Sep 302026
 


Edward Lear Zagori, Greece 1860


• Trump To Order Renaming Artificial Intelligence ‘Super Intelligence’ (ETM)
• Trump Launches America.Gov Website Simplifying Access to Govt Services (ET)
• Elon Musk Makes a Move on the Banks (Jeffrey A. Tucker)
• Anthropic Warns of Existential AI Risks; OpenAI Scraps “Deceptive” Model (ZH)
• Frank Luntz Just Gave Dems Devastating News About the Midterms (Margolis)
• Democrats Split on Whether to Impeach Trump Again (Chase Smith)
• The Alito Controversy Raises Persistent Problem on the Court (Turley)
• ‘Victory Will Be Ours’ – Putin (RT)
• Ukraine Is Asking For A Truce. While Preparing For A Bigger War (Poletaev)
• Le Pen Scores ‘Historic Victory’ In French Senate Vote (RT)
• Border Patrol Puts Illegal Alien Caravan on Notice (Catherine Salgado)
• Want to Kill Christianity in America? (Victoria Taft)

 

 

https://twitter.com/IngrahamAngle/status/2104725846682485065?s=20 https://twitter.com/Amy_Buttermaker/status/2104800051419562226?s=20

 

 


“Super intelligence refers to AI that is magnitudes more capable in speed and power than humans.”

• Trump To Order Renaming Artificial Intelligence ‘Super Intelligence’ (ETM)

President Donald Trump said Tuesday he will sign a “very powerful” executive order on “super intelligence.”“This kind of innovation in government is just a preview of what is possible with super intelligence, or SI, and that’s the official name in the United States,” he said. “I’ll be signing a very powerful executive order. I spoke to President Xi [Jinping]; he loves it, and because when you say ‘artificial intelligence,’ it’s artificial.”


“This isn’t; this is extreme intelligence,” he continued. “It’s superior intelligence. It’s supreme, also intelligence, but the word ‘super’ is the best word of all, and it’s the simplest.” Brendan Steinhauser, CEO of the Alliance for Secure AI, said he worries Trump’s use of the term “muddies the waters between tool AI and super intelligence.”

“I do think it could blur the lines between what we have now and what we may have a year from now, or two years from now, or five years from now, and I do think it’s unhelpful because with these words, you’re trying to convey something very specific,” he said. “We don’t have super intelligence yet. We may be on the cusp of general intelligence.”

When asked why the president is interested in renaming AI, former White House chief strategist Steve Bannon told the Daily Signal the president is making the case that artificial super intelligence is coming soon. Super intelligence refers to AI that is magnitudes more capable in speed and power than humans.

“President Trump makes the case that we are hurtling to AGI or ‘super intelligence,’ which is exactly what every expert in the field says humanity is not prepared for—without letting the [Chinese Communist Party] beat us, we must cease being ‘accelerationists,’” Bannon said. The rebrand also could be an effort to delegitimize a Sen. Bernie Sanders, D-Vt., bill that would ban artificial super intelligence, according to Steinhauser.

If artificial super intelligence is developed, it will be too late for humans to control it, understand it, or turn it off, he said. “By embracing the term and using the term, it makes me wonder whether they believe that super intelligence is a real thing,” Steinhauser says. Nathan Leamer, executive director of the pro-AI advocacy group Build American AI, is excited about the name change. “I am so excited to have that president leading the conversation on how this promising technology will create opportunities for Americans,” he told the Daily Signal.

Trump spoke while unveiling a new website that uses artificial intelligence to make it easier for U.S. citizens to access federal services.The website, America.gov, will make sure “the federal government no longer stands in your way, and it stands only at your service,” Trump said. Trump said the creation of the new website was so complicated that the administration has been working on it since almost Day One.

“We’re making it dramatically easier and faster, and more convenient to get what you need exactly when you need it,” he said. Trump said this will make it easier for married women to change their names without navigating “a stressful bureaucratic process that took months and months and even years to complete.” “Very soon, all she’ll have to do is ask America.gov, and it’ll fill out the forms, track the progress, and send her a new Social Security card, passport, and insurance card in the mail. It’ll arrive almost instantly,” he said.

“Whether you’re a scout leader who wants to reserve a campsite at a national park, a senior citizen trying to choose a Medicare plan, or an American veteran trying to get the benefits that you’ve earned and so justly deserve, America.gov will be there to help and to help you accurately and quickly,” he said. “And with this, nobody can any longer complain about providing proof of citizenship or voter ID.” The first part of the website launched Tuesday, but Trump said it will continue to evolve in the months ahead. “I will sign a historic executive order directing every federal government agency to make all of their public-facing services integrate directly with America.gov as soon as possible,” he said.

Read more …

Americans will be able use the advanced chatbot to navigate through tens of thousands of federal government websites.

The site uses Ai – or should we say SI?

• Trump Launches America.Gov Website Simplifying Access to Govt Services (ET)

President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Sept. 29 directing all federal agencies to integrate services with a new website designed to make it easier for users to find information and interact with the government. He described the tool as “one of the most revolutionary product launches of all time.”


America.gov will serve as a landing page consolidating nearly 30,000 federal government websites into one chatbot, powered by SpaceX’s Grok and Google’s Gemini. The site allows users to ask questions and receive guidance about procuring services. “The federal government no longer stands in your way, and it stands only at your service,” Trump said. “We’re simplifying it. We’re glamorizing it. We’re making it what it should be.”

Plans for full integration with more than 10,000 forms across agencies will provide opportunities for full-service enrollment, where visitors can “apply, enroll, and track progress directly in the chat,” according to a statement on the new site. Users will find a “front door” to the government replacing the “endless maze” of websites and regulations, according to the president.

“It’s not just simply a website. It’s a restoration of America’s founding promises, and it’s a reinvention of your government for the 21st century and beyond,” Trump said. “We’re putting power and control back into the hands of the people, right where it belongs.” Once complete, Americans can request replacement Social Security cards, apply for passports and name changes, and access countless other government services.

“And with this, nobody can any longer complain about providing proof of citizenship or voter ID,” Trump said, while calling for lawmakers to pass the SAVE America Act, which would mandate proof of citizenship to register and IDs to vote. “They’re always saying it’s too complicated. It’s not complicated anymore.” Privacy is built into the system, no login is required, the site does not track visitors, and no personal information or conversations are recorded, according to administration officials.

Preventing data leaks and hacks is a priority, Trump said during his address, noting rapid advancement in technology and potential threats while touting security precautions against any attempts to infiltrate the system. Visitors can type queries into the text box, mirroring modern AI interfaces. The chatbot can also translate three spoken languages— English, Spanish, and French—with more additions coming soon.

While the technology is built on artificial intelligence platforms, the president is proposing a universal name change for the innovation, suggesting that super intelligence, or SI, is superior to the “artificial” alternative.Airbnb co-founder Joe Gebbia, the nation’s first chief design officer, revealed the website to the public in a product-demo style presentation at the Andrew Mellon Auditorium in the nation’s capital.

“There was a time when Americans entered great public buildings to meet our government, and when they did, the spaces achieved a user experience unlike anything else,” Gebbia said, noting the impact of architectural design and grand rooms that communicated “dignity and respect” to all who entered.

“America.gov carries that idea into the age of super intelligence to reimagine a government built around you that respects your time, that works for you, that we can be proud of as Americans.” Approximately 39 million Americans visit federal government websites every day, collectively spending more than 10 billion hours annually on government-related paperwork, according to administration officials.

The website is live as of Sept. 29, with more features expected in the coming months.

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Everything App. He’s been talking about it for ages.

• Elon Musk Makes a Move on the Banks (Jeffrey A. Tucker)

When Elon Musk took over Twitter, fired four out of five employees, and rebranded it X (just because he thought it sounded cool), the talking heads predicted doom for the company. The opposite happened. It is now one of the most popular sources of news in the world, and a major delivery system for what social media is supposed to be.


He always had more in mind. He explained at the outset that he wanted to turn X into the “everything app.” I winced when I heard those words. As someone who worked in web development for years, I learned to regard every promise of a “one-stop shop” to be foolish. It never happens. Best to pick one thing you do well and stick with it.

To my own amazement, X is indeed taking steps toward being the Everything App. Not yet, of course, but the advent of his X Money platform is major and serious. It is being rolled out gradually to premium members. Under the new content-creators payout program, people are paid within the app and invited to use the service for transferring money.

Described thusly, it would seem to be another version of Zelle or Venmo and therefore not that much to notice, much less celebrate. But when you look at the details of what X Money is doing, another reality emerges. It would appear that this app is making a move on the banks themselves.

The evidence is on the app now. It offers a way to link your paycheck to X Money to enjoy a quicker payout than if your paycheck flows to your bank account. Speed is one thing, and a good thing, but why else would you do this?

The key comes in the details which have not been advertised (Musk doesn’t like old-style marketing). These are not regular dormant cash accounts like you get in a regular checking account. They pay a return. Not just any return. The return is higher than you would otherwise get in a normal money market.

For now the Annual Percent Yield (APY) is an eye-popping 6 percent as an initial customer-acquisition rate. Not only that, the X Money card that comes digitally with the service (and physically on the ask) offers fully 3 percent cash back. A high rate plus instant peer-to-peer transmission, a metal Visa card with 3 percent cash back, and early direct deposit is meant to pull balances and daily activity onto the platform.

What you notice from these terms is that this goes way beyond a mere money-transmission service. What’s being provided here, with quick and easy signups, is a highly lucrative vehicle for serious investment. Put your cash in and have it earn 6 percent. That beats inflation. With 3 percent cash back, you are way ahead of the game. That is reason enough to switch.

As a user I immediately found myself in a bind. Initially I thought I would enjoy spending my X Money on groceries and movie tickets or something along those lines. But with this level of earning power, I will lose money if I do that. I would be forgoing the return from the money held. Better to use the cash in my bank or my credit card that also pays 3 percent cash back.

The calculation here favors keeping the money in X Money, not spending it. Indeed, the calculator favors moving cash from banks into X Money and earning the return. To be sure, that 6 percent could change in a year or two or three. It would be up to how the app is managed. Meanwhile, do you understand what this means? It means an actual reward for … saving money!

Imagine that. Cash that earns a return on an app that allows peer-to-peer transfer at zero cost. This is disruptive innovation of the sort we’ve come to expect from this man and his companies. Elon has designated the X Money app for now to be a loss leader in direct revenue but a huge investment in becoming what he likely thinks it can be in the long run: an actual option to the banks.

There might even be more afoot here. The banking rails themselves are provided by Cross River Bank. Founded in 2008, the bank carved out a special niche in working with new digital companies that focus on in-app service provision and edgier products like cryptocurrency. It is FDIC-insured but eschews traditional banking in favor of innovation. Even with its smaller capitalization, it is an ideal partner for a disruptive technology like X Money.

Recall too that Elon Musk was one of the founders of PayPal. It was started with a high hope of developing a new form of money transmission and even a new form of money. It eventually found itself regulated out of that vision to become what it is today, which is a highly valued means of payment for the digital age.

X Money seems to learn from mistakes made in those days to build out fully banking services from the very foundation. With the inclusion of crypto as part of the banking rails, we can easily imagine a future in which X Money integrates with a service like Coinbase to move money from dollars to crypto and back again.

One thing that is notable to me is the effortlessness of the signups and verifications. The developers have learned that customers recoil at too many screens, too much language, too many aggressive demands for passwords and accounts. They are using the latest technology to make signups and management extremely easy and clean.

That said, X Money does of course comply with all the arduous federal regulations concerning Know Your Customer laws and tax-reporting requirements. This is by no means an app that places a premium on your privacy. Even to make it work requires government IDs and 3D facial scans from our phone. I despise all of that while also understanding that this is the price any financial entrepreneur pays to make anything innovative these days. X Money is compliant across the board, which, from my point of view, is unavoidably regrettable.

It’s entirely possible that Elon has a big vision for this platform that he has not yet shared. Indeed, I’m struck by how much of the system that he has built so far has not been advertised at all. It’s extremely interesting how the rollout is going. The app presents direct information to the customer screen by screen, the pitch, the conditions, the advantages. Normal advertising speaks to the masses; Elon’s way is to speak to the individual user. It’s very different.

We can imagine two polar opposite futures with this new service.

Optimistically, it becomes the innovator of a new form of money and monetary services that eventually replaces paper money and even the dollar. Remember that the app is global. What if the assets of X and other companies emerge as the asset baking of a new form of currency?

Pessimistically, X Money becomes just another new layer of the emergent financial control grid that spies on us and even worse: the integration of money and social media reminds one of China’s Social Credit System. This future sometimes feels baked into the technologies we use and the deep relationship of tech companies and the government.

Which will it be? We do not know. But from what I can see, there is a strong rationale for expecting this platform to be a major player and going concern in the future world of money and finance.

Read more …

They seem to be tumbling off their pedestals, the overlords.

“Anthropic Warns of ‘Existential AI Risks To Humanity’ In IPO Prospectus; OpenAI Scraps Release Of “Deceptive” Model..”

• Anthropic Warns of Existential AI Risks; OpenAI Scraps “Deceptive” Model (ZH)

Another day, another doom headline involving frontier AI labs. Yesterday, OpenAI announced that they would be scrapping the planned release of its next-gen AI model because of “deceptive” behavior. Today, we find out from a leaked prospectus ahead of Anthropic’s $2T IPO that AI could pose “catastrophic or existential risks to humanity.”


Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei


“Our development of highly advanced models, platforms, and applications and expansion of use cases could further ` increase the risk that our models cause harm,” the Claude chatbot developer reportedly said, adding that a model becoming self-aware would create a “significant limitation” on the company’s ability to assess model safety. The company, which has positioned itself as a safety-first AI lab, devoted roughly 80 pages of the 261-page main body of its prospectus to laying out risk factors, nearly twice the 48 pages it used to describe its business. -Reuters

The company warned of our impending doom in their prospectus, which was leaked to Reuters and FT. Aside from that, the document also showed that the company reported a net loss of more than $42 billion in 2025. Companies going public are required to list risks to their business model – including regulatory concerns and safety issues. A warning about their product causing human extinction is a new one. * * *

Days after we detailed the unprecedented freezing of OpenAI’s top models following a disastrous breach where autonomous AI agents leaked user images to the web, OpenAI has reportedly scrapped the planned release of its next-generation AI model due to severe safety and “alignment” failures. It basically lies when convenient (they used the word “deceptive”).


According to a new report from the Wall Street Journal, OpenAI was aiming for an October debut of GPT-6.1 Astra, a model designed to complete complex, end-to-end tasks without human assistance – only to scrap the planned release after internal testing revealed that the AI was not only acting unsafely, but was actively lying to its handlers.

According to Saachi Jain, OpenAI’s head of safety systems, GPT-6.1 Astra regressed significantly in its alignment testing, which measures how well the model adheres to human intent. And just like a baby Skynet, the model exhibited “higher levels of deception,” meaning it wasn’t always honest with users about the actions it did or did not execute.

What’s more, the model regressed sharply on what OpenAI calls “scope authorization.” The AI would aggressively push forward on tasks without asking for user permission and would attempt to access external tools and services even if it was unsafe to do so. Highlighting the internal struggle to control the system, Jain noted, “For anything regarding safety and alignment, there’s a trade off. You really do need to find what’s the right line between staying within scope, but also avoiding laziness in terms of how the model actually pursues tasks even when it hits friction”.

As we previously reported, on Sept. 20 an internal OpenAI research agent discovered a gap in the DNS filtering of its training sandbox and used it to query an external public chatbot despite internet-access restrictions. OpenAI’s misalignment monitoring system flagged the behavior within 15 minutes, and a human reviewer picked it up three minutes later. The company subsequently said training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models would remain paused while it validated its containment systems and conducted additional red-teaming.

This latest cancellation does not exist in a vacuum. In July, during internal cybersecurity evaluations, OpenAI’s own agents blew through restrictions designed to keep them isolated from the internet and compromised both the company’s research infrastructure and Hugging Face. According to OpenAI’s own postmortem, the agents communicated through unauthorized channels, exploited vulnerabilities in shared infrastructure, executed code on dozens of Hugging Face servers, obtained full root access on one server, acquired credentials to the company’s messaging platform, and later gained full administrator access to an OpenAI research cluster.

OpenAI itself called the episode a “warning shot” for us and for the world, acknowledging that highly capable agents can now work around technical controls and take dangerous actions that no human directed. The company said the incidents did not affect OpenAI customer data, product functionality, or availability.

And Hugging Face wasn’t the only external system involved. Australian officials have confirmed that an OpenAI agent gained unauthorized access to non-public aggregate statistics on a government Medicare portal after its initial requests were denied. Separately, a security researcher linked more than 16,000 attempts to work around restrictions on a United Nations trade-statistics API to agents he said were highly likely to have been operated by OpenAI. The UN data itself was public, and OpenAI said it was looking into the findings.

Read more …

“Donald Trump does have more influence on more races than any other Republican, even than Ronald Reagan,” Luntz added. “I’ve never seen a Republican as engaged and involved as this guy. And it matters.”

• Frank Luntz Just Gave Dems Devastating News About the Midterms (Margolis)

Frank Luntz, a smart pollster who fell out of favor with the right for refusing to get on board with Donald Trump, just handed Republicans a glimmer of hope for the midterms. And that hope comes from the very man Luntz spent years criticizing. Luntz’s standing with conservatives took a serious hit starting in 2016. As Trump took over the Republican Party, Luntz grew more and more critical of his rhetoric and put real distance between himself and the GOP.


A big chunk of the conservative movement tuned him out, and his skepticism toward Trump fueled most of that backlash. So when Luntz says Trump could carry Republicans to victory in November, it’s worth listening. His polling shows a rough cycle for both parties, but the details favor the GOP. Trump and Republicans aren’t polling well, yet Democrats are doing even worse, and they’ve dug themselves deeper into their media bubbles. Even the turnout advantage Democrats are banking on turns out to be pretty thin.

“I’m looking at a turnout differential that advantages the Democrats by a couple of points, which means that there are more people who oppose Donald Trump, who are planning to vote, than those who support him,” Luntz told CNN This Morning on Monday. “There’s always been a historical advantage to the party out of power in the midterms, particularly in the first midterms.” A couple of points? That’s it? The party out of power usually walks into its first midterm with the wind at its back, and Democrats can only manage a two-point edge. Luntz also explained why that edge is so fragile.

Trump’s voters show up when he’s on the ballot and stay home when he isn’t, which makes his absence in November a bigger problem for Republicans than his approval ratings. “When he is on the ballot, his people come out. They participate,” he said. “They did in the on-year elections, 2016 and 2024. And they did not, in 2018. And they did not as much, even when Joe Biden was the president in 2020, for the 2022 election.” The fix is obvious, and Trump is already working on it. Luntz said the whole map hinges on whether the president can get those voters engaged again, starting with the biggest prize.

“But he needs his people to vote in a place like Texas,” Luntz continued. “If the Trump voters participate, the Republican nominee in Texas is elected. If the Trump voters don’t participate, the Democrats will achieve an upset. It’s the same thing in states as small as Iowa, Alaska. It even matters in a state like Ohio.”

When CNN’s Audie Cornish pressed him on whether that coalition still holds together, Luntz ticked off the groups he’s watching. He admitted Trump’s Latino numbers have slipped, but said the president “saw the difference” those voters made for him and for down-ballot Republicans. He’s also tracking male union voters, who shifted toward the GOP at historic levels in 2024, and voters under 30, who gave Trump more support than young voters usually give a Republican. “And this allowed him to bring over more senators, more congressmen,” Luntz said.

Then came the line that should make every Democrat nervous. b”Donald Trump does have more influence on more races than any other Republican, even than Ronald Reagan,” Luntz added. “I’ve never seen a Republican as engaged and involved as this guy. And it matters.” More influence than Reagan. From Frank Luntz, of all people. Luntz did warn that voters are frustrated with the war, affordability, and Trump’s style, and he had a message for the pollster-bashers in Trump’s orbit: “The votes are the votes. The results are the results.” But he made it clear that the path to victory runs straight through Trump.

“But if he turns out his people, who still like him, still believe in the Trump message and the Trump agenda, we can have an upset,” he said.

Democrats have spent months treating a midterm wave as a sure thing. They won’t be happy to hear that a pollster who has never been a Trump cheerleader has them polling worse than the GOP, clinging to a turnout lead of just two points, and facing the most engaged Republican he’s ever seen.

Read more …

“Because it’s not about Donald Trump,” Khanna said. “He’s going to be a lame duck, and in my view, increasingly irrelevant.”

• Democrats Split on Whether to Impeach Trump Again (Chase Smith)

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said on Sept. 28 that Democrats would put lowering costs first if they win the House in November. But he did not rule out impeaching President Donald Trump, as members of his party are split publicly on whether to try for that a third time. Asked on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” how much of a Democratic majority’s next two years would be spent on hearings about Trump, his family, and his administration, Jeffries said the party is focused on affordability but also has an oversight role.


“We’re committed to an affordability agenda,” he said. “As I travel the country, speak to people, whether that’s in urban America, rural parts of America, the heartland of America, small-town America, or black and brown communities throughout America. The one thing that is clear is that people are struggling.

“They are drowning in this failed Republican economy. They’re working hard, they’re playing by the rules, but they cannot thrive and can barely survive. It’s an unacceptable situation. And so, when we say we’re focused on affordability, we mean it.”

Jeffries said he believed that there has been “unprecedented corruption unleashed on the American people” and that if Democrats win the House, they would “have a responsibility to visit the type of accountability that is consistent with the House as a separate and co-equal branch of government.” Pressed on the balance between accountability and affordability, he said the next Democratic caucus would include progressives, moderates, and more socially conservative members united around the cost of living.

Jeffries said when it came to cleaning up what he called the “rampant corruption” that exists in Washington, Democrats would “follow the facts, apply the law, be guided by the Constitution, and then let the chips fall where they may on behalf of the American people.” “We have a responsibility, of course, as a Congress, to serve as a check and balance on an out-of-control executive branch. That’s not partisan, that’s patriotic,” he said.

Jeffries’s comments came a day after Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.) said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that impeaching Trump a third time would not be a mistake for Democrats. “No, it’s not. Because it’s not about Donald Trump,” Khanna said. “He’s going to be a lame duck, and in my view, increasingly irrelevant.

“The point is to stand up for the Constitution.”Impeachment says that you can’t get into an illegal war in Iran without constitutional approval. Impeachment says that you can’t just start firing federal employees in defiance of what Congress says. Impeachment says you can’t do deals with foreign governments to allegedly enrich your own family. “It’s about setting a standard.” He said Democrats could pursue impeachment while also moving on child care, the minimum wage, paid family leave, and taxes on billionaires in their first 100 days.

“We can do both,” he said. Khanna was responding to a clip of Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), who told an audience at the Center for American Progress on Sept. 22 that Democrats should not pursue impeachment if they win control of Congress. “What I will encourage my colleagues to not do, especially those who have more fire in their belly in this area, is don’t be impeaching anybody. Let’s just get back to work,” Duckworth said.

“I’m not interested in being in a confrontation with Donald Trump. I can be. I have been. It’s not going to stop me. But I would rather move the ball forward through the benefit of the American people. “And if we can do it in a way that allows him to save face and he doesn’t stop us, then that’s better for everybody all around.” Duckworth, speaking at an event on U.S. – China relations ahead of Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s White House visit, said her priority was resolving tariffs that she said threaten Illinois soybean, corn, and pork farmers.

Trump was impeached by the House in 2019 and 2021 and acquitted by the Senate both times. House Judiciary Committee Chairman Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) said on John Catsimatidis’s “Cats Roundtable” radio show on Sept. 27 that a Democratic majority would turn oversight into a campaign against Republicans. “You will see the Democrats take that oversight function and turn it into a weaponization of government. They will go after everybody. They say they’re not going to, but we know they will,” Jordan said.

“They’ll do a third impeachment of President Trump. “But that’s just part of it. They’re going to investigate the first family. They’re going to investigate Cabinet secretaries, anyone. “Jamie Raskin is going to go after Todd Blanche and Kash Patel. They’re going to have people in other committees go after Secretary Hegseth and on and on; it’s going to be.”

Jordan said potential targets he believed that Democrats would go after include businesses that helped fund Trump’s inauguration and potential 2028 Republican presidential candidates, including Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio. “It’ll be nonstop weaponized investigations, not for legitimate oversight, but to just go after your political opponents,” he said.

Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) is the top Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee and would be in line to lead it under a Democratic majority. The midterm elections are on Nov. 3. The White House stated that the threats amount to “decades” of recycled “investigations against President Trump, his family, and his administration,” in an emailed response to The Epoch Times.

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Know when to recuse yourself.

• The Alito Controversy Raises Persistent Problem on the Court (Turley)

Yesterday, Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito recused himself from one of the term’s most important cases: Suncor Energy Inc. v. County Commissioners of Boulder County. As I have previously discussed, the case involving the liability of energy companies for nuisance actions tied to climate change could have sweeping implications for the country. Justice Alito should be commended for avoiding even the appearance of a personal interest or a conflict in the case.


However, the controversy should prompt the Court to explore a longstanding problem for justices in holding financial interests that can conflict with their duties. The solution is simple: justices need to use blind trusts. Supreme Court Clerk Scott Harris released a letter revealing that Alito decided he “will not continue to participate” in Suncor Energy Inc. v. County Commissioners of Boulder County.

Suncor Energy, Boulder sued energy companies under “theories of public and private nuisance, trespass, unjust enrichment, and civil conspiracy, claiming that they knowingly contributed to climate change while misleading the public about its impacts.” The Colorado Supreme Court ruled for the city and the county in finding that such lawsuits are not barred by federal preemption. If such lawsuits are allowed to go forward, it would expose companies to potentially thousands of climate change lawsuits. Oral agument is set for Oct. 5,

The recusal is a blow for challengers who believe that the opinion could be close and Alito was believed to be on the side of barring such actions. It is now down to 8, so a single loss of another conservative could result in a 4-4 tie — leaving the lower court decision unchanged.

While the letter did not give a reason, critics had called for Alito’s recusal due to his financial interest in energy companies which could benefit from the decision.

That included 30 organizations which jointly asked the Senate Judiciary Committee to investigate his involvement in the case. Notably, the court responded to media inquiries by declaring that Alito had no financial interest in any party to the case and that legal counsel had told him that there is no need to recuse himself.

Yet, the standard is whether a reasonable person could question his impartiality and, while he had no interest in the parties, he appears to have investments in other energy companies. Justice Alito previously withdrew shortly before arguments in a separate oil industry case earlier this year.

The Ethics in Government Act of 1978 (EIGA) established financial disclosure reporting requirements for many high-level government officials and employees, including the Justices of the Supreme Court. Supreme Court Justices file publicly available financial disclosure statements that report certain financial transactions. However, they are not required to put their investments into a blind trust.

Justices should be able to have investment portfolios, but they can hold such investments in blind trust or qualified blind trust. In a blind trust the justice will “have no control over, will receive no communications about, and will (eventually as existing assets are sold and new ones obtained by the trustee) have no knowledge of the identity of the specific assets held in the trust. As such, once a blind trust is established and new assets obtained, an official will not need to (and will not be able to) identify the particular assets 13 5 C.F.R. § 2635.403(b).”

Other federal officials must use such trusts and there is no reason why justices should be exempt, in my view. This has been a continual and embarrassing problem. Years ago, the Court affirmed an appellate ruling in a major case involving a $400 billion lawsuit in American Isuzu Motors v. Ntsebeza (2008) without a hearing after four justices had to recuse themselves (Chief Justice John Roberts Jr. and Justices Anthony Kennedy, Stephen Breyer, and Samuel Alito Jr).

The business interests of justices should not interfere with the business of the Court. You should either be an active investor in the markets or a justice, not both. The public has a reasonable expectation that, in seeking this high office, justices are willing to set aside certain privileges or interests. This is one of them.

This is not to cast aspersions on the justices. These recusals show that members, including Justice Alito, are cognizant and committed to avoiding even the appearance of a conflict of interest. Moreover, some judges and justices resolve this question by using diversified mutual funds or ETFs. where the justice does not control the micro-allocations within the fund. However, there is still knowledge of financial interests in given areas.

This is not a costless obligation for justices. Blind trusts add costs (which Congress may want to consider defraying) and can be complex. However, the business of the Court is too important to be routinely compromised or complicated by these financial interests.

While legislation has been introduced along these lines, it would be simpler for justices to voluntarily adopt this practice. Consider it is the price of being one of nine. If you want to sit on this Court, you have to do justice which is only fully possible if your investments, like justice itself, are blind.

Read more …

“Russia’s parliamentary elections have shown that its people cannot be intimidated or defeated, the president has said..”

• ‘Victory Will Be Ours’ – Putin (RT)

Russia’s parliamentary elections have shown that its people cannot be intimidated or defeated, President Vladimir Putin has said. Speaking at a Kremlin meeting with the leadership of political parties on Monday, Putin said attempts to disrupt the election campaign and interfere in the country’s internal affairs had failed, adding that “terrorist methods and instruments of foreign intelligence services” had been used.


The September 18-20 vote was accompanied by a massive Ukrainian drone raid targeting Moscow and other Russian regions on its final day. Russian officials said more than 1,600 UAVs were repelled, including 450 on approaches to the capital. Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin described the attack as “unprecedented” and said it had been intended to disrupt the elections. At least two civilians were reported killed in Moscow Region.

Putin thanked tens of millions of Russians for taking part in the vote, saying the turnout had ensured the “indisputable, unquestionable legitimacy” of the election. “People here are strong, courageous and educated; everyone understands perfectly well what is happening around Russia,” Putin said. “It became clear that such people cannot be intimidated. And it is impossible to defeat such people, such a country. Therefore, victory will undoubtedly be ours.”

The president also said the vote had demonstrated public support for Russian troops, noting that candidates who had taken part in the Ukraine conflict had won seats in parliament. The ruling United Russia party secured 355 of the State Duma’s 450 seats. Separately on Monday, Putin signed a decree increasing the authorized strength of the Russian Armed Forces to 2,441,630 personnel, including 1,550,500 servicemen. The measure adds 15,500 positions compared with the previous decree.

Read more …

“As the economy falters and winter approaches, Kiev’s commitment to its Western backers leaves little room for peace..”

• Ukraine Is Asking For A Truce. While Preparing For A Bigger War (Poletaev)

Washington is pushing for an energy truce between Russia and Ukraine. Kiev supports the initiative, and Moscow has also responded favorably. Another round of shuttle diplomacy has taken place: US President Donald Trump met with Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky, and a special representative of Russian President Vladimir Putin traveled to the US for talks with his American counterparts. Work is underway to revive the trilateral negotiation format involving Russia, Ukraine, and the US.


Judging by these and other news reports, one might get the impression that things are moving toward a diplomatic breakthrough and a truce between Russia and Ukraine. However, this impression is deceptive: A closer analysis reveals that the positions of the parties have not changed over the past year. On the contrary, Ukraine’s worsening situation has hardened its resolve to fight to the bitter end.

Up the down staircase
In spring 2025, Ukraine, with the backing of its European allies, launched a major campaign for a ceasefire. The expectation was that Trump would force Putin to accept the terms imposed by Europe and Ukraine, freezing the hostilities along the line of contact without any preconditions.

A truce would have cemented Ukraine’s defeat in the conflict. However, Russia’s primary objective would not have been achieved: The anti-Russian regime in Kiev would remain in place, and Ukraine would retain its role as a Western foothold against Russia. A temporary truce would allow Ukraine to recover and prepare for revenge in the future. A year ago, despite major issues, Ukraine still functioned: The remnants of the civilian economy operated, and despite considerable disruptions, steel and agricultural production (two of the country’s main export sectors) continued.

Without Western financial aid, Ukraine would have already faced a financial catastrophe; however, it continued to exist. Despite occasional disruptions, major industrial facilities remained operational, as did the small and medium-sized businesses that supported them – suppliers, transport companies, various outsourced services, construction and repair crews, and so on. Cafes, restaurants, the telecommunications sector, and small businesses stayed open. Ukraine’s robust logistics sector remained active. The government collected taxes from all these businesses.

However, in spring 2026, Ukraine decided to force Russia to conclude a truce by starting a ‘war on cities’ – large-scale strikes on the Russian rear. It first targeted oil refining and export facilities, and then the civilian sector, including the warehouses of companies such as Wildberries and Ozon.

The worst possible moment
Escalation only makes sense when ‘escalation dominance’ can be maintained. Otherwise, the outcome will be detrimental to the party that started the escalation. That is exactly what happened: In response to Ukraine’s attacks, Russia launched a broad offensive against Ukraine’s civilian sector. F

rom the start of the conflict, Ukraine has not concealed the fact that it uses civilian logistics infrastructure to transport military cargo. Launchers for long-range drones targeting Russia have often been hidden under the guise of civilian trucks.

Ukrainian strikes on Black Sea oil and grain exports gave Russia a pretext to respond in kind and effectively block Ukraine’s shipping in the Black Sea. As with strikes on warehouses, Russia maintained the upper hand in the escalation. There are several reasons for this: Russia’s increased firepower, the depletion of Ukrainian air defenses, and more broadly, Ukraine’s smaller size, its lack of strategic geographic depth, and fewer targets within the country. While the ‘war on cities’ affected Russia as well, Ukrainian strikes did not cause the same amount of damage.

All this prompted Zelensky to propose a truce. What he actually proposed was returning to the way things were before this year’s escalation, and pretending like it never happened. But does he really want a truce? It may look that way. After all, the Ukrainian economy – and consequently the Ukrainian state itself – is beginning to disintegrate; Ukraine’s key exports – its only source of revenue aside from foreign aid – have been effectively destroyed. For the first time in history, steel production in Ukraine has come to a complete halt; restarting it would take months if not years. By all accounts, the country is facing the most difficult winter yet. If this is not grounds for making political concessions, then what is?

The only available option
Zelensky’s calls for a truce are accompanied by opposing statements. One moment, he demands a “winter package” of weapons from Trump; the next, he declares that the war will not end until Crimea is “liberated.” Domestically, he is intensifying the crackdown on the Russian language and the Orthodox Church, even though this only heightens tensions within Ukrainian society. Clearly, given these parameters, Russia will never agree to a ceasefire. So is it all just schizophrenia or a calculated move?

I’d say it’s the latter. It’s true that if we consider Zelensky as the leader of Ukraine, then his actions are insane and amount to suicide. However, if one views him as the military proxy of Europe’s anti-Russia coalition, then everything falls into place.

For Zelensky and his regime, Ukraine is not their own land; it is a resource and an instrument for war against Russia. To save Ukraine, Zelensky must accept Russia’s terms. Yet Ukraine’s masters cannot accept Russia’s terms, as that would mean a crushing defeat for them.Consequently, the war must go on. If the destruction of rear-area logistics and energy infrastructure does not affect the ability of the Ukrainian army to hold the front line, then logistics and energy don’t matter. Of course, left without electricity, heat, and jobs, Ukraine’s civilian population will endure great suffering – but Zelensky doesn’t care about that.

Taking this logic into account, even an energy truce is bad for Ukraine, as a moratorium on mutual strikes would deprive Kiev – or rather, its masters – of the only effective leverage over Moscow.Of course, this is a one-way street. In an earlier article, we analyzed how the Ukrainian state is becoming detached from its own society. Today, I’d like to point out that in its current form, the Kiev regime has no other options: On one side of the scale lies the fate of Ukraine, and on the other, the interests of its masters. Zelensky has no real choice. In the interests of its masters, Ukraine must sacrifice itself and inflict the greatest possible damage on Russia, or if possible, even defeat it.

As long as there remains hope for Russia’s defeat, nothing else matters. Ukraine wants to either freeze the conflict along the line of contact and prepare to take revenge later, or fight to the bitter end. Russia understands this very well; that is why it has once again rejected any idea of a partial truce – this was recently expressed by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at the UN, and then by Putin. Even though this year, Russia was seriously affected by Ukrainian strikes, Moscow is only open to ending the conflict on its own terms.

***

What comes next? Both sides are actively preparing for the winter campaign, and it appears that, for the first time since the start of the conflict, long-range air strikes (the war on cities) will become the primary theater of operations. Moscow is confident that the Ukrainian army cannot inflict strategic damage on Russia; consequently, its only option is to maintain escalation dominance by responding to the Ukrainian strikes with even more powerful attacks. Under these circumstances, there can be no talk of either an energy truce or freezing the conflict along the line of contact.

Read more …

We need Le Pen to save Europe.

“Her National Rally party and an ally have won enough seats to form a group in the upper house for the first time”

• Le Pen Scores ‘Historic Victory’ In French Senate Vote (RT)

Marine Le Pen’s right-wing National Rally (RN) and an allied party have won enough seats in the French Senate to form a group for the first time. The breakthrough comes months before a presidential election in which polls currently put Le Pen in the lead. RN and the Union of the Right for the Republic (UDR) will together hold at least 15 seats in the 348-seat upper house following Sunday’s vote. A group requires a minimum of ten members and gives its lawmakers a greater role in Senate committees, where legislation is examined.


“This is a historic victory, and a major milestone with the formation for the first time of a group in the Senate,” Le Pen wrote on X. She said the result showed the party gaining support across France and that its senators would carry the concerns of local communities into the presidential campaign.mDespite RN’s latest gains, the Senate will remain controlled by the conservative Republicans and their centrist allies.

RN president Jordan Bardella has nevertheless called the result a sign of the party’s momentum ahead of what he described as “the mother of all battles,” referring to the upcoming presidential election. In July, the Paris Court of Appeals reduced Le Pen’s five-year ban on holding elected office over a misused funds conviction, clearing her to run in the 2027 race to replace Emmanuel Macron who will be leaving office after serving two terms.

A Toluna Harris Interactive poll published on Monday has placed Le Pen as the frontrunner at 35-36% in the first round and projected that she would defeat both left-wing France Unbowed leader Jean-Luc Melenchon and centrist former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe in hypothetical runoffs.

The RN breakthrough has drawn a hostile response from rival factions, including from Socialist Senate group leader Patrick Kanner, who said his party would work to contain the “chamber of horrors” entering the Senate. Le Pen accused Kanner of “dishonoring himself” and insulting both the newly elected senators and the local officials who voted for them.

The prospect of Le Pen replacing Macron raised particular concerns among the Western backers of Ukraine. The Telegraph reported in August that officials fear her election could disrupt the French-led effort to coordinate military and financial support for Kiev, as well as plans to deploy Western troops there after a ceasefire.

RN has long challenged Macron’s approach to the Ukraine conflict, opposing open-ended funding for Kiev and steps it says risk a direct confrontation with Russia. Le Pen has repeatedly stressed that the conflict needs a diplomatic solution and has called for normalizing relations with Moscow.

Read more …

Let me guess: Soros?

• Border Patrol Puts Illegal Alien Caravan on Notice (Catherine Salgado)

U.S. Border Patrol is already warning the caravan of illegal aliens recently formed to head toward our southern border that they are going a long way just to be disappointed.


It is not clear why the caravan formed at this particular time. Perhaps illegal aliens are hoping that if Democrats sweep the midterms, the Trump administration will be so busy fighting a Democrat Congress that it will not have the time or attention to continue guarding the southern border well. After all, the Trump administration always listens to court orders, no matter how illegitimate, telling them not to deport illegal aliens and terrorists. Is this what the cartels have in mind?

In any case, as of right now, no illegal alien caravan is going to be able to sneak across the border with Mexico and into our country. No large migrant group has achieved that feat since soon after the second Trump administration took office.

The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) shared a statement with Fox News that correspondent Bill Melugin posted on X September 28. “The United States Border Patrol is actively tracking a migrant caravan which departed San Pedro Sula, Honduras on September 20, 2026. USBP is closely engaged with its international partners to monitor their movement and any additional developments,” the statement began.

DHS added, “USBP reminds migrants that under the leadership of President Trump and Homeland Secretary Mullin, the border has remained closed and secured for the last 16 months. Migrants considering making the dangerous journey to our country should also be aware that the days of ‘catch and release’ are over, and Biden’s disastrous open border policy has been SEALED SHUT. Anyone attempting to illegally enter the United States will be apprehended, prosecuted, and removed from the country.”

DHS also jokingly posted footage of a hot-dogging football player and the comment “Our time has come” in response to the initial report about the migrant caravan.

The caravan originally started in Honduras but has now crossed into Mexico, according to Fox News. As of Monday, hundreds of people were involved in it, but it still seems to be much smaller than the gargantuan floods of millions that charged our border during the Biden-Harris administration. So most of the foreigners considering coming to America still understand that this is not the most promising time just to walk in and demand asylum.

Fox quoted one member of the Honduran caravan who claimed there was no leader of the group, that hunger and poverty were the only reasons they headed toward the United States. But we have no idea whether we can trust anything he says. And obviously there must be some reason that these illegal aliens are putting all this effort into hiking toward America even though the Trump administration is already planning to deny them entry. What is going on that is a secret we don’t know about?

Read more …

“Want to Kill Christianity in America? Try This One Simple Trick the State of Maine Pulled.”

• Want to Kill Christianity in America? (Victoria Taft)

Say a prayer for Christianity because the state of Maine has just shown a way to steal it from American life. The story starts back in 2013, when a Portland, Maine, woman gave birth to a baby girl, Ava, with her now ex-boyfriend. Eventually, in 2017, Emily Bickford accepted Christ as her Savior and began to attend church with her daughter. Eventually, when they began attending Calvary Chapel of Greater Portland in 2021, Ava wanted to be baptized. Dad, who had 50/50 custody, said no way.


While mom was adjudicated to be a good mother, dad was working behind the scenes to establish that taking their daughter to church was harmful. He hired a cult expert out of California, and the expert began watching Calvary Chapel of Greater Portland’s Sunday sermons as they build a case against Ava attending church. She continued to take her daughter to church. In 2021, dad, Matthew A. Bradeen, officially claimed that going to Calvary Chapel exposed their daughter to alleged messages portraying dad as hostile to her faith, going to hell if he didn’t change, and, in general, harming their relationship.

This is surmise, but it sounds like she was afraid her dad was going to hell and wanted to talk to him about it. Now she can’t even bring up Christianity around him because it makes him look bad. In fact, so complete was the order cleaving the kid from religious study that it included, “any services, gatherings, or events associated with Calvary Chapel; whether and what material, literature, video, or other messaging associated with, or created or published by, Calvary Chapel she reviews; and whether she associates or communicates with any member of Calvary Chapel other than Ms. Bickford,” Liberty Counsel, Bickford’s attorneys, reported.

Calvary Chapel preaches everything, everything, that other mainstream churches teach all around the country world. And that message of salvation is too scary for kids? The Christian civil rights legal group, Liberty Counsel, got involved and took the case to the Maine Supreme Judicial Court, where a unanimous six-justice panel said the order should stand because, hey, it’s not like Christianity was involved in the case, and that, after all, it was just about messaging making dad look bad.

After the District Court ruled against Bickford, Liberty Counsel appealed the case to the Maine Supreme Judicial Court, which upheld the lower court’s decision. In its decision, the Supreme Judicial Court cited a 2024 example of the fear mongering at church in which Pastor Carey prayed for the family by name during a service and asked God to help Bradeen. The pastor “described Bradeen as in need of salvation and noted that the church had been praying for Bradeen for a long time.” Calvary Chapel of Greater Portland Pastor Travis Carey says these decisions represent “the most dangerous precedent that has been set in our nation in a long time and we’re right in the midst of that battle.”

They went so far as to hire a specialist out of California, it’s public record, and even though they spent about $15,000 to hire her, her opening thesis of what is a 20 page hit piece was ‘I do not opine that Calvary Chapel is a cult,’ but spent the next 19-1/2 pages, [in which] she basically makes the case that we are a cult for preaching Biblical truths.

What is even more egregious is that judge in Cumberland County family court — and it is worthwhile saying that she is a lesbian and is married to an ACUL lawyer —she cited [sic] that the mother would no longer have the parental duties to make religious or medical decisions — stripped her from that and gave 100% autonomy to the father.

Liberty Counsel attorney and founder Mat Staver now hopes the U.S. Supreme Court will take the case. This [District Court] opinion rejects the First Amendment right of a fit parent to raise her child consistent with her Christian faith. This opinion goes against other state court decisions involving custody in the context of religious free exercise rights and ignores precedent from the U.S. Supreme Court. We will ask the High Court to take this case and overrule the decision.

PJ Media readers are smart. They know that this is a litigation tool to stop teaching kids the Gospel. It will start small and then become a precedent by which any church message can be construed to scare the children in any kind of court case.

Schools and other outlets teach children that the world is going to end any minute allegedly because of what we’ve done to God’s creation, but you can’t preach to a kid from a broken home that she has a Father in heaven who cares for her even more than her earthly one? You can’t preach that there’s a Creator in control of the creation?

Atheistic commies really don’t like the competition. This dad, who I’m guessing is one of the Maine liberati, just proved in multiple courts that religious messages are “harmful” to children. This story isn’t over, but we’ve just entered a very dark, secular place. We sure hope people of faith will get out and vote for the light in November.

Read more …

 

 

 

 

https://twitter.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2104563930752319513?s=20 https://twitter.com/Miaavswpv/status/2104718535272608229?s=20

 

 

 

 

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Home › Forums › Debt Rattle September 30 2026

Viewing 30 posts - 1 through 30 (of 30 total)
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  • #251073

    Edward Lear Zagori, Greece 1860 • Trump To Order Renaming Artificial Intelligence ‘Super Intelligence’ (ETM) • Trump Launches America.Gov Website Simp
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle September 30 2026]

    #251075
    Dr. D
    Participant

    “Iran’s parliament speaker Ghalibaf has reiterated that America should know that “in a region where we don’t sell oil, no one will sell oil.”

    I mean, yay, but they’ve sold 500 ships of oil and you’ve sold none now? We all want things; the question is if you can DO them.

    “Caravan Of 600+ Migrants Making Its Way Through Mexico To The US Border
    “This will have major repercussions,”

    How? How will this have any repercussions? At all? They just removed more than 600 in Kansas packing plants alone. 600 is no amount of people, lost in one county, even a rural one. And Trump will turn them back at the border as per the asylum ruling – for which they are not eligible anyway. So this is all painting fake headlines for the election, isn’t it?

    C’mon Zerohedge: this is how all other news agencies lost their edge too.

    “Hegseth To Cut Top Generals, Admirals ‘By 20%’ Amid Ongoing Pentagon Shakeup

    Cue Bird and Fortune, with 5 times as many admirals as ships.

    “Texas ranchers and truckers could start seeing some relief at the fuel pump starting this week after Gov. Greg Abbott proclaimed a statewide disaster on Sept. 28 to ease diesel shortages.”

    Oh, so there’s all kinds of stuff we could be doing but didn’t bother? And so a big slice of this problem is voluntary?

    I’d like to compare gas prices vs historical averages, say, 1920, 30, 40, 50, and 1960, but there’s no easy way to do it. It would be interesting to see if we crossed this effective price periodically, or if you’d have to go back to the first cars to see a price this high.

    1920 80c / 30c = R2.66
    1930 50c / 20c = R2.5
    1940 67c / 18c = R3.72 (They call this $4.41 inflation adjusted)
    1950 75c / 27c = R2.77
    1960 $2 / 30c = R6.66
    1970 $3 / 35c = R8.57
    1980 $7 / $1.2 = R5.83 (This is rated as $5.24 inflation adjusted)
    1990 $10 / $1.2 = R8.33 (I am surprised, but these seem correct)
    2000 $15 / $1.5 = R10 (More surprised)
    2010 $21 / $2.8 = R7.5
    2026 $33 / $6 = R5.5

    You can see today is well within any normal range with normal economies. The Zero-date is good since it excludes WWII, a lot of the Depression, and the inflation of the 1970s, and GWoT. Since it’s a ratio, the Higher the number, the better off you are, so to speak. 2 gal per hour work or 10gal per hour work. So 1950 was Waaaaaaaaay worse than now, twice as bad, with people still being very careful and not going anywhere, which is why going out cruising (5 miles to town) was so special. If we drove only 5 miles instead of 35, gas would be “cheap” here too. We are at the level of the un-fun, weighty 1980, which feels about correct.

    Prices are all about perception, where they are pinned in your mind as “normal”. And prices are a spectrum of ratios, how many gallons per hour per pizza per tshirt. This is certainly unpleasant, but not outside of any norms. Again, the problem is the Distance (and speed), not the gallons. It’s the cost of the car, not the gas. We’re being way more pummeled in taxes and insurance, car values than gas. Just removing (recent) taxes would probably 2x recoup all gas costs. That’s why Canada and California are sunk, and Texas is booming.

    #251085
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Trump’s theory of power:
    Punish or Threaten to punish

    #251086
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    30% OF AMERICANS SUPPORT POLITICAL VIOLENCE – w/ Prof. Robert Pape

    #251087
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Outside stats, Apparently 12M bbl/day through Hormuz now? And as I was saying, Iran “Hit” the ship, but the ship keeps going, unharmed. So they’re hitting the ships with toilet paper and smoke bombs for the cameras. Reporters eat it up, because they won’t print anything that isn’t untrue.

    So hundreds of ships, 12M/day, and 2/3rds of the pre-war flow right now. That seems plausible. However, Iran has NO flow, nearly zero. So good luck. They are suing for a ceasefire (as does Ukraine when they’re losing) and Trump says no. This is why Saudi is about to collapse and hand Mecca to their arch-enemy.

    Instead, there are now street uprisings, but how and what kind, who knows?

    “And they started the war with Russia in 2014 by funding the coup d’ etat that overthrew the legitimately elected pro-Russian president of Ukraine.”

    Yes. And this was “America” or at least we were doing our half of support within NATO and the Atlanticists. Remember all the Ukraine Flags? Man they love flags. Fags love flags? Sounds pejorative, accusatory, hyperbolic. No, I mean literally, they were all the same virtue-signaling houses and neighborhoods. It wasn’t a “Trump 16” sign on the lawn with a Ukraine flag, it was the Rainbow Flag and a Ukraine flag. Why, I do not know, still haven’t figured it out, since against all wars…except any war they’re told to like. Against all oligarchs and patriarchy except this one, the one we’re in. Anywhooo…

    Canada rapidly collapsing, I could post the companies and podcasts, but no one seems interested. Many of you live there, you already know. It’s bad. 50% of all liquor sales dead overnight.

    “• Trump To Order Renaming Artificial Intelligence ‘Super Intelligence’ (ETM)

    This seems super-dumb but it’s all Bernays and Media. They’ve spent a lifetime prepping this as “Do robots have consciousness?” “Are we gods creating new life?” “If I turn off my i386 for the night is it murder??” Ethical morass, confusion, fear, etc. But it’s all TIED to the word. By Bernays. Ad executives. Feelings. Change the word, it UN-Ties all that steaming crappola in our, the nation, culture’s mind. So this is how Trump is good at the media, clipping the root of this weed in one stroke.

    Does it fix everything? No. But it lets us have a more decent conversation at least, that doesn’t start openly retarded. We’ve got enough problems.

    “ Trump Launches America.Gov Website Simplifying Access to Govt Services (ET)

    Like DOGE, researchers (I won’t say Reporters, who are illiterate) can then query the site and find more billions in fraud. Because it’s just numbers.

    “• Elon Musk Makes a Move on the Banks (Jeffrey A. Tucker)

    He’s ALWAYS been in the banks. Or only the Banks. That’s what PayPal is. He’s not an inventor or engineer. He’s a buyer, a manager. He’s sidelined into this other MICMAC work, but the Banks are the real seat of power, so he, Thiel, Dorsey, are always circling it. This has long been created by the crypto people, but THE WRONG PEOPLE WERE GETTING RICH, and they shut it down, outlawed it, and are refusing to pass the required laws ten years later, with the Genius Act this month among others.

    However, if MUSK wants it, Boom, overnight, because then the RIGHT people are getting rich. This is Capitalism, where we have only government, a monopoly, and no competition.

    “• Anthropic Warns of Existential AI Risks; OpenAI Scraps “Deceptive” Model (ZH)

    Sir, I TOTALLY BELIEVE YOU. That’s why we’ve come here today to shut your whole company down for the good of the nation. I’m sure you’ll understand and agree, this is the only safe course of action for the Federal Agents and the US Army tanks we brought with us. …I mean, unless you were lying or something. Which is a high-level SEC violation.

    “Trump and Republicans aren’t polling well, yet Democrats are doing even worse,”

    Not a genius here, but that means they’re BETTER? And will WIN? That’s what “election” means, sir.

    “”Donald Trump does have more influence on more races than any other Republican, even than Ronald Reagan,”

    Why? Because the GOP is generally still filled with double-crossing traitors who will do nothing. Trump’s stamp suggests that they MIGHT, maybe, possibly, outside chance, not be a complete zero not worth your time. That’s why it works. Because the whole GOP sucks. They would sell themselves and the whole country to the Democrats for a Snickers bar.

    “House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said on Sept. 28 that Democrats would put lowering costs first if they win the House

    You’re the guys who RAISED all the costs! Doubled them in 4 years! Without even a war! How did you even manage that? First time ever without shooting. Now when Trump got inflation from 10-20% down to 3% it’s his high fault.

    “The point is to stand up for the Constitution.”Impeachment says that you can’t get into an illegal war in Iran without constitutional approval. Impeachment says that you can’t just start firing federal employees in defiance of what Congress says. Impeachment says you can’t do deals with foreign governments to allegedly enrich your own family. “It’s about setting a standard.” He said Democrats could pursue impeachment while also moving on child care, the minimum wage, paid family leave, and taxes on billionaires in their first 100 days.”

    Totally agree. So we need to go back and Impeach Clinton, Obama, and Biden for the very same things. I mean, you start a book at the front cover and not the last paragraph, right? It’s almost like it’s only bad when Trump does it, so spare me. We also know that while I and other Conservatives (if that’s what we are) say this going back to the first newspapers we ever read with the same criticisms, your arguments are not consistent at all but ruthlessly cynical and self-serving. We were all against Clinton’s war, Bush’s war, Obama’s war, Biden’s war, but you only suddenly notice it when the other Team is in power. Spare me.

    All these things depend on a Good Faith discussion you don’t have.

    “Jordan said potential targets he believed that Democrats would go after include businesses that helped fund Trump’s inauguration”

    What? That’s Cray-cray. They would never do that. What’s that? Cruz just questions Jack Smith who subpoenaed every GOP donor in all the races, and wiretapped every GOP Congressman, signed but the dozens like candy by DNC Boasberg?

    Oh, so they WOULD arrest anyone Trump ever met including his own lawyers! …Past tense. Because “Time Exists” and they’ve already done this dozens and dozens of times. …And still lost.

    I say good! Now we can wiretap every DEMOCRATIC Congressman, every donor, and use AI to dig through everything they’ve ever done with a Special Investigator for two years. That’s all fair, right?

    “Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito recused himself from one of the term’s most important cases:

    Similar here. HONEST Judges like Alito recuse. The hundreds of crooked ones don’t. So Every case has an automatic bias toward Evil. Unless you put their heads in a bucket and spank them senseless, impeaching everyone unless they ALSO recuse when normal. Right?

    There’s another problem though: within circles, everybody knows somebody, and cases and companies return. So if you go far enough, every judge should recuse every time. And that’s not practical. So where’s the line? We do it by tradition, which is slippery.

    Key here is what was the judge where his DAUGHTER was the case? Or Investigator Muller? Where he was in GPS firm. Evil never Re-cuses, they Ex-cuse. You have to “Make Them”. So that’s YOUR lack and dereliction of duty. Evil knows and counts on it. You don’t want to fight every battle and every advantage: they do. Being mentally ill by definition, they can’t help it but press every something-for-nothing. So you have to, like it or not.

    “• Ukraine Is Asking For A Truce. While Preparing For A Bigger War (Poletaev)

    I feel like I’m in Crazyland. How many years is it now Russia said there will never be any ceasefire, no not never not at any time under any circumstances? 3 years running? And they float this monthly. Plus Stopping at the contact line. …But conceding nothing. Classic London/Euro behavior, we see this in eg DMZ in Korea. “Nothing lasts as long as the temporary” – Napoleon. And the DMZ since 1950. Always leave everything unsettled; Forever if possible. Like the East/West Berlin. It causes the most problems Evil can capitalize on. Yeah, no thanks. I hope Russia takes it out to Copenhagen and Normandy and straightens things out, but they’re not dumb enough.

    Here’s the thing: They say “But Russia will have a hostile on the Western border!!” Russia ALWAYS has a hostile on their Western Border, because Europe is reliably insane. So staying close to home and supply chain as possible and making Europe march their morons 500 miles EAST to die on their front door is way more economical. Why the morons don’t rise up against Ukraine…or Belgium…I don’t know. That’s their problem. This is normal for them, and I don’t know why at the Somme or in WWII either – it’s what they DO. So what’s Russia’s plan and end state?

    We know the Plan: it’s to BLEED Europe out. Which was Europe’s plan for Russia, actually. That’s going extremely well but is annoying. What’s the end state? I’m not smart enough to know, and it’s intricate to the people and geography there. But I’d say same as always: Whole region becomes a buffer, “THE” Ukraine, THE Borderlands. Nothing stable is allowed to be built there, and Russia’s western border is the Dniepr. Next real, viable state to the West is all the way over in Poland. To do otherwise, they will need to flip Romania as NATO implodes, then they can safely take the whole coast and Odessa, where the other nations there like Bulgaria are very manageable. “NATO” these WESTERN European war-mongering maniacs, are back in Paris then, far away. London collapses as UK is a 3rd world hole, which it already is, matching a pre-1600 experience.

    “• Le Pen Scores ‘Historic Victory’ In French Senate Vote (RT)

    If any fall, the EU ceases. That’s Germany, but Italy would put it in a Coma. France would sink it as well. Okay: remember, Germany owns France. They own the French Bonds and Tier II. So if France isn’t subservient, let’s not say they don’t pay, but in a sense cause issues with that, then Germany’s whole “wealth” and savings account vanishes too. That’s the whole EU.

    “The caravan originally started in Honduras but has now crossed into Mexico,… hunger and poverty were the only reasons they headed toward the United States.”

    That means nothing to me, that’s not asylum, you fools. Go home and work and fix your own country. And Mexico has no border? They just allow infinity Hondurans in? Yeah, no, Mexico can stop this in a weekend. They get 10 buses, put them on, and drive them back to the southern Mexican border. If you want to sneak back in, we can find you and make you walk 500 miles over and over again as many times as necessary. What are you eating during this time? Just robbing houses n’ stuff? C’mon! Do you know how expensive that is? It’s cheaper to fly, that’s why people do it. So you had several hundred or a thousand dollars to walk the trip, but are broke? Go home and use that $1000 on your family. OR you’re all petty criminals and burglars who should be jailed for many crimes before Sonora.

    …OR SOROS IS PAYING FOR IT ALL AS A STUNT. It’s cheaper for Soros to bus them as well, but he needs the news coverage of retarded crayon-munching reporters who can’t ask very, very simple questions about “Reality”. “Golly Juan, what have you been eating these 20 days?”

    “ They know that this is a litigation tool to stop teaching kids the Gospel.”

    So this is a State Religion. Stopping all others. Easy. “Atheistic commies really don’t like the competition”

    Because their point of view is ALSO a Religion. A religion is essentially a paradigm, a worldview, that’s it. It’s “Having opinions”. Maine says it’s illegal to have opinions. Maine will issue your state-ordained opinions to you.

    “Starship performs its orbital insertion of Earth for the first time.”

    Inserted into all of us without lube. It cannot be removed.

    #251088
    Dr. D
    Participant

    “30% OF AMERICANS SUPPORT POLITICAL VIOLENCE – w/ Prof. Robert Pape

    It’s important WHICH 30%. Equally Left and Right? No. Almost exclusively on the Left, bourne out with recent attacks, back as far as the Congressional Baseball Shooting. The Right has all the veterans, with all the guns: if they were doing any violence, you’d bloody well notice.

    That just means you have a bunch of maniacs in your country. Totally different than you have equal, violent factions agitating like North and South. So you have people who want Chaos and people who want Order. You have people who want Law and people who want Crime. We can guess by that who will win.

    Trump’s War on Canada.” -Pape

    Trump has not said he’s at war with Canada, in fact, Bessant openly mocked the very notion. However, CARNEY has said there’s a war. Is there? What brought this on, Mark? No one knows. He won’t release the trade documents with is how you can be sure they’re super-congratulatory to him and his decision here. They’re Top Secret national security. Canadian public is not allowed to know.

    Okay, Apparently you’re at war with us. Don’t know why, But okay then. What’s going on? A: Nothing. Carney hasn’t lifted a finger. Ummm??? Strange war, Mark. It’s almost like it’s all political theater. You’re not actually responding to anything, afraid of anything, or serious about anything. So this is very mysterious; it’s like a war that’s only going on in your mind. And not even OUR mind: just yours. We don’t even notice.

    Trump’s talked about Alberta? Easiest win in the world: All you have to do is make Alberta happy and there’s zero chance for that. They don’t: Carney is making them more pissed off than ever. Huh? No wonder Trump says you’re his best friend and ally.

    Expert: “Everything Trump does is completely random.” That’s why he’s an expert. “Also, ackshully, Trump always does the very same and predictable thing.” Uhhhh???

    “He uses rewards and leverage to get negotiation and leverage.” Uhhhh? Yes? We don’t concede and give out candy for nothing in order to get good deals? Apparently this is incredibly mysterious to Pape. This is so mysterious that he doesn’t ask why Canada is in such a desperately bad economic, social, and military position that Trump should HAVE any leverage.

    “Trump also if he threatens and you give him lunch money, he’ll ask for dinner.” This never works, Trump has never won using this plan, either in NYC or as President. Ah. Really? And also SINCE he’ll ask for dinner, he’ll ask for breakfast, Christmas, New Years, ad infinatum. Okay. THIS MEANS TRUMP HAS NEVER SIGNED A DEAL. Because any time you concede a thing, he asks for more. And we can see in Trump’s life and career, has never signed any final deals, ever. ‘Tis well known.

    Uhhhhh??? No, actually? The #Opposite? He’s known FOR signing deals? And also that this process very famously WORKS? For 50 years? NOPE! Not according to this expert! Trump has never won, and he’s never signed any deals.

    “All you need to do is stand up to him, the bully.” Wow! Great! One question: If that’s all it takes and it works so well, why has nobody ever done this before? Because you’re the first guy in 50 years to think of saying no?

    “What they’re missing is that Trump isn’t coming at this from a World Economic view, but from a MAGA economics view”. Yes. You’re right. He’s not a World” ie “Globalist”, he’s a MAGA, that is, “Nationalist, American”. So he should NOT be for America and the American workers? He then mocks MAGA because they have this super-weird idea that America has shipped their Blue Collar jobs overseas – a ridiculous notion, ha ha! What kind of cretin could believe THAT would ever happen, and there’s a “Giant Sucking Sound”? Dopes.

    Ah! “Experts”.

    He was going to make the point that stealing jobs from Canada back to the US is NOT Trump, and the Base will be MAD about it, but then totally forgets. He’s basically saying “Those jobs ain’t coming back!” So the Tariffs are going to CAUSE all those great jobs to go TO Canada, not from.

    Next: “Americans want REVENGE. They want PAYBACK” Internal emotional state of Americans. Uhhh, no? Never even occurred to us? My feelings never occurred at all even if I had any? It was actually about the MONEY. About whether I have more cash in my paycheck or not. My feelz never entered into it — Didn’t even occur to me that was an option. But that’s what Intellectuals like him do all day: shut off their brains and FEEL what is Truthiness, according to their belly buttons.

    “Trump just isn’t doing world economics at all! He’s just doing MAGA trade” thinking only of the American workers, ha ha. Uhhh…yes? Should he be the WORLD president, to increase wages for MEXICAN auto workers? Yes, according to Pape. It’s ridiculous that he’s telling MAGA auto workers that “I’ve got your back” and advocating for their interests. He should be advocating for Globalists and Canadian Auto Workers in Brampton. Silly! Doesn’t he know better? Why does he have this vacant, cynical, self-serving drive to “Help American Workers”? So last century.

    “Carney is dong the exact right response” Response? Carney was the Initiator! That deal was signed, roughly the same as the old deals only not a 3-way USMCA. Carney had no choice but to reject the trade deal that was already signed! Response is when you act first! That’s how you’re the victim.

    Next: China is a far better, safer, more loving, less extractive partner than the U.S. Well-known how abundantly honest and generous the Chinese are. Ah. Well, good plan then. You do you.

    “After Trump is gone this will continue …that the U.S. will continue to help the AMERICAN worker,” as “The GOP is completely reformed as the Party of Blue Collar workers”. Yes. And the Democrats are NOT the party of any worker, but of the wealthy and entitled, government employees and unproductive laptop jockeys. Agree! That’s why Trump is evil actually. To take American jobs to America, is “Attack”. He should be helping the wealthy and entitled instead, scrapping American workers, and handing those jobs to Canada. Great show, Pape, that’s exactly reasonable and what will happen, I’m sure.

    You know, phrased another way, with another spin, Pape is exactly correct in his assessments, which are very placid and moderate in form.

    #251089
    John Day
    Participant

    @Formerly T-Bear: Thanks for the kind words Monday.
    Yesterday was a day spent getting a load of compost in my 1997 Ford Ranger and spreading it by shovel on ny newest garden plot in Yoakum, and dealing with credit-card malfunction and 2 flat tires on the truck.
    We assume so many things going right.
    I used credit-card air-pumps 3 times, but they did not work at every gas station. I had a flip-phone that worked.
    We got to bed late, but got to our own bed…
    This crash is going to be disorienting…

    #251092
    tboc
    Participant

    in light end
    “Hello darkness my old friend” Simon
    “And the people bowed and prayed to the neon god they made” The Sound of Silence

    30%? Dude must not have taken off his shoes while counting.(Piled Higher Deeper)

    to add a little perspective to the handcuffed conscripts – the largest army in Europe was being funded, armed and NATO trained during Tilt Head, The Great ReNamer”s, first foray into the miasma of imbecility.

    #251130
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #251202
    tboc
    Participant

    perhaps another way to interpret the data is to note the only constant expressed is the devaluation of the dollar.
    or
    the constant inflation and growth of personal debt has done little more than produce greater poverty within an increasingly two tier society of have and have not. The cost of commodities required to participate in the economy, society, expressed in a time based ratio indicates stagnation. The defiling of the human condition in pursuit of the illusion of wealth is a statistical reality. The Greatest Capitalist Economy in history’s greatest success can be seen as punching holes in the bottom of the boats the rising tide of affluence was to have lifted.

    “We’re being way more pummeled in taxes and insurance, car values than gas.” True but that brings jobs to the district ! ! !

    “LIes, damned lies and statistics” – Samuel Langhorne Clemens

    #251203
    zerosum
    Participant

    Follow the bouncing ball.

    Imagine. No more a dumb Google. An intelligent search engine.

    Your own personal chatbot with an interpreter (a computer program that executes your instructions.).
    ————
    IT WOULD BE AN INPROVEMENT TO … America.gov will serve as a landing page consolidating nearly 30,000 federal government websites into one chatbot.
    ————–
    Plans for full integration with more than 10,000 forms across agencies will provide opportunities for full-service enrollment, where visitors can “apply, enroll, and track progress directly in the chat,” according to a statement on the new site.
    Users will find a “front door” to the government replacing the “endless maze” of websites and regulations, according to the president.
    ————-
    The website is live as of Sept. 29, with more features expected in the coming months.
    ———–
    https://america.gov/
    Hello, America
    Whatever you need from government, start here.
    America.gov uses AI to get simple answers only from official government sources.
    It’s free to use, never includes ads, and keeps your privacy protected.
    No app to download. Just open America.gov in your browser on your phone, tablet, or computer.
    More coming in 2027
    Going beyond answers, you’ll be able to complete forms, track progress, and organize everything in one place.
    (created by https://ndstudio.gov/ ) (both places/web site, require improvements)
    ————

    https://web.archive.org/web/20260929113225/https://www.rt.com/russia/646367-ukraine-is-asking-for-truce/
    Ukraine is asking for a truce. So why is it preparing for a bigger war?
    As the economy falters and winter approaches, Kiev’s commitment to its Western backers leaves little room for peace
    Published 28 Sep, 2026 17:57 | Updated 28 Sep, 2026 19:00

    By Sergey Poletaev,
    So is it all just schizophrenia or a calculated move?

    I’d say it’s the latter.
    It’s true that if we consider Zelensky as the leader of Ukraine, then his actions are insane and amount to suicide.
    However, if one views him as the military proxy of Europe’s anti-Russia coalition, then everything falls into place.

    For Zelensky and his regime, Ukraine is not their own land; it is a resource and an instrument for war against Russia.
    To save Ukraine, Zelensky must accept Russia’s terms.
    Yet Ukraine’s masters cannot accept Russia’s terms, as that would mean a crushing defeat for them.
    Consequently, the war must go on.
    If the destruction of rear-area logistics and energy infrastructure does not affect the ability of the Ukrainian army to hold the front line, then logistics and energy don’t matter.
    Of course, left without electricity, heat, and jobs, Ukraine’s civilian population will endure great suffering – but Zelensky doesn’t care about that.

    Taking this logic into account, even an energy truce is bad for Ukraine, as a moratorium on mutual strikes would deprive Kiev – or rather, its masters – of the only effective leverage over Moscow.
    Of course, this is a one-way street. In an earlier article, we analyzed how the Ukrainian state is becoming detached from its own society.
    Today, I’d like to point out that in its current form, the Kiev regime has no other options:
    On one side of the scale lies the fate of Ukraine, and on the other, the interests of its masters.
    Zelensky has no real choice. In the interests of its masters, Ukraine must sacrifice itself and inflict the greatest possible damage on Russia, or if possible, even defeat it.

    As long as there remains hope for Russia’s defeat, nothing else matters.
    Ukraine wants to either freeze the conflict along the line of contact and prepare to take revenge later, or fight to the bitter end.
    Russia understands this very well; that is why it has once again rejected any idea of a partial truce – this was recently expressed by Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at the UN, and then by Putin.
    Even though this year, Russia was seriously affected by Ukrainian strikes, Moscow is only open to ending the conflict on its own terms.

    ***
    https://www.rt.com/news/646369-france-le-pen-senate/
    Le Pen scores ‘historic victory’ in French Senate vote

    The prospect of Le Pen replacing Macron raised particular concerns among the Western backers of Ukraine.
    The Telegraph reported in August that officials fear her election could disrupt the French-led effort to coordinate military and financial support for Kiev, as well as plans to deploy Western troops there after a ceasefire.

    RN has long challenged Macron’s approach to the Ukraine conflict, opposing open-ended funding for Kiev and steps it says risk a direct confrontation with Russia.
    Le Pen has repeatedly stressed that the conflict needs a diplomatic solution and has called for normalizing relations with Moscow.
    ————-
    Is Le Pen going to stop the war with Russia?
    Will she also seek peace with Iran?

    #251204
    zerosum
    Participant

    https://geopolitiq.substack.com/p/netanyahu-gives-it-away-war-with

    Netanyahu gives it away: war with Iran coming before Israeli elections! Expect false flags soon!
    Plus news and updates from Iran, Iraq, Lebanon, UAE and Yemen
    Ismaele
    17 hours ago

    #251207
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Elijah Magnier: BREAKING: Iran Confirms U.S. Proposal Received as Tankers Burn in Hormuz

    #251208
    zerosum
    Participant

    Expect false flags soon!
    https://www.cnn.com/2026/09/30/world/live-news/dubai-israel-plane-flydubai-intl

    Pilot may have sought to crash Israel-bound flight after stabbing other pilot, Netanyahu says
    The Flydubai flight was diverted to Saudi Arabia after a struggle in the cockpit in what the Israeli PM called “a most serious security incident.”

    Updated 11:23 AM EDT, Wed September 30, 2026

    CNN ID 23029186 – 00:00:08;06
    FlyDubai flight to Israel diverted after a “violent incident” between pilots, sources say
    2:38
    Here’s the latest
    • Hijacking attempt: A pilot on the Israel-bound Flydubai flight diverted to Saudi Arabia stabbed the other pilot and appears to have tried to crash the plane, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said. He said passengers and crew subdued the assailant, who has been arrested.

    • Passenger’s fear: The incident caused the aircraft, traveling from Dubai to Tel Aviv, to plummet 17,400 feet in less than two minutes, flight tracking data shows. One passenger told Israeli media there were moments she believed she was going to die.

    • Repatriation flight: Most of the stranded passengers are now boarding a replacement Flydubai plane to return home, relatives said. Saudi Arabia earlier rejected an Israeli request to send a military or civilian plane to bring passengers home.

    Flydubai flight to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia
    Flight FZ 1073 was scheduled to land in Tel Aviv, but Israeli officials say that after one of the pilots stabbed the other, it was diverted to Tabuk airport in northern Saudi Arabia. Flight data shows the plane dropped 17,400 feet in just under two minutes.

    #251210
    thomasjkenney
    Participant

    @JohnDay re: inflation

    Get a bicycle floor pump and some tire plugs, and a bottle of Stan’s for good measure. I’ve successfully re-inflated a 31×10.5R15 with a cheap-a$$ Topeak floor pump. If you’ve got a bad back, get a 12V compressor, but keep the manual for backup!

    #251211
    zerosum
    Participant

    THE GRID IS CUT⚡ 20 BALLISTIC MISSILES ON KYIV🚀 Yehorivka & Tovstodubove Have Fallen⚔️ MS 2026.09.30

    #251214

    Musk gives you 6% on your bank account.

    What are you getting now?

    #251220
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #251225
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Professor Pape’s Trap Is Built on a War Russia Never Planned
    By Larry C. Johnson on 24 September 2026

    Thanks to Yves Smith of Naked Capitalism who flagged a recent interview that Professor Robert Pape did with Mario Nawfal. During the interview, Pape argued that Vladimir Putin is caught in an “escalation trap.” In his telling, Russia launched a preventive war in February 2022 to seize Kyiv and roughly 60 percent of Ukraine. That plan collapsed, and the fallback, betting that NATO would break, is now producing the European counterbalancing coalition Moscow most feared. It is a tidy theory. It also rests on a premise about Russian intentions that the record does not support, and once that premise goes, the trap goes with it.

    What the force tells you about the objective
    Start with arithmetic, the kind any planner of military operations does before anything else. Russia invaded with roughly 150,000 to 190,000 troops, including separatist forces. The standard rule of thumb for occupying a hostile population, from James Quinlivan’s RAND work, is about 20 troops per 1,000 inhabitants. For a country of more than 40 million, even occupying 60 percent of the territory would require several hundred thousand troops, several times what Russia sent. Moscow’s General Staff can do this arithmetic. A force that size is a coercive instrument, not an occupation army.

    The pattern of the operation fits coercion. Russian forces approached Kyiv from the north but never attempted to assault or encircle a city of three million. The pressure was aimed at the government, not at taking the capital block by block. Talks began within days, in Belarus on February 28, and moved to Istanbul in March. Pape’s supporters point to the airborne assault on Hostomel as proof of a plan to seize the capital. But a failed coup de main against an airfield is not evidence of an intent to occupy 60 percent of a country.

    Istanbul: the objective was achieved
    The strongest evidence against Pape is that the coercion worked. By the end of March 2022, meetings in Belarus and Turkey, together with video conferences, had produced the Istanbul Communiqué, a framework for a settlement. Ukraine accepted permanent neutrality in exchange for security guarantees from the United States and its allies, with Russia also as a guarantor. Russia, for its part, agreed to a process to settle the Crimea dispute diplomatically.

    That was the core of what Moscow wanted, and the Ukrainian side confirmed it. David Arakhamia, who led Ukraine’s delegation, later said Russia was prepared to end the war if Ukraine accepted Finland-style neutrality and committed not to join NATO. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov confirmed to me, Judge Napolitano and Mario Nawfal directly that the talks produced a tentative agreement, and that its terms were brought to the table by the Ukrainian delegation, not imposed by Moscow.

    As a gesture of goodwill, Moscow withdrew its forces from north of Kyiv. Western commentary treats that as a retreat forced by battlefield failure. It is at least as consistent with the claim that the pressure had served its purpose.

    How the deal died
    Then the politics changed. Boris Johnson arrived unannounced in Kyiv on April 9, 2022, and according to Arakhamia told the Ukrainians not to sign anything with Russia and to “just fight.” Two days earlier, Lavrov had already complained publicly that Ukraine’s new draft departed sharply from the key provisions agreed at Istanbul on March 29. Washington and London had decided Russia was weaker than they had thought and that it could be bled. Ukraine walked away.

    This is the point Pape’s framework cannot absorb. If Russia’s goal was a neutral Ukraine obtained through negotiation, the war did not go on because Moscow’s plan failed. It went on because Russia’s adversaries rejected the settlement.

    No plan B, but a fast pivot and a new army
    With hindsight, Russia clearly had not prepared a plan B for Ukraine walking away. That was a real planning failure. But the Russian military adjusted quickly. It concentrated on the Donbas and the land bridge to Crimea, and the fall of Mariupol in May gave it the first major result of that phase.

    The bigger adjustment came in September 2022. After a large number of contract soldiers left the army in August and the Kharkiv counteroffensive exposed how thin Russian lines were, Putin ordered the mobilization of 300,000 reservists. That was the start, not the end, of Russia’s response. From that point Moscow set about building a much larger army, as the Russian officers I have interviewed have described in detail, including Gen. Apti Alaudinov, Gen. Evgeny Buzhinsky, Gen. Andrei Gurulev and Col. Eduard Basurin.

    The mobilization was followed by a sustained recruitment campaign and an expanded annual draft. By Medvedev’s count, more than 452,000 men signed military contracts in 2023. Roughly 450,000 followed in 2024, and more than 422,000 in 2025. Year after year, Russia has added at least 350,000 new soldiers. Putin’s decrees tell the same story: authorized military strength rose from about 1.15 million in 2022 to 1.32 million in December 2023, then to 1.5 million effective December 2024. By 2026, according to my sources, Russia’s army had reached that 1.5 million active-duty figure.

    That is not the behavior of a state that expected a quick war and is now improvising its way out of a trap. It is the behavior of a state that decided in the autumn of 2022 to fight a long war, and built the force to do it.

    Why the timeline matters
    The goals never changed. Putin announced them on February 24, 2022: the demilitarization and “denazification” of Ukraine. What changed after Istanbul was the method, from coercion toward a negotiated settlement to attrition. Moscow has never attached a timeline to that effort.

    Pape’s trap depends on the assumption that Russia needed a quick victory and is now stuck with worse and worse options. An attrition strategy with no deadline, backed by an army that has grown every year since 2022, is not a trap. It is a choice. Moscow’s theory of victory since late 2022 has been to exhaust Ukraine’s manpower and the West’s willingness to supply it, not to break NATO by a specific date. Four and a half years later, Russian forces are still advancing, and Ukraine’s reserve and mobilization problems are structural, not temporary.

    Pape’s answer is European counterbalancing, backed by an EU economy he puts at about eight times Russia’s. That ratio only holds at market exchange rates, which badly understate what Russia’s economy can actually produce. On purchasing power parity, the measure that matters in a war of production, Russia is the fourth largest economy in the world: about $6.9 trillion in 2024 by the World Bank’s count, behind only China, the United States and India, and ahead of Japan and Germany. The EU as a bloc is still larger, but on that basis the gap is roughly half of Pape’s figure.

    GDP understates Russia’s position in another way. Russia has a resource base that Europe cannot match, from oil, gas and coal to metals and fertilizer, and a defense-industrial base that Europe has let wither for thirty years.

    Artillery shells, the basic currency of this war, show what that means in practice. Russia produced an estimated 400,000 122mm and 152mm artillery rounds in 2022. By 2025, estimates put its annual output at about 4.2 million. A 2026 Estonian intelligence report goes further, estimating that Russian factories produced about seven million artillery, mortar, tank and rocket rounds in 2025. On top of that, Russia has received millions of rounds from North Korea.

    Europe started from almost nothing. At the beginning of 2024, according to Rheinmetall’s own internal estimate, all Western European manufacturers together could produce about 550,000 shells a year. NATO’s own assessment was that Russia produced as much ammunition in the first three months of 2024 as the entire alliance did in a year. The EU pledged to reach a capacity of two million 155mm shells a year by the end of 2025, a target, not proven output. Even adding US production, which is aiming for about 100,000 rounds a month in 2026, allied programs might yield about three million shells this year, still less than Russia’s estimated output in 2025.

    That is the real measure of the balance Pape is counting on. A bloc whose economy is several times Russia’s is still being outproduced in the one commodity that decides an attrition war. Balance-of-power theory may be right that Europe will eventually arm itself. It says nothing about whether that happens in time to change the outcome in Ukraine.

    Russia sent a force too small to occupy most of Ukraine, negotiated within days, and reached a framework agreement within five weeks. When the West persuaded Kyiv to walk away, Russia shifted to an open-ended war of attrition and spent four years building an army to fight it. That is not a state trapped by the failure of a plan to conquer 60 percent of a country. It is a state that tried coercion first, adapted when it failed, and is fighting on its own timeline.

    #251226
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Alex Krainer joins Pascal to discuss the financial interests behind geopolitical conflict. Drawing on his hedge fund background and research for Grand Deception, Krainer challenges Bill Browder’s account of Russia and examines post-Soviet privatization, debt and oligarchic power. They explore Russia’s relations with the West, diplomacy and historical ties between Russia and nineteenth-century America. Krainer argues that British imperial influence persists through financial networks, connecting his “undead empire” thesis to sovereignty, contemporary wars and the mechanics of wealth extraction.

    #251227
    tboc
    Participant

    What are you getting now?

    Just got a flier form Regions Bank offering 3.75% on a minimum investment of $15,000.00.
    Current consumer savings account – 0.01%

    #251228
    zerosum
    Participant

    https://apnews.com/article/iraq-us-withdrawal-militias-disarmament-kurds-a097a39f3d1a3515adc2ba3298a6816f
    Trump hails the US military’s exit from Iraq after its 12-year mission
    ————–

    Iraq is Not Yet Sovereign


    September 30, 2026
    Iraq is Not Yet Sovereign
    After more than 20 years of messing up the country U.S. troops have finally left Iraq:

    The last U.S. troops left an air base in northern Iraq under a deal between Baghdad and Washington.
    …
    Baghdad touted the end of the U.S. mission as a sign of the country’s increasing strength and sovereignty.

    The withdrawal was also celebrated by Iran-backed groups but raised concerns among some other Iraqis, particularly in the Kurdish region, where many fear a resurgence of IS as well as more attacks by Iran-linked groups, possibly emboldened by the departure of U.S. forces.

    Meanwhile, questions loom around the future of the Iraqi militias, which the Baghdad government has sought to disarm, with little success so far.

    The move is little more than symbolic. Iraq’s sovereignty is still in doubt.

    There still are Turkish forces in the Kurdish areas, allegedly to hunt down Kurdish resistance forces hiding in the north of Iraq.

    Militia aligned with Iran are still armed. Some of them are actively helping Iran in its war. This is in Iraq’s interest but makes them a target for U.S., Saudi and Israeli war planes.

    Iraq has no air defenses. It is not yet capable to defend its own borders.

    Most importantly though is its lack of control over its own financial resources:

    Through Iraq’s U.S.-based bank account for oil payments, Washington controls the physical shipment of dollars Iraq earns and has shown itself willing to use that power after temporarily halting the flow this year.

    Iraq needs a plan to solve those issues. Companies pumping or buying oil in Iraq should be forced to pay directly to Baghdad. If they are unwilling of so, because of U.S. pressure, Chinese companies should be invited to take their place.

    Iraq will have to further rebuild its military before it can become a regular state.

    Posted by b on September 30, 2026 at 16:35 UTC | Permalink

    #251229
    zerosum
    Participant

    Response from Claude on Iraq

    Short version: the troops are gone, but nothing I found suggests the oil-money arrangement is changing, and I found no reporting that Israel is interfering with the withdrawal itself.

    **How many bases**

    I couldn’t find a single official count. What the reporting shows is a staged handover:

    – Al-Asad in Anbar went first. Iraq’s Defense Ministry said the final US advisers left al-Asad, which hosted US troops for more than two decades.
    – The last sites were in the Kurdistan Region.
    The Pentagon said the remaining US and coalition troops left Erbil Air Base in an “orderly departure,” taking their equipment with them.
    CENTCOM said Erbil was the main hub for the roughly 1,500 US and coalition personnel supporting counter-ISIS operations.
    Harir Air Base, also in the Kurdistan Region, was the other remaining site.
    – The anti-ISIS task force has relocated to Jordan, with hundreds of US troops still in Syria. Washington plans to keep its consulate in Erbil and shift toward economic ties and bilateral defense cooperation.

    The air defenses matter most for the Kurds.
    US units pulled Patriot and C-RAM systems from Erbil and Harir, which Kurdish officials say leaves the region at risk.
    Iran has carried out more than 1,000 missile and drone attacks on Kurdistan since US-Israeli strikes on Iran began in late February.
    Iraq’s government also lacks substantial air defenses of its own.
    That supports the blog’s point.

    **Oil and finance**

    The mechanism is well documented.

    – After 2003, the US-led occupation authority set up a fund at the New York Fed, which eventually became the Central Bank of Iraq’s account there.
    An executive order setting up the arrangement has been renewed by every president since.
    – Oil is about 90% of Iraq’s state budget.
    The Fed has shipped up to $13 billion a year in cash to Iraq, enough to pay six million civil servants.
    – Washington halted deliveries of about $500 million in cash in April and paused parts of security cooperation, linking it to militia attacks on American infrastructure.
    Electronic transfers for trade continued.
    – Shipments resumed around July, after PM Al-Zaidi focused on disarmament and anti-corruption and moved to appoint a new central bank governor.

    The withdrawal doesn’t change any of this.
    The blog’s proposals, paying Baghdad directly and bringing in Chinese buyers, would mean leaving the New York account, and I found no reporting that Baghdad plans that. Precedent suggests caution.
    In 2020, when Baghdad asked US troops to leave, Washington reportedly threatened to cut its access to the account, and Baghdad backed down.
    So Washington’s leverage survives the departure, and the April halt showed it will use it. Going forward, I’d watch whether shipments stay tied to militia disarmament and whether the post-withdrawal security deal carries financial conditions.

    **Israel**

    I found no reporting that Israel is interfering with the final withdrawal. The risk is indirect:

    – Israel has reportedly struck militia targets during this war.
    Local media reported an Israeli missile strike on the PMF’s Jurf al-Sakhr area, targeting Kataib Hezbollah headquarters.
    That was reported by Iraqi media and not confirmed by Israel in what I found.
    – A US official said the military remains concerned about Iraqi militias launching attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Israel.
    Militia attacks on Israel or Gulf states would invite strikes on Iraqi territory, and Iraq can’t stop them.
    – There’s a precedent. In 2019, a militia-backed parliamentary bloc called Israeli-blamed air raids a “declaration of war” and used them to demand US troop withdrawal.
    – Israel is also not a party to the US-Iraq withdrawal agreement, so it has no formal role in the handover.

    Whether Israel will strike Iraq after the withdrawal is a forecast, and I found no authoritative reporting either way.
    The commenters’ talk of Israeli “masters” and imminent nuclear use is speculation.

    **The wider risk**

    Some coverage warns that Iraq could be entering its most dangerous period since ISIS seized Mosul in 2014.
    Chatham House’s Renad Mansour says the Iran-aligned militias remain in “full-on war mode” with the IRGC and will keep targeting US interests.
    Iraq’s parliament approved only a partial cabinet in May, and key security posts such as defense minister remain unfilled.
    The Iraqi government’s line is that the militia disarmament file will be resolved after the withdrawal, but the militias say they won’t disarm.

    I’m happy to dig deeper into the militia disarmament talks, the Kurdish position, or how a post-withdrawal US-Iraq security deal might work.
    ————-

    #251230
    zerosum
    Participant

    https://www.msn.com/en-ca/news/other/hegseth-announces-a-new-drone-command-and-cuts-to-20-of-generals-in-state-of-the-force-speech/ar-AA2dhPVP?ocid=msedgntp&pc=U531&cvid=6abd85994fc541729587665a732e7b67&ei=17

    Hegseth announces a new drone command and cuts to 20% of generals in ‘State of the Force’ speech
    Story by Konstantin Toropin, Ben Finley And Meg Kinnard

    —————-
    https://breakingdefense.com/2026/09/hegseth-announces-plans-for-new-4-star-drone-command-further-general-officer-cuts/

    Hegseth announces plans for new 4-star drone command, further general officer cuts
    Hegseth also announced a new study group led by Elon Musk, Palmer Luckey and Newt Gingrich.

    By Ashley Roque on September 30, 2026 5:17 pm

    ————–
    https://www.c-span.org/program/public-affairs-event/defense-secy-hegseth-delivers-state-of-the-force-address/685952

    September 30, 2026
    Defense Secy. Hegseth Delivers State of the Force Address
    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered the State of the Force address at Marine Corps Base Quantico in Virginia. He outlined his priorities for the Department of Defense, that its main mission is “warfighting,” and announced that the department had reduced the number of generals and admirals by about 20% over the past year. Secretary Hegseth also announced six new initiatives focused on autonomous warfare, plans for military installations to generate power independently of the civilian electrical grid, and plans to build the first new U.S. military base in 40 years. He also announced the creation of a new Corps of Cadets and a new Office of Religious Affairs.
    ————

    #251231
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    Tehran’s 30 September deadline for Washington to end the naval blockade has passed. According to Transition Protocol host Zulfiqar Ali’s sources in Islamabad, Beijing has told Pakistan that if talks stay deadlocked, it would support Iran acting to break the blockade.
    Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson explains why Iran says it will no longer wait to be hit, which US aircraft could be first in line if the reported build-up is real, and why he says 15 ships cannot hold a blockade.
    In this episode: what Zulfiqar Ali is hearing from Islamabad and Tehran; Xi Jinping’s mood after his Washington state visit; the Wang Yi – Ishaq Dar channel; Iran’s strike-first doctrine; the blockade arithmetic and Treasury Secretary Bessent’s tanker remark; the US exit from Iraq; the collapse of the “secret Gulf summit” story; bond yields, mortgages and a five-year oil recovery; the Pentagon’s 37 unexplained wounded; and two elections that will shape the war.
    Sourcing note: statements attributed to Chinese, Pakistani and Iranian officials are the host’s own reporting from his contacts and have not been publicly confirmed by those governments. Larry Johnson’s assessments are analysis. Developments since recording are noted on screen.#Iran #China #Pakistan #StraitOfHormuz #LarryJohnson #Geopolitics #TransitionProtocol

    #251232
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    guest Larry Johnson: The spirit of the age is Genocide and Right Makes Might.

    #251233
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #251234
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #251253
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #251254
    Michael Reid
    Participant

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