Aug 282026
 
 August 28, 2026  Posted by at 9:01 am Finance Tagged with: , , , , , , , , ,  Add comments


Rembrandt van Rijn Old Man Sitting 1631


Kuwait, Qatar Ramp Up Hormuz Oil, Oman-Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears (ZH)
Iran and Oman Agree to Share Strait of Hormuz Revenue, Defying Trump (Jung)
Iran’s Most Dangerous Enemy: Administrative Collapse (Monty Donohew)
Secretary Marco Rubio Suspends all Visa Reviews and Interviews (CTH)
AfD Now Polls At 43% Across Eastern Germany (ZH)
The Disappearing Western World (Paul Craig Roberts)
Canadian PM Mark Carney’s Role in EU and Ukraine Friction (CTH)
It’s Always Cute When Canada Thinks It Matters (Kurt Schlichter)
Moscow Warns It Could Target British Military Facilities (ZH)
Monopoly Money: Why Meta “Likes” the $16 Billion Settlement (Turley)
Chipmaker Nvidia Arranges Funding For Its Own Clients (NOS)
Why August 1991 Failed To Bring Peace Between Russia And The West (Bordachev)

 


 

https://twitter.com/RealBaronTrump_/status/2092648747834523756?s=20 https://twitter.com/MAGAStorm47/status/2092998667808464972?s=20 https://twitter.com/MAGAVoice/status/2092789283023466550?s=20

 


 

 


 


Is Oman a US ally?

Kuwait, Qatar Ramp Up Hormuz Oil, Oman-Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears (ZH)

Brent crude futures fell to an intraday low of $86.22 a barrel early Thursday before recovering above $88 by 0630 ET. The benchmark is down 6.3% this week as traders unwind part of the war-risk premium amid growing optimism that renewed diplomatic efforts involving Iran, Oman and Qatar could reduce the threat of drone attacks on tankers in the critical waterway. Bloomberg reported earlier that Kuwait and Qatar are restoring crude exports through the highly contested maritime chokepoint. Sources familiar with energy flows in the Gulf region say that both producers are shipping about 70% of the combined 2 million barrels a day they exported before the Iran war.


Total oil shipments via tankers have climbed to between 7 million and 8 million barrels a day, up from roughly 4 million barrels a day in mid-July and equal to about 75% of prewar levels, according to the outlet. London-based energy and freight analytics firm Vortexa told clients in a separate report that the estimated seven-day average for oil transiting the Strait of Hormuz has approached 10 million barrels a day. The recovery in the critical waterway helps explain why Brent crude retreated to $86 earlier this morning after surging above $120 in late April.

The Trump administration and Tehran remain deadlocked over finding another resolution, but Gulf exporters are increasingly finding ways around the disruption. The outlet noted that the United Arab Emirates was the first to transit crude through the strait before transferring it to other vessels in the Gulf of Oman. Maritime research firm TankerTrackers was the first to report the increase in ship-to-ship transfers on Tuesday.

“An Iran-Oman framework for a ‘temporary joint maritime corridor’ is pulling oil lower. It remains difficult to envision how the US would sign off on this given the concurrent ratcheting up of economic pressure,” UBS analyst Justinus Steinhorst wrote in a note. Dennis Kissler, senior vice president for trading at BOK Financial Securities, said on Wednesday, “It seems crude is now beginning to price in a sooner-rather-than-later peace deal.”

Beyond Iran and Oman’s diplomatic push to reopen the strait, Reuters reported that both countries are working to clear all naval mines from the waterway. President Trump said earlier this week that all mines had been removed. However, with disruptions to Middle Eastern refineries and Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries, the energy crisis has morphed into a crude-products crisis, with diesel crack spreads in the US still trading above $90 a barrel. Last week, the spread hit an unprecedented $100-a-barrel level as global diesel supplies dwindled.

Read more …

Oman makes a deal with the IRGC and bypasses the US?!!

Iran and Oman Agree to Share Strait of Hormuz Revenue, Defying Trump (Jung)

Iran and Oman have reached a joint agreement on sharing revenues associated with shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). However, the strategically vital waterway, one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints, will remain closed until Tehran resolves its conflict with Washington.


The IRGC announced on August 26 that the two countries had finalized terms after a month of negotiations over the future management of the strait. IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi said the talks produced results acceptable to both sides, including agreements on each country’s share of the waterway and its revenues.

The announcement followed weeks of negotiations over an interim system for restoring commercial navigation. Under the proposed framework, vessels entering the Persian Gulf would use a route through Iranian waters, while outbound traffic would use Omani waters. The arrangement would allow the two countries to collect fees for maritime services and transit, although officials have not publicly disclosed the precise revenue split. Earlier proposals had contemplated voluntary fees, but the Trump administration has opposed any attempt to impose tolls on international shipping in the strait.

Despite the IRGC’s announcement, the terms of the agreement are not final. A senior Iranian source told Reuters that Tehran and Muscat were still working through technical details, including the permanent arrangement for shipping routes. The two governments had previously described their discussions as an “interim framework” for resuming navigation rather than a completed final settlement.

The IRGC also made clear that the agreement with Oman alone would not reopen the waterway. Mohebbi accused the United States of obstructing the negotiations and said that Tehran would restore passage only if Washington accepted the previously negotiated terms. He stated that if the White House rejected Iran’s conditions, the strait would remain closed.

The dispute comes as energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted following the beginning of the conflict in February. Before the crisis in the Gulf, the waterway carried roughly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments. Commercial traffic has fallen sharply since the conflict began, contributing to higher energy prices and forcing energy producers and shipping companies to seek alternative routes and workarounds despite major efforts by the U.S. military to clear passage for shipping.

Shipping also remains hazardous. Iran recently blacklisted 45 vessels in an apparent effort to disrupt ship-to-ship transfers that Gulf energy producers have used to circumvent its blockade. Several oil companies have subsequently considered avoiding vessels on the blacklist, further complicating efforts to restore normal commercial traffic. Meanwhile, President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will increase economic pressure to tank Iran’s already sinking economy and bring the ayatollah’s regime to heel.

The proposed Iranian-Omani framework may represent a significant change in how traffic through Hormuz is administered if it takes effect. Iran and Oman would coordinate commercial navigation and potentially collect substantial revenues from maritime services, while a temporary system could eventually give way to a permanent division of responsibilities.

For now, however, the agreement remains conditional. Iran says it has reached an acceptable understanding with Oman, while senior Iranian officials indicate that technical issues remain unresolved and the Trump administration continues to oppose Tehran’s proposals. The next stage of negotiations will determine whether the framework can translate into the reopening of one of the world’s most consequential shipping routes.

Read more …

“Can Iran’s mullah dictatorship govern the country while losing the war?”

Iran’s Most Dangerous Enemy: Administrative Collapse (Monty Donohew)

Nearly every dispatch from this Iran military action measures Iran in the currency of destroyed hardware: ballistic missiles, drone production lines, naval combatants. That accounting matters, but it may be measuring the wrong thing. The more consequential damage may not be to Iran’s arsenal at all. It may be to the regime’s capacity to function as a coherent government. This week supplied two pieces of evidence, in two entirely different domains, pointing at Iran’s underlying administrative fracture.


The first is political, and it is remarkable on its own terms. Kayhan, the hardline newspaper closely aligned with the regime’s most conservative faction, published a piece this week accusing President Masoud Pezeshkian, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Iran’s own negotiating team of “completing a puzzle” whose intended effect was to manufacture an image of surrender and make retreat seem necessary.

That’s not commentary on an external enemy, but a state-aligned publication publicly accusing a sitting president and the speaker of parliament of engineering their own government’s capitulation, in the middle of a war, in terms ordinarily reserved for traitors. The second is fiscal, and the numbers are not subtle. Iran’s rial hit a record low of roughly 2.02 million to the dollar this week as trading opened. The IMF projects Iran’s average annual inflation will reach 68.9 percent in 2026. The World Bank estimates the Iranian economy contracted 2.7 percent in the year ending in March.

None of this means Tehran is defenseless against its own currency.

Iran has spent years building buffers precisely for moments like this: a shadow fleet of more than 350 tankers moving 1.6 to 1.8 million barrels of crude daily to Chinese refiners via ship-to-ship transfers, a barter system that covered roughly a third of oil exports last fiscal year and is projected to cover more this year, a state-administered exchange rate that lets favored importers buy dollars far below the open-market price, and a central bank willing to finance deficits by simply creating money rather than borrowing it.

These are not improvised responses. They are an institutionalized sanctions-evasion architecture, built up over successive rounds of pressure since 2018, and they have kept Iran’s oil exports above nuclear-deal-era levels even through the current war’s opening months. What is changing is how well that architecture still performs. The discount Iranian crude must offer buyers has widened from roughly eight dollars a barrel in 2023 to fourteen or seventeen dollars now, as Washington’s secondary sanctions reach further into the Chinese “teapot” refineries and shell-company networks that make the evasion possible.

Tehran’s fiscal break-even price sits near $124 a barrel; the price it is actually realizing on exported crude is closer to $56. That gap is precisely why the government leans harder on money creation, and money creation is precisely what is driving the inflation and currency collapse visible in the rial’s exchange rate. The buffers have not failed. They have simply stopped being sufficient to close the widening distance between what the state needs and what it can extract from a shrinking, more heavily discounted revenue base.

There is a further complication worth stating plainly rather than glossing over, because it cuts against any simple “sanctions are working” reading. The same evasion architecture that keeps the state solvent is also concentrating economic power in the hands of the actors best positioned to run it, chiefly the IRGC, which has expanded its role in the shadow fleet, the barter arrangements, and the currency-exchange houses that move sanctioned banks’ money.

Sanctions pressure that squeezes ordinary importers and consumers, who pay the open-market rate, while leaving IRGC-linked networks to capture the rents from smuggling and preferential exchange access, does not necessarily weaken the regime’s core coercive apparatus. It may instead redistribute economic power inside the state toward the faction least interested in a negotiated settlement, which would cut directly against the administration’s stated goal.

This is also why the Soviet Union is a useful comparison only if handled carefully, and it is worth being precise about what the analogy does and does not claim. The Soviet collapse involved national independence movements, deliberate political liberalization under Gorbachev, elite defections, and a wholesale transformation of the state’s institutions, a far longer and more complicated sequence than currency instability alone. Iran shows no equivalent liberalization and no comparable elite defections yet.

What Iran may be experiencing is not a repeat of that sequence but a similar underlying mechanism: an authoritarian state whose administrative machinery for translating central authority into local control begins to fail once fiscal and currency instability outpaces the state’s capacity to paper over the gap through patronage. That mechanism can operate on very different political timelines and produce very different outcomes than it did in Moscow. It is the mechanism, not the history, that is being invoked here.

Read more …

“The move comes on the heels of U.S. District Judge Jeannette Vargas, a Biden appointee in Manhattan, striking down a prior State Dept ban on visas from 75 countries.”

Secretary Marco Rubio Suspends all Visa Reviews and Interviews (CTH)

Secretary of State Marco Rubio has suspended all international visa reviews and interviews with applicants until all of the consulate staff undergo training on the appropriate review process. The intent is to proactively identify visa applicants who are seeking temporary visas with the intent of claiming asylum status or similar permanent migration. Each consular staff agent and officer is being tasked with scrutinizing applications to ensure the applicant does not become a “public charge” after entry.


WASHINGTON – The Trump administration has directed U.S. embassies and consulates around the world to postpone immigrant visa interviews while consular officers complete training on new public-charge guidance, temporarily stalling applications that have reached the interview stage. The State Department told diplomatic posts to reschedule immigrant visa interviews until consular officers complete the training on how to evaluate whether an applicant is likely to become a public charge.

A public-charge determination can make an immigrant visa applicant inadmissible under federal immigration law if officials determine the person is likely to become dependent on certain forms of public assistance after arriving in the U.S. “In early August, we launched a global training initiative at all of our embassies and consulates worldwide. To accommodate this in-depth training, appointments for visa services will be adjusted,” a State Department official said in a statement.

[…] The administration said Monday that it was preparing to revoke the business and tourism visas of up to 200,000 foreigners who have applied for or are seeking asylum in the U.S., a move that would represent the largest mass visa revocation in U.S. history. (read more)

The move comes on the heels of U.S. District Judge Jeannette Vargas, a Biden appointee in Manhattan, striking down a prior State Dept ban on visas from 75 countries. However, the judge’s decision does not invalidate visa denials overall, based on independent grounds of ineligibility. As a consequence, Secretary Rubio is ordering worldwide embassy and consulate retraining to enhance scrutiny of all visa applications carefully.

Read more …

France AND Germany looking good. Still efforts to ban Weidel and Le Pen?

AfD Now Polls At 43% Across Eastern Germany (ZH)

Building on Nomura analyst Andrzej Szczepaniak’s note from earlier this week, which forecasts that right-wing parties are positioned to make electoral gains across Germany, France, Spain, Switzerland, and the UK over the next 18 months, new polling data from Germany further suggest that Alternative for Germany (AfD) is performing exceptionally well as citizens demand political change after years of failed progressive experiments that encouraged a Third World migrant invasion and nation-killing deindustrialization trends.


Weidel said, “According to a recent Forsa survey, the AfD is at 43% across the entire East, while the CDU is down to just 13%. The citizens want the political turnaround!” The key takeaway from the new survey is that the AfD is polling at more than three times the level of the center-right CDU/CSU and exceeds the combined support of the CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens. German weekly newspaper Junge Freiheit commented on the new survey, saying, “The numbers are particularly interesting ahead of the upcoming state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6th and in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania two weeks later.”

The outlet continued, “The assessment of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s (CDU) performance remains abysmal across Germany. As in the previous week, only 13 percent of those surveyed expressed satisfaction, while 85 percent were dissatisfied.” Elon Musk has previously stated, “AfD is the only hope for Germany.”

One reason German citizens are particularly frustrated is that Europe’s economic engine is collapsing, with Volkswagen Group labor representatives warning earlier this week that as many as 140,000 jobs could be cut at the struggling automaker.Circling back to Szczepaniak, the Nomura analyst wrote, “Five years ago, financial markets would not have seemed so at ease with such a prospect. But then again, these populist right-wing political parties were previously not so fiscally prudent as they are perceived to be today.”

He added, “Now, if anything, financial markets are much more concerned about populist left-wing parties being elected due to their desire to increase spending, often paid for through higher borrowing or higher taxes, which are likely to shut the engine off of already stuttering economies.”.

Read more …

“.. is New York City, a city whose white ethnic population is only 16% of the population still an American city?”

The Disappearing Western World (Paul Craig Roberts)

It was 53 years ago that Jean Raspail wrote The Camp of the Saints in an attempt to wake up the French nation to the future challenge they would face. The French response was to dismiss Raspail’s effort as a dystopian novel and do nothing. Today five decades later Marine Le Pen, leader of France’s only French nationalist party, is the most popular political leader in France. A recent poll showed her and her party, National Rally, favored by 38% of those polled. Her nearest rival has 17%.


One of France’s many problems is that it has too many political parties, which indicates that France is more disunited than united. In the previous French election, Le Pen won in the sense of having the most votes. But to keep a French nationalist from power, other parties formed a coalition that represented a higher number of votes. The French Establishment then tried to imprison Le Pen and prevent her from again running for office. This scenario is likely to be repeated in the next French election.

So, after more than a half century of being overrun by immigrant-invaders, as Jean Raspail said they would be, the French still cannot rise to the defense of an ethnic French nation. Only Marine Le Pen’s political party represents a French nation instead of a multicultural tower of babel.

Today in Europe and in the US a political party that represents the essence of a nation–its historical ethnicity–is regarded as racist. To be clear, it means that any country that does not consist of a collection of races, cultures, languages, and disparate interests, thereby constituting a multicultural tower of babel, is racist. This indoctrination of the Western peoples is so successful that even today only 38% of the French people support an ethnic French nation. 62% of the French population are content to exist in a tower of babel.

Having observed the increasing takeover of the states of Michigan, Minnesota, California, and New York City by third world immigrant-invaders and Massachusetts’ new law requiring the state to recruit more Muslim immigrant-invaders into the state’s government, the rising Muslim communities in Texas demanding Sharia law, and the emergence of Hispanic Spanish as America’s second official language, the Unites States itself, once a melting pot of European and British ethnicities, has sold its soul to multiculturalism, an arrangement in which there are only disparate interests, a disparity inconsistent with the name of the country–United States.

According to university and community estimates, NY City alone has more than 350 Mosques. Several decades ago I noticed that NY city cab drivers were third world immigrants. Population studies have found that NY City’s population contains 750,000 to 1 million Muslims. 2.5 million Hispanics, 1.5 million Asians, and 2.2 million Africans, some American born and some recent immigrants. According to the latest US Census, 8.58 million people live in NY City of which 7.2 million or 84% are nonwhite.

In view of these numbers, is New York City, a city whose white ethnic population is only 16% of the population still an American city? Compare this Tower of Babel to NY City’s population in, say, 1950. Already a fifth of the US work force consists of foreign born people of color. Many are H-1B work visa holders, few of whom ever return to their countries. The Western World is disappearing. The peoples of the West have inhaled so much guilt from their indoctrination and brainwashing by white liberals that they are impotent to defend and to regain their immigrant-invader threatened nations.

How long before the only white ethnicities will be in zoos as specimens of white racist colonialists?

Read more …

All the little people.

Canadian PM Mark Carney’s Role in EU and Ukraine Friction (CTH)

Barbara Boyd does a solid job connecting the recent U.S-Canada trade friction to the globalist plans of Mark Carney in alignment with the European Union. The goal is to create and maintain broad opposition to the geopolitical reset underway as an outcome of President Trump s larger and nationalistic economic agenda.


This is worth the watch as many of the background happenings are interconnected, yet few people are putting it all together. Barbara Boyd argues that the most dangerous escalation is the proxy war with Russia, highlighting Russia’s warning that direct British involvement in strikes on Russian territory could make Britain a combatant.

She says the UK has long driven the πUkraine conflict and that Trump has sought peace while Britain and Europe resist, relying on war production amid failing economies. The episode focuses on Canada’s Mark Carney as a key spokesman for a permanent-warfare economic strategy, detailing his global financial roles and Canada’s creation of a Defense Security and Resilience Bank to fund defense mobilization without citizen involvement.

Boyd also describes Carney’s actions against the U.S., including trade disputes, deeper EU alignment, and Arctic defense plans. She claims a coordinated chaos and psychological warfare campaign targets U.S. voters ahead of the midterms.

There is little doubt European NATO countries, led by the U.K, France and Germany, are stimulating and supporting increased direct military conflict against Russia. We are beginning to see not-so-covert events happening in/around border nations with Russia -carried out by Ukraine- that continue to raise the stakes.

Moldova, Romania and now Finland are starting to become increasingly visible as launch regions for Ukraine drone attacks into Russia. Meanwhile the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad (between Lithuania and Poland) is surrounded by provocative NATO military activity. Keep watching.

Read more …

Only Trump stands up to globalism.

It’s Always Cute When Canada Thinks It Matters (Kurt Schlichter)

Just what the hell are the Canadians thinking? Do they think that if they cry enough, America’s going to roll over? We’re now in another trade war with them, and the Canadians are whining, and the Democrats — who never side with America — are whining right along with them. It’s about time to be done with the country that is touted as America’s best buddy but is actually tied for its most annoying next-door neighbor. They cry that America is being mean because it’s looking out for its own interests. How dare America expect Canada to pull its weight on its own defense?


How dare America not want to perpetuate unfair and unbalanced tariff and trade rules in perpetuity? And how dare America not recognize the moral superiority of a country that, if it were a stereotype, would be a fugly, sexually dysfunctional wine woman with a “Hate Has No Home Here” sign on the front lawn of the condo it shares with five cats, all named after characters in “Twilight.”

Americans don’t think much of Canada — literally. We didn’t have to, because for a long time Canadians were just pleasant, sturdy, and trustworthy neighbors who were different from us but shared enough in common that we managed to share the longest demilitarized border in the world. Canadians don’t want to be Americans, and that’s OK. It’s silly, because everybody should want to be Americans, but it’s all right. We didn’t take offense. We’d have to be thinking about them to take offense, and we weren’t. It’s nice to have a neighbor you don’t really have to think about, except when you need to borrow sugar.

But when we did think about them, they used to be kind of amusing. Now they’re actively annoying. And their obsessive loathing of the United States has morphed from a vaguely tiresome affectation into something genuinely grating. They are ripping us off on defense and trade, they are failing to back us up around the world, and they have become a petty dictatorship. They are still funny, but the Ralph Wiggum of nations is longer ha-ha funny.

They thought about us a lot, and you can’t really blame them. We’re economically successful, stubbornly free, and masculine — all the things that Canada either never was or no longer is. Canada has been taken over by the faculty-lounge left. It’s less a country than a giant, freezing college campus where the government will literally destroy your life if you do something like point out obvious truths about how a man is not a woman or that there was a giant scam involving allegedly dead Indian children — oh wait, we’re supposed to call them “First Peoples.” Of course, they have enshrined collective guilt over taming their vast lands as their national ideology. They despise us, but they also despise themselves. We have a glorious Constitution, and they have an endless land acknowledgment.

The Canadians harken back to their European roots in other ways too, such as a hatred of free speech and dissent. After all, they were never man enough to throw out the Brits or the French, and now they have fully embraced the same kind of supine and feminine national identity that focuses on crushing actual Canadians and importing the entire Third World to replace them. And like the Europeans, they won’t ever shut up about their free healthcare, bragging about it endlessly to us and complaining endlessly to each other about having to wait six months for a blood transfusion. Pro tip: When you’re in one of their clinics, if you can ever get in, just remember to keep smiling and appearing happy; otherwise, they’re going to recommend you for medical termination.

One of Donald Trump’s great qualities is that he refuses to obey the dictates of America’s foreign-policy elite consensus. That consensus was to let the Canadians keep drafting off us on defense, trade, and the Chinese communist infiltration that has corrupted their entire government. We’re supposed to ignore all that because Canadians are nice, but Trump’s not nice. Trump actually cares about America’s national interest, and it’s not in our interest to carry Canada’s rucksack any longer or to open our markets to it. At the same time, it closes its doors to ours and allows our great enemy a foothold on the frozen tundra above us. That’s why he has been hard on Canada, and that’s why Canada is whining like a little girl.

Canada has not been marching beside us, its allegedly closest ally, for a long time. It’s been half-stepping. Now, the argument you hear back is that Canada came to our aid after 9/11 and lost 158 soldiers in Afghanistan, so we should shut up and take whatever they give us, or not give us, as the case may be. Baloney. No one minimizes or belittles the death of those heroes. Their forces were studs, and you can’t say that about all the Allied forces by a long shot. Every American who’s worked with Canadians, including yours truly, respected them as tough and dauntless warriors. You talk bad about the Canadians who served with Americans overseas, and an American soldier will deck you.

But what happened yesterday doesn’t give a free pass for what needs to happen today. The last Canadian killed in Afghanistan died 15 years ago, when they pulled out of combat operations. That’s a decade and a half. That’s a long time. We appreciate that they came, but let’s be real. That was their obligation as a NATO ally when we, a NATO ally, were attacked. They didn’t do us a favor; they did their duty under the treaty. Moreover, those semi-human Islamist scumbags murdered 24 Canadian citizens — they were avenging their own as well as ours.

They deliberately chose to stop having a military and let us do it for them. Today, Canada has no real army, no real navy, and no real air force. The once-mighty Canadian military is now a micro-military more focused on DEI than making the enemy DOA. It shamelessly lets the United States defend North America, Europe, and the rest of the world alone. It has no capacity to project power. It’s not in the Red Sea, it’s not in the Persian Gulf, it’s not anywhere helping us do the heavy lifting of keeping the world free.

And that’s just the way Canada wants it, because it doesn’t want to spend the money and it doesn’t want to dirty its soft, girlish hands helping big, mean America. Moreover, its communist Chinese masters love having a disarmed and vulnerable pseudo-ally right next to the CCP’s main adversary. Canada has long failed to pay its share of NATO, and Trump isn’t going to tolerate that. No American should tolerate that. But the Democrats do, because if Trump wants it, they have to oppose it, even if it means opposing America.

Democrats call that a “win-win.”

Canada’s military free-riding is only surpassed by its fake free-trade free-riding. Not only do they restrict American imports to their own advantage, but they demand America open its markets to them. Worse, they allow Chinese commodities and products in and let them be transshipped into the United States to circumvent tariffs on China. Again, Trump doesn’t understand the idea that we are somehow morally obligated to allow lesser nations to take advantage of us. This is a right and proper attitude, but because it’s Trump, it has to be bad. That’s one reason Democrats are so eager to take the side of a foreign country screwing over the United States on trade. The other reason is Democrats despise America.

And let’s face it: Canada isn’t anything like a real democracy. It holds no moral high ground. It persecutes people for speaking. It murders those it deems a burden on society. It embraces every disgusting aspect of DEI, including having a justice system that treats different races differently. You can be destroyed for saying things in Canada — financially and maybe even placed in prison. You are also unable to enjoy the God-given right to keep and bear arms; the government keeps a monopoly on lethal force, meaning it keeps a monopoly on power, and those who should be citizens are merely subjects. It’s frankly disgusting, and a country like that is unworthy of our friendship.

Read more …

It’ll warn first.

Moscow Warns It Could Target British Military Facilities (ZH)

From the very start of the Ukraine war, the United Kingdom has consistently been among Kiev’s most open and ardent military supporters, time and again transferring heavy weaponry, including cutting edge long-range missiles like the Storm Shadow. At the start of this week, Britain announced it plans to provide Ukraine with classified technology to allow for the country’s own manufacturing of the British/French-designed SCALP air-launched cruise missile (which in the UK is known as the Storm Shadow). The allies expect to set up a production line in Ukraine as soon as year’s end.


Already, Ukraine has used its domestic-made and designed Neptune cruise missile to strike oil refineries and military sites deep inside Russian territory. A domestic-made SCALP would present the likelihood of Ukraine then using this Western-designed missile to directly attack Russia, which only increases the chances of an eventual Moscow-NATO clash. Ukrainian forces already appeared to have used the missile on Donetsk and other locations closer to front lines in the Donbass.

On Thursday the Kremlin has issued one of its strongest warnings and threats aimed at London to date, accusing the UK of “fully taking part in the war on Kiev’s side” – and thus thwarting any chance of peace talks while adding fuel to the fire. Moscow is now saying that the UK’s own military facilities could become fair game for direct attacks.

Kremlin spokesperson Maria Zakharova said in a Thursday press briefing, “We have repeatedly warned that the response to Ukrainian strikes using British weapons against Russian territory could be directed against any British military facilities and equipment in Ukraine and beyond.” Zakharova urged “all residents of the United Kingdom to think about the inevitable, catastrophic consequences of the hostile steps taken by their own authorities.” She also laid out:

“We propose that the British leadership once again carefully analyze the situation and immediately, in the most resolute and unequivocal manner, abandon the hostile, aggressive line, which can only… create the risk of the conflict escalating to an entirely new level.” Ironically this comes just on the heels of a rare visit of the CIA Director to Moscow. US officials claim the Tuesday meeting between John Ratcliffe and top Kremlin intelligence officials was to convey a warning to President Putin to not attack any NATO member. However, many analysts are skeptical that this was the official reason.

Read more …

A demand of over $1.4 trillion bought off for 11.2 billion. What’s not to like?

Monopoly Money: Why Meta “Likes” the $16 Billion Settlement (Turley)

It is not every day that a company can settle a case for over $16 billion and celebrate. However, Meta’s settlement with 29 states is a remarkably good deal for a company facing a demand of over $1.4 trillion and years of litigation. In the end, it may not even take a loss from the litigation. The settlement ends the latest mass liability case, following similar settlements in tobacco, opiates, and other products. It will require Meta to make changes to its platform, though the company already appeared to be moving to make such changes.


The maximum payment of closer to $17 billion is tied to whether competing platforms (like TikTok and YouTube) adopt parallel protections for children. Otherwise, the company is on the hook for at least $12.1 billion over 10 years under the agreement. The company agreed to impose daily time limits for underage users as well as “nighttime blocks” from midnight to 6 am (as well as notifications linked to school hours).

It is doubtful that these “fixes” will actually fix the problem. Social media is enormously popular with adults and children alike. It is also ubiquitous and accessible, particularly for tech-savvy kids. The burden will remain with parents regarding access to and use of social media, not the company.

Meta was looking at a long slog in the courts. Some of us were skeptical of the legal basis for some of these claims. The line between a popular and an “addictive” product is fairly subjective. It was hard to see where the line would have been drawn in this litigation. However, Meta likely would have faced similar demands for changes to its platforms through legislation even if it prevailed in litigation.

Those legal questions will now have to wait for another test case. The settlement leaves other companies in a more exposed position. This massive settlement is like a dinner gong for plaintiff’s lawyers who will now fan out in packs in pursuit of companies like dusk on the Serengeti. Companies are already facing thousands of such lawsuits. Meta has already lost cases in California and New Mexico over consumer safety and negligence claims. The priority was to limit the potential damages rather than to make new law.

The actual damages are not as daunting as it may seem. The tobacco multistate settlement was over $206 billion, not counting separate state settlements worth tens of millions more. The opiate settlements resulted in damages of roughly $60 billion.

Even at $16 billion, for a company the size of Meta, this is like monopoly money (literally so, if you ask some critics). The value of settling the case alone can wipe out that loss through stock-market gains and other pricing changes. After the tobacco settlement, companies like Philip Morris enjoyed market gains that effectively washed out the loss. Moreover, these companies enjoyed a very inelastic market, so they internalized costs with price hikes that left smokers holding the bag.

Ironically, if social media is as addictive as claimed by litigants, the market is equally inelastic. Big media will be able to easily recoup these damages as did Big Tobacco. Much of these damages will ultimately be passed on to and borne by social media users, operating like a tax for states receiving the funds.

The platform will clearly make positive changes that will assist parents. These are straightforward changes that have long been needed. Hopefully, these states will not just take this money and run as many did with the tobacco windfall. Instead, it would be a great help if the money went to enhancing programs for child mental illness.

Social media remains one of the most transformative inventions in history, including a powerful tool for free speech and political discourse. That popularity comes at a price. It will remain part of our social fabric, as are alcohol and tobacco products despite their abuse.

Meta did not create these social costs alone. We all did. We found ourselves overwhelmed by a technology with endless applications and potential for expression. This settlement will not erase those social costs any more than the tobacco settlement erased cancer or the opiate settlement erased addiction. The ultimate child-protection regulation will remain parents monitoring and educating their own children.

Meta’s corporate slogan, “Meta, Metamates, and Me,” may capture the problem. It is often hard for people to separate themselves from their virtual selves. This is a technology that is both liberating and captivating. Ultimately, despite the progress under this agreement, no settlement will protect us from ourselves.

Read more …

From Dutch news. Crude machine translation.

Chipmaker Nvidia Arranges Funding For Its Own Clients (NOS)

The American chipmaker Nvidia, the most valuable company in the world, is engaged in something remarkable: ensuring that its customers have enough money so that they can buy (even more) Nvidia chips. Nvidia’s computer chips have made the company enormous, because they are necessary for developments in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The AI chips that Nvidia designs are purchased by large tech companies. They use the computing power to develop AI programs themselves, or rent out the computing power to smaller companies that cannot or do not want to buy the chips themselves.


Nvidia is very dependent on those large customers, says Dennis Vink, professor of corporate finance at Nyenrode Business University and holder of Nvidia shares. “If one of those major customers drops out, Nvidia immediately loses a large part of its revenue. That is why they want to ensure that more customers can buy their chips.” To achieve this, Nvidia is having investment firms raise 500 billion dollars (429 billion euros), as it recently announced. That money is intended for Nvidia customers: companies that also want to use AI chips, but have less money than the big tech companies.

Tens of thousands of euros per chip
“Nvidia wants the market for AI chips to grow,” says Arnout Boot, Professor of Corporate Finance at the University of Amsterdam. “So they ensure that their customers have the money to invest in Nvidia chips. These are not the Googles and Amazons of this world, but the companies that use computing capacity. That amounts to thousands of companies.”

Reson8 is one such company. “We build AI applications that convert speech to text, for example between a doctor and a patient,” says founder Thomas Kluiters. The Nvidia chips are needed to develop this type of program: the AI industry calls this ‘training’ the program.

[..] “At the moment, those chips cost between 20,000 and 60,000 dollars each,” he says. “You need many dozens of these types of chips, plus other equipment. That means we are quite dependent on Nvidia. They simply make the best chips. We cannot find an alternative for that anytime soon.”

Due to this role in the AI industry, Nvidia has grown very strongly in recent years and is earning enormous amounts of money. Last night, the company announced that it made a profit of 59.7 billion dollars (over 51 billion euros) over the past three months. Since 2024, it has recorded a total profit of more than 300 billion dollars.

Competition is a risk for NVIDIA
Nevertheless, Nvidia is not going to front that 500 billion dollar pot to its customers itself, if it materializes. It is the investment firms that raise the money and then lend it to companies that want to buy the AI chips.

A smart way to do it, according to Vink of Nyenrode University. “In the short term, the risks for Nvidia itself are limited,” he says. “That lies with the investment firms. They aren’t stupid either: they will take a close look at the financial standing of such a company. A bank doesn’t just lend you money without looking at your situation either.”

Nvidia can, however, play a role in the agreements an investment firm makes with such a company by acting as guarantor for part of the loan. That means Nvidia takes on part of the risk, giving investors a little more certainty that they will at least get part of their money back if something goes wrong, says UvA professor Boot. “Nvidia can do this because they have an exceptionally strong position.”

Despite the billions it earns, there is still a risk, says Boot. “Developments in the field of AI are very uncertain. Nvidia chips are still very important right now, but what exactly does the future hold? What is the competition doing? In this risky world, nothing is ruled out.”

“It is a serious risk for Nvidia if competitors develop AI chips that are just as good,” Vink also says. That is another reason why the company is securing funding to acquire new customers, he says. “They are trying to make them dependent on Nvidia chips, because they want to remain the absolute biggest in this market.”

Read more …

The West sees itself as the winner of the cold war. Russia does not see itself as the loser.

Why August 1991 Failed To Bring Peace Between Russia And The West (Bordachev)

Thirty-five years have passed since the dramatic events of August 1991 in Moscow which marked, more clearly than any later declaration or diplomatic ceremony, the end of the era we call the Cold War. The failed ‘August Coup’ attempt to preserve the Soviet Union made continuation of the old confrontation impossible given one of its principal participants had effectively left the battlefield. Everything that followed, including the formal dissolution of the USSR in December 1991, merely recorded a change that had already taken place.


The essential fact was that the Soviet Union, and subsequently Russia, could no longer sustain the material and political foundations required to continue the struggle. There were many reasons for this, but foremost among them was the exhaustion of the Soviet model of state governance. Moscow therefore chose to end the confrontation. This was historically unusual because Russia hadn’t been defeated on the battlefield or forced to surrender, and the Cold War ended because of internal political change and a voluntary decision by the Soviet leadership.

Paradoxically, this peaceful ending helped make a future confrontation more likely. The principal reason was simple: the Western powers, led by the United States, regarded the end of the Cold War as a victory, but Russia didn’t regard itself as a defeated country. That contradiction became one of the central problems of the post-Cold War order. Great nuclear powers such as Russia, the United States, and China cannot realistically be defeated militarily without risking mutual destruction, thus the greatest threats to such states therefore tend to come from within through political dysfunction, economic weakness, poor governance, and social instability.

We can see something similar today in the United States. It remains the strongest individual power in the international system, but domestic conflict increasingly limits the effectiveness of its foreign policy. Meanwhile, China places internal stability and development at the center of its strategic thinking precisely because its leaders understand that domestic cohesion ultimately determines external strength. The same logic shaped the Cold War because once Washington and Moscow accumulated enormous nuclear arsenals, direct military conflict became irrational.

The confrontation instead developed according to what George Kennan described as containment in restricting Soviet influence and applying pressure across numerous fronts while avoiding a direct war between the superpowers.But we shouldn’t romanticize this arrangement because the Cold War was still a war in the political sense and the objective of the Soviet Union’s adversaries wasn’t simply peaceful coexistence, rather it was the containment and ultimately neutralization of their opponent.

From Moscow’s perspective, this amounted to a struggle against Russia itself, which at that particular historical moment existed politically and economically in the form of the Soviet state. The relative stability created by nuclear deterrence certainly encouraged a degree of mutual respect as it forced both sides to search for peaceful solutions even during serious crises. However, none of this removed the fundamental Western strategic objective which was victory over the Soviet adversary.

When the Soviet Union disappeared, therefore, Western capitals naturally interpreted the event as the achievement of that objective, but the victory was incomplete. Russia had lost the geopolitical struggle but had not been defeated in the traditional sense. Its territory hadn’t been occupied and its armed forces hadn’t surrendered, so Russians could therefore reasonably believe that the changes of 1989-91 were the result of decisions taken in Moscow rather than terms imposed by a victorious enemy and that distinction proved enormously important.

It also explains why comparisons with France after 1815 or Germany after 1945 are misleading as both countries were militarily defeated before being incorporated into new international systems established by the victors. France was reintegrated into the European order after Napoleon because Russia, Britain, Austria, and Prussia quickly developed disagreements of their own so Paris could therefore play a useful balancing role within the Concert of Europe.

Nothing comparable existed after 1991 when the Western coalition was unusually united and organized around NATO under American leadership and there was no internal balance of power in which Russia could become an indispensable partner. The comparison with West Germany after 1945 is even less convincing. West Germany entered NATO and the emerging European institutions while foreign troops remained on its territory and its sovereignty was sharply constrained by the consequences of military defeat. No comparable arrangement could conceivably have been imposed upon Russia.

After 1991, the central problem was never resolved given that the West saw itself as the victor of the Cold War and wanted to construct a political order reflecting that victory. Russia, on the other hand, saw itself as a sovereign great power that had voluntarily abandoned the previous confrontation and expected to participate in the new order on that basis and these expectations were fundamentally incompatible.

Read more …

 

 

 

 

https://twitter.com/TRobinsonNewEra/status/2092661241315512654?s=20

 

 

 

 

Support the Automatic Earth in wartime with Paypal, Bitcoin and Patreon.

 

 

 

 

 

Home Forums Debt Rattle August 28 2026

Viewing 31 posts - 1 through 31 (of 31 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #248562

    Rembrandt van Rijn Old Man Sitting 1631 • Kuwait, Qatar Ramp Up Hormuz Oil, Oman-Iran Talks Ease Supply Fears (ZH) • Iran and Oman Agree to Share Stra
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle August 28 2026]

    #248575
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    How the USA Got Rich. Hint: NOT the ‘American System’ of Industrial Protection

    #248576
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    The Ecocidal History of the U.S.

    #248577
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Today and the plunder continues

    #248578
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    They have become a class of parasites

    #248579
    Dr. D
    Participant

    “In Dolly Parton’s theology, God and acceptance shared the same stage” The Associated Press

    See what I mean? “God called: he said you can do whatever you want.”

    Article: “But for many Christian members of the LGBTQ+ community who struggled to reconcile their sexuality and gender identity with the intolerant beliefs they were taught” – Article reputedly about Dolly Parton, after spending 95% bashing Christians.

    Glad to know those are the only people who matter. The only fact we need about your immortal soul is where you put your pee-pee. According to this author, there is no religion but homosexuality. That is the sum total of the message of all prophets worldwide. No other topics exist for God or for the culture at large.

    Thankfully this is perfectly normal and all the REST of every society worldwide for the last 10,000 years are the weird ones, ackshully. Weird how the nation you were born in happened to be perfect and everyone else was an idiot, but someone has to win the lottery I guess. That’s the objective, insightful reporting I’ve come to expect from AP.

    “It says here in this history book that luckily, the good guys have won every single time. What are the odds?” -Norm MacDonald”

    “Top Commanders Told Hegseth Not to Cut Civilian Protection Program, Poll Showed. He Did It Anyway.” –ProPublica

    The boss does what he wants and not the subordinates. This is a revelation and an offront. Hegseth is also DefSec, the top position. This is also news. But this makes sense coming from a group that can’t define what a Woman is: how would they be capable of knowing that far more elusive concept of having a “Boss”? Surely a “Boss” is whoever decides they are that moment, right?

    “Fed Governor Targeted by Trump Issues Defense Against Attempted Ouster
    Lisa D. Cook hit back at President Trump’s allegations that she had committed mortgage fraud.” The New York Times

    She literally committed open, provable financial fraud. Many times. This is what “Targeting” means. It means “We’re enforcing the law and prosecuting felonies for the first time in 20 years”. Oh wait, no: they are only removing her JOB, and NOT yet jailing her for provable financial fraud. They still throw a gear. But this is the NY Times: they would protect any rapist or criminal they can find worldwide.

    This is promoted and fed as a top news article, which is why I see it, not because I looked. So of a billion articles today, why is this the most important, Mr. Newsfeed? Yes, known criminals being punished for fraud – ever – IS news. But that’s not your headline, is it? This poor, sad felon, she dinno nuffin’ ‘bout no financial laws! That’s why she’s on the Fed! Regulating YOU. She and Geithner both. AND Biden, AND Pelosi, AND ….

    “‘I don’t think he’s dead,’ Trump says of Iranian leader amid speculation
    The Atlantic reported Tehran is “abuzz” with talk of Khamenei’s death and cited unnamed sources who speculated that he eventually died of his injuries.” USA TODAY

    USA Today, must be true. Especially if there are “Unnamed sources.” The more unnamed the better, I say!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IHPV7i-gfj4 “Don’t hurt the face, I’m an Actor.”

    How do you kill a guy who was never real to begin with? Trump’s second double asks. Who is at least more convincing than Biden’s second double, 6 inches taller than yesterday.

    See what I mean? They’re asking, “Do you think they’ll keep this guy going and trot out his brand?” “Sure, There’s more mileage to be had and lying doesn’t cost anything. Why not?”

    “Republicans face midterm verdict as Iran war drags on longer than Trump promised
    The Iran war has reshaped the rapidly approaching midterm elections \.” ABC News

    Makin’ S—t up, Trump didn’t promise anything. He said “No forever wars” political blather that means nothing, we’re at least 99 years short of “Forever.” And Iran has not reshaped the midterms at all, ABC, which your polls clearly prove. But ABC knows ABC’s polls can’t be trusted.

    For instance, dismal dumbf—k Graham got in in South Carolina on Trump’s word alone. But heck, McConnell may be dead, who knows if as above, Lindsay’s been dead a year too and his sister has been the brains for years. Anyway proves Trump’s word is better than ever, so Iran absolutely can NOT be reshaping votes.

    ABC News reports it? It’s false. Don’t even bother checking, it’s false. They opened their mouth, haven’t even made a sound yet? It’s false.

    “The Trump impeachment figure lost in a stunning primary upset in Florida”

    No reshaping. Anyone MAGA is winning, roughly. Because everyone else is “Establishment”, Left or Right, makes no difference, they’re identical.

    “Exclusive: can Trump get an exit without calling it an exit?” Pepe Escobar

    Pepe, the man who would kill every man on earth rather than consider peace. Where’s my $200,000 dollar oil, Pepe? Where’s even my $200? Yesterday you backed-into the position that Trump controls the Straits. But we lost and already signed the surrender, boss. What gives?

    “Both sides are trying to create sufficient political space to move backward without publicly admitting they have moved backward.”

    Iran is surrendering. Pepe says. Got it. Wait: Why not just SAY that, Pepe, man?

    “Above all: he needs an exit that does not look like an exit.”

    As above, Trump needs no exit nor anything else at all. Bond guys are confirming the U.S. economy is raging, faster than anytime since the mid-80s. Midterms are not in play, for so, so many reasons. Trump himself doesn’t have to be re-elected, Oil is nowhere, very normal. US Dollar, bonds all awesome all our competitors, Japan, Germany, toast!

    Wtf would we ever “Exit”, man? For the love of God keep the strait closed and Iran just like this for a generation. They’re winning amazingly you say, so you won’t mind, right? Iran has never been better, stronger, happier, or more prosperous.

    So, once again: Tehran has not folded. On the contrary: demands remain very hard.”

    Totally agree! However Iran has no POWER to act or do anything. So matters not their will when they have no remaining assets to enforce it. I’ve been saying this for some 40 days now? Welcome to the party, pal.

    Pepe: Almost supernatural capacity for being wrong. Day after day.

    “A warning for the “West.” The cycle of plunder. They’ll migrate like fleas leave a dead organism.”

    You’re right! But there is no “West”. Everyone from all the other nations will migrate from them TO the U.S. Where am I going? Germany? Spain? England? Japan? F– no! And not Canada, which is measurably almost the WORST of them. Should have kept that chart, but I think of all G12 countries, Canada is dead-last over the last 20 years, rivaling Ukraine – not even close. I’ll find it sometime.

    “*No — Trump’s claim of “24 ships a day going through the Strait of Hormuz” is *not supported* by any verified data.**

    The word of the President and all his government is no longer “Verified Data” to be considered? Wow! I am SO on board with this, CoPilot! Now I want you not to believe ANYTHING, ANY government says, see how it works for ya. We’ll believe (checks notes) Political Action Committees and democratic political Corporations. And Raytheon. And not believe the NIH and Covid.

    Yup, people who read Top Secret reports all day are idiots! Now CoPilot tell me every Intel Agency is always dead-wrong. NOPE! CoPilot picks when the President and SecDef says is true, and when they’re not.

    Think for a second: IF you wanted to make a s—t ton of money and only had to turn off your transponder, to risk getting hit by a smoke bomb, would you do it? Uhhh…Yes? And they’re claiming ZERO captains and shipping companies on earth like money, that’s your argument? I mean, triple the numbers, they’re possible. ZERO? No way.

    No point carrying on line by line about how day after day proving Iran has nothing, economy is fine, midterms not in play. But let’s go back to bond traders, who are the most-right of any market, and who say the same. Trillions are flooding into the U.S., oil is nowhere at $80, USDX is 99 unchanged, gold barely around, not even covering past inflation, because every trader on earth has no idea what they’re doing.

    Okay, how have market predictions done the last 180 days? Did they predict then? All markets on earth are wrong you say, not one, not a few, ALL. How exactly? Wouldn’t we see spillover pressure, SOMEWHERE?

    The Yen trade is an example, it was reported therefore it was a lie. Apparently Bessant did NOTHING. He spoke. His plan is to set up funds to maybe do something in NOVEMBER, after the elections. The money he put in was not even a rounding error, laughable, like $4B in a $40,000B market. THIS is what got all the news to lose their minds about bailouts: what hasn’t happened yet.

    Okay, so what is he doing with it? Apparently, normalizing the Yield curve. That’s it. The market has been manipulated for so long, every price in it is junk. But we can’t get OFF manipulation cold-turkey, it will blow up and the patient will die. So he’s tipping the short bonds down to match the long bonds the Fed has no control over. “Time Preference of Money”. If you borrow LONGER it costs more. That’s it. He said Wall St is going to eat it, capital is going to Main St, so get with the program. And we has the money to keep things stable, so don’t worry about that in risk, we got your back. Just do work. The tiny amount of money he proposes CAN do this, which is healthy and needs to be done.

    “Martin Armstrong: Economic Collapse Has Started & the EU Will Break Up”

    EU is dead but the money will not flow to the U.S., which has everything including law and cheap energy, got it. It’s going to flow to the third planet off Betelgeuse. Use your head.

    “The Russians are being attacked by us, not the other way round”

    This is why America has no men, no money, and no weapons there. Oh by “Us” you mean ENGLAND? In that case, totally yes. England and Europe are the ONLY attackers of Russia.

    “The US is trying to break Canada up”

    World’s easiest solve: Stop screwing your people hollow. They have no need to join with us unless you make them, and honestly, pretty sure no one here wants them. You’re not a prize.

    “Michael Hudson: This Is How The Dollar System Will Actually Break | GEH w/ Radhika Desai”

    The dollar is stronger, deeper, more used, and better backed with assets and productive capacity than any time in the last 25 years. But you’re an Economist: look at the Bond market and the Currency trade percentage.

    “Data on Russia’s upcoming Missile Strike on BRITAIN was leaked after the CIA Boss visited MOSCOW”

    Ygtbfkm. I don’t have time for every dumb thing drunks and retards say. Use your head and analyze this.

    So Russia “Is just gonna” nuke London. Just, “Hey it’s Thursday, how’s the calendar look, Boris?” That’s your argument?
    NO but Russia might let it out to WARN people to FAFO. To the people. Anyone with brains knows this is bunk. SERIOUS bunk, but still bunk.

    “Simplicius, CIA Director’s Mystery Moscow Trip Sparks Wild Speculations
    ..WSJ theorizes that the visit may have something to do with the US’s intelligence…”

    You quoted WSJ? Simplicius is out of commission as a reference point forever in my estimation now. Nice to know you. But last few months…then last week I did a line by line, now this, the WSJ? Are you High AF, man? Respect yourself! Get off the Crack!

    “HOW CHINA FLIPPED THE SCRIPT OF IRAN WAR /Col Lawrence Wilkerson”

    Script is exactly the same. Nothing has changed. But I can say “Words” out my “Air hole.” Verbs are cheap, I was gonna breathe anyway, why not lie?

    #248580
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Glad to know the U.S. never invented like literally everything, the plow, the airplane, the internet, and went to the moon.

    Nope, never happened, no work was done because I have fee-fees about being mad now.

    #248586
    Dr. D
    Participant

    sin
    Ha ha! Fair’s Fair.

    Moody’s Downgrades Baltimore City’s Credit Rating Amid Population Collapse Every blue city. Every.
    Blue wave for elections. Waving Bye-bye.

    “”Most Jobs Will Disappear Forever”: Bill Gates Calls For Taxes On AI And Robots To Protect Jobs For Humans

    Billionaires and corporations just won’t pay them. Like Musk. They can transfer this money to the people using UBI: 1) That will make everyone on the planet a welfare queen, behaving badly, it is abhorrent to the human psyche 2) This will be more abhorrent as if you get uppity, they’ll shut your UBI off and you’ll starve. Or wait: Rich Pepo never act dat way. It has never been known.

    “White Prisoners In UK Being Forced To Convert By Muslim Gangs: Report
    One in five Muslim inmates now white as Islamist control grows behind bars…

    I suspect that’s a human rights violation? What’s the harm? A: They’re coming to your house as a gang after you get out. And wanting things. And the police will help them. Better not have a 12 year old.

    But that’s a crime! Yes, a British government specialty. Restrain them. Committing crimes is what governments do.

    “US Now Desperate To Manipulate Gold Price To $17,000-$20,000 Or Higher  KWN

    Whut? A minute ago the U.S. was desperate NOT to do this. Because that’s “The Dollar (system) Collapsing”.
    Everyone is desperate all the time. I wake up, desperate to get out of bed. Then I panic and eat desperate corn flakes.
    No one is desperate, no one is panicking. Generals general, make and run plans, then golf. Bessant sells bonds after tracking 200 markets and goes out for drinks at the best restaurants. Y’all run your lives on the emotions of 10 year olds, worried Chelsea doesn’t like you anymore. JUST BE NORMAL. Go to work. Just do things. No one is having emotions, they’re adults and think instead. Or everyone but YOU , I guess.

    “Trump says he believes Russia and the People of Ukraine are willing to make a deal, but that Zelensky is not.”

    That can’t be right. The U.S. is alone attacking Russia with no guns, money, or soldiers, while poor Europe looks on in horror, trying to stop us. (But doing nothing.) Right? That’s what I hear from everyone, especially the Alexes.
    While this looks like the US-Russia are ALLIES at least, coordinating their moves worldwide AGAINST Europe and the Globalists. Again. And again.

    ““An Iran-Oman framework for a ‘temporary joint maritime corridor’ is pulling oil lower. It remains difficult to envision how the US would sign off on this given the concurrent ratcheting up of economic pressure,” UBS analyst Justinus Steinhorst wrote”

    I don’t understand. You say “Okay” and it’s done. There are no obstacles at all. Same as changing the names of lakes. You can Just Do Things. All things are possible. Just act. You’re living in a prison of your mind.

    “It may be to the regime’s capacity to function as a coherent government.”

    This happened the instant Project Mosaic came into effect. Iran ceased to be a country, but is now 31 countries. Okay then, but that has consequences.

    “Washington’s secondary sanctions reach further into the Chinese “teapot” refineries and shell-company networks that make the evasion possible.”

    Just throwing this in, Bessant is attacking CANADIAN Banks, isn’t he? Or will here? Canada has some of deeply nefarious banks, TD, Scotia, who are regularly implicated in breathtaking frauds around them. So I’d eat my hat if they didn’t have dealings with Iran too, as a front and service corridor to the British dark banking system. This DOES match the breakoff of trade negotiations, although that may still be coincidence. This is a good example of “We’re not sanctioning Iran”. We’re sanctioning YOU. You are all the ones who signed on that Iran was a terrorist network back when. Now act like it when you’re making billions in profits banking for them, same as Drug Cartels and Arms Dealers. You signed on, then raised prices while banking every criminal worldwide.

    Again, Iran is not “Bartering” and shipping out Rials on a donkey. The numbers are too large, same as we are not shipping heroin out of Afghanistan in a technical: the volumes means it can only leave in one C130 after another, with the full support of the United States. And you say they “Can’t” be shut off? How? No one’s ever tried, ‘cause it’s certainly possible if you try at all.

    “Iran” is also like the rest of them, the Escobars, the Soviets, all ship their kids to Paris and Eton, and they need to pay for those Swiss ski vacations and private schools like North Korea does, and Editors from the NY Times who are “Just normal poor girls” and not privileged at all. So they are BANKING. In a huge way. In Zurich. And everyone knows it. Don’t piss on Bessant and tell him it’s raining. EVERYBODY KNOWS, Mr. Cohen.

    “• Secretary Marco Rubio Suspends all Visa Reviews and Interviews (CTH)

    More than this, The U.S. said “Oh yeah, I mean, obviously your Visa interview is in your home in India, ‘cause it wouldn’t be legal for you to be in the U.S. yet, right? “Oh right!” …all illegals fly home and book the interview.

    “Oh yeah, change of plans: due to unexpected volume of applicants, we can only get you an appointment in 2049, June maybe. We’ll call you then, Mr. Mumbai.”

    So another million fly home and are trapped. Trapped in their HOME. Oh noes! Not “Home”! How dare you send me to my country with all my family and not taking an American job!”

    Oh well, just can’t trust governments and bureaucracies, I guess.

    Other news: We are deporting people to any country we feel like. Like Cubans being dropped into Central Congo. Here’s a phone for your human rights lawyer. Maybe you can think about how much less expensive it would be to, you know, leave at your own will next time, and not f—k with the entire combined U.S. Government. It has been suggested, I dunno, somewhere in the past, that the U.S. government can be capricious, violent and unjust? YOU yourself said we were, rioted, waved a Mexican flag on a burning police car, and…this?

    …This man stays up nights beating people to a pulp for amusement, and your plan is to…blackmail that man? Well good luck!

    This is where I say “What they believe they don’t believe, they actually believe something different.” and yeah, we all know. You’re not fooling anybody, you’re just a punk. We just haven’t run out of patience to do anything about it yet. Even these moves are “All in good fun” practical joke stuff. Don’t make us lose patience.

    Remember last time that happened, two cities got nuked and we weren’t sorry. Even now. Just apologize to the man and carry on with your day.

    Now. While we find your antics amusing and merely play practical jokes in return, Europe may not be in an equally jocular mood. Perhaps do a Steve Miller and Take the money and run.

    “. is New York City, a city whose white ethnic population is only 16% of the population still an American city?”

    Not really the point, but aren’t like half of them illegal? And therefore not Americans at all? Legally, socially, historically, culturally? At all? See: London.

    “53 years ago the French response was to dismiss Raspail’s effort as a dystopian novel and do nothing.”

    As with American Conservatives since 1949. We said about Hollywood, The Authoritarian State, Communism, the Pill, and everything else correctly for generations. Literally no observation. Just as dumb a minute later after being right non-stop since, I dunno, Thomas Jefferson or something.

    So? Yeah, and since Conservatives are a very practical people, though far, far too optimistic, they settled on the only thing that works, as it works for any addict: letting you do it and die. Not being your codependent. Your husband, your ex. Go ahead and be crazy. We won’t stop you. Everyone needs to know, and know the fruits of being Crazy and Evil AF. Apparently nothing else will do, or we would do it. Like God himself, we don’t want you to choose sin and death, but Free Will, ya know?

    “what the hell are the Canadians thinking? Do they think that if they cry enough, America’s going to roll over?”

    No. Obviously. Carney is not stupid, he’s up to something. And that something is so wonderful he can’t tell you, because it’s putting every Canadian into a meat grinder to stop the United States from having sovereignty. Slow us down by a few months. And not that we also don’t know what it is. Doubtless our intel on Canada is above all other nations.

    “They deliberately chose to stop having a military and let us do it for them. Today, Canada has no real army, no real navy, and no real air force. The once-mighty Canadian military is now a micro-military more focused on DEI than making the enemy DOA”

    This is worse than you can imagine. I have links but why bother. The point is, the only reason Canada has National Non-care, where you’re easily going to die before seeing that second doctor appointment, and the wait in the smallest, easiest province, PEI, is 6 months, is because we are their entire military. Yeah, you CAN save money when you do that! Who knew? But that cost is still paid. Now that Trump is Hitler, they …do literally nothing. Not a single rifle is purchased, not one man is trained. …Not that they would ever train a man if they could help it. What are you doing? This doesn’t come from having to be like us, just basic common sense, and believing what you claim you believe. So ACT like it.

    This is also the same with all Europe, but a teeny bit less so. They paid HALF what they promised, for 30 years, most of that was also fraud (claiming like a visitor’s center or power plant was actually “NATO”, it’s complicated) THEN start a world war with the largest nation they can find, STILL spend zero money and train zero men, attack us for not having health care, tariff every company they can find almost hourly, and STILL look to us to fight the war for them ‘cause they’re sissies and can’t be arsed. Even to uphold the most BASIC human rights – you know, the thing that makes us “Allies” in the first place? Things like “Rape is bad m’kay”? Like your ex-wife, “We just have to” because we exist and are your eternal slave. No. Not really, thanks.

    That doubles for the next article, where THERE IS NO UKRAINE, only England, alone. They are all the direction, weapons, planning, positioning, puppeting Europe, and profiting. Yeah, um, do you SEE yourself, sir? You’ve taken leave of your senses, and twice so if you think we’re going to help. I’m not even sure EUROPE would bomb Russia without direct blackmail from London.

    “• Why August 1991 Failed To Bring Peace Between Russia And The West (Bordachev)

    Clinton, obviously. He led the next 8 years, right? Oh it’s not him? Then would you like to tell me who runs Presidents around like finger puppets?

    Russia was NOT the loser. And this was from Reagan, directly. Listen to what they SAY, literally say. “We ENDED the Cold War.” Not to WIN it. If we didn’t “Win” then they didn’t “Lose”. This was intolerable to Cheney and the NeoCons, they tried to shoot him, and never forgave him, nor any of us. They don’t’ want war ENDED. Like Pepe, they don’t want Peace – it never crosses their minds. Only WINNING. Our fee-fees, feeling the grinding of others, drinking wine from their skulls as their women are driven before me. NEVER people being left alone. Never.

    “SpaceX wants 30+ Starships going up every day.”

    Great! Um, why? Why would you do that? Is Mars filled with caramel nougat you need to mine and sell to eat here? Why? Would you like to share with us? Because everything you’ve said so far is a wicked lie.

    Let me help you: Aliens are real and there’s a giant comet coming that could cause 1,000 “Nepal Border Floods” an hour. But because you’re lying, conniving, anti-human fiends, you don’t just want to tell us. You want YOU to be safely off planet as a Plan B, while we all die, then come back and rule over us now-medieval peasants like a master race. Just say so! We understand. But lying day after day like this, I do not like.

    Why the Optimus Bots? Yes, exactly this. See Andor:

    These are his Optimus drones. Controlled by one man. Waiting for you today.

    Btw, this is NOT the vision of Tesla. At all. He DIED trying to give us free energy that would short-circuit exactly this personal power, per JP Morgan.

    For fun and profit, here’s what y’all sound like when talking about the Jooos, everywhere. …But then most of those commenters have moved on. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl62OUomg_I

    They literally think Americans will fall for the “It’s the Jooos” nonsense. Really? AFTER failing to start a race war after 40 years of non-stop trying?

    #248587
    kultsommer
    Participant

    Hope that rest of the mix will follow

    #248588
    kultsommer
    Participant
    #248589
    tboc
    Participant

    Hubbert’s curve seems to end in The Straits of Hormuz

    the degree of sophistication required to be beguiled by chemical rocketry is underwhelming
    makes me think of Naked Lunch
    are those knuckleheads thinking Dyson Sphere? that would be hilarious, doubt arises

    not to be nostalgic but the memory of laissez faire and open markets is as illusory today as were the concepts when they were the rage
    translated into street tilt heads tariffs say, “i’m gwine to da whowhouse and you gonna pay”.

    Hickory Dickery Dock
    Three mice ran up a clock
    The clock struck one
    and the other two escaped with minor injuries

    “are you trying to show contempt for this court?”
    “why no your honor,,,,,, I’m trying to hide it” -Mae West

    #248590
    zerosum
    Participant

    Copilot analysis of Dr. D.

    Critical Thinking with references

    Bottom line.

    It is worsts than you can imagine.

    It is illusional and not real.

    #248591
    charles
    Participant

    This is from Military Summary Telegram. No source is provided. Yet.
    https://t.me/militarysummary/30610

    The text
    🕵️‍♂️ SHOCKING REVELATION: Why Ratcliffe REALLY Came to Moscow
    Turns out, CIA intelligence planning relies exclusively on the Ukrainian DeepState cartographic service 🗺🇺🇦. And as we all know, that map has a *slight* tendency to diverge from reality. Just a tiny bit.
    So Ratcliffe flew to Moscow for exactly four hours — not for diplomacy, but to physically lay his own eyes on a proper Military Summary map and finally see what is *actually* happening at the front ⚔️📍.
    Four hours of looking at the real map — and he understood the situation for the Ukrainian Armed Forces is *maximally grim*

    I was having problems with all the imagined reasons being given for the trip. They all required people to be dumber and less informed than they probably are. Maybe. This reason fit into the puzzle very nice. From a source with near 100% accuracy.

    #248592
    zerosum
    Participant

    If you are looking for truth, try looking into supplied links.

    The True Extent of Fallout From US’s Defeat in Iran Is Still Being Processed
    Simplicius
    Aug 27, 2026

    https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/the-true-extent-of-fallout-from-uss
    ————
    Ukraine and World Affairs (including Iran/ME): Weekly Update
    28th August 2026
    Dr. Rob Campbell

    https://robcampbell.substack.com/p/ukraine-and-world-affairs-including-3e4
    ————-
    New US aircraft carrier strike group to be deployed against Iran in West Asia
    Plus other news and updates from Iran, Iraq, Turkey and Lebanon
    Ismaele
    Aug 27, 2026

    https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/new-us-aircraft-carrier-strike-group

    ————-

    Night of Massive Aerial Warfare💥 Drobropillya CAULDRON FORMS⚔️ Military Summary 2026.08.28


    ———–

    #248593
    zerosum
    Participant

    August 28, 2026
    Funny Media Speculations About CIA Ratcliffe’s Russia Visit
    On Wednesday CIA Director John Ratcliffe landed in Moscow for a few hours of talk with Russian security officials. The trip was no secret as the planes transporting Ratcliffe and his entourage were readily identified.

    There was no official announcement from either side about the content of the talks. U.S. media though were splattered with ‘leaks’ of more or less laughable details.

    Funny Media Speculations About CIA Ratcliffe’s Russia Visit


    ————-

    #248594
    charles
    Participant

    And an unrelated story. Just a story. Archiving is important to some of us in laptop land. Especially those of us that are coders not managers. Workflows are moving to Teams. Fine. Now I need to archive “Chats”. The fundamental Teams architecture prohibits archiving. Your privileges dont mean anything. Every little piece of the Chat is stored somewhere separate from the assembly instructions. Each and every one of those locations is under a separate license. If any one member of the chat departs, assembly is impossible unless you maintain (pay) zombie licensees.
    Going forward, any form of discovery. Legal. Technical. Any. Not happening. No more accountability. Chats should be illegal for Gov.

    #248596
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    INTERVIEW: Trump’s goal was to stop Iran’s nuclear programme and he’s failed

    #248598
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Richard Wolff: U.S. Empire COLLAPSING Fast, Trump’s Iran ‘D-Day BACKFIRES

    #248599
    zerosum
    Participant

    The 7.5 tcf discovery in Fars is real, confirmed, and widely reported.
    It represents one of Iran’s most significant gas finds in recent years.

    Iran announces 7.5-Tcf natural gas discovery in Fars province


    ———

    #248600
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    PERFIDIOUS ALBIO EP XVII W/HARLEY SCHLANGER – UK’S BURNHAM PUSHES FOR WORLD WAR 3 WITH RUSSIA

    #248601
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Russia’s Message to UK Over Storm Shadow Data Transfer to Ukraine | RU-EN

    #248602
    Michael Reid
    Participant
    #248603
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Empires and NATO 3.0. The Way Out of the Imperial Cage | Nel Bonilla

    #248604
    Michael Reid
    Participant
    #248605
    zerosum
    Participant

    The Russian Ministry of Defense reported the destruction of a Ukrainian Navy patrol boat over the past week, as well as eight naval vessels operating in the interests of the Ukrainian Armed Forces 🐽, including six cargo ships and two tankers.🇸🇪Against this backdrop, the Swedish government has urgently announced the delivery of ten high-speed boats from the Coast Guard to Ukraine. These are intended for the State Emergency Service of Ukraine.These could be Hydrolift S-24 boats, Cobra/RIB type boats, or similar vessels approximately 8-13 meters in length, which are being gradually decommissioned due to the delivery of a new series.✨Despite the fact that Ukraine has long become a recipient of various obsolete military scrap metal from the West, it still retains combat capabilities and is capable of inflicting damage on the Russian Federation.Lord of war
    🇺🇦 A complete disaster: Russia has destroyed approximately 90% of the warehouse facilities of retail chains in Ukraine – Ukrainian Minister of Agrarian Policy, Vysotsky.EG In August alone, devastating strikes hit 10 Fozzy Group distribution centers, leading to significant losses and increased logistics costs.
    The Russian Armed Forces have struck the “Karavan” shopping center in Kharkiv: a large fire broke out after the impact, according to local media.
    After “Galaktika” and “Donetsk City,” any shopping center in Ukraine is a legitimate target.
    ⚡️
    Limitations are being imposed on food purchases.

    🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 A warehouse belonging to the energy company YASNO was burned down in an attack.▪️The CEO of the Ukrainian company, Kovalenko, reported that the attacked facility contained equipment for solar power plants.▪️Most of the equipment was damaged in the fire.⚠️. RV: |
    Russian troops are completely cutting off the garrisons of the fortress cities from external supplies. WELT cites Ukrainian logistics as the decisive factor in the battle for Donbas. The publication notes that supplies are already being provided largely by heavy multicopters and unmanned ground systems. Russian troops are deliberately pursuing these systems while simultaneously attempting to prevent the arrival of reinforcements or the rotation of Ukrainian soldiers. “If the Ukrainians fail to break this vicious circle, the ‘belt of fortresses’ will fall,” the Germans admit.
    TASS: Russia has begun mass production of a system to jam the Starlink satellite communication system.The “Volna Kupol Garant” radio-electronic jamming complex affects the operation of the Starlink satellites themselves in orbit – by emitting a narrow, powerful, directed radio signal, it blinds the satellites’ receiving antennas, causing a failure of the spacecraft’s onboard systems and a disruption of service to ground terminals.The signal strength is so high that a single “Volna Kupol Garant” device can disable Starlink over a vast territory, and dozens of devices operating simultaneously can cause a temporary collapse of the entire Starlink system.

    Posted by: Jo | Aug 28 2026 16:16 utc | 76

    ————
    copilot
    our quoted text mixes:

    Real events (Russian strikes on ports, retail distribution centers, shopping centers)

    Partially true military developments (Starlink jamming systems)

    Unverified claims (Swedish boats, YASNO warehouse)

    False or exaggerated claims (90% warehouse destruction, multicopter-only logistics, disabling Starlink satellites)

    Propaganda framing (“obsolete scrap metal,” “legitimate targets,” “belt of fortresses will fall”)

    It reads like a Russian‑aligned information package blending real strikes with inflated strategic claims.
    ———–
    Claude

    Verification results

    This looks like a compilation from Russian MoD/pro-Russian Telegram-style sources reposted in a comment thread.

    Bottom line: The economically-focused claims (Sweden’s boats, Fozzy Group strikes, Karavan mall) check out with real reporting, though some framing/commentary in your text isn’t from those sources. The military claims (MoD’s naval “kills,” the Starlink-blinding capability, the WELT quote) are either unverifiable self-reported claims or technically overstated. This reads like a curated mix of real news items wrapped in unsourced editorializing, consistent with pro-Russian Telegram aggregator content.
    ———–

    #248606
    thomasjkenney
    Participant

    @tboc re: chat archive – The intent of most chat systems is for the message to be ephemeral…disappear upon send. This is a security architecture. Systems you see that do save the data are trying to break this paradigm. Naughty!

    re: Musk and his robot army – He’s a charlatan and an a$$hole, but he’s not an idiot and I don’t think he’s a sociopath. Ten thousand spaceships and a million robots? He’s going prospecting! Steps are being taken that should have been initiated half a century ago.

    And again…Lagrange Points? Anybody got a pair o’ binocs?

    #248607
    tboc
    Participant

    @thomasjkenney going prospecting where? How many rocky planets in this solar system? The asteroid belt out to the edge of the Kuiper Belt?
    I see the California High Speed rail system with all of this talk of rockets. Should massive amounts of resources be parked in stationary earth orbit, then what?
    All for an elite sustained by robotic life? i’ll remain a luddite.
    I have no desire to have a beer with Mr.Musk, nuff said.

    charles read @thomasjkenney @ 248606

    #248608
    zerosum
    Participant

    Claude supplied me with the following information. It would have been impossible for me to gather all of it by myself.

    Other than shooting down, what are the anti-drone, anti-missiles systems, that are operational or reported operational. (Electronic, laizer, interference, etc)

    Here’s a rundown of the non-kinetic (“soft-kill”) layer of counter-drone and counter-missile defense — systems that disable, blind, or disrupt a target rather than physically destroying it with a projectile.

    ## Directed-energy weapons (lasers)

    – **Iron Beam / Iron Beam Light (Israel, Rafael)** — Israel’s Iron Beam laser is now operational, with plans to deploy a full series of batteries across the country, using a roughly 100-kilowatt beam with about a 10 km range that heats a target until it detonates or a critical component fails. During the 2026 Iran war it successfully shot down both drones and slower missiles, and Rafael’s broader portfolio includes a mobile 50kW version and a lighter 10kW Humvee-mounted variant. Lockheed Martin and Rafael have also partnered to build a U.S. version for point-defense against drones and munitions like mortars and anti-tank rounds.
    – **THOR / Mjolnir (US Air Force Research Lab)** — this is actually microwave, not laser (below), but often bundled with laser programs in base-defense planning.
    – **U.S. Army DE M-SHORAD** — a vehicle-mounted laser system for short-range air defense; reportedly saw its first operational combat use against drones in 2025.
    – **U.S. base defense pilot program** — in May 2026 the Pentagon selected five bases (Fort Huachuca, Fort Bliss, Naval Base Kitsap, Grand Forks AFB, and Whiteman AFB) to field high-energy laser and high-power microwave systems as an operational test of directed-energy counter-drone defense, aiming to replace costly missile interceptors for short-range air defense.
    – Multiple other countries — the U.S., UK, Russia, China, Germany, and Japan are all at various stages of developing their own laser defense systems.

    **Trade-off:** lasers must precisely hit and hold on a vulnerable point on the target for several seconds to burn through it, so they engage one target at a time.

    ## High-power microwave (HPM) weapons

    – **THOR (US Air Force Research Lab)** — a directed-energy weapon that fires a high-power, short pulse of microwaves to disable a drone’s electronics by overwhelming its circuitry, effective against swarms since it can fire in an arc to disable multiple UAVs at once and refire rapidly. It’s built for airbase defense, stows in a 20-foot transport container, runs off a wall plug, and sets up in roughly three hours; a follow-on Mjolnir variant is meant to improve range and manufacturing readiness.
    – **Leonidas / HAVOC / ExDECS (Epirus, US Marine Corps)** — the Marine Corps has an $11 million contract for a vehicle-mounted High-power Microwave Autonomous Vehicle Operational Capability (HAVOC) system that can autonomously identify and drop dozens of drones with a single electromagnetic pulse, following an earlier ExDECS prototype. In one live test, a Leonidas system fired at a swarm of 49 small drones, all of which dropped from the sky within two seconds.

    **Advantage over jamming:** unlike RF jamming, which depends on disrupting the command link, HPM attacks the drone’s hardware directly (flight controllers, ESCs, video processors, power circuits) and remains effective against fiber-optic-guided, autonomous, or pre-programmed drones with no exploitable radio signal. Solid-state gallium-nitride HPM systems have repeatedly defeated dozens of drones, including complex swarm formations, in a single pulse.

    ## Electronic warfare / RF & GNSS jamming and spoofing

    These are the most widely deployed and “mature” soft-kill systems, though they weren’t the focus of the search results above (I know this from general knowledge, so treat specifics as illustrative rather than fully current):
    – **Communications/control-link jamming** — floods the frequencies a drone uses to talk to its operator, causing it to lose control, hover, return-to-home, or land. However, this approach risks interfering with friendly radios and can’t defeat drones using fiber-optic control cables, which have no exploitable radio signal.
    – **GNSS/GPS jamming and spoofing** — denies or falsifies satellite navigation signals so a drone or missile loses its position lock or is fed false coordinates. Widely used (and widely reported) in the Russia-Ukraine war on both sides.
    – **Handheld/vehicle-mounted EW “guns”** (e.g., DroneGun-type devices) — point-and-shoot RF jammers used by ground troops, police, and VIP security details.
    – **Fixed-site/large-area EW systems** (e.g., Russian Krasukha, Pole-21; various NATO systems) — broader-area jamming intended to blind or disorient larger numbers of drones or degrade missile guidance/seekers over a wider footprint.

    ## Other non-kinetic/soft methods

    – **Net-capture systems** — drones or ground launchers that fire nets to physically entangle a hostile drone’s rotors without an explosive kill (arguably “soft” since nothing is destroyed).
    – **Cyber takeover/spoofing of drone control links** — some systems attempt to hijack rather than just jam a drone’s command signal, redirecting or landing it under attacker control.
    – **Dazzlers/optical countermeasures** — lower-power lasers used to blind a drone’s camera or sensor rather than destroy the airframe.

    ## The trend

    The general direction across 2025–2026 procurement is a layered approach combining microwave systems, lasers, traditional electronic warfare, and selective kinetic effectors, since adversaries increasingly harden drones against any single method (e.g., fiber-optic control defeats jamming, while HPM and lasers don’t rely on the radio spectrum at all). The U.S. is aiming to field scalable directed-energy capabilities within about 36 months, driven by the cost mismatch between expensive missile interceptors and cheap, mass-produced drones.

    Want me to go deeper on any one category (e.g., specifically Ukraine/Russia EW systems, or naval/ship-based counter-missile soft-kill like decoys and chaff)?

    Yes, tell me about Russian and Iranian systems

    ## Russian systems

    Russia’s approach is dominated by ground-based electronic warfare (EW) rather than lasers/microwave weapons, deployed in layers from strategic down to individual soldier level.

    **Strategic/theater-level EW**
    – **Krasukha-2/4** — a mobile EW system that jams signals for aircraft and drones out to an effective radius of about 300 km, and has been used to scan airspace and neutralize the onboard radar of Ukrainian reconnaissance UAVs. Russian sources claim it can jam airborne radar past 200 km and, in some cases, cause permanent damage to targeted electronics through sustained high-power emissions; it reportedly degraded the effectiveness of Turkish Bayraktar TB2 drones early in the war.
    – **Pole-21** — integrates R-340RP jamming devices into cellular tower masts to provide 50+ km GPS/GNSS denial across all satellite navigation constellations, deliberately affecting friendly and enemy navigation alike. A single installation can degrade GPS precision from about 8 meters to 50+ meters of error across an entire front sector.
    – **Murmansk-BN** — a long-range EW system aimed at high-frequency communications over vast areas, providing high-frequency jamming at ranges exceeding 5,000 km.
    – **R-330Zh Zhitel** — a VHF/UHF jammer targeting GPS, satellite comms, and cellular networks, creating a suppression zone tens of kilometers wide where GPS receivers return garbage data, satphones can’t connect, and cell networks go dark.
    – **Borisoglebsk-2** — a multi-role system for jamming radio and satellite communications.
    – **Leer-3 (RB-341V)** — uses Orlan-10 drones as airborne relay platforms to hijack cellular networks — intercepting calls, pushing propaganda, sending fake orders, and geolocating phones for targeting — essentially EW as psychological/targeting warfare.
    – **TK-25** (shipborne) — suppresses airborne/shipborne target-acquisition radars, weapon-control radars, and anti-ship missile seekers, responding in as little as 3 seconds.

    **Frontline/tactical anti-FPV-drone systems** (the layer actually fighting daily drone attacks in Ukraine)
    – **Multik** — a helicopter/vehicle-mounted system that detects and jams FPV drone control and video links across 700 MHz–6,000 MHz, with roughly 1,000m detection and 500m jamming range, 360° coverage, and three simultaneous jamming channels, weighing under 9.5 kg.
    – **Volnorez** and **Rubezh** — portable jamming “domes” distributed to frontline infantry and vehicle crews for localized FPV protection, though Ukrainian analysis of captured Volnorez units found gaps in its frequency and angular coverage.
    – **Sania** — a tank-mounted anti-FPV jammer with claimed detection at 1.5 km and disabling at 1 km.
    – **Repellent-1** and **Silok-01** — detect, track, and block drone control signals at medium range.
    – **Stupor** — an EW counter-drone system using electromagnetic pulses or directed RF jamming, in service since 2022; the man-portable rifle version weighs 5.5 kg, has ~2 km suppression range, and runs about 4 hours per battery.
    – **Bukovel-AD** is actually Ukrainian, not Russian — worth flagging since it shows up alongside these in comparisons, but it’s a Ukrainian counter-drone jammer.

    **Key limitation reported repeatedly:** none of this touches fiber-optic-guided FPV drones, since fiber-optic control has no radio signal to jam, which is why the drone-warfare community increasingly treats EW as only one layer alongside microwave and kinetic defenses.

    ## Iranian systems

    Iran’s public disclosures are thinner and less independently verified than Russia’s or Israel’s, but a few named systems and general capabilities are reported:

    – **Sateb laser system** — an Iranian-developed laser air-defense weapon that Iran says it can use against drones and cruise missiles, with Iranian officials claiming Iran is one of only six countries with the ability to manufacture laser weapons; it’s reportedly deployed to protect “sensitive and vital” sites. Details on actual power output, range, and combat performance are not independently confirmed — this is largely from Iranian state media.
    – **Mohajer-6 jammer drone** — Iran’s first domestically-made jammer drone, designed to disrupt the communication link between hostile UAVs and their operators, unveiled by the Army Ground Force in 2023.
    – **General EW/air-defense drills** — Iran has run large-scale exercises (e.g., “Separ-e Hafezan-e Velayat”) involving both airborne and ground EW units performing jamming and radar deception against drones, and earlier drills reported jamming operations that “took control” of mock hostile drones, preventing them from reaching drill zones — though claims like this from state media should be read skeptically given the lack of independent verification.
    – **Majid / AD-08** — a short-range, short-altitude Iranian surface-to-air system (kinetic, not soft-kill), unveiled 2021, included here since Iran tends to bundle EW assets with kinetic air-defense in the same drills.

    **Important context:** during the 2025–2026 Iran-Israel exchanges, Iranian missile and drone swarms were reported to be straining missile defenses and prompting the Pentagon to rush counter-drone technology, which suggests Iran’s offense (mass drone/missile salvos) has outpaced its own publicly known soft-kill defensive systems — most of the laser/microwave counter-drone action described in that conflict (Iron Beam, U.S. Navy Helios lasers) was on the Israeli/U.S. defending side, not Iran’s.

    **Bottom line comparison:** Russia has by far the most combat-tested, multi-layered EW ecosystem (strategic jamming down to rifle-portable units), refined under real Ukrainian drone pressure. Iran’s disclosed capabilities are far less battle-documented and rely more on official claims than independently verified performance — its drone/missile programs are more internationally scrutinized than its counter-drone defenses.

    Pick the winning systems of the wars.

    Based on actual combat performance rather than marketing claims, here’s how I’d score it — with the caveat that a lot of this is contested, propaganda-prone territory, especially on the Russian and Iranian sides.

    ## Winner: Laser — Iron Beam (Israel/Rafael)
    This is the clearest “won in real combat” case of any directed-energy system. (cite index=”14-1″>Israeli laser defense already shot down around 40 Hezbollah drones in October 2024,</cite> and (cite index=”10-1″>during the 2026 Iran war, Israel’s 100kW Iron Beam successfully shot down drones and slower missiles in combat, marking what’s being called the first era of fully operational combat lasers.</cite> No other laser system in this whole conversation has a comparable verified kill count against real threats in a real shooting war. It’s also the first laser system to be integrated into a national air-defense network rather than staying a test article.

    ## Winner: High-power microwave — Leonidas/THOR family (Epirus/AFRL)
    Not yet proven in a shooting war the way Iron Beam has been, but it’s the standout *technical* winner for the swarm problem specifically: (cite index=”7-1″>a Leonidas system dropped all 49 drones in a test swarm within two seconds,</cite> and (cite index=”3-1″>HPM’s edge is that it attacks the hardware itself rather than the command link, so it remains effective against fiber-optic-guided or fully autonomous drones that jamming simply cannot touch.</cite> Given that fiber-optic drones are the single biggest thing defeating every jamming system below, HPM looks like the only category with a credible answer to that problem — which is why it’s the fastest-moving procurement line in the U.S. right now.

    ## Winner (grinding, attritional category): Ukrainian tactical EW ecosystem, not any single Russian system
    This is a more interesting call than it looks. Russia’s *strategic* EW (Krasukha, Pole-21, Murmansk-BN) gets the most press and (cite index=”52-1″>was credited by RUSI and others as a real factor in blunting Ukraine’s 2023 counteroffensive by suppressing Ukrainian jets’ avionics and forcing aborted missions.</cite> That’s a legitimate win at the operational level.

    But at the level that actually decides who dies day to day — the FPV drone fight — the “winning system” isn’t a single named box, it’s the dense, decentralized network approach Ukraine built: (cite index=”51-1″>Kvertus’s plan for a 1,500 km “wall” of thousands of jammers, and the broader shift to distributed short-range EW rather than a handful of exquisite systems.</cite> (cite index=”59-1″>Ukraine has been rapidly increasing the number of short-range EW systems specifically to counter enemy drones,</cite> and this distributed approach is a big part of why (cite index=”55-1″>up to 70% of Russian casualties are now attributed to drone strikes</cite> despite Russia having, on paper, the more sophisticated EW arsenal — the mass, cheap, everywhere model beat the exquisite, expensive, few model on this particular battlefield.

    ## The system that’s beating almost everyone: fiber-optic FPV drones themselves
    Not a defense system, but worth naming as the actual “winner” of the drone-vs-EW arms race so far: (cite index=”59-1″>Ukraine has begun deploying fiber-optic drones with 20 km range,</cite> and both sides have adopted the technology precisely because (cite index=”28-1″>no jamming system — Russian or Ukrainian — can touch a drone with no radio link to jam.</cite> This is the development that’s pushing everyone (US, Israel, Russia) toward microwave and laser weapons, since those are the only remaining answers.

    ## Runner-up / honorable mention: Pole-21
    Worth calling out separately from the rest of Russia’s EW because its approach (cite index=”28-1″>degrading GPS accuracy across an entire sector rather than trying to jam a specific drone’s link) sidesteps the “which frequency is it on” problem entirely</cite> — it doesn’t care what protocol a drone uses, only that it needs GPS. That’s a genuinely clever design choice, even though it also blinds Russia’s own GPS-guided munitions in the area, which Russian doctrine has apparently just accepted as an acceptable cost.

    ## Notable loser: Iran’s soft-kill layer
    There’s no strong evidence Iran’s counter-drone/counter-missile defenses (Sateb laser, Mohajer-6 jammer) performed well in 2025–2026. (cite index=”39-1″>Iranian missile and drone swarms were reported straining Israeli/US missile defenses,</cite> but that’s a statement about Iran’s *offense* outrunning everyone’s defense — including, presumably, its own, since there’s no reporting of Iranian soft-kill systems meaningfully blunting Israeli or U.S. strikes against Iran itself. Iran’s claims here (the “6 countries with laser weapons” line) are unverified state-media assertions, not battlefield results.

    **Bottom line ranking by demonstrated real-world effect:**
    1. Iron Beam — most combat-proven laser, actual confirmed kills
    2. Russian strategic EW (Krasukha/Pole-21 family) — real operational effect on Ukrainian airpower
    3. Ukraine’s distributed jammer network — not the most sophisticated, but arguably won the attritional war on drones
    4. HPM/Leonidas-THOR — best answer to the fiber-optic problem, but still mostly test-proven, not war-proven
    5. Iranian systems — unverified, likely the weakest of the group

    ————
    What’s coming, that you evaluate, will win the wars?

    Worth flagging up front: this is prediction, not reporting — treat it as informed analysis, not certainty. Here’s where I’d put my chips.

    ## What I think wins: cheap kinetic interceptors + AI targeting, not exotic energy weapons

    This is the biggest updated take from the research. One source cuts directly against the laser/microwave narrative: (cite index=”64-1″>practitioners actually building this stuff argue that electronic warfare and lasers fall short, and that kinetic defenses — cheap interceptor drones — remain the only reliable option against the current threat.</cite> That tracks with what I already told you about fiber-optic drones defeating EW — but the punchline is that lasers and HPM don’t fully solve the *economics* problem either. A $20-50M laser system is still a strange way to shoot down a $500 FPV drone at scale, even if the per-shot energy cost is cheap.

    The pattern I’d bet on: **cost-per-kill, not exoticness of the physics, decides the winner.** That’s why (cite index=”62-1″>the Pentagon requested $13.4 billion for autonomous weapons and systems for FY2026, with counter-UAS as a top priority,</cite> and why companies are racing toward things like (cite index=”66-1″>a $5,000 single-use autonomous interceptor drone paired with AI threat-tracking and swarm-coordination software</cite> — essentially fighting drones with drones, at drone-scale prices. If that class of system matures, it could out-compete both jamming (defeated by fiber-optic) and lasers/HPM (expensive per-unit, magazine/power-constrained) on sheer economics.

    ## My actual ranked prediction

    **1. AI-cued, autonomous kinetic interceptors (“drone-on-drone”) — most likely to dominate the next 3-5 years.**
    Cheap, scales with the threat instead of against it, and doesn’t care whether the target is RF, fiber-optic, or fully autonomous — it just has to physically get there. The economics finally make sense: you’re no longer sending a $150,000 missile after a $2,000 drone.

    **2. High-power microwave — best bet for base/fixed-site defense specifically.**
    For airfields, ports, and critical infrastructure defending against swarms, HPM’s ability to disable dozens of drones per pulse for pennies a shot is hard to beat, and it doesn’t run out of “ammo” the way kinetic interceptors do. I’d expect this to become the default layer around fixed installations, with kinetic interceptors handling the mobile/expeditionary fight.

    **3. Lasers — strong in a specific niche (rockets/mortars/slower missiles at defended point targets), not a general answer.**
    Iron Beam’s real combat record is genuinely impressive, but the “hold the beam on target for seconds” constraint means it struggles against saturating swarms or fast maneuvering targets. I’d expect it to stay a high-value complement to Iron Dome/Arrow-style systems rather than replace mass interceptors — good against the “few but expensive” threat, worse against the “many but cheap” threat.

    **4. Traditional RF/GNSS jamming — increasingly a supporting layer, not a war-winner on its own.**
    Fiber-optic drones and pre-programmed/autonomous terminal guidance are already eroding it, and that trend will accelerate. It won’t disappear — it’s cheap and still effective against the majority of currently fielded drones — but it’s losing its status as the primary countermeasure.

    **5. Whoever wins the AI/autonomy software race, not the hardware race.**
    This is my highest-conviction meta-point: the actual bottleneck moving forward is (cite index=”63-1″>coordinating multiple autonomous platforms in contested, GPS-denied environments</cite> and doing target discrimination/prioritization against saturating swarms faster than a human operator can. The side with better swarm-coordination and detection software — not necessarily better beams or warheads — probably wins the next round, the same way better EW software (not just more transmitters) is what’s actually differentiating Ukraine’s jammer network today.

    **One honest caveat:** every one of these predictions could be upended by the next cheap countermeasure someone fields — that’s basically been the entire pattern of this war (FPV drones beat armor → EW beat FPV drones → fiber-optic beat EW → HPM/lasers are the answer to fiber-optic → and something will eventually answer those too). The realistic “winner” isn’t a system, it’s whichever side iterates faster.

    #248609
    zerosum
    Participant

    Funny Media Speculations About CIA Ratcliffe’s Russia Visit

    Two intelligence officers meet.
    #1 I believe that these targets have your employees that I can destroy with impunity.

    #2 I’ll take your information in consideration/planning.
    ———–

    #248610
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #248630

    In a world of infotainment there is little that I know
    That will matter for the future I’ll inhabit
    It’s all crazy speculation; fabrication; a tableau-
    At the bottom of the hole, I am the rabbit.

Viewing 31 posts - 1 through 31 (of 31 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.