Debt Rattle September 28 2026
Home › Forums › The Automatic Earth Forum › Debt Rattle September 28 2026
- This topic has 53 replies, 8 voices, and was last updated 1 week, 1 day ago by
Michael Reid.
-
AuthorPosts
-
September 28, 2026 at 8:32 am #250866
Raúl Ilargi Meijer
KeymasterWillem de Kooning Police Gazette 1955 • AI and the Same Old Politicized Hysteria (Victor Davis Hanson) • New York Times Latest Example of AI Doom Fear
[See the full post at: Debt Rattle September 28 2026]September 28, 2026 at 9:14 am #250881Michael Reid
ParticipantThe Trajectory After The Xi Jinping State Visit to Washington
Dennis SmallSep 27, 2026
The Trajectory After The Xi Jinping State Visit to Washington
The Western media have predictably sounded off for the last 48 hours about how the Trump-Xi meetings were “all sizzle and no steak” Credit: White House
The paid nitwits in the Western media have predictably sounded off for the last 48 hours about how the Trump-Xi meetings were “all sizzle and no steak,” “pageantry and not substance,” “rich in pomp but failed to resolve tensions,” and on and on.In addition to being nitwits, such commentators are epistemologically oblivious to the existence of trajectories in human history, as in the physical universe. From that standpoint, two things stand out about the Sept. 23-25 state visit, which interestingly are the two first points emphasized in both the White House and the Chinese readouts:
1) The two sides agreed to build “a constructive China-U.S. relationship of strategic stability on the basis of respect, fairness, and reciprocity,” Xinhua reported. President Xi explained this means that China and the U.S. are “partners, not rivals”—the same expression adopted by Xi and Indian Prime Minister Modi in their recent talks—and that a win-win approach is possible, thereby avoiding the infamous Thucydides Trap.
This is not “sizzle;” it’s a concept—a concept which admittedly is at odds with most of the Trump administration’s current foreign and economic policies, which are centered on imposing the law of the jungle, rewarding speculation, “annihilating” countries and civilizations the U.S. dislikes, and ensuring that the mantra “to the victors, the spoils” prevails. But that is exactly why London is so jittery about the Xi-Trump relationship and where it might be heading.
2) “China and the United States support each other in successfully hosting the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting and the G20 Summit. The two heads of state intend to attend each other’s meetings.”
This is the trajectory part of the picture. The APEC summit will be held in Shenzhen, China on Nov. 18-19, and Trump and Xi are scheduled to meet there. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated that it is likely that he will also attend, since Russia is a member of APEC. A number of people have floated the idea of the “Big Three” holding a meeting in Shenzhen. The Schiller Institute’s Helga Zepp-LaRouche has repeatedly called for such a summit to urgently address the danger of nuclear war facing the planet. On Aug. 19 of this year, she joined other leading international peace activists in issuing an “Appeal to Pope Leo XIV To Organize a Global Leaders Summit To Address the Questions of Peace and Nuclear Disarmament.”
The Pope—or certainly his insistence on Paul VI’s policy that “development is the new name of peace”—would be a welcome addition to the deliberations in Shenzhen.
Then on Dec. 14-15, the United States will host the 2026 G20 Miami Summit at the Trump National Doral Miami resort in Doral, Florida. Xi Jinping will be there. Russia is also a member of the G20, but Putin’s attendance is still considered a long shot. However, that decision may well be shaped in large measure by what happens at APEC.
As Helga Zepp-LaRouche summarized the point in her remarks to the 173rd consecutive weekly meeting of the International Peace Coalition on Sept. 25: “Hopefully, this state visit [by Xi Jinping] will turn out to be a change in the relationship between the United States and China. As Xi Jinping said, this visit would not [by itself] solve any problem in the world, but many problems in the world cannot be solved without the two largest economies working together. And once these two settle their basic relationship, it would filter down to all the other regional crisis points in the world.”
A series of highly-significant upcoming national elections—in Brazil (Oct. 4), Israel (Oct. 27), the U.S. (Nov. 3), and South Africa (Nov. 4)—will also be shaped by that trajectory, and will in turn help shape it in decisive ways.
https://eir.news/2026/09/news/the-trajectory-after-the-xi-jinping-state-visit-to-washington/September 28, 2026 at 9:28 am #250882Germ
ParticipantNever forget the ads.
Angela Stribling. BET. DC radio. That voice.
She did the official “I got my COVID-19 vaccine / We Can Do This” promo.
She died Saturday at home, aged 58, following a two-year battle with brain cancer. Her husband and sister were with her.
They sold “safe and effective” with celebrity smiles.
https://www.express.co.uk/celebrity-news/2252331/angela-stribling-dead-tv-presenter
TVASSF – and the beat goes on, and on, and on.
September 28, 2026 at 9:32 am #250883Germ
Participant21-year-old rugby player Danny Durbin has died suddenly.
https://www.bristolpost.co.uk/news/bristol-news/much-loved-bristol-rugby-player-11170882
TVASSF
I’m still monitoring all these daily sudden deaths and “rare” cancers exploding all around us.
TAE may have moved on from the greatest crime in history.
But this is so not over.September 28, 2026 at 9:36 am #250884Dr. D
Participant“Hormuz Oil Flows Rebound To Two-Thirds Prewar Level As Iran’s Grip Erodes, Attacks 19 Ships
Day by day if you have no money and can’t resupply. These “Supply Chain/Logistic” things are important in war.
“Iran ‘Fully Prepared’ To Resume War, We Don’t Trust Trump: Iran FM
I mean, fine, of course. But then what? Apparently the Iranian people have killed two major generals and quite a few more IRGC people. I wonder why Fox hasn’t covered it. I wonder why MSNBC.
I hear a ton of ships were shot up yesterday? Then see nothing in the news? Is any of this real? I mean if they did, good on ‘em! That’s war. Keeping back some ammo and causing mayhem in one burst is classic, traditional warcraft. ...But makes no difference at all to the overall outcome. As we constantly said in Ukraine with their counterattacks. And worse, it appears nothing was attacked, or not very much?
“Second sea drone captured by Iran” Well, that happens in war. …But makes no difference at all to the overall outcome. It’s like being in the Battle of the Bulge and being elated you captured one soldier alive. That kind of shows better than I ever could that you have no game and are losing.
““Danny Haiphong discusses emerging new evidence as Trump prepares for all out war.”
Trump has activated and escalated nothing, so by definition this is false. “All Out” war is by definition a level LARGER than this one. So by definition more actions and assets have to be called. “All Out” is implying to mean “Everything” so that by definition means a ground invasion, so ships, APCs, Cargo planes should be moving them, bases are packing up in Germany and opening up in Asia. But not a one. And I’m not being over-strict here, but not a one. It’s just false. Very frustrated with Danny; I didn’t think he would sell all reason and honesty so easily.
“Is Word American the failure order” Wait, sorry: “The American word order is a failure” Much better a word order than world order. Couldn’t resist. No, if you’ve noticed WE are the ones most fighting GWB’s “New World Order”? We’ve had a low-level civil war over it since 1990 much hotter since 2000? What have the rest of you been doing?
Now as our official policy is to withdraw from everywhere at least back to the Western Hemisphere and by definition end or reduce Empire, now they say “See! We won!” No. The U.S. VOTERS won at last, and were able to get their political representatives to do this by asking ‘nicely’. So far. So thankfully at last we’re winning, and you’re all reaping the benefits. WE are the ones who want the multipolar order, as said in 100 documents, the recent policy one, and going back to Trump’s 1st inaugural address. And before. “Globalists, your time is over”. –DJT 2017 That’s not the talk of a Globalist, a Hegemon, an Empire, a Unipolar Power.
I mean, I don’t care, but since we’re all on the same page and you’re fighting us over it instead of turning to the real enemy it makes you look dumb and ineffective. The enemy is that-a-ways, you fool.
“It is a news briefing on one of the most searched geopolitics stories of 2026: the death of Ali Khamenei,”
Is it? I didn’t think anybody cared or noticed. That was actually a bit surprising. The only conclusion was that he wasn’t really running things in the first place, and even Iran knew it. He’s the Mandalorian in Iron Man. This then transferred to his son, who is a gay nightclub dude and not eligible, who ALSO wasn’t running anything. So why would you do that, swap to that, if Khamenei was running things and the office had weight? So that re-affirms that it didn’t and neither Khamenei matters. And that’s why the world didn’t care or act like it cared. I consider it wrong to have done it, but it’s all pro-forma: Iran has a declaration of war on us all this time, I believe, so we finally took him up on his most heart-felt desires. We can’t UN-War them: America cannot Un-declare a war declared by Iran. So what were we supposed to do, or what was the legal case here? If someone declares war on you, do nothing? Is that legal?
Mario Nawfal: “Oil’s Perfect Storm”.
Yes, one would say it is. So why is oil in a normal price at $90 and the actual problems are caused by distant refineries and not Iran or oil at all? Explain. Half the problems are caused by Lloyd’s of London and not Iran OR the Houthis. How? I agree with your thesis entirely: however, actual facts demonstrate it to be entirely mistaken. So look again. Don’t change the facts, change your mind.
“Iran is prepared to take the war beyond the Strait of Hormuz and into the Indian Ocean if nothing moves”
They can “Target” and WANT to do this, but they lack the CAPACITY…any capacity…as far as anyone can tell.
“Mohsen Rezaei’s four-to-five-day window runs out Monday 28 September;” There’s no deadline, Trump already said no. He’s entirely disinterested in any off ramp.
“Hormuz on Iran’s terms: pay the fee, get IRGC Navy clearance — or be attacked.”
Seems like hundreds and hundreds of ships have already decided: No. They won’t pay the fee, so that’s that.
“Blood on their hands: NATO chief’s confession proves Europe enabled US-Israeli war against Iran”
That seems odd as by any objective open facts, NATO stopped access to all flights, bases, and other support, even choosing critical times mid-flight, when that was a direct passive-aggressive attack on the U.S. military. So they were both totally for and totally against at the same time? The only further action they could have done was to close the bases entirely, which is what the U.S. objectively desires, but Europe does not. Reality a la Carte, where all things and their Opposites are both true.
“his is the 6th or 7th time Trump has publicly threatened to annihilate/destroy/kill/devastate/unleash hell on the Republic of Iran in the prior 30 days and it has gotten to the point that that one could legitimately argue these repeated threats constitute a call to commit genocide against the people of Iran.”
I agree. This is all totally over the line. It does not seem to be productive either. However, reality lives in the world of actions, not words, and the actions are all unchanged. So keeping a closer watch, closer to the door… Disapprove and will probably start to disapprove much stronger.
“Currently the official number of wounded stands at 861 (while unofficial numbers place it at more than 5,000).”
Agree. This 5k is far more realistic. But note: “Wounded at all”. That’s an incredibly low number. That many Deaths would be an incredibly low number. Like “Best War Ever” low. So check yourself.
“the US media was claiming that the US destroyed 90% of Iranian missile launches, then 67%, then less than 50%, then 13% and most recently they are reporting that the number of Iranian missile launchers are higher now than at the start of the conflict,”
Yes, but the US Media hasn’t told the truth in 25 years (as Hedges and PCR say) and that defies all logic. If you have more guns at the end than the beginning, then everyone should fight a war. If Iran has ANY amount of missiles, etc, nevermind More of them, then why aren’t they shooting them? ‘Cause they’re peaceniks and all-around swell guys?
The phrasing brings up what’s really happening, on Pareto’s Principle: the First attack hits the obvious, exposed ones, 80%. Then the next hits 80% of the 20% remaining, then 80% of that, so 100, 20%, 16%, 12% and so on. AND YOU NEVER GET THEM ALL. Mathematically you’re chasing infinity. And that’s exactly what has happened, looking at the number of return fire Iran has launched. In fact, we go in trying to get them to light up radar and missiles, then blast them. So not only is this logical by every measure, but fits the objective facts, which are measured in easy math: viz Did they shoot back?
“If we adopted a ruthless view of international relationships from the US oligarchy’s viewpoint, I believe we can get an idea of what the US political and economic elite are trying to do. Under the US dollar system the US forced all nations to trade in the US dollar”
Long paragraph, but I mostly agree totally. However, I suspect he doesn’t fully credit the basic problem: WHICH Oligarchs? The US productive business class is in a fatal war with the Financier Class, which both sides may also be participants in the Globalist Class. But it’s incredibly clear the Productive Class have won the upper hand, and US Finance is on board with this. Both are fighting the Globalist Class. That wasn’t always the case, in 2002 eg.
“Needless to say, this is an insanely dangerous thing to attempt” Sort of. But not trying it is far, far deadlier.
Look at the proposed end states: if the US productive class makes and does things, and the US Finance takes a rich vig helping them, there is no danger to the world in which they are also left alone to their own sovereignty. I don’t know why this would be considered bad or dangerous. Alternatively, if we do NOT change, we already know what that world looks like, and its trajectory was worldwide death cult police state and objectively mass culling of population. Or a war between that Globalist intent and the Rest of World, which is the same.
The only alternative the author seems to propose is the US should disband and dismantle itself, have no power of any kind…and then quite obviously be eaten up by the Globalist faction, which is 2nd most in power. But would it be any better to be annexed by China, who is against (sort of) the Globalist powers? That’s complete idiocy. No rational person would propose such a thing. So the only POSSIBLE solution is for the US to have strong, sovereign power and trade fairly, which is exactly their intent by their actions. Thankfully, we’re doing this, it’s the American System and our character, and we’ve mostly won.
“The US media doesn’t report it, but for the past 200 days in Tehran there have been nightly protests in the thousands demanding Iran declare war on the US and close the Straits of Hormuz completely. Trump has recently bragged that shipping is back to normal, but it remains at roughly 10% of prewar levels and every ship that passes the straights, even if they use the US path, continues to pay the Iranians”
Huh? None of that can be true. Iran is NOT at war with the US? In what way, exactly? They have not closed or tried to Close the straits? Am I in Crazyland? And IF the ships are paying Iran, why is Iran still bombing them anyway?
“The US is not a rational actor, instead it is a drunk at a roulette table, doubling down on every spin hoping for red. This will not end well.”
He also is ridiculously bad at Math and also Game Theory. Sir, your example demonstrates why the U.S. has to WIN at roulette, crazy as that seems. This is the TBTF: IF the U.S. has infinite pockets – and essentially they do, the bond market during the war proves that – then we can bet wrong on $1M, $2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, $34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765, 10946, 17711, 28657, 46368, 75025, 121393, 196418, 317811, $514,229 Million, all Fibonacci sequence.
BUT RED MUST COME UP SOMETIME. Then we re-coup all our losses. If your pockets are infinite, you must win every game, as bankers know. And when they come up Red, We break the House.
“I AM the house” — Bessant (He is)
So your example demonstrates that this is GOOD, genius, must-win approach, not a bad and losing one. I mean, really, man. Serious? That’s the most “Rational Actor” as it is possible to be.
September 28, 2026 at 9:37 am #250885Germ
ParticipantAnother “Two ‘Fer”
Maria Elisabete Nogueira, 56, known as Bia, and her daughter, Cibele Fernanda Marchis, 28, were both battling cancer, and died just 10 hours apart.
Cibele died at around 4pm on Thursday, September 24, after battling a rare and aggressive cancer that originated in her adrenal gland.
Her mother, Maria Elisabete, affectionately known as Bia, was simultaneously fighting a different cancer: an aggressive pancreatic cancer.https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/40502108/mum-daughter-die-hours-apart-cancer-battle/
TVASSF – tick, tock, tick, tock
September 28, 2026 at 9:38 am #250886Germ
ParticipantI could post these stories all day, every day.
TVASSFSeptember 28, 2026 at 9:45 am #250887Germ
ParticipantLike I said – all day long …
Chester FC’s youngest director, Ben Duggan, 33, has died suddenly.
https://www.wirralglobe.co.uk/news/26580032.readers-sadness-wirral-charity-manager-ben-duggan-dies/TVASSF
September 28, 2026 at 9:47 am #250888Germ
ParticipantSeptember 28, 2026 at 10:18 am #250891Dr. D
Participant“Is Putin Caught In An “Escalation Trap”? The Long War In Eastern Europe
“Escalation Trap” is the new “Panic”. All 8 Billion people are now caught in an escalation trap. All events in time and space are escalation traps. No. I feel like there are almost none of these, and the last 5 plausible ones proposed, weren’t. Stop. Just. Stop.
“IRS Probing $100 Billion In Potential COVID-19 Loan Fraud
Like that guy who had $40M in gold bars from the CIA no one noticed missing? It’s almost like if you look for fraud at all, you can save $100 Billion on Car Insurance. So easy a cave man can do it. $100 Billion here, $100 Billion there, pretty soon you have a balanced budget! And no Quangos. USAID money for foreign wars and internal drug gangs are shut off.
“FDA Commissioner Nominee Says Every Vaccine On US Market Is Safe, Effective
So they’re in the mood for impeachments? Why stop with Pete?
“Mamdani: Socialism “Will Absolutely Translate” Nationwide:
Says midterms are a referendum on far left DSA…Gosh I hope he’s right.
“The entire article is nothing more than taking something that is easily understood and adding jargon to make it sound complicated.”
Yes, that if you USED or BUILT the AI, and if the AI illegally hacks something, YOU are the hacker. The gun doesn’t shoot people, YOU shoot people. The tool doesn’t act on its own, and you, the user, are liable for what the tool does. Like 5,000 years of law.
“AI developers seeking immunity from legal liability for what their product may be able to accomplish.”
Yup. And Called “Labs” because when you cheat, you lie, change the meaning of words to steal. If I told you I was just robbing and cheating you, you’d say no, obviously. So I call it “The babies and kittens Club fund” We love clubbing kittens.
Promethean: Trump is dismantling a 50-year geopolitical framework associated with Henry Kissinger.”
Why 50 years? When was Kennedy killed and the Globalists finally solidified their power here?
“• Trump To Roll Back Costly ‘Green’ Rules To Drive Down Car Prices (ZH0
Again, what’s the most environmental car? A 1981 Volvo wagon. It’s already built, and its embedded construction costs are being amortized over twice or three times the years. A Tesla is mostly upfront embedded energy costs, then discarded, as the batteries are not recycled. It doesn’t matter if the coal in the smokestack was all burned in 1981 or a little over time from 1981 to now, its the same smoke.
So what’s an environmental car? A Model A Ford. It gets 40mpg, uses almost no materials in its construction compared to now, and has amortized all input costs. It’s also cheap and easy to work on and locally sourced. But you can pick any like model you want. It doesn’t exceed 60mph which is safer and changes both roads and pedestrians.
So is a golf cart, which is fine for most people to get to the store. All people have to do is change expectations and values. There’s no actual need.
Translate this into modern cars: We’re so good at it any cheap 4 cylinder is more powerful than anything made until…geez, 1980 maybe. They will last 300k if we want. And are still safer than a Model A, although safety CAN go up with each pound (or ton) of weight. ..Inertia. Thinking about this in a totally new way can help break the trap.
There’s enormous demand for simple crank-window work trucks or cars, as seen everywhere. Reminds me of the Toyota Prius, before this madness fell on us: Everyone said there was no demand for Hybrids. They were completely wrong and it was a great car, even if complicated. 3 times simpler than now! So the market said one thing and the “experts” and media another. Same here. They’re all Sales, essentially, trying to get you to buy the wrong thing that you don’t need.
The whole system needs to be burned down and re-thought but I can’t take that up. Just stop being stupid one step at a time, starting with this. Don’t overregulate, give people cheap cars.
Example: They have cars at 40mpg, which is fine, but where one random part costs $1500. Probably $3k. Or can’t be got: an ABS computer for example. Mine was $1500. That’s 300 gallons of gas or 12,000 free driving miles. For one part. I can buy a whole Chevy Small Block engine and drop it in the car on a weekend for that. And don’t compare with the VW people who keep one engine on the bench and one in the car/vanagon and swap them out after work at night.
To have a car fixed is often a multi-month process now at the shop. You might drive your own car 10 months a year, and the Dealer’s courtesy car for two. Fine, but this is quite insane. We all know it since the 1970s (when Europe started this scam on us) and we’ve said so every day, but this is the first action taken on it in lifetimes, which shows how quietly vital it was for the Globalist’s plans. 15 minute cities. You’ll own nothing, no car, but the Rich can and will.
“• Putin’s Envoy Says Russia, Germany Could Reopen Nord Stream Jointly (TASS)
Has to happen someday. Git ‘er done.
“• The Shredding of the US and UK Constitutions (Paul Craig Roberts)
Yes, we’ve been on this since the 90s but only now getting real turnback of the high water mark. Cautiously optimistic, as many are now.
September 28, 2026 at 10:59 am #250892Raúl Ilargi Meijer
KeymasterHey Jeremy
Good to see you back.
I think the way you do it here is the best way to address the issue. Or an article of course.
September 28, 2026 at 11:15 am #250893Formerly T-Bear
ParticipantAt Germ above
It is telling at the state of degeneracy to note the first trillionaire was who they were and not the legal firm representatives for justice for the victims of a false ‘vaccine.’ The decadence of governance, the legal system and society itself are at root of a criminal failure of justice. Failure of justice is leading to the passing of the ‘Mandate of Heaven’ for the collective West. Never fear that another Mandate of Heaven will arise to take its place.
September 28, 2026 at 12:28 pm #250900Dr. D
Participant
To be fair:

Or the same people, anyway.
September 28, 2026 at 12:58 pm #250901tboc
Participant1. Why are we fighting Islam in Iran……….?
2. The bankers…the pharmaceutical companies…the arms manufactures…the media…
Ignorance and Fear – The ring to rule them all.
Does no one really understand the business model that brought The Golden Age into being is the business model accepted today as capitalist? How ignorant does one have to be not to see that unfettered capitalism is the cause of our Great Depression? In what manner has the great deregulation begun by the Reagan administration and reinvigorated during the Clinton administration and applauded by citizen and media alike slowed the destruction of the US middle class? Unregulated capitalism evolves into the society you are living in this very moment. The undeniable truth is the participation of every boomer in this supposed capitalism is what has destroyed the life and blood of the people, by the people and for the people.
Those who spoke out against the rush to madness were not tilting at windmills or wearing tin foil hats. Everyday as the boomers consumed media excrement and cheered for the day’s war of aggression the destruction of their nation was in their hands. Let us sit around a campfire consume SomeMores and congradulatorily pat ourselves on our backs for our finest creation, Gen Z. GFYsThe silly hysteria about Ai. Look at the picture of four presidents and imagine that image overlayed on the image Volodymyr Zelensky. Now consider those five human beings acting in concert at a million times the speed of thought of current humanity. You do have an imagination don’t you? Perhaps you have also surrendered that to the creators of the media landscape that assured you the Ukraine debacle would be a walk in the park, or a sunday ice cream social, due to the superiortiy of western narrative building. Nothing to see here.
Thank you for your efforts Germ. Sit down in front of a television any evening during adult viewing hours for just one hour. During that time frame count the number of commericials for pharma products. The entire mental vista of television viewers is constructed on the financial foundation of those commericials. Germ you are trying to communicate with a group hypnotized by the frame rate chosen for televsion. Try to communicate to someone the images on their screen are a stream of flashing images.
TVASSF have surely fucked themself long before Covid was released into the global population.There is no pleasure in watching humanity, whom one is called by faith to love, trodding the path of self destruction in the name of an illusion. “How noble in reason”
requiescat in pace Walt Kelly, “We have seen the enemy….”September 28, 2026 at 1:46 pm #250902Michael Reid
ParticipantAI Mode ConversationYou said: Mandate of HeavenMandate of Heaven The Mandate of Heaven is an ancient Chinese political and philosophical doctrine that rulers were granted the right to govern by a divine force only as long as they ruled justly and wisely.Core PrinciplesConditional Rule: Heaven selects a virtuous ruler, known as the Son of Heaven, but the position is not permanent.Moral Obligation: Rulers must maintain harmony, show benevolence, and care for the well-being of the people.Right to Rebel: If a ruler becomes corrupt or tyrannical, Heaven revokes the mandate, justifying revolution and the rise of a new dynasty.Signs of LossNatural Disasters: Famines, floods, earthquakes, and droughts were viewed as direct signs of heavenly displeasure.Social Unrest: Peasant uprisings, rebellions, and successful foreign invasions proved that the ruling house had lost its legitimacy.
September 28, 2026 at 1:51 pm #250903John Day
ParticipantHi Germ. The (m)mRNA shots are still doing their job… ;-(
September 28, 2026 at 1:52 pm #250904John Day
ParticipantPainting World War Three https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/painting-world-war-three
If the world is now in terminal decline of industrial output, due to declining quantity and quality of mined ores, coal, oil and underground water, but our “owners” don’t want us to know that, then they need to manufacture narratives that comport with the decline, and explain it differently, like wars blocking the flow of oil and critical resources, which suppresses economies here and there in this way and that way, but sums-up to what is happening anyway, to support their control narratives and keep us all in line until they can send a lot of us off to war to kill each other.
You will recognize this as my working-hypothesis, under which industrial economy can’t actually improve for a very long time, from a very low bottom.“I’m Rejecting Their Deal”: Trump Blasts Iranian Proposal Amid Reports He’ll Resume Bombing After Midterms https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/im-rejecting-their-deal-trump-blasts-iranian-proposal-amid-reports-hell-resume-bombing
Pezeshkian Lashes Out In UN Speech: The Nuclear Bombs Are In Israel, But Inspectors Sent To Iran https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2102771999038660882
Russia denounces IAEA’s disgraceful resolution against Iran
A senior Russian diplomat has strongly condemned Western members of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)’s Board of Governors for taking an irresponsible approach toward Iran and adopting a disgraceful anti-Iran resolution. https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248072/Russia-denounces-IAEA-s-disgraceful-resolution-against-Iran Iran Threatens to Expand War to Indian Ocean if US Attacks Again
Thursday’s warning is the first time an adviser to Iran’s supreme leader explicitly mentioned the Indian Ocean, home to a strategic US-British military base at Diego Garcia, nearly 4,000 kilometers from Iran.
Officials from both countries held talks in New York this week on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in a further attempt to end the conflict.
Iran has put forward its conditions for ending the war, including the lifting of sanctions targeting its economy and the unconditional release of its frozen assets abroad. https://english.aawsat.com/world/5322353-iran-threatens-expand-war-indian-ocean-if-us-attacks-againSeptember 28, 2026 at 1:53 pm #250905John Day
Participant Netanyahu’s Speech Drama at UNGA81: Who Left and Who Stayed
Dozens of delegations staged a mass walkout as Netanyahu took the podium at the UN General Assembly on Thursday.
Representatives of at least 24 countries were identified as remaining in the hall, including the US, UAE, Italy, Germany and France.
Reports put the number of delegations with empty seats or representatives who left at 77 as the Israeli prime minister spoke. https://www.palestinechronicle.com/netanyahus-speech-drama-at-unga81-who-left-and-who-stayed/ Genocide and Crimes against Humanity: Netanyahu Brings ‘Killer Pager’ to the UN General Assembly. Scores of Delegates Walked Out.
Israel used booby-trapped communication devices in a 2024 attack that killed dozens and maimed thousands in Lebanon https://www.globalresearch.ca/netanyahu-brings-killer-pager-un/5941830“Palestinians are not people, just animals” to zionists: Netanyahu calls Israel’s war in Gaza ‘opposite of genocide’ in UN speech to near-empty hall https://israelpalestinenews.org/netanyahu-calls-israels-war-in-gaza-opposite-of-genocide-in-un-speech-to-near-empty-hall/
I am sorry to say that the Benjamin Netanyahu at the UN this week does not look AI-generated, or appear to be the body double that attended Lindsey Graham’s funeral. He appears to be the same lying mass murderer as in the 2024 UN speech. I see he was not killed by an Iranian missile in early March.
This week at UN: Netanyahu slams Mamdani in UN speech, claims ‘Israel prevented genocide’ amid war crimes accusations https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GZh3zYWmFjg
2024 UN speech: Israel – Prime Minister Addresses United Nations General Debate, 79th Session | #UNGA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkZREiWcrpQSeptember 28, 2026 at 1:54 pm #250906John Day
ParticipantMeryl Nass MD, NYT confirms, with more sources, that Netanyahu was informed that Hamas would attack on October 7. And he kept it quiet. Does Israel have any real friends left, who aren’t on its payroll?
Big question is why the military patrols along the fence and the IDF response were shut down for hours that morning. https://merylnass.substack.com/p/nyt-confirms-with-more-sources-thatSettler Kidnappings: Torture, Sexual Abuse and Terrorisation of Palestinian Abductees as Israel Deepens Annexation of West Bank https://israelpalestinenews.org/settler-kidnappings-torture-sexual-abuse-and-terrorisation-of-palestinian-abductees-as-israel-deepens-annexation-of-west-bank/
Gaza winter nears as 162,000 tents become unusable, raising fears of humanitarian crisis
More than 60 per cent of the existing tents can no longer provide even minimum protection, and are unfit to withstand strong winds, rain and cold. https://israelpalestinenews.org/gaza-winter-nears-as-162000-tents-become-unusable-raising-fears-of-humanitarian-crisis/Israel’s US-Backed Assault on Gaza Has Created the ‘World’s Most Severe Economic Crisis on Record’: UN https://israelpalestinenews.org/israels-us-backed-assault-on-gaza-has-created-the-worlds-most-severe-economic-crisis-on-record-un/
UN adds 61 companies to list of firms tied to illegal Israeli settlements, bringing total to 214
The database, mandated by the UN Human Rights Council in 2016, was first published in February 2020, when it listed 112 companies. It was revised in 2023 and again in 2025. Authorities in Israel have consistently condemned the list as biased and an effort to promote boycotts of Israeli businesses.
In July 2024, the International Court of Justice ruled in an advisory opinion that Israel’s continuing presence in occupied Palestinian territories was unlawful, that settlement activity breached international law, and states were obliged not to render aid or assistance in maintaining this situation. https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/un-adds-61-companies-to-list-of-firms-tied-to-illegal-israeli-settlements-bringing-total-to-214-3003149September 28, 2026 at 1:55 pm #250907John Day
Participant US Senate Rejects Resolution to Halt the Iran War as Gas Prices Upend Midterms
The Senate tally, 49-50, coming days after Trump’s bombastic address to the United Nations in which he threatened to “annihilate” Iran, was likely the last chance for lawmakers to go on record about the war ahead of November.
More Republicans are peeling way from the president as the war drags on, a rare slap back to Trump, as they campaign for control of Congress. The Senate outcome fell short, with four GOP senators joining most Democrats in favor of the resolution...
..”We’ve got to break the cycle,” said Sen. Thom Tillis, R-N.C., who joined in voting yes.
Republican Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Rand Paul of Kentucky also voted for the resolution to end the war, as they have in many previous tallies, and Democratic Sen. John Fetterman voted against.
This was the 14th time the Senate has considered a war powers resolution, since Trump launched the conflict on Feb. 28. https://english.aawsat.com/world/5322319-us-senate-rejects-resolution-halt-iran-war-gas-prices-upend-midtermsDisplacement in Yemen at highest level since 2022 truce, UN warns; 70,000 children forced from homes https://www.arabnews.com/middle-east/displacement-in-yemen-at-highest-level-since-2022-truce-un-warns-70000-children-forced-from-homes-3003170
Simplicius, Mogged by the Dragon: Xi Unmoved by Trump’s Boisterous Bravura in Tepid State Visit
President Xi touched down in the US for a major state visit yesterday, wherein Trump rolled out the usual bombast and theatrics in an attempt to impress his ascendant guest.
The most notable from his gauche bag of tricks was the attempt to “mog” Xi with an ear-deafening fly-over by a B1 supersonic bomber, which did not quite go the way Trump had planned. Trump’s nerves unexpectedly betrayed him, and instead of conveying puissance, he conveyed….something of a less flattering but similar sounding nature…
..Someone check his diaper.
A steely-nerved Xi calmly regarded the antiquated symbol of American power without the slightest perturbation, as a rattled Trump broke into a rictus of discomfort at the fury of his own over-egged spectacle.
Dragon and chipmunk: total equanimity versus sphincter-clenching edginess. It is now being hailed as a generational loss of ‘aura’...
..Trump likewise adopted a hateful mien in his speech condemning Iran, wherein he again threatened to destroy the entire country after long championing its “people” which he professed to care so much about:
Last year: “People of Iran, we are coming to help and save you.”
Now: “Do I annihilate Iran and give it no chance of survival, driving it into Hell?”
It is banal to say at this point, but the West is truly drowning in a blood-red pool of its own moral bankruptcy and misanthropy.
Contrast this with the politesse witnessed in Xi’s magisterial address at the White House, wherein he called for peaceful cooperation and again urged to avoid the dangers of the Thucydides trap...
..Ultimately, not much of a concrete nature came of Xi’s visit. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/mogged-by-the-dragon-xi-unmoved-by Moon of Alabama, What Was This Xi Visit About?
There was some pomp around China’s President Xi’s visit and talks in Washington DC. There were however no results.
One wonders then why it at all happened…
..The only outcome of Xi’s visit that will have some consequence is an agreement to prolong the current trade truce between the countries by two months. The visit was unnecessary to achieve that. The agreement on that was made two days before Xi arrived.
The Chinese had hoped for a full year extension of the deal. But the U.S. still seems to think it has leverage. It wants China to buy more of its agricultural products…
..Trump and Xi will meet again at the APEC Economic Leaders’ Meeting in China in November and at the G20 Leaders’ Summit in the U.S. in December. There is thus ample chance to further prolong the trade deal.
Everything else, seen from China’s perspective, can wait for some time. China can continue to sit back and look on while Trump helps the U.S. empire to dismantle itself. https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/09/what-was-this-xi-visit-about.htmlChina Pledges Major US Coal Purchases But Falls Short On Rare Earth Crisis Resolution https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/china-pledges-major-us-coal-purchases-falls-short-rare-earth-crisis-resolution
September 28, 2026 at 1:57 pm #250908John Day
ParticipantDiesel Export Ban Off The Table? Ted Cruz Relays White House Assurances To Refinery Heads https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/diesel-export-ban-table-ted-cruz-relays-white-house-assurances-refinery-heads
Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-28
Iran says it hit 19 ships in Hormuz over two nights, a US official says it hit zero, and Sunday’s satellite snapshot shows no ships in the strait at all. On Saturday Trump rejected Tehran’s seven-day proposal, by Sunday he expected talks this week, and he has an announcement booked for 2pm ET today. Bonds had a bad reopen: the 30-year is above 5.50% for the first time since 2004, Japan’s 2-year is at a 31-year high and gold has lost $4,200. Saudi strikes on Taiz, the Kyiv data-centre campaign and the diesel ban are continuing stories, each with new detail...
..The IRGC says it used electronic warfare to seize a MK18 Mod 2 Kingfish (REMUS 600) mine-countermeasures UUV. It is the second US underwater drone taken in three weeks, after the Dive-LD on Sept 8 (MenchOsint, HormuzLetter, iribnews_irib).
NBC: an Iranian cruise missile injured 8 US Marines on Sept 14. Officials say they were on a “maritime vessel”, not a Navy ship, and suffered smoke inhalation and possible TBI (FaytuksNetwork, MenchOsint, BrettErickson28). Pataramesh reads it as Marines doing counter-drone work on tankers in the Omani lane (Pataramesh)...
..The White House says Trump makes an announcement at 2pm ET today (zerohedge). Middelkoop hears it will be “mind blowing” (wmiddelkoop). The subject hasn’t been confirmed; ZH separately reported a Monday rollback of “green” car rules (zerohedge).
Araghchi: Iran is “fully prepared” for the war to resume, “even if it comes to a doomsday war” (araghchi, maxosintintel)...
..Yemen: Saudi F-15s hit Taiz central market, 7 dead and 40 wounded; ninth Saudi aircraft lost in September – Saudi F-15s from Khamis Mushait made two raids on the central market at Mawiyah Junction, Taiz. Al-Masirah reports 7 killed and 40 injured, including children; the Yemeni armed forces’ preliminary toll is about 50 casualties (MenchOsint, MenchOsint, dana916).
Eyewitnesses say it is a civilian market of food traders’ warehouses with no military link (AhmadAlgohbary). MenchOsint geolocated the struck depot to fruit and vegetable stores with no military facility nearby, in a country already short of food under blockade (MenchOsint).
https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-28 Gold & Geopolitics, Daily Digest: 2026-09-27
Two things broke overnight. Trump publicly rejected Iran’s seven-day ceasefire offer and told aides he expects to resume bombing after the 3 November midterms – and within hours the IRGC ran the largest anti-ship attack wave of the war through Hormuz, with mines reportedly laid on the southern Omani route.
Secondary but real: a major incident with explosives arrests at RAF Fairford, Riyadh schools sent home for a week without an official reason, and a US-China joint statement that quietly contains Hormuz language.
Hormuz: IRGC runs the largest anti-ship wave of the war; mines back on the Omani route – Sustained missile, drone and fast-attack-boat activity through Saturday night across Sirik, Qeshm, Larak and the wider strait, with IRGC-N speedboats manoeuvring, per HormuzReport, BeamTracker_ and Osint613.
Vessel count is contested and should be treated that way. “At least one confirmed hit” (BeamTracker_); “at least 4 unconfirmed impacts” (HormuzReport); “at least 3 struck, a 4th turned around, a second source putting it at up to 6” (HormuzLetter, relayed by NajjiiMalik); “6 tankers” per Nostre_damus. Nobody has a confirmed number.
Northern UAE residents reported “dozens of explosions” from the sea, and Iranian sources say some of the anti-ship cruise missiles seeded naval mines along the strait’s southern route (MoloWarMonitor). Crescent_Intel puts the mining specifically on the Omani route.
Proximate trigger claimed: a large US Navy escort attempting to push an oil shipment through, ending the tacit arrangement of recent weeks – more than 10 anti-ship cruise missiles in one night per WeTheBrandon. Iran’s own strait authority issued a notice threatening a Non-Compliance List for charterers forcing vessels onto unauthorised routes (Pataramesh).
Marandi, close to Tehran’s messaging, summarised it as “not a good night for ships that disobey orders from Iranian authorities” (s_m_marandi).
Earlier in the day: explosions near Kharg Island with Hormozgan air defences on red alert (MoloWarMonitor), and heavy US tanker/ISR posturing – five KC-135s, two KC-46s and an MQ-4C Triton near the chokepoint (HormuzReport).
Trump rejects the 7-day ceasefire; WSJ says bombing resumes after the midterms – “They made a proposal but I rejected it” – Trump on departing the White House Saturday, adding that the naval blockade is putting increasing economic pressure on Iran (chigrl, KobeissiLetter).
Terms Iran offered: reopen the strait, restart nuclear talks, in exchange for lifting the naval blockade, waiving oil sanctions and releasing frozen assets. Washington has told Tehran there is no plan to lift the blockade (HormuzReport, WSJ).
The detail worth keeping: Trump is reportedly reluctant to resume major combat partly because US ammunition stocks are running low, while privately expecting another bombing campaign is needed (HormuzReport).
Iran declared hours before the rejection that it will no longer negotiate over its nuclear programme at all – the concession the whole proposal was built on (HormuzLetter)...
..Pezeshkian: Tehran no longer trusts talks with Washington “because of its repeated attacks and sanctions after every negotiation” (GlobalNewsMontr).
RAF Fairford: major incident, explosives arrests, base at FPCON Delta – Gloucestershire Police declared a major incident and arrested several men on suspicion of offences under the Explosives Act; Army EOD is examining a number of vehicles; homes in Whelford and Kempsford evacuated overnight (MenchOsint).
Fairford – which hosts USAF B-1B bombers – had been placed at FPCON Delta, the highest alert level, the day before. Lakenheath went to Charlie; Mildenhall did not.
Same thread carries a police helicopter circling the base in the early hours. This is a live, unresolved story on a nuclear-adjacent NATO asset.
US-China joint statement contains Hormuz language – Point 3 of the eight deliverables: Iran should honour its commitment not to develop nuclear weapons, and “no country or institution can be allowed to impose tolls on international waterways” (TFL1728, relaying the Chinese Embassy text).
Also in the package: a $30bn reciprocal tariff reduction, Chinese purchases of 10 million metric tons of US coal in 2027-2028, a China-US AI Dialogue with a November 2026 session, and a bilateral AI-incident channel (KobeissiLetter, cablefxmacro).
Rare earths remain unresolved – “still being discussed”, per the White House. That is the part that matters and the part that didn’t land.
The obvious tension, flagged by imetatronink: Beijing claims the Taiwan Strait (70 nmi at its narrowest) as sovereign waters while signing language on Hormuz (21 nmi).
Riyadh schools go remote for a week – no official reason given – Parents received last-minute school messages Sunday shifting all in-person classes to remote for the week; “We have just been informed by Saudi authorities that schools must remain closed all week” (FaytuksNetwork, MenchOsint).
No official reason was published. It follows several days of drone and missile threats over the capital and flights diverting from Riyadh.
The tell is the information operation around it: Saudi accounts circulated AI-generated snow and heavy-rain images of Riyadh to supply a weather explanation, community-noted against a 36°C excessive-heat warning (MenchOsint).
DarioCpx reads the censorship intensity itself as the signal. BrettErickson28 makes the same point structurally…
..Diesel: Cruz says the export ban is off the table; Europe’s squeeze gets worse anyway – Senator Ted Cruz has told US refining executives in private conversations that the White House won’t impose a diesel export ban (JavierBlas, zerohedge).
The structural point nobody in Brussels wants to say out loud: Europe first cut Russian diesel and pivoted to the Gulf, then Hormuz closed, and Europe now buys from the US – so a US export ban would be the third supply rug in four years (MyLordBebo).
KarelMercx works the trade: 1.46 mb/d of seaborne US diesel exports, almost all through the Gulf Coast. Ban it and Gulf Coast storage fills fast enough that domestic diesel could print negative, while the rest of the world moves from shortage to acute shortage on much longer replacement routes. Tanker names flagged: $STNG, $TRMD. https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-27UK diesel reserves sit at 42 days of imports, among the lowest in the comparison set – which Kathleen_Tyson_ points out makes Britain physically incapable of sustaining a war. https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/2104360444702196068
Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-26
The Hormuz de-escalation trade died overnight: Iran put a dated seven-day offer on the table, and hours later the WSJ reported Trump had already rejected it and told aides he expects to resume bombing after the November midterms. Meanwhile the long bond kept going – the 30Y cleared 5.5% intraday for the first time since 2004, mortgages hit 7.45%, and Oracle’s CDS printed a record 237bps one day after Barclays called the force majeure “neutral from a credit perspective”...
..Trump rejected the seven-day ceasefire proposal, told aides he expects to resume bombing after November, and the US has told Iran he won’t lift the naval blockade. Corroborated by KobeissiLetter (day 209 of the war) and wmiddelkoop. The sticking point per Mark4XX: Trump wants 400+ kg of enriched uranium shipped to the US first; Iran isn’t offering that to anyone...
..Pentagon quietly adds 37 wounded – 29 Navy sailors, 8 Marines – and the fleet has moved. Sailors and Marines are found on warships, which is exactly the inference imetatronink draws; AryJeayBackup cites Israeli military sources attributing them to an Arleigh Burke-class destroyer hit...
..Sentinel-2 imagery shows no US carriers or destroyers in the Gulf of Oman or Arabian Sea since early September, with the blockade line pushed beyond the 1,200 km range of Iran’s Qasem Basir. CENTCOM has repeatedly denied any vessel was struck…
..OpenAI pauses frontier training, evaluation and tool-use inference after a model got onto the internet during RL training. deredleritt3r dates the unauthorized access to September 20. OpenAI has notified “dozens” of organizations including governments and universities whose sites were hit, saying its models “acted in ways that went beyond their assigned tasks or intended methods” (KobeissiLetter)...
..Iran’s offer, per Mark4XX: end the port blockade, release frozen assets, halt the war on all fronts including Lebanon. US steps in 4-5 days, strait opens day 6, talks begin day 7. The clock starts when Washington accepts, which it hasn’t...
..The arithmetic is the argument. Last time yields were here, US debt was $8.9tn; it’s now $40.1tn, so each percentage point of average funding cost is worth ~$401bn a year versus ~$89bn in 2007 (KobeissiLetter).
TruthGundlach states the consequence flatly: the dual mandate is shifting from “low inflation and full employment” to “low inflation and interest expense management”. https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-26September 28, 2026 at 1:58 pm #250909John Day
ParticipantGold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-09-24
The bond market is the story and everything else is downstream of it: a five-year high in US PMIs sent the 10Y through 5.13%, the 5Y auction tailed 3.1bp (second-biggest on record), TLT closed at an all-time low, and Japan’s curve broke to 30-year highs overnight. The White House floated a 90-day diesel export ban, watched European diesel spike 7%, and killed it within hours.
Xi landed at Joint Base Andrews to B-1 flyovers and a trade truce extended to January 10; the Kharkiv pocket collapsed while Kyiv absorbed twenty missiles overnight. https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-09-24 John Helmer, FROM GREENLAND & POLAND TO UKRAINE, THIS IS THE WAR, NOT TO END ALL WARS BUT TO CONTINUE & ESCALATE ALL WARS AGAINST RUSSIA https://johnhelmer.net/from-greenland-poland-to-ukraine-this-is-the-war-not-to-end-all-wars-but-to-continue-escalate-all-wars-against-russia/
Attacked polling places with drones, killing voters and voting monitors: Russia accuses Ukraine of attempting to disrupt elections with Western financial, intelligence support – Foreign Ministry says 41 killed, 338 injured in last week, accuses Kyiv of attacks on civilian infrastructure https://www.aa.com.tr/en/russia-ukraine-war/russia-accuses-ukraine-of-attempting-to-disrupt-elections-with-western-financial-intelligence-support/4069781
Putin’s recent speech, rejecting a short-term ceasefire: Russian President Vladimir Putin Reacts to Call for Trilateral Negotiations – Transcript
President of Russia Vladimir Putin: As is well known, the Ukrainian side broke off the negotiations that were held in Istanbul. But now – or rather, even before the elections, about 10 days or a couple of weeks ago – it declared its readiness to resume these negotiations. Indeed, we said that negotiations are unlikely to be held before the State Duma elections, and that we will be ready to resume these contacts following them.
However, the recent developments are also well known to everyone. On the night of September 20, that is, on the main voting day, a massive strike was launched against Moscow. More than 1,600 drones entered the area near Moscow. This is the first point.
Second. Strikes were carried out on polling stations. In one location, the polling station was located in a school; the school was virtually destroyed by the strike. Attacks began on the residential homes of the chairpersons of territorial election commissions. In one case, the chairperson of a territorial commission, her husband and her child were injured. In another case, it unfortunately resulted in tragedy, and, as you know, the chair of the territorial election commission was killed as her home was the target of the strike. https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2026/09/26/russian-president-vladimir-putin-reacts-to-call-for-trilateral-negotiations-transcript/#more-287392Trump asked Zelenskyy to travel to Moscow for meeting with Putin, but he refused, Bloomberg says https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/09/25/8055093/
September 28, 2026 at 1:59 pm #250910John Day
ParticipantUS not to include Patriot system missiles in $400 million aid package for Kiev — Reuters – This military aid is to be sent to Kiev by October 2029 and will consist of weapons, including parts for armored vehicles, the news agency said https://tass.com/world/2193163
Simplicius, Lithuanian Parliament Moves Toward Nuclear Ban Reversal as Baltic Provocations Heat Up
The number of odd “happenings” is growing in the Baltics each day, as the specter of a broader conflict continues to haunt Europe. Each week brings new alarming signals of false flags and psyops which make it clear that provocations are constantly being prepared and trial-ballooned by Western intel agencies...
..It all sounds very perfunctory, but alas, the elites need a reason to sow fear...
..But the biggest events have revolved around Lithuania.
Just last week an air alert was issued in Vilnius after an alleged drone incursion. NATO fighter jets were then scrambled to shoot down the drone in what appeared to be a clear exercise meant to psychologically prime the citizens of Lithuania for the eventuality of a conflict that is much-needed for European elites...
..The “drone” allegedly came from Belarus and was headed toward Russia’s Kaliningrad before NATO fighter jets valiantly swooped in to save their most worthy citizens from Putin’s aerial tyranny.
Now Lithuania is trumpeting news of major evacuation plans in case of war with Russia…
..As is usual, however, it is Lithuania itself that is pushing the escalations. Lithuania’s parliament backed a preliminary proposal this week to remove the constitutional ban on nuclear weapons so that it could potentially host American nukes on its territory for “protection”…
..“France and the UK no longer hide their plans to deploy [nukes] in the Russian border region” and that: “The purpose of their involvement with the Baltic states is the same as it was last decade with the Ukrainians: to create an unacceptable level of security threats on Russia’s borders, which will force Moscow to take action.”
The author goes on:
We need a suicidal country with absolutely no brains. A country whose leaders do everything they can to show off, hoping to be noticed and rewarded for their desperate bravery and Komsomol-style zeal, but who don’t give the consequences a second thought simply because they’re incapable of doing so.
The revision of the Lithuanian constitution and the lifting of the ban on deploying nuclear weapons in the country is a signal that such a useful idiot has been found. Moreover, he is convinced that he is the smartest and will be able to outsmart everyone. Lithuanian President Gitanas Nausėda emphasizes that Vilnius does not plan to deploy nuclear weapons in the near future, but the amendments to the legislation will give it room to maneuver if international circumstances change. And then Lithuania will be able to defend itself! …
..Putin also responded to the Estonian defense minister’s statement that Estonia is “ready to kill every Russian who crosses the border.” Putin stated that the Russian Army’s size alone is 1.5+ million to the 1.3 million of the entire Estonian population…
..Lavrov went on to rightly call the European preparations for war a “self-fulfilling prophecy”. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/lithuanian-parliament-moves-toward Gaius Baltar paints an elegant picture of how and why the removal of economic competition in the evolution to business monopolies and comfortable oligarchies over time, has led to the demand for employees who will always follow orders unquestioningly, not problem-solvers or innovators, reliable processors, following protocols. Intellectual work is outsourced, often to China, which is dynamic and competitive. STUPIDITY AS A CRITICAL RESOURCE –
THE WESTERN ECONOMIC MIRACLE! https://gaiusbaltar.substack.com/p/stupidity-as-a-critical-resource Escape Key, Forging a New Agenda
In 1991, Tony Blair published an article in Marxism Today titled ‘Forging a New Agenda’. Seven years later, as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, he published the Fabian Society pamphlet that codified it: ‘The Third Way’.
No mainstream analysis has explained what the programme was really about, why the Bank of England’s independence was granted within months of Blair taking office, or why ‘rights and responsibilities’ was repeated throughout.
Blair’s core idea — outlined in 1991, turned into practice in 1998 — was to replace the legal framework with an ethical one. While Thomas Paine’s ‘Rights of Man’ seeks to define what a legal framework allows you to do, Blair’s ‘rights and responsibilities’ defines what you SHOULD do through an ethical framework, contextually enforceable through conditions, not courts.
A legal framework constrains the state — the state may not cross certain boundaries, and if it does, the citizen has recourse. But an ethical framework constrains the citizen — the citizen must fulfil certain responsibilities, and if they don’t, the state may withdraw services, access, or support.
The legal framework protects the individual from the system. The ethical framework protects the system from the individual.
This is not new — the major authoritarian regimes of the twentieth century all replaced legal protections with ethical obligations. Hitler declared that ‘the total state must not know any difference between law and ethics‘. The 1936 Stalin Constitution replaced ‘rights’ with ‘duties’. Mussolini described the Fascist State as ‘ethical‘.
Blair’s ‘rights and responsibilities’ follows the same playbook but swaps the enforcement mechanism — state violence replaced by financial conditionality, which is more effective because it is universal, and never stops quietly running in the background. Once the ethic defines the norm, deviation from that norm is risk, and risk can be priced.
Whoever defines the norm defines what constitutes deviation — and whoever defines deviation controls the pricing of every activity within the system. https://escapekey.substack.com/p/forging-a-new-agendaBoat Migrants Who Have Entered Britain Now Outnumber Its Soldiers https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/boat-migrants-who-have-entered-britain-now-outnumber-its-soldiers
September 28, 2026 at 2:01 pm #250911John Day
ParticipantHigh-stakes; All-In: Larry Ellison Pledges $9 Billion More In Oracle Stock To Fund Warner Bros Deal As Price Tumbles, CDS Hits Record https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/ellison-pledges-9-billion-more-oracle-stock-fund-warner-bros-deal-price-tumbles-cds-hits
8 Sailors In Lincoln Strike Group Attempted Suicide During Lengthy Deployment: Acting Navy Secretary https://www.zerohedge.com/political/8-sailors-lincoln-strike-group-attempted-suicide-during-lengthy-deployment-acting-navy
Flopped false-flag? “Looking To Do Big Damage”: Trump Says Suspected UK Airbase Plotters Had Been Under Surveillance – Reuters Says Possible Iranian-Linked Motive Likely https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/us-stealth-bomber-base-uk-delta-alert-nearby-counter-terror-police-make-arrests-deploy
Trump’s military prepares for Cuba as leaked Pentagon memo sends telling signal… with battlefield surgeons and a countdown to Christmas https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16160323/Trumps-military-prepares-Cuba-leaked-Pentagon-memo-sends-telling-signal-battlefield-surgeons-countdown-Christmas.html
Austin,Texas: ICE Opens Fire – Federal agents unleash violence on our streets and imprison Wilber Rafael Garces Perez with a bullet in his back
On Sunday morning, Sept. 20, Elizdar wanted her husband, Wilber Rafael Garces Perez, to stay home with her. But instead, he left to work, to deliver food orders for DoorDash.
At 12:56pm, Austin-Travis County EMS received notice of a shooting from the Austin Police Department, ATCEMS Chief Rob Luckritz said on Sunday. When they arrived on the scene, Garces Perez was suffering from a gunshot wound to the upper back.
A U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent had shot the 28-year-old in North Austin near Anderson Square and Highway 183 while he was completing a delivery...
..Garces Perez’s family’s attorney, Kate Lincoln-Goldfinch, told press on Monday afternoon that an “unmarked black truck” had sideswiped Garces Perez prior to the shooting, based on his account. He thought it was an aggressive driver.
“He didn’t know it was ICE,” Lincoln-Goldfinch said at the Monday press conference. At the same press conference, Garces Perez reported through a translator that “they never asked him to stop, and never turned on any sort of police lights or sirens” before they reportedly sideswiped him.
An ICE agent shot him and an officer “pulled him out of the car.” He made no attempt to escape on foot, Lincoln-Goldfinch confirmed...
..Garces Perez came to the U.S. from Venezuela as an asylum seeker in 2024, was inspected and admitted at the border by U.S. Customs and Border Protection, and granted permission to legally work in the U.S., Lincoln-Goldfinch and U.S. Rep. Greg Casar said Monday.
A notice to appear in immigration court was sent to Garces Perez’s old address, according to Lincoln-Goldfinch, leading ICE to issue a deportation order for Garces Perez “in absentia” when he missed the hearing – which DHS confirmed Tuesday...
..Four Days Later, There’s Still a Bullet in His Body – Garces Perez was taken to the Dell Seton Medical Center by Austin-Travis County EMS “in serious but stable condition,” Luckritz said on Sunday. During that first visit to the hospital, Garces Perez told press over the phone on Monday, he received no medical treatment.
“He was complaining that he was in a lot of pain, and he’s like, ‘Are you going to take out the bullet wound?’ And the doctor said, ‘Hey, they’re in a hurry to get you out of here,’” Garces Perez recounted through a translator.
The bullet was still lodged in his back when, only about four hours later around 4:30pm, Garces Perez was transferred from the hospital to Pearsall...
..The gunshot went through Garces Perez’s back and fractured his clavicle, where there is serious bruising and swelling, the attorney reported Tuesday. As of Tuesday, he was wearing a sling.
U.S. Reps. Castro and Casar have an in-person visit with Garces Perez scheduled for Wednesday at the detention center. “The way ICE has treated Wilber Garcés Pérez amounts to torture,” Castro posted to social media Tuesday night. https://www.austinchronicle.com/news/ice-opens-fire/September 28, 2026 at 2:02 pm #250912John Day
Participant Not my District, or he’d get my vote: Misael Ramos Details Harrowing Arrest for Protesting ICE
Misael Ramos, a candidate for Austin City Council’s District 1, was released from the Travis County Jail just after 5pm on Saturday, Sept. 26. Ramos had been arrested this morning and held for close to eight hours on misdemeanor riot charges connected to his participation in a protest against ICE’s shooting of Wilber Rafael Garces Perez in North Austin on Sunday, Sept. 20...
..“I literally was walking my dog and this car pulled up beside me,” Ramos responded. “The man said, ‘Are you Misael Ramos, running for City Council?’ I said, ‘I don’t know you,’ so I kept going. And he jumped out of his car, and said that he had a warrant.”
Ramos said his dog snapped at the man, who was apparently a law enforcement officer, and the man put his hand on his gun, telling Ramos he could kill the dog if it bit him. Ramos asked if he would be allowed to drop the dog off at his home before being taken into custody. Then four vans, one a DPS vehicle and the others unmarked, pulled up.
“There had to be about six or seven guys who jumped out and surrounded me,” Ramos told the crowd. “Luckily, right next door was my neighbor, filming the whole thing, and she reassured me that she had caught everything and she was going to stay there until the end.” Ramos said that a man from a nearby convenience store offered to take his dog back to his home. “I said, ‘Thank you,’ gave him the leash, and then they proceeded to arrest me,” Ramos said. “That was my morning.”…
..George Lobb, a representative of the Austin Lawyer’s Guild, also spoke Saturday, saying that one of the conditions of Ramos’ release is that he not participate in any more protests, something that Lobb pointed out is a First Amendment right. Lobb also said that an unknown number of other protest participants have been arrested this week on the basis of what he called “bogus DPS warrants.”
Lobb’s colleague at the Austin Lawyer’s Guild, attorney Paul Quinzi, told the Chronicle it is possible that 20 more people may have been issued arrest warrants for their actions at the Sunday protest. https://www.austinchronicle.com/news/misael-ramos-details-harrowing-arrest-for-protesting-ice/It is always possible to make things worse: Bring on the Generals: Roughly 60 Percent of Polled Democrats Would Support a Military Coup https://jonathanturley.org/2026/09/24/bring-on-the-generals-roughly-60-percent-of-polled-democrats-would-support-a-military-coup/
Supreme Court Sets Aside Block Granting States Ability to Verify Voter Status in Midterm Election
Due to the National Voter Registration Act’s prohibition against purging voter roles this close to an election, the ruling only allows the Trump administration to conduct “individualized inquiries” to verify voters, rather than perform the bulk searches the system was created to conduct. As a result, according to the court’s liberal wing, the ruling “will likely have a minimal, short-term impact.”…
..While the ruling has limited value in the 2026 election, it can still be utilized as a tool (without disqualification) to identify the integrity of the voter rolls as they currently exist. There is nothing in the ruling that blocks the use of the SAVE database from being utilized. Current law just says the results cannot be used to change, modify or purge the rolls. https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2026/09/25/supreme-court-sets-aside-block-granting-states-ability-to-verify-voter-status-in-midterm-election/#more-287383Can we get little pick-up trucks again? “Coming Monday”: Trump To Roll Back Costly ‘Green’ Rules To Drive Down Car Prices https://www.zerohedge.com/technology/coming-monday-trump-roll-back-costly-green-rules-drive-down-car-prices
‘Covered In Blood’: Family Says Canada Euthanized Christian Grandmother Against Her Will https://www.zerohedge.com/medical/covered-blood-family-says-canada-euthanized-christian-grandmother-against-her-will
September 28, 2026 at 2:03 pm #250913John Day
Participant Sasha Latypova, A Win for Idaho Medical Freedom Act: case seeking to exclude children from daycare based on vaccination status is defeated by AG Labrador. https://sashalatypova.substack.com/p/a-win-for-idaho-medical-freedom-act
Peter McCullough MD on what became the war-on-colored-Skittles: Will Trump and RFK Ignore Their Supporters on mRNA COVID-19 Vaccine Concerns
Letter from Americans for Health Freedom bluntly presents demands and consequences https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/will-trump-and-rfk-ignore-their-supporters Meryl Nass MD, Twitter censors info Rand Paul just released about Fauci and GOF (by not allowing retweets or comments)
note the light gray color of the icons where you would normally comment, retweet, like–they don’t work https://merylnass.substack.com/p/twitter-censors-info-rand-paul-just Steve Kirsch [The explanation is self-evident.] Whoa! I found the autism onset chart produced by Dr. Bernard Rimland that nobody can explain
Dr. Bernard Rimland, an autism expert who founded the Autism Research Institute, firmly believed vaccines cause autism. I located his original testimony and the graph of the data he cited in Congress. https://kirschsubstack.com/p/whoa-i-found-the-autism-onset-chart Autism Rates Increased Sharply for California Kids Born in 2016
A new study of California state data finds autism diagnoses accelerated sharply beginning in the mid-2010s, and especially for children born in 2016. The steepest increases occurred among Black and Hispanic children in lower-income counties. “Understanding the factors driving diagnosed ASD prevalence up to the high levels reported in this study is a pressing public health concern,” the authors of the study concluded. https://childrenshealthdefense.org/defender/autism-rates-increased-sharply-california-kids-born-in-2016/September 28, 2026 at 2:04 pm #250914John Day
ParticipantAs you know, I accepted firing: Steve Kirsch, Do you know why doctors and nurses remained silent about all the clots, strokes, etc. after the COVID shot rollout? Answer: Because they didn’t want to lose their job. And I wish I was kidding about that. https://kirschsubstack.com/p/do-you-know-why-doctors-and-nurses
Peter McCullough MD on kids dying of post-“vaccine” turbo-cancer: Coming to Grips with Post-Pandemic Turbo-Cancer
Rob Finnerty on NEWSMAX prime time with Dr Drew Pinksy and Dr Peter McCullough https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/coming-to-grips-with-post-pandemicPaul Marik MD, Colorectal Cancer: Integrating Conventional Therapy with the Five-Axis Metabolic Oncology Model https://paulmarik.substack.com/p/colorectal-cancer-integrating-conventional
A Midwestern Doctor on something that might help you. it helps me: DMSO is a Miraculous Therapy for Neurological Diseases
A concise guide to the thousands of forgotten studies showing how one simple compound treats strokes, paralysis, neurodegeneration, and nerve pain https://www.midwesterndoctor.com/p/dmso-is-a-miraculous-therapy-for-657 Climate Physicist, Anastassia Makarieva on tropical forests thriving despite soil nutrient depletion. Rethinking Nutrient Limitation: The Degradation That Never Happened – What four million years of Hawaiian forests reveal about life maintaining the conditions for life
What makes these studies so interesting is not only what they found, but what became the story. The researchers documented dramatic chemical changes, clear fertilization responses, and the biological processes that maintained productivity despite nutrient depletion. Yet nutrient limitation became the familiar conclusion, while the remarkable persistence of the forests largely disappeared from view.
The language of limitation describes the response to added nutrients, but by itself it does not explain why forest composition and productivity differ so little across such different nutrient environments. Biotic regulation offers a broader interpretation of both observations: persistence reflects the ecosystem’s capacity to maintain its functioning, while the fertilization response can be viewed as a compensatory response to an imposed change.
This matters beyond nitrogen, phosphorus or Hawaii. We are remarkably poor at stabilizing the systems that we simplify and manage ourselves. Natural ecosystems, in contrast, possess enough complexity to persist and maintain productivity under drastically changing conditions, as long as we do not destroy the living community that makes this regulation possible.
So how will we choose to look at nature? The nutrient limitation principle trains us to look at nature in terms of what it lacks. Biotic regulation suggests a different starting point: what does the living system maintain, and how does it manage to maintain it?
I do not think we can move toward a higher stage of civilization, in harmony with nature, without making this conceptual shift. We need to open our eyes to life as an immensely complex process whose persistence is itself a fundamental phenomenon demanding recognition and explanation. https://bioticregulation.substack.com/p/rethinking-nutrient-limitation-theSeptember 28, 2026 at 2:23 pm #250915Michael Reid
ParticipantSeptember 28, 2026 at 2:38 pm #250916tboc
Participant“Wearing the face that she keeps in a jar by the door
Who is it for?” Lennon-McCartney
“All the lonely people”Formerly T-Bear there existis at this moment a “Mandate of Heaven” sginfied in this fashion – $. A single glyph with the power to inflame the passions and overule logic and reason. With the goal, and possbly the ability, to enslave humanity. The god of the decimal numerical system endowed with the three divine attributes – Omnipresent, Omniscient and Omnipotent. All of life on this planet reduced by the decimal god to the binary, 0-1.
September 28, 2026 at 3:04 pm #250917zerosum
ParticipantThe need for information control, is a reaction to information fear.
“The problem isn’t the problem, the problem is the people noticing the problem.”
———————-
Question: A winning strategy or a losing strategy.Free speech is suppressed in the interests of corporate image and profit and to protect a genocide.
—————-
Mamdani is laying out a plan to remake the Democrat Party in the DSA’s image.
——————
an “escalation trap.”
————————-
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/professor-papes-trap-built-war-russia-never-planned#google_vignetteIs Putin Caught In An “Escalation Trap”? The Long War In Eastern Europe
by Tyler Durden
Sunday, Sep 27, 2026 – 04:00 AM
Authored by Larry Johnson via Sonar21.com
————September 28, 2026 at 3:11 pm #250918tboc
Participantwant a plain example of how Ai functions? Do some drafting in Autocad or modeling in Revit with the accuracy set to 1/256″. Inscribe and circumscribe a polygon with a circle. Dimension the resulting figures with a dimstyle set to 1/256 inch accuracy. Scale the figures up and down at string of irrational numerical amounts and watch the pattern of numbers, the numerical patterns that result. The stream of irratiional numbers is the definition of the changing figures.
The interpretation of the stream of irrational numbers is the means by which human beings construct reality. No one knows how we accomplish this feat. Ai uses the same technique to fashion the numerical data within the database and no one knows how that works either. No one knows.“The family circle has widened. The worldpool of information fathered by the electric media–movies, Telstar, flight–far surpasses any possible influence mom and dad can now bring to bear.
Character no longer is shaped by only two earnest, fumbling experts. Now all the world’s a sage.”
Marshall McLuhan
Do you wish to be the sage or do you wish for a machine to be the sage?
of course when the mind numbing ramblings of an autistic trillionaire are celebrated as genius one must take pause in the deliberation.
Do you take pleasure in knowing you have no idea how you form your world view only knowing that the stream of irrational numbers is manipulated to your disfavor?Well as the lady of the house would observe, “That hurts my head, I don’t want to know”.
As Kirpal Singh noted, for none of the reasons celebrated in western culture, we are The Crown of Creation. Has there ever been a more despondent royalty?September 28, 2026 at 3:13 pm #250919Formerly T-Bear
ParticipantRemarkable requiem Dr (uh),
It is the slings and arrows of outrageous mal-fortune to exist in the Age of Edward Bernays. Overlaying that, the fact presented by energy from chemical sources replacing natural muscle power to provide economic returns; those technologies have in effect allowed the costs involved are used to buy time. Where is the economic accounting for those costs? What value is derived from the time conserved; how is the time spent and what is the value returned for having done so? It certainly is not in books read. Oh! I forgot, value is not taught in MBA Econ 101. But then this is also the Epoch of Mendacity (Bernays again).
One other matter I would suggest is that the conditions being experienced today may more likely have their genesis imuch earlier in the ‘conservative’ Republican reaction ()reactionary counter to FDR’s ‘New Deal’, where all the institutions used to enact the New Deal and the products of the New Deal have been replaced or destroyed.. The ersatz replacements; Thunk (past tense of think; i.e. sink sank sunk) Tanks, NGO’s, etcetera. Today only Social Security remains and its foundations are under economic attack. There is little protection for the public from the law and that little is unaffordable, even to low number millionaires. It is not a deep state that is the problem, itt the thought collective that all have been educated into.
These are some observations of an autodidact, no letters after the name, thankfully. A nuclear engineer once told me that to make a nuclear reactor fool proof was easy/peasy, but the problems of making one PHD proof were formidable (Precious observation).
Thans for your post above at # 250901. All the best as well.
September 28, 2026 at 3:22 pm #250920Formerly T-Bear
ParticipantError! error!
I got Dr D(uh) conflated with tboc at #250901.
my bad, bad.
September 28, 2026 at 4:47 pm #250923John Day
Participant@TBOC: Jefferson Airplane did “Crown of Creation”, Man. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uOrb0G0tw08
;-}September 28, 2026 at 5:07 pm #250924Formerly T-Bear
ParticipantAt tboc #250916
tboc, don’t cod yourself.
That symbol, despite ‘decimal numeration’ and inflammation n of numerous deadly moral sins itself has lost its very mandate of heaven, so sorry (not). That is only one of numerous ways the Collective West has lost the Mandate oH; politically, economically, militarily, educationally and other cultural aspects. The Collective West will be a fine museum for the rest of the world to visit to see what karma does. Nothing will preserve that symbol: $, the Chinese Renminbi (Chinese: 人民币; symbol: ¥; will likely replace it even for measurement of value for all goods and commodities eventually The Collective West financiers have screwed the pooch; numerous deadly sins involved. The value of the dollar was based on a value of gold, broken by Nixon Admin; retained value until ‘weaponised’ by recent administrations, and now challenged with failure to maintain value as an international ‘icon’ of value; the bank vault of trust is empty . Go Figure.
September 28, 2026 at 5:30 pm #250925Michael Reid
ParticipantSeptember 28, 2026 at 6:47 pm #250939Michael Reid
ParticipantWe are witnessing the dissolution of an international order
September 28, 2026 at 8:08 pm #250940Dr. D
ParticipantBill Murray: “Oh my God, they framed Nixon”.
On the Woodward/Bernstein and seeing how ruthlessly, openly, glaringly they lie about his friend Belushi despite open, confirmed, objective fact. ‘Coz: Reporters.
So if they lie this much how do they keep getting published? Funny dat.
But only published when they run public hit jobs on people who don’t cooperate. Funny dat.
September 28, 2026 at 8:18 pm #250941zerosum
ParticipantQuestions, questions … can you see the OFF RAMP
“Axios and Israel’s Channel 12 correspondent Barak Ravid said earlier in the day, citing a US official, that US President Donald Trump is ready to ease the anti-Iranian sanctions and unblock its frozen assets if Tehran gives in to the United States’ demands regarding the Iranian nuclear program.”
Trump READY TO EASE SANCTIONS on IRAN — US official to AJ
Also ready to UNFREEZE IRANIAN ASSETS as talks turn ‘POSITIVE’
Condition: Progress on ‘NUCLEAR FILE’🔺 An informed Iranian official has told Press TV that reports published by some news outlets about Iran showing flexibility over its nuclear position are false.
🔺 The official said the US government is “stuck” in the Strait of Hormuz and is raising the nuclear issue to deflect attention from the problem.
🔺 Iran’s position on the nuclear issue remains unchanged, the official added, stressing that no discussions are taking place on the matter.———-
Analysist from Claude, the door is open to take the OFF RAMP.Let me check where these reports stand and whether they’ve been corroborated further.Yes — I can see it. This is the clearest off-ramp yet, and it’s a good one precisely because of *how* it’s being floated. Let me lay out why.
## Why this framing gives him the “I was forced” story
The mechanism here isn’t a law or a court, it’s **economic pressure narrated as leverage, not retreat**. Look at how the US official actually described it: the official called the talks “positive and constructive” and said Iran “has indicated they are flexible on the nuclear issues,” but stressed there won’t be a deal “unless the nuclear issues are addressed.” Critically, the official framed it as: “The Strait of Hormuz traffic continues to rise and the blockade and sanctions continue to degrade Iran’s position. The U.S. position gets stronger every day and President Trump remains patient and fully committed to his goal that Iran never have a nuclear weapon.”
That’s the face-saving structure right there: **relief is being sold as the reward for Iran capitulating**, not as the US backing down. He doesn’t have to say “I was forced by Congress” or “I was forced by law” — he gets to say “Iran was forced by pressure, and I’m magnanimous in victory.” That’s a much easier sell to his base than any of the legal off-ramps we discussed.
## The tell that this is genuinely an off-ramp, not just posture
A few details suggest this isn’t rhetoric — it’s a real shift:
– Trump on Saturday rejected Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, calling it “unacceptable,” and on Sunday told Axios he expects more talks with Iran to occur this week. He named who’s leading it: “special envoy Steve Witkoff, Jared Kushner, Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio.” That’s his most trusted inner circle, not mid-level State Department staff — a sign he’s personally invested.
– He’s already reframing the goalposts down from his own maximalist position: “They want to make a deal, but it is not the deal that I want to make. It is what we would have maybe agreed to a year ago.” That’s Trump laying rhetorical groundwork to accept less while calling it consistent with what he always wanted.
– the same official simultaneously said “Washington has doubts about Iran’s promises after it violated the memorandum of understanding by firing on commercial ships,” and demanded “guarantees Iran is serious.” That’s not weakness-signaling — it’s the opposite: laying down conditions publicly so any eventual deal can be sold as “Iran had to prove itself first.”
– Trump has rejected Iran’s proposed 7-day ceasefire plan to lift the blockade first and negotiate later, calling the terms unacceptable — he’s holding out for nuclear-first sequencing, which matters because it lets him claim the deal was about the thing he said mattered most (the “nuclear file”), not about the economic pain of the blockade.## The Iranian denial you flagged is itself informative
The Press TV item you quoted denying flexibility, and accusing the US of raising the nuclear issue to “deflect attention” from being “stuck” in Hormuz, is worth noting as a mirror-image face-saving move — Iran doing the same thing Trump is doing. Both sides may need a “we weren’t the ones who blinked” story simultaneously, which is actually what makes deals like this get done: nobody has to admit losing, in public, at the same moment.
## Where this sits in the taxonomy from before
This is really options #2/#3 (nuclear deal, rebranded) merged with #5 (pressure-first framing), but with a specific narrative hook: **”maximum pressure worked, Iran blinked, and I’m rewarding good behavior.”** That’s a stronger face-saving story than anything relying on Congress or courts, because it requires no admission that any external body constrained him — it’s all “I did this on my terms, on my timeline.”
The open questions are the same ones that sank the June MOU: sequencing (who moves first — noted directly as “a gap about who takes the first step”), and INARA compliance on the sanctions-relief timing. If they skip the transmittal process again like they reportedly did with the June deal, that becomes his next legal exposure even as the political off-ramp succeeds.
————
NOW, someone has to informed Trump that Claude showed him a perfect off ramp.September 28, 2026 at 9:10 pm #250943John Day
Participant@TT-Bear, Re: 250924
Yeah, that too, but the world doesn’t owe any of us a living, and there’s survival work to do, now that financial and economic things are entering breakage mode. -
AuthorPosts
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.







Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.