Jun 242023

Johannes Vermeer The girl with the wine glass (Dame en twee heren) 1659


Prigozhin Charged With Armed Mutiny, To Face Up To 20 Years In Prison (TASS)
Russian MoD Denies Media Reports of Strikes on Wagner Positions (Sp.)
Russian Army Retreating In Ukraine, Putin Being Deceived – Prigozhin (Az.)
Prigozhin Says Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Unjustified (MT)
Zelensky May ‘Sacrifice All Of Europe’ – Russian Envoy (RT)
Russian UN Ambassador Says Ukrainian Counteroffensive ‘Suicidal’ (TASS)
West in Denial About Failure of Ukrainian ‘Counter-Offensive’ (Tweedie)
The Counteroffensive Had No Chance. NATO Failed To Explain That (MoA)
Analysis Ukrainian Counteroffensive Part 2 June 23 (Valtersson)
Why an Armistice Offers the Best Hope for Peace in Ukraine (Foreign Affairs)
Envoy Slams US Senators’ ‘Absurd’ Claims About Nuclear Strike on Ukraine (Sp.)
The PRC’s Rise Is A Failure Of American Presidential Leadership (Thayer)
Cash-Strapped Europe Still Paying to Arm Ukraine for Proxy Conflict (Tweedie)
Teachable Moment (Jim Kunstler)





This is not a counteroffensive, it’s a bloody crashtest.





Pressure difference between a space capsule and the vacuum of space: Less than 1 atm.
Pressure difference between a submersible at the Titanic and the surrounding water pressure: Nearly 400 atm. (5,600 lbs per sq inch)



There will be no presidential elections in Ukraine until the end of the war – Zelensky
















It’s all true. Hunter, the laptop, the bribes, the foreign cash, the money laundering to his dad. The President of the United States is a crook and a traitor. The DOJ has known all of it for years. So they’re destroying Trump’s life to protect Biden.





Strange things happened in the past 24 hours. Core: until now it was Prigozhin vs Shoigu and Gerasimov. Now it’s Prigozhin vs Putin. Or at least he doesn’t leave Putin a way out.

But Prigozhin has been part of PR schemes before -Bakhmut-, to lure Ukraine into thinking they could attack, only to get slaughtered.

Prigozhin Charged With Armed Mutiny, To Face Up To 20 Years In Prison (TASS)

The Russian Defense Ministry called the reports on strikes at Wagner PMC units false. The Ministry added that Russian forces continue to carry out missions in the special military operation area. Later, the Ministry announced that the Kiev regime took advantage of Prigozhin’s provocation and is concentrating forces of 35th and 36th Marine Brigades on the Bakhmut direction for offensive action. Kremlin Spokesman Dmitry Peskov said that President Vladimir Putin was informed about the situation around Prigozhin and “necessary measures are being taken.” According to the spokesman, all Russian security agencies report to Putin about measures being taken around the clock.

The National Antiterrorism Committee announced that Prigozhin’s statements became grounds for initiation of the criminal case over charges of calls for an armed mutiny; the Committee demanded to immediately stop illegal actions. Later, the Prosecutor General’s Office said that the criminal case was initiated legitimately and was justified. The Office promised to provide legal assessment to Prigozhin’s actions. The Wagner PMC founder may face between 12 and 20 years in prison. Prigozhin’s statements effectively constitute calls for beginning of and armed civil conflict, Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) press office said. “Prigozhin’s statements and actions effectively constitute calls for an armed civil conflict on Russian territory and a stab in the back of Russian servicemen fighting with pro-Nazi Ukrainian forces,” the press office said.

Russia’s Deputy Commander of Russian joint forces in the special military operation area Sergey Surovikin called on the Wagner PMC to comply with President Vladimir Putin’s order and to resolve all issues peacefully. “I urge you to stop. The enemy is waiting for our internal political situation to escalate. We must not play in enemy’s favor in this difficult time. Before it is too late, it is necessary to submit to the will and order to the nationally elected president of the Russian Federation, to stop the convoys, to take them back to their permanent deployment and concentration locations, and to only resolve all issues peacefully,” he said. Russia’s Channel 1 aired two special reports. The first said that the video about the “strike” on Wagner PMC positions is fake, proven by the absence of other video footage, and the fact that audio files on Prigozhin’s Telegram channel were recorded simultaneously and were published as scheduled messages. In addition, the report announced the initiation of the criminal case against Prigozhin.

Moscow’s critical facilities have been put under reinforced protection, security measures in the capital have been increased, a source in law enforcement agencies told TASS. According to the source, Russian National Guard special units were put on full alert. Car traffic has been blocked on Russia’s M-4 highway past Rostov-on-Don towards Aksay, according to TASS reported at the scene. All cars moving from Rostov-on-Don towards Aksay are being redirected back in the city, and police checkpoints have been reinforced. Checkpoints have been established near the Southern Military District headquarters in Rostov-on-Don, with military and law enforcement upholding the public order.

Military checkpoints have been established on streets adjacent to the headquarters, with numerous police cars; an armored personnel carrier was spotted near the headquarters building. The city’s central streets are being patrolled by police cars; aircraft was heard in air in Western parts of the city. No security agency has provided any official comments yet. Meanwhile, the situation at the “Wagner PMC Center” building in St. Petersburg remains calm, there are no Russian National Guard employees or employees of other security services, according to a TASS reporter. Security detail on duty debunked reports of searches in the building. Crimean authorities urged residents to only trust official information due to intensified activities of Ukraine’s Informational and Psychological Operation Center (TSIPsO).

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The whole thing was started based on a bunch of videos?

Russian MoD Denies Media Reports of Strikes on Wagner Positions (Sp.)

Earlier, videos surfaced on social media attributed to the Wagner private military contractor accusing the Russian military of hitting a Wagner camp in rear areas. The MoD has characterized these videos as a “media provocation.” Reports about Russian military strikes on Wagner rear area camps are not true, Russia’s Defense Ministry has said. “All the messages and videos distributed on social networks on behalf of [Wagner Head Yevgeny] Prigozhin about alleged ‘strike by Russian Defense Ministry on the rear camps of the Wagner PMC do not correspond to reality and are an informational provocation,” the ministry said in a statement posted to its Telegram page Friday. “The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue to carry out combat missions on the line of contact with the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of the special military operation,” it added.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters Friday that President Putin has been “informed of all events around Prigozhin,” and said that “necessary measures are being taken.” The press secretary did not elaborate. Russia’s National Anti-Terrorism Committee said Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB) had opened a criminal case over “calling for an armed rebellion,” and that allegations spread on behalf of Wagner chief Prigozhin were “unfounded.” “In connection with these statements, the FSB has opened a criminal case over calls for an armed rebellion. We demand that these illegal actions be stopped immediately,” the committee said. Earlier in the day, footage and audio attributed to Wagner troops and Prigozhin surfaced online alleging that a “missile attack” had been launched at a Wagner camp, and that the strike was “delivered from the rear, that is by forces of the Russian Defense Ministry.”

The voice attributed to Prigozhin appeared to call for the ouster of the Defense Ministry’s leadership. The footage and audio were immediately jumped on by Ukrainian and US state-funded media outlets, which have been reporting heavily on Prigozhin’s criticism of Russian generals in recent weeks. Wagner units and Russian Army forces jointly took part in the battle of Artemovsk (Bakhmut), liberating the Donbass city in late May after eight months of heavy fighting which pinned down large concentrations of Ukrainian troops, allowed Russia to train up its mobilized reserves, and resulted in a major defeat for Kiev ahead of its now-stalled counteroffensive.

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From yesterday, before the “coup attempt”. Prigozhin says Russia is losing. Got me thinking, because that’s something not even the most pro-Ukraine western MSM reports.

Russian Army Retreating In Ukraine, Putin Being Deceived – Prigozhin (Az.)

Russian troops are retreating along the front line in Ukraine – in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson, while the Russian Defense Ministry and the Russian General Staff are talking about a possible victory and are providing false information to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Head of Wagner PMC Yevgeny Prigozhin said, Report informs referring to Russian media. He noted that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are actively neutralizing the Russian army, adding that the Ministry of Defense and the General Staff ‘still hope that they can win this war’ and ‘thoroughly deceive the president.’

In his video, Prigozhin shared his vision of the events taking place in Ukraine. In particular, the founder of PMC Wagner said that by February 24, 2022, the situation in Donbass was no different from what had been happening there since 2014. Ukraine was not going to attack Russia together with NATO. The Ministry of Defense, speaking about the upcoming Ukrainian offensive, deceived both the public and the President of Russia, Prigozhin claims. The war was needed only so that a ‘bunch’ of people simply ‘triumphed and promoted,’ as well as the oligarchs who profit from it, Prigozhin noted.

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Also from yesterday, and also a strange statement.

Prigozhin Says Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine Unjustified (MT)

Russia did not face an imminent security threat to justify its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of Russia’s Wagner mercenary outfit, said in a bombshell video posted on social media Friday. “The Armed Forces of Ukraine were not going to attack Russia with the NATO bloc,” Prigozhin explained in the half-hour tirade released by his press service. “The Russian Defense Ministry is deceiving the public and the president,” he added. Prigozhin’s comments were at odds with the casus belli given by President Vladimir Putin when he ordered troops into Ukraine last February, although the private army chief avoided personally attacking the Russian leader. Putin has cited NATO expansion near Russia’s borders as one of the main justifications for invading neighboring Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Prigozhin escalated his criticism of Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu by claiming that Russia went to war “for the self-promotion of a bunch of bastards.” He blamed Russia’s military leadership for “poorly planning” the invasion and “embarrassing” the military after a series of setbacks on the battlefield last year. “Shoigu killed thousands of the most combat-ready Russian soldiers in the first days of the war,” he charged. “The mentally ill scumbags decided ‘It’s okay, we’ll throw in a few thousand more Russian men as ‘cannon fodder.’ ‘They’ll die under artillery fire, but we’ll get what we want’,” Prigozhin continued. “That’s why it has become a protracted war.”

Prigozhin also accused Kremlin-linked oligarchs of seeking to plunder Ukraine’s resources after its military capture and appointment of a puppet regime in Kyiv. “The task was to divide material assets in Ukraine. There was widespread theft in the [industrial eastern Ukrainian territory of the] Donbas, but they wanted more.” Some analysts have interpreted Prigozhin’s latest comments as a sign of his growing political ambitions. He addressed the Ukrainian forces’ ongoing counteroffensive in similarly critical terms, saying the Russian army is retreating from the partially occupied Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions. “We are washing ourselves in blood. No one is bringing reserves. What they tell us is the deepest deception,” Prigozhin said, referring to Putin and Shoigu’s claims that Russia is successfully pushing back Ukrainian counterattacks.

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“Mikhail Podoliak, a senior aide to Zelensky, blamed the offensive’s failure on the West’s apparent hesitance to give Kiev all of the heavy weapons it asked for..”

Zelensky May ‘Sacrifice All Of Europe’ – Russian Envoy (RT)

Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky could stage a false-flag attack at the Zaporozhye Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP) in order to provoke NATO intervention, Russia’s deputy permanent representative to the UN, Dmitry Polyanskiy, warned on Friday. Polyanskiy said on Twitter that Russia had “just drawn attention to these plans of [the] Kiev regime during the UN Security Council meeting” that morning. “The whole of Europe may be easily sacrificed by Ze and his blind Russophobic sponsors,” he added. “Don’t tell us we didn’t warn you!” Zelensky’s “plan” – according to some pro-Russian commentators – would involve causing a nuclear accident at the ZNPP facility, which has been under Russian control since the early days of the special military operation in Ukraine. According to this theory, Kiev would then blame the ensuing disaster on Russia, leading NATO to openly declare war on Russia in response.

This exact scenario was mapped out by US Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal on Thursday. The two lawmakers proposed a resolution under which the US would consider a meltdown at the plant as an act of war against NATO, due to the fact that Poland would be affected by radioactive fallout. Russia’s ambassador in Washington, Anatoly Antonov, cautioned that the “crazy” resolution could be laying the groundwork for such a false-flag incident. Zelensky claimed on Thursday that Russia is preparing a “terrorist act” at the ZNPP, adding that “radiation knows no borders” and “who it hits” will depend on the “direction of the wind.” Russia has repeatedly accused Ukraine of shelling the ZNPP, with Moscow’s permanent ambassador to the UN, Vassily Nebenzia, demanding on multiple occasions that the UN Security Council order Kiev to cease firing on the plant. Ukrainian forces also made several attempts to retake the plant by crossing the Dnieper River last year, and allegedly attacked it with explosives-laden drones on Friday morning.

“Ukraine blew up the Nova Kakhovka hydroelectric power station in order to distract the world from the failures of their much-publicized counteroffensive,” Zaporozhye authorities said in a statement. “Now they need another disaster, this time a nuclear one, for which they will again blame Russia.” Launched at the beginning of this month, Ukraine’s counteroffensive has cost Kiev 13,000 troops so far, without netting any significant territorial gains, according to the Russian Defense Ministry. With American and Western officials reportedly displeased, Mikhail Podoliak, a senior aide to Zelensky, blamed the offensive’s failure on the West’s apparent hesitance to give Kiev all of the heavy weapons it asked for in recent months.

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“..obsessed with this notorious counterattack, set little store on the interests of their people and the future of their country..”

Russian UN Ambassador Says Ukrainian Counteroffensive ‘Suicidal’ (TASS)

The counteroffensive from Ukraine’s armed forces is fully self-destructive, set in motion with complete disregard for the interests of the Ukrainian people, Russian UN Ambassador Vasily Nebenzya told a meeting of the UN Security Council on Friday. “Ukraine’s armed forces have been conducting a suicidal counteroffensive against Russian positions for almost a month now; it has already cost them tens of thousands of mobilized men, several hundred pieces of armored hardware, and it is called in Ukrainian society none other than the Zaporozhye slaughter,” Nebenzya said. “As was the case with the Bakhmut slaughter, where the Kiev regime sent Ukrainian soldiers to their deaths for several months just to prove to Western arms suppliers that Ukraine could defeat Russia.

Of course, they only succeeded in proving the opposite, which [Ukrainian President Vladimir] Zelensky and his clique are trying to forget today.” “Now they face a bigger task: how to make a victory out of a complete fiasco and defeat. Toiling on this task together with them are Washington, London and Brussels, who never think about Ukraine as such and its interests,” the UN ambassador went on to say.

“Against the background of what is going on, it is even more evident today that they are interested in this country only as an instrument to weaken or at least restrain Russia. That is why they will not let the puppet regime in Kiev have any peace talks, at least as long as there are still some Ukrainians left. The same way they didn’t allow it to be done in March last year, as Russian President Vladimir Putin explained in detail at a meeting with African leaders,” Nebenzya said. “It is obvious that those in Kiev, who are behind this terrorist attack (Kakhovka hydroelectric power plant blast – TASS), obsessed with this notorious counterattack, set little store on the interests of their people and the future of their country,” the diplomat stressed.

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“..Russia called up 300,000 reservists on top of the 150,000 force that they went into Ukraine with..”

West in Denial About Failure of Ukrainian ‘Counter-Offensive’ (Tweedie)

Former CIA director and US Central Command chief General David Petraeus predicted on June 6, two days into Kiev’s southern offensive, that “the Russians will prove to be more brittle than the expectation is” when faced with Western-supplied armour, also claiming that Moscow’s troops were poorly trained, equipped and led and exhausted after a year on the front line without a break. Since then, the Russian army’s Vostok (East) battlegroup has destroyed at least 246 Ukrainian tanks, including 13 NATO models including the vaunted Leopard 2s, along with more than 440 other armoured vehicles, while the Ukrainian forces have suffered some 13,000 casualties Military analyst Mark Sleboda told Sputnik that Petraeus’ statements were “blatantly false.”

“First of all, Russia called up 300,000 reservists on top of the 150,000 force that they went into Ukraine with,” he pointed out. “These are all people who had prior experience in the military, and then they received over eight months of training since they were called up on top of this.” He also attacked the Western view of the conflict as akin to a heroic war film. “Some people believe this is a Hollywood movie and expect results,” Sleboda noted. “No it’s not. Why would we think that this is a Hollywood movie?” “We had videos of this Kiev regime information war, which they have always prioritized over the real war,” Sleboda underscored. “We had a number of Ukrainian military flashing through them, showing them all shushing us into silence, assuring us that there is a plan for the counteroffensive.”

That was followed by an “obvious deepfake video” of Ukrainian military intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov, believed hit by a Russian missile strike on his Kiev headquarters on May 29, “staring into the camera for a interminable period of time, blinking oddly at these intervals.” The military analyst predicted that once the Ukrainian offensive runs out of steam, Russia will mount a counter-offensive in the “proper use of the term.” “But it probably will not look like a big arrow sweeping Hollywood style offensive, like we’ve been expected to believe,” Sleboda said. “I expect it will be more of the same focused on liberating the last these fortress strongholds in the Donbass.”

“There won’t be a big tank blitzkrieg, riding on the minefields, because we’ve seen how well they work for Kiev,” the security expert stressed. “It will be doing what works for them, which is the slow grind of artillery and air power from above.” The analyst argued that Russia was much better prepared for a protracted conflict than the Kiev regime and its Western masters. “Putin is definitely sending signals that Russia considers that it is in this conflict for the long term,” Sleboda said, but the US and NATO as a whole “are running low on the stockpiles of many items that are essential for the Kiev regime to continue the conflict, like artillery shells.”

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“‘Western’ equipment is more complex than Soviet era stuff. It also requires more specialized maintenance. The Ukraine received a zoo.

The Counteroffensive Had No Chance. NATO Failed To Explain That (MoA)

At the end of 2022 the Ukrainian army had been exhausted and had been already been destroyed twice. The Russians had first destroyed large parts of the original equipment of the Ukrainian army and then the Soviet era equipment that was brought to Ukraine from former Warsaw Pact nations. More importantly they had killed or wounded many of the experienced non-commissioned staff (Sergeants etc) and lower rank officers of the Ukrainian military that command and are the core of each company. The newly mobilized Ukrainian forces did not have the knowledge or training necessary to replace them. ‘Western’ equipment is more complex than Soviet era stuff. It also requires more specialized maintenance. The Ukraine received a zoo.

The many types of equipment and the many incompatible kinds of ammunition they use are a logistic nightmare. ‘Western’ training for the mobilized Ukrainian forces did not bring up more capable soldiers than Soviet training would have done. Those who watched NATO stumble in Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya should have recognized that. Russian on the other side mobilized 300,000 soldiers who mostly had been contract soldiers before they had returned to private life. They received extensive refresher training. They now mostly get paid more than in their civilian life which certainly helped to increase their motivation. Russia also changed the structure of its military. The main Russian fighting force in 2022 was made up of Brigade Tactical Groups (BIG). Each of them was part of a garrison brigade which next to the one contract soldier BTG had additional battalions that were mostly training conscripts. Under Russian laws the conscript battalions could not be used on foreign ground.

The fighting BTG’s had few real infantry soldiers. Next to their 9 infantry platoons they had 8 artillery and 5 auxiliary platoons. Of a total of some 800 plus soldiers in a BTG only 200 were actually infantry that could man the trenches. The whole structure was too big and too difficult to command. After the mobilization had brought up enough men the Russian military changed from BTGs to a mobile brigade structure. Under a higher commander the brigade holds two or three battalions that each consist of three or four companies of mobile infantry or tanks. Most of the artillery and auxiliary troops of the former BTGs are now concentrated under the brigade structure and can be used more flexible wherever they are needed. The tooth to tail ratio in the frontline battalions is now much higher than in a BTG and the whole structure is easier to command.

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Twitter thread by @MikaelValterss1

Analysis Ukrainian Counteroffensive Part 2 June 23 (Valtersson)

Some asks how I can say that the Ukrainian counteroffensive already is a failure. Many Ukrainian units haven’t seen combat yet, so things could change. The easy answer is that it’s hard to make up for early losses. UkrAF has 40-50 good field brigades, usable for offensive purposes. A problem is that many soldiers are raw and have had to short training, but the brigades also has many battle hardened veterans and good weaponry. Half of these are on the Southern front and half on the Eastern front. Earlier a large part of them used to be a strategic reserve. On the Southern front about a third of the units has seen combat and maybe two thirds on the Eastern front. All in all, half of the brigades has seen combat recently. Half a dozen of the brigades has been rotated away. Probably due to high losses. That’s mean that 12-15 percent of the Ukrainian Field Army is used up since the beginning of June.

On the Eastern front there are a lack of fresh Ukrainian units and the possibility of major Ukrainian counteroffensives are limited. Some believe that Ukraine prepares for a large scale offensive e near Kreminna, but I think that’s unlikely, even though a large number of Ukrainian brigades are stationed there. But many of these are made up of fresh recruits with limited training and no heavy equipment. The better brigades are in the second line. This positioning of units are probably to defend against a Russian offensive, with the good brigades as counterattack units. On the Southern front, Ukrainian forces probably are in a quandary about what to do. Abandoning the Counteroffensive and save unit or gamble everything on success.

The original plan was probably to attack in the west and east with strong forces (blue arrows), making so large breakthroughs that Russian reserves would be moved there (red arrows) and leaving the Centre exposed. The second attack would come in the centre (purple arrow) with the aim of breaking through to the Russian rear and move towards Berdyansk (1). If Russian reserves turned around and attacked the Ukrainians I the Centre (yellow arrows), Ukrainian reserve units could move eastwardsand, help breaking through south of Vreminka salient (green arrow) and move towards Mariupol (2). I don’t think the attacks in the west towards Tokmak (4) and Melitopol (3) was the main push, since there are many strong defencelines to fight through to get there.

In the Centre and south of Vreminka salient the Russian defences are much thinner and easier to break through. Unfortunately for the Ukrainians, Russian units, air power, artillery, mine fields etc was much stronger than expected. So there was no need to move around reserves to handle Ukrainian breakthroughs. Instead the Ukrainian avant-garde brigades got severely mauled by Russian forces. Now the UkrAF are clerly weakened after dozens of attacks against the Russian forward positions,not even getting to the real russian fortifications. If things continue like this the coming 19 days 25-30 percent of the assault brigades in the south will be spent and all reserves used up on the Eastern front. Even if there are some territorial gains, larger than the first 19 days, the brigades left, probably aren’t strong enough to achieve a breakthrough of the Russian main defencelines and if they could do that, there wouldn’t be much left to continue advancing.

Especially with Russian strategic reserves arriving on the Southern front. The offensive isn’t over and it might continue during the summer. But if it does Ukraine might have spent most of their offensive power to do nothing in the South, all the while RuAF might have used Ukrainian preoccupation with Zaporizhia and South Donetsk to make own breakthroughs in the East and North. Breakthroughs hard to contain if Ukraine spends its offensive power running into a wall in the South. Abort the Counteroffensive and save the reserve to counter russian offensives.

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Jim Rickards: “Foreign Affairs is the voice of the globalists. Last year they discussed a Ukrainian victory and the end of Putin. Today, it’s a stalemate and armistice. Next year it will be Ukrainian terms of surrender. They just don’t get it. Russia is a superpower.”

Why an Armistice Offers the Best Hope for Peace in Ukraine (Foreign Affairs)

Today, the Korean Peninsula remains a site of high geopolitical tension. North Korea is governed by a dictator who brutally represses his citizens and regularly threatens his neighbors with nuclear weapons. But the carnage of the Korean War is now a distant memory, and the peace produced by the armistice allowed South Korea to develop a robust economy and, eventually, a stable liberal democracy. For all its flaws, the armistice was a success. The war ravaging Ukraine today bears more than a passing resemblance to the Korean War. And for anyone wondering about how it might end, the durability of the Korean armistice—and the high human cost of the delay in reaching it—deserves close study. The parallels are clear.

In Ukraine, as in Korea seven decades ago, a static battlefront and intractable political differences call for a cease-fire that would pause the violence while putting off thorny political issues for another day. The Korean armistice “enabled South Korea to flourish under American security guarantees and protection,” the historian Stephen Kotkin has pointed out. “If a similar armistice allowed Ukraine—or even just 80 percent of the country—to flourish in a similar way,” he argues, “that would be a victory in the war.” The negotiations that produced the Korean armistice were long and difficult and took place alongside heavy fighting, before the war’s costs were clear enough to persuade either side to compromise. The same would likely be true today.

The Korean experience also suggests that the obstinacy of Russian President Vladimir Putin—who, like Stalin, seems averse to compromise of any kind—could be especially obstructive. On top of that, domestic politics in the United States and the gap between Washington’s and Kyiv’s legitimate but distinct interests could trip up a cease-fire. At the moment, debate in Washington often focuses on the question of when would be the right time to start pushing Ukraine to negotiate, and the consensus answer has generally been, “Not yet.” The Korean War shows that, in a military stalemate, it can take a very long time for both sides to clearly see that the costs of continuing to fight are outweighing the benefits. And by the time they do, a great deal of death and destruction can occur without producing any meaningful advantages.

If the United States, NATO, and other supporters of Ukraine do decide to work toward a cease-fire, the end of the Korean War offers three practical lessons. First, they must be willing to fight and talk simultaneously, using battlefield pressure to enforce demands at the negotiating table. Second, they should include the United Nations in any negotiations, since neutral arbiters are an asset. Finally, they should condition future security assistance and postconflict support for Ukraine on Kyiv’s willingness to make some concessions. A complete victory for Ukraine and the West and a total defeat for the other side would be a welcome end to the Ukraine war, just as it would have been in Korea. And as in Korea, the risk of escalation confounds such an outcome. Kyiv, Washington, and their partners in opposing Moscow’s aggression should understand that an armistice that both Ukraine and Russia can accept—even if it fails to settle all the important questions—would still be a win.

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A nuke attack would activate Article 5. So you fake one.

Envoy Slams US Senators’ ‘Absurd’ Claims About Nuclear Strike on Ukraine (Sp.)

Earlier, US Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said the lawmakers were introducing a resolution to consider the use of a nuclear weapon by Russia in Ukraine as an attack on the NATO alliance. US senators’ speculations about the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons in Ukraine are absurd and contribute to the escalation of tensions, Russian Ambassador to the United States Anatoly Antonov said on Thursday.”Speculations about Russia’s possible use of tactical nuclear weapons are absurd. The provocative and short-sighted rhetoric of US lawmakers only contributes to the escalation of tensions and increases the risk of the situation sliding to an even more dangerous line,” Antonov said in a statement shared among media.

Antonov slammed the resolution as another “crazy initiative” of “Russophobe senators” in the US. Russia’s deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus was done on legal grounds, the ambassador noted. “We have not violated a single international obligation and have done exactly what the Americans have been doing for decades, deploying nuclear bombs on the territories of European allies,” Antonov said.The ambassador suggested that these speculations serve to prepare the world community for a false-flag provocation at the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant by sliding a “dirty bomb” there and blaming it on Russia.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said in mid-June that Russia had transferred the first part of the nuclear warheads to Belarus and would complete the task of moving tactical nuclear weapons completely by the end of the year. Putin said the deployment was an element of deterrence and a signal to those thinking about inflicting a strategic defeat on Russia. Russian Foreign Intelligence Service head Sergey Naryshkin said earlier in June that Kiev could continue to work on the creation of a “dirty bomb,” adding that the possible use of the “dirty bomb” by Kiev would have severe consequences for the life and health of the entire population and ecosystems of Eastern Europe.

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Well, sure, but China could rise because they produced cheaper and thus made US corporate profits bigger.

The PRC’s Rise Is A Failure Of American Presidential Leadership (Thayer)

The foundation of the People’s Republic of China’s rapid growth was laid by Deng Xiaoping. Yet, it could not have been accomplished without U.S. support and cooperation. That the PRC is now the principal enemy of the United States and its challenger in all aspects of global politics is prima facie evidence of the failure of U.S. presidential leadership to prevent its rise. The fundamental responsibility of every U.S. president was to defend the safety and national security of the United States. Since the end of World War II, the central objective of every U.S. president was to sustain what their predecessors had created. Then, having defeated one peer competitor, the Soviet Union, their obligation was to prevent the rise of another. It was an easier strategic task given the abject poverty and military weakness of the PRC.

Thus, sustaining the status quo should have been a far easier task than generating U.S. victory in World War II and the defeat of the Soviets in the Cold War. Yet they failed. This failure compels an examination of why it occurred, and thus why post-Cold War U.S. presidents wasted what had been provided by previous generations. The buck stops with the U.S. presidents. During this period—Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama squandered our earned advantage, before Trump attempted to reverse course, and now Joe Biden appears to be reversing Trump’s course correction.

An accounting begins with the recognition that presidential leadership regarding the PRC threat was absent in the aftermath of the Cold War. In fact, the U.S. aided the PRC’s rise through ever-greater volumes of trade and investment. While President Jimmy Carter granted Most Favored Nation (MFN) trade status to Beijing in 1980, the PRC’s growth did not take off until Deng fully supported capitalism in the wake of his 1992 economic reforms. Two years later, President Clinton ended the need for MFN renewal on a yearly basis, which had been linked, at least, to improvements in the PRC’s atrocious human rights record. Clinton granted the PRC MFN status on a permanent basis and placed the PRC on the path towards membership in the World Trade Organization (WTO). The PRC then entered the West’s economic ecosystem. From that time, the PRC’s rise was rapid and added a new peer competitor.

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“..Victoria Nuland, the architect of the 2014 EuroMaidan coup in Kiev, has said “the war is going to last six years, 16 years. So it basically depend on the new president who’s going to continue, how far he’s going to go.”

Cash-Strapped Europe Still Paying to Arm Ukraine for Proxy Conflict (Tweedie)

Europe is spending ever more on arming Ukraine — while its populations become increasingly impoverished. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is set to demand at a Ukraine aid conference in the UK that member states stump up a further €50 billion to cover the cost of financial and military aid to the Kiev regime. That comes as governments of European Union and NATO members implement austerity policies and raise interest rates to extortionate levels in the face of the inflationary crisis brought on by sanctions on Russia. Brussels-based journalist Elijah J Magnier told Sputnik that the “Eurocrat” von der Leyen’s demand was out-of-touch “when Europe is under a stress and financial difficulties, when the French President, Emmanuel Macron, is having [disagreement] with the population because you want to increase the pension scheme saying there is no money.”

“It is really not appropriate and doesn’t correspond to the suffering that the European citizens are going through,” Magnier stressed. The major concern is that “Europe is preparing itself too, for a long war with Russia,” Magnier warned. “It means Europe is doubling down, is not facing the reality that the Ukrainians are losing, that at the end of the day, every war is solved only around the table.” “When we hear the Americans saying: ‘we will send F-16s’, capable of carrying nuclear bombs, or we going to give Ukraine weapons or ammunition with depleted uranium, it seems that what has been done so far by the 50 Western nations and their allies meeting in Ramstein in Germany, has not been enough to drag Russia into a wider-scale war.” The journalist noted that US Under Secretary of State Victoria Nuland, the architect of the 2014 EuroMaidan coup in Kiev, has said “the war is going to last six years, 16 years. So it basically depend on the new president who’s going to continue, how far he’s going to go.”

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“We are treated in these twilight months of the “Joe Biden” regime to a cavalcade of revelations laying out the degeneracy of a federal justice system at war with the American people..”

Teachable Moment (Jim Kunstler)

I hope you agree this has been an instructive week for our republic, sinking to the bottom as fast as the Titan submersible on its way to consort with its grandmama, the RMS Titanic. Here’s what I learned, for instance, from Special Counsel John Durham’s visit to the House Judiciary Committee: When asked why he did not seek grand jury testimony from the primary culprits in the Russia Collusion hoax — Comey, McCabe, and Strzok — he told the room it would have been “unproductive” because they habitually claimed to “not recall” anything when testifying in Congress. That’s an interesting legal theory. If it is so, we must suppose that any witness in a criminal inquiry may decline testifying on the grounds of claiming a defective memory. I’m not a lawyer, of course, but is it not the case that witnesses can be prompted to recall events when presented with evidence? E.g., “…here is your smartphone text of July 29 saying, ‘Don’t worry, we’ll stop him [Trump].’ What means did you have in mind to accomplish that, Mr. Strzok?”

In the four-year lead-up to his personal appearance in the House, many of us were fooled into thinking Mr. Durham was a serious dude. (I sure was.) Turns out the ferocious facial hair masked a rather timorous persona. Mr. Durham apparently did not dare test the boundaries of the narrow lane laid out in the scoping directives set forth by then Attorney General Barr. Mr. D. did find a line of criminal conduct between Lawfare artist Michal Sussmann, the Fusion GPS disinfo company, the DC law firm Perkins Coie, and candidate Hillary MyTurn in the creation and marketing of the Steele Dossier — yet he never called Hillary to do any ‘splainin about it (or anything else she did in 2016). Weird, a little bit.

While his omissions and missteps were spotlighted by the Republican members, Mr. Durham was mugged, kicked to the curb, stomped, and peed-on by the committee Democrats, who still labor to prop-up the dead-letter Russia Collusion fraud against all evidence and reason. As usual, the lead attack dog on that was Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA). He was rewarded the next day with a censure vote for seven years of shameless lying about said fraud, and stripped of his seat on the House Intel Committee, which he used, as then-chairman, to launch Trump Impeachment #1 in 2019 with fake “whistleblower” (and CIA goblin) Eric Ciaramella, whom Mr. Schiff naturally lied about never meeting prior to the proceeding.] We are treated in these twilight months of the “Joe Biden” regime to a cavalcade of revelations laying out the degeneracy of a federal justice system at war with the American people and its shady machinations in service to the Biden family global bribery operation.

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Human hand vs eagle’s talon







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Home Forums Debt Rattle June 24 2023

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    Johannes Vermeer The girl with the wine glass (Dame en twee heren) 1659   • Prigozhin Charged With Armed Mutiny, To Face Up To 20 Years In Prison
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle June 24 2023]


    Another day, another …



    “I put Ukraine first, no matter what my German voters think or how hard their life is”

    Ha ha, that tells you all you need to know about what this person thinks of his voters. It also tells you one hell of a lot about German voters, they are on a suicide mission and are proud of it, they believe others will look admirably on them. Humanity at its lowest.


    Supporting Ukraine is “vital” for democracy, former President @BarackObama tells me. Russia’s fullscale invasion “was a wakeup call to Europe… to the West and to democracies around the world, that the old ways of thinking, might makes right… those forces have to be confronted.” pic.twitter.com/LHtuQB5LNf

    — Christiane Amanpour

    Again, we know that Obama and this reporter are lying, but what this tells us is how stupid they think the listening humanity is, and my guess is that they are not far off the mark. It does not amaze me that these people keep spouting – it’s a job after all, paid by billionaires – it is the humanity listening that amazes me.


    It is good to read that the submersible imploded rather than the occupants being stuck for days waiting until their air ran out. It would have been so quick they would not even have time to notice it [one millisecond].

    It seems the US Navy detected the sound of the implosion two hours after the craft submerged so why did we have days of speculation that the occupants were possibly trapped and waiting for the air to run out?

    Just Some Randomer

    @anticlimactic – Media trying to manufacture a high profile distraction from the undeniable proof of the Biden family criminality and Treachery being aired that same time, of course,

    Dr. D

    “I put Ukraine first, no matter what my German voters think or how hard their life is” Annalena Burbock, German Foreign Minister

    Never stop talking. At last we we realize it’s all being run from and for a mafia, and the homeland of that mafia was/is in Ukraine.

    But here at TAE it may take some longer than others.

    “Supporting Ukraine is “vital” for democracy, former President @BarackObama tells me.”

    “Democracy” is all nations with one party, no media, and the highest corruption in the world. I see why he desires it. Note the subtitle, “Will Democracy win?” That depends: which one? The dictionary definition, or your new #OppositeLand definition?

    “HOLY SMOKES: Reporters TURN on Karine Jean Pierre, gang up on her for 4 minutes straight asking about Joe Biden’s connection to Hunter’s overseas business dealings after bombshell text messages reveal criminal corruption scheme”

    That’s so bad, she might even call on an African…

    “It’s all true. Hunter, the laptop, the bribes, the foreign cash, the money laundering to his dad. The President of the United States is a crook and a traitor. The DOJ has known all of it for years. So they’re destroying Trump’s life to protect Biden.”

    They took down links to the Hunter Biden laptop again. Protecting the President? No. It was due to factual evidence that Hunter’s laptop was a repository of kiddie porn. Hunter, himself, is on camera, himself, with naked underage girls. The FBI owns this laptop.

    So it’s no longer “out there” to say that the nations are ruled by pedophiles. The fact of banning the links proves it. But that’s reality and we don’t do that.

    (Jebus it’s about time. I get exhausted with explaining how although there are bad-acting pedos everywhere, there were exactly none in Congress, and also not even one in all D.C. Remember folks: there’s no such thing as blackmail! And definitely not in the halls of power. That’s only a thing for the little people. Oh. Wait. The #Opposite of that.)

    “Prigozhin vs Shoigu and Gerasimov. Now it’s Prigozhin vs Putin.”

    I can’t believe any of this. Not because it can’t happen but because it makes no sense. I can only assume they got a good rise out of the Derp State heads when they tried this and are laying it on thick to make sure they attack and attack now. More I can’t tell. But although THEY (Derp State Nulands) may also doubt it, and probably do, it’s to get them over the edge of “How can we not? Everything’s gone wrong, it’s do or die.”

    Again, this is a war of US, against the Mafia seated in ALL the Intel agencies, the Derp State, CIA/MI6, NATO, etc. So the White Hats here are probably – if I were them – reporting back to Moscow if this puppet show is getting them excited, like the cat laser Trump used in that press conference. If I had to guess, there is enough coordination against the REAL enemy, the NeoCon mafia, that they set up Hunter, Joe, and the release here, but need NATO to attack and be pummeled soundly and incontrovertibly, on camera, for the world view. Only then will the cowards we have everywhere realize the Derps aren’t in power, like good minions will instantly report to and obey the new power, and the White Hats can proceed with Impeachment and some arrests while they won’t have support to fight back, and the people will be too shocked about the paradigm collapse to put up the AntiFa riots.

    That will get us to the next step. And there are a lot of steps, and they’re all dangerous. But this would be why, I would only guess, Russia really needs them to obey the clock right now, on command.

    “From yesterday, before the “coup attempt”. Prigozhin says Russia is losing.”

    Supporting facts. Because that is bat s—t insane. Look just at the territory map of the conflicts, using Ukraine’s own data. Literally they got 5km max into a 20km barricade. There’s not even any way they COULD have encountered Russian soldiers, with data both sides agree on. That would only fool idiots so far removed from the front, and so far removed from reality, that they will buy anything. Like Baerbock, Blinken, and Nuland. Perfect.

    ““Mikhail Podoliak, a senior aide to Zelensky, blamed the offensive’s failure on the West’s apparent hesitance”

    Let me get this straight: now Russia says they’re losing, and Ukraine says they’re losing too? Last week both claimed to be winning. What are they twin brothers and whatever you do, I do better? Not credible.

    “the West’s apparent hesitance to give Kiev all of the heavy weapons it asked for in recent months.”

    There’s a bunch of stuff here. Yes, granted. And as I’ve said, I don’t need heavy weapons one at a time over months, I need them all at once. The U.S. especially has hung them out to dry, ‘them’ including Davos. But what happened to the 8 years of weapons you started with? Those $50B in arms since 2014? What happened to all the 200,000 soldiers we trained? What happened to all the tanks and planes you started with? Where is it, Brian?

    Now a year in, go 10x on all those questions. Heavy arms? To be used with what soldiers? Then when you got them, you simply drove them into a minefield with no minesweepers. Wtf? In a direct frontal attack into the most heavily fortified area? Rlly? We need a Sun Tzu meme on that, just before the one “In order to win the war, blow up your own nuclear plant in your own country to draw in an attack.”

    NATO is sapped. Russia no doubt calculated how long it would take for them to be defenseless. Strange part is, Europe never compensated and started heavy manufacturing for it, so it was way easier than ever. We’ve said the same thing since the beginning restraint, so don’t be distracted: it’s a Land War in Asia. You destroy the ARMY, not the territory. Then you can wander wherever you want and take it all. Russia says they’re fighting NATO since early on. So they, in the standard Land War in Asia (aka ‘Russian’) manual, you draw the enemy to you, where you have 0 supply miles, and destroy them.

    NATO now has been destroyed, and that is getting harder to hide from the press. So given this is the plan for +12 months, what is the next only step? Smash the last bit, then walk in and do whatever you like because there is no opposing army. They think they’re safe because Russia CHOOSES to sit behind a nice, safe, defensive line? Russia has 500,000 men sitting around on base and an air force untouched. As NATO has no army, they can walk to Lviv in 5 days.

    …The point was to reduce casualties in a nation with a shortage of Slavs, and not get drawn out where they could be flanked (as with the Yellow Line Bioweapon example). And they can do that in 5 days, because they have no intent to go to Paris or Belgium although I’m sure they could get there. (They couldn’t hold it after, too far, too many square miles)

    Anyway, don’t be fooled that the line is waaay over here in Donbass. Russia did that. Russia chose that. Ukraine has no pressure at all (yet) making them do that. And NATO doesn’t have their back except with “attaboys” because they have no men or weapons left either.

    ““Some people believe this is a Hollywood movie and expect results,” Sleboda noted. “No it’s not. Why would we think that”?

    As said Kennedy.

    ““‘Western’ equipment is more complex than Soviet era stuff. It also requires more specialized maintenance. The Ukraine received a zoo.”

    Remember Scott Ritter (I think) told Redacted that sending the menagerie weapons was worse than sending nothing at all. They would actually detract from the war. Aaaaand is correct. And again in this article points out what’s constantly forgotten, they already defeated Ukraine’s far larger army in the first 30 days. Then defeated the remainder up to now. What men? We have generals but no sergeants. All chiefs and no indians, which is why the Anglos think this is normal, all systems go. As the article, Russia did the opposite, reducing chiefs to indians.

    “Why an Armistice Offers the Best Hope for Peace in Ukraine (Foreign Affairs)

    As Rickards says (an insider, but a double talking one). They are behind the times. Only Kissinger was with current information. They are talking DMZ about 12 months too late. Russia will now do whatever they like, wherever they like, for as long as they like, and ignore you. You are irrelevant and there are no agreements as they are “not agreement capable.” As seen in the Kiev agreement, no?

    “Graham-Blumenthal Resolution.”

    Yup, that’s them. You only need to know the names to read no further.

    “The PRC’s Rise Is a Failure of American Presidential Leadership (Thayer)

    Papa Bush arranged it and sold us out probably as far back as when he was CIA Director. (aka, the real president of the real country, i.e. the Derp Money Empire). Then China could have done literally nothing, or would have take 40 years longer except for the help under Clinton and Bush Jr. Obama maintained the status quo while the gutting and as our helplessness became obvious. “What do you think? There’s a magic wand?” he said, “Those jobs ain’t coming back.” …A day before Trump brought a bunch of them back and improved the quality of life for Black Americans overnight.

    So I can’t even say this is CHINA’S plan, it’s so 95% dependent on America. If China had any plan and we didn’t act, there would be no plan. That means it’s us, not them. Which Trump said. He was like, “Heck, yes if I were China I would have done this too. Take all you can, that’s the deal. It was our American leaders who did it…”

    ““..Victoria Nuland, the architect of the 2014 EuroMaidan coup in Kiev, has said “the war is going to last six years, 16 years.”

    Soooo…Nuland said it’s a war. And WE — that is the United States — is attacking Russia. Got it. P.S., has she read the Nuremburg statement on how starting an aggressive war is the ultimate war crime, in which all the other war crimes are contained? I’m guessing not, or that was a good thing.

    “Europe is preparing itself too, for a long war with Russia,” Magnier warned.

    Apparently not, since they have no increased arms production. Or is that the spreadsheet jockeys being incapable of moving paper clips without screwing up?

    ““We are treated in these twilight months of the “Joe Biden” regime”

    It’s really the best to see Joe up there, cornered and surrounded, saying in order to keep the high tower he’s going to run again until he’s 90. No wonder Trump didn’t pull the obvious election rigging and come back, this is much better.


    —The MSM/CNN are ecstatic over the possibility of Wagner being destroyed
    This is a USANATO psyop
    Wagner is obviously totally loyal to Russia, so this is not betrayal, so there is something else happening.

    The minds at TAE have discussed and analyzed How people are motivated.

    This is a Virtual war story that is embellished/enhanced with AI pictures and AI video.
    You fell for the covid story. Now …. apply your lessons.


    The CBC is just as bad as CNN.
    ( ecstatic over the possibility of Wagner being destroyed)
    Their talking point/experts have prepared before today.


    Politicians are always telling people how “CLEAR” they are. Watching Psaki’s terrible successor ramble with Burbock about how clear they are is like watching people eat boogers they would rather spit out. Obama is going to a dark place called never-ending duality man. That dude is a “SELF-machine”
    Painful. So much murder and pain on the back end – so many wives and children in the Slav world are hurting not to mention the men.
    This Nazi thing is so mean and crazy

    John Day

    @Aspnaz: Thanks for the clarification that your father worked for a UK company in Africa, and as an actual-Christian, sought to help people, but was not an Anglican priest.
    I had taken some of the information you provided previously and had come to a mistaken conclusion.

    John Day

    Who Owns My Flesh https://drjohnsblog.substack.com/p/who-owns-my-flesh

    ‘PEAK OIL’ AND THE UNFOLDING INFLEXION​ , Surplus Energy Economics​
    ​ ​According to Goehring & Rozencwajg – who are as good as it gets where energy analysis is concerned – Hubbert’s peak is finally here. Only hindsight, of course, can conclusively determine the moment at which “peak oil” became a reality, but G&R are very probably right.​​
    ​ ​With conventional oil production in decline since 2016, the only source of unconventional supply which remains capable of further increase is the Permian basin, located in six counties in West Texas. This basin, say G&R, is within a year of its own peak, and we know how rapidly shale production declines once a basin slips onto the down-slope of the ‘drilling treadmill’. The rates of decline of individual shale wells tend to be very rapid, and a point inevitably arrives at which operators can no longer drill enough new wells to stop overall output declining…
    ..The peaking and impending decline of oil supply is sky-writing dramatic changes to activities hitherto taken for granted. It’s almost impossible to overstate the importance of oil for so many aspects of daily life…
    ..We have indeed taken enormous technological strides over the past two centuries, but that has been possible because the supply of low-cost energy has always, hitherto, been abundant. Technologies evolve to suit the energy available to power them, and the contrary proposition is ludicrous.
    The critical issue, so often dismissed or ignored by the high priests of the new and shiny, is that the capabilities of technology are bounded by the laws of physics…
    ..This is where the term “renewable” ought to be subjected to far more critical examination than it has tended to receive so far. We can’t source the plastics required for the renewables sector without hydrocarbon feedstocks. Renewables can’t, of themselves, power the extraction, processing and delivery of the vast amounts of concrete, steel, copper, cobalt, lithium and a host of other resources required for the development, maintenance and eventual replacement of wind and solar power.
    In short, “renewables” would merit that label only if they were capable of renewing – that is to say, replacing – themselves over time…
    ..Any pilot worth his or her licence knows that “Isaac (Newton) is always waiting” if they get something wrong. The starry-eyed visionaries of energy transition need to develop an equivalent awareness of the hard limits of physics…
    ..The coming decline in oil and broader fossil fuel supply, coupled with continuing cost increases and the lack of full-replacement alternatives, provides significant visibility on future trends. The world’s average person will become gradually less prosperous, a process exacerbated by rises in the real costs of energy-intensive necessities including food, water, housing and essential travel.
    The result will be a leveraged contraction in the affordability of discretionary (non-essential) products and services. Labour intensity in the economy will reverse its long decline, absorbing workers released by contraction in the discretionary sectors.
    To this extent, economic contraction is capable, at least in theory, of happening gradually. The same, though, cannot be said of the financial system…
    ..As you may know, I believe that we can only seek to understand economic trends effectively if we embrace the concept of “two economies” – a “real economy” of material products and services, and a parallel “financial economy” of money and credit.
    From this, it follows that money, having no intrinsic worth, commands value only as a ‘claim’ on the goods and services made available by the “real economy”. These “claims” exist in two forms – those that we exercise, transactionally, in the present, and those which we set aside for exercise in the future. Measured in relation to material prosperity, the exercise of excessive claims in the present is mediated by inflation, but the real problem resides in a huge excess of monetary ‘claims on the future’…
    ..It may seem obvious that less oil means less driving and less flying, but the real significance of oil contraction lies in what it means for ‘behind the scenes’ activities such as food production, petrochemical supply, and the distribution of products and raw materials.
    The moment, as well as the implications, of “peak oil” have been debated over decades, and there is no particular practical significance attached to the precise date of its arrival. Moreover, surplus oil – that is, supply less its ECoE-cost of delivery – has already turned down, both on an aggregate and a per-capita basis.
    But the symbolic meaning of the peak oil “moment” could hardly be more profound.

    #258: Written in the skies

    ​ ​C​harles Hugh Smith , ​Doom-Loop I: “Bringing Demand Forward” Will No Longer Save Us
    ​​ The fantasy is that inflation will plummet to zero and we can all go back to “Bringing Demand Forward.” The reality is what’s plummeting is demand.
    ​ ​The US economy has been saved time and again over the past two decades by this one weird trick: “Bringing Demand Forward” by lowering interest rates and lending standards so Americans could continue to buy stuff they didn’t really need because the monthly payment dropped as interest rates were pushed toward zero.​..
    ​..Nothing “Brings Demand Forward” like a speculative bubble and so inflating credit-based bubbles is all part of the plan to encourage people to buy stuff they don’t need on credit to keep GDP expanding.
    ​ ​”Bringing Demand Forward” with speculative bubbles is joyous until the bubble pops–and all bubbles pop. When bubbles deflate, gains are replaced by losses and the reverse wealth effect kicks in.
    ​ ​The solution for the past two decades has been to drop interest rates even further and expand credit even more to generate a new bubble in one asset class or another.
    ​ ​Now that central banks have pumped up the Everything Bubble and unleashed inflation, the weird trick of dropping interest rates / juicing liquidity no longer works.​..
    ​..”Bringing Demand Forward” always had an expiration date. You can’t bring demand forward forever. Eventually consumers tap out, bubbles pop, speculative gambles go bust, debt service eats up consumers’ disposable income, credit cards get maxed out and enterprises bloated by decades of bubbles and credit-funded spending implode under their fixed costs and debt loads.​..
    ..It’s going to hurt when we hit the rocks at the bottom and unfortunately few are taking measures to reduce their risk while such measures are still within reach.

    ​Pepe Escobar , If you’re counting on Asia’s many new power centers to compete and clash – don’t. The Greater Eurasia Partnership is set to integrate them all – from the SCO, EAEU, and BRICS, to emerging new currencies – in order to replace the ‘rules-based order.’
    ​ ​On July 4, at a New Delhi summit, Iran will finally become a full member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).​..
    ..In parallel, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk has confirmed that Iran and the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) should sign a free trade agreement (FTA) by the end of 2023…
    ..Russia and Iran – two key poles of Eurasia integration – have been getting closer and closer geoeconomically since the west’s sanctions tsunami that followed Russia’s February 2022 Special Military Operation (SMO) in Ukraine..
    ​.​.In a parallel track, the members of the Asian Clearing Union (ACU), during a recent summit in Iran, decided to launch a new cross-border financial messaging system this month as a rival to the western-centric SWIFT.
    ​ ​The ACU comprises the Central Banks of India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Maldives, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Myanmar, and Iran: a healthy mix of West Asia, Southeast Asia, and South Asia.
    ​ ​It was the Central Bank of Iran – still under harsh sanctions – that developed the new bank messaging system, so new it’s not yet known by its own acronym.
    ​ ​Crucially, the Governor of Russia’s Central Bank took part in the ACU summit as an observer, along with officials from Belarus, which applied for ACU membership two weeks ago.​.
    ..As Iran’s first Vice President, Mohammad Mokhber summed it up: “De-dollarization is not a voluntary choice by countries anymore; it is an inevitable response to the weaponization of the dollar.”…
    ​..Iran is now at the heart of all things multipolar. The recent discovery of a massive lithium field holding roughly 10 percent of the world’s reserves, coupled with the quite possible admission of Iran into the expanded BRICS – or BRICS+ – as early as this year, has bolstered scenarios of an upcoming BRICS currency backed by commodities: gold, oil, gas and – inevitably – lithium…
    ,,The Global South has had enough of the US sanctioning and banning whoever, whatever, and whenever they like, in defense of a hazy, arbitrary “rules-based international order.”​ …
    ​..All interlinked developments concerning SCO, BRICS, EAEU, and other multilateral mechanisms – now happening at breakneck speed – are converging in practice into a concept formulated in Russia back in 2018: the Greater Eurasia Partnership.​..
    ..As Lavrov routinely explains now in all of his important meetings, this includes “interlinking the complementary development plans” of the EAEU and China’s BRI; expanding interaction “within the framework of the SCO with the involvement of SCO observer states and dialogue partners;” “strengthening the strategic partnership” between Russia and ASEAN; and “establishing working contacts” among the executive bodies of the EAEU, SCO, and ASEAN.
    ​ ​Add to it the crucial interaction between the upcoming BRICS+ and all of the above; literally, everybody and their neighbor all across the Global South is queuing up to enter Club BRICS​.

    John Day

    Gilbert Doctorow watches Russian TV so he sees things we don’t see in the ‘states.
    ​ Thanks to the Vladimir Solovyov talk show last night, I have heard a recent speech by Kennedy in which he sets out the insightful and entirely sane thoughts of his uncle on managing relations with the Russians. Yes, I did not hear RFK Jr. on the BBC or on CNN. It had to be Solovyov who understood that this speech must be disseminated widely…
    ​..Kennedy’s speech was instead based on objective reasoning: recognizing that the other side is also human, that it also has national interests which it holds as dear as we do ours and that compromises must be made to preserve the human race. This is a starting point that deserves the full and enthusiastic support of everyone who values peace and abhors the thought of a coming nuclear war. It trumps all other partisan concerns of Left and Right and Middle in the United States. Those other partisan concerns, which include identity politics, minority rights, environmentalism may be important in their own right, but have been used cynically by those in power to distract the electorate from the fundamental issues of politics, which concern the share of the economic pie enjoyed by each stratum in society and a peaceful world in which to enjoy the prosperity.​..
    ​..A candidate who has said he would immediately pardon Snowden and Assange, as RFK Jr. has said, is a man who deserves the support of every enlightened citizen in the land.

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. and what we, the people can do to remove the insane U.S. foreign policy cabal

    ​ ​Robert Kennedy Jr calls for a new peace movement: “We have been immersed in a foreign policy discourse that is all about adversaries and threats and domination. Is this really who we are? Is that what America’s founders envisioned?”​ (Two and a half minutes)

    ​ One must wonder what people are actually making the military decisions in the West/US/NATO, where they physically exist, what their personal “skin in the game” is, and what they expect to lose or gain in this global conflict. This World War 3 is primarily over control of global resources, finance and production.
    The old glbal trade and financial system is decaying and will be superseded by the developing Eurasian and Global South alliances.
    This is “existential” for the owners as regards their positional status controlling western finance, trade and politics. However, as long as they do not feel personally threatened with death, they will be willing to take very high risks with the lives of the rest of the humans in the world.​

    ​ ​Professor Sergey Karaganov’s “Tough-but-necessary decision” article – which claims that by using its nuclear weapons, Russia could save humanity from a global catastrophe – has provoked plenty of reaction both at home and abroad. Partly because of the author’s status – he has been an advisor to both President Boris Yeltsin and President Vladimir Putin – and also due to the belief that his opinion may possibly be shared by some people in positions of power.
    ​ ​Dmitry Trenin, an extremely respected Russian expert who served in the Soviet military gives his response.​..
    ..The fear of the atomic bomb, present in the second half of the twentieth century, has disappeared. Nuclear weapons have been taken out of the equation. The practical conclusion is clear: there is no need to be afraid of such a Russian response.
    This is an extremely dangerous misconception. The trajectory of the Ukrainian war points to an escalation of the conflict both horizontally (by expanding the theater of military action) and vertically (by increasing the power of the weapons used and the intensity of their use). It must be soberly acknowledged that this momentum is heading towards a direct armed confrontation between Russia and NATO….
    ​..So far, Moscow’s strategy has been to allow the enemy to take the escalatory initiative. The West has taken advantage of this, trying to wear down Russia on the battlefield and undermine it from within. It makes no sense for the Kremlin to go along with this plan. On the contrary, it’s a better idea to clarify and modernize our nuclear deterrence strategy, taking into account the practical experience of the Ukrainian conflict…
    ​..The main adversary should be given an unambiguous signal that Moscow will not play by the rules set by the other side. Of course, this should be accompanied by a credible dialogue with both our strategic partners and neutral states, explaining the motives and objectives of our actions. The possibility of using nuclear weapons in the current conflict must not be concealed…
    ​ Regarding Russian nuclear strikes against NATO countries, as raised by Professor Karaganov: Hypothetically speaking, Washington would most likely not respond to such an attack with a nuclear response of its own against Russia – for fear of a Russian retaliatory launch against the US itself. This would dispel the mythology that has surrounded Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty for decades and lead to a profound crisis for NATO – possibly even the dissolution of the organization. It is possible that, in such circumstances, the Atlantic elites of NATO and the EU would panic and be swept aside by patriotic forces that would see for themselves that their security does not in fact depend on a non-existent US nuclear umbrella, but on building a balanced relationship with Russia. It is also possible that the Americans could decide to leave Russia alone.
    It could well be that the calculation just described would ultimately be correct. But it is unlikely.
    Yes, a US nuclear strike on Russia would probably not follow immediately. It is unlikely that the Americans would sacrifice Boston for Poznan, just as they were not going to sacrifice Chicago for Hamburg during the Cold War. But there will probably be some sort of response from Washington. Perhaps of the non-atomic type, which, without speculating too wildly, could be sensitive and painful for us. It is likely that with it, Washington would try to pursue a goal similar to ours: paralyzing the Russian leadership’s will to continue the war and creating panic in our society. Moscow’s leadership is unlikely to capitulate after such a blow, since, at this stage, Russia’s very existence would be at stake. It is more likely that a retaliatory strike would follow, and this time, one can assume, against the main adversary rather than its satellites…
    ..The war in Ukraine has become protracted. As far as we can tell from the actions of the Russian leadership, it expects to achieve strategic success by relying on Russian resources, which are many times greater than those in Ukraine. It also relies on the fact that Moscow has much more at stake in this war than the West. This calculation is probably correct, but it should be taken into account that the opponent assesses Russia’s chances differently than we do and may take steps which could lead to a direct armed clash between Russia and the US/NATO.
    We must be prepared for such a development. To avoid a general catastrophe, it is necessary to put fear of armageddon back into politics and the public consciousness.

    Rep. Gaetz Wants to Give Biden Military Authorization to Take Out ‘Chinese Assets’ in Cuba
    ​ ​Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-FL) on Thursday told the House Armed Services Committee that he wants to give President Biden the authority to intervene militarily in Cuba to “take out” Chinese assets that are allegedly on the island.
    ​ ​“I support an Authorization for Use of Military Force to take out the Chinese assets in Cuba,” Gaetz said. He wanted to add the AUMF as an amendment to the 2024 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) but had to withdraw it for procedural reasons.
    ​ ​“To my hawk friends on the committee who think I’m too much of a dove, this amendment is an authorization to use military force given to President Biden to take out the Chinese assets in Cuba,” he said.
    ​ ​Gaetz’s comments came after The Wall Street Journal reported Beijing and Havana are negotiating to establish a joint military training facility in Cuba, which cited unnamed US officials who based the claim on “convincing but fragmentary” intelligence.​..
    ..The Journal report said that some US intelligence officials say “that Beijing sees its actions in Cuba as a geographical response to the US relationship with Taiwan: The US invests heavily in arming and training the self-governing island that sits off mainland China and that Beijing sees as its own.”

    Rep. Gaetz Wants to Give Biden Military Authorization to Take Out ‘Chinese Assets’ in Cuba

    ​ Sasha Latypova and some of my friends are on this 848 pages, but I gave up looking for myself at 124 pages​. It’s not searchable, just a PDF. I’ve been censored intermittently since 2016, and some other things have happened which cannot be explained in terms of who could have known what, and how.
    Verified on a government watchlist, at last!
    ​ ​NYC Department of Health is Spending Taxpayers’ Money to Spy on Racially Profiled Communities Using Federal Intelligence Affiliates as “Private Contractors”
    ​ ​Here is a link to the 900-page FOIAed document ​[404 now] ​which collates numerous reports spanning June 3, 2021 to September 26, 2022. I invite my colleagues in the wrongthink community to check if they are on this list, too. I only scanned a few pages and found many familiar names: Drs. Rose, McCullough, Nass, Kory, Ruby, Yeadon, late Dr. Zelenko, Steve Kirsch, Igor Chudov, El Gato Malo as well as The Epoch Times and Children’s Health Defense. Of course, Robert Kennedy Jr. is there, too, with numerous mentions.

    D Benton Smith

    So CIA has pulled the lanyard on their big cannon of last hope lost causes and has launched its ill conceived “regime change” operation against Putin and Russia. The puppet they intend to install is a slimey bastard named Kasyanov (PM of Russia 2000-2004) who is a straight up US stooge and friend to the equally slimey Russian Oligarchs that Put out maneuvered and through out years ago.

    Prigozhin was easy to dupe and maneuver because he is himself just another “not overly moral” old Oligarch himself. Easy to manipulate. Not easy to simply boss around, but VERY easy to manipulate because of his love of money, love of Russia, and most of all love of Prigozhin.

    As evidence, check out the usual main stream media suspects all around the world and you will see that CIA is flooding the zone with puff pieces lauding what a wonderful guy Kasyanov is. He’s their key “player” inside the operation, and the US puppet they intend to install.

    As per usual, the Bad Guys have acted prematurely and will fail because if I can figure it out in 15 minutes then Russian Intelligence had it figured out three days ago. The communication lines between Prigozhin and the people who were manipulating him are absolute fully visible to Russian Intel and are no doubt being rolled up and brought in for questioning at this very moment. Som bih hads are going to roll, and most of the obstacles standing in Putin’s way will have been removed thereby.

    Look for a week of “action so fast it is blurred to look at”, and then the immediate fall of Ukraine, and NATO itself shortly thereafter.

    The Markster

    The triumvirate of evil that is Obama, CNN and Amanpour means I will not watch the video, but I can smell the slick Steve McQueen lies and bravado from 3,000 miles away. Leading the charge against a “might makes right” world order, indeed. I bet the pink pussy hats with their blue and yellow neo-Nazi pom poms are all swooney right now.

    What a total clown show 🤡.

    There is a straight line running through Russiagate and the impeachments, the Scamdemic, a stolen election, J6, and the neo-Nazi butchery and senseless destruction in Ukraine. And not only are Joe and Barry presiding over the whole thing, but they and their families and supporters are laughing in all our faces.

    Because might makes right, and the ends justify the means, just like Alinsky said.

    And today I will be parading about making two social calls, a trip to a winery for lunch, then shopping and taking a nice long walk around town in my lovely union made official Kennedy 2024 navy t-shirt, a $25 investment that would be a bargain at twice the price.


    @ The Markster – There is a straight line running from 11/22/1963 to where we find ourselves today.


    Putin has been handed the keys to release the Russian military by Wagner.


    Robert Kennedy Jr calls for a new peace movement:

    “We have been immersed in a foreign policy discourse that is all about adversaries and threats and domination. Is this really who we are?

    Obama had a special talent to sweetly deliver that: “It’s not who we are.”


    The news media is more than ready and are constantly pumping WAR, WAR, KILL, KILL

    D Benton Smith

    The big news is the attempted COLOR REVOLUTION that CIA just launched via the Prigozhin mutiny. It’s all about timing. They chose this particular moment (rather than earlier or later) because US/CIA/NATO/ Cabal have irretrievably LOST the Ukraine war and Russia is poised to just roll right over the top of them if they don’t do something RIGHT NOW.

    But stop and consider something obvious for a moment.

    Do you think that Russia is unaware that CIA/Cabal et al have been very very deeply engaged in building the ‘Russian Regime Change’ operation for the past 10 years?

    Of course not.

    And do you think Russia intends to plunge into the full commitment of open WW3 on the plains of Ukraine while KNOWING that it’s ranks, institutions, and Home Front political networks (including some high ranking military) are infiltrated and undermied with traitors and CIA stooges and knowing operatives?

    Once again. of course not!

    First they must lure the conspirators out of their hidey holes by encouraging the traitors to think they have a chance of toppling Putin’s administration.

    This may not happen as precipitously as the rats hope. The rat Kasyanov entertains the megalomaniacal delusion of being placed at the top the West’s intended puppet government . . . like they did for Zellenskyy in Ukraine. His backers and co-conspirators must now be discovered, and they will be cagey bastards not easily lured. They must smell success before they step into the open, and that’s what the Russians will provide. Bait and lures used until every last traitors is known and neutralized, in a war of attrition as they have fought the Ukraine campaign for the past year (successfully!).


    “They wanted to disband the Wagner PMC. We set off on June 23 on our march of justice. In a day we traveled to within 200 kilometers of Moscow. In this time, we have not shed a single drop of our fighters’ blood. Now the moment has arrived when blood may be shed. Therefore, understanding our full responsibility for the possibility of Russian blood being shed by one of the sides, we are turning our columns around and heading in the opposite direction to our encampments in accordance with the plan,” Prigozhin said in an audio recording Saturday evening.”

    Update(1325ET): An emerging Russian state media headline: Prigozhin Agrees to Stop PMC Wagner March, Start De-Escalation After Lukashenko’s Mediation…

    Belarusian president held talks with Prigozhin today. Lukashenko says that Prigozhin has agreed to “stop the movement of armed persons on the territory of Russia and to take further steps to deescalate.”


    @ dbs,

    Yes, the ole brere rabbit ploy. Killdeers also are quite proficient at the ruse.



    There are a lot of articles on RT giving an air of authenticity to the story BUT if the threat was real then would this be allowed?


    It still seems very weird and nonsensical!

    D Benton Smith

    Vermeer was quite the astute observer, social critic and storyteller as well as an amazingly skilled painter.
    See the revoltingly smarmy masher physically help the barely pubescent to raise her glass and drink, plying the young innocent with alcohol while his disgusted and bored companion in the background looks disapprovingly away while yet allowing the wine assisted seduction to occur. All that in a single frame. Vermeer was an absolute master of his craft.

    D Benton Smith

    I’m still undecided and extremely curious about whether Prigozhin might be a willing participant with Putin in a sophisticated Russian intelligence operation designed to draw out and decapitate the CIA collaborators inside the Russian apparatus. Based on how magnificently well the Wagner Group have performed elsewhere for the past year and a half I would have to say that it is at least highly possible. Time will tell.

    D Benton Smith

    Meanwhile, keep your eyes on Mikhail Kasyanov. I have seldom seen such a massively odious heap of prestige building fluffery pumped into the media. How does a washed up ex-politician flee and disavow his native country (Russia), cheerlead for its sworn enemy (Ukraine), and yet garner major praise from around the world in media that is owned (lock stock and barrel) by the American CIA?

    Hmmm. Tough question. Could it be that he is a bought and paid for traitor to Russia, in the employ of CIA?

    D Benton Smith

    By CIA I of course mean the chimeric creature known only as 5 Eyes for lack of a better description. After fleeing his native Russia Kasyanov’s postal drop box was the British “think tank”, International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, England. Nothing fishy there.

    Sometimes I wonder why those devious creeps even bother to lie about and camouflage their allegiances. The lies are so transparent and the camouflage is so thin! Surely they don’t care about what we nobodies think. So who do you suppose it is that they are lying TO?

    D Benton Smith

    Hmmm. I just found out that Kasyanov’s current whereabouts are unknown and/or undisclosed. Nothing fishy about that, either. Especially for a dude that has risen to such international prominence virtually overnight.

    I think the expression is, “waiting in the wings”, in preparation (protective custody?), no doubt, for his anticipated big entrance onto the world stage real soon now.

    Dr. D

    Once again Benton and I are on the exact same page. I feel like I should flip flop or something.

    The Wagner thing is not credible. He suddenly went insane with no events 3 weeks ago? And belted himself to a rocket of increasing crazy he can’t get off of and can’t win? Uh, no.

    We know the Russian Generals are on the take. FSB now has all the communications of which ones phoned West. As he says, there are other not MoD traitors to out as well. So they are flushed out, and Wagner stops “In trade for” MoD “reforming” and “kicking out” such generals as (supposedly) withheld ammo and shot at him? And the purge would come before they go full WWIII, that is, any counterattack in size.

    And, as I say, try to entice NATO to get smacked. Check, check, and check.


    It’s kosher theatre. You are being deceived while you are being robbed. People are dying all around you, have you noticed? There is no russia, china or jeusa. 1 crew runs this freakshow. They want you dead or enslaved, watched and monitored like rats in a cage. Ask the chinese, they already know. One day soon, on a weekend, your banks gonna close. You won’t give a fuck about ukraine then, you’ll be worrying about eating and staying alive. Everything’s been stolen…now they’re gonna burn the house down.


    Huge Column of Chechen Forces Coming For Prigozhin

    No love lost between the Chechens and Wagner


    Wagner actually performed very mediocre in Bakhmut contrary to Russian media hype.

    Large majority of casualties and losses of Ukronazis due to Russian army artillery and Russian army gunships.

    Prigozhin the Blowhard morphs into Prigozhin the Traitor

    Prigozhin’s collaborators shot down and killed a Russian Ka-52 helicopter crew.

    The Russian Army will never forgive this act of treason, killing Russian officers for a coup.

    Wagner encampments all over the SMO zone are being surrounded and FSB interrogation units are being mobilized.

    Wagner soldiers never swore allegiance to the Russian Federation, they actually only swore allegiance to Prigozhin himself. Talk about a Cult.

    Wagner served a purpose, now it’s finished.

    Prigozhin never was a soldier, he served 10 years in jail for armed robbery.

    Very poor judgement to let this clown be a poser for so long.

    This incident will be a god sent to ID the 5th and 6th columnists in Russia out into the open where they can be terminated with extreme prejudice.

    Prigozhin’s office in St Petersburg had billions of rubles in cash stashed for ‘lunch money’.

    Russian Ka-52s Hit Wagner Convoy

    The Russian military is already attacking Wagner troops al over the place


    Meanwhile from Andrei Martyanov on the offensive to call it an ‘offensive’

    Ukronazis last remaining elite units chopped to pieces

    Equipment shredded.

    Douglas MacGregor stating he think the Russian defensive posture is over and will shift in a big way to a Real Offensive



    From Andrei about UKtardistan, the has-been empire:

    “Yet another batch of the “best” tanks in the world having a bad day in Russia. So, make your own conclusions.

    Where are the Challengers?

    Russian pilots of Ka-52s and Mi-28s are asking, as do Khrizantemas’ crews and other people operating Kornet ATGMs or 152-mm Russian artillery operating Krasnopol munitions?

    And British government has no answers–they know how to kill defenseless civilians, how to do false flags, how to use chemical weapons, how to support child rapists and how to kill poor cats–that, they know how to do–fighting real war?

    Forget it, nobody in Sandhurst knows it.

    So, the news is–they keep Challengers in deep rear.

    Well, Perfidious Albion seems to be a correct definition.”


    God Save the Drag Queen


    Karine Jean-Pierre Insists It’s Not Her Job To Answer Questions Like Some Sort Of Press Secretary



    WASHINGTON, D.C. — Things got tense in the White House briefing room today after several journalists in the press pool asked Jean-Pierre to answer some questions.

    “Listen here — it’s not my job to stand here and answer your questions all day like some sort of press secretary,” said Jean-Pierre while furiously flipping through her 3-ring binder to find a pre-written comeback that would shut the journalists down once and for all. “For goodness’ sake, I’m a human being, not some wind-up toy or magic 8-ball you can shake up and ask whatever question you want to! What do you take me for? A member of the White House communications team?”


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