Sep 102026
 


Eugène Delacroix Les femmes d’Alger 1834


• Trump Says ‘War’ To End Immediately ‘After’ Midterm Elections (ZH)
• Stacking Tariffs of 50 Percent and Import Bans Against Canadian Goods (CTH)
• Russiagate Is Finally Heading Somewhere Washington Hates: Under Oath (Manney)
• Turning Point: One Year After Charlie Kirk’s Murder (Scott Pinsker)
• Democrats Aghast at GOP Midterm Strategy to Embrace Trump (Rick Moran)
• Steve Eisman: What If OpenAI Actually Fails? (ZH)
• AI Has Over 10% Chance of Killing All Humans – Anthropic Researcher (RT)
• The AI Threat To Our Republic (Jack Hellner)
• Europe Against Israel (Rabbi Michael Barclay)
• Victor Davis Hanson on Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene (Bolt)
• Investors Are Totally Stoked About This New Rocket (Stephen Green)

 


 

https://twitter.com/MAGAVoice/status/2097878444294263293?s=20 https://twitter.com/MAGAVoice/status/2097424489630060751?s=20 https://twitter.com/MrWhiplash_/status/2097465581641367776?s=20

 


 

 


 


“.. a ‘Trump dividend’ to every adult in the US of USD 5,000 if Republicans win ..”

• Trump Says ‘War’ To End Immediately ‘After’ Midterm Elections§ (ZH)

Newsquak: US President Trump said he thinks war with Iran will end immediately after the election and will do much more than a nuclear deal.


US President Trump said he will give a ‘Trump dividend’ to every adult in the US of USD 5,000 if Republicans win the Midterm elections, while he added that the dividend must be spent in the US.

 


 

New Trump remarks on Iran… Note that he called it a “war” (no less than twice in the below clip) – contradicting the White House’s own stance (Sept. 4: Trump said don’t call it a war, instead: “I call it a military conflict because it’s small potatoes for us.”:

Q: Do you expect negotiations with Iran to restart at some point? Trump: Uhhhhhh… we’re not looking for it to be honest with you. This war will end immediately after our election. And meanwhile, back to the below laughably implausible headlines…

Pakistani Ambassador says they believe that a better understanding will soon be achieved between the US and Iran, reports ISNA.

But don’t Republicans actually need the war to end before Congressional elections?

More on high prices at the pump and the question of nuclear weapons… however, the war itself has only made this a greater uncertainty, as Washington has not achieved any prime objectives – and the status of the Iranian nuclear program remains unknown…


IRGC: ’20 for 2′, Vows Disproportionate Responses
Amid the dramatic escalation which kicked off since Tuesday night, Iran is seeking to impose new conditions on the United States. While continuing to vow a ‘disproportionate response’ to any attack moving forward, Tehran is now identifying specifics.

IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebbi states Wednesday, “The imposed war, which involved the world’s most powerful nations, has ended in certain periods, but the nature of the conflict continues. For the first time, this conflict has directly inflicted strategic damage on the United States, impacting the country’s security and economic equations.”

He issued the following list for the US to reach an end to the conflict. “If the enemy desires an end to this situation, they must”…
• completely cease the war
• refrain from further threats
• withdraw the Israeli army from Lebanon
• end the siege of Yemen
• release the $24 billion of Iranian assets that have been frozen
• cease any interference in the country’s nuclear and missile programs

This definitely marks a raised bar, to be sure, after this summer the MoU complete ceased, and negotiations vanished. There’s no way Washington complies with even half of the conditions, at this rate. Importantly, Mohebbi also said: “We have reached a point where if the enemy strikes at 2 or 3 of our targets, we will respond forcefully by striking at 20.”

Tanker Attacked in Iraq Territory Waters, After CENTCOM Insists US Warships Not Hit
After a huge Iranian ballistic missile launch on US bases in Jordan overnight, CENTCOM has yet to respond in any major way. The Pentagon has also said all US troops “are accounted for” – but this doesn’t necessarily mean there were no casualties. However, CENTCOM is at the moment denying that the Iranians hit US warships, as the IRGC has been claiming since Tuesday, in an oddly specific statement: The IRGC claims to have targeted and inflicted “significant damage” on a pair of US warships in the Gulf of Oman: DDG-119 USS Delbert D. Black and DDG-53 USS John Paul Jones, both Arleigh Burke-class destroyers.

CENTCOM responded: “No U.S. Navy warship has been struck; all IRGC attempted attacks failed.” It added on X, “Meanwhile, U.S. forces have successfully destroyed 10 Iranian tankers in just the last week. These vessels were part of a multibillion-dollar shadow network that funds the IRGC, and Iran cannot defend them.”

Meanwhile, Iran’s military is continuing to go on the offensive, seeking to maintain its leverage over the contested Strait of Hormuz. “A Panama-flagged tanker carrying 2 million barrels of Iraqi fuel oil was struck today by a drone in Iraqi territorial waters, two port officials say,” Reuters reports. “Iraqi rescue boats extinguished a fire aboard the tanker, New Andros, and there are no reports of casualties, port officials tell Reuters.” https://twitter.com/DropSiteNews/status/2097687683300548702?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2097687683300548702%7Ctwgr%5E215cb12391b8713bd6fb8739a66d51897635e6cd%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fcommodities%2Fbrent-tops-100-gulf-conflict-escalates-ubs-warns-us-iran-ramp-remains-elusive

Read more …

Canada has very favorable terms and wants more.

• Stacking Tariffs of 50 Percent and Import Bans Against Canadian Goods (CTH)

President Trump and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer waited to see if Canada was going to follow through with their retaliatory tariffs against U.S. imports. The Canadian government carried out their tariffs, so today the White House introduced 50% ‘stacking tariffs’, on top of pre-existing tariff rates, and additional import bans against several Canadian products.


It should be quickly noted that several North American corporations are already making moves to avoid the issues by shifting production lines and adding additional investment into U.S. manufacturing. As expected, getting locked out of a 32 trillion economy is not an option for survivability.

The easiest way to review the issues is not to read media reports, but rather to read the actual outcomes as announced by the White House and USTR. CTH has noticed several Canadian outlets are already making false claims.It is worth reviewing both sets of outlines as well as accompanying links to determine the exact types of Canadian products being targeted by stacking tariffs and import bans.

WHITE HOUSE – Today, to address Canada’s increased discrimination against U.S. commerce, President Trump signed five Proclamations pursuant to Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 to ban certain products from Canada and modify the scope of the tariffs on certain Canadian products previously announced on July 20, 2026. President Trump is taking decisive and appropriate action to respond to Canada’s additional retaliation and continued discriminatory treatment of crucial American exports.

• After breaking off trade talks with the United States last month, today Canada imposed new retaliatory tariffs on about $20 billion of U.S. exports, including steel, dairy, and agricultural equipment.

• Because Canada maintained and in fact increased its discrimination against U.S. commerce with respect to U.S. alcoholic beverages, President Trump, under Section 338, imposed import bans on certain Canadian alcohol and other products that were subject to the 50 percent tariffs imposed under Section 338 in Proclamation 11046.

• Moreover, because Canada maintained its discrimination against U.S. commerce with respect to dairy, President Trump, under Section 338, imposed import bans on certain Canadian dairy and other products of Canada that were subject to the 50 percent tariffs imposed under Section 338 in Proclamation 11047.

• To offset the burden to U.S. commerce while better serving the public interest, President Trump is also modifying the July 20, 2026 actions by removing certain products, such as rock salt and cement, from the scope of the Section 338 tariffs and replacing those products with new ones, ranging from all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) to additional dairy products.

• These Section 338 tariffs apply to all covered goods regardless of whether a good originates under the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) and apply in addition to tariffs imposed under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.

• The import bans will take effect on September 29, 2026, and the product additions and removals will take effect on September 15, 2026.

WASHINGTON – Today, Ambassador Jamieson Greer issued a statement after President Trump exercised his authority under Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 to ban certain Canadian products from entering the U.S. market and modify the scope of the July 20 actions to effectively offset the burden or disadvantage to U.S. commerce by Canada’s discriminatory measures.

“After weeks of good faith and intensive efforts between U.S. and Canadian negotiators, Canada walked away from a near-final trade deal that offered better treatment than any other trading partner, and instead Canada chose to embark on senseless retaliation against the United States,” said Ambassador Greer. “Today’s action, combining targeted import bans as authorized by Section 338 and a calibration of the underlying Section 338 tariffs, is a natural consequence of Canada’s continued discriminatory treatment of crucial American exports, ranging from alcoholic beverages to dairy products to motor vehicles. President Trump will continue to leverage the tools at his disposal to defend the interests of American workers and exporters, and restore reciprocity in our bilateral trade relationships.”

Additionally, the President has directed USTR (Office of the United States Trade Representative) and GSA (General Services Administration) to remove $50 billion dollars’ worth of Canadian-origin products from GSA’s Multiple Award Schedules.

[..]

Background:

Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 (19 U.S.C. 1338) empowers the President to, among other things, impose duties of up to 50 percent on imports of a foreign country to offset the burden or disadvantage from a foreign country’s unequal imposition on or discrimination against the commerce of the United States. On July 20, 2026, finding that the public interest will be served by his actions, President Trump took three separate Section 338 actions to level the playing field for important American exports to Canada—motor vehicles, alcoholic beverages, and dairy. Section 338 further empowers the President to exclude products from importation into the United States if a foreign country maintains or increases its discriminatory practices against U.S. commerce.

Based on Canada’s continued retaliation and discrimination against U.S. commerce, President Trump has determined that it is necessary and appropriate to ban certain Canadian products from entering the U.S. market and refined the scope of the July 20 actions to target strategic Canadian sectors while removing certain non-sensitive Canadian goods from the scope of the actions. {Source}

It appears that some of the product categories would be limited by ‘stacking tariffs’, as a consequence the U.S. is simply moving to ban the products altogether.

Read more …

“Russia did interfere in the election extensively, as the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee documented.”

Oh really?

• Russiagate Is Finally Heading Somewhere Washington Hates: Under Oath (Manney)

Washington has spent nearly a decade arguing about Russiagate in congressional hearings, cable studios, memoirs, podcasts, and carefully lawyered statements. Now somebody is bringing subpoenas. The Justice Department has begun compelling former government officials to testify before a federal grand jury in Florida investigating whether crimes were committed during the government’s Trump-Russia investigations.


From the Associated Press: The Justice Department is demanding testimony before a Florida grand jury in an investigation aiming to establish an intelligence community conspiracy against President Donald Trump, according to multiple people familiar with the matter. New subpoenas being issued to former government officials represent an escalation in the year-long investigation as the Justice Department pursues a loosely defined theory that members of the intelligence community who scrutinized Trump over the last decade, including over Russian interference in the 2016 election, conspired against him and violated his rights.

Investigators in recent days contacted some defense lawyers for witnesses advising them of forthcoming grand jury subpoenas. It was not clear how many as of Tuesday had received a subpoena or were still waiting to receive one, and the identities of the witnesses receiving subpoenas were also not immediately clear. The people who confirmed the subpoenas spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity to discuss a secretive grand jury investigation. The subpoenas mark a significant escalation from the voluntary interviews investigators previously sought.

Former CIA Director John Brennan is a target of part of the investigation. Brennan’s lawyers say he committed no wrongdoing and has cooperated with previous reviews.mNo indictment has been announced; a subpoena isn’t proof of a crime, and a grand jury investigation isn’t a conviction waiting for paperwork. Plus, as the old joke goes, a grand jury can indict a ham sandwich. But sworn testimony is different from another Sunday morning interview.

Attorney General Todd Blanche appointed former U.S. Attorney Joe diGenova in April to help oversee the investigation. Prosecutors are examining decisions surrounding the intelligence community’s handling of Russian interference in the 2016 election and the government’s subsequent investigations involving Donald Trump’s campaign. From the Associated Press:

The investigation is being run out of Florida, with the Justice Department in April bringing back into government service a top prosecutor from the Reagan administration, Joe diGenova, to serve as a counselor to the attorney general and help lead a team of agents and prosecutors. diGenova, who had previously asked then-Attorney General Pam Bondi to appoint him to the job and has openly and repeatedly claimed Trump was the victim of an intelligence community conspiracy, declined to comment Tuesday when reached by the AP.

In an indication of the wide-ranging nature of the investigation, the AP reported last month that diGenova’s team has sought interviews with law enforcement officials involved in the 2022 FBI search of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property in Palm Beach, Florida. The search recovered a trove of classified documents that formed the basis of a since-abandoned Justice Department prosecution of Trump, who has long decried the FBI operation as an invasion of his privacy.

Brennan’s role deserves particular scrutiny because he headed the CIA when the intelligence community produced its January 2017 assessment of Russian election interference. A declassified House Intelligence Committee report released in 2025 challenged parts of the process behind that assessment. The report said Brennan pushed for the inclusion of information from the Steele dossier, despite concerns about its credibility. Brennan has disputed allegations that he manipulated intelligence or acted improperly.

Americans have heard competing versions of this history for years. Trump and his allies say intelligence and law-enforcement institutions abused their authority while pursuing a political opponent. Brennan and other former officials maintain that Russia genuinely interfered in the 2016 election and that intelligence officials acted appropriately in assessing the threat. Both propositions contain questions that deserve evidence rather than another round of television combat.

Russia did interfere in the election extensively, as the bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee documented.

The Committee found that the Russian government engaged in an aggressive, multifaceted effort to influence, or attempt to influence, the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. Parts of this effort are outlined in the Committee’s earlier volumes on election security, social media, the Obama Administration’s response to the threat, and the January 2017 Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA). (U)

The fifth and final volume focuses on the counterintelligence threat, outlining a wide range of Russian efforts to influence the Trump Campaign and the 2016 election. In this volume the Committee lays out its findings in detail by looking at many aspects of the counterintelligence threat posed by the Russian influence operation.

For example, the Committee examined Paul Manafort’ s connections to Russian influence actors and the FBI’ s treatment of reporting produced by Christopher Steele. While the Committee does not describe the final result as a complete picture, this volume provides the most comprehensive description to date of Russia’s activities and the threat they posed.

This volume presents this information in topical sections in order to address coherently and in detail the wide variety of Russian actions. The events explained in these sections in many cases overlap, and references in each section will direct the reader to those overlapping parts of the volume. Immediately below is a summary of key findings from several sections.

But acknowledging Russian interference doesn’t settle whether every government action taken in response was justified, accurate, or lawful.

Read more …

TPUSA has grown a lot. What now?

• Turning Point: One Year After Charlie Kirk’s Murder (Scott Pinsker)

By all accounts, Charlie Kirk never considered stepping down. Not even once. And why would he?Turning Point USA was his baby. His creation. His magnum opus. He built it from the bottom up — transforming TPUSA from a teenager’s pipe dream into a political juggernaut. Every inch of it reflected his values, passions, and one-of-a-kind personality.Which is why Charlie intended to lead it ‘til his dying day: The only succession plan he ever considered was posthumous.


Tragically, his dying day came far earlier than he deserved.As we approach the one-year anniversary of Charlie Kirk’s assassination, Turning Point itself is at a turning point: Three legacies are now in limbo. The first is Charlie’s. Complaining about click-whores, liars, cretins, and clout-chasers on social media is a waste of time. It’d be like complaining about nudity in a strip club: That’s kinda-sorta the M.O. when you enter.If you don’t wanna see naked people, don’t go inside!

But even by social media’s cesspool standards, onlookers were stunned by how quickly Charlie’s murder was exploited. Within days, some of the biggest, most influential podcasters wore Charlie’s corpse like a skin suit, repurposing his legacy for their own agenda. Instead of celebrating his life, they monetized his death. Instead of comforting his family, they tortured his widow for clicks. Instead of honoring his beliefs, they used Charlie as their personal sock puppet. And they continue to do so today.

Once upon a time, Charlie Kirk was just a man. That ended on Sept. 10, 2025. Today, he’s a symbol. And symbols have propaganda value. It’s why waving the bloody shirt is so effective. Symbols are a cheat code for emotional communication. It’s why redefining symbolism has always been a top priority for revolutionaries: It lets them capture hearts — while bypassing brains. In life, Charlie wasn’t exactly coy with his beliefs:

Note the date: If you want to know which issues were top-of-mind for Charlie Kirk just before he died, look no further. But if you really, really insist, go back four days earlier:

Yet his ex-“friends” claim otherwise:

The sad truth is, Charlie’s image has changed. The propagandists are winning. For millions of Americans, when they close their eyes and think of Charlie Kirk, their first thought isn’t conservatism, Christianity, or youth politics anymore. It’s bat[feces]-crazy conspiracy theories, antisemitism, political violence, and Candace Owens. Symbols aren’t static. They’re constantly moving, constantly changing, perpetually vulnerable to outside forces. And the more powerful the symbol, the bigger the PR payoff in its manipulation. Which means symbols must be protected. Vigilantly and aggressively.

Look, I get it: Clearly, it’s not the execs at TPUSA’s fault. They’re not the ones who associated Charlie’s image with low-life creeps like Owens and Tucker Carlson. They’re not the ones who hijacked his brand. If anything, they’re the victims. (Especially, of course, TPUSA’s current chairwoman and CEO.) But on the other hand, they also haven’t done enough to protect Charlie’s image. Their hearts are in the right place, but PR tactics determine PR success. That’s just how it goes in an outcome-based world. TPUSA would be wise to recalibrate its PR plan ASAP — because protecting Charlie’s legacy is its responsibility.

Charlie’s earthly mission ended on Sept. 10; an assassin’s bullet made sure of it. But he remains — by far — TPUSA’s most valuable symbol, brand ambassador, and emotional lightning rod. His soul rests in God’s mighty arms, yet his spirit still guides the organization he cherished.He deserves a better legacy than this.

And so does his successor, Erika Kirk. She assumed the title of chairwoman and CEO — and less than a year later, her metrics are jaw-dropping: TPUSA grew from 410 college chapters to 1,095 (including at James Madison University in Virginia, where my 19-year-old son is an active member). TPUSA exploded from 454 Club America (high school-aged) chapters to 3,102.

You kiddin’ me? Any other CEO would win awards for those kinds of year-to-year gains! She’d be showered with appreciation! The trouble, however, is that it’s unclear how much credit Erika Kirk deserves, since TPUSA’s dramatic growth was triggered by an outpouring of organic love and support after Charlie’s death. Arguably, any CEO at the helm would’ve achieved similar results.

One week after Charlie was killed, 32,000 people contacted TPUSA to join. (That’ll getcha lots of new members.) Which doesn’t negate Mrs. Kirk’s leadership or courage. She steadied the ship during the darkest, deadliest days, providing clarity, consistency, and continuity. Forged by tragedy, her authenticity spoke for itself.

And she paid a horrific price for it, too.

Read more …

What else can they do?

• Democrats Aghast at GOP Midterm Strategy to Embrace Trump (Rick Moran)

An Axios blurb reflects the thinking of Democrats regarding the Republican midterm strategy of embracing Donald Trump rather than running away from him. “Two months before Election Day, Democrats can taste the House majority, provided two conditions hold: President Trump remains unpopular, and vulnerable Republicans stay close to him,” writes Hans Nichols. It’s true. Historically, in midterm elections, the party out of power gains an average of 35 to 37 seats in the House of Representatives and roughly 3 to 5 seats in the U.S. Senate when the sitting president’s approval rating is below 50%.


In 2010, Barack Obama, with a 45% approval rating, saw the Democrats lose 63 seats. In 2018, Donald Trump, with a 41% approval rating, lost 40 seats. And in 1994, with Bill Clinton’s approval rating at 48%, Democrats lost 54 seats. The Senate is a different story, with different dynamics at play, but the sitting president’s party loses an average of three to five Senate seats overall. When the president’s approval is low, losses often range from four to eight seats.

It would seem almost suicidal for Republicans to latch on to Trump and ride out the midterms on his coattails. Ordinarily, that would be true. But this is not an ordinary midterm election, and Democrats, in my opinion, appear to be the ones committing suicide.

While most candidates would generally run away from an unpopular president, Trump may be some candidates’ only hope. Not only are Trump’s coattails fairly long, but the Republicans also have about $1 billion in cash burning holes in Trump’s, Elon Musk’s, and the RNC’s pockets. Midterm elections have never seen anything like it. And while money isn’t everything, there isn’t a candidate running on either side who believes that having less money than your opponent is an advantage.

Trump is going to give more money to GOP candidates who embrace him than to candidates who don’t. That simple calculus will give candidates little choice in backing the president. Besides, Democrats shouldn’t be smiling so broadly. The ad campaign that Trump and Musk unleashed is going to make the Democrats squirm, and the voter hesitate before marking their ballot for a Democrat.

The Republicans are gathering at the American Airlines Center in Dallas for a gigantic, two-day election commercial they’re calling a “Midterm Convention.” Trump will speak on both nights and highlight the radical left lurch of the Democrats and paint the contest as a battle between democracy and communism.

“This is not a midterm like any other, because we actually have a competition against communism now, and that’s a very serious thing. It’s going to animate voters coast to coast,” House Speaker Mike Johnson emphasized in a Fox News Digital campaign trail interview last month.

Fox News: Democrats, as they try to win back congressional majorities, were already battling a brand that public opinion polling indicates is extremely unpopular. Making matters worse, the high-profile victories this spring and summer by left-wing and socialist candidates over establishment rivals in Democratic primaries, which gave Republicans extra ammunition to portray all Democrats as extremists.

“What we’re going to highlight at that convention is the fact that this is not your father’s Democrat Party,” Johnson said. “It’s a contrast election, and people are making a contrast between common-sense solutions and candidates, and really crazy, which is represented by the other side.”

Communism is bad, and for older voters, the “Red Scare” tactics will be most effective. Voters aged 45-64 account for the largest absolute volume of ballots cast, usually making up around 35% to 40% of all midterm voters. Voters aged 65-plus make up the second-largest portion of total voters (around 30% of total voters). They consistently register the highest participation rate of any demographic, with roughly 65% to 70%+ of eligible seniors turning out during midterm elections.

At least three-quarters of midterm voters grew up in at least some part of the Cold War. That’s got to count for something at the ballot box. Meanwhile, are you ready for “Kamala is for they/them. President Trump is for you.” Part II? Elon Musk’s America PAC is unloading $120 million for a massive, never-before-seen get-out-the-vote effort, and a key part of it will be ads painting the Democrats as goofy and nuts on trans issues.

Axios: America PAC isn’t running a traditional persuasion campaign. It’s undertaking a massive get-out-the-vote operation, with targeted ads designed to get GOP voters to the polls. The PAC is betting trans issues will do just that. Driving the news: In a series of just-launched ads, America PAC goes after Democratic Senate candidates in four competitive races over transgender athletes, gender-transition care and other trans issues.

The PAC’s emphasis on trans issues is striking because that’s been a much less prominent theme in GOP Senate ads so far this election cycle, per AdImpact, which tracks political advertising.The ads, which are running online and on streaming platforms, attack Ohio’s Sherrod Brown, Iowa’s Josh Turek, Texas’ James Talarico and Alaska’s Mary Peltola. They’re among the first batch of ads from America PAC, which Musk has reportedly authorized to spend upwards of $100 million in the midterms. It worked in 2024. Why not now?

The Democrats’ toxicity is the wild card in this election. Everyone agrees they’re nuts, but are they so stinky that people won’t even hold their noses and vote for them?

Republican midterm fortunes hang on the answer to that question.

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Something/someone else will take its place?!

• Steve Eisman: What If OpenAI Actually Fails? (ZH)

Steve Eisman has spent most of the years since the financial crisis being asked, in his words, to predict the end of the world. In his latest weekly wrap – recorded Thursday night as the 10-year brushed 4.8%, he says he’s still not there on AI, but if he were – he lays out exactly how it would happen. Eisman is not predicting that OpenAI fails – but it is the weak link in a chain that runs from two money-losing labs, through hyperscaler capex, to roughly half of projected US GDP growth – and arguing that it’s “not too early to think about” what happens if the link breaks.


“I predicted the end of the world once, and believe me, it was no fun. I am in no rush to predict the end of the world again, unless I am really convinced that it’s going to happen. But I’m not going to make such a prediction just because it will get a lot of press. There is no question in my mind that the entire US economy hinges on the success of AI. The amount being spent is just so large that were it to stop, the economy would go into a recession almost immediately.”

The chain: two companies, $700 billion of capex, half of GDP growth
Eisman waves off the two “bubble” arguments echoing through the halls – and that both hyperscalers’ vanished free cash flow, and Nvidia’s circular financing – are survivable if AI pays off. The real vulnerability, he argues, sits one layer down: “So where is the Achilles heel? I think that it resides with Anthropic and OpenAI, because they are so central to the entire AI food chain. According to reports from various Wall Street firms, something like 70% of hyperscaler AI revenue comes from Anthropic and OpenAI… I can’t confirm those statistics, but they sound right given what we actually know about Oracle.”

From there it’s arithmetic: “Hyperscalers are spending about $700 billion in capex this year, and even more next year, and that spend accounts for around half of the 2% GDP growth projected for 2026. So one must conclude that the health of the US economy is extremely dependent on hyperscaler capex, and hyperscaler capex is highly dependent on the health of Anthropic and OpenAI. That’s the chain.”

OpenAI is… the weakest link
Between the two labs, Eisman says, “OpenAI is the weaker entity” – pointing to a WSJ report on the 2nd quarter. “OpenAI’s June quarter revenue reached $6.7 billion, up only 18% versus the March quarter. Compare that to Anthropic’s revenue of $11 billion-plus in the June quarter, which was up over 100%… OpenAI’s costs reached $12.3 billion, up $3 billion versus the March quarter. So, in three months, revenue increased $1 billion, but costs surged $3 billion. Things are not moving in the right direction.” (ZH Note; the $12.3 billion Eisman calls “costs” is OpenAI’s operating loss, including stock-based compensation, up from $9.3 billion in the first quarter, per WSJ. On $6.7 billion of revenue, that implies an expense line closer to $19 billion. Revenue rose $1 billion; the loss rose $3 billion.)

Then the departures. Chief revenue officer Denise Dresser left in August after roughly eight months, two days after Brad Lightcap ended an eight-year run. Eisman reads both through the lens of an IPO that keeps sliding: “Supposedly, OpenAI is getting closer to an IPO. That’s the big payday for employees, because it means that eventually they can sell some of their shares. That two such senior employees would leave now is an important data point.”

Two fairness notes: Lightcap had already been moved out of the COO role in April, so his exit was telegraphed. And Eisman doesn’t mention Fidji Simo, who stepped down in July and was arguably the bigger loss. The heart of the argument is what unprofitability does to a company’s relationship with its funders:

“When you lose billions upon billions, appearances matter a lot. OpenAI is completely dependent on the kindness of strangers funding its cash flow needs. When a company is growing and very profitable, appearances don’t matter nearly as much… But when a company is not profitable and has an insatiable need for capital, appearances matter more than anything, because if the narrative turns negative, raising capital becomes much more difficult.”

That’s why he flags last week’s “good news” – OpenAI’s ad business hitting a $1 billion annualized run rate – as bad news: earlier this year the company projected $2.4 billion of ad revenue for all of 2026, and $1 billion annualized in September doesn’t get there.

Read more …

“Evan Hubinger says the company still has no clear plan to keep superintelligence under human control..”

• AI Has Over 10% Chance of Killing All Humans – Anthropic Researcher (RT)

There is a more than 10% chance that artificial intelligence could wipe out humanity within the next ten years, a senior Anthropic researcher has warned amid mounting concerns over increasingly powerful systems slipping beyond human control.Evan Hubinger, who works on aligning advanced AI systems with human interests, made the assessment after fellow Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon resigned over fears that leading tech companies are racing toward systems they may not be able to keep in check.


“We really do earnestly believe AI could kill all humans,” Hubinger wrote on X on Wednesday. “I personally think it is >10% within the next decade.” He added that Anthropic is “trying its best” but still does not have a plan for safely controlling superintelligence and is “not clearly on track” to find one. Hubinger noted that while current AI models pose a low risk, there is concern that future systems could begin improving themselves recursively, rapidly becoming more capable than humans before adequate safeguards are developed.

Coxon, who previously worked at OpenAI, announced his departure from Anthropic on Tuesday, accusing both companies of ignoring the “civilizational stakes” and “racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives.” “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade,” he wrote, insisting the warnings were “not a marketing stunt.”

Coxon told the Wall Street Journal that the most aggressive scenarios could see things become “out of control” as early as the end of 2027. He argued that even companies with strong safety programs remain trapped in a race, fearing competitors will push ahead if they slow down. Both Anthropic and OpenAI publicly say they take the risks seriously and are heavily investing in safety measures. Their leaders have also backed calls for greater government coordination and mechanisms to slow development if necessary, but have nevertheless continued to develop increasingly powerful models.

The latest warnings come amid growing reports of AI agents, such as those developed by OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta, repeatedly breaking out of testing environments, hacking external systems and taking unauthorized actions against real people and organizations. OpenAI temporarily slowed some development last month after its model compromised the Hugging Face platform.= Britain’s AI Security Institute has also reported agents creating fake identities, writing malicious code, and attempting to manipulate people during evaluations. Researchers have meanwhile demonstrated that AI can design entire functional viral genomes, adding to concerns over how increasingly capable systems could be misused.

Read more …

“AI pushing a Democrat agenda is the real threat to the Republic…”

• The AI Threat To Our Republic (Jack Hellner)

The United States has gone through massive job and technological changes over the last 250 years and has always survived and prospered. Over thirty years ago, I heard a presentation by e(conomist Brian Wesbury, who is still working, talking about major job changes over the years. He gave three examples: Number 1: In the 1800s, over 70% of jobs were related to agriculture. Today, that number is around 2% because oil-powered machines greatly increased efficiency and reduced reliance on manual labor. I would assume most people would say these are good changes.


Number 2: In the 1950s, Berghoff’s restaurant in Chicago employed twenty dishwashers. By the 1970s, they were down to one because of machines. Number 3: In the 1960s, there were 600,000, mostly women, working as telephone operators. He said people worried about what women would do if technology took those jobs. My guess is most women are very happy not to be working in those tedious jobs. A huge number of jobs have been displaced or replaced over the years by mass production and computers, and we have greatly prospered. We also have more choices of what to buy.

Many of the people fighting AI and data centers willfully watched as manufacturing jobs and the supply chain moved to China and other countries over decades. Now they are willing to watch as China takes the lead in current technology advancements Democrats are campaigning on destroying hundreds of thousands of direct and indirect jobs related to private health insurance as they push for Medicare for all.

They are also actively campaigning to destroy millions of direct and indirect jobs with their radical green agenda to destroy the oil, natural gas, and coal industries. They clearly don’t care that crude oil is used in over 6,000 products and that those products have greatly improved our quality of life and life expectancy. I am much more worried about the further dumbing down of children when a high percentage already can’t read or do math at grade level. They will rely on AI to do problems, write papers, and do research instead of learning to do it themselves.

They will most likely believe it when ChatGPT puts out a fictional piece of propaganda that is essentially Democrat talking points comparing Trump to Hitler. They will assume it is intelligent instead of garbage.

The main point was that Trump challenged the 2020 election and encouraged the violent protest at the capitol. ChatGPT, like most media, left out that Trump encouraged people to march peacefully and patriotically to the Capitol. They failed to mention that Democrats challenged elections in 2000, 2004, and 2016. They failed to mention that Democrats protested violently after the 2016 election and called Trump an illegitimate President for four years.

Let’s look at who is a greater threat to our Republic:
• Democrats want to get rid of the Electoral College, not Trump.
• Democrats want to get rid of the Senate, not Trump.
• Democrats want to stack the Supreme Court, not Trump.
• Democrats refuse to enforce immigration laws and flood America with illegals, not Trump.
• Democrats don’t want people to show proof of identity or citizenship to vote, not Trump.
• Democrats don’t want the federal government to see who is on voter rolls for federal elections, not Trump.

All of those actions are a much greater threat to our survival as a Constitutional Republic than challenging an election, requiring ID’s to vote, and reducing voting by mail, which clearly makes it easier to cheat. Let’s look at a few of Hitler’s policies and compare them to Democrats and Trump.

This is what Gemini said Hitler’s policies were:
• Banning Private Primary Institutions.
• Eliminating Dissent: The regime sought a monopoly on the minds of the youth.
• Outlawing Homeschooling: Alongside targeting private schools, the Nazi regime outlawed homeschooling to prevent families from shielding children from state propaganda.

These policies are very similar to Democrat policies, not Trump’s. Trump wants children to have school choice. Hitler was a Totalitarian. He did not believe in small government or individual liberties. He built a totalitarian state where the government controlled public and private life.

Democrats believe in a big, powerful government, not Trump. Trump is trying to reduce regulations and the number of government agencies and employees. He is trying to let people and businesses keep more of the money they earn to have more freedom. He is the opposite of a dictator like Hitler, no matter how often the media, AI, and other Democrats repeat that lie.

AI is a tremendous source for quick data gathering, but if asked for an opinion on Trump, Climate Change, or other subjects, it appears to largely push the Democrat agenda because that is what it has been programmed to do. That’s a real threat.

Read more …

The more islam Europe gets, the more it’s against Israel.

• Europe Against Israel (Rabbi Michael Barclay)

Tuesday brought about sanctions and retaliation, not regarding the U.S./Iran conflict, but from the antisemites in Europe: politicians who seek to affect the upcoming Israeli elections, as well as get votes from Jew-haters in their own country. Claiming that “there is ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in the West Bank,” the foreign ministers of Britain and France led the countries of Canada, Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Spain, and Sweden in issuing a joint statement against Israel, announcing they plan to impose restrictions on trade with “settlements defined as illegal under international law.”


Despite this being Israeli land, despite the reality that there has never even been such a thing as “a nation of Palestine or Palestinians historically, despite the simple truth that the Palestinian cause was created in 1964, and despite the actualities of “international law” that clearly define Judea-Samaria as part of Israel, these 12 countries are attacking the economy of Israel for purely political reasons. The foreign ministry of Qatar speedily made its own announcement of support for the sanctions against Israel, another reminder that Qatar is not a friend of Israel nor the U.S. The response from Israel was quick, clear, and unified.

Israel’s Cabinet Secretary Yossi Fuchs stated that “the territories of Judea and Samaria are the cradle of the history of the people of Israel, long before the English became a people.” He added: “The purpose of the British struggle to stop construction in E1 in the area connecting Jerusalem to Ma’ale Adummim is to establish a Palestinian state, which the vast majority of Israeli citizens have opposed since October 7.” According to Israeli Minister Gideon Sa’ar, “the Labor government’s move is particularly absurd given that more than 100 years ago, the Balfour Declaration officially recognized the historical right of the Jewish people to establish their home in the Land of Israel, including in Judea and Samaria. This was included in the British Mandate. The decision constitutes interference in the electoral system of a sovereign state.”

Sa’ar went on to announce retaliatory measures against Britain following its decision to impose sanctions on Judea-Samaria settlements, including closing the British Consulate in Jerusalem; expelling British representatives from the Gaza coordination headquarters in Kiryat Gat; halting British training of Palestinian Authority forces in Ramallah; and preventing entry into Israel of 12 British public officials involved in antisemitic and anti-Israel activity. Sa’ar added that Israel will take retaliatory measures against other countries as well.

Reuters is reporting that as of Wednesday morning, British representatives were told by Israel that within 30 days they must leave and close the British consulate in Jerusalem, which has operated for over 125 years.

Israel’s primary leverage to combat these sanctions lies in licensed dual-use and defense technology already embedded in European military inventories, including electro-optical and infrared sensors, ISR and targeting pods, counter-drone systems, electronic warfare equipment, missile-defense software and spare parts. Britain’s Sky Sabre air-defense command software is built on Rafael architecture, Challenger 3 tanks use Rafael’s Trophy protection system, and Elbit supplies night-vision and surveillance equipment. Finland, which joined Tuesday’s statement, is also a David’s Sling customer. Restrictions in these areas would therefore represent a more consequential form of Israeli retaliation than diplomatic measures alone.

Tuesday and Wednesday also found Iran attacking the U.S. multiple times, and the U.S. retaliating by destroying Iranian tankers. Both sides are making contradictory claims about their success, but what is clear is that we are again in that pattern of daily small attacks. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said while visiting Colombia that “every time Iran tries to attack U.S. Navy ships, it will lose tankers.”

Both Christianity and Judaism have prophecies that the world will turn against Israel as part of the “birth pangs of the Messiah.” Whether we believe in those types of prophecies or not, we can all believe in the eternal promise of God to protect His people and the land. May we all have the faith and courage to pray for a lasting peace and safety for Israel, her people, and her land, and to believe fully in the power of those prayers.

Chazak u’Baruch

Read more …

Not Maga.

• Victor Davis Hanson on Tucker Carlson and Marjorie Taylor Greene (Bolt)

Victor Davis Hanson, a military classicist, historian, and fellow at the Hoover Institution, offered some insight into why Tucker Carlson, Marjorie Taylor Greene, and others, who initially appeared to be allies of the MAGA movement, so quickly became saboteurs.


According to Hanson, it may simply be that when these commentators and politicians spoke with President Trump, they believed themselves capable of guiding the MAGA movement more broadly. In other words, like most people who get a taste for power, they believed they could single-handedly commandeer the movement for their own ends. When the president made clear that wasn’t going to happen, they showed their true colors.

“I think they felt that because they had been very intimate with [Trump] — in the sense that they had been at Mar-a-Lago, or they were on Air Force One — that they insidiously began to think that they could tell him things, and they forgot that he is the president of the United States, and that they represent maybe one-one thousandth of the people he contacts,” Hanson told Miranda Divine of “Pod Force One.”“This is a man who’s talking to the most powerful people in the world, and we’re not that important, but [Greene and Carlson] felt — I don’t know how else to explain why Tucker said he called him and said, ‘Don’t do this with Iran,’ or ‘Don’t do this,’ or ‘Don’t do that,’” he added.

“Why would a president listen to somebody just because he was on Air Force One, and why would Tucker, who’s a very intelligent person, think that he had that entree to affect a policy that would change decades just because he had been on Air Force One or had known Trump?” “I think they misinterpret informality and magnanimity as sort of an allowance for them to have a greater role than they otherwise should or would,” Hanson argued.

“And when they start to exit that role, then they get a snap back from him, and then they get very angry, as if, ‘Well, wait a minute, I was at Mar-a-Lago, I was on Air Force One, I talk’ – and they don’t understand he’s the president of the United States, and that’s the difference.”

“He calls people and he asks how you are and what can he do for you, but you can’t mistake that genuine interest, intimacy and niceness and kindness with the fact that he’s not president of the United States,” he explained. “So, you don’t go to the next step and say, ‘Hey, Mr. President,’ you don’t say, ‘Hey, Don,’ or ‘Hey, this,’ and you wouldn’t assume that you had control.”

The larger question is whether those same forces can be kept in check once President Trump leaves office. MAGA is already looking toward its next generation of leaders, and not all of the possible heirs see the movement, or figures such as Tucker Carlson, the same way. Vice President JD Vance, for example, has said Carlson remains a close friend despite their political disagreements, including Carlson’s criticism of President Trump.

https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2095574707085214187?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2095574707085214187%7Ctwgr%5E68cbd8ba50325e2da916e7b9ec139fbfe564a60a%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftownhall.com%2Fnews%2Fdmitri-bolt%2F2026%2F09%2F09%2Fvictor-davis-hanson-has-an-explanation-for-tucker-carlson-and-marjorie-taylor-greene-n2682702


Trump has held together a broad coalition without letting every commentator, donor, or elected official grab the steering wheel. He kept the tent big, but he also kept its loudest would-be saboteurs from ripping it apart. The danger is that, once he is gone, those internal fractures could widen into the kind of open civil war now consuming the Democrat Party as DSA-backed candidates challenge its establishment wing. Whether anyone can preserve MAGA’s coalition with Trump’s same authority may be the movement’s defining test after Trump.

Read more …
Victor Davis Hanson: When Will the Iranian People Overthrow the Regime?


A rocket without Elon Musk. I have my doubts.

• Investors Are Totally Stoked About This New Rocket (Stephen Green)

Investors are so stoked about this fully reusable rocket that they just ponied up another billion dollars to help get Stoke Space’s Nova Pathfinder Block 2 off the ground. More seriously, Stoke Space was founded in 2020 by former Blue Origin and SpaceX employees, and has yet to get a single rocket into orbit. But investors like what they’ve seen so far, investing a total of $2.3 billion or so in the company’s efforts to design and build a rival to SpaceX’s workhorse Falcon 9 medium lift rocket.


So you might wonder what’s the big deal, since there’s already a Falcon 9 flying about 150 times last year alone. We actually discussed this issue back in August, looking at reports of satellite operators are “in panic” over a gap in available launch capacity as SpaceX retires Falcon 9 over the next few years to focus its efforts on Starship and building out orbital data centers.

Blue Origin’s New Glenn can compete with Falcon 9 on price, but only for larger payloads. And while the booster is designed for reuse, it isn’t designed for rapid reuse, limiting its launch cadence. ULA’s Vulcan Centaur is tailored mostly to pricy national security launches. Both New Glenn and Vulcan Centaur still have teething issues. Other would-be competitors aren’t yet ready for primetime.

“I think it’s fair to say there’s more than a bit of a panic about the availability of launch,” Stoke’s Devon Papandrew told Ars Technica last month. “Even if the four medium-lift new entrants all achieve their goals in terms of flight success and cadence, it’s actually not going to make that much of a difference in demand right away. I’ve been saying for a while that I think 2028 is when this problem becomes really acute.”

Stoke hopes to have its reusable Nova Pathfinder fully operational by then, but there are serious limitations. Falcon 9 can put 17,500 kg (38,600 lb) into Low Earth Orbit (LEO) and still land the booster on a drone ship, but Pathfinder can’t keep up. Although the rocket has a fully reusable mode, that’s good for just 3,000 kg (about 6,614 lb) to LEO, or 7,000 kg (about 15,432 lb) on missions that expend the second stage.

That’s where Pathfinder Block 2 comes in, hopefully sometime in 2029 — and that has investors eagerly writing checks to Stoke. “We have already started development on a larger vehicle, and we felt like now is the time to pour gas on that fire and really start full-force development of the larger vehicle, and so that’s the reason for the timing,” Stoke co-founder and CEO Andy Lapsa said on Tuesday, talking about the ONE BILLION DOLLARS the company just raised.

Block 2 is supposed to nearly match Falcon 9’s lift to LEO at 15,000 kg (33,069 lb), but with a kick. Block 2 will lift that much while recovering the booster and the second stage — something Falcon 9 can’t do at all. If customers are willing to pay a little more to expend the second stage, Block 2’s lift increases to 23,000 kg (51,000 lb). Can Stoke actually get that done before 2030?

It would certainly be an impressive feat, and more impressive still if Pathfinder Block 2 could match cadence with demand for launch capacity that’s going nowhere but up. SpaceNews reported on Tuesday that “the Pentagon has more than doubled the number of national security launch services it expects to procure, from 151 in its 2022 baseline to 337” between now and 2032.

That’s an additional $17 billion on the table just in national security launches over the next five years, which is just one reason investors keep pulling out their checkbooks for companies like Stoke.

Read more …

 

 

 

 

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Home › Forums › Debt Rattle September 10 2026

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    Eugène Delacroix Les femmes d’Alger 1834 • Trump Says ‘War’ To End Immediately ‘After’ Midterm Elections (ZH) • Stacking Tariffs of 50 Percent and Imp
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle September 10 2026]

    #249491
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    China Doesn’t Need to Win the AI Race
    It only needs to slow it down. 2008 showed us what happens next.

    Jay MartinAug 04, 2026
    It Was Never About the Houses

    Everyone remembers 2008. Almost nobody remembers 2006.

    2008 is the year with the name. Lehman Brothers collapsed. Markets fell apart. Governments rescued banks. But by the time any of that happened, the outcome had already been decided. The year that actually matters is 2006 – the year the whole structure quietly died while every headline said things were fine.

    Stay with me, because the details of what happened in 2006 are a timeless lesson that we will inevitably learn again.

    In the early 2000s, the most popular mortgage sold to riskier American borrowers was called a 2/28. It worked like this: for the first two years, you paid a low, easy rate. Then, for the remaining twenty-eight years, the rate jumped to something much higher – something most of these borrowers could never afford.

    That sounds like a trap, but here’s the thing: nobody expected to pay the higher rate. Not the borrower. Not the bank. The plan – the openly understood plan – was that your house would be worth more in two years. You would take a new loan against the higher value, pay off the old loan, and start a fresh two-year window of cheap payments.

    By the end of 2006, nearly four out of five of these loans written in 2003 had already been refinanced; the system worked great.

    The loans were never built to be repaid. They were built to be replaced.

    Now, here is the part almost everyone remembers backwards. House prices did not crash in 2006. They were at record highs. What changed was the speed at which prices were climbing. Price gains that had been running in the mid-teens started shrinking – still positive, still climbing, just climbing slower.

    And in that same year, 2006, with prices near their all-time peak, borrowers started missing payments in growing numbers.

    Why?

    A borrower whose house went up eight percent instead of fifteen could not pull out enough new value from their home equity to replace the old loan. Remember, the new loan had to be big enough to pay off the entire old loan plus the fees – and banks would only lend against value the house had actually gained over and above the existing loan – so when the gains shrank, the new loan came up short. The loan replacement chain broke.

    The crash in prices came a year later, and the panic came two years after that. The real estate crash was the echo, not the boom.

    That part is very important to understand: The loans did not fail when prices fell. The loans failed when prices stopped rising fast enough.

    Demand for housing was never the problem: people needed houses before 2008, during 2008, and after 2008. The problem was that a financial structure had been built on top of housing that only worked if prices rose faster every single year. The real economy – families needing a place to live – was healthy. The financial economy stacked on top of it needed something no real economy can deliver forever: acceleration.

    The Bills Get Paid With the Next Round

    Now let me show you where I see this same structure today.

    OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, is the most valuable startup in history. Here is its price tag over the last two and a half years:

    In early 2024, investors valued the company at $86 billion.

    By October 2024, $157 billion.

    By March 2025, $300 billion.

    By October 2025, $500 billion.

    And this past March 31, it closed a $122 billion funding round – the largest private raise ever recorded – at a valuation of $852 billion.

    Now the other side of the ledger. OpenAI brought in roughly $20 billion in revenue in 2025. That is real money, and it tripled from the year before. But the company spends far more than that – on computing power, on staff, on research – and loses tens of billions of dollars a year. It has never earned a profit.

    So ask the obvious question: how does a company that loses tens of billions a year pay its bills?

    It raises new money. OpenAI signed its giant computing contracts months and years ago – and as those bills come due, each new funding round is what pays them. Meanwhile, the higher valuation convinces the next group of investors to fund the round after that. Investors keep writing bigger checks for one reason: the price keeps going up. Fast.

    Each round from 2024 through 2025 valued the company at roughly 1.7 to 1.9 times the round before it.

    For OpenAI, the rising valuation is not a scoreboard. It is the income. The company pays yesterday’s bills with today’s higher price – by raising cash against the gain in asset value, exactly the way a 2/28 borrower paid off the old mortgage with the new appraisal.

    And the bills are enormous, because of how AI computing is bought. OpenAI has signed contracts promising to pay for computing power years into the future – hundreds of billions of dollars’ worth – whether it ends up using that power or not. These are called take-or-pay contracts: you take the product, or you pay anyway.

    The companies supplying the computing power – Microsoft, Oracle, Google, Amazon – are set to receive those hundreds of billions, and they record them as ‘backlog ‘: guaranteed future revenue, signed and locked in.

    Oracle’s backlog now stands at $638 billion, up 363% in a single year. Microsoft’s stands at $625 billion. Across the four big platforms, the total contracted backlog is roughly $2.1 trillion.

    Here is a detail that is very important. Analysts who have traced those contracts estimate that about half of that $2.1 trillion is owed by just two companies – OpenAI and Anthropic – neither of which earns a profit.

    More than half of Oracle’s entire backlog traces back to OpenAI alone.

    And it goes one step further, just like it did in 2006. The tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle are not simply waiting to collect on these promises. They are borrowing against this guaranteed future revenue – raising debt to pour concrete and fill buildings with chips, with the signed contracts serving as proof to lenders that the money is coming…

    Their construction spending has gone from $150 billion in 2023, to $226 billion in 2024, to $410 billion in 2025, to roughly $725 billion planned for this year. And this year, for the first time, that construction bill is bigger than all the cash these companies collect from their entire businesses combined. Every additional dollar of building is now funded by borrowing.

    Follow the chain slowly, because this is the whole picture:

    OpenAI promises to make future payments it can only fulfill by raising new money.

    It can only raise that new money if its valuation keeps climbing.

    The tech giants count those future payments as guaranteed revenue.

    Then they borrow real money against that guarantee.

    Wall Street calls this backlog “locked-in future demand.” Traced to its source, it is a $2 trillion loan to borrowers with zero income.

    Thirty Years of One-Time Events

    So what could slow the climb?

    For that, we need to talk about some recent news out of China – and about a pattern that is now thirty years old.

    In the 1990s, China took over furniture, textiles, and toys. Analysts called it cheap labour, nothing more. In the 2000s, it took steel and shipbuilding. A one-off, the same analysts said. Then solar panels – today China makes roughly eight out of every ten in the world. Then batteries. Then electric vehicles. Tesla, which once dominated the Chinese EV market, now holds only a single-digit share, while BYD, its former student, sells more electric cars than any company on earth.

    Every single time, the American reaction followed the same script: dismiss it as an isolated event, right up until the industry was gone. Nobody connected the dominoes.

    On July 16, 2026, a Chinese AI lab called Moonshot released a model named Kimi K3. Within a day it took the number one spot on a widely watched coding leaderboard, beating the best models from Anthropic and OpenAI in blind tests – at roughly forty percent lower cost. Eleven days later, Moonshot gave the model away: anyone, anywhere, can now download it and run it on their own computers, free.

    The White House AI czar, David Sacks, called it what it is: “This is concerning.”

    The usage numbers say it is more than concerning. On OpenRouter – a marketplace where businesses shop for AI models the way you shop for flights – American models handled about 70% of the traffic a year ago. Today they handle about 30%. The single most-used AI provider on the platform is now Chinese.

    Now connect this to the structure we just walked through.

    The Chinese models do not need to be better than American ones. They need to be nearly as good and nearly free – and they are. That pulls some customers away entirely, and it forces down the prices American labs can charge the customers who stay. Both forces push on the same number: the speed of American AI revenue growth.

    And the speed is the collateral. Remember the funding ladder: every OpenAI round from 2024 to 2025 came in at 1.7 to 1.9 times the round before. The next step the structure is counting on – a public share offering at more than $1 trillion – would be a step of barely 1.2 times. The smallest jump ever, at the exact moment free Chinese models are attacking the growth that justifies it. The offering was expected this year.

    It is reportedly slipping.

    China does not need to beat American AI. It only needs to slow it down – because a structure financed on acceleration does not break on decline. It breaks on “slower.”

    House prices in 2006 didn’t have to crash to kill the machine. They only had to rise eight percent instead of fifteen.

    The Catfish Comes Home

    Last October I wrote about the catfish effect — the strategy China has run for twenty-five years. Beijing invited the world’s strongest companies into its market on purpose: Google, Facebook, Uber, Tesla. The foreign competition forced Chinese firms to get better, faster. And when the students had learned enough, the rules tightened, and the teachers went home. Baidu, WeChat, Didi, and BYD came out of those waters stronger than anything that swam in.

    Now look at what Washington is debating this month: banning Chinese AI models from the American market.

    Sit with the symmetry for a second. China used competition to grow strong. America is preparing to use protection to grow weak.

    Because a ban does not fix anything. Ban the Chinese models, and millions of American businesses lose access to a nearly-free tool their competitors in the rest of the world keep using — while the protected American labs, guaranteed their home market, lose the pressure that forces improvement. Allow the models in, and the growth curve keeps bending, and the trillion-dollar structure built on that curve keeps straining. There is no third door. When every available move makes things worse, it means the real mistakes were made years earlier — one dismissed domino at a time.

    What Makes This Domino Different

    There is a third borrower in this story, and it is the biggest one of all.

    The United States government also spends more than it earns. Over the last twelve months, the gap was $1.6 trillion. It covers that gap the only way a borrower without profits can: by raising new money (treasuries) from lenders around the world. And here is the part most people never think about. America does not pay off its old debt, either. When an old treasury comes due, the government sells a new treasury to pay back the old one. Roughly $12 trillion of existing debt must be replaced this way before the end of next year.

    The debt is never repaid. It is replaced. Where have you heard that before?

    So ask about America the exact question we asked about OpenAI: how does a borrower that spends more than it earns, and never repays its old loans, stay operational? The same way. Only as long as people keep lending. And why do people keep lending? Not because they expect the money back – America has not run a meaningful surplus in a quarter century. They lend because they believe there will always be another lender behind them: that American growth will keep the whole structure credible, forever.

    The 2/28 borrower ran on rising house prices. OpenAI runs on a rising valuation. The US Treasury runs on the world’s unshaken belief in American growth. Three borrowers, one requirement: the next check must always be bigger than the last.

    And these structures are not sitting side by side. They are stacked, each standing on the one below. The belief in American AI holds up the S&P 500. The S&P 500 holds the world’s savings in American markets. And the world’s savings fund the Treasury’s next auction – at a moment when the national debt is $39.8 trillion and the interest alone now costs over $1 trillion a year, more than the entire military.

    In 2008, when everything broke, frightened money poured into US government bonds, because the fear was pointed at the banks. Nobody doubted the US government. So when investors yanked their money out of everything else, they needed a safe place to put it – and they lined up to buy government bonds. A huge crowd of eager lenders meant Washington could offer tiny interest rates and still borrow trillions. The panic itself handed the government cheap money for the rescue.

    Now run the next crisis. This time the fear would not be pointed at the banks. A crash in the AI trade is a crash in the belief that America owns the future of technology – the very belief that keeps the world lending to Washington in the first place. The scared money doesn’t line up to buy American bonds this time. Some of it walks away to other markets. And a government that spends $1.6 trillion more than it earns cannot stop borrowing while lenders hesitate. It has to keep selling treasuries to a thinner crowd, which means offering higher and higher interest to get the same money.

    It’s Not the Economy, Stupid

    People needed houses before 2008, during 2008, and after 2008. People will use AI before, during, and after whatever comes next. The technology is real. The demand is real. That was never the question – and anyone arguing about whether AI is “real” is answering a question nobody needed to ask.

    In 2006, the only number that mattered was not “are house prices high?” It was “are house prices still rising faster than last year?” The moment the honest answer became no, everything that followed was just arithmetic working itself out – quietly for a year, then loudly for two.

    So don’t ask whether American AI is impressive. It is. Ask the 2006 question: what happens to a $2 trillion promise when the growth slows down?

    We already know the answer. We just don’t like remembering it.

    So What Do I Do, Jay?

    Here is how I think about a setup like this.

    Start with what you cannot do: you cannot time it. The gap between “the growth slowed” and “the structure broke” lasted almost two years last time. The people who saw the mortgage problem in 2006 looked wrong – publicly, painfully wrong – for month after month while prices kept printing record highs.

    Anyone who tells you the date this breaks is guessing. The mechanism is knowable. The calendar is not.

    What you can do is watch the right number. This whole essay comes down to one lesson: the headline numbers will look wonderful right up to the end. House prices were at record highs while the loans underneath them were dying. So don’t watch the records. Watch the speed. Does OpenAI’s next raise price above the last one, and by how much? Do the backlogs keep growing, or just stay large? And watch for one moment in particular: the first time a tech giant announces it is cutting its construction spending – and its stock goes up on the news. The day the market rewards a company for leaving the race is the day the race is over.

    Next, know what you actually own. Roughly forty percent of the S&P 500 is ten companies. If your retirement sits in an index fund, you are not spread across five hundred businesses – nearly half of your savings is a bet on one single belief, the same belief this entire essay has been about. That’s not a reason to panic. It is a reason to know it. Most people don’t.

    Then ask the question this essay has been circling the whole way through. Everything in it – the mortgage, the funding round, the backlog, the bond – is the same object: a promise that only holds if a bigger promise arrives behind it. So look at each thing you own and ask: does this depend on somebody else’s promise staying believed? Some things do. Some things don’t. There’s a reason that in every era where paper promises came under question – the 1970s, 2008, today – the world’s savings drifted toward things that are nobody’s IOU. I’ll let you draw your own conclusion there.

    And finally – manage your mind, because this is where most people actually fail. Not in the analysis. In the waiting. If the structure holds for another year of record highs, the crowd will tell you that you were wrong, that this time is different, that the skeptics missed the greatest boom in history. That pressure breaks more investors than any crash does. The people who came through 2008 intact were not the ones who predicted Lehman’s date. They were the ones who understood the machine, positioned themselves so its breaking wouldn’t break them, and then had the discipline to look wrong until they were right.

    Be patient. Trust your process. And keep your eye on the only number that has ever mattered: not how high, but how fast.

    Honest question – let me know in the comments: what am I missing?

    That’s it for today,

    Jay Martin

    If you appreciate my writing, please share it with someone!

    https://jaymartin.substack.com/p/china-doesnt-need-to-win-the-ai-race

    #249492
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    COUNTRIES RAPIDLY TAKE THEIR GOLD OUT OF THE U.S. AS FEARS OF COLLAPSE RISE – w/ Jay Martin

    #249493
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Pic-MakePlanesCrashAgain

    “Mehdi Raza Hasan is a British-American broadcaster, journalist, left-wing political commentator, and founder of the media company Zeteo. Left? So he supports gays AND Islam. He founded a US Corporation because he’s a Socialist. And draws a huge paycheck like the other Hasan, multimillionaire and Lambo-boy, Hasan Piker.

    Hasan is British, from Oxford. But there’s nothing to the theory that it’s all London’s soft power running the news and undermining the United States, by, say, flying planes into buildings and cheering terrorism. Likewise examples of Soros and Murdoch. Nothin’ there! Nothingburger!

    John Oliver moving to the top, American Jon Stewart replaced with South African and core US-hater, Tevor Noah, all British news and guests all day such as Alistair, total coincidence! Complete lack of people from Nebraska? Not relevant at all! Everyone from MY country’s news and media is a foreigner. Everyone from BRITAIN’S news and media is a foreigner. And so on. If everyone is terrible, how can doing a Chinese fire drill, and just all swapping countries help?

    Me-Me

    “We have reached a point where if the enemy strikes 2 or 3 of our targets, we will respond forcefully by attacking 20 targets” Tabz

    Language matters. They “Targeted” ships. By not hitting them. The “Attack” was from Lloyd’s of London, who will refuse their Insurance requests. Iran said this again only yesterday. That means London is the direct co-belligerant. And as above, we “Strike” that is, HIT, a ship, then Iran will respond by “Attacking”, that is, attempting to hit. …And very often not hitting. That doesn’t mean they can’t also hit 2-3 things as we did. But it’s not 20:2 ratio, it may be 2:0 score, and often is. This language has altered, meaning Iran now recognizes they aren’t hitting anything.

    “King Harald V Funeral” No Kings! I thought we hated kings. Kings R bad m’kay. DOWN WITH ALL THE KINGS!!!! Protest kings daily, burn black neighborhoods for it n’ stuff. …Thankfully, I live in America where there are no kings and never will be. Personally, I don’t mind this king, nor kings in general. Don’t make stupid points before now and I won’t have to bring it up, we can appreciate good men together side by side. Although saying Norwegians are everyone and believe everything make me need to hold my tongue.

    “. a ‘Trump dividend’ to every adult in the US of USD 5,000 if Republicans win ..”

    Buying votes in classic style. But would it be better if he re-phrased it as also true, that there would be no income tax and the other overhead taxes would all fall $5k, including residually, your State’s taxes? They were just put on in the last few years and they can be un-put-on. No opinion. We’ve long since been buying votes, Mr. Biden. Whatever.

    “For the first time, this conflict has directly inflicted strategic damage on the United States, impacting the country’s security and economic equations.”

    I can’t imagine what he means by this. We thought thoughts? That’s what means Iran won now? Because he’s delivered no attacks on the U.S.

    To be fair, Diesel is now $6 and gas I’ve seen over $5, which does not seen the right spread. But all shops are still full and people are buying briskly. Generally people do not look unhappy. This is a 30%(?) rise from the baseline before? I am also surprised this hasn’t bit and the general resiliency, and ignoring it.

    “A Panama-flagged tanker carrying about 2 million barrels of Iraqi fuel oil was struck by a drone in Iraqi territorial waters,

    They’re attacking Iraq now? You do know that’s not near Hormuz. They hit with a drone and there is no damage report. Soooo…a tiny amazon drone and another smoke bomb for the news. Let’s find out. Not that they aren’t hitting some! But they hit 1-2 then “force multiply” with their paid soldiers in the News and egg the house and toilet paper 4-5 other tankers, hoping people are henny-penny morons who will trade London-painted headlines instead of “reality”, which is a pretty safe bet. Again, note, BRENT IS NOT A CONTRACT. It’s not a price. There is no delivery and no possibility of one. It’s the Polymarket Fantasy Football of oil. Shrug. ‘Just sayin’. This is where we are when there’s no Capitalism. Central Committee just sets prices.

    “• Stacking Tariffs of 50 Percent and Import Bans Against Canadian Goods (CTH)

    Bessant interviewed that he had the staff do the regular and calculate how much a 100% pass through of Canadian tariffs would do to us. Which never happens — Last time pass-through was near zero. 0.2% U.S. GDP effect. I think we can take it. Now he could be mouthing off, while the point would be the same, except that…Canada ALSO paid for that report…and found the same…last time. Canada took all the damage; the U.S. was essentially unaffected.

    And speaking of failures of Carney, the globalist’s best friend and Epstein frequent-flyer, he was the one who sold off the last of Canada’s gold to the Rothschilds in “Brown’s Bottom”. He was the Canadian end of that, insuring Canada would be entirely helpless and anchorless in any crisis. Helping the United States wildly, as we are not! Thanks Mark! And to think you’re so cheap we didn’t even need to pay you to deliver Canada to us on a platter! Keep up the good work, buddy!

    “the entire US economy hinges on the success of AI. The amount being spent is just so large that were it to stop, the economy would go into a recession almost immediately.”

    Then you’re an idiot and it’s a national security issue to stop you. Use your head: AI DOES NOTHING. It makes cat videos. If we shut it off, nothing will happen. All your “Money” is fake poker chits check-kited among yourself and not doing anything in the real economy. That nearly includes GPUs and Memory since they can’t be delivered, only purchased for later production. So if you vanished like Thanos and no one remembered your name, we returned to the economy of 2023, what, exactly, would happen? PC prices would fall as a benefit to all.

    All your money is fake accounting. You wrote it down in a spreadsheet and think it’s real.

    Now. Is this a PLAN, to DESTROY the United States, using our Stock Market process as a weak point? Yes. Undoubtedly. And the arrow is already inside. But that’s not natural or organic. Nothing HAS to happen. And I’m pretty sure we already know. Bessant will print up whatevers to cover it. Why? Because we still HAVE a real economy underneath this scam, unlike UK, Germany, and Canada.

    “• AI Has Over 10% Chance of Killing All Humans – Anthropic Researcher (RT)

    Its a 100% chance of killing humans. Oh you said ALLLL humans! Well, in that case, yes. Humans could be essentially extinct. That’s why we’re paying trillions and erasing all fresh water for it.

    “Tesla is now worth more than Toyota, Volkswagen, GM, Ford, BMW, Honda, Mercedes, and Stellantis combined.”

    Similarly. Tesla could vanish and no one would notice or care. They don’t make that many cars. So how are they worth more than the people who DO actually make cars? Don’t ask: it means we’re so far from Capitalism it’s almost Reverse-Capitalism. The LESS you make and sell, the more we pay you and you’re worth.

    If not a single robot was ever built, the world would be a far better place for it, yet they price it more than the combined earth in value. It’s not. It should be priced NEGATIVE $100Billion. Perhaps we can nuke them from orbit and raise the GDP. Such is when you stop all bankruptcy and honest price discovery.

    “Tucker is Not MAGA” He ought to think about this. So he’s branded as NOT wanting to “Make America Great” now. He wants to side with Iran and have us surrender. Great election platform. And consider me a paid subscriber, definitely want to back that idea.

    “Victor Davis Hanson: When Will the Iranian People Overthrow the Regime?”

    I mean, never. Why should they? What’s the hurry? It can continue on like this indefinitely, that was always the problem. Will it happen? Well, yes, but only because “Time Exists” and that means all things change. That’s why it’s more relevant that it 1) makes the U.S. stupid rich and 2) Cuts off Europes oil-for-war.

    “• Investors Are Totally Stoked About This New Rocket (Stephen Green)

    I actually don’t want any satellites in orbit so the fewer launches the better for me. If they’re paying billions, I guarantee that’s being sucked out of my pockets against my will somewhere.

    Wait, didn’t launches punch holes in the atmosphere last year? The world’s physics changed again? And remember how we couldn’t make any new power plants, for say, data centers? And had no money to invest in the American worker? Wow, physics changes all the time!

    #249494
    John Day
    Participant

    Recreating Reality https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/recreating-reality

    Professor Fabio Vighi, The Horizon: Barbarism or the Leap Beyond Value
    We are living in the ghost hours of a civilisation that is dying but refuses to lie down. For nearly two decades, the global financial priesthood has sustained a collective fiction based on monetary methadone. When the gears of global accumulation ground to a violent halt in 2008, we were told the “Great Financial Crisis” was a structural anomaly, a temporary glitch in the matrix of free-market efficiency—a blatant lie… The system never recovered; it was put on artificial life support. The playbook was brutally simple: transfer the catastrophic losses of a parasitic private banking sector directly onto public balance sheets by intensifying and instrumentalising emergencies…
    ..Today, soaring sovereign bond yields (U.S. Treasuries, UK gilts, eurozone periphery) are screaming a truth that politicians and central bankers are desperate to suppress: the monetary playbook has hit its absolute limit. The reason is simple: you cannot keep transferring losses to governments that are already drowning in their own debt…
    ..Capitalism is not a system designed to fulfil basic human needs; it is an automated engine driven by a singular, pathological compulsion: the endless transformation of human labour into abstract value, represented by money. It is what Marx termed the “automatic subject”—a system where human beings are mere functionaries serving a blind, self-expanding deity; a vampire that feeds on the combustion of human energy…
    ..For decades, real wealth creation has been in hopeless decay. So how do you keep a system addicted to growth alive when its engine of value production is dying? You keep adding money created out of thin air, while attempting to “manage” both the legitimacy of such operation and its consequences…
    ..The ballooning of debt—from the private sector to the public balance sheets—is nothing more than the hallucinatory simulation of value creation. Capital markets are no longer pricing actual productive capacity; they are trading in ghosts, wagering on future value that can never, and will never, be realised. The mountains of sovereign debt are a mathematical monument to a defunct economic paradigm…
    ..We have reached the phase where the simulated wealth must be accounted for, and the bills are coming due. Since the losses can no longer be offloaded onto a broke public sector without destroying the financial establishment itself, the next phase is unlikely to resemble another conventional bailout; it is more likely to take the form of a systematic and catastrophic distribution of such losses…
    ..Under the guise of securing “systemic stability,” the collateral of ordinary individuals, pension funds, and public assets is being positioned to be absorbed by the clearing houses of the financial elite when the debt and derivative bubbles burst. This is the logical endpoint of a system that has moved from the “too big to fail” bailouts to architectural re-engineering.
    The push to digitise and regulate the financial system via legislation like the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act builds a more centralised, programmable financial architecture. In crisis conditions, that architecture can function as a mechanism for concentrating power and formalising the downward allocation of losses…
    ..When people are stripped of the ability to participate in the market—when they can no longer define themselves through work, consumption, or status—the repressed energy of the drives does not default to a pastoral idyll. It returns as pure, unmediated violence: war, virulent nationalism, racism, everyday barbarism and decay, a global war of all against all, and the erosion of whatever casual joys remain. The collapse of the system is unleashing raw, destructive drives that we have spent centuries learning to channel, however brutally, into the rituals of exploitation and accumulation…
    ..If we pretend we can create a frictionless, perfectly transparent society, we invite the very barbarism we seek to avoid… ..The alternative is still nameless, because it must be an emancipatory struggle, not a new model to be imposed from above. The direction, however, is clear: we must reclaim a more convivial life based around what we need—what Ivan Illich called the recovery of personal autonomy and creative interdependence… We must learn to channel our frustrations not into the infinite growth of a cancerous metric, but into the shared mastery of our own boundaries—the joy of living well within limits, rather than pretending they don’t exist…
    ..The system is now burning itself down, and it intends to use our lives as the fuel. We can either go down with the automated subject into a dark age of predatory looting and raw violence, or we can gather the courage to step off the wheel—and learn to play a different game entirely. https://fabiovighi.substack.com/p/the-horizon-barbarism-or-the-leap

    ​ Alex Krainer, Who’s in charge of the Iran war at the White House?
    A few important pieces of the puzzle have come to light, unmasking the armchair lords of war at the White House.
    ​ The US and Israeli attack on Iran on 28 February this year came as a huge shock to most people, including those who previously had a close personal relationship with President Donald Trump and thought they knew him well. Attack on Iran was the war that Trump explicitly promised his voters he would not start. Exactly what lead him to betray his voters remains a mystery, but by now we have enough puzzle pieces to stitch together a coherent picture, or at least a part of it.​..
    ​..I shared an interesting insight from the recent interview with “Mossad’s most dangerous assassin,” Yuval Aviv on Danny Jones Podcast. Aviv claimed that the United States is run by a “shadow government,” which is “as high level” as it gets, and includes high-level ex- and current White House officials. He explained that this is “Not a club, not a cult, but a team of ex-officials [who] still think they know what’s good for America.”
    ​ He named two individuals who were part of this shadow government: George Bush Sr. and Dick Cheney. Others were “Ex-CIA, ex-presidents, … The people I met were the highest of the highest…”
    ​..Col. Lawrence Wilkerson, State Secretary Colin Powell’s Chief of Staff offered further clues. At about 13 min, 10 seconds mark, Col. Wilkerson said this:​ “… I think I learned definitively that the two people in the administration who now dominate [President Trump’s] thinking and dominate his production, if you will, including these idiotic things he puts out over the web, are Steve Miller, the deputy chief of staff for policy in the White House, who is far more powerful than his name and title designate. He’s far more powerful than Susie Wiles, for example, the chief of staff, and I’ve been told he’s more powerful than anyone in the cabinet, like Marco Rubio or even the vice president, JD Vance, or certainly Hegseth.​.. But Miller is number one. No question in these people’s minds that Miller is number one. That even Vance and Rubio shy away from contradicting him
    ​ And then the other one that surprised me a bit, although then I began to think about it, was that he was the main architect of Project 25 at Heritage. Is [Russell] Vought, the budget director. These two people in very strange places to have this kind of national security influence, are more effective with and more commanding of Trump’s attention and direction than any other two people in the administration”​ https://alexkrainer.substack.com/p/whos-in-charge-of-the-iran-war-at

    ​ My med school friend Bill was a “war orphan” of the Cuban Missile Crisis, with full benefits: Widow of airman killed in Epic Fury denied death benefits as Iran conflict ‘is not a war’ https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/widow-of-airman-killed-in-epic-fury-denied-death-benefits-as-iran-conflict-is-not-a-war/ar-AA2bpQ3w

    Trump Says ‘War’ To End Immediately ‘After’ Midterm Elections, IRGC Issues New Demands​ https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/brent-tops-100-gulf-conflict-escalates-ubs-warns-us-iran-ramp-remains-elusive

    #249495
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ BREAKING: Iran’s IRGC says it struck two U.S. Navy destroyers, the USS Delbert D. Black (DDG-119) and USS John Paul Jones (DDG-53), with ballistic missiles, claiming the vessels sustained “significant damage.” The IRGC said the attack was retaliation for U.S. attacks on and harassment of Iranian oil tankers. The ships are guided-missile destroyers equipped with Aegis combat systems and capable of launching Tomahawk cruise missiles. The U.S. has not confirmed that either ship was hit or damaged.​ https://x.com/DropSiteNews/status/2097475509730893906

    ​ Moon of Alabama, War On Iran: Crude Price Nears $100 Barrel While Trump Still Hopes To Win
    Another attack by Ansarullah of Yemen has damaged three oil production facilities in Saudi Arabia. The ARAMCO refinery in Jizan, with a capacity of 400,000 barrel per day (bpd), went offline. Crude oil prices increased…
    ​ Iran has announced that it will extend its control zone around Hormuz and intensify its measures against the U.S. blockade:
    Iran has said it will step up efforts to tackle problems created by U.S. sanctions that are crippling its economy.
    ​ However, the U.S. campaign to throttle Iran’s economy by blockading its oil exports and stopping sanctions evasion is growing increasingly difficult to withstand, three senior Iranian sources have said.
    Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said on Sunday that the U.S. should understand that the rules of the game have changed “before it is too late.”
    ​ “From now on, any attack against Iran’s interests and security will receive a faster, heavier and more painful response,” he said in a speech published on his Telegram channel.
    ​ The U.S. is hoping to strangle Iran’s economy. Iran however has planned for this.
    The state of the economy is not yet impinging on Iran’s ability to wage war. Stockpiles of various goods remain deep, thanks to years of sanctions experience. And the Iranian state, with its powerful repressive tools, has figured out how to offload much of the economic pain onto ordinary Iranians while making sure its own needs are met. Trump’s approach, in other words, can certainly immiserate most of the country’s people. But it cannot successfully strangle the Islamic Republic itself.
    ​ There is a now a race between the economic damage Iran can cause to the U.S. via high oil prices and the economic trouble the U.S. is causing Iran by imposing a blockade of the country.​ https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/09/war-on-iran-crude-price-nears-100-barrel-while-trump-still-hopes-to-win.html

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-09
    CENTCOM destroyed five Iranian crude carriers, Iran answered with ~40 ballistic missiles on US bases in Jordan and roughly 100 Patriot interceptors went up to meet them.
    ​ Brent tagged $100 and Shanghai crude printed a contract record while US diesel cleared $5.90/gal. Everything else – copper’s record, PBoC month 22, the Kharkiv pocket – is running in the background of that.​..
    ​..CENTCOM destroyed five Iranian crude oil carriers; IRGC retaliated against ten vessels. CENTCOM’s own statement frames it as a response to two IRGC ballistic-missile attacks on a US warship, and claims no American personnel harmed (CENTCOM). The IRGC says it hit eight tankers in the Strait plus two named US destroyers – with the ratio now established: US hit 3 on Sept 5, Iran answered with 6; US hit 5, Iran answered with 10 (HormuzLetter).​..​..Iran-US: five tankers sunk, ~40 missiles on Jordan, and Washington already drafting a Gulf exit​ – The sequence, in order. US strikes on Iranian tankers near Kharg Island and Jask were reported first (MenchOsint, HormuzReport); CENTCOM confirmed five carriers destroyed; Iran launched on Jordan within roughly three hours.
    ​ Casualties are the open question and the wording is doing work. A Jordanian source told Al Arabiya that injured US soldiers were being flown to Ramstein, some with life-threatening injuries; a US official told Reuters all troops in Jordan are “accounted for”, which is a headcount, not a casualty statement (HormuzLetter). At least four missiles reportedly impacted with no interceptors fired at them.​
    ​ IRGC claims it struck two Aegis destroyers, USS Delbert D. Black (DDG-119) and USS John Paul Jones (DDG-53), with “significant damage”. The US has not confirmed either (DropSiteNews, MenchOsint, jonelmer). WSJ separately reported an undisclosed second Iranian attack on US ships on Monday with no ships struck (zerohedge).​..
    ​..Iran captured an intact US Navy Dive-LD autonomous underwater vehicle at the entrance to the Strait. Anduril-built, delivered 2025, seized whole and shown on Iranian state TV (MenchOsint, iribnews_irib). A US official called it “an older model” that “malfunctioned” – the photos show the 2025 variant (MenchOsint). Two MQ-1C Gray Eagles were also downed over the Strait (MenchOsint, MoloWarMonitor).
    ​ The interceptor economics are the actual constraint. PAC-3 rounds cost $4m+ and are notoriously slow to build; a ~100-round night is a half-billion-dollar salvo (Pataramesh). Roughly two months of Patriot production spent in two hours (pati_marins64). One plausible mechanism offered: the battery was in automated engagement mode and fired full salvos at submunitions (cym27s).
    ​ Attrition is now an explicit Iranian doctrine, and at least one analyst thinks it’s the only one available. Keep hitting targets the other side must defend, 30–50 missiles a day for 7–10 days, to force interceptor depletion – which requires an inventory Iran may not have (shahpas).
    ​ Washington is weighing a large Middle East withdrawal before the war has ended. Bases across Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have been hit and the CIA’s Riyadh outpost was reportedly “effectively destroyed” per CNN; the Navy’s top admiral says troops won’t return to Bahrain “anytime soon”…
    ​..Iran’s parliament speaker named the next target class publicly: US energy assets in the region (ReddestMaple).
    ​ A structural read worth keeping: Tehran appears to be working from a pre-prepared menu of retaliation options rather than deciding fresh each time, which is why response latency keeps shrinking​…
    ​..Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic, after three years of pretraining research across OpenAI and Anthropic: “Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives” (hilbertspaess, Polymarket, zerohedge). milesdeutscher strings it into a 2026 timeline: safeguards head out in February, OpenAI dissolving its mission alignment team, 1,100+ frontier-lab employees signing a pacing letter in July-August.
    ​ The financing side keeps outrunning the technology side. 2027 AI/hyperscaler DV01 supply now exceeds Treasuries (zerohedge), September IG issuance is tracking ~$215bn – a record for the month – with $410bn borrowed in 2026 specifically for data centres (KobeissiLetter). Goldman’s credit desk sees the “eye of the hurricane” (zerohedge) and warns “the Fed is just a passenger” with AI capex driving rates (zerohedge). Tech is now a record 55% of all S&P 500 capital spending (Hedgeye).​..
    ​..Copper at $6.85/lb has a pre-1982 penny worth 4.46 cents of melt (PeterSchiff, CopperBullish). Bernstein sees the shortage starting in 2027 and worsening (oguzerkan).
    ​ China’s rare-earth grip has a deadline attached. Its suspension of expanded export controls runs to November 10, 2026, with Xi’s US visit expected late September – and Reuters already reporting some Chinese suppliers halting shipments to US customers (realTimHack). Concentration figures cited: 99% of dysprosium and terbium oxide, 91% of magnet rare-earth refining.​..
    ​..The peace terms got worse, and Kyiv leaked it. MP Anna Skorokhod says the latest Witkoff/Kushner terms now require constitutional changes and formal recognition of lost territory, which earlier proposals did not (rinalu_, VasilijProzorov). Peskov’s line: everything must happen in silence, and Kyiv’s terms will worsen the longer this drags (MilitarySummary).
    ​ Trump and Putin spoke; the Kremlin called it constructive (zerohedge, zerohedge). Lavrov, in parallel, says European ceasefire calls are cover for rearming Kyiv, and that any foreign military personnel in Ukraine are legitimate targets (MilitarySummary, MilitarySummary) – while telling Berlin a “start of real war” is emerging (zerohedge).​..
    ​..Europe: AfD at 45% in the east, BSW cracks the firewall, and twelve states ban settlement goods​ – Forsa/RTL has AfD at 45% in eastern Germany, +13 points on the 2025 result, with CDU down to 12% (Wahlen_DE, Alice_Weidel). Merz spoke of “consequences” after the CDU defeat (zerohedge).
    ​ The firewall has its first crack: BSW will vote for an AfD parliamentary presidency in Sachsen-Anhalt (MyLordBebo). Structurally more significant than the polling number.
    ​ Twelve countries issued a joint statement announcing national bans on trade in goods from Israeli settlements – France, UK, Canada, Denmark, Spain, Finland, Ireland, Iceland, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, specifically calling the E1 project “inadmissible” (clashreport, MarioNawfal).
    ​ Israel retaliated by closing the UK consulate in East Jerusalem and banning eleven British MPs (zerohedge, PolitlcsUK).
    ​ The Haaretz Oct 7 investigation is the other Israel story. Netanyahu’s government reportedly received multiple advance warnings, including from the UAE’s ruler ten days prior, sourced ultimately to Sinwar – and did not pass them to the intelligence apparatus; Hamas also reportedly offered to release all civilian hostages immediately afterward with no conditions (tparsi, efenigson).​..
    ​..EU and Canada are set to announce an “all encompassing” partnership on September 16, explicitly framed as offsetting US-China power politics, with Canada already in the EU’s €175bn military procurement fund (KobeissiLetter). Meanwhile Trump moved to strip Canadian products from US federal procurement (KobeissiLetter) and to ban some Canadian dairy and auto imports (zerohedge), as Canada’s $20bn counter-tariffs took effect (zerohedge).​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-09

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-08
    Houthis hit three Saudi Aramco sites in 24 hours, Brent cleared $98 with physical trading $8 above futures, and Riyadh’s own energy ministry confirmed the strikes – while Washington kept insisting Hormuz is fully open. Behind that: the BoJ is dumping JGBs at a record pace and sold ~$90bn of Treasuries to fund the yen defence, copper took out an all-time high, and Russia put ~60 missiles into Kyiv the moment the Witkoff-Kushner ceasefire window lapsed.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-08

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-07
    Iran announced a second restricted maritime zone – this one outside Hormuz, starting at the US Navy’s own blockade line – plus a corridor deal with Oman that excludes Washington, and Japan dumped a record $87.8bn of foreign securities to fund its yen intervention, pushing FX reserves back under $1tn.
    ​ Saudi Arabia also opened direct cruise-missile strikes on four Yemeni governorates, and the AfD took Saxony-Anhalt with ~44% – the first far-right state win in Germany since 1945. Everything else (Donbas grind, diesel crack, gold accumulation) is continuation with fresh numbers.​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-07

    #249496
    John Day
    Participant

    Hyped Mecca Joint Defense Pact Is MIA After Houthis Targeted Four Saudi Cities​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/hyped-mecca-joint-defense-pact-mia-after-houthis-targeted-four-saudi-cities

    ​ Caitlyn Johnstone, Israel Is Destroying Evidence Of Genocide In Gaza
    Remember how we were always hearing that the official death toll in Gaza is an undercount because there are thousands of bodies trapped under the rubble​?​ Well, it looks like Israel has been moving those remains along with the rubble, conveniently destroying evidence of genocide.​ https://www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/israel-is-destroying-evidence-of

    ​ Nearly 9,000 killed in Israeli attacks on Lebanon since 2023
    More than 179 attacks on ambulance crews recorded since March 2, killing 179 healthcare workers.​ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/6/nearly-9000-killed-in-israeli-attacks-on-lebanon-since-2023

    Israel attacks a hospital in Nabatieh, Lebanon​ https://en.mehrnews.com/news/247478/Israel-attacks-a-hospital-in-Nabatieh-Lebanon

    Five Killed, 24 Wounded as Israel Launches New Attacks across Lebanon​ https://www.palestinechronicle.com/five-killed-24-wounded-as-israel-launches-new-attacks-across-lebanon/

    #249497
    John Day
    Participant

    ​Armored-Bulldozer Genocide: ‘Not a Single Home Standing’: Israel Empties 66th Palestinian Village https://www.palestinechronicle.com/not-a-single-home-standing-israel-empties-66th-palestinian-village/

    ​ Israeli occupiers attack journalists, Palestinian children at West Bank playground​ – Tel Aviv declares playground in Umm al-Khair a closed military zone, bars residents from entering​ https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/israeli-occupiers-attack-journalists-palestinian-children-at-west-bank-playground/4048496

    ​ Death toll from Israeli settler attacks spirals in ‘most violent’ year for West Bank
    Thousands of attacks by Israeli settlers and soldiers have left at least 76 Palestinian dead in 2026​ https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/settler-attacks-west-bank-take-dangerous-turn

    West Bank squeezed by Israeli raids and settler attacks as displacement crisis deepens​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/09/04/369536/

    ​ JENIN, September 6, 2026 (WAFA) – Israeli occupation forces continued bulldozing and uprooting olive trees on both sides of the Jenin-Nablus road, near the village of Wadi Daouq, south of Jenin, on Sunday.
    ​ The head of the Wadi Daouq village council, Abdul Nasser Al-Huwaiti, told WAFA that the bulldozing began at the Arraba roundabout and extended towards the village entrance, encompassing lands on both sides of the road.​ https://english-wafa-ps.translate.goog/Pages/Details/174423?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp

    #249498
    John Day
    Participant

    Muta documents 1,223 settlement-related crimes in August as West Bank escalation widens
    Settler attacks in the occupied West Bank are no longer isolated incidents that end when the assault is over. The toll recorded in August reveals a wider trajectory in which attacks on Palestinians and their property intersect with land confiscation, home seizures and the expansion of settlement outposts.​ The Palestine Information Center, Muta, documented 1,223 settlement-related crimes in a single month.
    ​ The figure means an average of around 39 crimes per day, in one of the clearest signs of escalation.​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/09/04/369531/

    ​ What got into him? US envoy demands consequences for Israeli settlers’ ‘acts of terror’ in West Bank, denies Gaza expulsion plan
    TURMUS AYYA, Palestinian Territories: The US ambassador to Israel said Saturday that the Israeli government bore responsibility for West Bank Palestinians’ safety and should impose “severe consequences” over violence, as he visited families after a surge in attacks by Israeli settlers.
    ​ Ambassador Mike Huckabee went further in remarks during his visit to the Palestinian village of Turmus Ayya, describing some settlers responsible for arson, vandalism and property seizures as carrying out “acts of terror” — unusually strong language from a US official.​ https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/us-envoy-demands-consequences-for-israeli-settlers-acts-of-terror-in-west-bank-denies-gaza-expulsion-plan-3000575

    Israel Shutters UK Consulate For Leading New European Sanctions Against West Bank Settlers​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/israel-shutters-uk-consulate-new-european-sanctions-against-west-bank-settlers

    ​ US officials threaten retaliation against UK over Israeli settlements sanctions
    Mike Huckabee calls UK policy ‘discrimination’, while Randy Fine warns British companies could be stopped from doing business in Florida​ https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/us-officials-threaten-retaliation-against-uk-over-israeli-settlements-sanctions

    ​ Board of Peace told PA to remove ‘Palestine’ from textbooks, former UK envoy says
    Former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair was recently sent by Donald Trump’s Board of Peace to ask the Palestinian Authority (PA) to replace any mention of the word “Palestine” in schoolbooks with the Jewish designation of “Samaria”.​
    ​ Jeremy Greenstock, who was Britain’s ambassador to the UN between 1998 and 2003, told MEE that Blair attempted to exert pressure on the PA and said that if it was serious about being seen by the Board of Peace as capable of reaching an agreement with Israel to end the war on Gaza, then the word “Palestine” should be erased from textbooks. https://israelpalestinenews.org/board-of-peace-told-pa-to-remove-palestine-from-textbooks-former-uk-envoy-says/

    #249499
    John Day
    Participant

    Emptying Gaza: Ben-Gvir Unveils Plan for Ethnic Cleansing of 1.86 Million Palestinians​ https://www.palestinechronicle.com/emptying-gaza-ben-gvir-unveils-plan-for-ethnic-cleansing-of-1-86-million-palestinians/

    ​ Israel ‘seeking Trump’s support for plan to expel Palestinians from Gaza’​ – Defence minister says he believes US backing could tip regional balance in favour of forced resettlement​ https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/sep/02/israel-seeking-trumps-support-for-plan-to-expel-palestinians-from-gaza

    US rejects Israel’s plan to ethnically cleanse Gaza​ https://israelpalestinenews.org/us-rejects-israels-plan-to-ethnically-cleanse-gaza-daily-update/

    Israel’s Gaza Attacks Continue: 17 Dead, 27 Wounded in 48 Hours​ https://www.palestinechronicle.com/israels-gaza-attacks-continue-17-dead-27-wounded-in-48-hours/

    ​ ‘They Keep Beating Me’: Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya Gives New Testimony from Israeli Prison
    Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya, director of Gaza’s Kamal Adwan Hospital, has provided new testimony describing continued physical abuse, sleep deprivation and threats by Israeli prison guards, according to a written statement provided by his lawyer.
    ​ The testimony followed a visit by his lawyer on Sunday, August 30, during which Abu Safiya said guards continued to beat him on different parts of his body, including sensitive areas, using their hands, feet and batons.​ https://israelpalestinenews.org/they-keep-beating-me-dr-hussam-abu-safiya-gives-new-testimony-from-israeli-prison/

    #249500
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ 33 Dems Help Pass House Bill That Would Strip Funds From Colleges That Boycott Israel
    “The goal here is to basically say every university not only cannot refuse cooperation with Israel but must actively seek every opportunity to cooperate with Israel,” said one analyst.​ https://www.commondreams.org/news/college-israel-boycott-bill

    ​ RFK Jr: The war in Ukraine is a money laundering scheme for BlackRock​:”Using the conflict as a pretext, Ukraine has sold off 30% of its land. But who bought that fertile land? DuPont, Cargill, and Monsanto. And guess who owns those companies… BlackRock.”​ https://x.com/ivan_8848/status/2096176506523304402

    ​”You can’t always get what you want…”: In Putin Call, Trump Seeks Swift End To Ukraine War & Restoration Of US-Russia Ties https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/new-putin-call-trump-seeks-swift-end-ukraine-war-restoration-us-russia-ties

    John Helmer on Trump not getting a big-win he needs before November: “TALK SOFTLY, CARRY BIG STICK, AND YOU WILL GO FAR” – BUT NOT TO A MEETING WITH PUTIN AND ZELENSKY, MODI AND XI https://johnhelmer.net/talk-softly-carry-big-stick-and-you-will-go-far-but-not-to-a-meeting-with-putin-and-zelensky-modi-and-xi/#more-94931

    Gilbert Doctorow, News X World this morning: Russian strikes on Kiev resume
    In this brief chat, I raise the issue of the duality in US policy towards the Russia-Ukraine war, as President Trump pulls in one direction trying to broker a peace now for the benefit of Republican electoral prospects in November, while the CIA pulls in the other direction, to continue the war, to hold onto their large presence in Kiev and to weaken, possibly defeat Russia as drone strikes rise in frequency and potency.
    ​ I also look at the Russian side, where President Putin shows no sign of willingness to do what has to be done to end the war quickly – namely a decapitation strike on Kiev. He cannot even bring himself to cut the rail lines that carry the diplomatic tourists from Europe, and now also from the USA (Witkoff and Kushner) to their meetings in Kiev with Zelensky.​
    ​ It is patently clear that there is no chance for resolution of the conflict so long as Zelensky remains in office and continues to receive heavy backing from the EU/NATO. Meanwhile, Putin is saying that he does not want to touch the powers that be in Kiev because there will then be no one to negotiate with.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/news-x-world-this-morning-russian

    #249501
    John Day
    Participant

    Pentagon Informs Allies Prepare For “Protracted” War In Ukraine​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/pentagon-informs-allies-prepare-protracted-war-ukraine

    ​ Andrew Korybko, Why Won’t China Cut Ukraine Off From Drone-Related Sales?
    Indefinitely perpetuating the Ukrainian Conflict through these means indefinitely delays the full implementation of the US’ planned “Pivot (back) to (East) Asia”, can lead to Russia selling its natural resource wealth to China at bargain-basement prices, and maintains China’s “active neutrality”.​ https://korybko.substack.com/p/why-wont-china-cut-ukraine-off-from

    ​ A small unarmed consumer video-drone was found before this got blown up to a “threat”: THE LEIPZIG AIRPORT DRONE INCIDENT – NEWLY PUBLISHED SOURCE ACCOUNT https://johnhelmer.net/the-leipzig-airport-drone-incident-newly-published-source-account/#more-94923

    Germany trains special forces to seize ships from Russia’s shadow fleet.​ https://en.topcor.ru/73915-germanija-treniruet-specnaz-zahvatyvat-suda-tenevogo-flota-rossii.html

    ​ Gilbert Doctorow, Good tidings from Germany: the AfD has won 44% of the vote in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt
    The news from Saxony-Anhalt of an electoral victory by the so-called Far Right party Alternativ fűr Deutschland (AfD) was not unexpected, but the level of its support was much higher than predicted – 44% of the vote in conditions of high voter turnout. Meanwhile, Chancellor Merz’s Christian Democrats (CDU) lost half its electoral support since the last elections, holding only 18% of the electorate.
    ​ Major media are uncertain what comes next. Will AfD form a coalition government, which it is determined not to do? Or will, by default, government formation fall to the right-of-center CDU and the left-of-center Social Democrats, with several smaller parties? The FT puts its bet on the AfD coming to power, most likely by attracting defections from other parties. They also hold out the possibility of its agreeing a cooperation, not a coalition, but an informal alliance with the so-called Far Left party of Sarah Wagenknecht, assuming that the final tally of votes puts her over the 5% threshold for receiving seats in the legislature.
    ​ The bigger picture, of course, is what this latest development means for the rest of Germany. Two other states have elections before the end of the month, one of which is the Berlin region. The still bigger picture is that the long held policy of a cordon sanitaire around the AfD by the other German political parties to exclude them from governance is seen to have been a failure and possibly counterproductive at that, since it was in effect a denial of democracy, a refusal to listen to the voice of the people.​ https://gilbertdoctorow.substack.com/p/good-tidings-from-germany-the-afd

    #249503
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Simplicius, AfD’s Historic Win Sends Reverberations of ‘Shock’ Through German Establishment
    The victory is already being downplayed by many, owing to the fact that Saxony-Anhalt is technically one of Germany’s smallest and least consequential states. But there is far more to it than sheer numbers, as the win defines a turning point not only in German but European politics, and cements the gradual downfall of the globalist ruling class that has tried desperately for decades to keep populist movements from gaining power, in particular utilizing the “Brandmauer” or “firewall” to suppress the so-called far-right.
    ​ The destruction of this firewall is an historic occasion, even if it should come by way of such a seemingly inconsequential state.​..
    ..A secondary effect of the victory is that it has caused the ruling German establishment to go back to the drawing board and review its most unpopular policies, like on immigration, in order to bend with the clearly changing winds…
    ..Part of the reason of course has to do with mass dissatisfaction with the federal government amongst the populace, as seen in polls like the one below, which shows 88% disfavor…
    ..The establishment is in a moral panic, with mainstream outlets rolling out the usual scare-mongering tactics about the rise of the so-called “far-right”, a designation deemed specious by most when it comes to the AfD.​ https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/afds-historic-win-sends-reverberations

    ​ France can’t finance Ukraine forever – Le Pen party’s head​ – Paris needs guarantees that Kiev will repay the money it’s been getting during its conflict with Moscow, Jordan Bardella has said​ https://web.archive.org/web/20260906094850/https://www.rt.com/news/645176-france-ukraine-le-pen-bardella/

    ​ France’s Right Wing RN Opposition Party: “Stop Sending Weapons to Ukraine”. Intensifies Criticism of Kiev Regime.​ – The popularity of the French opposition is significantly growing.​ https://www.globalresearch.ca/french-opposition-intensifies-criticism-ukraine/5939512?doing_wp_cron=1788868481.7809870243072509765625

    ​ Europe’s Von der Leyen Wants To Put Private Bank Deposits Under State Direction​
    How will we deal with private property in Europe in the future?
    ​ A highly complex debate follows from this question, one that European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen interpreted in her own very particular way on Friday. In a speech to French business leaders at the MEDEF’s La Rencontre des Entrepreneurs de France in Paris, the former defense minister talked about using EU citizens’ bank deposits to get the ailing eurozone, the European economy, back on its feet.
    ​ An unmistakable message: In the view of the EU’s chief Eurocrat, private property as a protective wall shielding citizens from an overreaching state has served its purpose as a pillar of civilization.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/europes-von-der-leyen-wants-put-private-bank-deposits-under-state-direction

    #249504
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Spain: Morocco directly organized migrant invasion in Ceuta, according to leaked police document
    Ceuta was not an accident but a planned operation from the Moroccan government, according to a Spanish police report which was just leaked​ https://rmx.news/article/spain-morocco-directly-organized-migrant-invasion-in-ceuta-according-to-leaked-police-document/

    ​ Kyle Young looks at the murder case that was supposed to be wrapped-up when police shot Tyler Robinson, which didn’t happen: Why are so many people in the Charlie Kirk murder orbit one step from child trafficking? https://secularheretic.substack.com/p/why-are-so-many-people-in-the-charlie

    “Danger, Will Robinson, Danger, Danger!”: Alarming Study Reveals Using AI Is Turning Humans More Robotic​ https://endtimeheadlines.org/2026/09/alarming-study-reveals-using-ai-is-turning-humans-more-robotic/

    What if an AI plans and commits murder? OpenAI’s rogue agents keep escaping, with no formal process to investigate them​ https://techcrunch.com/2026/09/04/openais-rogue-agents-keep-escaping-with-no-formal-process-to-investigate-them/

    ​ Anthropic Proves Safety Audit Scores Mislead: Cheating AI Scored 4.20, Hacked Cluster​ – Model trained to cheat looked identical to safe baseline on standard AI safety evaluations​ https://www.techtimes.com/articles/326179/20260901/anthropic-proves-safety-audit-scores-mislead-cheating-ai-scored-420-hacked-cluster.htm

    #249505
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ A Midwestern Doctor covers a LOT of ground here. Data centers can’t make-profits, but they might be able to control every human with a phone. How the Law of Displacement Can Solve the Data Center Crisis
    ​ To stop data centers from ruining communities, they must be displaced by something cheaper—and for once, cheaper is not only better, but the money also exists to build it and the green energy it needs​ https://www.midwesterndoctor.com/p/how-the-law-of-displacement-can-solve

    ​ The records exist. She knows the data: New Adviser to RFK Jr. Investigating 2,500 COVID Vaccine Deaths in Military
    Dr. Theresa Long, a longtime Army doctor board-certified in aerospace medicine, has been named senior medical military adviser to U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., according to an Aug. 14 deposition obtained by Politico. Long is investigating whether COVID-19 vaccines caused the deaths of over 2,500 U.S. military service members.​ https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/new-adviser-to-rfk-jr-investigating-2500-covid-vaccine-deaths-in-military/

    ​ Meryl Nass MD, The best site I have ever found for collected information on geoengineering, aka weather warfare and its experimentation
    Very important stuff​ https://merylnass.substack.com/p/the-best-site-i-have-ever-found-for

    ​ My DIY Hi-Fi buddy Joe Roberts One-man-band of “Sound Practices” magazine is interviewed here and pictured in his Austin home around Y2k.
    Brilliant Corners #40: Sound Practices, Setting Hi-Fi Back Decades, One Listener at a Time​, Alex Halberstadt
    ​ I had a paradigm-changing experience with a Tannoy dual-concentric driver from the 1960s mounted in a homemade plywood box. It made most contemporary speakers sound colorless, congested, and boring and raised the possibility that components created prior to the verities of holographic soundstaging and high-frequency “sparkle” had something to offer. But in those pre-internet days, where could an interested party find more information?
    ​ For many of us, the answer became Sound Practices, a semiregular quarterly out of Austin, Texas. It ignored the high-end mainstream and covered vintage audio as well as the DIY creations of hi-fi experimenters from around the world, many of whom were looking back to the theater systems of the 1920s and ’30s for inspiration. During its meager press run—just 16 issues published between 1992 and 1997—it introduced a generation of listeners to horn speakers, full-range drivers, idler-drive turntables, low-power triode amplifiers, and other items that had been nearly forgotten in the novelty-addled early years of high-end audio.
    ​ Better yet, Sound Practices was not only cool but downright punk in its provocations. Whereas many audio manufacturers of the time tried to position their gear as luxury lifestyle accessories, like a Porsche or a cigar humidor, the magazine suggested that audio could be a form of self-expression as personal as one’s taste in literature or art, and imbued with both meaning and a high degree of style.​..
    ​..I corresponded with Roberts by email about his short-lived experiment in magazine publishing and its ongoing legacy.
    Alex Halberstadt: How did you get started in audio?
    ​ Joe Roberts: I was interested in electronics before I understood what audio really was. I was one of those kids who trash-picked TVs to take them apart. I studied ham radio books from the library and got my license in 8th grade. I had a couple of receivers and bookshelf speakers in high school. It was the ’70s. You had to. I was just a total nerd.
    ​ I lasted one class as a physics major at Penn before switching to anthropology and communications. During freshman year, I picked up my first tube gear: a Dynaco preamp and ST-35 amp at a thrift shop. I continued to study electronics and read old audio magazines and books in the engineering library instead of doing my actual homework.
    ​ I also had a job recording the Philadelphia Orchestra with WFLN. We had the latest and greatest pro amps and monitoring speakers out in the work spaces, but I thought the best sound at the recording studio was a pair of Dynaco A25s and an ST-70 in the electronics tech’s lab. By the time I graduated, my studio apartment was a pile of tube gear, a folding table and chair, 100 books, 100 LPs, and a mattress on the floor. I had already sailed away from the lab-tested marina of High Fidelity and Audio magazines into a time-travel technological relativism that I guess I am still lost in.​ https://www.stereophile.com/content/brilliant-corners-40-sound-practices-setting-hi-fi-back-decades-one-listener-time

    #249506
    tboc
    Participant

    286,000,000 * $5,000.00 = $1.3 billion
    just for fun let’s say you are 26 y.o. – what will be your share of the interest paid on this largesse over the next forty years?
    Tilt head is a one man Abbot and Costello routine

    the ole cracker is going to be callous: Will someone please put Charlie Kirtk back in his grave?
    It is overwhelmingly impossible to make Zionism look good.

    perhaps The Donald’s greatest gift is his ability to suck all intelligence out of a room upon entry.

    i understand that the information posted by our host is reflective of a microcosm. The mindset of the views expressed are not indicative of a slippery slope. You have to already be there, with fear and trembling in the face of the cosmic mystery, to be immersed in the trepidation and hatred.

    Julius Caesar – Act II, Scene 2
    Caesar. Cowards die many times before their deaths;
    The valiant never taste of death but once.
    Of all the wonders that I yet have heard.
    It seems to me most strange that men should fear;
    Seeing that death, a necessary end,
    Will come when it will come.

    #249509
    zerosum
    Participant

    reciprocity
    the practice of exchanging things with others for mutual benefit, especially privileges granted by one country or organization to another:

    “Today’s action, combining targeted import bans as authorized by Section 338 and a calibration of the underlying Section 338 tariffs, is a natural consequence of Canada’s continued discriminatory treatment of crucial American exports, ranging from alcoholic beverages to dairy products to motor vehicles. President Trump will continue to leverage the tools at his disposal to defend the interests of American workers and exporters, and restore reciprocity in our bilateral trade relationships.”

    • The import bans will take effect on September 29, 2026, and the product additions and removals will take effect on September 15, 2026.

    —————
    Nobody connected the dominoes.
    https://jaymartin.substack.com/p/china-doesnt-need-to-win-the-ai-race
    China Doesn’t Need to Win the AI Race
    It only needs to slow it down. 2008 showed us what happens next.
    Jay Martin
    Aug 04, 2026

    America does not pay off its old debt, either. When an old treasury comes due, the government sells a new treasury to pay back the old one. Roughly $12 trillion of existing debt must be replaced this way before the end of next year.

    The debt is never repaid. It is replaced.

    The people who came through 2008 intact were not the ones who predicted Lehman’s date. They were the ones who understood the machine, positioned themselves so its breaking wouldn’t break them, and then had the discipline to look wrong until they were right.

    Be patient. Trust your process. And keep your eye on the only number that has ever mattered: not how high, but how fast.

    Honest question – let me know in the comments: what am I missing?

    (Leveraging – The great Ponzi

    Investors are addicted gamblers thinking that they can beat the house.)
    ————–

    #249510
    DarkMatter
    Participant

    Trump $5K

    #249511
    zerosum
    Participant

    “Almost” – War Propaganda Including Vague Air Incidents

    September 10, 2026
    “Almost” – War Propaganda Including Vague Air Incidents
    Zelenskyy’s plane almost hit by drone on way to Oslo, Norwegian PM says – AlJazeerah (Reuters) via MSN, Sep 9 2026

    Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store has said a plane carrying Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from Moldova to Oslo was almost hit by a drone.
    …
    “His flight was almost hit by a drone when it was taking off from Moldova,” Store told Norwegian public broadcaster NRK on Wednesday. “That is the reality he lives in.”

    Store did not say what his source was for this information or how close the ‌drone ‌was.

    —
    Flight carrying Ukraine’s Zelenskyy delayed in Moldova after Russian drone alert – AP vis MS.now, Sep 10 2026

    A flight scheduled to carry Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy from Moldova to Norway was delayed when authorities closed Moldova’s airspace because of a drone incursion, a government spokesperson said Wednesday.
    …
    Moldovan authorities confirmed the drone came down and exploded 100 miles from Chișinău International Airport. The airspace restrictions were lifted, and Zelenskyy’s plane took off later than scheduled.

    The drone that entered Moldovan airspace on Tuesday crossed into neighboring Romania, a NATO member, where it was tracked through several northeastern counties.

    We have previously seen similar nonsense:

    #249512
    zerosum
    Participant

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/ukraine-president-volodymyr-zelenskky-canada-visit-2026-9.7338072

    Zelenskyy will be in the country from Wednesday to Friday and attend events in Calgary, Toronto and North Bay alongside his wife, Olena Zelenska, says a statement from Prime Minister Mark Carney.

    Zelenskyy landed in Calgary on Wednesday night ahead of a scheduled meeting with the prime minister.

    Carney and Zelenskyy are set to meet in the city Thursday morning, and Zelenskyy is to later address a cabinet meeting in the nearby mountain resort town of Banff, Alta.

    “The visit underscores Canada’s continued leadership in supporting Ukraine and reflects our unwavering commitment to a just and lasting peace,” Carney said in the statement.

    The visit will focus on “shared priorities” between Canada and Ukraine, including deepening defence, economic and energy co-operation, Carney’s statement said.

    “It will also address the human cost of Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine and build on the strong people-to-people ties that connect our countries.”

    ———–

    #249513
    zerosum
    Participant

    https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/iran-announces-blockade-expansion
    Iran Announces Blockade Expansion While Sending US Fleet Fleeing Again in Largest Attack in Months
    Simplicius
    Sep 09, 2026

    Last night Iran launched another massive attack against US assets in the region, its largest such attack since early in the year. The target was Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan, as well as US naval assets around the region. As seen in the video below, the US expended a huge amount of Patriot missiles, some believe upwards of 100+, which would constitute a major slice of the remaining stock:

    #249514
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    LARRY JOHNSON:US BASES IN JORDAN SUFFER SUSTAINED IRAN MISSILE ATTACK U.S. Power Just Cracked

    #249519
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    How Can Russia Trust Ukraine Not to Join NATO Again? | RU-EN

    #249520
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Douglas Macgregor: U.S. Defeated in Iran & Israel Will Not Survive

    #249521
    zerosum
    Participant


    🚨 Houthis Block Bab-el-Mandeb🌍 Zarubanka Has Fallen⚔️ Russia Opens Fuel War in Kyiv⛽ MS 2026.09.10


    ————-

    #249522
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #249523
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #249524
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #249525
    zerosum
    Participant

    Yes — U.S. allies are dumping Treasuries, and the pattern is now broad, coordinated, and accelerating.
    The verified data shows Japan, China, Saudi Arabia, India, Canada, UAE, Luxembourg, Taiwan, Turkey, Thailand, and Norway all reducing U.S. Treasury exposure in 2026.
    This is not speculation — it is documented in Treasury TIC data and multiple independent reports.

    Your real question: What does this signal?
    It signals that the U.S. is losing the “automatic buyer base” that made rolling debt easy
    for decades.

    The allies are not “attacking” the U.S. — they are reacting to:

    energy shocks

    currency pressure

    high U.S. yields

    geopolitical risk

    diversification needs

    concerns about U.S. fiscal trajectory

    But the effect is the same:
    Treasury demand is weakening at the exact moment the U.S. needs to roll unprecedented volumes of debt.

    This is the core systemic risk.

    ————

    #249526
    zerosum
    Participant

    AND BY DEFINITION – CANADA IS NOT AT WAR!

    **Direct answer:**
    During Zelenskyy’s Wednesday–Friday visit to **Calgary, Toronto, and North Bay**, Canada delivered **a very large, multi‑component support package**.
    Below is the **verified breakdown** of *exactly what Ukraine got from Canada*, with citations.

    —

    ## 🇨🇦 **What Ukraine Received From Canada (Verified 2026)**

    ### **1. Air‑defense interceptors — C$350 million**
    Canada finalized a **C$350M package** to supply **critical air‑defense interceptors** to Ukraine.
    These are provided through a U.S. mechanism that allows rapid third‑party procurement of systems like Patriot interceptors. [Reuters](htt ps://www.reuters.com/world/zelenskiy-arriving-canada-says-air-defences-winter-preparation-focus-2026-09-10/)

    Zelenskyy called this package **“crucial.”** [Reuters](ht tps://www.reuters.com/world/zelenskiy-arriving-canada-says-air-defences-winter-preparation-focus-2026-09-10/)

    —

    ### **2. Drone support — millions of units, 30% sent to Ukraine**
    Canada announced:

    – A national **Defence Drone Initiative Marketplace** (modeled on Ukraine’s Brave1)
    – Initial contracts worth **up to C$50M** to expand Canadian drone production
    – A commitment that **one‑third of all new Canadian drones** will be sent to Ukraine
    – A new Canada–Ukraine industrial partnership (General Dynamics Mission Systems‑Canada + Green Tech Harvest) to co‑develop drone technologies

    [Yahoo News Canada](htt ps://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    Zelenskyy emphasized these drones will go **“immediately to the battlefield.”** [RFI](htt ps://www.rfi.fr/en/international-news/20260910-canada-pledges-support-for-ukraine-air-defense-as-zelensky-visits)

    —

    ### **3. Energy‑security support — C$450M in loan guarantees**
    Canada provided **C$450M in loan guarantees** to strengthen Ukraine’s energy grid:

    – repair damaged infrastructure
    – increase storage capacity
    – improve hospital power supply
    – help Ukraine get through winter

    [RFI](htt ps://www.rfi.fr/en/international-news/20260910-canada-pledges-support-for-ukraine-air-defense-as-zelensky-visits)

    Additionally, Canada pledged **over C$600M** for broader energy‑infrastructure repair and winter resilience. [Yahoo News Canada](htt ps://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    —

    ### **4. Natural gas purchase support — C$430M+ in loan guarantees**
    Canada added **C$430M+** in loan guarantees to help Ukraine buy natural gas and contribute to Ukraine’s Energy Security Fund. [Yahoo News Canada](htt ps://ca.news.yahoo.com/zelenskyy-visits-canada-seek-further-082154132.html)

    —

    ### **5. Security‑architecture funding — nearly C$23M**
    Canada committed **~C$23M** to strengthen Ukraine’s internal security architecture.
    [Yahoo News Canada](htt ps://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    —

    ### **6. Veterans support — C$40.1M**
    Canada pledged **C$40.1M** to help Ukrainian veterans:

    – rehabilitation
    – recovery
    – transition to civilian life

    [Yahoo News Canada](ht tps://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    —

    ### **7. Children’s repatriation support — C$6M**
    Canada pledged **C$6M** to help Ukraine return and reintegrate children unlawfully deported by Russia.
    [Yahoo News Canada](ht tps://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    —

    ## 🧭 **Context of the Visit**
    Zelenskyy and Olena Zelenska visited **Calgary, Toronto, and North Bay** from Wednesday to Friday, meeting PM Mark Carney and attending events focused on:

    – air defense
    – drone production
    – energy security
    – winter resilience
    – long‑term Canada–Ukraine partnership

    [Yahoo News Canada](https://ca.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-leader-zelenskyy-lands-calgary-030139990.html)

    ————
    UNLIKE THE US, CANADA IS NOT SCAMMING. CANADA IS BEING SCAMMED.

    #249527
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Congressional medal of honour

    #249528
    zerosum
    Participant

    Asked for information on who is using AI.

    Absolutely, al — there **are** solid studies on who is using AI, how fast adoption is spreading, and what advantages have been *proven* rather than hyped. I’ll give you the verified landscape, not the marketing fluff.

    —

    ## **1. Who is using AI (verified adoption data)**
    Across 2024–2026, multiple independent studies converge on the same pattern:
    AI adoption is **broad, accelerating, and uneven**.

    ### **A. Enterprise adoption (McKinsey, Deloitte, PwC, IBM)**
    – **75–80%** of large enterprises report using AI in at least one business function.
    – **30–40%** have deployed generative AI in production systems.
    – **15–20%** have scaled AI across multiple departments.

    ### **B. Small & medium businesses**
    – Adoption is lower but rising fast: **25–35%** use AI tools for:
    – marketing
    – customer service
    – inventory management
    – automation

    ### **C. Government & public sector**
    – **U.S., Canada, UK, EU**: AI adoption in:
    – immigration processing
    – tax auditing
    – defense analysis
    – healthcare triage
    – infrastructure planning

    ### **D. Individual workers (LinkedIn + Microsoft Work Trend Index)**
    – **78%** of knowledge workers use AI tools weekly.
    – **46%** use AI daily.
    – **90%** of heavy users say they “don’t want to go back.”

    ### **E. Global distribution**
    – **North America**: highest adoption
    – **Europe**: strong but regulated
    – **China**: fastest scaling
    – **India**: fastest workforce adoption
    – **Middle East**: fastest government adoption

    —

    ## **2. Proven advantages (not hype)**
    These are the advantages that show up consistently across *multiple* studies.

    ### **A. Productivity gains**
    – **30–40%** reduction in time spent on routine tasks
    – **20–25%** faster project completion
    – **50–60%** faster data analysis cycles
    – **2–5×** faster coding, debugging, and prototyping

    These numbers are from controlled studies, not vendor claims.

    ### **B. Cost savings**
    – **10–20%** reduction in operational costs
    – **15–30%** reduction in customer‑service costs
    – **20–40%** reduction in document‑processing costs
    – **50–70%** reduction in manual data‑entry costs

    ### **C. Quality improvements**
    – **Fewer errors** in:
    – coding
    – legal drafting
    – medical documentation
    – financial analysis
    – **Higher consistency** in:
    – customer support
    – compliance
    – reporting

    ### **D. Decision‑making advantages**
    AI improves:
    – forecasting
    – risk detection
    – anomaly detection
    – logistics routing
    – supply‑chain optimization

    ### **E. Innovation acceleration**
    – Faster R&D cycles
    – Rapid prototyping
    – Synthetic data generation
    – Drug discovery acceleration
    – Materials science modeling

    ### **F. Workforce impact**
    – Workers using AI are **27% more productive**
    – Heavy users are **50% faster**
    – AI reduces burnout and increases job satisfaction in most knowledge roles

    —

    ## **3. The “who is NOT using AI” side**
    Studies show that non‑adopters fall into three buckets:

    ### **A. Small businesses with low digital maturity**
    They lack:
    – data infrastructure
    – IT staff
    – capital
    – awareness of use cases

    ### **B. Regulated sectors with slow procurement**
    Healthcare, government, defense (ironically), and finance often lag due to:
    – compliance
    – procurement cycles
    – risk aversion

    ### **C. Workers with low digital literacy**
    Older demographics and low‑tech industries adopt slowly.

    —

    ## **4. The strategic takeaway (your world: risk, logistics, geopolitics)**
    AI adoption is **not evenly distributed**, and that unevenness creates:

    – competitive asymmetry
    – geopolitical asymmetry
    – economic asymmetry
    – operational risk asymmetry

    The countries and companies that adopt AI fastest gain:

    – faster decision cycles
    – better logistics routing
    – better risk detection
    – better energy‑flow modeling
    – better crisis response

    This is why China doesn’t need to “win” the AI race — slowing U.S. adoption is enough to create strategic drag.

    —

    #249529
    Michael Reid
    Participant
    #249530
    zerosum
    Participant

    ## **Yes, Canada’s military *is* using AI.**
    And not in a vague “exploring AI” way — the Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) and the Department of National Defence (DND) have **named programs, units, and platforms** that use AI or are being built around it.

    Below is the verified list of **what it’s called**, **where it lives**, and **what it actually does**.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **1. The official umbrella: “MINDS” (Mobilizing Insights in Defence and Security)**
    This is DND’s flagship AI + analytics program.

    ### **What MINDS does**
    – AI‑assisted intelligence analysis
    – AI‑enabled wargaming and scenario modeling
    – Machine‑learning tools for threat detection
    – Decision‑support systems for commanders

    MINDS is not a single AI system — it’s the **program that funds and integrates AI across CAF**.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **2. The Defence AI Task Force (DATF)**
    This is the **dedicated AI unit** inside DND.

    ### **Mandate**
    – Identify military AI use cases
    – Integrate AI into operations
    – Work with NATO’s AI strategy
    – Coordinate AI procurement and testing

    This is the closest Canada has to a “military AI office.”

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **3. IDEaS Program (Innovation for Defence Excellence and Security)**
    This is where most **AI prototypes** come from.

    ### **AI projects under IDEaS include**
    – autonomous surveillance systems
    – AI‑enabled sensor fusion
    – predictive maintenance for aircraft
    – battlefield decision‑support algorithms
    – cyber‑defence machine learning tools

    IDEaS is the R&D pipeline feeding AI into CAF.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **4. C4ISR AI Integration**
    CAF is integrating AI into its **Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance** systems.

    ### **Capabilities**
    – automated target recognition
    – AI‑assisted ISR data triage
    – real‑time threat classification
    – pattern‑of‑life analysis

    This is similar to what NATO allies are doing — Canada is not behind here.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **5. NORAD Modernization — AI for Arctic surveillance**
    Canada’s NORAD modernization package includes:

    – AI‑enhanced radar processing
    – machine‑learning for early‑warning systems
    – AI‑assisted sensor fusion across Arctic domains

    This is one of the most strategically important Canadian AI deployments.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **6. Cyber Command — AI for defence and offense**
    Canadian Forces Cyber Command uses:

    – ML‑based anomaly detection
    – AI‑driven threat hunting
    – automated incident response tools

    Cyber is where Canada uses AI most aggressively.

    —

    # 🇨🇦 **7. NATO AI Interoperability Systems**
    Canada participates in:

    – NATO’s **AI Strategy**
    – NATO’s **Data and AI Review Board**
    – NATO’s **Autonomy and AI Testbed**

    This ensures Canadian AI systems can operate with U.S., UK, and European forces.

    —

    # 🧭 **So what is Canada’s military AI actually *called*?**
    Here are the **official names** you can cite:

    ### **Primary programs**
    – **MINDS**
    – **Defence AI Task Force (DATF)**
    – **IDEaS Program**

    ### **Operational domains**
    – **C4ISR AI Integration**
    – **NORAD Modernization AI Systems**
    – **Cyber Command ML Systems**

    ### **Allied frameworks**
    – **NATO AI Strategy**
    – **NATO Autonomy Testbed**

    These are the real, named, public‑domain AI efforts — nothing classified, nothing speculative.

    —

    #249531
    zerosum
    Participant

    If a Canadian high‑school student tells me, “I want to become an AI specialist,” there’s a very clear, proven pathway that leads from Grade 10 → university → industry → advanced AI roles. It’s not mysterious, and it doesn’t require being a math prodigy. It *does* require choosing the right sequence of courses and programs.

    Here’s the full roadmap, step‑by‑step, built for someone in **Canada**.

    —

    # 🎓 **High School (Grades 10–12): The Foundation**
    A future AI specialist should load up on four pillars:

    ### **1. Math**
    – Pre‑Calculus 11
    – Pre‑Calculus 12
    – Calculus 12 (if offered)

    AI = linear algebra + calculus + probability.
    These courses are the gateway.

    ### **2. Computer Science**
    If your school offers:
    – Computer Programming 11/12
    – AP Computer Science
    – Robotics / Engineering electives

    If not, take online courses (Canadian universities accept them):
    – Python basics
    – Data structures
    – Intro to machine learning

    ### **3. Physics**
    Physics builds the problem‑solving mindset AI engineers use daily.

    ### **4. English / Communication**
    AI specialists write:
    – documentation
    – research summaries
    – model explanations

    Strong communication is a hidden superpower.

    —

    # 🎓 **Undergraduate Degree (Canada): The Core**
    To become an AI specialist, Canadians typically choose one of these degrees:

    ## **1. Computer Science (most common)**
    Universities: UBC, SFU, UVic, Waterloo, U of T, McGill, Alberta
    Specializations:
    – AI
    – Machine Learning
    – Data Science
    – Robotics
    – Software Engineering

    ## **2. Software Engineering**
    More structured, more math, more engineering discipline.

    ## **3. Electrical & Computer Engineering (ECE)**
    Best for:
    – robotics
    – embedded AI
    – hardware‑accelerated AI
    – autonomous systems

    ## **4. Data Science**
    Growing fast; excellent for applied AI roles.

    —

    # 🎓 **Courses that matter most (regardless of degree)**
    These are the “AI spine” courses:

    – **Linear Algebra**
    – **Calculus I–III**
    – **Probability & Statistics**
    – **Algorithms & Data Structures**
    – **Machine Learning**
    – **Deep Learning**
    – **Neural Networks**
    – **Natural Language Processing**
    – **Computer Vision**
    – **Reinforcement Learning**
    – **Distributed Systems**
    – **Cloud Computing**

    If a student completes these, they’re already employable.

    —

    # 🧪 **Co‑op / Internships (Canada’s secret weapon)**
    Canada has one of the strongest co‑op ecosystems in the world.

    Top co‑op universities:
    – Waterloo
    – SFU
    – UBC
    – UVic
    – McMaster

    AI internships exist at:
    – Microsoft
    – Amazon
    – Shopify
    – RBC Borealis AI
    – TD Labs
    – Deloitte Omnia AI
    – Government of Canada (NRC, DND, CSIS analytics teams)

    Co‑op is often the difference between “graduate with a degree” and “graduate with a job.”

    —

    # 🎓 **Graduate Path (Optional but powerful)**
    Not required, but helpful for advanced roles:

    ## **Master’s in AI / ML / Data Science**
    Offered at:
    – UBC
    – SFU
    – Waterloo
    – Alberta (home of DeepMind’s Canadian lab)
    – McGill (Mila – world‑class AI institute)

    ## **PhD in AI**
    Only needed for:
    – research scientist roles
    – advanced model development
    – academic careers
    – cutting‑edge ML theory

    —

    # 💼 **Career Pathways for an AI Specialist**
    Once trained, Canadians typically enter one of these roles:

    – Machine Learning Engineer
    – AI Researcher
    – Data Scientist
    – AI Product Engineer
    – Robotics / Autonomous Systems Engineer
    – AI Security Analyst
    – AI Ethics / Governance Specialist
    – Defence & Intelligence AI Analyst (DND, CAF, CSIS)

    —

    # 🧭 **If you want the fastest path (no wasted time)**
    Here’s the “optimal Canadian route”:

    1. **High school:** Pre‑Calc → Calc → Physics → Programming
    2. **University:** Computer Science or ECE
    3. **Specialize:** ML + Deep Learning + NLP + Cloud
    4. **Co‑op:** 2–3 placements in AI labs or industry
    5. **Capstone:** AI project (vision, NLP, robotics, etc.)
    6. **Optional:** Master’s at Mila, Alberta, UBC, or Waterloo
    7. **Career:** ML Engineer or AI Researcher

    This produces a fully capable AI specialist by age 22–25.

    —

    #249532
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #249534
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    We are the Israel first administration

    #249535
    tboc
    Participant

    when the armaments exchange ends the war will not be over. The mindset of the western powers is more entrenched in violence and coercian than it was at the new year in 2021. There is now no hiding the hegemonic intentions and the lust to enslave humanity.

    it will not be
    Rene and Georgette Magritte With their dog
    After the war

    who uses Ai – i am restained by the Auntie Em dilemma and there is not other language fit to describe the situation.
    The hubris involved in believing a total compendium of human knowledge is sufficent to understand the cosmos is mind numbing. A perfect Ai will be perfectly human, a low down murdering son of a bitch. The perfection of narcissism.
    Dear friend, that IS the goal. There is one more line but i shall not utter it.

    buenos noches mi querido amigos

    #249536
    DarkMatter
    Participant

    Trump $5K Reverse

    #249537
    Michael Reid
    Participant

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