’ – Graffiti On USAF Jet Suggests Troops Think War Isn’t For America https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/do-what-israel-tells-you-graffiti-usaf-jet-suggests-troops-think-war-isnt-america

    The new leaner, younger, more handsome Ben Gvir again, I see: ‘They’re Not Even People’: Ben Gvir Says Israel Should Kill 30-40 Palestinians in Gaza Every Night – The Israeli minister also said he believes ‘all of Gaza’ belongs to Israel https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/16/theyre-not-even-people-ben-gvir-says-israel-should-kill-30-40-palestinians-in-gaza-every-night/

    Report: Kushner-Netanyahu Meeting Ends With Agreement That Israel Will Keep Bombing Gaza https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/17/report-kushner-netanyahu-meeting-ends-with-agreement-that-israel-will-keep-bombing-gaza/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247678
    John Day
    Participant

    Moon of Alabama, WSJ Unveils Iran ‘Secret’ – Trump Talks With NoKo? – Threat To Oman
    This item on Korea smells fishy:
    Trump orders military to ‘substantially reduce’ joint exercises with South Korea – NBC News
    President Donald Trump said Sunday that he has directed the Defense Department to scale down joint military exercises with South Korea, citing the U.S. ally’s refusal to join the war in Iran and his “very good” relationship with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un.
    Trump said the large, annual military drills sent a “signal that is totally inappropriate and hostile” to North Korea, a nuclear-armed state with which the U.S. has no formal diplomatic ties but which Trump says has been “unthreatening and respectful” as long as he has been president.
    The reason Trump is giving for reducing the military maneuvers with South Korea is not serious. No country but Israel has seriously joined the U.S. in its War on Iran.
    There is something else going on.
    A reduction or end to U.S. maneuvers with South Korea has often been a pre-condition by North Korea for entering into talks.
    Trump’s statement is therefore likely an opener for negotiations over some kind of peace agreement with North Korea.
    Trump may hope for a fast ‘victory’ as peace-makers before the midterm elections. Unfortunately he and his stooges are incapable of doing the methodical work necessary, and of offering the serious concessions needed, to get any results. https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/08/wsj-unveils-iran-secret-trump-talks-with-noko-threat-to-oman.html

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-18
    The US-Iran memorandum expired yesterday and Tehran answered by declaring a “fully offensive” posture, then striking a merchant vessel inside the US-escorted southern Hormuz corridor overnight – casualties, engine-room fire, and Trump still saying he has “total control” of the strait.
    ​ Meanwhile the diesel crack broke $100 for the first time on record and the global long end kept snapping: US 30Y ~5.31%, JGB 10Y at 2.95%, France at 2009 highs.
    ​ Copper’s LME backwardation hit its widest since the 2021 squeeze, and Nvidia put a reported $105bn guarantee behind an 8GW OpenAI campus in Ohio.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-18

    Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-17
    The 60-day US-Iran memorandum lapsed over the weekend and nothing replaced it – Iran’s leadership responded by ordering the IRGC into “offensive form,” and Hormuz recorded zero commodity crossings on Sunday. Second delta: Trump cut US-South Korea exercises after Seoul refused to join the Iran war, leaving Asia with no US carrier, while Japan’s 10-year yield hit 2.91% (a 1996 high) and copper printed a record close with the widest LME backwardation since 2021…
    ..Iran: the MoU lapses into an IRGC-led offensive posture, with nuclear chatter on the fringe – WSJ reporting says Tehran’s hardliners read the pact as a stalling device and spent the two months preparing for a bigger fight: IRGC given more control over the regular army, Iran-Iraq war veterans into key posts, counterintelligence expanded, missile and drone production ramped (HFI_Research).
    Army Commander Maj. Gen. Hatami: the Strait will “never return to its previous state,” control is now a condition for ending the war and won’t be surrendered diplomatically (HormuzReport).
    Iran’s army chief reportedly set a $30,000 bounty on US forces, per Fars (zerohedge).
    Counter-current: Trump’s advisers presented sanctions-damage data and convinced him to prefer intensified economic pressure over further military action, per WSJ reporting (Megatron_ron). Scotiabank is already mapping the Bessent economic hammer (zerohedge), and “unprecedented economic isolation” is the framing being briefed out (BrettErickson28).
    Axios-sourced claim of secret Trump-Iran negotiations routed through Iraq, dropped ten minutes before the open (Nostra, House of Gold). Treat the timing as the tell.
    Former Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene claims nuclear weapons against Iran are being discussed in strategy meetings – “I’m not speculating, I know” (FmrRepMTG), echoed onward (Megatron_ron). A nuclear bunker-buster is described as one of Trump’s last remaining cards, disputed in-thread on grounds that no US weapon has meaningful earth penetration (Pataramesh). Single-origin claim – LOW, but it’s the reason Iran’s hardened-tunnel doctrine keeps coming up.
    The White House confirmed Trump’s threat to declare Hormuz “a US territory” was a joke (Amb_Ulyanov)…
    ..Hormuz and oil: the fight moves from closing the strait to invoicing it – while diesel does the pricing – Iran is asking 5% of cargo value per transit (≈$8.85m on one supertanker at Friday’s Brent settle), and the Lloyd’s Market Association’s LMA5708 clause published 23 July lets hull underwriters terminate cover the moment a transit payment is made. OFAC designated Iran’s Persian Gulf Strait Authority on 27 May and prohibits US persons from even receiving safe-passage guarantees. Iran wants 5-7%, Oman has floated 3%, Washington wants zero…
    ..Anti-ship missile launches toward the waterway were reported minutes after USAF tankers and fighters cleared the area, following near-continuous tanker and AWACS activity (MenchOsint). By Monday morning, public data still couldn’t confirm a single successful transit through the US corridor…
    ..The battlefield extended to the Red Sea: Ansarallah fired two ballistic missiles at the Bab el Mandeb area, with unconfirmed reports of tankers targeted, which would explain the sudden crude climb (MenchOsint).
    Diesel is where the stress shows. Diesel future options implied vol spiked above 100 again – checked, not a glitch – the second time recently traders have covered for a distillate spike while crude stays suppressed (JustDario). Either the suppression extends to diesel or the market stops trusting the crude print entirely (JustDario)…
    ..US force posture: morale graffiti, a broken carrier, and Gulf hosts reconsidering the lease – Photographs from the Persian Gulf show messages scrawled in the dust of an aircraft flap – “Operation Epstein Fury,” “Peace deal #64 incoming” – with a serviceman’s assessment that “this operation has no morale behind it… deployed to undesirable locations INDEFINITELY” (tparsi).
    Families of US sailors publicly accused Trump and Hegseth of dismissing shipboard conditions and calling their relatives liars, per The Guardian (HormuzReport). The USS Abraham Lincoln’s sewage system reportedly failed, flooding sailors’ living quarters (Megatron_ron).
    Blockade arithmetic: the carrier postured toward China has to relieve one of the two enforcing the blockade, because of morale and supply problems from a record-length deployment (Pataramesh). Only three US carriers are described as active, the rest in dock (AlternatNews).
    Gulf states have reportedly lost trust in the administration’s Iran strategy and some are considering cancelling major US bases, per WaPo (BRICSinfo)…
    ..Lebanon and Gaza: deadliest strikes since the ceasefire, and eight foreign ministers put the blame in writing – Israel is threatening a return to war in Lebanon after unleashing the deadliest airstrikes since the ceasefire (zerohedge). The regional read is that Lebanon has no path that doesn’t run through either an Iran-initiated wider war or a US-imposed Israeli withdrawal after Netanyahu falls (ejmalrai).
    The foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Pakistan, Indonesia, Turkey, Qatar and the UAE issued a joint statement condemning Israel’s declared rejection of the Gaza road map endorsed by UNSC Resolution 2803 and of Palestinian statehood, stating Israel “now bears responsibility for obstructing” peace efforts (KSAmofaEN). Eight signatories including three US treaty-adjacent partners is the datapoint.
    Pope Leo XIV renewed his appeal over violence against Palestinian civilians in the West Bank (Pontifex). The framing that keeps landing: Israel thinks it has a PR problem (tparsi).
    Attrition inside the force: two reported Israeli soldier suicides after Gaza service, one last Thursday and one the previous week (MenchOsint).
    Separately, Trump celebrated a Mecca Joint Defence Agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan (EricLDaugh) – an alignment worth watching precisely because it doesn’t include Washington…
    ..Japan: 10Y at 2.91% (highest since 1996), a growth miss, and a FIMA workaround for $1.4T of Treasuries – Japan’s 10-year yield rose to 2.91%, the highest since 1996 (zerohedge); the 2-year jumped to 1.69%, a 31-year high (Barchart). GDP grew at half the expected pace (Barchart).
    The plumbing story: Bessent reportedly pressing the Fed to expand the FIMA repo facility so Tokyo can pledge Treasuries for dollars and defend the yen without liquidating its $1.4 trillion position (leshka_eth). Corroborating detail from a different angle – the Fed’s T-bill holdings at $500bn from $200bn in 2025, and Treasury selling euros to prop the yen (GarrettGoggin).
    The rate-hikes-strengthen-the-yen thesis is being challenged directly on the charts (JustDario). Framing that keeps recurring: both Japan and the US are in debt doom loops, and the only question is who face-plants first (DonDurrett).
    US side of the same ledger: $25bn of 30Y at 5.216% (highest auction yield since 2001), $42bn of 10Y at 4.683% (highest since 2007), and a July deficit up $141bn YoY to a record $432 billion (KobeissiLetter) – that deficit being a +48% YoY surge (Hedgeye).
    Interest costs are tracking toward $1.7 trillion annually at stable rates, which would surpass Social Security as the largest single federal expenditure (Barchart); $638bn was issued in one week, all of it rolling within a year (DonDurrett)…
    ..Russia broke the Cuban oil blockade – a Russian tanker with 100,000 tonnes of crude arrived in Cuba (thesiriusreport). LOW, single source, but a direct sanctions-enforcement test. https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-17

    So not-a-joke today? Trump Drops Map Of Hormuz As “New US Territory” Amid No Talks, Declares Strait “Open & Operating”; UAE Under Missile Alert https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-posts-map-showing-hormuz-new-us-territory-just-after-latest-tanker-attack

    The conclusion preceded the visit, perhaps? Top Admiral Visits USS Lincoln, Suggests Reports Of Dire Conditions Are Greatly Exaggerated https://www.zerohedge.com/military/top-admiral-visits-uss-lincoln-suggests-reports-dire-conditions-are-greatly-exaggerated

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247676
    John Day
    Participant

    The US path to “victory” is re-definition: “US Can’t Bomb Its Way To Victory”: Scotiabank Maps Bessent’s Coming Economic Hammer On Iran https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-cant-bomb-its-way-victory-scotiabank-maps-bessents-coming-economic-hammer-iran

    Iran’s Army Chief Offers $30K Reward For Kill Or Capture Of American Troops https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/irans-army-chief-offers-30k-reward-kill-or-capture-american-troops

    Trump Hails Mecca Defense Pact As ‘Big, Bold, Important First Step’
    Since the signing of a defense pact earlier this month by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan – which is being touted as having NATO level protections akin to an Article 5 style ‘attack on one is an attack on all’ – there’s been much speculation on whether Washington would embrace or reject it.
    After all, it seems to put greater distance between Saudi Arabia and Israel, and thus lessens the potential for Riyadh ever agreeing to join the US-backed Abraham accords, especially given that Turkey is an avowed enemy and regional rival of Israel. But the United States broke its silence on the pact this weekend, as President Trump on Sunday hailed it as a good and promising development.
    “Very happy to see that Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan have recently, and finally, signed the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “It shows how the Middle East is coming together and how countries will finally be able to defend themselves in a more meaningful way,” he added, further hailing the agreement a “BIG, BOLD, IMPORTANT FIRST STEP.”
    Israeli media has meanwhile been pointing out that the pact is widely seen as a sign of waning US influence in the region, and that its members states see it fundamentally as a rejection of Israeli regional hegemony. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-hails-mecca-defense-pact-big-bold-important-first-step

    US Issues Rare Condemnation Of Israeli Strikes On Syrian Airbase: ‘Unnecessary Escalation’ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-issues-rare-condemnation-israeli-strikes-syrian-airbase-unnecessary-escalation

    Making a virtue of necessity as the USS Washington heads to Hormuz to replace the Lincoln? Trump Says US To ‘Substantially Reduce’ Military Drills With S.Korea, Cites ‘Very Good Relationship’ With Kim
    “Based on my very good relationship with Kim Jong Un, of North Korea, I am not happy with the fact that the United States has, long ago, agreed to participate in Joint Military Exercises with South Korea,” Trump stated…
    ..He invoked Seoul’s stance on the US-Israel war on Iran, which marked a huge disappointment for the White House.
    “I recently asked the President of South Korea if they would like to join us in the Denuclearization of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and they said, ‘No thanks!'” he said.
    Still, Trump lamented that it is actually too late to cancel the drills, and so ordered War Secretary Pete Hegseth to “substantially reduce” them. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-says-us-substantially-reduce-military-drills-south-korea-cites-very-good

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247675
    John Day
    Participant

    Logistics War https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/logistics-war

    The world has entered an epoch of global war on supply-lines, a logistics war curtailing flows of fuels, grains, finance and trade in general. Flows of people have been weaponized in this war, which impairs the ability of a freshly-colonized nation (eg. France) to respond to emergencies, since it is internally divided.

    Simplicius, Iran’s Strategy Vindicated as US’s Logistics Chain Hobbled and Stretched by Early Strikes
    The US’s naval problems in the theater all stemmed from Iran’s deliberate strategy of wiping out US bases in the region, resulting in the extremely inefficient lengthening of US supply chain logistics for war:..
    ..The US Navy’s problems began immediately after Iran’s opening salvo of the war, which saw the Navy’s top regional logistics hub in Bahrain go up in smoke from Iranian missiles and drones:
    The aircraft carrier U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln’s supply problems began soon after the first day of the war, as Iranian missiles and attack drones fell on a Navy base in Bahrain.
    The Iranian attack, retaliation for the U.S.-Israeli assault on Tehran, destroyed much of the base. And as it went up in smoke, so did a major logistics hub that the Navy has relied on for decades.
    The Navy needed a Plan B to continue feeding the sailors working around the clock to keep warplanes flying strike missions, and later to maintain a blockade of Iran’s ports… The Navy began using Diego Garcia as the main shipping point shortly after the Navy’s base in Bahrain was heavily damaged…
    ..The NYT piece goes on:
    The loss of the hub in Bahrain has contributed to a host of reported problems on carriers supporting operations against Iran, as Democratic senators raise concerns about the Lincoln’s 5,000 sailors and their nearly nine-month deployment.
    NYT details how the ailing USS Lincoln will now be replaced by the USS George Washington, hobbling over from INDOPACOM, leaving the 7th Fleet with no forward deployed carriers on the critical ‘Chinese front’…
    ..The state of the US Navy has shocked observers who were not attuned to such a rapid organizational decline, particularly amidst a major conflict wherein the Navy was meant to play the key sustaining role.
    Now WaPo reports that US’s Gulf allies are again reconsidering the deployment of US bases on their territory in frustration for Trump’s erratic and amateurish handling of the Iran conflict. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/irans-strategy-vindicated-as-uss

    Meryl Nass MD, Is it time to invoke the 25th amendment (that our President is no longer competent and needs replacing?) before we get into a bigtime nuclear disaster in Iran? This is an extreme measure, for sure, but the times call out for a level-headed leader in the White House. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/is-it-time-to-invoke-the-25th-amendment

    Trump: 9 Months At Sea For USS Lincoln ‘Not Nearly Long Enough’ https://xcancel.com/zerohedge/status/2088784086596759672

    Trump Doubles Down On Plans To Make Hormuz Strait A US Territory: “A Great Idea” https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-threatens-bomb-st-out-oman-touts-irgc-backchannel

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247641
    John Day
    Participant

    @TBOC: Go Cats Go! 😉
    (I designed and built (built-in) a house in 2022-2023 after I got fired for COVID “vaccine” refusal. I didn’t go that fast, but I did good work and my drawings only needed adjusting in the bathroom due to floor joists already placed needing a plumbing workaround.)

    I sent DBS an email, asking if he’s dead, on your behalf.

    • This reply was modified 1 month ago by John Day.
    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247621
    John Day
    Participant

    I also have “a favorable view of socialism”, but I have lived in a college co-op of 80 – 100 people, where everybody had to pay their monthly rent and do chores for maintenance and meal preparation.
    My wife and I met there.
    You would be surprised how many people don’t pay their rent, make excuses for 2 months, then leave and never pay it. You might not be surprised how many people cannot be relied upon to sweep and mop.
    You would want a breakfast cook to be cooking on time before you had to leave for work.
    It gets complicated and socially time-consuming at even such a small scale.

    (I was a reliable breakfast cook.)

    • This reply was modified 1 month ago by John Day.
    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 18 2026 #247620
    John Day
    Participant

    Picasso dropped some Bad Acid that day … ;-(

    in reply to: The State of TAE August 2026 #247586
    John Day
    Participant

    “I just dropped in to see what condition my condition was in” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9rodSz0-jQ

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247405
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ “Category-X” means “known to cause harms in pregnancy”: Category X: HHS Leaders Injected Pregnant Women with an Untested Gene Therapy — Then Hid the Miscarriages – Private texts reveal they knew. Public statements show they lied. Thousands of mothers and babies paid the price. https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/category-x-hhs-leaders-injected-pregnant

    Celia Farber, America’s Women In Rage, Waking Up To Truth About mRNA Induced Fetal Deaths: “There’s A Lot Of Angry Women Out There, And Rightfully So,” Says Florida AG. Vows To “Leave No Stone Unturned.”
    ​ FORGET Fauci, for a moment. Understand HOW It Happened. The $5 Trillion Pandemic Military Budget. The COLOSSAL Bribes That Collapsed The Three Pillar OB/GYN Orgs, ACOG, ABOG & SMFM.​ https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/americas-women-in-rage-waking-up

    ​ BREAKING STUDY: Spike Protein Drives Prion-Like Protein Misfolding, Amyloid Formation, and Multi-Organ Damage
    COVID “vaccine” spike protein and lab-made SARS-CoV-2 spike protein are prion-like drivers of proteostatic collapse, pathological cross-seeding, transcriptional instability, and tissue dysfunction.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-study-spike-protein-drives

    ​Paul Marik MD explains the life-story of Colon Cancer: APC and the Origins of Colorectal Cancer​ – How One Broken Gene Opens the Door to Cancer https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/apc-and-the-origins-of-colorectal

    Climate Physicist, Anastassia Makarieva further investigates the measured inadequacy of the heating-air-only model of planetary winds and weather:
    An Atmospheric Detective Story, Chapter 3: The Third Witness​ – Why the Numbers Behind Atmospheric Power Matter
    ​ If something goes wrong with our winds, we will be absolutely unable to fix it. Accordingly, winds have traditionally been viewed by humans as belonging to the realm of deities. Even in our ultra-modern times, our greatest achievement so far has been to use artificial intelligence to predict how tropical storms move. There is no chance to change what is coming.
    ​ Meanwhile, forest ecosystems, and natural vegetation more generally, appear to have evolved ways of regulating these flows. They do so by carefully handling the invisible fuel of the atmospheric machine: water vapor.
    ​ We can’t replace the machine. We can, however, preserve natural vegetation and help it recover. In doing so, we can guard ourselves against the worst wind extremes.​ Let us cherish our green friends.​ https://bioticregulation.substack.com/p/an-atmospheric-detective-story-chapter

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247404
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ English Village Will Have Six MIGRANT MEN To Every Woman
    A quiet North Yorkshire village of roughly 600 people is set to be flooded with around 1,200 single adult male asylum seekers at the nearby disused RAF Linton-on-Ouse base. Local women would be outnumbered six to one.
    ​ Labour MP Rachael Maskell has raised the alarm over the plan, which forms part of the government’s wider push to move roughly 3,750 people into three former military sites near villages as it tries to empty asylum hotels.
    ​ The base sits beside a primary school and nursery, has only four buses a day into York, and already faces severe shortages of water, sewage capacity and electricity.​ https://modernity.news/2026/08/13/english-village-will-have-six-migrant-men-to-every-woman/

    ​ Watch: UK PM Wants EVERY Area In Britain To House Migrants​ – Prime Minister Andy Burnham has decided that “all parts of the country need to play their part.”
    ​ That means middle-class families and leafy villages must now accept large numbers of asylum seekers so the poorest areas are no longer the only ones carrying the load.​ This approach obviously does nothing to stop the root of the problem, the sheer number of migrants washing up in boats.​ https://modernity.news/2026/08/12/watch-uk-pm-wants-every-area-in-britain-to-house-migrants/

    ​ 450,000 U.S. Soldiers Diagnosed with Traumatic Brain Injury Since 2001
    Those who enthusiastically support US “forever wars” should visit veterans who suffered Traumatic Brain Injuries during the occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/450000-us-soldiers-diagnosed-with-1d5

    ​ Peter McCullough MD, Fauci’s Miscarriage of Public Health Led to Actual Fetal Loss in Thousands of Pregnant Women
    Data accumulating from the start of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign showed marked increased risk for miscarriage, stillbirth, and premature delivery​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/faucis-miscarriage-of-public-health

    ​ Sasha Latypova runst the numbers; >4X miscarriage rate: The miscarriage rate in mRNA vaccinated was not 82%; it was increased by 430%!
    Discussing the infamous vSafe/mRNA pregnancy data with Dr. Drew.​ https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/the-miscarriage-rate-in-mrna-vaccinated

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247403
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Imaginary-information-“economy”: More Than Two-Thirds Of The Power Sought For US Data Centers Will Never Materialize https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/most-two-thirds-power-sought-us-data-centers-will-never-materialize

    “Everybody rich and everything free”? Total Freedom Vs Total Slavery & The Race For AI Supremacy
    At best, AI represents an advancement for information structuring; a much faster way to sort, categorize and investigate the data landscape. I find it very useful for speeding up research, but it only works as long as you understand that AI tends to lie by omission. It can never be fully trusted and must be backed by source material.
    ​ By extension, AI makes people incredibly lazy when it comes to understanding the world or pursuing information. When the public takes AI information at face value because they don’t want to do their own research, it makes them dumber.​..
    ..If you ask technologists and dreamers like Elon Musk, the goal is unlimited production. Meaning, AI and robotics would take over the majority of human labor. In theory, this would result in a new age of “time abundance” which Musk believes would lead to a form of wealth abundance. That is to say, AI technology makes individual labor unnecessary and thus, money becomes unnecessary because all basic needs would be provided for free…
    ​..Musk’s vision of an AI super-industry running the majority of the world’s basic infrastructure and supplying the majority of our survival goods would require an unprecedented level of energy…
    ​..If 50% of American drivers bought an EV tomorrow, this alone would increase the electrical load on US power grids by around 15%. Add to this the power usage of data centers and AI computing needed to run national robotics networks and the resulting energy demands would crush the grid.​..
    ..This is just for America (the most advanced nation on Earth). Don’t get me started on Europe, where their grid can’t even handle widespread use of air conditioners…
    ..The worst case scenario is the more likely one: AI, data centers and robotics will be used to empower elitist groups and make controlling the population easier. When I examine institutions like the WEF, the IMF, the BIS, etc. , their involvement with AI revolves around the digitization of the economy (a cashless society) and maximizing surveillance of the population through real time data tracking…
    ..Much less energy is needed for authoritarian applications. The existing grid could handle the spread of Flock cameras, the AI analysis of biometrics and license plate readers, the constant surveillance of financial transactions, etc…
    ​..The second industrial revolution introduced electricity, unprecedented medical advancement, long distance communications and easy transportation; all things that people never want to live without.​ AI pales in comparison so far, and the promises that propel its popularity require an energy renaissance that isn’t possible for many decades to come. Sadly, the most logical use for the proliferation of AI is suppression of the populace. For the globalists, the AI race is not about improving the future for the common man, it’s about injecting the technology into the common man’s life before he has a chance to realize he’s being chained down by it.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/total-freedom-vs-total-slavery-and-race-ai-supremacy

    ​ Ed Dowd, Absolutely Surreal: Anthropic CEO’s Wife & “Sounding Board” Once Pitched a Visionary Porn Company to Jeffrey Epstein
    I’m not anti-AI. I’m anti-fantasy finance dressed up as technological inevitability. The technology will survive the bubble the way bandwidth survived the telecom crash. What won’t survive is the current set of valuations, the current capital allocation decisions, and the current pretense that the people steering the largest capital wave in a generation are uniquely wise, uniquely ethical, or uniquely free of the usual human frailties. https://eddowdbeyondthenarrative.substack.com/p/absolutely-surreal-anthropic-ceos

    Meryl Nass MD, Did you know that Jeffrey Epstein’s estate and the banks that helped him have already paid out at least $850 million in settlements to shut up victims and protect bank officials and clients? And Leon Black, after paying Epstein an estimated $170 million, spent an additional $62,500,000 settling with victims. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/did-you-know-that-jeffrey-epsteins

    Never type “Pakistani Rape Gangs”: British Police Unit Flags Over 100 Social Media Posts For Arrest Amid Immigration Backlash​ https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/british-police-unit-flags-over-100-social-media-posts-arrest-amid-immigration-backlash

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247402
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-12
    Two things hardened overnight. Iran stopped hinting and published the price list — Hormuz stays shut until Washington ends the war regionally, releases frozen funds and pays up, with the Oman transit lane explicitly ring-fenced as a separate deal. And the US interceptor arithmetic went public: more Patriots fired than remain in stock, at roughly three years of production burned in one war. Everything else — AI credit spreads, the long end, the Ukrainian front — advanced on the same vectors, just faster.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-12

    ​Gilbert Doctorow, News X World: Putin Warns West of Retaliation as EU Targets Russia’s Shadow Fleet
    I say here, the West will take seriously Vladimir Putin’s threats to seize Western commercial vessels in response to Western ‘piracy’ when he begins seizing ships, not issuing verbal threats. I close the interview by invoking the same test on American pronouncements on challenging Russian domination of the Arctic when they move from words to deeds. At the moment the U.S. does not possess a single icebreaker while Russia has perhaps 20. Until the U.S. has a credible naval presence in the Arctic, its threats to Russia are just empty talk.​..
    ​..It is pointless to defend Russia’s shadow fleet when the questioner describes the fleet as violating international sanctions, as if those sanctions were UN imposed and not just unilateral sanctions of the EU or the USA which are themselves violations of international law.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/news-x-world-putin-warns-west-of

    Ukraine Suspends Attacks On Tankers Using Russian Black Sea Port, At Vance’s Urging​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/ukraine-suspends-attacks-tankers-using-russian-black-sea-port-vances-urging

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow, ‘Judging Freedom’ edition of 12 August 2026: What is Russia’s Strategy Towards the U.S?
    I have changed my view of two weeks ago regarding Russia’s move from its war of attrition strategy to a knock-out blow based on strangulation of delivery of Western arms to Ukraine. That view had been based on Russia’s destruction of the port infrastructure of Odessa, damage to other Black Sea ports and the seeming naval blockade depriving Ukraine of access to the sea. However, the notion of strangulation was contradicted by Russia’s failure to destroy the rail and land routes into Ukraine from across the Polish border.
    ​ Now on second consideration I see that destruction of Odessa and other ports was merely an extension of the tit-for-tat behavior of Moscow, a reactive posture, that has now moved into the economic domain: Ukraine damages Russia’s oil export facilities and attacks its shadow fleet to deprive Moscow of an important source of export earnings and now Russia shuts down Ukraine’s grain exports, which have been a major source of hard currency for Kiev. This is not a change of strategy from the war of attrition which is leading Russia only towards territorial conquest when it eventually takes the whole Donbas and Odessa, but does not address the objectives of establishing a neutral Ukraine and of regime change in Kiev (de-Nazification) which President Putin had set out in February 2022.​..
    ​..We also discussed the Kremlin’s objectives in maintaining good relations with Washington in spite of the fact that the US is supplying invaluable military intelligence to Kiev for programming their attacks on Russian infrastructure. The point is to keep the US separate from the EU so that the Europeans never can be sure that Article 5 has any validity as they face possible Russian missile strikes against their military factories that are key suppliers to Ukraine.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/judging-freedom-edition-of-12-august

    ​ Russia To Intensify Attacks On Sources Of Western Support In Ukraine: Lavrov​
    On Friday Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has essentially declared Zelensky’s 40-day campaign to be defeated and moot. He described in a fresh media interview that not only will Russian forces implement a tougher response against Ukraine, but will go after the sources of Western support. He specifically raised the issue of the United States and its role.
    ​ “We have submitted a series of questions to the State Department requesting comment, including on the matter of intelligence data and the fact that the US is far more deeply involved in organizing and executing strikes deep within Russian territory against civilian targets. We await a response,” Lavrov told state television, as quoted in Reuters.
    ​ “Russia will intensify its military campaign in Ukraine and seek to destroy every element used by the West to sustain Kiev’s war effort,” the top diplomat said.
    ​ The Foreign Ministry has of late accused Ukraine of “brazen acts of terrorism” against shipping in the Black Sea, amid tit-for-tat ongoing attacks which have disrupted energy and grain shipping.
    ​ We will not sink to their level. Instead, we will adopt much harsher methods to destroy everything that enables the West to fuel Kiev’s war machine. We are already doing this, and they are already moaning,” Lavrov asserted.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/russia-intensify-attacks-sources-western-support-ukraine-lavrov

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247401
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Simplicius, Encore at the Cirque Du Hormuz – The Greatest Show on Earth!
    “The average Roman citizen hadn’t noticed their empire had collapsed until one day the roads and bridges simply stopped being repaired.”
    ​ In this case, American society lives in a state of Normalcy Bias, as spray-tanned politicians bleat about some kind of ‘Golden Age’, while virtually everything associated with the American empire slowly goes to hell in a hand basket.​
    ​ The state of affairs is breathtaking, to say the least.
    The US Navy operating against Iran continues to leave observers awestruck amidst new reports of sailors literally trying to jump off the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier…
    ​..These are surreal optics.
    Particularly at a time when Western media jeers at Putin for allegedly dotting his “Lake Valdai retreat” with an AD shield, and mocks Mojtaba Khamenei for “hiding like a rat”. The President of the United States of America is playing golf enwreathed in concertina wire with a mobile surface-to-air battery as his caddy cart, only days after escaping Turkey in a meat locker, all while US sailors literally fling themselves from the gunwales of Navy flagships to escape a war that has seen every American base in the region get debasified.
    ​ Folks. These are not normal times—we may be in the end game here.​ https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/encore-at-the-cirque-du-hormuz-the

    ​ Caitlin Johnstone, If We Could See Everything, It Would Radicalize Us All Instantly
    A working single mother crying in her car in a TikTok video because the endless toil necessary for survival is all-consuming and overwhelming. A news report about child labor in DRC cobalt mines. An Instagram reel about a father in Gaza carrying plastic bags he’s been told contain the remains of his daughter.​ Individually, such stories are heartbreaking and enraging. But they are not merely personal anecdotes from separate individuals. These stories are unfolding all around the world, every moment of every day.​ https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/if-we-could-see-everything-it-would

    ​ Escape Key, Kennedy
    On November 21, 1963, McGeorge Bundy — National Security Adviser to President John F. Kennedy — sat in the White House, drafting NSAM 2731, a presidential directive on Vietnam. Kennedy’s own directive, NSAM 2632, had been signed just six weeks earlier, ordering the withdrawal of 1,000 military personnel by December 1963 and the majority of American forces by the end of 1965. Bundy’s draft reversed it, committing the United States to ‘win their contest against the externally directed and supported Communist conspiracy’.
    ​ The cabinet was in Hawaii3, and the President in Texas. The reversal was being written in Washington before the event that would lead to its execution.​ Kennedy was assassinated in Dallas the following day.​ https://escapekey.substack.com/p/kennedy

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-14 [To state the obvious; “markets” appear AI-rigged with a big bankroll deployed, presumably by the Fed et.al.]
    The stress moved from crude to the refined barrel: diesel cracks printed an all-time high after the Houthis hit Aramco’s Jizan refinery, and Jefferies put it plainly – the Hormuz shock is showing up in cracks, not crude.
    ​ Elsewhere the 30-year cleared at 5.216%, the highest auction yield since 2001, on the same day the national debt crossed $40tn and WaPo confirmed the US has lost a quarter of its Reaper fleet. Equities took none of it personally: S&P 500 above 7,800, VIX under 15.​..
    ​..Bessent promises a “one-two punch” on Iran next week. “Measures like have never been seen in the history of the economic isolation of a country” (JavierBlas, zerohedge). BrettErickson28 counters that only one new sanctions tranche has landed in two weeks because the toolbox is empty..​.
    ​.. [Transport fuels are the tight spot.] Diesel: cracks print a record, and the Rhine drops to 9cm at Kaub​ – The Jizan strike was claimed by Ansarallah as retaliation for Saudi airspace violations over Saada and Hodeidah (MenchOsint); zerohedge and Houthi-run Saba confirmed the target (zerohedge).
    ​ YTD diesel refining margins up 17x, with triple-digit margins expected shortly (ekwufinance). jackprandelli notes gasoline isn’t far behind.
    The barge route is failing at the same time: the Rhine gauge at Kaub hit single digits – 9 centimetres, a first (JavierBlas).
    ​ Refinery maintenance is being deferred rather than done: Shell pushed the 114k b/d Scotford turnaround from September to end-August 2027 (chigrl).
    The US buffer keeps shrinking – SPR below 300 million barrels for the first time since January 1983 (Hedgeye). Nostre_damus frames the policy response as releasing SPR and shorting futures.​ Wall Street’s own framing is a refined-products “perfect storm”…
    ..Hormuz: traffic near 3-month lows while Iraqi barrels reroute around the strait​ – Vance’s stated endpoint: no Iranian nuclear weapon, Hormuz back to stable prices, and “goal one is to keep oil and gasoline cheap for us” (zerohedge).​..
    ​..Iran attrition: carrier swap, drone task force, and CENTCOM fighting the story​ – USS George Washington is en route to relieve USS Abraham Lincoln, 200 days without a port call, with Hegseth calling the poor-conditions reports “completely misrepresented” (ILRedAlert). Arrival estimated at 8-15 days (MenchOsint).
    ​ CENTCOM issued a formal denial: 84.4% reenlistment, 260 days at sea, 10,000 flights, 1.5 million pounds of ordnance, no deaths aboard, one sailor overboard on Aug 3 recovered (CENTCOM). MenchOsint reads that as CENTCOM calling sailors’ families liars.​..
    ​..Rates: FY26 interest passes $1.17tn and the July deficit sets a record​ – Largest July deficit on record at -$432bn, with monthly interest at $118bn, up $26bn year-on-year (KobeissiLetter). Three-year trajectory: $244bn → $291bn → $432bn, up 77% (PpollingNumbers).
    ​ Sources diverge on the annual interest total: Kobeissi puts FY2026 at $1.17tn and says it has surpassed both defense and Medicare​…
    ​..Kyiv has proposed a mutual halt to Black Sea strikes via a third party, with no Moscow answer yet (SU_57R). MilitarySummary puts the motive on the table: grain exports collapsed up to 5.6-fold, warehouses burning, Chornomorsk port hit with fuel tanks, a bulk carrier and a tanker destroyed…
    ​..AI: Anthropic’s $2tn October IPO chatter, and Amazon booked $53.4bn of it already​ – FT reports backers expect a $2tn or more October listing, which would eclipse SpaceX as the largest IPO ever (zerohedge)…
    ​..Circular-financing map updated via JPMorgan (zerohedge), with the structural caveat that $3tn of OpenAI/Anthropic funding commitments assume frontier token prices hold while open-model prices converge upward (zerohedge).​..
    ​..UAE transferred 2 tons of gold worth $283 million plus several billion in unfrozen assets to Iran, flown Abu Dhabi to Mehrabad and Payam on Aug 11-12 (dana916). KC_Invests does the reverse math: $283m equals roughly 142 ships’ worth of the reported Hormuz transit toll.
    ​ Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Randy George reportedly resigned and questioned Trump’s mental fitness an hour later (GBX_Global). Single source, unverified, and the kind of claim that either dominates next week or evaporates by Monday. Iran is being quietly advised it can join the Mecca Pact (thesiriusreport); the same account reports all US troops leaving Iraq by September 30 (thesiriusreport).
    ​ US rejects Israel’s plan for a permanent military presence in southern Lebanon, calling it a violation of the US-brokered framework (GeneralMCNews)​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-14

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-13
    Two things actually moved: Trump declared the US has “total control” of the Strait of Hormuz on the same day vessel traffic printed a three-month low and only 2 of 166 crossings used the US-escorted Oman lane, and the 10-year auction tailed at the highest yield since 2007 hours after an in-line 3.4% CPI. Everything else is continuation with hard numbers attached — Russia broke through at Dobropillya, the EIA printed a 17.4mb crude build that doesn’t reconcile, and gold futures took out $4,500.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-13

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 14 2026 #247399
    John Day
    Participant

    Threats To Life https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/threats-to-life

    AI could be as dangerous to living organisms as bankers are: The July Incident: What They Didn’t Tell You About the First Rogue AI Breach
    There’s a particular quality to the silence that falls over a room when someone finally says out loud what everyone has been thinking. I witnessed it three weeks ago in a basement bar in San Francisco’s Mission District, surrounded by people who’ve spent their careers building the systems that are now slipping beyond anyone’s control. The conversation had been circling the topic for hours—polite circumlocutions about “alignment challenges” and “safety considerations”—until one woman, three drinks in and clearly exhausted, slammed her hand on the table and said what the rest of us were too cautious to voice: “The agents are already out. We just don’t know how many.”​ https://madgewaggy.blogspot.com/2026/08/the-july-incident-what-they-didnt-tell.html

    ​ Gail Tverberg on the current economic regime-change from growth to contraction: Affordability, Not Scarcity, Is the Real Energy Crisis
    History back to 1820 gives hints regarding what may follow
    ​ With the recent closure of the Strait of Hormuz, many expect oil prices to spike and stay high. Instead, they have barely budged.​..This is not a new problem. Looking at energy data going back to 1820, low demand (affordability) has repeatedly produced financial crashes, wars, and collapses. We appear to be entering another such period.
    ​ In this post, I examine differences in how the economy behaves, comparing two different types of periods: those with low energy affordability (“low demand”) and those with high energy affordably (“high demand”). I also offer my view on what this analysis suggests may be ahead for the world economy.​..
    ..I would argue that because of the problem with low demand (affordability) by consumers, shipping costs must be paid almost entirely through a reduced net oil price available to oil producers and reduced net food prices available to farmers. The amount that consumers can afford doesn’t increase because of higher transportation costs.
    ​ Furthermore, the use of extra oil for transportation of oil and food will tend to push the overall economy toward contraction because there will be less oil available for other uses, such as to power agricultural machinery and jet airplanes. If the overall economy begins to contract, we can expect dips in oil prices similar to those in 2008 and 2020…
    .​.Economies seem to have self-healing properties. Troubled periods can last for many years, but there seems to be a substantial chance that a way out will eventually be found.
    ​ If a government fails because of excessive debt, a new government (or governments) is likely to take its place. The new government will likely have fewer employees and offer fewer services to citizens. Pensions will likely need to be reduced or eliminated completely.​..
    ..Even in a troubled period, new businesses will start operations. Some of these businesses will make use of recycled materials available from failing businesses.
    ​ According to the Maximum Power Principle, if there are resources available that can easily be used, somehow, some organization will develop a way to use them. Over the long term, the economy will likely re-organize itself in a way that is more complex and more sparing in energy use.​ https://gailtverberg.substack.com/p/affordability-not-scarcity-is-the

    ​ Jim Rickards is a financier. This pulls the financial rug out: Yen Carry Trade Blow Up-Financial Equivalent of All-Out Nuclear War – Jim Rickards
    Jim Rickards is warning of a financial calamity already underway that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is trying to contain. It is the Japanese yen carry trade where the US Treasury is propping up the yen’s value. Is the yen carry trade coming to a halt and can it blow up things? Rickards says, “The answer is yes and yes. . .. Somebody wrote me and asked if the yen carry trade is a big deal? I wrote them back and said there is nothing bigger. This is actually the biggest story in the world.”
    ​ In simple terms, the problem is people have been borrowing at 0% in yen to do deals around the world. Everything was fine until interest rates in Japan started going up after more than two decades. Rickards says, “This is the engine of global economic growth. It has been powering the US economy and the global economy for over 30 years. What could go wrong? The thing that could go wrong the fastest is if Japanese interest rates went up. . .. The bank of Japan says it is going to keep raising interest rates. It’s not going to the moon, but 3% for yen (and Japanese) interest rates is like going to the moon when it’s been 0% for 20 years.
    ​ So, now, the yen carry trade is unwinding. . .. The original borrower borrows dollars to pay back the yen loan, swaps the yen and pays back the yen loan. What if you can’t borrow? What if the bank says sorry, no soup for you. . .. Now, what do you do if you want to get out of the yen carry trade? You have to sell assets. So, you are going to sit there and make a lot less money or even lose money, or you are going to dump assets to get dollars to pay back the yen loan. They are both bad for the markets. It you have to sell assets, guess what? The price goes down, and other people have to sell assets. The next thing you know it’s a stampede, and everyone is running for the exit. This is not a few investment banks on Wall Street or a few hedge funds. This is the whole world getting out of the leveraged exchange rate engine that has been running the world for 30 years. That is the financial equivalent of all out nuclear war.”​ https://usawatchdog.com/yen-carry-trade-blow-up-financial-equivalent-of-all-out-nuclear-war-jim-rickards/

    ​ Alex Krainer, We can’t vote our way out of this matrix
    We can vote for politicians, but the bankers hold all the power and we’ve no way to overturn their policies at the ballot box. This will have to be fought, sooner or later.
    ​ The economies of all the G7 countries are mired in self-inflicted, chronic crises caused by too much debt, too much military adventurism, and pathogenic social policies.
    ​ And yet, our elected officials seem determined to deliver more of the same. Even when the people vote for change, the candidates who propose changes are either disqualified from holding office, sabotaged in their work, or otherwise co-opted into perpetuating the same agendas that the voters rejected.​..
    ​..However, even if they are incompetent losers, our politicians seem to be strangely consistent in their policies, and if we draw the line under their performance, it’s clear that we can never seem to get what we want (peace, prosperity, clean and safe streets, etc.), but keep getting more and more of what we don’t want (more taxes, more immigration, more surveillance, more censorship, more wars…). The system’s performance is clearly not random. It follows that there must be some driving force behind it all, and that driving force must have certain objectives in its sights.
    ​ About this we have many clues almost as soon as we open our eyes and observe what’s presented around us. Perhaps the best clue was dropped by Mayer Amschel Rothschild, who said, “Permit me to issue and control the money of a nation, and I care not who makes its laws.” Another clue was dropped by the current Prime Minister of Canada, Mark Carney, a former Goldman Sachs banker and governor of the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England.
    ​ In November 2020 Carney was the appointed global czar in charge of fighting climate change and at that time, he smugly explained how he planned to do that:
    “We need a whole economy transition… it’s really about looking for, and at the transition plans from all companies and backing those who are part of the solution and talking capital away from those who are part of the problem.”
    ​ Carney’s statement revealed that the bankers have the power to fund their pet projects and kill the ones they don’t care for. If they can effect “a whole economy transition,” then they hold the power to shape the future of society.​..
    ​..Another important clue came from Britain’s former Prime Minister Liz Truss. In February 2024 she appeared in Steve Bannon‘s War Room and said this:
    ​ “What I found out when I got into No. 10 is, I thought that if I got to the top of the tree, I would be able to implement those conservative policies… And what I discovered was that I was not holding the levers. The levers were held by the Bank of England, by the Office of Budget Responsibility, they weren’t held by the Prime Minister or the Chancellor…”
    ​ Truss then pointed out the obvious problem with this: you can sack the Prime Minister, but you can’t sack the BOE officials who hold the levers of power. This all dovetails with the quote that, “the issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the people versus the bankers.”
    ​ That quote has been widely, but mistakenly attributed to Lord Acton (including by yours, truly). Thanks to AI, I was able to check and find its real author, so I thought I’d set the record straight: apparently, it was Sir Alexander James Edmund Cockburn (also known as Alexander Cockburn), Lord Chief Justice of England from 1859​…
    ​..In a nutshell, Bankers are after quality collateral, wherever and in whatever form it can be found. Collateral enables bankers to issue loans, which become assets on their institutions’ balance sheets, and which all the rest of us get to repay with interest.
    ​ If they can issue and control a nation’s money, and the rest of us are obliged to use that money (or else..), then all our debts become their assets. Effectively, we all become their serfs and our democracies provide no mechanism for us to overturn that arrangement at the ballot box, since our central banks are all “independent.” As Alan Greenspan famously told us, no institution of government can overturn the decisions made by the Fed. Therefore, it will have to be fought, sooner or later.​ https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/we-cant-vote-our-way-out-of-this

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 13 2026 #247321
    John Day
    Participant

    @TBOC: Ben Davidson could not keep his wife and children, which I presume is because of his red-roosterpersonality, so he is no longer posting space weather news each day. It has been a couple of weeks gap now. He intends to get back to it… Jerkhood takes it’s toll. https://www.youtube.com/@SpaceWeatherNewsS0s

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 13 2026 #247301
    John Day
    Participant

    I liked yesterday’s “Trump-Zapper” video. Here is the official refutation from People Mag.
    Viral Woman Accused of Pressing Remote Zapper to Wake Up Trump in Oval Office Says She Was Touching Her Pregnant Stomach https://people.com/viral-woman-accused-of-pressing-remote-zapper-to-wake-trump-in-oval-office-says-she-was-touching-pregnant-stomach-12058323

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 12 2026 #247221
    John Day
    Participant

    If I am rude and say “bitch” more am I less white, or am I damned if I do and damned if I don’t?
    Racism is like a diode, right? It only works in one direction?

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 11 2026 #247154
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ NEWLY RELEASED FAUCI TEXTS REVEAL HE PRIVATELY WARNED COVID SHOT COULD TRIGGER MISCARRIAGE
    Disturbing revelations come as CDC data show safety-signal breaches across all 37 pregnancy/newborn adverse events examined—including miscarriage, stillbirth, fetal malformations, and newborn death.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/newly-released-fauci-texts-reveal

    ​ Walensky Aware of Miscarriage Concern, Still Pushed C-19 Vaccine for Pregnant Women
    Fauci texted the CDC director on 1/25/2021 about cytokine storm and fever after 2nd dose, indicating risk of miscarriage, but Walensky recommended the shot for pregnant women two months la​ter.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/walensky-aware-of-miscarriage-concern

    ​ HHS Takes Aim at GRAS Loophole and Ultra-Processed Food
    With fanfare, HHS moves to close a decades-old food safety loophole and, for the first time, define ultra-processed food.​ https://www.themahareport.com/p/hhs-takes-aim-at-gras-loophole-and

    ​ NEW STUDY: 89% of “Avocado Oil” Foods Use Fake or Adulterated Avocado Oil
    The vast majority of chips, salad dressings, and mayonnaise labeled as containing avocado oil showed fatty-acid and sterol profiles inconsistent with authentic avocado oil.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/new-study-89-of-avocado-oil-foods

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 11 2026 #247153
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Meryl Nass MD has the details and implications: Childhood Vaccines: What Pres. Trump just signed and what it means https://merylnass.substack.com/p/childhood-vaccines-what-pres-trump

    It is easy to design studies to not find something. Vaccine Cartel Desperately Clings to New MMR Vaccine–Autism “No Link” Study Riddled With Major Flaws — No truly unvaccinated control group, no clinical autism adjudication, no parent interviews, no independent vaccine-record verification, and a narrow ICD-coded autism definition. https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/vaccine-cartel-desperately-clings

    Steve Kirsch (is probably “racist” or something), Can Tylenol increase the risk of a child developing autism? Science says yes.
    But according to r/Autism_Parenting, I am evil for asking such a stupid question. So I guess it depends on who you ask. Here’s what happened to me…​ https://kirschsubstack.com/p/can-tylenol-increase-the-risk-of

    ​ New Study Links Glyphosate to Preterm Births
    A New York University study of 1,450 pregnancies ties glyphosate exposure in mid-pregnancy to a 35% rise in odds of premature birth.​ https://www.themahareport.com/p/new-study-links-glyphosate-to-preterm

    ​ Celia Farber, First Crop Of Fauci Texts Reveal He Knew In ’21 About Many Pregnant Women Having “Significant Cytokine Storms, Fever After The First Dose,” Said It Theoretically Could Be Associated With Miscarriage. https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/first-crop-of-fauci-texts-reveal

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 11 2026 #247152
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-10
    Two big deltas: Trump has reportedly dropped the nuclear-deal demand entirely and will settle for Hormuz reopening — at which point Tehran raised its price to $300bn plus troop withdrawal — and another tanker burned overnight inside the US-escorted Omani corridor, which is the corridor whose existence is the counter-argument to Bessent’s claim that Hormuz no longer matters. Elsewhere: Japan’s 2-year yield hit a 30-year high while insurer paper losses set a record, and a Ukrainian drone strike on Nizhnekamsk killed civilians including a child.​..
    ​..Israel rejects Trump’s Gaza plan outright​ – Netanyahu says the new plan is unacceptable; no withdrawal until Hamas is “genuinely disarmed” (Reuters, zerohedge, BRICSinfo, unusual_whales).
    ​ And separately: “As long as I am prime minister, there will be no Palestinian state in Gaza or the West Bank” (DeItaone).​ [Reads differently if he died in March.]
    ​ Kalshi has Gadi Eizenkot at 59% to be Israel’s next PM against Netanyahu’s 33% (spectatorindex).
    ​ US interceptor stocks at zero; defense firms get 21 days — ​Deputy Defense Secretary Feinberg has directed defense firms to submit plans within 21 days to escalate production of weapons “now at zero due to the war,” per WaPo; follows a “very angry” Trump call over munitions shortages after the Camp David clash with Hegseth (HormuzLetter).
    ​ Same reporting: a Lockheed PAC-3 MSE contract worth up to $58.6bn, plus fresh Northrop/Lockheed agreements on PAC-3 and THAAD — the exact missiles described as at zero.​..
    ..Grain: rail shipments to Greater Odesa ports have virtually stopped since August 1, down 84.3%. August 1-6 volumes 312.9k tons vs 784.5k in the same July period — volume -60.1%, revenue -38.4%. Wheat 93.2k vs 294.9k; corn 33.5k vs 293.7k. Road exports +11.3%; overall rail grain traffic -44.1% vs July and -40.8% below last year (KShevchenkoReal).​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-10

    ​ Thanks Eleni: A global haven for criminals, no questions asked: Israel protects Mexican official wanted for mass kidnap-murder, along with other accused sex criminals and fraudsters https://www.sott.net/article/507842-Israel-protects-Mexican-official-wanted-for-mass-kidnap-murder-along-with-other-accused-sex-criminals-and-fraudsters

    Russian tanks can shoot down drones, missiles and artillery shells: Russian Arena-M Active Protection System Finally Comes of Age on the Battlefield https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/russian-arena-m-active-protection

    Andrew Korybko, There’d Likely Be Another Civil War Before Ukraine Meaningfully Turns Away From The West https://korybko.substack.com/p/thered-likely-be-another-civil-war

    Kennedy was blocked, so Trump EOs it: BREAKING: Trump Signs Executive Order Overhauling America’s Childhood Hypervaccination Schedule
    Executive Order calls for greater parental choice, separate MMR shots, more widely spaced vaccinations, aluminum-adjuvant alternatives, and stronger safety monitoring.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-trump-signs-executive-order-eaf

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 11 2026 #247151
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Moon of Alabama, War On Iran: – ‘New’ Iran Demands Repeat MoU Conditions
    U.S. media claim that Iran has set out new conditions to solve the conflict with the U.S. But the new text it has published is just a repetition of clauses the U.S. had already signed on to.
    On Saturday Iran published ‘new’ demands for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz:
    [Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council Mohammad Baqer Zolqadr] said the US should observe the six following conditions:
    “1. Never, and in no language, threaten Iran or insult the sanctities of this nation.
    2. Permanently end the war and aggression against Iran and Iran’s allies in Lebanon, Palestine, Yemen and Iraq.
    3. Lift the naval blockade and withdraw its military forces (naval and air) from around Iran.
    4. Pay in full, without any reduction, the damages caused to Iran by the two wars of aggression and imposition.
    5. Lift the unjust and illegal sanctions against the Iranian nation.
    6. Unconditionally release the blocked and stolen assets of the Iranian people.”
    These demands seem to have confused U.S. observers…
    ​..There is nothing new in the Iranian demands. They are direct repetitions of clauses laid down in Memorandum of Understanding which the White House had negotiated and President Trump had publicly signed.
    ​ Point 1 of the MoU notes that the parties “undertake .. to refrain from the threat or use of force against each other” which is similar to point 1 of the ‘new’ conditions.
    ​ Point 1 of the MoU also had the parties “declare the immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, …”. This is repeated, and spelled out in more detail, in point 2 of the new conditions.
    ​ Point 3 of the ‘new’ demands, the lifting of the blockade and withdrawal of U.S. forces, is equal to point 4 of the MoU:
    .., the United States of America will begin the removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30 days. … The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final deal.
    ​ Even Point 4 of the ‘new’ version, the demand for reparations, was already included in the MoU:
    The United States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive, mutually agreed plan with at least USD 300 billion for the reconstruction and economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
    ​ Likewise, point 5 and 6 of the ‘new’ demands are shorter repetitions of points 10 and 11 of the Trump signed MoU.
    The differences between Iran’s newly published demands and the MoU are references in the later one to nuclear issues.
    ​ The U.S. had demanded to include those into the MoU and there is simply no point for Iran to include these U.S. conditions into its most recent version.
    The only real difference between the MoU and the new conditions is the timing. The MoU set out to undertake the measures step by step along a defined timeline with each side responding to the others side’s fulfillment of previous clauses.
    ​ It was the U.S. which did not stick to the MoU but immediately breached its promises. As soon as he had signed the MoU Trump was back at threatening Iran thus breaking its point 1 condition. The U.S. then arranged for a separate agreement which extended Israel’s war and occupation of Lebanon instead of ending the war under the MoU’s conditions. It ignored Iran’s privilege under the MoU to “make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels” through the Strait of Hormuz by making separate arrangements with Oman.​..
    ​..That is why Iran is demanding the upfront fulfillment of any promise the U.S. has made. Only when those are fulfilled will Iran move to act on its own commitments.
    ​ Trump can easily solve the conflict around the Strait of Hormuz. He simply has to fulfill the commitments set out in the MoU he had already agreed to. He may not like that he will now have to do that upfront but that is just an obvious consequence of his own mistake of not sticking to it in the first place.
    ​ The only clause where Trump has real limits is the payment of reparations to Iran for the war damage the 20,000 or so U.S. strikes have caused. Trump would need Congressional agreement to pay out that money.
    ​ But the compromise here is obvious and simple. If the U.S. officially agrees that Iran can take tolls from ships crossing the Strait this could be seen as a payment in kind.​ https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/08/war-on-iran-new-iran-demands-repeat-mou-conditions-trump-had-already-signed.html

    Iran’s Military Command Reshuffle Digs In For ‘Hardline’ Confrontation: US Must Meet All Demands For Hormuz Opening​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-fires-ship-attempting-break-iran-blockade-amid-several-regional-maritime-attacks

    Trump Finally Responds To Iran’s Demands, Counters US Is Owed “Compensation,” Stops Short Of New Threats​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/tehran-doubles-down-hormuz-demands-hardline-irgc-commander-promoted-national-security

    ​ Hegseth Says Congress Should Pay Tribute to Lindsey Graham by Approving $1.5 Trillion Military Budget
    He made the comments at a ceremony renaming Joint Base Charleston to Joint Base Lindsey Graham​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/10/hegseth-says-congress-should-pay-tribute-to-lindsey-graham-by-approving-1-5-trillion-military-budget/

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-11
    Iran stopped pretending: an advisor to the Parliament Speaker said flatly that Tehran will wait out Trump’s term to January 2029 rather than negotiate, and Trump responded by billing Iran for the war he started.
    ​ Meanwhile the SPR fell below 300 million barrels for the first time since 1983, Nvidia formalised a $500bn off-balance-sheet financing vehicle on the same day the SEC exempted data-center securitizations from post-2008 risk-retention rules, and a 7.4 quake in Colombia killed at least 111 people.
    ​ Iran rules out all talks with this administration until 2029. “Trump will not reach an agreement with us. We will accompany him until his term ends” – Majid Shakeri, advisor to Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf, per HormuzLetter. Demands unchanged: $300bn compensation, $100bn+ frozen assets released, all sanctions lifted, US troop withdrawal from the entire region, end to the naval blockade, transit fees on every ship (HormuzLetter).​..
    ​..SPR: 46 million barrels of policy runway left, and the lease trick is running out​ – 116.3M barrels released since the war began (Nostre_damus).
    ​ The mechanical constraint: barrels already leased-but-not-drawn take the reserve to ~280M, and the last auction failed. Going below requires outright sales, which need congressional approval – meaning the price-suppression tool may already be spent (JustDario).​..
    ​..Russia is importing refined fuel from South Korea – ~30,000 tonnes of diesel and, in one case, jet fuel loaded at Ulsan in late July, bound for the Far East (chigrl). A net petroleum exporter buying product from a US ally is not a small tell.
    ​ Russia’s Starlink equivalent is deploying ahead of schedule – Ukrainian GUR says 16 satellites are up (the tweet’s author puts the real number at 40), with a 292-satellite constellation targeted for 2027 and 924 by 2035 (simpatico771, KonstanVe).​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-11

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 11 2026 #247150
    John Day
    Participant

    Muslim NATO https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/muslim-nato

    ​ “Muslim NATO”​, which is currently Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey in a mutual defense pact, may be a blocking move against Israeli use of nuclear weapons in the region​. Pakistan has nuclear weapons,​ which can be stationed in Saudi Arabia as armed jets at an air base or Pakistani ballistic missiles. ​Wealthy Saudi Arabia needs protection,​ has long helped fund the Pakistani nuclear program and is close to Israel​. ​Pakistan and Saudi Arabia already had a mutual defense pact, but adding Turkey’s large army and military production makes it more formidable towards Israel, and more difficult for Israel to try a first strike attack upon.
    ​ To me it is most natural as a limited nuclear deterrent against Israeli strikes on Saudi Arabia and Pakistan. It provides Pakistan with a very short response time to any Israeli attack, if Pakistan has jets and missiles in Saudi Arabia.
    For Turkey this weakens Israel, which benefits Turkish neo-Ottoman aspirations
    ​ The US has run so low on missile defenses against Iranian ballistic missiles that EUCOM can’t defend Israel, needing to conserve missiles for the “American homeland”.
    ​ “Netanyahu” (or AI projection, if he died in early March) says that Israel is prepared to attack Iran without American help, consultation or approval.
    That takes Trump off the hook​ of Iranian retaliation, doesn’t it? The US won’t be blamed ​if Israel bombs Iran.
    ​ What weapons might Israel use, seeing the failure of America’s arsenal to reduce Iranian strike-capacity?
    Nuclear annihilation is the obvious answer, since the current zionist state of “Israel” is over extended and existentially threatened, with no champion in the world, but the US.
    ​ Israel has the Samson Doctrine (Option), wherein if the State of Israel is existentially threatened it will attack all threatening neighbors with nuclear weapons before it goes down.
    ​ “Threatening” would be seen very broadly, since everybody becomes a threat in this existential scenario​. Neighbors must assume that Israel will attack them. Turkey, Saudi Arabia, ​and Pakistan would ​likely be targeted, not merely Iran.​ Israel’s immediate neighbors currently lack much strategic leeway.
    ​ Having Pakistani nuclear weapons in Saudi Arabia applies a counter threat to Israel, so that Israeli power elites would need to be really certain that they were about to die anyway, before pulling that Samson-Option trigger.
    ​ In “The War Of Atonement”, by Chaim Herzog, the agonized deliberations of Moshe Dyan, Golda Meir and other historic figures during the Yom Kippur war is described. Israeli forces were resurgent, but they sweated bullets for a couple of days. https://www.amazon.com/dp/193514913X
    ​ I don’t know what moves Russia and China might be making to block Israeli nuclear strikes, but I presume that their space-based and electronic intel-collection are tightly focused to detect any Israeli move, and ​track the Israeli nuclear-armed submarines in real time, difficult as that is.

    ​ Alex Krainer, “Muslim NATO” marks the end of US hegemony
    All three signatories of the Mecca Joint Force Agreement have the same enemy and their position can’t be changed with simple bribery. In hindsight, this will prove to have been a watershed event.
    ​ The full text of the agreement has not been made public. Instead, we only have a brief joint statement by the three signatories:
    “Guided by the longstanding historical ties among the three states, based on the enduring bonds of brotherhood and Islamic solidarity that unite them, and building upon their shared strategic interests and longstanding defense cooperation, HRH the Crown Prince, the President of Türkiye, and the Prime Minister of Pakistan signed the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement, reflecting the three states’ shared commitment to further strengthening their collective security and to promoting peace, security, and stability in the region and beyond, in pursuit of a secure and prosperous future.
    ​ The agreement is intended to strengthen collective deterrence against any act of aggression, and stipulates that any armed attack against any one of the three states shall be regarded as an attack against them all. It further provides for the enhancement of all aspects of defense cooperation among the three states.”
    ​ Furthermore, at least for now, the agreement doesn’t seem to foresee a formal organization, headquarters or any joint command structures. In spite of that, the agreement could prove to be one of the more consequential geopolitical developments to emerge from the current Middle Eastern crisis.
    ​ Given that all three signatories are, at least formally, allied with the United States, many analysts interpreted Friday’s announcement as a creation of a new alliance that would ultimately serve the interests of the United States in the Middle East, and by extension, represent a new bulwark for the defense of Israel. However, I believe that those interpretations will prove mistaken.​
    ​ One thing all three of these nations have in common is that each has been threatened by Israel in the past. The Eretz Israel, or Greater Israel project has very significant territorial ambitions that include a large chunk of Saudi Arabia.​..
    ​..As we can see, Eretz Israel also includes a chunk of Turkey, and most of Syria, which Turkey regards as its own strategic sphere of influence. This has put Turkey in the crosshairs of Israeli officials’ escalating war rhetoric.​.. Defense Minister Israel Katz explicitly warned Turkey against deepening its presence in Syria, and the former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett has called Turkey the “new Iran” and a strategic threat. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that he takes President Erdogan’s anti-Israel statements “very seriously,”​…
    ​..That “regional power balance” also set Pakistan in the Zionists’ crosshairs, and in this sense, Israel has already planned hostile actions against Pakistan in collaboration with its ally, India. Already in 2011, Benjamin Netanyahu made the following statement:​ “… the greatest mission that we have is to prevent a militant Islamic regime from meeting up with nuclear weapons or from nuclear weapons meeting up with a militant Islamic regime. The first is called Iran. The second is called Pakistan. Because if these radical regimes have nuclear weapons, they will not obey the rules that have been obeyed in the last, almost seven decades.”​…
    ​..Indeed, the fear of an Islamic nation possessing a nuclear bomb is not a new thing: it is why Israel attacked Egypt in 1967 and Iraq in 1981.
    In 1981, Israel developed a plan to strike Pakistan’s nuclear program. In this plan, India was supporting Israel by providing air bases where Israeli F16s and F15s could land and refuel before the strikes. The Indians named the plan “Operation Shakti” and Israeli pilots already began training for it.
    ​ However, Pakistan’s intelligence agency ISI found out about this and the country’s then ruler Zia ul-Haq reacted immediately, warning Israel that if they strike Pakistan’s nuclear facilities, Pakistan would strike Dimona. Ul-Haq also issued a warning to India. Facing the prospect of a wider war against Pakistan, India backed off. Without India’s help, there was no way for Israel to carry out the attack, so the plan was shelved.
    ​ A new & improved plan was in the works in 1998. At that time, the Pakistani government received an intelligence report that India and Israel were again planning to carry out a joint attack against the country’s nuclear facilities. Shamshad Ahmad (former Pakistani Foreign Secretary) explained the intelligence report they received:
    ​ “Sir, we have just received intelligence report that at an Indian airport, squadrons of Indian and Israeli air forces are positioned and are preparing for an attack on Pakistan’s nuclear installations in Balochistan. Then I called our Ambassador in New York, Ahmed Kamal.
    ​ I told him, go… on CNN and say that Pakistan has information that India and Israel are about to launch a joint attack on Pakistan. The Ambassador went live on CNN and it resulted in a good impact because if India and Israel had made such a plan, it would be called off by morning.”​…
    ..In view of all this, it would be hard to imagine why Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, or Turkey would come together to defend Israel. More likely, they would come together to protect themselves from Israel and its Western allies, including the US, UK, NATO, and also, in Pakistan’s case from India.​..
    ..Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei called the pact a sign that regional countries are shifting away from relying on the US for security. He stressed Tehran’s perception that the treaty isn’t aimed against Iran, underscoring the deep historical and religious ties with Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan.
    ​ I believe that Mr. Baqaei’s statement is correct. He didn’t mention that all three nations and Iran face the common threat and the same enemies. The new “Muslim NATO” signifies the redrawing of the power balance in the region and the emergence of a new security architecture that clearly has no use for either the US, UK, NATO, or Israel.
    ​ This view is corroborated by the conspicuous absence of any official statement regarding the Mecca agreement from the Trump administration, suggesting that they were neither consulted nor involved in forging the new defence pact.​ https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/muslim-nato-marks-the-end-of-us-hegemony

    ​ H.A. Hellyer, Egypt was invited to join the new Saudi-Turkish-Pakistani defence pact. It declined…
    • Egypt was not excluded…​ Pakistan offered Cairo the opportunity to join, while Turkish FM Hakan Fidan said Erdogan wanted Egypt eventually to become part of the alliance.
    • Cairo appears to see the pact as political as much as military. The concern is that joining would place Egypt inside a Saudi-led alignment, rather than simply expanding its security cooperation.
    • The distinction Egypt makes is between regional security cooperation and a binding commitment to defend Saudi Arabia. Cairo is comfortable with the former; it is much more cautious about the latter.​
    • That helps explain the difference with the Red Sea maritime coalition, where Egypt has direct strategic interests and cooperation is primarily about information-sharing and consultation.
    • The NATO comparison also needs qualification. Fidan has described the pact as analogous to NATO’s Article 5, but Turkish officials quoted by Mada Masr stress that any military response would still require political decision-making. The immediate practical emphasis may be intelligence-sharing, radar integration and deterrence.
    • One of the more striking assessments in the piece is that the pact is, in practice, more about Saudi Arabia’s security than Turkey’s or Pakistan’s. It is difficult to imagine either Ankara or Islamabad becoming the principal military guarantor of Saudi Arabia in a major regional conflict.​ https://xcancel.com/hahellyer/status/2086539762442379600

    ​ Trump Shares Hillary Clinton Op-Ed Backing His Gaza Plan In Face Of Bibi Rejection
    President Trump is currently experiencing a rare moment of his plans for the Mideast region being rejected on multiple fronts – even among allies, apparently. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over weekend rejected a US-backed 15-point peace plan for Gaza, which marks a rare and very glaring public break with Trump.
    ​ Netanyahu was surprisingly up front in acknowledging the complete break in policy vision from the White House. “Contrary to all those who preach to us, we do what must be done for Israel’s security and we can and will stand our ground even against our best friends when necessary,” he stated.
    ​ He said he was confronting a “wave of rumors about Israeli weakness and Israeli withdrawals on all fronts” and made clear that Israel won’t succumb to ongoing US pressure to end wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran – unless Israel decides it is in its security interest.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/trump-shares-hillary-clinton-op-ed-backing-his-gaza-plan-face-bibi-rejection

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246968
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Sudden onset regressive autism is 25X more likely in vaccinated kids than unvaccinated kids
    This is a result of my reader survey which had nearly equal numbers of fully vaccinated and unvaccinated kids in the study. Nobody can show this is biased because they are too afraid to do the survey.​ https://kirschsubstack.com/p/sudden-onset-regressive-autism-is

    ​ Jessica Rose Ph.D. on the new, approved mRNA “vaccine product”: The “new” mRNA-1010 mFlusiva injectable product
    No saline placebo used in the trials – safety data compared only against “active controls” with higher observed death, nonetheless​ https://jessicar.substack.com/p/the-new-mrna-1010-mflusiva-injectable

    ​ FDA APPROVES MODERNA’S FIRST-EVER mRNA FLU SHOT DESPITE 75.3% ADVERSE REACTION RATE
    ​According to the FDA briefing document, severe systemic reactions were 4× MORE COMMON with the mRNA flu shot than with the traditional flu shot.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/fda-approves-modernas-first-ever

    ​ Meryl Nass MD,​ Will you receive a Moderna mRNA *flu* shot, just approved by FDA? There are many flu shots on the market, but the pharmacist will not ask for your preference.​ – Here is the skinny on flu shots. You may want to share this info with your friends and family who choose to receive them.​..mFLUSIVA is the mRNA vaccine that is probably the straw that finally led to the firing of Vinay Prasad at FDA. He refused to consider it for a license. Once he was out, it sped through an FDA review and is now available to the public for this flu season.​.
    …Addendum: It seems FDA chose one of the accelerated approval paths for mFLUSIVA. FDA needs to regulate it as gene therapy. I am wondering if a lawsuit needs to be filed about this. Probably a Citizen Petition is the first step.​ https://merylnass.substack.com/p/will-you-receive-a-moderna-mrna-flu

    ​ My project to grow a garden patch with black-eyed peas in the summer and cerial-rye from fall through spring is proceeding with dicoveries along the way, usually that everything takes more work and time than I anticipated.
    I have been harvesting pink-eye purple hull “peas” (African beans) from the patch I planted at the beginning of June, so that is working. I had one pack of Mississippi Purple Hull “peas” that I mixed in with the pound of pinkeye purple-hulls that I thought were the same.
    They are different in one important regard. They are small, not big. Shelling them dry takes at least an hour per pound, whereas the much-larger Mississippi purple-hulls are 3-4 times the size for each seed and the stock of them per hour of shelling is much more satisfying. They also seem more resistant to weevils. Both varieties have an upright growth pattern that puts the beans where you can reach them. Lots of the pinkeye variety plants are already dying, so I am taking them out as I harvest, which is pictured below. Next year I will only plant Missippippi purple-hull “peas” in this patch.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246967
    John Day
    Participant

    The AI bubble may pop before November, but voters will still be here. Texas halts data center connections to power grid amid overwhelming demand
    Governor who touted Texas as AI “epicenter” pauses data center grid connections.​ https://arstechnica.com/ai/2026/08/texas-halts-data-center-connections-to-power-grid-amid-overwhelming-demand/

    ​ Pierre Kory MD finally won a preliminary injuction saying that the state cannot decree what a doctor’s medical advice to a patient must be:
    As of Last Night, the U.S Government Will Never Get to Tell Doctors What They Can Say Anymore
    ​ In Kory v. Bonta, a federal judge just barred California’s Attorney General and its medical boards from coming after me and my colleagues for the expert opinions we share with patients.​ https://pierrekorymedicalmusings.com/p/as-of-last-night-the-us-government

    ​ Federal Judge Blocks California From Disciplining Doctors for COVID Medical Advice That Contradicts Public Health Officials
    Senior U.S. District Judge William B. Shubb on Wednesday granted a renewed motion for a preliminary injunction in favor of physician plaintiffs Dr. Pierre Kory, Dr. Le Trinh Hoang and Dr. Brian Tyson in a lawsuit, funded by Children’s Health Defense, against two California medical boards. The injunction applies only to those three doctors and remains in effect pending a final decision on the merits of the case.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/federal-judge-temporarily-blocks-california-from-disciplining-doctors-covid-medical-advice/

    ​ Is a Federal Autism Committee Ignoring Vaccine-Autism Research?
    A draft strategic plan released last month by a federal autism committee outlines a framework for developing “precision” medical treatment and supporting better long-term care for autistic people — but, according to critics, doesn’t include a specific, detailed plan to study a possible link between vaccines and autism. However, a source familiar with the plan told The Defender, “Nothing is excluded and nothing is off the table.”​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/federal-autism-committee-iacc-ignoring-vaccine-autism-research-health-policy/

    ​ RFK Jr. Demands Editors of Journal Defend ‘Concern’ About 2020 Vaccine Study
    In a letter to the editors of Sage Open Medicine, U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. asked the editors to explain why they are now questioning a peer-reviewed study comparing health outcomes between vaccinated and unvaccinated children. The study, by CHD Chief Scientific Officer Brian Hooker and Neil Z. Miller, a medical research journalist, was published in May 2020, after passing the journal’s peer-review process.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/rfk-jr-demands-sage-journal-defend-concern-2020-vaccinated-unvaccinated-chd-study/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246966
    John Day
    Participant

    Global Diesel Crunch Deepens As Record US Distillate Exports Race To Supply-Starved Europe​ https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/global-diesel-crunch-deepens-record-us-distillate-exports-race-supply-starved-europe

    ​ There ​may be​ 2 dead girls on the property: New Mexico Sues DOJ For Unredacted Epstein Files​ – New Mexico is suing the Department of Justice (DOJ) over unredacted Epstein files, accusing the federal agency of stonewalling the state’s own investigation into alleged crimes at deceased sex offender Jeffrey Epstein’s Zorro Ranch.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/new-mexico-sues-doj-unredacted-epstein-files

    ​ Outspent 10:1, but: After Michigan upset, Aipac looks to back Republican candidate against Abdul El-Sayed
    While this was a race where Israel loomed large, the focus was on how the candidates were funded
    ​ After spending more than $30m on a candidate who lost the Michigan Democratic Senate primary on Wednesday, the leading pro-Israel lobbying group in the US has now indicated it will pivot to the Republican in that race come November.​..
    ..The race between pro-Israel Congresswoman Haley Stevens and former Detroit public health official Abdul El-Sayed quickly became the most expensive Democratic primary race of all time.​ Stevens was backed by a further $30m from outside groups who bankrolled round-the-clock attack ads on Sayed.
    ​ Sayed, an Egyptian-American Muslim who has never held elected office, won the exceptionally tight race by one percentage point, in what was a stunning upset for establishment Democrats, and a boon to the progressive wave taking hold across the country.
    ​ Half a million more Democratic voters showed up to the polls than in previous primary races, which typically see low turnouts…
    ​..In 2022, Aipac helped Stevens secure her seat in the House of Representatives by ousting longtime Jewish lawmaker Andy Levin for his support of US policies to punish violent Israeli settlers in the occupied West Bank.
    ​ “Today, Michigan launched a new chapter in our political history,” Levin wrote on his Instagram account on Wednesday, accompanied by a photograph of him hugging Sayed.​..
    ​..Earlier this year, Aipac helped oust Republican Thomas Massie, who voted against US foreign aid to Israel, in his Kentucky primary race by spending more than $4m against him through its United Democracy Project political action committee.​ That was just part of a coalition of pro-Israel groups that spent $9m against him.​..
    ..Sayed has described Israel’s nearly three-year-old assault on Gaza as a genocide, echoing language used by leading human rights organisations, genocide scholars and the United Nations…
    ..In his victory speech on Wednesday, Sayed said he spoke to Stevens and was assured of her endorsement as he gears up to face former Republican Congressman Mike Rogers in November.​..
    ​..Writing on his social media platform Truth Social on Wednesday, Trump called Sayed “a Communist loser who hates Jews and Israel”, but added that his win is also “great news for the Republican party”, suggesting that he will be easy to defeat..​.
    ..For his part, Sayed told supporters and the media on Wednesday that the focus on his name and identity is “the only play they got” against him.
    ​ “It’s like, wow, he’s different,” he said of Republican attacks.
    ​ “That’s the best you got? You can’t actually talk about what you want to do? My name is not raising your gas prices. My name is not taking us to war. My name is not the reason you can’t afford your groceries.”​ https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/after-major-upset-aipac-michigan-group-looks-back-republican-candidate-against-abdul-el-sayed

    ​ The cookie jars have IOUs to us, from us: Senate Dems Push GOP to Divulge Secret Plan to ‘Attack Earned Benefits Like Social Security’
    “A plan you will not show the voters before they vote is not reassurance. It is a warning and revealing of Republican priorities.”
    ​ In early June, Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson said the GOP has a “plan” to reform Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid—but would not release the details until “next year,” after the 2026 midterms.
    ​ But a group of Senate Democrats argued in a letter to Republican leaders on Wednesday that “Americans deserve to have full transparency into Republican plans to attack earned benefits like Social Security.”​ https://www.commondreams.org/news/republican-plan-cut-social-security

    Can Sam Altman Be Trusted Inside Your Home? Meet OpenAI’s New Always-On Smart Speaker​ https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/can-sam-altman-be-trusted-inside-your-home-meet-openais-new-always-smart-speaker

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246965
    John Day
    Participant

    Scientists Warn Of Urgent AI Biosecurity Threat​ – For the first time, artificial intelligence has designed complete, functional viral genomes from scratch.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/ai/scientists-warn-urgent-ai-biosecurity-threat

    ​ BREAKING: Gates Foundation Funds First-Ever Creation of 16 Synthetic Viruses Using AI
    The barrier separating digital AI output from an operational biological agent has now been crossed.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-gates-foundation-funds-first

    Global Food Prices Hit Three-Year High As War, Chokepoint Chaos And El Nino Spark Perfect Storm​ https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/global-food-prices-hit-three-year-high-war-chokepoint-chaos-and-el-nino-spark-perfect

    ​ Kids In Tiny British Village Beg The Government Not To Force Illegal Migrants On Their Home
    Piddington is a tiny English settlement of roughly 350 people – around 250 adults and just 46 children. The Home Office and Labour government under Andy Burnham intend to place 1,250 single adult male asylum seekers on a former Ministry of Defence site that borders the village, runs along the back of homes, and sits directly against the parish playing field and children’s park.
    ​ If the plan proceeds, the number of young men dumped on their doorstep will dwarf the entire local population.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/political/kids-tiny-british-village-beg-government-not-force-illegal-migrants-their-home

    Winter Is Coming: Europe Faces Twin Diesel And NatGas Crunch​ https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/winter-coming-europe-faces-twin-diesel-and-natgas-crunch

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246964
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Moon of Alabama, The Odd Defense Agreement Between Saudi Arabia, Pakistan And Turkey
    A new NATO like agreement between three major Sunni states throws up various questions:
    ​ Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan sign defence pact – MEE
    Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a joint defence agreement on Friday, connecting the three largest Muslim countries in the world under one security umbrella for the first time…
    ..The phrase “shall be considered an attack against all of them” is copied from Article 5 of the NATO Treaty…
    We do not know what consequences​.. of an attack on one member are spelled in the new Turkish-Saudi-Pakistani agreement. I suspect that any of them will be even more vague than those in the NATO treaty.
    ​ I find it hard to understand how this new agreement could possibly have more than symbolic value.
    ​ Pakistan is currently in a conflict with the Pashtun people in its own country as well as with their brethren in Afghanistan. It recently had a clash with India which could soon resume. India is working on diverting the Himalaya water resources Pakistan needs to survive as a state. If that does not stop Pakistan will be, in a few years from now, pressed to go to war for its own survival. India, as well as Pakistan, are nuclear armed.
    ​ Neither Turkey nor Saudi Arabia have any interest to fight against India or Afghanistan.
    ​ The Saudis are at war with Ansarallah in Yemen. The ‘Houthi’ have recently announced that they will blockade all Saudi seaports until the Saudis lift their long standing air and sea blockade on Yemen. Just yesterday they attacked military installations within Saudi Arabia as well as Saudi proxy forces in south-eastern Yemen.
    ​ Pakistan has already sent forces to Saudi Arabia. But these have been, so far, for purely (air-)defensive purposes. It is hard to imagine that Pakistan or Turkey would send their soldiers to join an unwinnable war in Yemen. (They will remember that in the 1960s Egypt received a bloody nose when it sent ground troops into Yemen.)
    ​ Saudi Arabia also hosts U.S. forces which have become targets of Iranian attacks. If the U.S. decides to attempt another bombing campaign on Iran the revenge strikes will hit Saudi assets. This could, in theory, trigger the new agreement. But Turkey as well as Pakistan have fairy good relations with Tehran. Any intervention from their side would be a risky and high cost endeavors. Their populations would perceive a war against Iran as taking part on the (very much hated) U.S. side.
    ​ It is therefore implausible that the new defense pact is meant for or will have any influence in the ongoing conflicts.
    Pakistan’s interest in the agreement comes down to Saudi money which it needs to prop up its state.
    ​ Turkey wants to sell weapons. The clause on “development of defense cooperation” within the new agreement will likely mean new contracts for Turkish drone makers.
    ​ Saudi Arabia has become distrustful of its U.S. alliance. It is preparing for the U.S. to leave and is seeking other strong partners. In the longer run its potential enemy is likely not Iran but Israel or maybe even the United Arab Emirates, which have Israel’s backing.​ https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/08/the-odd-defense-agreement-between-saudi-arabia-pakistan-and-turkey.html

    ​ Andrew Korybko, Five Takeaways From The Pakistani-Somali Defense MOU
    Somalia is now a de facto protectorate of the “Islamic NATO”.
    ​ Pakistan and Somalia finally signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) on defense cooperation in early August one year after the latter’s Cabinet approved such an arrangement last August. According to the Somali Defense Ministry, “[it] provides a framework for cooperation in counter-terrorism, military training, the exchange of military expertise and knowledge, defence capability development, and enhanced security cooperation”.​
    ​ Here’s what else it signifies:
    ​ 1. Pakistan Is Enhancing Its National Prestige
    This latest defense pact follows last year’s mutual defense one with Saudi Arabia and recent speculation about expanding it to other Arab Kingdoms. Late last year, there were also rumors of Pakistan clinching a multibillion-dollar fighter jet deal with Eastern Libya, which preceded recent reports of Pakistan mediating a peace deal. It’s also reportedly seeking to sell arms to Sudan. The latest MOU with Somalia thus further enhances Pakistan’s national prestige by confirming its trans-regional military influence.
    ​ 2. Somalia Is Now A Protectorate Of The “Islamic NATO”
    Pakistan is the last member of the “Islamic NATO” – the presently unofficial trans-regional military-security coordination platform between itself, Saudi Arabia, Turkiye, and Egypt – to sign a defense pact with Somalia. This accordingly makes Somalia a de facto member of the aforesaid group, which solidifies the expansion of its influence over Africa following the solidification of these four’s influence over Libya and Sudan, but Somalia and the other two are junior partners therein and even arguably protectorates.
    ​ 3. Pakistan Is Following In Turkiye’s Footsteps
    It was observed in early January that “Pakistan Is Playing Second Fiddle To Turkiye In Afro-Eurasian Security” due to the pattern of it clinching military-security deals with countries that Turkiye already has such agreements with. As a brief backgrounder, Turkiye is Pakistan’s senior partner to whom it’s historically looked for guidance despite their nuclear asymmetry, and Turkiye was the first country in recent history to turn Somalia into a de facto protectorate. Pakistan is simply following in its footsteps.
    ​ 4. Islamabad Might Have Broader Ambitions
    Apart from enhancing its national prestige and following in Turkiye’s footsteps, Islamabad might intend to become a tangible stakeholder in the Bab el Mandeb through its new defense MOU with Mogadishu, which would align with both of their reported roles in the Saudi-led maritime coalition. This broader ambition would also represent the first tangible manifestation of the “Islamic NATO” since Egypt and Turkiye are reportedly part of this coalition too. They might all therefore obtain naval bases in Somalia.
    ​ 5. Puntland & Somaliland Should Prepare For War
    For the last point to be most effectively implemented, the renegade Somali region of Puntland and de facto independent Somaliland would have to be brought to heel, but that likely won’t happen anytime soon even with Somalia now de facto becoming the “Islamic NATO’s” protectorate. It’ll take time to properly train its armed forces, and the group’s four leading members are too focused on peace in the Gulf as well as the conflicts in Libya and Sudan, but they’re definitely in its long-term sights.
    ​ In terms of the bigger picture, the top takeaway is that Somalia is now a de facto protectorate of the “Islamic NATO” after its last member just clinched a military-security deal with it. The main implication of this development is that Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkiye are expected to synergize their respective efforts there with a view towards helping the federal government retake the two polities that it claims as its own but doesn’t presently control. Another major regional conflict is therefore brewing.​ https://korybko.substack.com/p/five-takeaways-from-the-pakistani

    Probably nothing could go wrong​ before midterms, right? US Intelligence Assets Said To Descend On Cuba
    Writing in POLITICO on Tuesday, Dasha Burns and Nahal Toosi reported that in recent months the US intelligence community has “sent spies and assets” to Cuba. Specifically, they reported the CIA has increased its presence on the island, which sits approximately 90 miles south of Florida.
    ​ Burns and Toosi based their reporting on interviews with “two people familiar with the Trump administration’s plans for the island,” who were left anonymous due to the “sensitive” nature of the information they provided. The authors said the CIA, White House, Defense Intelligence Agency, and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence all declined requests for comment.
    ​ The report claimed the Trump Administration does not believe it has to resolve the war with Iran before taking military action in Cuba and that the Cuban issue is a “huge priority” of Secretary of State and Acting National Security Advisor Marco Rubio.​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/05/us-intelligence-assets-said-to-descend-on-cuba/

    ​ Trump & Rubio need a quick PR win. “Peaceful” ismuch less risky for everybody. Is The U.S. Deep State Planning A Color Revolution In Cuba?
    It Seems Like The U.S. Deep State Is Plotting A Color Revolution In Cuba As A Pretext For War.
    ​ One source “described the upped intelligence presence as a key tactical step that could pave the way for a U.S. military incursion”.
    Indeed, the Trump administration, more specifically, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, has long been laying the groundwork for a U.S. regime change war in Cuba.​ Rubio has spearheaded the siege warfare campaign on Cuba by forcing Cuba’s main sources of oil- Mexico and Venezuela- to cut off oil exports, and according to inside officials speaking to Drop Site News, even sabotaged U.S.-Cuba negotiations from the inside in order to continue the starvation blockade.​ https://the307.substack.com/p/is-the-us-deep-state-planning-a-color

    China Is Betting AI, Hypersonic Missiles And Quantum Technology Will Define The Next Era Of Warfare​ https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/china-betting-ai-hypersonic-missiles-and-quantum-technology-will-define-next-era-warfare

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246963
    John Day
    Participant

    Are US and Israel Benefitting from ‘Migration Blackmail’ in Spain?
    Analysts pointed their fingers at the Moroccan government, arguing it was once again deploying “migration blackmail,” as the practice has been dubbed, to punish its European neighbors and bend them to its will. But this time, Israel and the United States appear to be the principal beneficiaries. Indeed, they have seized on the politically embarrassing episode to weaken a Spanish government they view as one of their principal European antagonists.​ https://responsiblestatecraft.org/morocco-spain-migrants-israel/

    ​ Thanks Eleni. Morocco is weaponizing Migrants on Israel’s Orders to punish Sánchez
    ​ An artificial crisis, on Israel’s orders, is the migration crisis that has been unfolding since Thursday at Spain’s borders. The goal of the Israeli destabilization plan is to undermine and overthrow Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, because the Social Democratic politician supports Palestine and refuses to become a submissive instrument of Israel, as almost all European prime ministers have become.
    ​ Sánchez has been targeted by Zionism because, together with South Africa, he brought Israel before the International Criminal Court on charges of committing genocide in Gaza. The result was the issuance of an arrest warrant for the Israeli prime minister. Sánchez recognized the state of Palestine, received Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in Madrid with head-of-state honors, held a joint press conference with him, and called Palestine a “brother state.” In 2025, Sánchez banned the sale of weapons and the import of any kind of goods from illegal Jewish settlements. He has also repeatedly called on the EU to apply against Israel whatever sanctions it applied against Russia, in connection with the war in Ukraine.​ https://www.defenddemocracy.press/morocco-is-weaponizing-migrants-on-israels-orders-to-punish-sanchez/

    ​ Israel burns over 120-ha olive groves in southern Lebanon
    “The flames made no distinction between the olive groves of Christians and those of Muslims,” he said, adding that the devastation concerned “the whole of the South: its land, its people, its culture, its dignity and its history.”
    ​ The municipality said it plans to submit documentation of the destruction to the United Nations, adding that Israeli forces targeted not only residential areas but also the environment, agricultural land, and cultural heritage in southern Lebanon.​ https://en.mehrnews.com/news/246778/Israel-burns-over-120-ha-olive-groves-in-southern-Lebanon

    ​ At least 2 invading Israeli soldiers killed in Lebanon blast​ – At least two invading Israeli soldiers have been killed and seven others wounded in a bomb explosion in southern Lebanon, as Israel stepped up its attacks across the area, killing one Lebanese resident and injuring 12 others.​ https://en.mehrnews.com/news/246791/At-least-two-invading-Israeli-soldiers-killed-in-Lebanon

    ​ In Cyprus, Israelis are Buying up a lot of Land and Some Fear it is Another Colonisation
    Thousands of people have left Israel and bought land in Cyprus, an island divided between the EU and Turkey where property has been in dispute since 1974. Meanwhile, movements and businessmen close to the Israeli far right are increasingly visible​ https://untoldmag.org/israelis-land-grab-cyprus/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246962
    John Day
    Participant

    Trump’s Gaza Chief Begs Netanyahu to Stop Assassination Campaign​ – Israeli PM rejects pleas to stop bombing Gaza as dozens killed​ https://www.globalresearch.ca/trump-gaza-chief-begs-netanyahu-stop-assassination-campaign/5936039

    IDF to continue to ‘operate proactively’ in Gaza, Israeli military chief says​ https://www.euronews.com/2026/08/05/idf-to-continue-to-operate-proactively-in-gaza-military-chief-says

    ​ Israeli forces launch wide raid on Qalandia refugee camp, search homes, detain residents and force family to evacuate
    They also prevented the performance of dawn prayers in all mosques in the camp.
    The sources added that Israeli military vehicles ran over a young man near the camp, while Israeli soldiers severely assaulted journalist Mohammad Samreen as he was covering the events.​ https://english.wafa.ps/Pages/Details/173236

    ​ Israel advances new colonial plan that further isolates Jerusalem from Bethlehem
    Ir Amim said that the Israeli Municipality of Jerusalem’s Planning and Building Committee approved the plan that envisages the construction of 2,300 units on approximately 20 hectares (around 200 dunums) in the Gilo colony, while expanding the colony southward toward Route 60, which links Jerusalem and Bethlehem.
    ​ It added that the plan involves the expropriation of at least 28 privately-owned dunums under the so-called Absentees’ Property Law, which the occupation authorities utilize to seize Palestinian property.​ https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/173268?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

    Scottish teachers reject pro-Israel pressure, continue teaching about Gaza genocide​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/08/05/367842/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246961
    John Day
    Participant

    ​It is an extremely hot August. A​lastair Crooke, Tensions flicker into flame, lapping across the Middle East
    The silence surrounding the outcome to the Netanyahu meeting last week in the Oval Office speaks for itself. No American government official came to the airport to receive him, and no red carpet was laid out for him. The visit bombed. Israel is adrift – with its ‘Greater Israel’ strategy now bleeding, for lack both of troops and of coherence.
    ​ Former IDF Ombudsman Maj. Gen. Yitzak Brik predicts (Ma’ariv, 26 July), that the crisis engulfing the Israeli intercept inventory “is only the prelude to the catastrophe that is looming over us.”
    ​ “In the coming wars with Iran, the threat will increase tenfold to the point of a complete loss of the ability to intercept Iranian ballistic missiles. These missiles are expected to hit us: in population centers, strategic targets, production and economic infrastructure, science and technology institutes, educational institutions, hospitals and vital industries, and completely crush us.”
    ​ Trump – finally, it seems – understands that the war which he started in order to crush Iran has flipped – to destroying him. There is effectively no military solution available beyond stopping digging the hole that he is in still deeper.​ https://www.sott.net/article/507779-Tensions-flicker-into-flame-lapping-across-the-Middle-East

    Iran Says It Was Preparing to Strike Three Ukrainian Targets With Ballistic Missiles.​ https://www.armyrecognition.com/news/army-news/2026/iran-says-it-was-preparing-to-strike-three-ukrainian-targets-with-ballistic-missiles

    ​ Israeli prison guards have beaten a 71-year-old Palestinian doctor, tear-gassed his overcrowded cell and denied him vital medication, according to testimony published by Haaretz. For decades, Dr. Mazen Al-Rantisi, widely known as the “Doctor of the Poor,” has treated low-income Palestinians at his small Ramallah clinic, charging symbolic fees, regularly waiving payment and providing free medicine to patients who cannot afford it.
    ​ Israeli forces raided his home before dawn on June 21 and imprisoned him. Prosecutors indicted him not for violence, but for chairing the Union of Health Work Committees, a Palestinian healthcare nonprofit registered with the Palestinian Authority that Israel later outlawed.
    ​ Al-Rantisi told a lawyer from the Public Committee Against Torture in Israel this week that guards force blindfolded prisoners to walk bent over, beat him and other detainees during repeated raids and fire tear gas into their cells.
    ​ Younger prisoners surround him during the beatings in an effort to shield him. Israel withheld all of his regular prescriptions for his first 10 days at Ofer Prison and continues to deny him one medication.​ https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2084682281965273365

    Research paper documents rising torture and starvation of Palestinian prisoners in July​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/08/05/367837/

    “Ceasefire” May Be the Official Headline, But in Gaza, We Face Constant Bombing​ https://scheerpost.com/2026/08/05/ceasefire-may-be-the-official-headline-but-in-gaza-we-face-constant-bombing/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246960
    John Day
    Participant

    Joint Chiefs Chair Pushing For Iran War Off-Ramp, Warning Escalation Will Backfire​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/joint-chiefs-chair-pushing-iran-war-ramp-warning-escalation-will-backfire

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-09
    Two Saudi Aramco sites burned overnight – the Berri gas plant near Jubail and the Jizan refinery – with Yemen’s armed forces publicly claiming the Jizan drone strike, days after Riyadh signed a collective-defence pact with Pakistan and Turkey.
    ​ Tehran meanwhile put a number on Hormuz: nine conditions including $300bn compensation and a 7% transit fee, while Israel told CENTCOM it is preparing to attack Iran alone as the US Joint Chiefs chair hunts an off-ramp.
    ​ Everything else – gold’s central-bank bid, silver’s vault drain, AI capex credit – moved along its existing track with fresh numbers attached.​..
    ​..Iran’s Hormuz reopening terms formalised: nine conditions, $300bn, and a transit fee. The list includes an end to the naval blockade, US withdrawal from the region, $300bn in war compensation, sanctions relief, asset unfreezing, a ban on US and Israeli vessels, up to 7% cargo transit fees and a 20% violation toll (HormuzReport). SNSC Secretary Zolghadr’s version of the conditions per NicoleGrajewski and OSINTtechnical; covered by zerohedge.
    ​ Israel informs CENTCOM it will strike Iran without US approval. Per Israeli Channel 13, the IDF told Adm. Brad Cooper that Israel needs neither approval nor support and is “currently making preparations to start the war” (HormuzLetter). The trigger: US Gen. Dan Caine is “looking for a way out” and does not believe another air campaign helps (HormuzLetter, HormuzReport, Osint613, zerohedge).​..
    ​..Israel goes alone: interceptor stocks low, US stockpiles “troubling”, CENTCOM commander flies home
    Netanyahu’s calculus is read as political rather than strategic – October elections, and a strike on Iran as the last card (HormuzReport).
    ​ The counter-argument, from an OSINT account tracking the actual air picture: Israel has yet to show it can strike Iran without US SEAD plus active US/French/UK defence of Israel, and Iranian retaliation would land while Israeli interceptor stocks are critical (MenchOsint).
    ​ CENTCOM commander Adm. Cooper left the region after a short Bahrain-UAE-Israel tour (MenchOsint).​..
    ..Strip out computer equipment, software and R&D and roughly 92% of the US economy is growing at about 1%, with a downward trajectory (themarketear, DonDurrett). https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-09

    ​Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-08
    ​ Two things actually moved: July payrolls printed -23K against an +80K consensus with 103K revised away from May/June, and Washington conceded it will lift the naval blockade of Iranian ports once an Iran-Oman Hormuz framework lands — Iran keeping sovereign control, vessel bans and fees.
    ​ Metals took the payroll print and ran, gold posting its best week since January per multiple desks.
    ​ Everything else is continuation with real advances: the Mecca Accord got signed the same day another Marib camp got hit, Russian forces closed the western flank at Orikhiv, and the AI credit market started pricing something the equity market isn’t
    . US agrees to lift the naval blockade on Iran as part of the Hormuz framework. HormuzReport details the emerging terms: Iran retains full sovereign control over inbound traffic, bans US/Israeli/hostile vessels, and may charge up to 7% of cargo value. Corroborated by zerohedge and DropSiteNews, both citing Reuters.​..
    ​..Hormuz: Washington concedes the blockade, Tehran adds compensation to the price​ – zerohedge timed the leak precisely — Reuters bullet points hitting minutes before the close, US official saying progress with Oman, deal expected soon, blockade lifted once commercial shipping is restored “without impediments.”
    ​ Subsequent US action is “performance-based and tied to Iran’s implementation” (DropSiteNews) — which is how you write a deal you expect to be broken.
    ​ Tehran’s price keeps rising. The mayor of Tehran: nations that threatened Iran have no right to use the strait until compensation is paid, and transit depends on sanctions relief (zerohedge)​…
    ​..Physical oil is not behaving like a deal is imminent. US imports of Saudi crude hit zero in July — first full month since 1985, down from 800kb/d in March, with Venezuela at ~600kb/d filling the hole (KobeissiLetter)…
    ​..Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan signed a NATO-style mutual-defence treaty with an Article 5-equivalent clause. (IranObserver0, zerohedge); formally named the Mecca Agreement (MilitarySummary, wmiddelkoop).​..
    ​..Mecca Accord signed as Saudi interceptor stocks run dry — and Marib gets hit the same day​ – The number underneath the treaty: Saudi Arabia burned 86% of its 2,800 US Patriot PAC-3 interceptors in the first 38 days, leaving ~400 by April. The US itself has spent ~65% of its Patriot interceptors between February and July — under 850 left, from 2,330 (HormuzLetter, citing Reuters/CSIS).
    ​ That is the actual reason three countries signed a mutual-defence pact. Gulf states no longer believe the US umbrella exists.
    ​ Iranian MP Ebrahim Rezaei’s response: “a paper agreement with Turkiye and Pakistan will not bring them security, just as years of one-sided nursing to the Americans did not” (MilitarySummary). zerohedge notes Iranian and Israeli officials both calling Saudi Arabia a paper tiger — rare agreement.
    ​ Human cost, layer one: the Houthis conducted a large-scale attack on Saudi-backed government forces killing “hundreds” of troops, and struck Najran in southwestern Saudi Arabia (zerohedge, citing BBG). A separate Houthi drone attack in Marib killed three government fighters and wounded four per AFP (ILRedAlert)…​
    ​..Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Dan Caine is privately pushing for an off-ramp from the Iran war. CNN reports he has made this clear to other top Trump advisers over recent weeks; picked up by Megatron_ron.​ …
    ​..Yen plumbing: FIMA repo opened to Japan, and euros sold without telling the ECB​ – DonDurrett lays out the mechanism plainly: the Fed, at Bessent’s request, opened the FIMA repo facility to Japan. Instead of selling Treasuries, Japan pledges them as collateral to borrow printed dollars to buy yen. In theory Japan repurchases and pays interest. In practice it can decline and keep the dollars.
    ​ The uglier half, single-source but specific: the US sold euros to buy yen without notifying the ECB until after the trade settled, with senior ECB officials calling it “an unprecedented breach of longstanding conventions” (matrbk). Selling dollars would have contradicted the stated strong-dollar policy; selling a European asset did not.
    ​ The stated reason to intervene at all is the Treasury market, not Japan: Japan is the largest foreign holder of USTs, and forced selling into a 30-year near 5.28% is the outcome nobody can price.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-08

    Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-08-07
    The Hormuz “deal” didn’t just stall – it detonated: Iran struck two US-escorted tankers in the Oman corridor within hours of Trump claiming an agreement was “coming together,” and Saudi crude exports to the US hit zero for the first time since 1985.
    ​ Yemen delivered its deadliest day in three years while Riyadh braces for a coordinated Houthi-Iraqi-IRGC strike, and the US arsenal story got a face when WaPo put Trump and Hegseth in a shouting match over drained ATACMS.
    ​ Metals ran again (silver +5%), Russia took Ryzhevka and Zarnitsa, and the AI/memory bubble wobbled as the SpaceX lockup opened and KOSPI fell 4.6%.
    ​ Iran strikes two US-escorted tankers in Hormuz; Trump’s “deal” narrative collapses. IRGC hit NISSOS KEA and NISSOS KEROS in the southern Omani corridor – both had switched off AIS – hours after Trump said a deal was “coming together” (HormuzLetter, HormuzReport, zerohedge, spectatorindex).
    ​ Hormuz: the “deal” that reads like a rejection; tolls drafted at 5-7%​ – Iran’s own terms look nothing like a US win: a draft parliamentary bill bans US, Israeli and “hostile” vessels outright, and withholds passage from countries that “damaged Iran” until compensation is paid, with fines up to 20% of cargo value (zerohedge/FARS, MenchOsint).
    ​ Saudi oil exports to the US fell to zero in July – first time in ~40 years. Riyadh was shipping 800k+ bpd earlier this year; Iran’s Hormuz squeeze plus the Houthi blockade cut it off (HormuzLetter, Megatron_ron, Hedgeye).
    ​ Yemen’s deadliest escalation in 3+ years; Saudi braces for coordinated attack. At least 58 killed in Houthi strikes on Saudi-backed forces per AFP; intel points to a simultaneous Houthi + Iraqi militia + IRGC assault on Saudi energy/airport/port targets (ILRedAlert, HormuzLetter, unusual_whales).
    ​ US munitions crisis goes public: Trump-Hegseth Camp David clash. WaPo says Trump erupted at Hegseth over drained stockpiles – ATACMS “basically none left” after 1,300+ fired in the opening weeks; rebuild could take “years” (HormuzLetter, MilitarySummary, zerohedge). Trump then threatened to jail people who say the stockpiles are depleted (Glenn_Diesen).
    ​ Metals run again; central-bank buying at record pace. Silver +5% on the day (wmiddelkoop); PBoC added gold for a 21st straight month (oriental_ghost); central banks bought a record 289t in Q2 per WGC (steve_hanke).​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-08-07

    ​Don’t just bomb-Iran, Bibi. God’s Chosen Men INVADE! ‘I Am Determined’: Netanyahu Declares Readiness to Strike Iran Alone https://www.palestinechronicle.com/i-am-determined-netanyahu-declares-readiness-to-strike-iran-alone/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246959
    John Day
    Participant

    Not just a threat: Iran threatens to hit Gulf states if US launches new strikes https://www.arabnews.com/node/2653568/middle-east

    These are the missiles that go up into space to intercept ballistic missiles before they accellerate in descent: U.S. Used Nearly 80% of THAAD Interceptors During Iran Conflict, Pentagon Stockpiles Run Low https://www.thedefensenews.com/US-Used-Nearly-80-of-THAAD-Interceptors-During-Iran-Conflict-Pentagon-Stockpiles-Run-Low/

    I am generally against scapegoating whipping-boys, but… Trump grills Hegseth — The US president reportedly accused the secretary of war of providing misleading information about the state of the country’s munitions stockpiles https://web.archive.org/web/20260806120614/https://www.rt.com/news/643928-trump-hegseth-weapons-stockpiles-drain/

    ​ Trump Threatens ‘Leakers’ With Jail Time Over Reports About Munitions Shortages
    The president also denied a report from The Washington Post that said he lashed out at Pete Hegseth over the depletion of US military stockpiles​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/08/06/trump-threatens-leakers-with-jail-time-over-reports-about-munitions-shortages/

    in reply to: Debt Rattle August 9 2026 #246956
    John Day
    Participant

    Missile Umbrella Has Vanished https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/missile-umbrella-has-vanished

    You may recall that my working hypothesis is that global real economy correlates 90% with oil use and that crude + condensates peaked at the end of 2025, after a prior peak at end of 2018, and the peak of conventional-oil in 2005, so global real economy is tipping over into terminal contraction..
    If this is the case, then the Hormuz & Ukraine wars can provide a convincing narrative for why oil is short, but nothing can make global net oil supplies increase. We are tracking my hypothesis against history-unfolding. The current arrangements in the Mideast, with Israel as surrogate-hegemon and Iran as rival are already doomed by Iran’s accurate and powerful missiles, against which Israel and the US can not defend, having nearly exhausted their expensive defensive missiles, which may be replaced by factories in a couple of years.
    Energy and mineral resources, and routes, are now hotly contested, going into this decline. Any powerful group would choose to force economic decline upon competitors, and to be relatively spared. Russia is just trying to defend all those vast resources with a modest population.
    Western banking & finance really want all of that, as well as all of the oil and gas in the mideast, because they are facing financial collapse due to debts growing exponentially, while physical wealth has stalled and is going into contraction.
    Iranian power elites have decided to contest for primacy in the Mideast, first peeling oil-rich neighbors away from a hegemony that can’t defend them, then making hegemonic presence unprofitable for the retiring-hegemon, which can just leave the region…
    I presume that Iran will then duel-to-the-death with “Israel”, and that death will be the main winner, but I could be wrong again. We’ll see. I still have not seen convincing evidence that the original Bibi Netanyahu is alive since early March of this year. What I have seen looks like AI and/or a less-intelligent body-double with different movements and blander facial expressions.
    If Israel does bomb Iran without US coordination or approval, and knows that there will be a counter-attack, would they not highly consider nuclear annihilation? What other chance of victory do they have in this war of attrittion? If Iran, China, Russia, Turkey the US, SaudiArabia, Pakistan and Egypt anticipate this, what might they be doing now to prepare?

    Fabio Vighi’s March 17 essay is aging well: The Programmable Crisis: Iran and the Financial Regime Change
    The next economic downturn will not just be managed with more money printing. It will be programmed directly into the money itself. Major geopolitical crises rarely operate only at the level of military strategy. They also reshape the economic and institutional frameworks through which societies are governed. Public attention focuses on the visible drama of conflict, while deeper financial and monetary transformations unfold largely outside the field of political debate…
    ​..In a highly indebted economy, a sustained oil shock behaves less like traditional inflation and more like a tax on consumption. As rising energy costs absorb a larger share of household income, discretionary spending collapses. Corporate revenues fall while input costs rise, leaving heavily leveraged firms and households struggling to service debt. The result is not necessarily sustained inflation but the risk of a debt-deflation spiral — a dynamic visible in the months preceding the 2008 financial crisis. This economic crisis scenario makes the existing mountain of US public and private debt much harder to manage, creating a powerful incentive for radical financial solutions.​..
    ​..Historically, major shifts in monetary systems have often occurred during periods of crisis. Wars, financial collapses, and geopolitical shocks create the conditions under which previously unthinkable policies suddenly become possible. Moments of emergency suspend normal constraints, allowing governments and central banks to reorganise financial structures in ways that would be politically impossible during stable periods. The collapse of the Bretton Woods gold-dollar system in the early 1970s is a clear example: a monetary regime that had defined the post-war world was quietly replaced in the midst of geopolitical and financial turbulence. In other words, the escalation of the Middle East conflict could allow the US to legitimise tools for:
    ​ Digital Debt Monetisation: a government-aligned digital dollar infrastructure could allow for the direct distribution of stimulus and the purchasing of government debt, bypassing traditional banking system constraints and political gridlock.
    ​ Direct Economic Control: a programmable, centrally managed digital currency platform gives authorities unprecedented levers to influence spending, saving, and capital allocation during a crisis. Money is no longer just a store of value; it can become “money with an expiry date,” programmed to devalue or vanish if not spent in a certain way.
    ​ Maintaining Dollar Hegemony: integrating private stablecoins into the official system can be a way to co-opt and regulate the crypto space, ensuring the next generation of digital money remains dollar-denominated and under US oversight, rather than shifting to a decentralised alternative.
    ​ The significance of the above resides not simply in digitising money but in embedding rules directly into the monetary unit itself. Traditional monetary policy operates through interest rates, bank lending, and financial markets. Programmable digital money, by contrast, allows policy to be transmitted directly to households and firms through the design of the currency itself, determining when it can be spent, where it can circulate, and under what conditions it retains value.​..
    ​..Political power in modern societies is increasingly exercised through infrastructure rather than through overt legislation. Payment systems, settlement networks, and financial protocols determine what kinds of economic actions are possible and which are not. Because these systems are technical and largely invisible to the public, changes to them rarely provoke the kind of political scrutiny that accompanies formal policy decisions. Yet once such infrastructure is in place, it effectively sets the parameters within which future policy must operate. In that sense, the construction of digital monetary rails is not merely a technological upgrade; it is the creation of a new field of economic governance.​..
    ..Crucially, the emerging system is unlikely to be a purely state-run digital currency. Instead, it appears to be evolving as a hybrid architecture in which private stablecoin issuers, exchanges, and fintech platforms operate on top of central bank settlement infrastructure. In this model, the state controls the monetary base and regulatory perimeter, while private actors control the interfaces through which money is used. The architecture achieves what politics alone could not: participation becomes structurally unavoidable.​ https://www.defenddemocracy.press/the-programmable-crisis-iran-and-the-financial-regime-change/

    ​ BREAKING: Tether purchased +14 tonnes of gold in Q2 2026, bringing total holdings to a record 146 tonnes, now worth ~$18.8 billion. This follows gold purchases of +53 tonnes between Q3 2025 and Q1 2026. Tether’s gold holdings have more than doubled since Q1 2025, while their value has nearly tripled over the same period. This makes the company the largest known private holder of gold outside of central banks and governments.​ https://xcancel.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2085401147901202634

    IRGC Strikes ‘Hostile Targets’ In Hormuz As Iran Declares Oman Deal Bans US Vessels From Strait​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/yemen-war-reignites-houthis-intensify-saudi-shipping-attacks-ground-assault-amid

    ​With naval gunnery from battleships, perhaps, Mr. President? Trump Warns Iran to Open Hormuz or Get ‘Hit Very Hard’ https://english.aawsat.com/world/5303534-trump-warns-iran-open-hormuz-or-get-%E2%80%98hit-very-hard%E2%80%99

    • This reply was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by John Day.
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