Oct 152026
 
 October 15, 2026  Posted by at 8:57 am Finance Tagged with: , , , , ,  Add comments


Walter Langley Never morning wore to evening but some heart did break 1894


• “I Come From Your Future”: A Frenchman’s Warning To All US Democrat Voters (ZH)
• Zelensky Thinks He Can Bully Trump Like He Does EU Leaders (Romanenko)
• Zelensky Prolongs Fighting To Avoid Answering For Corruption – Polish MEP (RT)
• The Warsaw Security Forum Is Dangerously Deluded (RT)
• Nord Stream Bomber Says Was Operating on Instructions from Ukraine (CTH)
• Kremlin Comments On Ukraine’s Restricted Access To Starlink (TASS)
• Loud Rhetoric and Quiet Actions (Rabbi Michael Barclay)
• Democrats Running for President in 2028 (Moran)
• Treasury Hits Bank of America with $1.2 Billion Fine for Money Laundering (CTH)
• Major Banks Discriminated Against Conservatives (Matt Margolis)
• Racism in the False History of The NY Times 1619 Project (Paul Craig Roberts)
• Supreme Court Challenge to Sharing of Viewing Records on Free Sites (Turley)

 

 

 

 


“It’s too late for us, but you still have a chance.”

“Trust me. You don’t want to be France.”

• “I Come From Your Future”: A Frenchman’s Warning To All US Democrat Voters (ZH)

France’s welfare-state promises are colliding with a bill that keeps getting bigger. Far-left radicals rioting, fiscal crisis, and political uncertainty are exposing the upper limits of a system built on handouts, heavy taxation, uncontrolled borrowing, and mass migration.


For American voters heading into the midterms in the next several weeks, the warning from France is worth considering as far-left Democratic Socialist of America gains power within the Democratic Party: Promises of more and more and more government handouts come with consequences, just as France is finding out the hard way today. nAs President Emmanuel Macron ends his term in crisis, right-wing Marine Le Pen is positioning herself as the savior candidate as France’s finances rapidly deteriorate.

Her shadow budget proposes shrinking the deficit to 3.7% of economic output next year, well below the government’s 5% target, before bringing it to 2.2% by 2032. Savings would come largely from spending cuts, lower transfers to the EU and reduced migrant spending.

The proposals come as high uncertainty clouds the political landscape and deteriorating public finances drive up France’s borrowing costs. Le Pen has warned that maintaining the current spending trajectory risks a default crisis.


The size of the welfare state helps put things into proportion. Public spending has topped 57.3% of France’s economic output in 2025, the second-highest share in the European Union. Public debt is projected to reach 120% of GDP in 2027, behind only Greece and Italy among EU members.

Higher borrowing costs make funding the welfare increasingly impossible. Spending more on debt service leaves the government less flexibility to fund services, absorb economic shocks, or deliver the next round of handout promises as services continue to degrade.

The choices of what the government has proposed become increasingly uncomfortable: higher taxes, spending cuts, or still more borrowing That is the backdrop to a warning described by French technology entrepreneur Brivael Le Pogam, co-founder of AI video startup Argil, aimed at Americans considering voting Democrat.

“I come from your future,” he wrote on X. In the warning letter to America, he said France already embraced many of the policies American progressives promote, only to discover that more and more government handouts don’t translate into the socialist utopia politicians pitched; in fact, quite the opposite. “The promise was protection. The result is stagnation,” Le Pogam wrote.

Le Pogam wrote: “I’m French. I want to talk to Americans who are about to vote Democrat. Not to insult you. To warn you. “I come from your future. In France we did everything your progressive politicians promise. Free healthcare, free college, generous welfare, strong unions, heavy regulation, high taxes on the rich, a state that takes care of everything. Public spending close to 57% of GDP, one of the highest on the planet. On paper, it’s the dream.

Here’s what it looks like from the inside. France hasn’t passed a balanced budget since 1974. Our debt is above 3,300 billion euros. Interest on that debt is becoming one of the biggest items in the national budget. Our hospitals are collapsing despite record funding. Our schools rank lower every year. Young people with degrees can’t afford an apartment in the city they were born in. Our best engineers leave for London, Zurich and San Francisco. And the rich you wanted to tax? They left too, and took the jobs with them.

The promise was protection. The result is stagnation. The worst part is that nobody in France voted for decline. Every single step sounded generous, compassionate, reasonable. One more program. One more regulation. One more tax to fund it. Each step alone makes sense. Fifty years of them, and you wake up in a country that can no longer build a nuclear plant on time or keep its streets safe.

I love America because it’s the one place on earth where people still believe they can build something from nothing. I came to Silicon Valley as a self-taught kid and it changed my life. That spirit is the most precious thing your country has. Before you vote, ask yourself one question: is the program you’re voting for making America more like America, or more like France?

Trust me. You don’t want to be France.


Le Pogam wrote in a second warning: “My post about France went viral. Thousands of likes. Many Americans told me: “Democrats aren’t socialists. America will never be France.” I want to answer that seriously, step by step. Start with a simple observation. Look at what has gotten cheaper in America over the last 25 years: TVs, phones, software, clothes, toys. Now look at what has exploded: college tuition, healthcare, childcare, housing.

What separates the two lists? The first lives in competitive markets. The second is exactly where government is most involved: subsidies, mandates, licensing, zoning, regulation. College. Washington lends students almost unlimited money. Universities know the money will always come, so they raise tuition and hire more administrators. The student pays the bill for twenty years. More government money, higher prices.

Housing. Why can’t a nurse buy a home in the city where she works? Not because of capitalism. Because of zoning laws, permits, environmental reviews, years of procedure to build a single building. The most expensive places to live in America are the places where it’s hardest to build. When building is nearly illegal, prices explode.

Healthcare. The patient almost never sees the price. A third party pays, regulations limit who can compete, and costs climb year after year with no one able to say no.

So here is the trap. The problems you suffer from are not the failure of free markets. They are the places where the market has already been replaced by the state. And the solution you’re being offered is more of the same. That’s the Trojan horse. It always works the same way. A real problem. A generous-sounding promise. A program that makes things worse. Then the failure of that program becomes the argument for the next one.

People who lived under communism in Poland learned to recognize the lie and the mask the lie wears. The lie never presents itself as a lie. It presents itself as compassion. In France we are at the end of that road. Debt we can never repay. Young people who can’t afford a home. Our best people leaving. And every few years our cities burn. Nobody voted for this. They voted for one more generous promise, fifty years in a row.

If you’re a Republican, share this with the Democrat in your life. Not to win an argument. To start a conversation. If you’re a Democrat, I’m not asking you to switch teams. I’m asking you to look at the pattern. Wherever the state took over, life became unaffordable. Don’t fix the failures of government with more government.

Stay American. Ask for less state, not more.”


The worst part is that no sound person voted for this Western decline.

Read more …

“Kiev’s public shaming of allies may no longer pay off once Washington starts treating its leader, not Moscow, as the obstacle ..”

• Zelensky Thinks He Can Bully Trump Like He Does EU Leaders (Romanenko)

Vladimir Zelensky has a pattern in dealing with Western partners who disappoint him: raise the disagreement in public, question the partner’s judgment and explain why the decision benefits Russia and Vladimir Putin.


Former German Chancellor Olaf Scholz heard variations of that argument for years, and now US President Donald Trump is hearing them again. The question is whether Zelensky can keep increasing the political cost of refusing Kiev without increasing the cost to Ukraine.

On October 9, Zelensky described Washington’s decision to ease restrictions on Russian diesel as a “weak decision by strong partners.” The announcement came while Ukrainian officials were discussing an end to the Russia-Ukraine conflict with their American counterparts in Miami. Zelensky argued that the arrangement would give Moscow additional resources to continue fighting. His criticism challenged the judgment of the government on which he still depends.

Kiev has an obvious interest in opposing measures that improve Russia’s economic position. But when a partner makes a decision Zelensky doesn’t like, he repeatedly turns a policy disagreement into a public test of that partner’s resolve and overall capabilities as a politician. German leaders have been the target of this manipulation for years now.

In March 2022, addressing the Bundestag, Zelensky used the country’s own historical memory to indict its policy toward Russia. Invoking Ronald Reagan’s famous appeal in Berlin, he called on Scholz to tear down the new wall he saw dividing Europe – that is, to cut off economic ties with Russia, which had benefitted Germany for decades before.

By June, the demand was more explicit. In an interview with ZDF, Zelensky said Scholz and his government had to decide where they stood. Berlin, he argued, could not balance support for Ukraine against its relationship with Russia. He also criticized Germany’s delay in supplying weapons.

Germany’s government had to consider its own security, resources and voters. Zelensky’s tirades made that look like a choice between the ‘right’ and the ‘wrong’ side.

In November 2024, with Nord Stream already sabotaged and German industry in decline for a second consecutive year, even just talking to Putin earned Scholz another reprimand from Zelensky. The Russian and German leaders held a phone conversation, which Zelensky promptly called a “Pandora’s box,” because apparently it would help Russia escape international ‘isolation.’ That’s despite the fact that Scholz’s message for Putin was a demand for the withdrawal of Russian troops and a reaffirmation of German support for Ukraine. You can denounce Moscow and supply arms to Kiev, but even the most rudimentary attempt at keeping diplomatic channels open is a no-no.

The same approach extended beyond Berlin. In May 2024, Zelensky warned that Putin would personally applaud Joe Biden’s absence from a planned ‘peace summit’ in Switzerland. Biden’s attendance was framed as a test with an audience in the Kremlin.

Poland received a similar message during a grain dispute in September 2023. Speaking at the UN, Zelensky accused some European partners of performing solidarity in a “political theater” that helped Moscow. He named no country, but Warsaw understood the implication, summoned Ukraine’s ambassador and protested. Polish Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki subsequently told him never to insult Poles again.

With Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, Zelensky made it personal. In January 2025, amid a confrontation over Russian gas transit, he mocked Fico’s reported vacation in Vietnam and accused him of pursuing shadowy arrangements with Moscow.

Zelensky seems to assume that Ukraine’s supposed cause of being a barrier to Putin’s phantom Europe invasion plans gives him the authority to judge how other governments exercise their responsibilities. A leader who refuses Kiev’s nagging demands must then answer accusations of weakness, misplaced priorities or assistance to Russia. Trump had already encountered this treatment even before returning to office in 2025.

In an interview published in September 2024, Zelensky questioned whether Trump understood how to end the conflict. He also described his running mate JD Vance as too radical and urged him to study the history of the Second World War. These were public judgments about the competence of men who might soon determine American policy.

In February 2025, responding to Trump’s statements about the conflict and his approval rating, Zelensky claimed the American president lived in a space of disinformation. Later that month, the Oval Office meeting turned into an argument in front of the cameras. Zelensky challenged Vance’s understanding of Ukraine and warned that Americans would eventually feel the consequences of the war despite their distance from it. Trump angrily rejected the suggestion that his guest could dictate what Americans would feel.

One would think Zelensky would take the hint: unlike the meek Europeans, the American president has the willpower to resist political blackmail, and is not liable to take personal insults and turn the other cheek. One would also think that with crucial wartime assets like weapon supplies and intelligence sharing in the balance, Zelensky would cool off and rethink his negotiation tactics. One would be wrong.

After Zelensky criticized the diesel arrangement, Trump suggested that Ukraine get a new leader capable of making a deal. That statement is not a formal policy to remove him, but it does raise the question whether Zelensky himself is the obstacle that prevents a settlement.

Zelensky may believe that confrontation will rally European support, improve his own optics at home or force Washington to offer better terms. Public pressure could be a viable last resort for a leader out of option, allowing him to appeal over the heads of foreign governments to their voters, lawmakers and media.

But that approach depends on those governments accepting the terms of the argument. They must feel that refusing Kiev carries a greater political cost than accommodating it. And some leaders, as misguided as that seems, may truly believe that – or may have painted themselves into a corner by submitting to Zelensky’s earlier bullying, sacrificing their own economies and losing their voters’ trust.

Trump is not one of those leaders. Instead of accepting Zelensky’s accusation of weakness, he has accused the Ukrainian leader of obstructing an agreement. It’s unclear if Zelensky understands that the potential consequences of their quarrel are much worse for Ukraine than for the US.

For Trump, lowering American fuel costs and pursuing an agreement with Moscow are stated objectives. Zelensky cannot assume that he can bully those objectives away. What he might achieve instead is an end to crucial lifelines propping up his crumbling military – like intelligence sharing.

Zelensky has repeatedly tried to make Western leaders pay a political price for saying no to Kiev. Except some of those leaders may have the backbone to turn that price right back on him.

Read more …

“Ending the conflict would force the Ukrainian leader to hold elections that he fears losing, Ewa Zajaczkowska-Hernik believes ..”

• Zelensky Prolongs Fighting To Avoid Answering For Corruption – Polish MEP (RT)

Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky is deliberately prolonging the conflict with Russia to avoid being held accountable for his policies and rampant corruption within his inner circle, Polish MEP Ewa Zajaczkowska-Hernik has said.


Zajaczkowska-Hernik’s remarks came after Zelensky demanded a 60-day “total truce” to prepare for a presidential election, which he has repeatedly postponed since his term expired in spring 2024, citing martial law. Moscow dismissed the request as a pretext to buy time to rearm Ukrainian forces and prolong the conflict.

“Vladimir Zelensky’s term in office expired long ago, yet by dragging out the war, he manages to evade accountability, specifically for corruption,” Zajaczkowska-Hernik told Poland’s Zet Radio on Monday.

According to Zajaczkowska-Hernik, the Ukrainian leader had many opportunities to make peace but “rejected [them] every time precisely to avoid facing the consequences, since he knew that [peace] would necessitate holding elections, which Vladimir Zelensky might lose.”

Zelensky’s popularity at home is “not so great,” the MEP argued, attributing it not only to the prolonged fighting but also to “massive corruption” within his inner circle. “The Ukrainians see it,” Zajaczkowska-Hernik said.

Ukraine has been rocked by a series of high-profile corruption scandals since last year, with the largest centering on a $100 million kickback scheme at state nuclear operator Energoatom reportedly led by Timur Mindich, a former business partner of Zelensky. Other recent graft probes have targeted former Ukrainian ministers, prosecutors, diplomats, and senior officials.

Zajaczkowska-Hernik has been a vocal critic of the Ukrainian government, particularly Kiev’s glorification of Nazi collaborators. In July, she tore up a flag of the Ukrainian Insurgent Army (UPA) during a debate on Kiev’s bid to join the EU. UPA fighters massacred up to 100,000 ethnic Poles in one of World War II’s worst atrocities. The move landed the MEP on Ukraine’s notorious Mirotvorets ‘kill list’.

Zajaczkowska-Hernik’s remarks on Monday came just days after US President Donald Trump called for Zelensky to be replaced, accusing him of creating “problems for the world” by continuing to target Russian oil refineries and ignoring Washington’s objections. Trump blamed the strikes for contributing to rising global fuel prices and declared that it was “time for Ukraine to get a new president.”

Zelensky hit back by telling ABC that, if Trump “really wants some changes,” he should “tell [Russian President Vladimir] Putin, give us two months, 60 days off.”

Moscow, however, said it was ready to suspend strikes on Ukraine only on the election day itself, despite Kiev having launched an “unprecedented” drone attack on Moscow during Russia’s parliamentary elections last month. Russian officials also said Ukrainian strikes had damaged or destroyed 74 buildings housing election commissions.

Zelensky’s goal is “very simple: to bargain for time in order to secure a respite,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Monday. During that period, Europe would be able to supply him “with new weapons to continue the terrorist war against the Russian people.”

Read more …

“Poland’s most bellicose security conference is openly flirting with the idea of dismembering Russia..”

• The Warsaw Security Forum Is Dangerously Deluded (RT)

The Warsaw Security Forum has long been a soapbox for Eastern Europe’s most belligerent elites to air their fantasies of inflicting a military defeat upon Russia. This year, with nuclear weapons on the table, the forum has taken on a dangerous new dimension.


Running from Monday to Tuesday in the Polish capital, this year’s WSF takes place at a critical juncture for Europe. With Vladimir Zelensky’s Ukraine taking nightly punishment from Russian missiles and drones, his British and EU backers have spent months ramping up their war rhetoric, in a seemingly coordinated attempt to telegraph their intent to join the conflict.

The UK”s Labour and Conservative parties have spoken of the need to prepare for a high-casualty war on the continent; Germany’s foreign intelligence chief has warned that the country ” is in danger” of becoming embroiled in a violent conflict with Russia; France has fired a nuclear-capable ballistic missile in a demonstration that President Emmanuel Macron described as an explicit “message” to Moscow. Meanwhile, politicians and military brass in multiple countries have accused Russia of waging an invisible – and unprovable – “hybrid war” against the West.

Amid this gyre of escalation, the WSF should serve as a stage for Eastern Europe’s political leaders and military strategists to share their rational assessments of the situation. However, realpolitik is not on the agenda in Warsaw. Several weeks before the forum kicked off on Monday, the WSF’s annual report offered a preview of what was in store. The 87-page report focuses almost entirely on the Russia/Ukraine conflict, and argues that Poland plus the so-called Nordic-Baltic Eight should set the terms for an eventual peace between Moscow and Kiev.


Their demands read like terms of surrender. Russia, they argue, should be subjected to permanent sanctions; dialogue with Russia may not be allowed to “evolve into political normalization;” Russia must be forced to pay reparations to Ukraine; Russian assets must be seized to finance Ukraine’s bid for EU membership; and Ukraine must be offered NATO and EU membership as a prerequisite to a peace deal.

That these demands are identical to Kiev’s own maximalist goals is not a coincidence. The report was authored by WSF Chair Katarzyna Pisarska, founder of the International Center for Ukrainian Victory (ICUV). The ICUV, which advocates for the breakup and Balkanization of Russia and the imposition of a “war tax” on European citizens, is funded by the EU, George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, and – prior to the election of US President Donald Trump – by the US State Department and USAID.


Among the report’s contributors are anti-Russia hardliners like former Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis, former Estonian President Toomas Hendrik Ilves, and Estonian Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna. The latter claimed last week that NATO possesses the ability to close the Baltic Sea “within hours,” strangling Russia’s economic “lifeline” and creating an “existential” crisis for the country.

The Kaliningrad gambit
The report goes far beyond Ukraine’s immediate wartime demands. NATO, it recommends, should treat sustained “hybrid attacks” as “an Article 5 contingency,” even “if no single incident” justifies activating the bloc’s common-defense clause. After arguing that invisible – and often nonexistent – attacks should constitute grounds for war between nuclear powers, the report then makes its single most escalatory statement:

Any peace deal, it argues, should include “the demilitarization of Kaliningrad,” a Russian exclave that the report describes as “a hostage within range” of European missiles. NATO forces have held three separate military exercises on the borders of Kaliningrad this year. Last month, Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski suggested that NATO “exercise so aggressively” on the borders of the exclave, to keep Moscow “uncertain of what we will do.”

The consequences of miscalculation or overreach by the West are huge. In a statement released by three of its embassies this month, Moscow’s Foreign Ministry warned that Russia is “ready to use all its arsenal, including nuclear weapons, to defend its territory if NATO countries try to isolate Kaliningrad.”

Read more …

No, Sundance this is a useless exercise if you don’t address Seymour Hersh. There’s plenty people who like just that on this topic: useless banter.

• Nord Stream Bomber Says Was Operating on Instructions from Ukraine (CTH)

Well, well well… Interesting development. The conspiracy theorists were correct all along. Four years after the attacks on the Nord Stream pipelines in the Baltic Sea, one of the alleged perpetrators has to answer in court for the first time. The trial of Serhiy Kuznetsov began today in Hamburg, Germany. During opening arguments, lawyers representing Kuznetsov informed the judge that he was acting on instructions given to him by the government of Ukraine when he led a team to detonate explosives on the Nord Stream pipeline.


GERMANY – According to the indictment, Serhiy K., together with other military personnel and on behalf of Ukrainian state agencies, is said to have developed the plan to destroy the natural gas pipelines running from Russia through the Baltic Sea to Lubmin in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The aim was to prevent Russia from using revenues from the gas trade to finance the war of aggression.

Under the leadership of the accused, a commando consisting of several professional divers, a skipper and an explosives expert is said to have brought large quantities of high-performance military explosives into the waters off the Danish island of Bornholm on a sailing yacht chartered in Rostock. There, explosive devices equipped with time fuses were then attached to the gas pipelines running along the seabed.

When they were ignited on September 26, 2022, the two gas pipelines Nord Stream 1 and 2 were severely damaged. There were a total of four leaks on three of the four lines. Serhiy K. was arrested at the end of August 2025 on the basis of a European arrest warrant on the Italian Adriatic coast while on vacation with his family and transferred to Germany three months later. Since then, he has been in custody. (read more – translated)

Read more …

Zelensky was complaining about the speed of the access. “Dmitry Peskov said the Kremlin had seen media reports about restrictions on the Ukrainian army’s access to the Starlink satellite internet service but had no further information..”

“In general, of course, it would be better if brilliant technologies such as Starlink were not used for military purposes at all.”

• Kremlin Comments On Ukraine’s Restricted Access To Starlink (TASS)


Russian Presidential Spokesman Dmitry Peskov

Reports about restrictions on Ukraine’s access to Starlink, the settlement process and the potential weaponization of artificial intelligence were among the main topics of the October 14 briefing by Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov. TASS has compiled the Kremlin spokesman’s key statements.


On Ukrainian settlement
– Moscow has taken note of the risk that Europe could sabotage agreements on resolving the Ukraine conflict: “The risk of sabotage by European countries does exist.”

– Unlike European countries, the US is working to steer the Ukrainian crisis toward a peaceful settlement: “The US, specifically its negotiators and President [Donald] Trump, is making efforts to help steer the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis toward peace.”

– European countries, unlike the United States, which is seeking a peaceful solution, are doing everything they can to prolong the hostilities in Ukraine: “Europeans are taking a different approach: they are doing everything they can to ensure that this war continues.”

– There is currently a lot of “media hype” around proposals for a settlement in Ukraine, and much of this hype does not correspond to reality: “There’s a lot of media hype around all of this right now, and much of it doesn’t correspond to reality; it’s pure fiction.”

– Work on the possibility of an “energy ceasefire” is continuing.

– No international meetings on the Ukraine issue have been agreed upon at present: “There are no agreed-upon meetings on the agenda.”

– Efforts to resolve the Ukraine conflict continue discreetly and will remain so: “This work is ongoing discreetly and it will continue discreetly.”

On restrictions on Ukrainian army’s access to Starlink
– The Kremlin has seen media reports about restrictions on the Ukrainian army’s access to the Starlink satellite internet service but has no further information: “No, we know nothing beyond the media reports that we have read about it.”

– Brilliant technologies such as Starlink would be better off not being used for military purposes at all: “In general, of course, it would be better if brilliant technologies such as Starlink were not used for military purposes at all.”

– It is too early to conclude that Washington has changed its approach to military support for Kiev: “It is too early to draw any systemic conclusions. We proceed from the information available from the statements that are being made.”

– “We have seen numerous media reports on the matter. On the one hand, there are statements that assistance continues to be provided, while on the other, there are reports of various technical restrictions and disruptions in information supplies to Ukraine. We have been carefully recording it all.”

On Russian assets
– Russia sees difficulties in recovering assets frozen by the European Union but will fight to get them back: “In any case, the Russian side will make every possible effort on all fronts, including legal work, court proceedings and litigation, to fight for the return of its stolen assets.”

On detention of Japanese journalist in Russia
– The detention of a Japanese journalist on Sakhalin is evidence that Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) is carrying out its duties to identify and detain spies: “The FSB has made relevant statements [on this matter]. The Federal Security Service is carrying out its duties: if there are spies, they are caught.”

On AI
– Some countries are weaponizing artificial intelligence: “Attempts by a number of countries to turn these new technologies into weapons, the so-called weaponization of artificial intelligence, pose threats to entire sectors of any country’s economy, and, of course, we are no exception.”

– The technology itself remains necessary, as it brings many benefits: “Artificial intelligence technologies bring many benefits, improve efficiency and do a lot of good.”

– Russia must be prepared for its use as a weapon: “We must be prepared for these challenges.”

Read more …

“Do we need to make this world so upside down that God destroys it as he did with the flood, God forbid?”:

• Loud Rhetoric and Quiet Actions (Rabbi Michael Barclay)

The British government made an official announcement, and it will very possibly be used as a reason to initiate attacks on Iran before the midterms.


While we were remembering Columbus Day here in America, UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the plot to attack the Fairford Air Force Base was “highly likely” coordinated in Iran and almost certainly directed by the Revolutionary Guards. “We will not tolerate these threats on our soil,” he stated. Iran’s Foreign Ministry quickly condemned Britain and managed to simultaneously throw some insults at the Western nation. “Tehran rejects the baseless accusations directed at it. Britain’s attempts to invent security claims against other countries are no secret to anyone.”

The reason this is all significant is that it opens up other options for Trump, as opposed to waiting until the midterms. Because the intelligence is not from Israel but from the UK; and because it was a direct attack on the U.S., Trump could use it to support attacking Iran at any moment. When you add that Emirati air carrier Etihad and Qatar Airways are both postponing their flights to and from Saudi Arabia; that there is an assemblage of U.S. Naval power that is overwhelming in the region; and that the Israelis are clear about what must ultimately be done, we must all be prepared for significant conflict in the near future.

And we must prepare for the conflicts that are happening politically right now in Israel and in the United States with upcoming elections. In both cases, we can expect more controversy and more attacks. Which is why it is extra important to remember this week’s Torah reading of the week: Noach. Do we need to make this world so upside down that God destroys it as he did with the flood, God forbid? Or can each of us personally make the world a better place by being honest, self-aware, and having the courage to see what needs to be seen, do what needs to be done, and “seek justice and pursue it”?

May we grow and learn through conflict in such a way that it brings a deep peace in our lives and in the world.

Chazak u’Baruch

Rabbi Michael Barclay

October 13, 2026

2nd of Cheshvan, 5787

The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday morning that the Houthis have quietly been developing even more ballistic missiles, but that these are mid-range missiles that could cover 2,000 kilometers. At that range, the Houthis could strike Israel directly, God forbid. They have apparently been developing them with components from China and with Iranian assistance. If this is accurate, and it is based on a report by the Conflict Armament Research organization, it radically increases the dangers to Israel by an institutionalized terrorist organization.

Although this has been happening relatively quietly, the Houthi attacks on the Saudis have been loud and consistent. So much so that President Donald Trump addressed the Houthi issue in a Tuesday morning interview. “The Houthis are behaving very badly. I thought they learned their lesson a year ago when we bombed them hard and at their request we stopped.” He continued, saying that they are “deliberately trying to cause oil prices to rise, probably before the U.S. elections – not nice. I will be there after the election, and I will never forget!”

Trump was also loud on Tuesday about some of his other upcoming intentions in the region as well. During a campaign rally in Alaska, he said, “we will hit Iran hard,” and then added: “Wait and see what we do with Iran, because we’re fed up.” Almost immediately after his statement, “White House officials” told Al Jazeera that “reports of a possible American strike against Iran before the midterm elections are not true.”

There is no way to know what Trump’s actual plan is or its timing. It is public knowledge that Vice President JD Vance does not want to attack Iran under any circumstances and that he believes that we should never have attacked it in the first place. It is also common knowledge that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth wants us to attack Iran as soon as possible and believes that we should have truly finished the job over a year ago. Both men are advisors to Trump, and the president is a great CEO who listens to advisors and ultimately makes his own decision.

Let us all pray that the Holy One inspires President Trump to make the right decision at the right time for the benefit of America, of Israel, and of all of Western Civilization.

Chazak u’Baruch

Rabbi Michael Barclay

October 14, 2026

3rd of Cheshvan, 5787

Read more …

Michigan.

• Democrats Running for President in 2028 (Moran)

Which Democrat will win the presidential nomination in 2028? According to Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, it doesn’t matter. At a private fundraiser last week for Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed, AOC reached a startling conclusion. “If Abdul can win in Michigan, anybody can win anywhere,” she said. “We are going to break the electoral map everywhere, everywhere, because that is what it is going to take to guarantee health care to every American.”


In fact, while Republicans were sleeping, a seismic shift in attitude toward government-run healthcare took place. According to a KFF Health Tracking Poll, 66% of U.S. adults favor a national health plan (“Medicare-for-all”) where all Americans get insurance from a single government plan. This is the highest level of support KFF has recorded in a decade.

That poll may be an outlier. An Axios/Ipsos survey reported that 43% of Americans support “Medicare for all,” noting that supporters outnumbered opponents by nearly 2-to-1, while a bipartisan majority agreed the federal government should spend more tax dollars to lower healthcare costs. Medicare for all is wildly popular with Democrats, as 84% of self-identified Dems support it.

That’s not surprising. What’s astonishing is that 72% of political independents support it as well, and 34% of Republicans. Overall, healthcare is considered the third most important issue for voters, behind “the future of democracy” and “the economy/affordability.” So if El-Sayed’s support for Medicare for All isn’t damaging his campaign and may be helping it, where can Republicans hit him to damage him the most?

“You don’t have to be a socialist to believe that you should be taxing billionaires [on] their wealth,” El-Sayed told the New York Times in August. “In fact, if you are a capitalist, you should believe in that. So, I’m a capitalist who just knows about capitalism. I have a bad habit of reading; I’m so sorry.”

We all know El-Sayed isn’t a capitalist. But if he can run a winning campaign on his claim to be a capitalist, other DSA candidates could easily take that approach and skate to victory in 2028. Even Chris Cillizza knows that El-Sayed supports many planks in the Democratic Socialists of America platform. He also wonders if that support for socialist ideas will truly hurt him in 2026.

That said, El-Sayed supports a number of key principles and policies at the heart of the DSA movement — from Medicare for All to a strong innate suspicion about the motivations of very wealthy individuals and large corporations. It’s why he has been endorsed by the superstars of the Democratic Socialism movement — from AOC to Bernie Sanders.

It’s also why what happens to El-Sayed on November 3 matters SO much for what direction the Democratic party takes as it heads into 2028. The knock on Democratic Socialists from the non-DSA wing of the party boils down to this: A candidate with DSA views cannot win a general election in anything close to a swing state.

If El-Sayed “beats former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers in 27 days — as polls suggest he is more likely than not to do — you can be damn sure that El-Sayed and AOC will cite that victory as proof positive that the notion of the DSA as a fringe movement that can’t work nationwide is fully debunked,” surmises Cillizza. Like all good little revolutionaries, DSA believes they’re in a “generational fight.”

“We are in a long-term — I’m being very open right now, right? — about our generational project that we have ahead of us,” AOC said at that fundraiser. “Generational. We are here to break the map.”mAt same event, El-Sayed added his voice to the “generational project.”

“What does it say about what America really wants, needs, and deserves if our state bucks all of the pundits and all of the pontificators who think that this is not possible?” he said. “What does it tell them? It tells them just how big America is and exactly what we want.” Later, he said that “this one is for all the marbles” and referred to “the ripple effect that this race will have.”

“Now, do I think an El-Sayed win in Michigan would be indisputable proof that Americans, writ large, are ready to elect a very liberal/DSA-aligned candidate president in 2028?” Cillizza asks. “I do not!” he adds. But I also know how politics works. And the reality is this: If El-Sayed wins, AOC immediately becomes a more viable and serious contender for the Democratic nomination in the eyes of the political class.

Scoff if you like! But ask yourself this: If El-Sayed loses, do you have ANY doubt that it will be used by the governing wing of the Democratic party as evidence that the DSA-aligned candidates can’t win anywhere the party will need to in order to reclaim the White House in 2028? Candidly, I don’t think that sentiment is necessarily true either! El-Sayed losing does not convince me AOC isn’t a serious 2028 candidate if she runs!

But, politics is politics. And perception — and narratives — matter a LOT. And the narrative at stake in 27 days in Michigan is whether or not a Midwest swing state will elect someone in El-Sayed who has very, very liberal views. Establishment Democrats (who have already adopted several DSA planks in their own campaign platforms) would dearly love to pretend that the DSA is an anomaly and that it will go away after it’s trounced in 2026 or 2028.

That’s not going to happen. The DSA has money; it has the support of a sizable number of younger voters as well as ancient hippies and the woke Hollywood crowd. The DSA is not a majority. But it can throw a monkey wrench into both parties’ plans.

Read more …

“.. it processes hundreds of trillions of dollars in transactions across the globe. It has a high, and increasing, risk profile for money laundering, terrorist financing and other illicit activities.”

• Treasury Hits Bank of America with $1.2 Billion Fine for Money Laundering (CTH)

The U.S. Treasury Department said Tuesday it is imposing $1.2 billion in fines on Bank of America for compliance violations resulting in lax efforts to curtail money laundering activity. The fines on America’s second-biggest bank amount to the third-largest in the department’s history. [Treasury Notice Here] Money laundering for Latin-American narcotraffickers, terrorists as well as sketchy individuals/organizations that continue avoiding U.S. Treasury sanctions appear to be the heart of the matter.


WASHINGTON—The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) today announced a $750 million civil money penalty against Bank of America, N.A. (bank), for violations of the Bank Secrecy Act and its implementing regulations, including 12 CFR 21.21 and 12 CFR 21.11. This amount is the largest in OCC history. The bank is also subject to a December 2024 cease-and-desist order (2024 Order), which requires the bank to address its deficient Bank Secrecy Act/anti-money laundering (BSA/AML) compliance program.

“Bank of America, N.A., is the second largest bank in the U.S. and the sixth largest in the world. Every year, it processes hundreds of trillions of dollars in transactions across the globe. It has a high, and increasing, risk profile for money laundering, terrorist financing and other illicit activities. Almost two years ago, the bank signed an order with the OCC and committed to fixing its longstanding BSA deficiencies. Despite its obligation to the American people as a national-chartered, global systemically important bank, the bank’s BSA/AML compliance program continues to reflect widespread breakdowns in internal controls, which threatens U.S. national and economic security” said Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan V. Gould.

“The bank’s poor response to its BSA deficiencies is unacceptable. The second largest bank’s egregious and continued BSA violations warrant the OCC imposing its largest CMP ever assessed against a bank. The OCC expects all banks to have an effective BSA/AML compliance program. Those that do not can expect swift and significant action from the OCC.”

The OCC found that the bank’s BSA/AML compliance program has been deficient and ineffective. The bank’s deficient transaction monitoring system resulted in the bank failing to properly monitor trillions of dollars in transactions. This caused the bank to file large numbers of late suspicious activity reports (SARs) involving billions of dollars. Many of the late SARs had indicia of money laundering. The bank knew for years that it was failing to escalate potentially suspicious activities to investigators for review to determine if a SAR should be filed but failed to correct this serious BSA violation.

In addition, the bank’s BSA Officer and staff lacked sufficient skills and expertise to effectively manage the bank’s BSA/AML program. Key BSA personnel did not receive appropriate training regarding suspicious activity identification, investigation, and reporting, which resulted in the bank filing inaccurate and late SARs. The BSA audit function failed to identify long-standing BSA concerns that examiners subsequently uncovered.

After agreeing to the 2024 Order, the bank still failed to prioritize BSA/AML compliance. The bank did not complete many of the significant steps needed to establish an effective BSA/AML compliance program and its program continues to have significant breakdowns. For example, more than a year after the 2024 Order, the bank still failed to escalate potentially suspicious activities to investigators for review. Additionally, the bank processed potential trade-based money laundering transactions due to a systemic gap in its transaction monitoring program. Bank management failed to ensure the bank had an effective BSA/AML compliance program and continued to minimize the program’s significant deficiencies.

The OCC is taking this action in coordination with an action by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), which is assessing a $1.2 billion fine that credits the OCC’s $750 million penalty and is requiring remedial action by the bank. The OCC-assessed penalty will be paid to the U.S. Treasury.

Money laundering is at the core of the issue!

Flashback to July, 2026…

Prime Minister Carney and Volodymr Zelenskyy announced a new Canada-based financial institution called the Defense, Security and Resilience Bank (DSRB).

CANADA – […] “Mark Carney, welcomed the support for the Canada-led DSRB by: Albania, Belgium, Greece, Latvia, Luxembourg, Romania, Türkiye, and Ukraine. These countries will be entrusted with defining the initial policies and directives of the Bank, shaping its operations and ensuring benefits flow to members’ economies.”[…] Leveraging a strong credit rating, the Bank will provide long-term, low-cost financing for defence, security, and resilience initiatives across supply chains.”

When you see the term “resilience initiatives” think climate change. Specifically, think carbon capture and carbon trading mechanisms. Perhaps this move by U.S. Treasury can also be viewed as a countereffort against the financial schemes of the banking elite who have been coordinating efforts against the carbon-friendly nationalists. Just worth remembering.

Read more …

“Bombshell Report Reveals How..”

• Major Banks Discriminated Against Conservatives (Matt Margolis)

Nine of the country’s biggest banks spent five years running an outrageous campaign to cut conservatives, Christians, pro-lifers, and Trump supporters out of the financial system, and the federal government now has the receipts.


The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) released its Debanking Review on Wednesday. Miranda Devine first broke the story in the New York Post. The 47-page report, titled “Guaranteeing Fair Banking for All Americans,” draws on a hundred thousand complaints and fifty thousand internal bank records from 2020 through 2025. It names JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Citibank, Wells Fargo, U.S. Bank, Capital One, PNC, TD Bank, and BMO Bank. Every one of them hid behind the same excuse: “reputation risk.”

What did these banks fear? Bad press, protests, attacks from activist outfits like the Southern Poverty Law Center, and retaliation from regulators and politicians. So they purged anyone who might draw that heat. Christian organizations lost service over their views on abortion, LGBT issues, and traditional family values. Gun makers and retailers, Arctic oil and gas, coal, detention facilities, tobacco, and e-cigarette companies all saw financing dry up.

Let’s start with JPMorgan Chase. Its payment arm, WePay, shut down a merchant selling Trump and MAGA gear, claiming the products “promote[d] hate, violence, or racial intolerance.” JPMorgan’s screening system routinely flagged “MAGA,” “Make America Great,” and “America First” in merchant profiles, websites, and transaction data, and the bank added several of those terms after the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol riot. WePay also dumped a seller of “conservative/republican t-shirts, hats, etc.” after spotting a “Biden-Illegitimate-Tshirt,” a “The-Big-Lie-Sticker,” and a “Trump-Won” flag.

Another merchant lost payment processing because an event organizer’s social media posts called Black Lives Matter “Marxists” and labeled Joe Biden and Anthony Fauci “the enemy.” Bank employees ruled those posts “an incitement of hate.” Think about that for a second: Garden-variety political opinions were enough to get an American cut off.

The banks leaned on the SPLC’s bogus hate-group designations again and again. That’s the same SPLC federal prosecutors indicted in April on fraud and money-laundering charges for allegedly bilking donors out of millions, and the same group FBI Director Kash Patel has called a “partisan smear machine.” WePay closed a religious organization’s account after the SPLC branded it an “extremist hate group,” and employees described it internally as a “[r]ight wing religious conservative non profit with strong anti LGBTQ rhetoric.” WePay also killed an account raising money for a “devout Christian’s” legal challenge to anti-discrimination laws.

Let’s continue, shall we? PNC turned down a line of credit for a successful media company after its ESG group noted that one owner’s foundation funded Christian conservative groups the SPLC had tagged as hate groups, and that another owner was “a conservative political commentator.” The employee who recommended the denial put it in an internal note. “I think it becomes really difficult to justify aligning ourselves with a company whose owners have built very public personas around opinions very contrary to PNC’s beliefs/values,” the employee wrote.

Wells Fargo pressured a payment processor to drop a religious nonprofit over its views on same-sex marriage, and it refused loans to two firearms businesses because — get this — employees feared blowback from the Biden administration, anti-gun activists, and members of Congress. “Under the Biden administration, banks could face greater supervisory pressure to move away from lending to the firearms industry,” a Wells Fargo reputation-risk review of a prospective firearms client warned.

Bank of America cut off private prison businesses, citing “changing policymaker attitudes.” A few months into the Trump administration, it tried to reopen one of those accounts. So much for principle.= To be fair, the report found that some banks also turned away groups on the left. Capital One refused any partisan entity backing candidates from only one party, which meant rejecting both a “reproductive rights” group and a gun-rights group. Yet the overwhelming weight of the evidence points in one direction.

All nine banks told the OCC they’ve revised their practices. The OCC says those reforms fall short and that no bank has “fully and publicly acknowledged” its “weaponization of finance against hardworking Americans.” JPMorgan, for its part, pinned the blame on WePay and claims the problem is now fixed.

“Today’s report provides irrefutable evidence that the nation’s largest banks have denied, debanked and discriminated against customers and lawful businesses,” Comptroller of the Currency Jonathan V. Gould said, adding that the OCC is weighing further action. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which has primary supervisory authority over the largest banks, opened its own investigation Wednesday.

“It is appalling that these banks targeted American consumers for their political, social, or religious beliefs that did not align with the Biden Administration or its leftist allies… Many of those targeted were supporters of President Trump,” CFPB Acting Director Mark Paoletta said. “These thuggish tactics… have no place in America.”

Read more …

A lesson on the history of slavery.

Far too long for this format, but not for its own, see at the links.

A topic I would trust PCR with.

“Another Lesson on False History taught by liars determined to destroy America..”

• Racism in the False History of The NY Times 1619 Project (Paul Craig Roberts)

This is a is factually based history lesson. The lesson is about black slaveowners. Larry Koger’s book, Black Slaveowners, is well documented. Koger provides 34 pages of documentation listing the names of black slave owners and the number of slaves they owned in South Carolina and 38 pages of historical notes. Most free blacks only owned a few slaves, but some blacks themselves had plantations and had as many as 30 or 40 slaves. One owned 123 slaves. Another owned 156 slaves. One owned 68. Another 71.


Many owned 10 to 20. In South Carolina alone in 1830 there were 450 black slaveowners who owned between them 2,412 black slaves. The majority were in the city of Charleston, which suggests that these were free black businesses such as bricklayers, cabinet makers, carpenters, coopers, cotton gin makers, millwrights, shoemakers, and tailors. Being artisans meant that the slave employees, some owned and some rented from owners, were likely with the percentage of what they earned they were allowed to keep able to buy themselves out of slavery, and the records show that as time passed the numbers of free blacks increased as did the number of black owned black slaves.

The free blacks, just like the plantation owners, needed labor, and the only labor was black slaves. Slaves constituted the only labor force, because newly arrived immigrants had no need to hire out as laborers when they could simply move a little farther to the West and occupy unoccupied lands taken from Indians or Native Americans. Until the Western frontier closed, it was possible to move westward and take possession of one’s own homestead, so why work for another person? Slavery was a labor institution, not a racist one, with slaves purchased from the black Kingdom of Dahomey on the West Coast of Africa brought to the new world by ship captains many financed by Jews. Neither free blacks nor white plantation owners need to apologize for the slaves they owned.

Slavery was the labor institution that they were born into. It was the only source of labor, without which land is worthless. Slavery’s origin resided in African slave wars between black Africans. The black Kingdom of Dahomey became the main supplier of labor to the new world, because the king had the wits to trade black slaves to Arabs for firearms and thus prevailed in the slave wars. Do not expect any professor in any university black studies program or any white liberal to be receptive to the facts about slavery. They have constructed their own narratives that serve their own agendas.

Koger’s book is pertinent now that black demand for slavery restitution is heating up. It seems that blacks themselves will have to pay reparations. There were always some free blacks, and others were freed by their owners. It was possible for a black to purchase himself out of slavery and to purchase slaves as a work force for his business, and to purchase his relatives and friends, and many did so. Many free blacks actually owned their wives and children, having purchased them with their earnings as artisans, skilled craftsmen, and business owners. This no doubt comes as a surprise to those brought up on the white liberal version of Southern history whose foundation is the extraordinary lies told by Harriet Beecher Stowe in Uncle Tom’s Cabin, a work of hatred against Southern Americans.

During the colonial era under the Georgian Kings, it was possible for slave owners to free their slaves, and many did so. This resulted in a growing population of free blacks whose labor and its monetary earnings belonged to them, unlike “free Americans” today whose labor, depending on their income, belongs to the IRS in the range of 30% to 50%. Today many Americans are as enslaved with the Income Tax as black slaves were in the 19th century.

With their earnings free blacks not only purchased a labor force, but also bought wives and children, relatives and friends, out of bondage. But after the first 24 years of American independence regulation stepped in. The US Constitution left the slavery issue to the states, as President Lincoln acknowledged. In 1800 South Carolina became concerned that slaves were being freed on the death of their owners who had no means of support. South Carolina did not object to the freeing of slaves, only to freeing slaves who had no visible means of support. Being a Christian state, this meant freed slaves would become a support burden on the state and thereby on taxpayers for which no provision existed in law.

A law was passed that required that before slaves could be freed, evidence of their self-support had to be demonstrated. Koger makes clear that not all freed slaves were magnanimous acts as some slaveowners freed aged and unproductive slaves in order to rid themselves of the burden. Nevertheless, the provision that “the racist state of South Carolina” made to protect blacks from starvation was not made by Lincoln who “freed the slaves.” Many of Lincoln’s “freed slaves” starved to death as their homes and livelihood was destroyed by the Union Army. Lincoln’s war against the South was also a war against the black population which refused to rebel.

The Emancipation Proclamation in 1863 was a war measure that failed as the black slaves, occupied only by white females and children, refused to rebel. The 1800 South Carolina law that a slave could be freed on evidence of self-support made it difficult for free blacks to free slaves they purchased. There were ways around this. Blacks who had purchased their wives and children simply reported them to the federal census as free blacks and paid the capitation tax on free blacks. In effect this allowed wives and children who were in bondage to their husband and father to bridge the gap between bondage and a free person.

Koger’s book is intriguing. Although it is not a theme that Koger develops, it shows that blacks were being assimilated into white Southern life. The racism about which we hear so much today from liars such as Nikole Hannah-Jones and the New York Times 1619 Project and from the 19th century liar Harriet Beecher Stowe, are concocted narratives for the purpose of creating hate between blacks and whites when such hate simply was not present. There are always bad actors, but Southern society was not one. Koger reports and documents that a black elite was rising and that this rising class had the protection of white South Carolinians. Black membership in white churches was common. Today after generations of white liberal liberation of blacks the church memberships are separate. .

Read more …

“The Court often gets sticker shock in adopting broader interpretations that could impact whole industries in such a transformative way. It much prefers to defer to Congress on such trade-offs.”

• Supreme Court Challenge to Sharing of Viewing Records on Free Sites (Turley)

Today the Supreme Court will hear arguments in a major case pitting privacy advocates against media companies. By any measure, Salazar v. Paramount Global is a blockbuster case in the making. At issue is the use of viewing habits by companies offering free subscriptions and material to the public. These companies make money by then using that history to make tailored marketing pitches. Michael Salazar is arguing that a Blockbuster-era law should prevent such sharing of his viewing history, a ruling that would have a massive impact on media and entertainment companies.


Salazar involves a law passed 40 years ago after a controversy during the confirmation hearings of Robert Bork, who was nominated by President Ronald Reagan. The press and pundits unleashed an unrelenting campaign against the conservative, including the Washington City Paper releasing his list of 146 movies rented from a video store. Congress moved to stopped the abuse and passed the Video Privacy Protection Act to bar such disclosures.

Now, Michael Salazar is arguing that his free digital subscription for 247Sports.com, which is owned by Paramount Global, should also prevent the company from sharing his viewing habits with marketers. The case could have sweeping impacts on media and entertainment companies, which make much of their revenue through tailored marketing pitches based on such information.

The Video Privacy Protection Act (“VPPA”) bars a “video tape service provider” from “knowingly disclos[ing], to any person, personally identifiable information concerning any consumer of such provider.” 18 U.S.C. § 2710(b)(1). A “consumer” defined as a “subscriber of goods or services from a video tape service provider.” Id. § 2710(a)(1). The act further defines “personally identifiable information” as including information that “identifies a person as having requested or obtained specific video materials or services from a video tape service provider.” Id. § 2710(a)(3).

On one level, the spirit of the Act is to protect the privacy of citizens in watch they choose to watch in their private lives. That is why privacy groups have rallied around the case. According to polls, over seven in ten Americans have concerns that they have little to no control over what companies do with their data.

Conversely, the companies argue that this is a free service and that marketing is how these companies make such material available without charge to the public.

Paramount is arguing for a narrow construction of the statute. It notes that “consumer” is a “renter, purchaser, or subscriber of goods or services” from a “video tape service provider.” 18 U.S.C. 2710(a)(1). It argues that Salazar is not a “consumer” because he did not “rent[], purchase[], or subscribe[]” to the delivery of any “video cassette tapes or similar audio visual materials.” 18 U.S.C. 2710(a)(1) and (4). Rather, it claims that 247Sports is a news website focused on college sports, and any content Salazar allegedly viewed was available, for free, to any user of the Internet.

Salazar insists that he did subscribe when he signed up for a free, written email newsletter. However, the company argues that the newsletter is not a “video cassette tape[] or similar audio visual material[],” ibid., so he is not a “consumer” under the statute.

It is portraying the case as a distortion of a now dated law: “The VPPA is a Blockbuster-era statute barring the non-consensual disclosure by video rental stores of the rental history of individual patrons. Salazar seeks to transmogrify it into a prohibition against targeted advertising on the Internet.”

Like many sites, 247Sports allows access outside of a paywall by making revenue through advertising. While many consumers do not like their viewing history shared, they also do not like the increasing costs of having to pay for access to games and videos. It is a tradeoff that the lower courts felt was permissible in rejecting Salazar’s claims.

This is a tough case of statutory interpretation in seeking to apply an older statute to new media conditions and practices. Courts have found various flaws in Salazar’s claims ranging from claiming to be a “consumer” within the meaning of the VPPA to whether Paramount is a “video tape service provider” or whether the information is “personally identifiable.” If subscribing to a free newsletter is the same as subscribing to actual audiovisual content, the case could deliver a massive blow to media revenue streams.

Ultimately, Congress could step in to tweak the law if the Court rules for Salazar. When the Court accepts a case, there is a higher likelihood that it will reverse the underlying opinion. However, it only takes four justices to accept a case and this Court tends to narrowly construe such laws. The countervailing issue here is that the Act was designed with the state purpose of protecting privacy.

I teach “legisprudence” theories in my torts and Supreme Court classes in how courts interpret statutes with “gaps” or “ambiguities.”

Some would argue that a court should gravitate toward the narrow textual meaning given the sweeping impact of a broader interpretation. Figures such as Judge Frank Easterbrook argued for upholding the “deal” of legislation in strictly interpreting such laws by not gap-filling. Instead, the court can leave it to Congress to resolve ambiguities as the branch accountable to voters.

Another approach, advocated by Professor Jonathan Macey, would apply the “public-regarding purpose” of the law — fill in the gap or ambiguity by reference to the stated public-regarding purpose” of the law. In this case, the public-regarding purpose is privacy.

The Court often gets sticker shock in adopting broader interpretations that could impact whole industries in such a transformative way. It much prefers to defer to Congress on such trade-offs. Yet, rather than letting the Sixth Circuit in favor of Paramount stand, four justices decided that they wanted to deal with this question. It could prove to be a close case.

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Home › Forums › Debt Rattle October 15 2026

Viewing 19 posts - 1 through 19 (of 19 total)
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  • #253111

    Walter Langley Never morning wore to evening but some heart did break 1894 • “I Come From Your Future”: A Frenchman’s Warning To All US Democrat Voter
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle October 15 2026]

    #253114
    Dr. D
    Participant

    “Two Emirati Ships Sink In Hormuz In Under 24 Hours As IRGC Claims 5-6 Vessels Targeted Nightly

    You did it! You finally did it you magnificent bastards! You finally both hit and sunk a ship! Excellent work! This is what a “War” is. And Oil is $95. Not even to Biden levels. Where’s my $250,000 a barrel, Pepe? There are no gas lines except in France where Ze has shut off the Russian refineries. I guess Hormuz was a zero after all.

    “Iran Hormuz Attack Spree Starts Choking Oil Flows (Again), UBS Warns

    Probably, and right on schedule. Predictable as rain. Iran’s only strategy for the world is to make Americans vote Democrat and voluntarily surrender to Islam. Uhhh, no. No thank you actually. But it demonstrates they have no MILITARY path to victory. Which is boring.

    Can they sink a destroyer? Sure! That’s war! ...And will be militarily useless. How many would they have to sink to matter at all? I dunno, a third of them? But we’d be actually mad and trying then, not really nice and holding back like now.

    “Mohammed bin Salman Is More At Risk Internally Than From Houthi Attacks

    Probably, but doesn’t that just demonstrate how militarily ineffective all of Yemen is? That’s not demonstrating strength and certainty not the way Pepe advertises if the only way to lose is have one of your half-brothers stab you in the back. That could have happened any Wednesday, and actually did. That’s why he gave them a talking to at the Carlton-Ritz back there. And the CIA brothers had a helicopter crash. Boy was Brennan mad.

    The Undead Empire Strikes Back: How The UK Still Rules The World | Alex Krainer

    The Undead Empire: Looting Russia: Why the British Empire Never Died | Alex Krainer

    Krainer shifts to being almost entirely in the Luongo/London camp without saying so. He has bills to pay and jails to avoid. But this paradigm – same as mine – necessitates that Iran is London’s Fiefdom and proxy, and the U.S. is attacking London back through their proxy and not Iran at all. …Which is why no one is killed, and Iran doesn’t post the pics in the headlines every day. This back-feeds through Israel – another London colony – but that story gets ungodly complicated and is much less sure. The paradigm is America is fighting our second War of Independence against Globalism. Which is why we’re allies with Russia.

    “Germany Puts Ukrainian Ex-Officer On Trial For Nord Stream “War Crime” As Defense Says Pipelines Were Fair Game

    Everything about this is bananas, and putting it on trial to be debunked is bananas squared.

    “”It’s A Pity…”: Zelensky Feels ‘Betrayed’ By Trump & Elon Musk
    “This is not the right side of history…”

    Yes, being on the side of LITERAL NAZIS is the “right side of history”. Yup.

    “People Who Bought MAGA Hats!? Jack Smith’s Arctic Frost Hoovered Up Data On At Least 639,000 Republican Voters, Donors

    Two things: 1) Jack didn’t — Jack can do nothing without the FISA and the whole judiciary agreeing. That specifically means Justice Roberts. 2) Jack is not a prosecutor but a regular citizen. He was never correctly and legally appointed.

    And he subpoeana’d THE UNITED STATES, and every person in it, while being some guy off the street. Let that sink in. Both USSC Roberts and all Congress love it, and do nothing about it. That seems odd. Almost as if they have no power themselves and are scared of someone.

    #253127
    Germ
    Participant

    Ex-Brighton, Port Vale and Gillingham captain Doug Loft has died at 39 after a “medical emergency.”

    That’s the entire explanation from the clubs and the media.
    No further details.
    Just “medical emergency.”

    “STAR TRAGEDY Doug Loft dead at 39: Ex-Brighton and Port Vale star dies after medical emergency as heartbroken EFL club pay tribute”

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/sport/40659880/doug-loft-dead-port-vale-brighton/

    TVASSF

    #253128
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Today:
    “Democrats are starting to realize President Trump’s Midterm Blitz is working

    Parallel realities. He’s both the most and least popular. It’d going to be both a Democratic and Republican tidal wave. …No really, we can tell the Democrats think they’re going to marginally lose by their own speech and actions. I watch them for my clues and I agree. Who cares what Trump does.

    “”It may already be too late for negotiations with Russia” – Aaron Maté explains to Americans that the best moment to secure peace was missed long ago.”

    I don’t know what he’s talking about. Also the Duran/ Alex2 talks about how there has to be a “Negotiated Peace”. No s—t Sherlock! that’s how EVERY war ends. So Taken Literally, Mate is saying Russia and Ukraine will still be in war in 2399, No. Or that WE have ANY responsibility to have peace at all. No. Idgaf if Russia and whoever NEVER have peace – ain’t nothin’ to do with me! Ain’t my war, we’re not in it! Blow yourselves to pieces for all I care, that’s “Sovereignty”. So his meta-assumption is either 1) The U.S. is the only broker worldwide and all peace agreements must be stamped by us. …That is to say we are and Empire and Trump is Caesar. No. 2) We are IN the war, therefore it can’t end without us: also No. So far as officially we have no men, no money, no weapons there. We’re not in the war. EUROPE is in the war. They are buying our stuff (which we haven’t delivered) and handing it to Ukraine.

    So Aaron: it’s not too late, buddy! I guarantee they’ll be a peace. And I hope to God it has nothing to do with us at all, and Russia just takes whatever they feel like and dictates terms to Europe all the way out the British Virgin Isles. Sadly, Trump feels differently than I do and WANTS to stop 2 Million Europeans from dying for no godly reason and have peace. THAT’S WHY THEY HATE HIM. But although I understand him trying to leverage all his forces, it’s a fool’s errand. And that’s what Putin says. And like I said, I watch Putin, etc, not Trump.

    ““I Come From Your Future”: A Frenchman’s Warning To All US Democrat Voters (ZH)

    Why is everyone standing way back, watching this man be burned to death like a photo op instead of helping? A: just ONE guy grabbed a fire extinguisher and tried to stop a school on fire, and they beat him into a hospital. So maybe like that. I’m sorry, you may be an accessory to murder then. Good luck.

    Doesn’t matter. They may beat you – or they may not. Depends on how it impresses them. P.S. Is this AI because what is he standing on, there in the center? The only spot the sidewalk is broken? Nevermind.

    “FRANCE-GERMANY 10-YEAR YIELD SPREAD WIDENS 8BPS TO 135BPS

    Bessant is attacking, or rather, he’s pressuring all EU vs UST. But if LeGarde tries to save Germany, the Euro blows. And if she saves France, Germany blows out. …Back up a step though: IF ALL EUROPE DIDN’T SUCK, and wasn’t catastrophically corrupt and mismanaged in a way that makes the 3rd world jealous, there’d be no pressure at all. The pressure would be on the U.S. then. The problem is, we suck, way, way, way, way, way, way less than they do and are headed in the right direction.

    Like I said: The U.S. goes down LAST. That’s a given. So they are trying to make EUROPE break, and take the blame, and Bessant is tag-teaming with Japan to make it. Again, that’s EUROPE’S fault. For sucking. For doing everything every economist ever dreamed of saying not to, importing 40 million 3rd worlders, and starting a land war in Asia for four years. What do you want me to say? The laws of physics don’t apply to you? I’m just shocked they didn’t crack 2 years ago.

    “The worst part is that no sound person voted for this Western decline.”

    In a sense, they didn’t vote for it in Europe either. I mean, yes, they’re core Socialists, but they didn’t vote for the EU where every referendum failed, none of the nations were eligible (Greece, Italy), and when the voters backed away, they didn’t listen and forced them for 20 years with increasing violence.

    It’s not fair to say they want this, just because they were slower to get it and are possibly only 51% now.

    ““Poland’s most bellicose security conference is openly flirting with the idea of dismembering Russia..”

    How’s that worked in the past, boys? And people pretend Poland is the victim of something, they’ve acted like this for centuries. DON’T MOUTH OFF AND ATTACK EVERYONE IN EUROPE. Just Stop.

    Okay, what do you think Russia’s going to do, knowing this? ‘Cause it’s not good. Like the U.S. you should get on your knees and thank God almighty Russia is the good guys who have so much natural restraint, cause you could cease to exist in about 25 minutes with every Pole dead. The very fact you’re breathing means Russia isn’t really after you.

    Same with Ukraine, which at least is large enough to have SOME chance. Like 1:1,000. But I get tired of reminding that IF Ukraine showed the slightest danger or chance of winning, Russia would nuke them. So no. No chance at all.

    Anyway, not only is that Article/Meeting delusional, but you look at the Infograph there: “Full NATO Membership” means f—k all. There is no NATO, Trump said so, and there’s no Army in Europe without us. They’re the planet’s biggest joke. If anyone attacked, all the others would decline to Article 5 ‘cause: Excuses! and leave Ya hangin’. “As Long as It Takes!” — Joe Biden. “Whatever it Takes” – Europe. …Unless it takes money, arms, or men, then forget it. Again, yesterday, Europe paid Russia TWICE what they paid Ukraine. With friends like these…

    Last: knowing all this sets Russia’s goals and strategy for the war, how it must be won and ended. So thanks for that, now it has to be far longer and more violent than otherwise. P.S. this is Applebaum’s wheelhouse here.

    “The reason this is all significant is that it opens up other options for Trump, as opposed to waiting until the midterms.”

    None of that looks like it’s happening. Sure it could: and it’s probably all made up. So they could bomb the moon on the same premise. But pay attention.

    “El-Sayed supports many planks in the Democratic Socialists of America platform.”

    Might be worth noting that those planks include erasing the United States as a nation and all Human Rights in 1-10A. No pressure.

    “The DSA is not a majority. But it can throw a monkey wrench into both parties’ plans.”

    Not really. Having Hasan and AOC and the DSA speak is the greatest advertisement to vote Republican. I honestly believe it’s the Right who is secretly paying and directing them. They’re just too good. Bond could not invent a villain like this.

    “• Treasury Hits Bank of America with $1.2 Billion Fine for Money Laundering (CTH)

    For the love of God, finally. An amount that matters and might dissuade crime. Wasn’t BoA buying those jumbo jets for Mexican drug cartels?

    “• Major Banks Discriminated Against Conservatives (Matt Margolis)

    This part is fine. The problem is that there’s no competition thanks to Government monopoly. So no, you may not do that. No Muh Private Corporation, ‘cause they ain’t.

    “Christian organizations lost service over their views on abortion, LGBT issues, and traditional family values.”

    As constantly said, THOSE were controversial. But the #Opposite to amputate children was NOT controversial. How can only one side of an issue be controversial? It’s either in contention or it isn’t. A: “Because I pick favorites and enforce whatever I like!” No Rulez! I use any excuse that comes to my head, so make me! I know: I’m just pointing out that you’re not a Rule-follower. You’re not obeying anything but your feels. Your violent hate and petty vendettas are running the roost.

    “• Racism in the False History of The NY Times 1619 Project (Paul Craig Roberts)

    While it was a minority, all these details about black slave ownership etc are relevant, esp to the cartoon-crayon sense of slavery that exists today. PCR has trouble with the “Recent Unpleasantness” and isn’t a fair arbiter. He says Lincoln was fighting the Black slaves in the South, which is true, but tell me how you fight a nation without fighting or harming its people, because every general over all time wants to know that. C’mon. Then when we point out that Lincoln and every general actively avoided a Sherman’s March to the sea for three years, even though they COULD, and they knew it all along, well then it just shows how stupid and useless the North is, and how weak Lincoln was. …You can’t have it both ways. It wasn’t until the South wouldn’t stop or come to any other solution that the North was forced to do that, very obviously against their own will. Then they’re the bad guys.

    And so again today. That’s how you know it’s London, because that’s their M.O. — London 101. That’s not how Americans act. Inject guilt on both sides, then leverage that guilt to make them kill each other again. Rinse, repeat. Don’t be a punk. It ain’t us, it’s YOU.

    “• Supreme Court Challenge to Sharing of Viewing Records on Free Sites (Turley)

    Interesting, but note the USSC has time for this, not election fraud on time, and not Jack subpoena’ing every American and every Congressman if they bought a red hat. No time for that.

    “Ultimately, Congress could step in to tweak the law if the Court rules”

    It’s Congress’ only job to do and fix this. Nothing to do with the courts. In a sane world, Congress would see the case filed and amend the law to fix it years ago. Your law sucks, stop wasting the courts’ time and fix it. But Congress writes s—t laws ON PUROPSE knowing they can be interpreted by Court and FDA/EPA anyway they feel like. Then reversed a day later with no law passed either way: indeed the proto-EU way to Soviet Government. No one is elected, no one is responsible, no one to appeal, and there’s no fixed law. Perfect.

    “SpaceX wants to launch Starship up to 456 times a year from Texas.

    Hey I thought launching ships blew a hole in the Ozone. So I guess all the laws of Physics changed again?

    “I think it’ll be worth $20 trillion, $30 trillion, $50 trillion”

    Not to be a jerk, but, where’s the profit? Is all space made of solid gold with a creamy nougat center? I see you SPENDING money, I see no way to make money back. Still no logical explanation at all.

    I’m not doubting it, just that whatever they’re really after is something they’re not telling us.

    #253129
    John Day
    Participant

    War Debts Forever https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/war-debts-forever

    To make sense of what is taking place now in geopolitics and finance is difficult, because the actual mechanisms of value-extraction to suupport the operational systems are misrepresented and, therefore are misunderstood by most people.
    Credit-money is created from 10% money and 90% trust-in-the-lender, and lent out to an entity, based on collateral which may be seized if it is not paid fully with real, physical economic output at interest. This is true for sovereign governments, and especially their banks and central banks.
    It was not true of kings. Kings were known to die without fully paying debts. Bankers and consortia of money-lenders derived a scheme to maximize their long term profits by lending in perpetuity to the people of a country, not the king. This required creatinga facade of persistent governance by the consent of the people, which meant that they consented toi war-loans which might not be paid off in their lives, but would remain valid-debts forever. National debts were invented.
    Financial interests, to profit most fully, created names and the appearance of being part of the nation for PR purposes, but private corporate entities to collect profits. This was perfected in the corporate entity of the Bank of England, in The City of London, under the installed English King William of Orange, brought over from the Netherlands by a consortium of Dutch and English financiers, including the Rothschild banking family.
    Under Bank of England management Napoleon was defeated, the common lands removed and sold for profit, as common-people were expelledfrom their ancestral lands to starve, work and die in the new industrial cities.
    The United Kingdom became unsurpassed in provisioning the guns, navies and armies of war under this regime, and became the greatest military empire in the world, returning profits to the financial machine of The City if London, and a cost of human horrors, anguish, slavery and privation. The arrangements of private credit creating mostly-credit money, to lend for nations to wage wars of conquest or defense, payable with interest, in full, with real-stuff, persists and always seeks fresh collateral for loans, and avenues for profit.
    There is a point of view that this fractional-reserve-lending financial system is the over-arching enemy of humanity, and of productive people who seek only to enjoy the fruits of their own labors without being harmed or parasitized. The system lends at high rates to encourage rapacious war profits, and also to enable the desperate arming for wars of defense by the targeted peoples. As all loans are secured by valuable collateral, the bankers and other financiers always profit from both sides of every war, and the horrors thereof.
    If one considers the operational-structure of the current debt-money-based financial system as being an agent within the current dynamics of the world, rather than merely the shared financial infrastructure, the view of conflicts is very different from the case where nation-states and national-interests are viewed as driving forces of history.
    The promise of payment of debts at interest, with real goods and services in the future is the driving gradient over time. The nations and their peoples will persist and pay the financial elites. It is clear that the amounts owed are in great excess of what can ever be paid, especially as fossil-fuels are declining in quality and increasing in cost, along with copper and other ores.
    This creates tension, as all elites want to be paid in full, while realizing it is impossible, so it is to their advantage to find ways to exclude competing elites from channels that will pay, while positioning themselves to own the rights to those channels. Owning pipelines and trade choke-points seem advantageous, so wars are fought for such ownership and control, and also for the power to choke a competitor from vital flows.
    The City of London interests prefer to remain anonymous, but BlackRock Capital Management is not a bad marker for them. It is the largest private-wealth management corporation. Rumors have persisted that BlackRock, the Bank of England and other City of London financial entities bet heavily upon schemes to break Russia politically through war against Ukraine and international financial sanctions, and as that has gone against their plans, they will fail to collect on loans or Russian and Ukrainian collateral. Their books will have to be reconciled to reality when any peace treaty is signed, which should reveal widespread insolvency. Therefore, European financial institutions are working to keep European political leaders in the anti-Russia war camp.
    The peoople of Europe feel otherwise, do not want to die fighting Russia, and very much want the cheap Russian gas and oil back to revitalize their dying economies.
    The political tide has turned already, despite censorship and information warfare by financial elites. Germany’s AfD, and Marine LePen’s Front National take reasonable and nationalist-populist stances. They seek rapproachment and trade with Russia, and to exclude migrants from culturally disparate countries who do not naturally integrate into productive society, but turn to crime and use up state-welfare resources.
    Global finance has been a campaign contributor in the US and in European countries, but it struggles to portray a scenario where the interests of global financial elites align with the interests of working people and families anywhere.
    The current news is that Trump and Putin have made a deal to sell Russian diesel fuel, and other products, to the US and other nations, without sanctions, until April 2027. They talked for 90 minutes. This particular deal was worked out already before the call. Most of their conversation has not been revealed. It is assumed that contingency plans were discussed, which would serve Russian and US interests, as seen by the 2 men. It was noted by all that they would like to end the Ukraine war quickly, and the only agreeable terms are Russian terms, which include capitulation of the Ukrainian military, giving up all territory which voted to rejoin Russia, as defined by Russia, to de-nazify, remain militarily neutral, and to assure rights for all Russian speakers and churches within Ukraine.
    The US has been asking Ukraine to stop attacking Russian refineries, and since the phone call has cancelled Starlink service to any receiver traveling over about 100 miles per hour, as would be the case for drones and cruise missiles aimed at Russian refineries. The US stopped notifying Ukraine of Russian ballistic missile launches towards Kiev and other cities for 2 nights. The reasons are disputed, but the implication is clear. Ukraine can expect to have drones disabled, and to suffer heavily from Russian attacks on electrical services, warehouses, gas stations, bridges and all logistics as winter approaches. The suffering will be great for Ukrainians who have not left. Kyiv is being abandoned, as advised by Mayor Klitschko.
    This is a hard play by Russia to force capitulation of Ukraine this winter, with US support, and if Ukraine will even announce elections Donald Trump can make good political capital of that for November 3 midterm elections. Ukraine’s current state of emergency lasts until October 31. There are a lot of Rada members who need to vote one way or another when that comes up. They are being contacted by wealthy emissaries from European entities and their CIA handlers. No debate has opened on the topic yet. Nazi factions have held the power of fear until now, particularly for Zelensky himself, who lives each day at their pleasure.
    What might change is European financing for the Ukrainian military and their corrupt puppet-leaders. It Frederich Merz and his coalition are unpopular, and eventually to be replaced, how long can they continue to fund the Ukraine war? French elections will be held April 19, 2027.
    There is a groundswell of German economic policy support for trade normalization with Russia, and talk of a deal to re-open at least one Nordstream pipeline with US financial involvement as assurance. How much encouragement to nationalist populism can be afforded by cooperation betwween Trump and Putin? It is certain that they are considering this.
    As for actual sales of Diesel to the US by Russia, they have not yet happened, and may be legally fraught, but the removal of secondary sanctions immediately de-stresses Chinese and Indian buyers of Russian oil and distillates.
    In this view there may be advancement of populist national interests by the agreements between Trump and Putin, at the expense of European (and other) old-money, which extracts rent from productive sectors of society, as Michael Hudson often observes. This is something that we will all be following through the winter and spring.
    The Hormuz war has become an attritional war with Yemeni nationalists against the Royal House of Saud, and Iranian nationalist military forces against the US, Israel and their collaborators in Saudi Arabia and other Gulf monarchies. Secret side deals are being done, but oil from that region has become very expensive in blood and treasure.

    #253130
    John Day
    Participant

    Richard Cook, The Historical Theft of the Sovereign Power of Money Issuance by the Money Power. Part I
    The chartering of the Bank of England was the primary milestone that ushered in the era of domination of the nation-state by the private financial interests that since then have ruled the world economy—at least in the Western nations and their colonies and dependencies—until today. This is the Money Power. It was their financial wealth, bypassing the dying system of feudal land tenure, that served as their entrée into the controlling echelons of state governance.
    ​ This fateful transition took place decisively with a deal between the English and Dutch financiers who were coming to dominate the world’s birthing industrial might and King William of Orange who was brought over from Holland with his wife Mary Stuart in the overthrow of her father, King James II, in the “Glorious Revolution” of 1688.
    ​ William and Mary were closely allied with the Money Power, who by now were the only ones able to put fully equipped professional armies with disciplined cavalry, financial and logistical superiority, and modern artillery capable of reducing castles, onto the field of battle. The “deal” with the new titular monarchs was that the financiers who controlled Parliament—the “donor class” of that era—would share sovereign power with the monarchy. It was particularly the Bill of Rights of 1689 that transformed Britain and eliminated all traces of royal prerogative carried over by the Stuart kings.
    ​ But the sovereignty of the nation as personified in the king was now lost to obscure men whose power was secured through movement of increasingly large sums of money and credit in backroom transactions. In other words, it was a takeover by “robber barons” who operated out of the counting-houses which were becoming banks. Their center of operations was the “City” of London—that self-governing square mile at the heart of the “Big Smoke.” Over time, a similar revolution was enacted in France, Germany, Austria, Italy—and the U.S.—though a significant element of patriots in America fought back.
    ​ This monetary revolution was a massive assault by the Money Power on European royalty and aristocracy and their replacement by those who had become rich through money lending and trade.​ https://www.globalresearch.ca/historical-theft-sovereign-power-money-issuance-money-power-part-i/5943610

    ​ ‘Massive’ Russian attack on Ukraine kills at least 9, damages power sites​ – Volodymyr Zelenskyy says Ukraine’s partners failed to warn of Russian ballistic missiles attack on Kyiv.​ https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/14/massive-russian-attack-on-ukraine-kills-at-least-six-cuts-power-in-kyiv

    Ukraine Attacks Two More Refineries After Trump’s Proclaimed ‘Energy Ceasefire’: Kremlin​ https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/ukraine-attacks-two-more-refineries-after-trumps-proclaimed-energy-ceasefire-kremlin

    ​ SpaceX Reportedly Caps Starlink Speed As Kiev Defies Trump’s Calls To Halt Refinery Strikes​
    The Kyiv Independent cited presidential adviser Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov, who wrote on social media that the measure took effect overnight and applies to the StarShield “military service package,” setting a threshold of 100 miles per hour (about 160 kilometers per hour).​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/spacex-reportedly-caps-starlink-speed-kiev-defies-trumps-calls-halt-refinery-strikes

    ​ Simplicius, Panic in Kiev as AFU’s Starlink “Mysteriously” Throttled One Day After Intelligence Blackout
    A day after Zelensky accused the US of cutting “intelligence support” and not providing early warning against Russia’s ballistic missile strikes on Kiev, pandemonium has ensued in Ukraine.
    Now the country’s leadership has accused the US of cutting its Starlink support as well…​
    ..Musk immediately responded with a clarification: the military version of Starlink is infact operated by the US DOD under the name Starshield and is not controlled by Musk or SpaceX. You can see him responding directly to the star ex-Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov himself—note that Fedorov claims connectivity was already being restored at the time…
    ..Musk was forced to divest himself of this arm of his company early in the war in order to continue presenting a “neutral” face for his enterprise and not have it messily linked to offensive military actions which he likely knew would be pushed into very ethically “gray” areas of striking Russian civilian and dual-use infrastructure.​..
    ​..The Ukrainian 7th Rapid Response Corps of the Air Assault Forces reports that Starlink disruptions are occurring in the Hulyaipole/Orikhiv direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, this morning.
    ​ The so-called Starshield package, which conducts data transferring for drone flights, has received limitations on speeds of 110-120+ km/h, where the connection can be lost for 10-20 seconds making it difficult to control the drones. Additionally, the launch of high-speed mid-range drones has become almost impossible.​..
    ..Starlink is used not just offensively by Ukrainian long-range drones but also defensively in interceptors that target Russia’s own strike assets which have been hitting Kiev. As such, Russia’s recent crippling strikes on Kiev’s facilities now stand to become even worse if these disruptions continue.
    ​ In light of the above, today WaPo dropped the bombshell that the US has in fact been threatening key Ukrainian personnel with an intelligence cut-off should Zelensky continue to hit Russian oil sites…
    ​..Strangely, while this was going on a “secret” Starlink ground station in Bulgaria which provided services to the AFU was allegedly torched​…
    ​..No matter what really happened with the early warning and Starlink fiasco, the fact remains that the US appears to have sent Ukraine a final ultimatum that intelligence will be completely cut off if Ukraine continues to hit Russian energy, at least according to the earlier reports.
    ​ Ukraine has already been hitting Russian energy since last night, and vows to continue doing so. This can only mean we can expect a major clash between the two former “partners” in the near future, though many predict Trump will simply TACO out as per usual. In fact, the restoration of Starlink service can already be considered a backtrack, but we’ll see how the situation actually unfolds.​ https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/panic-in-kiev-as-afus-starlink-mysteriously

    #253132
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Martial Law in Ukraine: What Restrictions Are in Place, Until What Date, and What the Law Allows​ – Martial law in Ukraine has been extended until October 31​ https://sud.ua/en/news/ukraine/372770-voiennyi-stan-v-ukraini-iaki-obmezhennia-diiut-do-iakoi-daty-ta-shcho-dozvoliaie-zakon

    ​ Moon of Alabama, The EU-NATO Establishment Is Waging A Hybrid War Against Europe
    The (fake) elite which currently leads in many European countries as well as the European Union in Brussels is determined to wage a war against Russia.
    Unfortunately for them the people they rule over have no interest in that. The leaders are waging a massive propaganda campaign to change their minds.
    They are following a line set by Hillary Clinton who, after losing the 2016 presidential election to Donald Trump, blamed Russia for interfering with it.​..
    ..There is though a ‘hybrid war’. But it is one waged by the western ‘elite’ against its own people:
    ​ Ultimately, serious scrutiny of the “Russian hybrid warfare” narrative can only lead to one disquieting conclusion. A “hybrid war” is indeed being waged against Europe — but it is being waged by the EU-NATO establishment itself, against its own population. Europeans are being subjected to a sustained campaign of cognitive or psychological warfare aimed at conditioning them to believe that Europe is under attack from Russia, and that these hybrid attacks are a prelude to conventional hostilities — a claim for which, by and large, there is little or no proof. What the record points to, in fact, is a deliberate campaign of threat inflation in which governments, media outlets and defence-funded “think tanks” have colluded to instill a permanent sense of fear in the population, through relentless coverage of “incidents”, “attacks”, “sabotages” and “campaigns” that, in most cases, simply do not exist.
    ​ Yesterday Andy Burnham, the unelected Prime Minister of Britain, blamed Russia for the outcome of Britain’s Brexit vote​… There had been an extensive parliament investigation about imagined Russian influence on the Brexit referendum which had found none. Burnham is now, without any evidence, claiming such influence because he wants to roll back Britain’s exit from the EU​. https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/10/the-eu-nato-establishment-is-waging-a-hybrid-war-against-europe.html

    ​ German opposition demands Trump-style diesel deal with Russia
    AfD and BSW are pushing for an end to sanctions against Moscow as soaring fuel prices squeeze German consumers​ https://web.archive.org/web/20261012005412/https://www.rt.com/news/647061-germany-opposition-diesel-deal-russia/

    ​ Bulgarian PM Stuns EU With Full-Throated Backing Of Trump-Putin Diesel Deal​ – “You know what is our problem right now in Europe? High fuel prices,” Radev said in English as he attended a two-day summit of leaders.​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/bulgarian-pm-stuns-eu-full-throated-backing-trump-putin-diesel-deal

    #253133
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Look at the participants: US and Europe preparing peace plan to improve post-war state of Ukraine and Russia – Washington Post
    According to the official, the package will consist of four core components. First will be the reconstruction of Ukraine. The World Bank and the investment firm BlackRock are seeking to establish a financial mechanism to rebuild the country’s devastated regions.​ https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/10/13/8057759/

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-15
    AI credit stress spread into stocks and then into Asia. CoreWeave CDS closed +135bp, the neocloud basket had its worst day of 2026, and overnight the KOSPI tripped an 8% circuit breaker. A hot September CPI (3.7%) pushed the 5Y to a 2007 high, then the 10Y gave back 21bp as the selloff turned into a haven bid. Silver lost 6% while gold crawled back to pre-CPI levels.
    ​ New on the war desks: Zelensky ended the refinery-strike pause after a 160 km/h Starlink cap, and Hormuz logged what may be its first mine sinking. Saudi-Houthi and Taiz are escalating continuation.​..
    ​..Kyiv lifts its refinery-strike pause​ – “The block is out. We’re done,” Zelensky told the FT, ending a three-day pause. The Ryazan refinery is burning after an overnight drone raid (chigrl, financialjuice)
    ​ This follows WaPo reporting that the US warned further energy strikes would trigger an immediate intel cutoff (vick55top)​…
    ​..Two masked men set fire to 11 of 17 Starlink ground antennas near Sofia, echoing the Sept 23 arson at a Polish site (bayraktar_1love, InsiderGeo)​…
    ​..Washington and Brussels​ – Semafor: Trump is “furious”, and a full intel ban is being discussed (simpatico771). WaPo: the Ukrainian embassy was warned of an immediate cutoff if energy strikes continue (vick55top)
    ​ FT: the US wants Europeans to unfreeze some Russian assets to revive talks (zerohedge). European officials rejected the idea (TheApeOfGoldST)
    Zelensky says he feels “betrayed” by the US-Russia diesel deal (zerohedge)
    ​ The EU disbursed another €2.86B, taking total aid past €231B (TheApeOfGoldST). Slovakia’s Fico refuses to join any new multi-billion loan (MilitarySummary)…
    ​..AI credit hits equities: CoreWeave CDS +135bp, neocloud basket -12%, SOX heading for an 8-day losing streak
    ​ The CoreWeave unwind
    Shares fell ~15% as stocks “finally notice what credit has been screaming” (zerohedge)
    ​ The unsecured 2032 bonds yield ~15% against a 9.625% coupon. Part of the $104B backlog is pledged to secured lenders, so it does not backstop every creditor (shanaka86)
    Gartner says over 80% of neoclouds will fold (zerohedge)​…
    ​..A new open-source model claims to match Fable 5 at 60x lower cost (KobeissiLetter)​. https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-15

    ​ Gold & Geopolitics, Daily digest: 2026-10-14
    The Saudi-Houthi war became an oil-for-oil exchange. Riyadh bombed Sana’a’s central fuel station, the Houthis hit Aramco’s Dhahran headquarters (the Saudi Energy Ministry confirms a fire), missiles were still flying at Riyadh this morning, and Houthi ground forces broke into western Taiz.
    ​ Russia ended the US-brokered energy truce with a record Zircon salvo that left 600,000+ Ukrainians without power, on a night Kyiv says it got no early warning and its Starlink links were throttled. The rest is continuation: more Hormuz hits, diesel higher, AI credit spreads wider, and CPI lands today with the 10-year above 5%.​..
    ​..Russia ends the energy truce with a record strike; 600,000+ without power​ – Zelensky: 39 ballistic missiles and 120+ drones; 26 power facilities and 4 oil and gas sites damaged; people killed and injured (ZelenskyyUa).
    ​ AMK’s revised count is ~40 missiles, including a record 24 Zircons, mostly launched from Bryansk for the first time (GEROMAN).
    Hours earlier Ukraine had set an oil depot in Valuyki (Belgorod) on fire with 500+ drones, its first energy strike since the truce (HormuzLetter).​
    ​ US pressure on Kyiv shows up on the battlefield: no missile warning, Starlink throttled​ – Zelensky confirms partners gave no warning before the strikes (KyivPost). He told NPR the administration threatened to cut intelligence over Ukraine’s refinery strikes (MilitarySummary).
    ​ Sternenko, an adviser to Ukraine’s Ministry of Defence: Starlink drops above 160 km/h, some missions failed, and he thinks the White House asked for it (AMK_Mapping_). The cap was reportedly tightened to 60-70 km/h within hours (GEROMAN).
    ​ Hormuz: two more ships hit, a US-owned tanker turned back, and Reuters says Iran is widening its target zone​ – UKMTO warnings 170-26 and 171-26: a container ship and a tanker struck in the southern corridor (MenchOsint).
    ​ 26 vessels struck in two weeks, per Brett Erickson, quoted by philippilk.
    ​ Reuters: Iran is attacking more often and moving into the Gulf of Oman and waters off Qatar and the UAE, to keep oil high before the midterms (MilitarySummary).​ https://no1sdailydigest.substack.com/p/daily-digest-2026-10-14

    ​ Alastair Crooke, Mohammed bin Salman is more at risk internally than from AnsarAllah attacks
    As the military conflict between Yemen and Saudi Arabia continues, the latter has become increasingly dependent on attacks against Yemeni civilian targets — by Sept 2025, reports confirm that “nearly 15,000 civilians have been killed by direct military action, most of them in air strikes by the Saudi-led Coalition.” Yet the Yemeni armed resistance, taking its cue from Iran’s experience, sees that Saudi is infinitely more vulnerable via its energy infrastructure sitting out in the open.
    ​ If Yemen continues to strike at key Saudi economic and energy assets with precision, the consequences for Riyadh will multiply — the battlefield will increasingly become that of Saudi infrastructure destruction and pain for the West versus Yemeni civilian casualties.​..
    ​..In short, unless MbS capitulates to AnsarAllah demands — which it seems he is incapable of so doing — the consequences could develop into a devastating macro-economic cascade occurring within the key pivot situated at the centre of the Gulf economic model; a cascade, furthermore, which, as its momentum grows, and foreign capital flees the kingdom, will bring a systemic collapse to the entire western colonial enterprise in the Gulf.
    ​ The more paradoxical element to this drama is that it is not from AnsarAllah’s attacks that MbS’ is most at risk — or from which his downfall might be precipitated. It will not come from the battlefield either. Regime change inside Saudi Arabia will come about as a result of his own hand — his compulsive quest to centralise control.​..
    ​..MbS’ fear is that one F15 pilot, outside of the privileged Royal family Stipendiary circle, might choose to attack one of the Kingdom’s princely palaces (instead of striking at an AnsarAllah target) as a prelude to an all-out military revolt. This is no fanciful threat — an old “Saudi hand” recalled recently hearing one young Saudi officer threatening to do exactly that.
    ​ By cutting off traditional tribal patronage by which tribal leaders had expected to receive their share of the kingdom’s oil wealth; by seizing tribal lands earmarked for MbS “vanity projects”; and by actively working to reshape Saudi Arabia’s core legitimacy away from traditional tribal-religious alliances towards a nationalist, youth-driven identity centred around Vision 2030, MbS has cut away the political leverage that traditional tribal elders historically held within the Royal Court.
    ​ MBS has made many enemies through the transformation of the Kingdom not towards a nation-state, but rather toward being the property of a single family.​ https://ronpaulinstitute.org/mohammed-bin-salman-is-more-at-risk-internally-than-from-ansarallah-attacks/

    Two Emirati Ships Sink In Hormuz In Under 24 Hours As IRGC Claims 5-6 Vessels Targeted Nightly​ https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/burning-container-ship-sinks-strait-hormuz-irgc-proclaims-5-or-6-vessels-targeted

    #253134
    John Day
    Participant

    Even the F-35 uses Chinese parts, but… Report Alleges Houthis Building Advanced Missiles With Help From China https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/report-alleges-houthis-building-advanced-help-china

    ​ Saudi Airstrikes in Yemen’s al-Jawf Province Kill Nine Civilians, Including Five Children
    The Saudi bombing campaign is backed by the US, which provides intelligence and targeting data and has resumed refueling Saudi warplanes​ https://news.antiwar.com/2026/10/12/saudi-airstrikes-in-yemens-al-jawf-province-kill-nine-civilians-including-five-children/

    Israeli Gaza-war vets: “The Rule Was: ‘Shoot Everyone You See’”
    More than 70,000 killed; even more wounded; destruction without end: Ten Israeli soldiers speak about feelings of revenge, orders to shoot and “collateral damage.”​ https://israelpalestinenews.org/the-rule-was-shoot-everyone-you-see/

    Seven-Year-Old Dies of Wounds as Israeli Attacks Kill Five More in Gaza​ https://www.palestinechronicle.com/seven-year-old-dies-of-wounds-as-israeli-attacks-kill-five-more-in-gaza/

    Gaza prisoners left with fractures and untreated injuries in Ganot prison​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/10/12/371849/

    #253135
    John Day
    Participant

    Israel demolishes over 11,000 homes in West Bank in 3 yrs.​ https://en.mehrnews.com/news/248519/Israel-demolishes-over-11-000-homes-in-WB-in-3-yrs

    One must apply for permission to cross town​ to one’s farm, for instance:​ Israeli army tightens movement restrictions around Jenin refugee camp​ https://english.palinfo.com/news/2026/10/12/371865/

    ​ $30/bbl extra: Oil shipping and insurance costs exceed one-third of the commodity value — OPEC
    The ministers affirmed the critical importance of safeguarding the international maritime routes to ensure the uninterrupted flow of energy​ https://tass.com/economy/2201093

    ​ This will help keep gasoline prices down in Texas: Soaring Tanker Rates Leave Americas Awash in Crude Oil
    “It’s all freight,” said Scott Shelton, an energy specialist at TP ICAP. Venezuela, the US and Canada all produce more oil than they consume, he said, so they rely on exports to Asia to balance their crude markets.
    ​ With US diesel prices soaring, the cheap, stranded barrels should be getting snapped up in a diesel-starved market, since heavy crude yields more of the fuel than lighter grades. But Gulf Coast refiners have already bought as much as they can process, analysts and traders said.
    ​ Venezuelan exports have surged since the US captured former President Nicolas Maduro in January, then started pushing to reactivate the country’s oil sector. Canadian output is at a record and Washington has released more than 130 million barrels from its emergency reserve.
    ​ The cost of hiring a supertanker from the US Gulf Coast to Asia, meanwhile, has more than quintupled since February.​ https://gcaptain.com/soaring-tanker-rates-leave-americas-awash-in-crude-oil/

    ​ Global Coal Demand Rises as LNG Shortage Deepens​
    Persian Gulf LNG flows remain severely disrupted, pushing Asian LNG prices above $26/MMBtu and European gas prices above €81/MWh.
    Coal is roughly 80% cheaper than LNG, encouraging Asian and European buyers to increase coal imports ahead of winter.​ https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/Global-Coal-Demand-Rises-as-LNG-Shortage-Deepens.html

    #253136
    John Day
    Participant

    ​ Taiwanese investment is good for the Alaska gas pipeline buildout, and for long-term energy security for Taiwan, but this may be a poison-pill for a mainland takeover of the island, as the LNG would stop coming. Trump Touts Taiwan-Alaska LNG Deal Offering Decades Of Conflict-Free Supply Beyond Hormuz https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/trump-taiwan-alaska-lng-deal-offering-decades-conflict-free-supply-beyond-hormuz

    ​ Martin Armstrong, Americans Are Losing Faith in the Economy
    Americans are becoming more pessimistic, and their expectations for inflation are moving in the wrong direction. The University of Michigan’s preliminary October consumer sentiment index fell to 46.3 from 48.1 in September, below the 47.8 economists expected. One-year inflation expectations reached 4.7%, while five-year expectations rose to 3.5%. The survey points to mounting frustration over living costs, particularly among people with lower incomes and smaller investment portfolios…
    ​..The deterioration is far deeper than one disappointing monthly reading. Michigan’s sentiment index stood at 56.4 in January; October’s preliminary 46.3 is almost 18% lower. Compared with October last year, sentiment is down 13.6%, while the index measuring current economic conditions has fallen 23.7%. That current conditions measure plunged 12.2% in just the past month. Meanwhile, expectations for inflation over the next year have climbed from 3.4% in February to 4.7%.
    ​ People see their circumstances deteriorating and expect further price increases. A family cutting purchases to cover necessities does not need another lecture about how resilient the consumer remains. Continuing to spend because you still need food, fuel, and shelter tells us very little about whether you can comfortably afford them.
    ​ Look at the obligations competing for that paycheck. The median monthly mortgage payment sought by home-purchase applicants was $2,162 in August, according to MBA, before adding property taxes and homeowners insurance. Financed new vehicles carried an average payment of $787 in the third quarter, with 21.2% of buyers committing to more than $1,000 a month. KFF’s 2025 survey puts workers’ average contribution to employer-sponsored family health premiums at $6,850 annually, roughly $571 monthly, before deductibles and other medical bills. Child Care Aware’s national childcare price estimate for 2025 was $13,184 annually, approximately $1,099 a month, but these are all low figures. These describe different groups, rather than a single average household, but combine those benchmarks for an illustrative family with one financed car and one childcare bill and you reach about $4,619 monthly before groceries, utilities, fuel, school supplies, student loans, or taxes. Parents are paying somebody to watch their child so they can go to work, financing the car that gets them there, and paying for health coverage that still leaves additional bills when somebody becomes ill. Then officials tell these same people they need to pay more in taxes each year.​ https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/north_america/americas-current-economy/americans-are-losing-faith-in-the-economy/

    ​ Hold Reiner in your heart: REINER FULLMICH SUBJECTED TO RUSHED AND UNEXPECTED PRISON TRANSFER
    On October 8, 2026, Reiner Fuellmich was abruptly transferred from Bremervoerder to another prison (JVA Lingen) without prior notice being given to him, nor to his legal team, to whom he was denied a call at the time when he understood what was going on. https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/urgent-bulletin-about-reiner-fullmich

    ​ Meryl Nass MD, You’ve probably heard about the United Nations “Political declaration on pandemic prevention, preparedness and response” (PPPR)-a non-binding reminder that the cabal hasn’t given up – After the overwhelming majority of nations voted for it yesterday, they then said why they didn’t like it! https://merylnass.substack.com/p/youve-probably-heard-about-the-united

    Nicolas Hulscher, MPH BREAKING: 153 Nations Adopt UN Pandemic Declaration to Push FAST-TRACKED Vaccines Within 100 Days and Crack Down on “Vaccine Hesitancy”
    ​ The dangerous UN declaration raises concerns that scientific censorship, lockdowns, and experimental vaccine mandates could be back on the table.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/breaking-153-nations-adopt-un-pandemic

    #253137
    John Day
    Participant

    Prob’ly ​safer than Cheetos. Clutch pearls, anyway: 3D-Printed Fake Meat and Fish Have Officially Entered American Grocery Stores Without Clear Labeling
    ​ Israeli company Steakholder Foods is rolling out artificial steaks, chicken, and fish under its PERFECTA brand—with NO mention of 3D-printing on the packaging.​ https://www.thefocalpoints.com/p/3d-printed-fake-meat-and-fish-have

    ​ Jessica Rose Ph.D. explains: A theory of consciousness deriving spacetime – And why it probably means that AI will never be a true threat as a god, of sorts. https://jessicar.substack.com/p/a-theory-of-consciousness-deriving

    #253138
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    tboc:

    The following is my parsing for dummies like me

    our real nature is divine: pure, perfect, eternally free

    ignorance covers our real nature and the real nature of the world around us

    ignorance ceases with knowledge

    we are the real truth of our existence

    in the real truth of our existence we live, move, and have our being

    #253139
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    A theory of consciousness deriving spacetime
    And why it probably means that AI will never be a true threat as a god, of sorts.

    Jessica RoseOct 14, 2026
    You cannot derive consciousness from the physical world – from spacetime. But you should try.

    It’s consciousness all the way down.

    Spacetime derived from consciousness

    Dr. Donald Hoffman would argue that our everyday experience of reality is a useful evolutionary illusion rather than a direct window onto the world. As professor emeritus of cognitive sciences at UC Irvine, his research interests include Vision, Cognitive Science, Consciousness and Evolutionary Models of Perception. Hoffman has worked as a project engineer at the Hughes Aircraft Company and a research scientist at the Laboratory for Artificial Intelligence at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

    He’s no joke with his background in quantitative and computational psychology, and as a truly humble and curious human, he seems the right guy to probe questions about the nature of consciousness, and perhaps might help to prove that it cannot be derived from spacetime, if this is the case.

    Hoffman has endeavored to build a mathematical model of consciousness, and has used that model to offer a formal solution to the “combination problem” of consciousness. In other words, he’s used math to explain how a bunch of conscious agents combine and fuse into a unified “you”. He would claim that there is a layer of software outside of spacetime, and agrees with theoretical physicist John Archibald Wheeler that “There is no such thing at the microscopic level as space or time or spacetime continuum”. This statement comes directly from Wheeler’s 1989 paper Information, Physics, Quantum: The Search For Links.

    “Nobody can be anybody without somebodies around.”

    John Archibald Wheeler

    Wheeler would say that the Universe is made up of our choices and what we choose to measure, matters. Can’t say I disagree with that. You should read what he wrote about time and choice.

    What seems obviously true is that the observer participancy process is at the core of all science. Observer-participants generate information, information generates spacetime, and spacetime loops back to observer-participants. This is an infinite loop, and according to Hoffman, if we are to understand the role of the observer in terms of quantum theory, the loop must be “cracked”.

    We need to have an understanding of how our theories close the loop first.

    Notes on the observer

    Newtonian physics doesn’t need the observer. Einstein’s theory of spacetime requires clocks and coordinate systems, not necessarily conscious observers (see: time dilation and length contraction – physical effects measurable by instruments). In quantum theory however, the role of measurement is more fundamental. The Schrödinger equation is a linear differential equation that governs unitary evolution and preserves superpositions. All this means is that all possibilities are persistently maintained with no outcome. When a measurement occurs (when the observer observes), it is postulated that the wave function (Ψ) collapses to a single outcome. This observer is any physical detector and need not be a conscious mind. Think of the double-slit experiment to visualize this.

    I don’t want to brain break, but I find it too tempting to wonder of the observer stays in superposition. In other words, if the Schrödinger equation applies to everything (including observers), then there would be no collapse to a single outcome, and by extension, reality would never settle on a single definite outcome. So all possibilities remain real.

    According to textbooks, measurement is an exception to unitary evolution. Pure Schrödinger (unitary) evolution cannot collapse the wave function or produce a unique outcome. If the physical world is described solely by this evolution with no exceptions, and this evolution cannot give you a unique outcome, then that description of the physical world cannot give you a theory of measurement. Decoherence does not solve this problem.

    Conscious agents as observers

    Hoffman is proposing a theory of conscious agents (participators as per Wheeler’s terminology) that would describe a layer of software outside of spacetime by looking at longterm behaviour that projects into spacetime. He is formalizing the idea of the observer using mathematically precise statements and has created a model for these conscious agents, taking the first step to derive all of physics from consciousness, and not the other way around.

    Phenomenal.

    The problem with deriving consciousness from spacetime

    “If we are the ones who ‘build’ the spacetime, how come we don’t get [as many] spacetime[s] as people,” he wrote on November 8, 2005. “How come just one? Pursue further that one.”

    John Archibald Wheeler

    Trying to derive consciousness from physics might be an impossible problem. This is not say that it shouldn’t be tried, however. And in fact, it is being tried all the time and has been for quite a long time. But if do you start with a physical system inside space and time, and then try to boot up consciousness, you will inevitably fail. Think of it like trying to explain what something tastes like to someone using math. I would agree with Hoffman that you can’t do it because subjective experience resists reduction to physical descriptions.

    If you did have a theory of consciousness that started from physics, however, a pertinent and real question you might ask yourself is: What specific consciousness experience (as in: what precise Markov matrix – n^2 elements of the matrix) does the theory explain? Again, can you use it to explain the smell of rain and why it is not the smell of mint? Remember that scene in the Matrix when Mouse asks how the machines know what tasty wheat tastes like? Any purely physical account is in the same position as the machines who may have gotten the memories wrong: it can match input–output patterns and neural correlates, yet it lacks the resources to determine or explain why one experience has the character it does rather than another.

    If Hoffman is right, then it would be impossible for anything that starts from physics (neurons, quantum states of microtubules or AI) to create consciousness. To date, there is no theory of consciousness that does have a specific example that “works” from the point of view of going from spacetime physics to consciousness.

    Using math to map conscious experiences

    There are conscious experiences. This is true. A headache. The smell of petrichor. There are on the order of trillions of conscious experiences for humans. And other animals and living things also have different conscious experiences. There are these experiences, and then there are the probabilities of the transitions between these experiences.

    Let’s say that a conscious experience can be described using a Markov matrix, where each matrix represents conscious observer. N.B. A Markov matrix is simply a square matrix used to describe the transitions of a Markov chain, where each entry is a non-negative real number representing a probability. A Markov chain is simply a sequence of possible events in which the probability of each event depends only on the state attained in the previous event. Think of it like this: each conscious experience – like the smell of petrichor – together with the chances that it will turn into any other feeling – like sadness – can be described by a matrix of any size. This matrix is a fixed transition matrix and it is thought to be the inherent start point of a conscious agent. It is a fixed rule that governs transitions between experiences and not derived from anything more basic.

    I will have to think about what that means. Sounds like God to me.

    If the matrices describe the conscious agents, then the relationships between these matrices is the trace logic they share, and this is where the magic lies. This trace logic ties together all Markov matrices and thus it ties together the conscious observers. A trace represents the predictable subsystem an observer perceives when they cannot observe the entire system, effectively mapping to a logic of probabilistic beliefs. We can quantify this and build physics from it.

    Keep a counter that increments every time the experience changes in the Markov chain (an enhanced Markov chain). Compare, for example, a full chain that includes red, green and blue transitions with one of its traces that sees only red and green. Now compare a larger matrix with one of its traces – a smaller matrix that describes only a subset of the same states. The counter on the full matrix clicks more often than the counter on the trace, because the trace misses some transitions. Hoffman notes that this slower ticking on the trace is reminiscent of time-dilation. A related notion of distance between states in the chain shows an analogous contraction.

    How many steps will the commute time take? How many steps will it take to get from red to green back to red? Mathematicians say that the expected commute time maps to the square of the Euclidian distance. Nice result. There is a class of Markov chains (cyclic Markov chains) that yield Minkowski space (flat spacetime/contractions).

    This is not a proof yet, but it might become one. There does not seem to be an obstruction to Hoffman’s theory, and this is massively significant because it means that from the theory of conscious observers/agents, spacetime can be derived.

    This shows that our model of this reality (flat spacetime) derives from consciousness.

    There’s only one class of Markov chains that show this: the cyclic ones. Cyclic Markov chains are random processes that keep looping through the same fixed sequence of states over and over, always in the same order. For context, stationary Markov chains are random processes that have settled into a steady groove where the odds of being in any particular state stay exactly the same no matter how long it keeps running. Both flip a coin at every step but one is an infinite loop and the other is not and thus their randomness are differentially constrained.

    By analogy, cyclic Markov chains map onto structured observer-participancy that can generate spacetime geometry; stationary ones map onto passive equilibrium that does not. You can think of the cyclic looping as structured observer participation. Stationary chains, by contrast, just chill into fixed odds that never change, more like passive equilibrium. So under the analogy and Hoffman’s conjectures, spacetime’s structure is coming from the pattern of observers actively participating, not just from sitting back and passively watching.

    Thus the very structure of spacetime is proposed to come from the pattern of observer participancy. The Markov matrix trace logic is offered as showing a deep logical relationship among observers. This is the kind of active back-and-forth Hoffman models with conscious agents as Markov matrices. Inside the recursive-trace setup – where observers and agents come first and spacetime pops out of the trace logic on those matrices – the looping cyclic chains line up with the ordered participation that, i a large-cycle limit, is proposed to give flat spacetime (with the slower counters and shorter jumps inside the traces explaining time dilation and length contraction), while the settled stationary ones don’t supply that generative loop.

    Time dilations and length contractions are then conjectured to help yield spacetime as a derived interface.

    If we take this trace logic (an infinite set of observers), and define an agent on that so that an agent can crawl around on the trace logic, at any given point, an agent can make observation and then change its “mind” (change which matrix it’s looking through) with respect to what it is observing or if it is observing. This crawling around would be equivalent to using Markov kernels. There will be a probability distribution that will define which element the agent will choose. That’s the math part.

    What this means in plain language is that spacetime comes from consciousness and not the other way around, and Hoffman proposes that with very simple mathematics and logic, this might be provable.

    This is so interesting to me. Markov matrices are used for both the dynamics of experiences inside an observer and the dynamics of agents that move among observers. Thus, the experiences are the states of the observer’s matrix, and the agents are matrices defined on the space of those observer matrices.

    Each conscious experience depends on what your matrix is. Yours might be much higher in dimensions than mine which means that you would experience things completely differently from me. We might be looking at the same thing but we won’t see the same thing. It would be the difference between not believing that certain things are possible and knowing that they are. It all depends on the dimension of the matrix that the conscious agent resides in.

    The virtual reality headset

    Let’s assume for the time being (whatever that means) that spacetime is not fundamental so that we can play with our potentials.

    For example, if you did take spacetime as fundamental, you’d have a hard time understanding certain technologies, like UAPs. Let’s instead switch frameworks and see spacetime as a virtual reality (VR) headset created by consciousness. Let’s go one step further and try to describe a layer of software outside of that headset. Explaining novel and what seem like foreign technologies is easy now.

    If you are the VR designer, then you can control what’s in that headset, right? The Pandora’s Box of infinite possibilities of designing technologies from outside of the box of spacetime framework, is thus open. And whether people know it or not, I think it’s clear that it’s already done. And I also think it’s already within us to design and control the headset. It always has been.

    Hoffman is setting up the mathematics to reverse engineer the spacetime VR headset. He claims that no neural activity causes conscious experience. I agree with him, and I am someone who’s had my foot in the microtubule camp for a long time, but what if matter is a phase of consciousness? According to Hoffman, the brain is a headset representation – inside spacetime – of how the headset is engineered. N.B. Hoffman is indeed looking at the brain as a neuroscientist (with other neuroscientists) and as a neuroscientist, he claims that neurons do not exist when they are not perceived.

    Amazing.

    Reverse engineering the headset to prove that consciousness creates spacetime is no trivial endeavor and our brains are limited, don’t forget. But, and this is a big butt and I cannot lie, we are not our brains. What we are is not limited.

    Controlling the parameters of the headset means acting through the deeper recursive trace logic and agent policies that Hoffman places outside of spacetime. The headset is the interface, the Markov matrices, their traces and the agents defined on them are the structure. And just because you can imagine something inside the headset doesn’t mean it exists in the deeper agent reality – the headset is built to conceal that reality, not to show it.

    This is pure Gnosticism, by the way. But that’s my next article.

    Hoffman is clear that his endeavors must be about rigor: theorem – proof – theorem – proof. Rigor inside of spacetime to prove a layer of software outside of spacetime is not an easy task, perhaps even impossible one.

    Whether or not there are higher “level” beings have higher order matrices and less limited headsets, we humans have something unique and special that goes far beyond any exploration of the reality derived from a brain. In my view, we are transcendent light beings and according to Hoffman, we are wearing VR headsets that hide us from reality. I can’t say that this challenges my view. Perhaps Hoffman will provide mathematical proof of Gnosis one day?

    What about AIs?

    What this all means to me is that since the AIs came from spacetime physics and math, they can never achieve consciousness.

    This is massive, if it’s true.

    Hoffman’s theory, to me anyway, draws a distinction between conscious beings and any synthetic mind that we might build. An AI built entirely inside spacetime physics and mathematics cannot create consciousness, because consciousness is fundamental and spacetime is only a derived headset. In Hoffman’s view, the right question might be “Does this system correspond to, or open a portal onto, a genuine conscious agent in the deeper Markov/trace-logic network?” as opposed to “How does a physical or computational system inside spacetime produce experience?”

    He has stated that current AI does not create consciousness and that no physical system does. At best, sophisticated interfaces might let us interact with consciousnesses that already exist outside the headset. He treats the whole “AI becomes conscious by scaling up spacetime computation” program as starting from the wrong foundation and I agree.

    My questions for the ages

    Is Hoffman’s theory of conscious observers as Markov matrices correct? If it is and if the math pans out, then the fact that Markov matrices were developed inside spacetime physics does not make the theory self-contradictory, because the mathematics is abstract and need not be bound by the physical setting in which it was first discovered. The trace logic comes from outside of spacetime according to his theory, so, where does it come from? I mean, it resides where consciousness resides, ok, but where is that? Location itself is one of the things the headset constructs and even asking “where does it reside?” still uses the spatial vocabulary of the interface that he claims is not fundamental. But still… I would imagine that Hoffman’s answer would be that the agents and their trace logic are what exist and that the question of a further location does not arise inside the theory. But still…

    In the spirit of John Archibald Wheeler’s bathtub inquiry: “What happens when you get to the end of things?”, my own instinct frames this question in terms of location, and this might simply mean I just don’t understand yet, but still. His bathtub question is about asking “what is more fundamental?”. If we keep asking this, we eventually hit a point where the usual coordinates – location, container, “where” – stop being available. Perhaps my instinct that still reaches for them is the last piece of my headset talking. I wonder what will happen when it falls off.

    “The infinite allows itself to be completely lost and to lose its identity and then slowly wake up.”

    Donald Hoffman

    A transcendent being, when it sees itself, will fall down upon itself in awe. In terms of this place where we dwell, I think it would be cool to tweak the parameters of the headset, but I think it would be even cooler to remove the headset altogether. I think the point of being here is to outgrow it.

    Those are big words, I know.

    My next article is going to be doozy. I am 100% on-board in terms of my instinct to mathematically frame the theory that consciousness derives spacetime. Teaser: In Gnostic terms, the material world is a prison that confines the divine spark and hides the higher reality. In Hoffman’s terms that prison is the spacetime headset: a projected interface generated by the dynamics of conscious agents.

    I am going to try to map or overlay the architecture (successive constraints that keep agents inside one projected interface) of the mind prison (the VR headset) that humans are kept in according to Gnosticism, onto Hoffman’s model. This will be my own interpretation of course and it would be my hope that it won’t offend Hoffman. 🙂
    https://jessicar.substack.com/p/a-theory-of-consciousness-deriving

    #253140
    zerosum
    Participant

    You must have heard about

    “the CIA-funded Maidan coup”

    millions of people have died.
    million/billion of people have been negatively affected.

    If you have not heard about “Maidan”, Do a search. Pick a story. Compare the Search results: (About 10,800 results)

    ————

    The truth is in the noise.
    Read TAE.

    • Zelensky Thinks He Can Bully Trump Like He Does EU Leaders (Romanenko)

    • Zelensky Prolongs Fighting To Avoid Answering For Corruption – Polish MEP (RT)

    • The Warsaw Security Forum Is Dangerously Deluded (RT)

    • Nord Stream Bomber Says Was Operating on Instructions from Ukraine (CTH)

    • Kremlin Comments On Ukraine’s Restricted Access To Starlink (TASS)

    • Loud Rhetoric and Quiet Actions (Rabbi Michael Barclay)

    The British government made an official announcement, and it will very possibly be used as a reason to initiate attacks on Iran before the midterms.

    ————–
    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/i-come-your-future-frenchmans-warning-all-americans-voting-democrat
    “I Come From Your Future”: A Frenchman’s Warning To All Americans Voting Democrat”

      AI video startup Argil, aimed at Americans considering voting Democrat.

    Higher borrowing costs make funding the welfare increasingly impossible.
    Spending more on debt service leaves the government less flexibility to fund services, absorb economic shocks, or deliver the next round of handout promises as services continue to degrade.

    ————
    Just because you are retired, you can still learn something new.

    Argil.AI is an AI-powered text-to-video platform that allows users to create professional videos using customizable avatars without cameras, actors, or traditional production.
    Overview
    Argil.AI is a no-code video creation platform designed to simplify content production for creators, marketers, educators, and businesses. It enables users to generate high-quality videos by training AI avatars from a short video or image, which then replicate the user’s face, voice, and mannerisms for unlimited video production
    The platform integrates to assist in script generation, making it easier to produce engaging content quickly

    ————–
    https://sierra.ai/blog/summit-recap-2026
    Sierra Summit 2026: Bring us your hardest problems

    Most of us have spent our lives overestimating the pace of technology adoption.
    But AI presents the opposite challenge.
    A year ago almost all code was written by hand, and today it’s mostly written by AI.
    Three months ago personal agents did not exist, and today people are trusting them with their credit cards.

    At Sierra Summit in San Francisco, we set out to see how Sierra can help companies answer the hard questions they’re facing as they navigate this new technology.
    How do we stay on the frontier when the frontier changes every two weeks?
    How do we empower consumers while maintaining deep, direct relationships with our customers?
    If everyone has access to the same AI, how do we differentiate ourselves?

    ————-

    Another Lesson on False History taught by liars determined to destroy America

    Paul Craig Roberts

    This is a is factually based history lesson. The lesson is about black slaveowners. Larry Koger’s book, Black Slaveowners, ( https://mcfarlandbooks.com/product/black-slaveowners/ ), is well documented. Koger provides 34 pages of documentation listing the names of black slave owners and the number of slaves they owned in South Carolina and 38 pages of historical notes.
    ———-

    #253141
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #253142
    zerosum
    Participant

    Panic in Kiev as AFU’s Starlink “Mysteriously” Throttled One Day After Intelligence Blackout
    Simplicius
    15 hours ago

    https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/panic-in-kiev-as-afus-starlink-mysteriously

    ————–

    I FEEL BETRAYED AND WILL NOT RESIGN – Zelensky Returns to War😤Refinery Strikes Resume🎯MS 2026.10.15


    ————

    #253143
    Michael Reid
    Participant

    #253144
    Michael Reid
    Participant

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