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VietnamVet,
Unfortunately, that scenario seems likely in the moment. This caught my eye the other day in a Batiuska article linked at TAE
China may soon launch an Operation in Taiwan to free the ethnic Chinese there from the Nazism of its US-appointed elite.
Whether this will be the angle or the pent up hate the Japanese and Chinese have for each other will be leveraged to precipitate the invasion of Taiwan remains a question.
One thing that puzzles me, and is certainly debatable, is the slow progress that Russia is making despite their local advantages. This provides a window for modern Western equipment to be deployed and prolong the fight.
Hopefully, the combined exhaustion of Ukraine’s forces, the impatience of its supporters, and the spreading impact of this war on the global economy and food supplies, will lead to a deal that turns these conquests into a permanent part of Russia.
Or as Andrew Anglin (total nazi) put it,
I’m Glad They’re Ignoring Kissinger, Because I Want to See This Entire Fake Civilization Wiped Out with Chinese Nukes.
Big guns are being positioned on both sides. The timing of Ukraine’s talked about” counter offensive has been moving out to September. Discussing such things is either open denial of how bad it is or misdirection.
A train carrying MLRS and 152mm howitzers arrived in Belgorod (not far from Kharkiv) arrived a couple days ago. That train left Irkutsk on the 9th. Things have been picking up in this region. Kharkiv to likely to become the next Mariupol.
Also, The Russian army seems to be preparing a large-scale offensive kitchen sink style (T-62s and middle aged conscripts) to capture Luhansk region. Occupants have thrown all their reserves into the Severodonetsk and Bakhmut directions, trying to establish full control over the regional center and to “cut off” the Lysychansk-Bakhmut highway once and for all.
https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1535682460817793024?s=20&t=YBn3201ikBBMe9SBDZ7f-Q
In order to avoid effort, which the world demands, the human mind distorts the world, distorts its own self and goes on its own way as nothing ever happened. In other words man tries to construct a truth that suits him. In coming to know the Truth, man is the tool. With help he will arrive at the Truth. If the tool is broken, true perception is out of the question. The only way is by restoring the tool. The tool can’t be restored by trying to serve two masters.
Pre-war article on Putin. Check out comment section. Some good points made by Chris Hedges.
https://unherd.com/2022/01/what-the-west-gets-wrong-about-putin/
“In Russia,” he continued, “disputes are usually resolved by common sense. If a dispute is about very significant money or property, then the two sides would typically send representatives to a dinner. Everyone attending arriving would be armed. Facing the possibility of a bloody, fatal outcome both sides always find a mutually agreeable solution. Fear provides the catalyst for common sense.”
Looks like Dr. Offit doesn’t have the courage. He was questioning the need for a booster for his university aged son at one point.
https://popularrationalism.substack.com/p/what-vrbpac-got-wrong-who-will-hold?s=r
Dr. Meryl Nass was denied an opportunity to speak in the public comment period, yet the same pro-vaccine mother was able to speak two days in a row. Thus, the public may have been denied the opportunity to contribute their comments. This is being looked at by lawyers; if it true the FDA broke the rules of open meetings, then any ethical judge would rule that this vote to recommend is null and void ab initio.
Russian Telegram channels reportedly began spreading a fake mobilization order on June 12 that they falsely attributed to the Ukrainian General Staff. The fake order called for the mobilization of all eligible Ukrainian women to report for duty by “June 31”.
Great Reset clips included.
DBS,
Have you seen the XFiles/Great Reset (WEF) mash up. I believe they pulled from a 2016 season 10 episode? I’d post the link put I’m still not there, but getting closer by the day. Sure you can find it if you haven’t seen it yet.
My wife and I were big Mulder and Scully fans. In hindsight, it definitely gives me the hebeejeebees.
The thing that is giving me some anxiety is the fact the the District Courts are not putting the Kabash on the federal/federal contractor vax mandates. Feels like an intentional slow walk to keep them in play until the next contagion wave.
DBS,
So Actors playing MSM Russia State TV propagandists? Not actual State TV clips?
There is a 4 hour documentary that is supposed to be released in June of next year under the same name by same production company.
No biggie, I am aware of who Putin’s mouth pieces are. They want to go Truman on us.
This is fun. Russian MSM relying on US MSM.
This compilation of clips explains why the Russians think they're winning and don't need to negotiate. Spoiler: they're waiting for the GOP to prevail in midterms and abandon Ukraine. They're also encouraged by our media coverage—especially Tucker Carlson.https://t.co/h05qK1g2fs pic.twitter.com/XBw1G3VTHY
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) June 9, 2022
Dr. D said,
“But I also have to wonder/can’t figure out, when was it ever going to matter?”
I don’t know, though I appreciate you trying to make sense of it. One of those mysteries where the math doesn’t seem to work so I don’t try. Just seems we have a lot of debt tied to non productive activities which adds cost and not value.
A worthless computer entry versus a worthless piece of paper stuffed in the mattress.
Noodle this. Irkutsk is 3300 miles (driving by car) to Severodonetsk.
Russia transferring more MLRS and 152mm howitzers all the way from Irkutsk to Ukraine.
The entire armory of Russia is being destroyed in Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/5o0plTqQP8
— Expat in Kyiv (@expatua) June 7, 2022
My favorite open sources have been mum for about a week, but Telenko had this to say recently. Could be related.
Ukraine has ample recruits, but not enough people to train them; there’s one-month waiting list to join the Ukr forces.
I read there has been something like 18 Russian military recruitment centers torched.
Russian reporter asks people on the street what they would do for their country. They say, "I'd go to war! I'd die for my country!" He then asks them to write down their personal details on a "patriotic list" to be "first in line" in case of mobilisation. Guess what happens next? https://t.co/GfzyLaMG46
— Will Vernon (@BBCWillVernon) June 2, 2022
Ukrainians are behind the 8 ball. Looks grim.
It now turns out that Germany won’t send the M270 MLRs Scholz promised to Ukraine until much later than thought. The Germans say the weapons system lacks a software update making it possible to fire American and British missiles.
A reliable source tells me (Gary Kasparov) that US howitzers are still arriving slower and in smaller quantities than promised, and without the electronics needed to be more accurate. I’d like to know who is in charge of sabotaging US weapon shipments.
A RIA Novosti source claims that four Russian Su-57 fighters took part in targeting air defenses in Ukraine while operating in a single information network. The 4th and 5th “production model” Su-57 were recently delivered to the Russian Air Force.
But according to all the military reports, let alone the prophecies, Russia will be victorious.
“To paraphrase Oscar Wilde: To lose a general in battle is surely a misfortune; but lose a general in battle every single week over the course of 14 weeks, and it starts to look like carelessness.”
June 7th, 8pm: Heroic defense of the Donbas’ keeps Russia from gaining over last day.
June 8th, 10am: Ukrainian forces could pull back from embattled eastern city.
Severodonetsk will decide Ukraine’s future. (No it won’t, the high ground on the other side of the river will)
https://unherd.com/2022/06/severodonetsk-will-decide-ukraines-future/?=frlh
Visualizing the first hundred days.
https://twitter.com/carlbildt/status/1534470176292454400?s=20&t=FuLILYcCLLbHkJocx9j6gw
It is easy to run with a lie but requires humility to walk in truth. (Yoda maybe?)
Anyway,
Former President of Russia, Medvedev, recently threatened an nuke strike if hit by long range U.S. rockets being supplied to Ukraine.
Today he became a bit unhinged on social media.
https://mobile.twitter.com/Nat_Vasilyeva/status/1534102110438039553?s=20&t=9N_9BuUngmNw6uGwSh_lGw
I’ve read that there are about 35 to 40 thousand soldiers concentrated from Izjum to Popasna. A lot of shelling and street combat but not much ground being gained by either side. The intensity seems down from a few days ago.
This was interesting, you can see shades of history rhyming here.
Igor Girkin draws parallels between war in Ukraine and the Russo-Japanese war and states that Russia is facing inevitable mutiny if it doesn’t escalate into a fully-fledged war.
There definitely is a different vibe today/tonight. Seems a confirmation vacuum has formed in the open source space regarding the battle for Severodonetsk. Russia has been bringing down more battalion groups from the north this past week and some of those ancient tanks where fitted for battle around Kherson probably freeing up resources to send north. It was reported that 6 were destroyed.
This is something I have tried to be very clear on recently, so far I have not seen much Evidence of these Successful Counterattacks by Ukrainian Forces on Severodonetsk though there is definitely fighting ongoing in the City, people need to realize this is a Propaganda War too. https://t.co/ZyHioLc2o3
— OSINTdefender (@sentdefender) June 7, 2022
https://inf.news/en/military/2db245c44333c4e1fe8c2f107622831b.html
When Russia’s battle is being narrowed down to a battle for Severodonetsk, a city in Ukraine’s east – it doesn’t appear to be going in their favor. It’s also being reported that two more Russian Generals got killed.
Updates from
Obrien
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1533348568119103489.html
And Telenko
Yesterday Kasparov tweeted something to the effect that Russia was not a real nation but a mafia front and a gas station with nukes.
William Taylor US Ambassador to Ukraine said, “Russian artillery firing at Ukraine from Russian territory will be a justified target for destruction by HIMARS missile systems.”
The ideology here is pretty morbid. It demands victory at any cost.
More apocalyptic predictions and nuclear threats on Russian state TV. Some of the Kremlin's propagandists argue that the world is descending into a nuclear abyss, but the Russians should be happy about it. Others seem borderline delirious. Are they cracking under pressure? Watch: pic.twitter.com/1HhLZhxGGY
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) June 5, 2022
Barnum and VP (the prolific poster of clown images),
Sorry not that guy (deflationista), though I like that person and wish them the best. One of Defs M.O. was precious ego hunter. It was a painful entertainment to watch someone take it hook, line and sinker. Hard telling if it was effective or made a dent in someone’s conscience.
Field Able,
I probably should elaborate. When I am scrolling thru social media and I come across a memoriam of a killed Russian soldier, Ukrainian soldier or Ukrainian citizen I am saddened. Not as deeply as say Jeremiah the Prophet but it sets me back emotionally. How does one make sense of all this death and destruction? Placing bets, loading up on “Bombs R Us” stocks. So I am trying to look at it from different perspectives. It is difficult not to identify with the side that was invaded and does not want to be subjugated. So I am good with Putin getting his ass kicked. But the West is culpable too, so I have no problem with the West getting its ass kicked either. Even better would be Kissinger’s suggestion.
You are right regarding the Z-tard label. If I were on Eric Topol’s C19 twitter group trying to argue the importance of preserving informed consent it would probably be in my best interest not to use the “Vaccinator” label in my commentary. Therefore, I will refrain from using it in the TAE commentary.
Antidote,
Was it you that said, “you only see what what your mind allows”?
Anyway, Dr. D super nice and super smart. Why foster Ill will?
Dr. D,
Russia has the firepower and man power. So what gives? I can change my mind tomorrow, it’s not the Super Bowl for me, just would like to see it end. The Z-tards said it would be over by now, that the Russians had fire control over the highway into Severodonetsk. Not what I’m reading.
I see quite a bit of this,
https://meaninginhistory.substack.com/p/briefly-noted-russia-winning-the?s=r
But then there is this, pretty recent but needs confirmation.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1533206149952159744.html
“We could always make a huge bet on it, and of course I already have.”
What, me take the Nazis and you take the Orcs? Even odds?
I’m not sure how to process that, so I will have fun with it.
You can be Carey I will be the other guy.
Dr. D,
Is this that which is extremely unlikely?
“Ukraine is in a much better position to sustain a multi-year war than Russia. It has an unlimited line of credit with the West for arms and an utterly committed population.“
That is the racket.
This is not completely true, but interesting nonetheless.
A map for the day. The point here is to look at the population density of the two regions Russia has captured in this war. They are among the least urbanized regions of Ukraine. What Russia has mainly conquered is a lot of farmland. pic.twitter.com/Jj4lJaZHyV
— Tom Warner (@warnerta) June 4, 2022
EoinW, maybe things would be different (Should always ask What if?)
We are now prepared to obliterate more rapidly and completely every productive enterprise the Japanese have above ground in any city. We shall destroy their docks, their factories, and their communications. Let there be no mistake; we shall completely destroy Japan’s power to make war.
Here is how the frontline in Ukraine changed over the past five weeks. Russian progress has been very small, whereas Ukrainians have successfully counterattacked north of Kharkiv and in the Kherson Oblast. pic.twitter.com/r2VUoBxmMg
— Konrad Muzyka – Rochan Consulting (@konrad_muzyka) June 4, 2022
A lot of mushroom cloud talk coming from Russia recently. Also, don’t think a ceasefire will fly now that Russians appear to be unable to take Severodonetsk and declare full control over Donbas.
https://unherd.com/2022/06/putins-war-is-just-beginning/
[..] He did, however, pay particular attention to the potential for nuclear weapons to intimidate other nations. He published a new doctrine of nuclear threats, known as “Escalate to Deescalate”. The public airing of this doctrine was meant to show that he was seriously considering selective use of nuclear weapons not only inside Ukraine but in future conflicts with Baltic Sea neighbours.
[..] It is amid this context of larger ambitions that the Russian invasion of Ukraine should be assessed. The long list of Russian military failures over the past 100 days are embarrassing, but the objectives remain the same. The growing costs of waging war and the toll on his armies and top officers cannot go on forever. But that doesn’t mean the war is entering its endgame.
For Putin, the next steps seem obvious: unilaterally declare a ceasefire, ease the international interventions on behalf of Ukraine, and provide time to regroup and prepare for a new drive westward through Odesa to Moldova and Transnistria, perhaps next year. If a ceasefire is declared, the world will sigh with relief, stock markets will rebound, worries about world food shortages will diminish, and diplomats will go back to sleep. But the war will only be in hibernation; the action will resume at a later date. After 100 days of war, the battle for Ukraine is only getting started.
“Now that the war is going so abominably for Putin and the prospect of his regaining Kyiv has faded, we are told that Russia is being “humiliated” by its failure and the West’s power. So answer me this: if these proud Russians feel “humiliated” by the historic loss of Ukraine and then feel “humiliated” by Russia’s attempt to regain Ukraine, who is responsible for this lamentable sense of low self-esteem? It ought to be abundantly clear that if anyone is, in fact, “humiliating” Russia, it is the country’s own venal, incompetent and belligerent government.
Rather than indulging this imperial psychodrama, we ought to notice a more telling pattern in the Putin regime’s behaviour, which is that whenever he senses weakness or a lack of resolve on the part of his enemies, it emboldens him. That is why all this spineless chat from Mr Macron and Mr Scholz is so damaging. Have they learnt nothing from Georgia and Crimea, or from Litvinenko and Skripal? Have they not noticed that, whenever the West prevaricates or sells out, Mr Putin’s ambitions only expand? It can hardly be a coincidence that all the countries Moscow has attacked since 1990 are non-Nato members, whereas the Nato members, despite many having been “historically Russia” as Mr Putin put it, have been left alone.”
Well equipped reinforcements.
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1533016274090999808?s=20&t=9NuN6yCY4g1ybp1pponHZw
The Ukrainians are on track to a million people under arms by no later than the end of July with many/most of them returning combat veterans of six conscript classes in the previous 8-years of fighting. The 8-year conflict took the lives of around 4500 Ukrainian soldiers, 6000 Russian proxy fighters, 500 Russian soldiers and 3000 civilians
Reports on Twitter strongly point to Ukraine being able to turn new NATO kit into combat power very quickly.
Ukraine is in a much better position to sustain a multi-year war than Russia. It has an unlimited line of credit with the West for arms and an utterly committed population.
A deal between Russia and Ukraine is only possible as an extension of an agreement between Russia and the West or as a result of the collapse of Putin’s regime.
Ukraine has been mounting effective counter offensives
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1532997505868255233.html
Overall that have recaptured (Russians abandoned) a lot of territory
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1532836363036413953?s=20&t=MNwC1ErokhmwSctuxwJmMQ
Russian media hair on fire.
Russian lawmaker on state TV claims that the people he meets are neatly divided in two categories: those that want war and those that want bigger war: "Let's move on Berlin, London and Washington!" He also has some expletive-ridden comments about our deliveries of weapons.
Watch: pic.twitter.com/JmmCk0Op7F— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) June 3, 2022
(Being reported, but not sufficiently confirmed yet)
“According to Haidai, the Russian army suffers significant losses in the regional center. “And the ‘Donetsk People’s Republic’ refuses to fight for the ‘Luhansk People’s Republic’,” he said.”
The Ukrainian military “dragged” Russian troops into a trap in Severodonetsk. The enemy suffers losses and receives hard counterattacks.
Aleksey Arestovich, the adviser to the head of the President’s Office, said this on his Facebook page.
“I recently spoke here about the enemy’s increased operational and tactical skills – the Russian troops. And now – watch your hands. We dragged the Russian troops into a trap in Severodonetsk, pretending to” surrender “the city,” he wrote.
According to Arestovich, now the Russian command is in shock. The Russians reported about the “capture” of Severodonetsk, and now they have received a tough counterattack from the Armed Forces of Ukraine. “The defenders of Ukraine are now liquidating Moscow comrades,” the adviser to the head of the Presidential Office noted, even though the occupiers have superiority in aviation and artillery.
(2 months before invasion)
“The eight-point draft treaty was released by Russia’s foreign ministry as its forces massed within striking distance of Ukraine’s borders. Moscow said ignoring its interests would lead to a “military response” similar to the Cuban missile crisis of 1962.”
(3 months after invasion)
Ukraine will be able to go on the offensive against Russia between late May and mid-June, thanks to weapons supplied by the U.S. and European countries, an adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has said.
[..] “Decisive fighting,” as Zelenskyy put it, over the Donbas region in eastern Ukraine is expected to begin soon. Ukraine will be able to form units for its offensive as tanks, long-range artillery and other weapons will begin to arrive from the U.S. and Europe in mid-May, Arestovich said.
[..] Arestovich referred to three scenarios for the war. One is the “liberalization of locations occupied by Russian forces” in a month or two as a result of the Ukrainian troops’ efforts to push the invaders back. In the second scenario, Russia promptly mobilizes reserves, delaying the launch of Ukraine’s counteroffensive. The third sees progress in cease-fire negotiations following a halt to Russia’s attacks on Ukraine.
(3 months before invasion)
“We don’t know what President Putin’s intentions are. But we do know what’s happened in the past. We know the playbook of trying to cite some illusory provocation from Ukraine or any other country and using that as an excuse for what Russia plans to do all along,”
(3 months before invasion)
“Russia has concentrated about one hundred thousand troops near the borders of Ukraine and is preparing an attack early next year. Kirill Budanov, the head of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, spoke about this in an interview with the Military Times.”
Air strikes, riots and landing in Odessa – date of the Russian attack
