vlad

 
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  • in reply to: Debt Rattle January 23 2019 #45004

    vlad
    Participant

    Dr. D

    “Gosh, I feel like Nassim sometimes”

    Yes, it’s the Snowman thing, isn’t it? No point looking here in Adelaide for any, ten minutes ago we just passed our hottest temperature in history (46.2degC, since you ask), with the hottest part of the afternoon still to come. Similar records set all over South Australia, with Australia’s hottest ever temperature (50.7) seriously under threat in the next hour or two…

    in reply to: You Are Well Inside the Matrix #44091

    vlad
    Participant

    Latest update from the mini Ice Age:

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/nov/27/queensland-bushfires-intensify-as-heatwave-hits-the-state

    Seems that climate change deniers all over the internet have just discovered Valentina Zharkova and her sunspots (or lack thereof). Manna from heaven! Maybe they should read this, then go and lie down for a bit. But they won’t…

    https://www.iflscience.com/environment/mini-ice-age-hoopla-giant-failure-science-communication/

    Yes, I know, it’s the mainstream media, and they are just making up the stuff about Queensland. California too, probably.

    Nice summary of Ukraine, Illargi – thanks! I tried talking about this to someone of Ukrainian descent a little while back. Waste of time. Things have moved on a bit since 1950.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle November 26 2018 #44047

    vlad
    Participant

    ..and didn’t I read something about some wildfires in California recently?

    in reply to: Debt Rattle November 26 2018 #44046

    vlad
    Participant

    Seems that for every Illinois, there is a Queensland…

    https://www.9news.com.au/2018/11/26/19/59/queensland-heatwave-fire-fighters-stretched-70-fires

    And, as they say, it isn’t even summer yet…

    in reply to: Debt Rattle November 25 2018 #44033

    vlad
    Participant

    Dr D

    Are you channelling Nassim with this “coldest Australia” meme? I can’t remember last summer being any different from the other scorchers we have had in recent years. But then, I’m only one person in one place, so I thought I’d better consult the relevant data…

    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/current/season/aus/archive/201802.summary.shtml

    I think the pertinent phrase is “Summer 2017-18 was exceptionally warm for Australia”…

    in reply to: Debt Rattle June 21 2018 #41340

    vlad
    Participant

    HI Nassim,

    I know you were away for a bit, so may have forgotten that the eastern seaboard of Australia almost invariably gets hit with a big cold front in June. It’s why people book their ski holidays then. Just for the record, all Australian state capitals except Sydney (Melbourne, Brisbane, Perth Adelaide and Hobart) are currently at about half to three-quarters of a degree Celsius above their mean top temperatures for June. Sydney is right on the average. Anyway, thanks for sparing us the photographs of snowpersons this time!

    Cheers,

    Vlad

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 28 2018 #38553

    vlad
    Participant

    I’ll tell you why, Nassim – because, with two days of the month to go, Perth’s average top temperature for January is bang on the long-term average. Are you trying to ruin their tourism industry or something? And why no mention of poor old Adelaide, where the January average top is currently 4 (count ’em) degrees Celsius above the long term average. I’ve got sleepless night to prove it. That wouldn’t be some sort of admission, would it? Enjoying your pieces on the Middle East, by the way…

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 20 2018 #38381

    vlad
    Participant

    Absolutely right about 1939, Nassim – it was also the day of the most extensive bushfire in the state’s history. Not a record I want to see exceeded anytime soon. That record temperature has had a close shave in more recent times, though. 2009, and 2014 when I think it reached 45.6 in central Adelaide. I remember that day well, because for some stupid reason I travelled up to the northern suburbs to see a friend, the latter part of the trip being in a non-air conditioned bus. I believe it was over 47 up there that day, and I nearly didn’t make it to his front door. By the way, we’ve got a few more days coming later this week forecast to get into the low forties, so if you want to fire off some more “freezing Melbourne” stories I may have a few headlines to counter with.

    Anyway, to broaden it out a bit, I’m sure you already know that nine of the ten hottest years on record in Adelaide have come since 2002. Coincidentally, that was the year I headed up to the Adelaide Hills in an attempt to escape the worst of the summer heat (weather is fine for the rest of the year). Perhaps then, instead of giving us a photo of frozen eyebrows in Kazakhstan (cute, but as useful an indicator of climate trends as my currently comatose cat), you could dig out some data showing nine out of the ten coldest years in Kazakhstan have occurred since 2002, then I’ll get interested. Actually, anywhere would do…

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 20 2018 #38360

    vlad
    Participant

    Today’s weather report from Central Adelaide, Australia. Estimated top temperature from the Bureau of Meteorology – 36deg. Actual top (2.20pm) – 39 deg. Wimps. They’ll have to stop reading Nassim’s posts, I reckon.

    in reply to: Debt Rattle January 18 2018 #38344

    vlad
    Participant

    Nassim – I like a lot of your comments, but this temperature obsession is getting me irritated. First, predicted top temperatures and actual top temperatures are not the same thing. BoMs predictions are the best going around, but they are still only predictions. Today in Adelaide the prediction was for a top of 35c, but it got to 39. So what?. Second, the hottest time of day (and I’ve lived in Melbourne too) can just as easily be mid-morning, or early evening – so not necessarily the convenient time of 3.30pm. As you would well know, it depends on when the northerlies are strongest. Third, your use of Williamstown as a reference point is interesting, given it is stuck out in Port Phillip bay. Conveniently for you, BoM does not measure at Williamstown, but I imagine it would be a fair bit cooler than Central Melbourne. After all, western Sydney can be several degrees hotter than central Sydney. It’s a big place. How about using Melbourne (Olympic Park) as the measure – that’s pretty central. It also happens to be where the Australian Open tennis is being played at the moment – anyone wanting to know what was going on there yesterday should google “Australian Open tennis” and “heat”, It didn’t look like 28c to me…

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