Mar 202023
 March 20, 2023  Posted by at 5:40 pm Finance Tagged with: , , , , , , , ,

Jacob Lawrence Struggle: From the History of the American People, Panel 10 1954

Andrew Korybko:

The impending trifurcation of International Relations will result in the formation of three de facto New Cold War blocs: The US-led West’s Golden Billion, the Sino-Russo Entente, and the informally Indianled Global South. Intrepid readers can review the preceding hyperlinked analysis to learn more about the grand strategic dynamics behind this latest phase of the global systemic transition, while the present one will elaborate on those connected to the Russian-Chinese Strategic Partnership in particular.

These two Eurasian Great Powers had already closely aligned their foreign and economic policies far before Russia was forced to commence its special operation in Ukraine last year after NATO clandestinely crossed its red lines there and refused to diplomatically resolve their security dilemma. This was due to their shared multipolar vision, which in turn resulted in Moscow synchronizing its Greater Eurasian Partnership (GEP) with Beijing’s Belt & Road Initiative (BRI).

The purpose behind doing so was to supercharge multipolar processes across the supercontinent with a view towards making International Relations more democratic, equal, just, and predictable a lot sooner than even the most optimistic observers could have expected. None of this was driven by anti-Western animosity either since both of them envisaged the EU and US playing pragmatic roles in this emerging world order, which is proven by their proactive engagement of each over the years.

Russia expected that it could diplomatically resolve its security dilemma with the US over NATO’s expansion simultaneously with encouraging it and the EU to get Kiev to implement the Minsk Accords, thus ending the then-Ukrainian Civil War and optimizing trans-Eurasian trade. Meanwhile, many EU countries joined BRI and China even clinched an investment pact with the bloc, all while seeking to diplomatically resolve its own security dilemma with the US and work out a new trade deal with it.

Had the US formulated its grand strategy with mutually beneficial economically driven outcomes in mind instead of remaining under the influence of Brzezinski’s zero-sum divide-and-rule teachings, then everything could have been much different. That declining unipolar hegemon could have responsibly carved out a comfortable niche in the new era of globalization that Russia and China were jointly seeking to pioneer, thus ensuring that the global systemic transition smoothly moved towards multipolarity.

Regrettably, liberalglobalist members of the US’ military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies (“deep state”) continued to believe that Brzezinski’s geostrategic schemes could successfully reverse the aforesaid transition and thus indefinitely retain their country’s dominant position in International Relations. This explains why they subsequently sought to “contain” Russia and China at the same time by worsening regional disputes instead of reciprocating those two’s efforts to peacefully resolve them.

The decision was eventually made to prioritize Russia’s “containment” over China’s with the expectation that the first would either strategically capitulate to NATO’s blackmail campaign or quickly collapse due to sanctions if it resorted to military force for defending its red lines in Ukraine, thus making China’s successful “containment” a fait accompli in that scenario and therefore preserving the US’ hegemony. Where everything went wrong was that the West never prepared for a protracted conflict in Ukraine.

Russia proved much more resilient in all respects than the Golden Billion expected, ergo why they’re panicking that the over $100 billion that they’ve already given to their proxies in Kiev isn’t anywhere near enough for defeating that Eurasian Great Power. The New York Times admitted last month that the sanctions failed just like their “isolation” campaign did, while the NATO chief recently declared a “race of logistics” and the Washington Post finally told the truth about just how poorly Kiev’s forces are faring.

Amidst the past year of international proxy hostilities that the West itself provoked, the globalized system upon which China’s grand strategy depended was unprecedentedly destabilized by their unilateral sanctions regime that’s responsible for the food and fuel crises across the Global South. This influenced President Xi to seriously consider a “New Détente” with the US, which he initiated during last November’s G20 Summit in Bali after he met with Biden and a bunch of other Western leaders.

To be absolutely clear, this well-intended effort wasn’t meant to reverse any of the multipolar progress that China was responsible for over the past decade but purely to pursue a series of mutual compromises aimed at establishing a “new normal” in their ties so as to restore stability to globalization. In other words, it was about buying time for the world’s top two economies to recalibrate their grand strategies, ideally in the direction of working more closely together for everyone’s sake.

Their talks unexpectedly ended in early February, however, after the black swan event that’s known as the balloon incident. This saw anti-Chinese hardliners in the US suddenly ascend to policymaking prominence, thus dooming the “New Détente”, which resulted in China recalibrating its approach to the NATO-Russian proxy war to the point where President Xi, Foreign Minister Qin, and Ambassador to the EU Fu all concluded that it’s part of the US’ anti-Chinese “containment” strategy.

Under these newfound circumstances, the US consolidated its successfully reasserted hegemony over the EU by getting Germany to go along with Washington’s very strongly implied threats that the Golden Billion will sanction China if it decides to arm Russia should Moscow require such aid as a last resort. In response, China felt compelled to consolidate its strategic partnership with Russia to the point of turning it into an entente, hence the purpose of President Xi’s trip to work out the finer details of this.

Just like these two Great Powers earlier synchronized Russia’s GEP and China’s BRI, so too are they now poised to synchronize the first’s Global Revolutionary Manifesto with the second’s global initiatives on development, security, and civilization. This prediction is predicated on the articles that Presidents Putin and Xi published in one another’s national media on the eve of the latter’s trip to Moscow, which confirms that they intend to cooperate more closely than ever before.

Observers can therefore expect the Sino-Russo Entente to solidify into one of the world’s three premier poles of influence as a result of the Chinese leader’s visit, thus making it a milestone in the New Cold War over the direction of the global systemic transition. The worldwide struggle between this pole and the Golden Billion will intensify, especially in the Global South, which will reinforce India’s importance in helping fellow developing states balance between both and thus bring about true tripolarity.



We try to run the Automatic Earth on donations. Since ad revenue has collapsed, you are now not just a reader, but an integral part of the process that builds this site. Thank you for your support.

Support the Automatic Earth in virustime. Click at the top of the sidebars to donate with Paypal and Patreon.

Home Forums Xi’s Trip To Moscow Solidifies The Sino-Russo Entente

Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • Author
  • #131664

    Jacob Lawrence Struggle: From the History of the American People, Panel 10 1954 Andrew Korybko: The impending trifurcation of International Relations
    [See the full post at: Xi’s Trip To Moscow Solidifies The Sino-Russo Entente]


    The most bizarre aspect of the pro Russia Western media is that they are saying the opposite of what the Russian media is saying, how bizarre , how bizarre.For what the Russian media is saying………..


    recalibrate strategies
    In war, everything turns to rubble and becomes worthless.
    In peace, wealth is build and progress is made.


    This post is straight forward and really close to reality. My guess is that thousand-year-old hatreds will prevent détente between the tri-polar world. Million years old human instincts will never let elite high caste corporate Westerners play second fiddle to the Russians or Chinese, let alone, East Indians. The question is will there be an extinction event on Earth that kills off human beings in a global nuclear war or will it be by climate change?

    On the other hand, instead, an armistice could be signed and a new barbed wire iron curtain could descend north and south across Eurasia. Europe and North America being resource depleted and broke will sink into third world irrelevance without middle eastern energy and Asian supplied goods. Surviving humans will continue to be exploited as always but North and South America will try to isolate from Eurasia with the end of fossil fueled air travel and the return of wooden sailing ships with updated 17th century technology that uses only renewable energy and salvaged resources. Just maybe, 18th century constitutional democracy and mankind’s right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness will be restored in the Americas.

    V. Arnold

    Xi’s Trip To Moscow Solidifies The Sino-Russo Entente

    : an international understanding providing for a common course of action

    And there it is; the hegemon is finished…
    The world should see this as an important moment in the settlement of priorities for the future of us…

    John Day

    The actions of the hegemon-in-rapid-decline DO MAKE SENSE in a Dick-Cheney-Energy-Policy kind of way.
    “We will take or control all ofthe energy resources”, was the Cheney plan.

    Oil and gas are limited in a finite world, so control it all, and put choke points in place where tribute must be paid. The countries that pump the oil and gas will grow their economies, gobble it up, and stop exporting, if we let them, so we need to suppress/destroy their economies, to protect our access-to and control-of “their” resources.
    The inefficiencies of that for most people, especially the people in the oil/gas countries, put most-people at odds with the “hegemon”. The hegemon does not serve the interests of Americans, Brits, Canadians, Germans or Japanese any more than is necessary to maintain their compliance.

    The cost of maintaining hegemony cannot be maintained, AND the project has failed, so it makes “sense” to cut that cost quickly, and pay Africa, Cuba, South and Central America, much of Asia and the “Mideast” a peace-dividend for a few years, instead.
    This new cooperative, non-colonial arrangement will be much more efficient in meeting more human needs, especially the needs of the humans who have been getting bombed and starved for food, water and fuel.

    Those of us humans who have been getting some further-reduced-form of the American/European/etc way-of-life are going to be so squeezed, and have our houses and cars repossessed. A lot of the rest of our near futures isn’t worked out quite yet.

    Yeah, there is il in Alaska, and probably Cuba, but it’s not for “us”, is it?

Viewing 6 posts - 1 through 6 (of 6 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.