Oct 302022
 
 October 30, 2022  Posted by at 8:00 am Finance Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , ,


Balthus Girl at the window 1955

 

Americans Support Quick Diplomatic End To War In Ukraine (ReSt)
‘Russia Will Lose The Energy Battle,’ Says IEA Chief Fatih Birol (EN)
Russian Energy ‘Will Never Return’ – IEA (RT)
US LNG Cannot Replace The Russian Natural Gas That Europe Has Lost (OP)
Putin: “The Situation Is, To A Certain Extent, Revolutionary” (Escobar)
‘Massive’ Drone Attack On Black Sea Fleet – Russia (BBC)
Russia Suspends Its Participation In Grain Deal (RT)
British Navy Involved In Nord Stream 2 ‘Terrorist Attack’ – Russia (RT)
German Bailout Of Struggling Energy Giant May Reach €60 Billion – BBG (RT)
Orbán Says Hungary Is ‘Exempt’ From The Conflict (Dalos)
Japan Unveils Massive Spending Package (RT)
GM “Paused” Ads on Musk’s Twitter (WS)
Writers, Publishers, Editors Call for Termination of Barrett Book Deal (Turley)
UN Seeks $4 to 6 Trillion Per Year to Address Climate (Mish)

 

 

“Tough times never last but tough people do.”
~Robert H. Schuller

 

 

 

 

Tucker fair fight

 

 

 

 

 

 

Clare Daly

 

 

 

 

Twitter just reinstated Peter McCullough, but there’s more:

Senator Ron Johnson @SenRonJohnson:
“Hearing Dr. Peter McCullough has been stripped of his medical certifications. On what basis did this occur? He has dedicated his life to saving others. This is outrageous and must be reversed.”

 

 

 

 

You read this, you think: a voice of reason. But they still have to resort to blatant lies: “The poll’s release comes after Vladimir Putin doubled down on Russia’s war in Ukraine by mobilizing reserves and issuing threats to use nuclear weapons after recent gains by the Ukrainian military near the country’s eastern border with Russia.”

Putin mentioned nukes exactly once, and that was long before Ukraine’s “recent gains”. It was also not a threat. It was a statement.

Americans Support Quick Diplomatic End To War In Ukraine (ReSt)

Nearly 60 percent of Americans would support the United States engaging in diplomatic efforts “as soon as possible” to end the war in Ukraine, even if that means Ukraine having to make concessions to Russia, according to a new poll. The survey, conducted by Data for Progress on behalf of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, also found that a plurality (49 percent) said the Biden administration and Congress have not done enough diplomatically to help end the war (37 percent said they had). The poll’s release comes after Vladimir Putin doubled down on Russia’s war in Ukraine by mobilizing reserves and issuing threats to use nuclear weapons after recent gains by the Ukrainian military near the country’s eastern border with Russia.


Moscow has also recently orchestrated referendums in some Russian-controlled areas of Ukraine on whether citizens there want to secede and become part of the Russian Federation, leading experts to believe that regardless of the outcome, Putin plans to illegally annex parts of Ukraine. The survey also found that 47 percent said they support the continuation of U.S. military aid to Ukraine only if Washington is involved in ongoing diplomacy to end the war, while 41 percent said they would support aid regardless of whether the United States is engaged in negotiations. Just six percent said Russia’s war in Ukraine is among the top three most important issues facing the United States today, with the top three being inflation (46 percent), jobs and the economy (31 percent), and gun violence (26 percent).

Read more …

Fatih Birol has been issuing nonsense for many years. That’s precisely why he’s kept his job all this time.

But it’s very simple: if you have all the “energy”, you cannot lose the battle for it.

‘Russia Will Lose The Energy Battle,’ Says IEA Chief Fatih Birol (EN)

Russia will lose the energy battle it is waging against the West, according to Fatih Birol, the executive director of the International Energy Agency (IEA). “Just before the invasion [of Ukraine], about 65% of the Russian total gas exports went to Europe and 55% of the Russian oil export went to Europe,” Birol told Euronews on Friday afternoon. “Europe was by far the largest market, the largest client for Russia, and Russia lost this client forever. The biggest client.” Birol’s comments appeared to refer to the retaliatory action that the European Union has taken in response to the Ukraine war: a near-total oil embargo of Russian gas and a highly expensive push to diversify gas suppliers, mainly through liquefied natural gas (LNG).

Asked if Russia could replace European clients with other regions, Birol said that would not be easy because “a big chunk” of Russian gas originates in Western Siberia and then flows to Europe via pipelines. Building brand-new pipelines to China or India could take up to 10 years, he predicted, and a significant amount of technology and investment. “You are not selling onions in the market, you are selling natural gas. It’s a different business,” Birol said. “So to replace the natural gas exports to Europe with Russia is, in the short term, a pipe dream.” But Russia is not the only country going through troubled times. In his interview with Euronews, recorded at the IEA’s headquarters in Paris, Birol spoke of an international crisis of unprecedented scope and reach, wreaking havoc in all corners of the world.

“We are in the middle of the first truly global energy crisis. Our world has never, ever witnessed an energy crisis with this depth and with this complexity,” he said. “In the 1970s, we had an oil crisis, but it was only oil. Now we have oil, natural gas, coal, electricity. The reason is very simple: Russia, the country that invaded Ukraine, is the largest energy exporter of the world.” Birol described Europe as the “epicentre” of the storm and characterised its decades-long reliance on cheap Russian fuels as a “mistake” at the root of the present crisis. The IEA chief predicted the continent will be able to make it through the upcoming winter with just some “economic and social bruises” and no major damage — but only if the winter “is not too long and not too cold, and if there are no major surprises.”

Birol, however, expressed greater concern about the 2023-2024 winter, citing three key factors: Europe’s absence of Russian gas, China’s economic recovery and tighter conditions in the LNG markets. “In the next few years, we have to be ready [to deal] with volatile and high energy prices and we have to find solutions,” he said. “But to be very frank, this winter is difficult and next winter may be even harder.”

Read more …

More Birol.

Russian Energy ‘Will Never Return’ – IEA (RT)

Russia may “never” regain its position in the global energy market due to Western sanctions in response to the country’s military operation in Ukraine, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its yearly World Energy Outlook, published on Thursday. The events in Ukraine are prompting a wholesale reorientation of global energy trade, leaving Russia with a much diminished position.All Russia’s trade ties with Europe based on fossil fuels had ultimately been undercut by Europe’s net zero ambitions, but […] now the rupture has come with a speed that few imagined possible … Russian fossil fuel exports will never return – in any of our scenarios – to the levels seen in 2021,” the agency said. It predicts that Russian oil and gas revenues will drop by more than half in the coming years, from around $75 billion last year to less than $30 billion in 2030.


Western sanctions prompted Russia, which previously supplied around 20% of the globe’s fossil fuels, to reorient its energy exports toward Asian markets, but according to the IEA the country is unsuccessful in finding markets for all of the flows that previously went to Europe. Longer term prospects are weakened by uncertainties over demand, as well as restricted access to international capital and technologies to develop more challenging fields and LNG projects, the agency explained. Overall, according to the IEA the world is facing a crisis of unprecedented depth and complexity in terms of energy, with a profound reorientation of international energy trade already underway. The agency predicts that the energy crisis is likely to force countries to speed up their energy transition, as solar and wind power, as well as electric vehicles, are deemed less vulnerable to political crises and sanctions than fossil fuels.

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Not even close.

US LNG Cannot Replace The Russian Natural Gas That Europe Has Lost (OP)

Europe cannot rely solely on imports of U.S. LNG to offset the pipeline gas supply it will have lost from Russia when it starts rebuilding inventories after the end of this winter, according to BloombergNEF. So far this year, American LNG has been crucial in meeting demand in Europe, which is scrambling for gas supply and willing to pay up for spot deliveries, outbidding most of Asia. The United States is shipping record volumes of LNG to Europe to help EU allies and nearly 70% of all American LNG exports were headed to Europe in September, according to Refinitiv Eikon data cited by Reuters. However, the significant drop in Russian gas supply this year occurred only in June, meaning that Europe could still stock up on some Russian gas earlier this year.

Ahead of the 2023/2024 winter, however, the gap in gas supply in Europe will be much wider without Russian gas. Europe will not be importing much Russian gas—or none at all if Russia cuts off deliveries via the one link left operational via Ukraine and via TurkStream—compared to relatively stable imports from Russia in the first half of this year, before Moscow started gradually cutting volumes via Nord Stream in June until shutting down the pipeline in early September. “The year-on-year increase is not sufficient to offset a total cut in Russian piped supply with under half of these volumes met by LNG increases,” BNEF analyst Arun Toora said.

“The good news is that Russia looks close to having played its last card in terms of gas leverage over Europe. However Europe’s challenges will not disappear with the daffodils next spring,” London-based consultancy Timera Energy said in a winter gas market outlook at the beginning of October. Without most of the Russian gas supply, Europe will likely need to offset around 40 bcm of additional lost Russian flows next year. LNG alone cannot meet this volume, considering a lack of new global liquefaction capacity in the short-term, including in the U.S., limited further demand elasticity in Asia, and European regasification capacity constraints. Therefore, European demand will need to fall, Timera Energy said.

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“Putin in fact did nail where we are: on the edge of a Revolution.”

Putin: “The Situation Is, To A Certain Extent, Revolutionary” (Escobar)

[..] the heart of the matter at Valdai is its 2022 report, “A World Without Superpowers”. The report’s central thesis – eminently correct – is that “the United States and its allies, in fact, no longer enjoy the status of dominant superpower, but the global infrastructure that serves it is still in place.” Of course all major interconnected issues at the current crossroads were precipitated because” Russia became the first major power which, guided by its own ideas of security and fairness, chose to discard the benefits of ‘global peace’ created by the only superpower.” Well, not exactly “global peace”; rather a Mafia-enforced ethos of “our way or the highway”.

The report quite diplomatically characterizes the freezing of Russia’s gold and foreign currency reserves and the “mop up” of Russia’s property abroad as “Western jurisdictions”, “if necessary”, being “guided by political expediency rather than the law”. That’s in fact outright theft, under the shadow of the “rules-based international order”. The report – optimistically – foresees the advent of a sort of normalized “cold peace” as “the best available solution today” – acknowledging at least this is far from guaranteed, and “will not halt the fundamental rebuilding of the international system on new foundations.” The foundation for evolving multipolarity has in fact been presented by the Russia-China strategic partnership only three weeks before imperially-ordered provocations forced Russia to launch the Special Military Operation (SMO).

The Valdai report duly acknowledges the role of Global South medium-sized powers that “exemplify the democratization of international politics” and may “act as shock absorbers during periods of upheaval.” That’s a direct reference to the role of BRICS+ as key protagonists. On the Big Picture across the chessboard, the analysis tends to get more realistic when it considers that “the triumph of ‘the only true idea’ makes effective dialogue and agreement with supporters of different views and values impossible by definition.” Putin alluded to it several times in his address. There’s no evidence whatsoever the Empire and its vassals will be deviating from their normative, imposed, value-laden unilateralism.

As for world politics beginning to “rapidly return to a state of anarchy built on force”, that’s self-evident: only the Empire of Chaos wants to impose anarchy, as it completely ran out of geopolitical and geoeconomic tools to control rebel nations, apart from the sanctions tsunami. So the report is correct when it identifies that the childish neo-Hegelian “end of history” wet dream in the end hit the wall of History: we’re back to the pattern of large scale conflicts between centers of power. And it’s also a fact that “simply changing the ‘operator’ as it happened in earlier centuries” (as in the US taking over from Britain) “just won’t work.” China might harbor a desire to become the new sheriff, but the Beijing leadership definitely is not interested.

And even if that happened the Hegemon would fiercely prevented it, as “the entire system” remains “under its control (primarily finance and the economy).” So the only way out, once again, is multipolarity – which the report characterizes, rather vaguely, as “a world without superpowers”, still in need of “a system of self-regulation, which implies much greater freedom of action and responsibility for such actions.” Stranger things have happened in History. As it stands, we are plunged deep into the maelstrom of complete collapse. Putin in fact did nail where we are: on the edge of a Revolution.

Read more …

“..in recent days, Kyiv has accused Moscow of deliberately delaying the passage of ships, creating a queue of more than 170 vessels.”

How does a massive attack solve this?

‘Massive’ Drone Attack On Black Sea Fleet – Russia (BBC)

Russia has accused Ukraine of carrying out a “massive” drone attack on the Black Sea Fleet in the Crimean port city of Sevastopol. The attack began at 04:20 (01:20 GMT) and involved nine aerial and seven marine drones, Russian officials said. At least one warship is said to have been damaged in the strikes. Ukraine has not yet acknowledged the incident. Ukrainian troops have been successfully retaking territory occupied by Russians recently. Russia has replied by launching large-scale attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure, particularly on the country’s energy grid. Mikhail Razvozhaev, the Russian-installed governor of the Sevastopol, said Russia’s navy had repelled the latest attack. The strikes were the “most massive” on the city since Russia launched the invasion of Ukraine in February, Russian state media quoted the governor as saying.

He said that all unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) had been shot down and no “civilian infrastructure” had been damaged. At least one vessel sustained minor damage, the Russian Ministry of Defence said. “In the course of repelling a terrorist attack on the outer roadstead of Sevastopol, the use of naval weapons and naval aviation of the Black Sea Fleet destroyed four marine unmanned vehicles, three more devices were destroyed on the internal roadstead,” a statement from the ministry read. Russia also claimed the ships targeted on Saturday morning were involved in ensuring the “grain corridor” as part of the international initiative to export agricultural products from Ukrainian ports.

The agreement, brokered by the UN and Turkey, allowed Ukraine to resume its Black Sea grain exports, which had been blocked when Russia invaded the country. It was personally negotiated by the UN secretary general and celebrated as a major diplomatic victory that helped ease a global food crisis. But Russia complains that its own exports are still hindered, and has previously suggested it might not renew the deal. In recent days, Kyiv has accused Moscow of deliberately delaying the passage of ships, creating a queue of more than 170 vessels.

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“Russia “is suspending its participation in the implementation of agreements on the export of agricultural products from Ukrainian ports..“

Russia Suspends Its Participation In Grain Deal (RT)

Moscow has halted its compliance with a grain deal with Kiev, brokered by the UN and Türkiye, after Ukraine launched a major drone attack on ships involved in securing safe passage for agricultural cargo, the Russian Defense Ministry announced on Saturday.In a post on its Telegram channel, the ministry said Russia “is suspending its participation in the implementation of agreements on the export of agricultural products from Ukrainian ports”. It explained that the move was prompted by “a terror attack” against the ships of the Black Sea Fleet and civilian vessels involved in ensuring the security of the grain corridor. The ministry also alleged that the bombing was organized with the involvement of British military.

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Still no investigation results. Top secret.

British Navy Involved In Nord Stream 2 ‘Terrorist Attack’ – Russia (RT)

Britain’s Royal Navy played a part in orchestrating and staging the sabotage of the Nord Stream gas pipelines in the Baltic Sea, the Russian Defense Ministry said on Saturday. The accusation follows the Russian Foreign Ministry’s claim that NATO conducted a military exercise during the summer, close to the location where the undersea explosions occurred. Writing on its official Telegram channel, the ministry alleged that Royal Navy operatives “took part in planning, supporting and implementing” a “terrorist attack” to blow up the gas pipelines on September 26. According to the Defense Ministry, the same British operatives were involved in the training of Ukrainian military personnel who recently attacked ships of Russia’s Black Sea fleet, which were implementing a grain deal between Russia and Ukraine, brokered by the UN and Türkiye.

The pipelines, which were built to deliver Russian natural gas directly to Germany, abruptly lost pressure on September 26, following a series of underwater explosions off the Danish island of Bornholm. Both Western countries and Russia sounded the alarm about the incident, with Moscow denouncing it as a terrorist attack and calling for an investigation into the matter. In late September, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova noted that this summer, NATO conducted military drills not far from Bornholm, which featured intensive use of “deep-sea equipment’’. Earlier this month the Wall Street Journal, citing German officials familiar with the investigation, reported that the blasts which damaged the pipelines were caused by sabotage.

While the officials stopped short of naming the culprit, they were said to be “working under the assumption that Russia was behind the blasts.” Moscow has repeatedly denied that it had anything to do with the incident. Meanwhile, Sky News has cited a UK defense official as saying Nord Stream 1 and 2 could have been damaged by a remotely detonated underwater explosive device. At the time, the broadcaster said the pipelines might have been breached by mines lowered to the seabed, or explosives dropped from a boat or planted by an undersea drone.

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At some point, someone will say that is an awful lot of money to keep a bunch of neo-nazis in power.

German Bailout Of Struggling Energy Giant May Reach €60 Billion – BBG (RT)

Berlin is getting ready to boost financial aid to Uniper, the country’s largest gas supplier, which has been brought to the brink of insolvency due to rising energy prices, Bloomberg reported citing sources familiar with the matter. According to the report, the government may up the aid to €60 billion ($60 billion). The plan comes as the company’s financial situation is quickly worsening due to growing wholesale gas prices prompted by diminishing flows from Russia. Uniper’s adjusted net loss for the first nine months of the year reportedly amounted to €3.2 billion ($3.2 billion). And if gas prices do not subside, which is unlikely due to the approaching winter and the subsequent growth in demand, the government will have to spend twice as much to bail out the energy giant than previously expected.

German authorities announced plans to nationalize Uniper last month as part of efforts to keep the energy industry afloat amid the crisis. Uniper has been promised around €31 billion in aid from Berlin’s €200 billion energy aid package. In exchange, the government will acquire a 98.5% stake in the firm, which effectively means its full nationalization. The law cementing the deal is reportedly scheduled to be confirmed by the German Senate on Friday, and the funds could be transferred to Uniper next week, Bloomberg sources said. In an interview with Bloomberg, German Deputy Finance Minister Florian Toncar said Berlin will do all in its power to ensure Uniper remains operational but did not comment on the size of the aid.

“Uniper is a crucial company for the gas supply in Germany, otherwise we wouldn’t jump to such high stakes,” he was cited as saying. While European benchmark gas futures have fallen about 70% from their August highs on nearly full storage and liquefied natural gas (LNG) deliveries, gas prices remain around three times higher than the five-year average. According to Uniper, the company is forced to pay much more for gas now than it did for the pipeline supplies from Russia.

Read more …

The Guardian found an anti-Orban Hungarian.

Orbán Says Hungary Is ‘Exempt’ From The Conflict (Dalos)

The invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 will go down in the annals of European history. Russia’s undeclared war has cast an almost apocalyptic shadow. And it has dramatically altered the relationships that had prevailed between east and west since the collapse of the USSR. Whenever or however this armed conflict ends, it will undoubtedly take a long time for a new peace-guaranteeing equilibrium to be established. At the very least, the European Union and Nato now have to reckon with a hostile power on their borders and to prepare for a new phase of the cold war. Hungarians voted in general elections just weeks after the invasion, in April, and it seems reasonable to assume that the war next door had an influence on the result.

Given the climate of fear that the devastating “special military operation” created, Hungarians voted to keep Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz in power rather than risk an untested six-party coalition. This assumption also underlies Orbán’s response, which is to stay out of the conflict to the point of being “exempted”, a position that has been condemned as a betrayal by Hungary’s western allies. Hungary refuses to allow arms shipments destined for Kyiv to transit Hungarian territory and blocks the extension of EU sanctions against Russia to the energy sector. This latter stance is intended to enable an already controversial Russian-Hungarian project to build a nuclear power plant on the Danube (Paks II) to go ahead unaltered. The exemption clearly goes too far, even if Hungary does have special interests that merit consideration.

It has a 136km (84-mile) border with Ukraine and there are roughly 150,000 ethnic Hungarians living in the Transcarpathian oblast in south-west Ukraine, many of them married to Ukrainians. It should be remembered that, while in purely geographical terms, Hungary stayed the same after 1989: the former Hungarian People’s Republic now borders five countries that owe their statehood to the end of the USSR and the dissolution of larger, multi-ethnic entities. To the south, the collapse of the former Yugoslavia led to the creation of Serbia, Croatia and Slovenia. Its northern border is no longer with the former Czechoslovak Socialist Republic but with Republic of Slovakia and independent Ukraine. What now connects most of these newer political entities with Hungary, and indeed its old neighbours, Romania and Austria, is EU membership.

Serbia is on the waiting list, Ukraine has been awarded candidate status. But in the 1990s, all these countries made the transition to parliamentary democracy, during which the rivalries between the various political groups played out openly and, not infrequently, violently. Every twist and turn and every internal conflict in these republics still affects Hungary’s interests because of the Hungarian minorities living there: 1.5 million in Romania, 500,000 in Slovakia, 300,000 in Serbia, 16,000 in Croatia, 15,000 in Slovenia and 150,000 in Ukraine.

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Japanese govt bonds are bought by the BOJ AND the citizens. A closed loop.

Japan Unveils Massive Spending Package (RT)

The Japanese government has announced an economic package worth around 39 trillion yen (nearly $270 billion) to support the economy amid rising inflation and a weakening national currency, broadcaster NHK reported on Friday. The package includes local and central government spending, and is “aimed at overcoming rising prices and reviving the economy… to protect people’s livelihoods and businesses,” Prime Minister Fumio Kishida told reporters in Tokyo. The government plans to lower utility bills to help households save an equivalent of $19 a month on electricity and $6 a month on gas, according to Kyodo News.


Inflation in Japan has seen its sharpest increase in 40 years, with core consumer prices in Tokyo, a leading indicator of nationwide figures, rising 3.4% in October from a year earlier, according to official figures. The increase has been attributed to rising energy, raw material and food prices amid the economic fallout of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, as well as other factors, the Kyodo News said. The Bank of Japan, however, has been swimming against the global current of increasing interest rates as it kept its short-term interest rate at -0.1% on Friday. Last week, the Japanese yen fell to its weakest level against the dollar since August 1990, having lost more than a fifth of its value against the greenback this year alone.

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“..Twitter, is owned as of yesterday by the CEO and largest shareholder of Tesla. And the automakers that compete with Tesla, and are getting their clocks cleaned by Tesla, are now finding themselves advertising on Elon Musk’s platform.”

GM “Paused” Ads on Musk’s Twitter (WS)

Automakers spend lavishly on advertising, and they advertise heavily in the social media. But now, one of the social media platforms, Twitter, is owned as of yesterday by the CEO and largest shareholder of Tesla. And the automakers that compete with Tesla, and are getting their clocks cleaned by Tesla, are now finding themselves advertising on Elon Musk’s platform. And when you think about it, that’s kind of a hoot. No one likes to advertise on a competitor’s platform, for all sorts of reasons, but particularly because on a social-media platform, the competitor gathers the consumer tracking data and can get important insights into current and potential customers and their reactions to the products and ads – without even passing on those insights to the automaker.

Advertising on a competitor’s social media platform is a particular problem because of the vast amount of user data that those platforms collect – data on your customers and potential customers that you may actually not see yourself, unless the platform decides to share it with you. General Motors is the first automaker out the gate: It announced on the first day after Musk closed the acquisition of Twitter that it “paused” its paid advertising on Twitter. “We are engaging with Twitter to understand the direction of the platform under their new ownership. As is normal course of business with a significant change in a media platform, we have temporarily paused our paid advertising. Our customer care interactions on Twitter will continue,” GM said in a statement emailed to CNBC.

Stellantis, which owns the Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, and Ram brands, among a bunch of other brands, tweeted this morning via its Citroën account, pointing specifically at the issue: “Hello to the social media platform owned by one of our competitors.” This isn’t about advertisers’ concerns, if any, with Musk’s potential content moderation policies. Musk already tried to soothe those fears with his open letter, addressed to advertisers, that was suddenly full of lovey-dovey language, posted on Twitter, of course. “In addition to adhering to the laws of the land, our platform must be warm and welcoming to all.” And he said, “I very much believe that advertising, when done right, can delight, entertain, and inform you.” And he said, “Twitter aspires to be the most respected advertising platform in the world that strengthens your brand and grows your enterprise.”

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“The focus of the letter is the fact that Barrett voted with the majority in the Dobbs decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.”

Writers, Publishers, Editors Call for Termination of Barrett Book Deal (Turley)

We have been discussing the rising support for censorship on the left in the last few years. Silencing opposing views has become an article of faith for many on the left, including leading Democratic leaders from President Joe Biden to former President Barack Obama. What is most distressing is how many journalists and writers have joined the call for censorship. However, even with this growing movement, the letter of hundreds of “literary figures” this week to Penguin Random House is chilling. The editors and writers call on the company to rescind a book deal with Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett because they disagree with her judicial philosophy. After all, why burn books when you can simply ban them?

The public letter entitled “We Dissent” makes the usual absurd protestation that, just because we are seeking to ban books of those with opposing views, we still “care deeply about freedom of speech.” They simply justify their anti-free speech position by insisting that any harm “in the form of censorship” is less than “the form of assault on inalienable human rights” in opposing abortion or other constitutional rights. Yet, the letter is not simply dangerous. It is perfectly delusional. While calling for the book to be blocked, the writers bizarrely insist “we are not calling for censorship.” While the letter has been described as signed by “literary figures,” it actually contains many who are loosely connected to the “broader literary community” like “Philip Tuley, Imam” and “Barbara Hirsch, Avid reader.” It also includes many who are simply identified by initials or first names like “Leslie” without any stated connection.

Nevertheless, there are many editors and publishing figures who list their companies (including HarperCollins, Random House and other companies) and university presses (including Cambridge, Harvard, Michigan Northwestern, Oxford) with their titles in calling for censorship. The list speaks loudly to why dissenting or conservative authors find it more difficult to publish today. These are editors who are publicly calling for banning the publication of those who hold opposing views from their own. It also includes academics like Ignacio Leopoldo Götz Römer, Stessin Distinguished Professor Emeritus, New College of Hofstra University and Carole DeSanti, Elizabeth Drew Professor of English Language and Literature, Smith College (and former VP and Exec Ed, PenguinRandomHouse).

The focus of the letter is the fact that Barrett voted with the majority in the Dobbs decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Barrett has been the singled out in the past due to her judicial philosophy (which is shared by many federal judges and millions of citizens). Her home has been targeted and activists have published school information on her young children. Recently, Rhodes College alumni sought to strip references to Barrett from the college because they disagree with her views. Her college sorority was even forced to apologize for simply congratulating her for being one of a handful of women to be nominated to the high court. No attack appears to be beyond the pale for media or the left. Barrett sat through days of such baseless attacks on her character, but even had to face attacks referencing her children. Ibram X. Kendi, the director of the Center for Antiracist Research at Boston University, claimed that her adoption of two Haitian children raised the image of a “white colonizer” and suggested that the children were little more than props for their mother.

Read more …

We’re rich!

UN Seeks $4 to 6 Trillion Per Year to Address Climate (Mish)

The Guardian reports UN finds ‘no credible pathway to 1.5C in place’: “The UN environment report analysed the gap between the CO2 cuts pledged by countries and the cuts needed to limit any rise in global temperature to 1.5C, the internationally agreed target. Progress has been “woefully inadequate” it concluded. Current pledges for action by 2030, if delivered in full, would mean a rise in global heating of about 2.5C and catastrophic extreme weather around the world. A rise of 1C to date has caused climate disasters in countries from Pakistan to Puerto Rico. If the long-term pledges by countries to hit net zero emissions by 2050 were delivered, global temperature would rise by 1.8C. But the glacial pace of action means meeting even this temperature limit was not credible, the UN report said. A study published this week found “large consensus” across all published research that new oil and gas fields are “incompatible” with the 1.5C target.”

What Would It Cost? Hooray! Only $4 trillion to 6 trillion per year. “A global transformation from a heavily fossil fuel- and unsustainable land use-dependent economy to a low-carbon economy is expected to require investments of at least US$4–6 trillion a year,” stated the UN report (page 26 of 132).
Q: US$4–6 trillion a year for how many years?
A: Based on figure ES.6 (lead chart) least eight years.
Q: What Percent of GDP?
A: 4 to 9 percent for developing countries, and 2 to 4 percent for developed countries. And developing countries will gladly fork over up to 9 percent of GDP every year for eight years. Yeah, right. Meanwhile, the EU is burning more trees and coal. Burning trees is magically deemed environmentally neutral.

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Elephant drum
https://twitter.com/i/status/1586018731385397248

 

 

 

 

Steller’s sea eagle
https://twitter.com/i/status/1586251819071590400

 

 

 

 

Good boi

 

 

 

 

Lyrebird

 

 

 

 

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Home Forums Debt Rattle October 30 2022

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  • #119618

    Balthus Girl at the window 1955   • Americans Support Quick Diplomatic End To War In Ukraine (ReSt) • ‘Russia Will Lose The Energy Battle,’ Says
    [See the full post at: Debt Rattle October 30 2022]

    #119621
    Afewknowthetruth
    Participant

    We need the uplifting natural world stuff after reading and viewing all the thoroughly depressing and utterly destructive stuff that a large sector of a species of greedy apes are engaged in.

    Apparently Russia has 82,000 with previous military experience on their way to the frontline, and is ramping up production of the very successful drones. It is also offering employment possibilities in the Ukraine battle zone to NATO-trained Afghans left in the lurch and without income when the Americans suddenly left Afghanistan without even informing their ‘allies’.

    Been saying for a long time, with the US as a friend, who needs enemies. In fairness to the Americans who do not support global oppression, let’s say, with the US military-industrial-financial complex as a friend, who needs enemies.

    It has been reported that the next 100,000 Russian military cohort will be added in a month or so. And another 100,000 early in 2023.

    More than doubling the size of the denazification forces, along with additional kit, should see the whole NATOstan faux narrative collapse by Easter. That’s if the NATOstan nations don’t suffer economic and social collapse by Christmas.

    By the way, in case you missed it, the Scorpion’s plane broke down in Antartica. And a woman threw a sword at the Scorpions electoral office window.

    Wondering what next week will bring. Certainly nothing good from the vampire/scorpion class.

    #119623
    Germ
    Participant

    In the UK, without my VPN “on” I cannot access any RT links.

    RT is outlawed in the UK.
    What a world!

    #119624
    aspnaz
    Participant

    Germ said

    RT is outlawed in the UK.
    What a world!

    Amazing how so-called leaders are willing to throw their old core-convictions overboard, in this case free speech. Not for the first time, I am sure it happened in previous wars, but we are supposed to be pretending that we are not at war.

    If we play pretend, then obviously they are not leaders, because otherwise they would have found a way to drag everybody with them to keep their core convictions. Also obviously, these were not core convictions, they were window dressing used to pretend that they had real “red line” principles, but now we know that was never true, they were always just lying …. and probably fiddy fiddling looking at the historical record.

    If we are honest then we would realise they are too cowardly to fight the Russians head on. They know they will lose, so they are turning this into a propaganda war hoping that they will wear out the Russian people and turn them so that they throw out Putin. Basically they want to do with Russia what they have done in Ukraine: implement a third-world coup, kill a load of innocent civilians, scare the civilians shitless so that they don’t protest (the Duterte treatment), then steal everything.

    #119625

    I can’t get RT on desktop, but I can on my phone. Most RT links I use are from Azerbaycan, which duplicates most articles.

    #119629
    Red
    Participant

    “I think globalization is done for a period of time,” Bunge CEO Greg Heckman said in a call yesterday. “When we had a supply problem or a demand surge globally, every origin port and every destination was available to solve that problem in the past. That’s no longer true.”

    Archer-Daniels-Midland ($ADM) also warned of uncertaintly coupled with profits that have nearly doubled this year. The company reported earnings of just over $1 Billion, up from $526 million during the same period last year.

    “We have very good momentum going into 2023,” ADM Chief Executive Juan Luciano told investors. “But what we see is a very uncertain world.”

    Agriculture experts say we will need two or more good crop years in North and South America to relieve the tight food supply situation. Mother Nature is not cooperating. More rain will be needed to water crops and boost low water levels on the Mississippi River, Great Lakes’ St. Lawrence Seaway and Argentina’s Paraná River so grain barges can operate but too much rain could drown crops and reduce yeilds.

    Grain Giant Warns Globalization Is Over

    #119630
    Red
    Participant

    Three key amoxicillin manufacturers — Hikma Pharmaceuticals, headquartered in the United Kingdom; Sandoz, based in Switzerland; and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd., headquartered in Israel — are reporting shortages of the antibiotic, according to the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists, which maintains a database of drug shortages.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/science/science-news/pharmacies-are-reporting-shortages-widely-used-antibiotic-amoxicillin-rcna53476

    LONDON, Oct 27 (Reuters) – Surging energy costs in Europe risk accelerating an exodus of companies critical in the manufacture of essential medicines, further endangering drug supply chains hit by shortages at the height of COVID-19, drug ingredient makers say.

    Essential medicines are crucial in treating long-term conditions as well as for surgical procedures. They are also typically off-patent, and sold at the lowest possible prices set by national health agencies or insurers’ associations in European Union member states allowing only the most cost-efficient suppliers to survive.

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/energy-crisis-risks-upending-europes-essential-medicine-supply-chains-report-2022-10-27/

    #119631
    oxymoron
    Participant

    A whole lotta talk about Russia and the US and their gas hegemony and subsequent power plays ignore that Australia exports considerably more (at least 3 times more!) than the supposed super producer of Russia.
    I think we are now ahead of Qatar (which has been flat for ages) as no 1.

    So no; China and india do NOT need Russian gas, but it’s cheap so they will take is.
    Put’s us here in Oz in a strange position aligned as we are with the demented West but selling to the BRICS – it’s all banking people. Nation states are a barely a thing but Putin needs to draw a line somewhere I guess.

    #119632
    oxymoron
    Participant

    Lyrebirds – who knew outside of gaming nerds that lazer beam sounds pick up chicks.

    They are on the outskirts of Melbourne Fern tree gully etc. It is just so much weirder if you live here because they are BANG ON copying the birds we know and love – king parrots, black cockatoos, yellow-breasted honeyeaters etc. It is disturbing – I’ve watched em alone in the Dandenongs and it is so trippy.

    Nature is so much cooler than Brandon

    #119633
    anticlimactic
    Participant

    METHANE

    Clare Daly shows how ‘believers’ lose all intelligence when talking about the environment. They do not question but just blindly spout the dogma.

    It took me a few seconds to find out that methane is only 2 parts per MILLION in the atmosphere and so it is not worth spending a single dollar in ‘fighting’ it.

    It surprised how little methane there is as it is a byproduct made by microbes as they recycle organic matter, which will be occurring over most of the Earth. A different mechanism creates vast quantities of methane below the Earth’s surface.

    I would have thought that 1 part in 500,000 would be about a day’s supply. Methane is extremely flammable so I would not expect it to last in the atmosphere for long, and it obviously doesn’t.

    It is disturbing that something that is so obviously ‘not an issue’ has joined the list of boogy-men created to frighten us into making sacrifices which diminish our lives.

    #119634
    Dr. D
    Participant

    Trying to gin up a war with China: how’s this for a theory? They’re broke and need to steal China’s overseas dollars the same way they just bought a few months stealing Russia’s. Now THAT’S plausible.

    Refinery fires. A lot of them. But is it more than usual? What does it mean? Okay, here’s a rumored data point though: like fertilizer plants and US LNG ports, they aren’t fixing them. Or aren’t in any sort of urgency about it. Thots?

    I was thinking, even if there’s no supply chain, and/or no money, refinery companies would be screaming for free money to “help”. They’re not? They don’t like free Congressional, national security money? Huh.

    I’m interested in how Sevestapol rebuffed the undersea drones. Also, near-continuous fly-over from U.S. planes, targeting and orchestrating the whole thing. …But we’re not in the war. Uh-huh. I’m sure Russia totally takes our word for it, and doesn’t blow up any refineries or anything. Petrol now rising in the supply-constrained NE bubble. …Constrained bc they refused pipelines, power lines, and power plants for 50 years. After shutting down their extensive railroads.

    “a voice of reason. But they still have to resort to blatant lies:”

    Also, what’s a “Double down”? That has wide but unspoken implications and prejudice. We’re at a point where reporters, and probably the rest of us, don’t even know HOW to write without bias, having never seen it before. “He said”. “He mobilized.” The end.

    Moscow orchestrated” Lie. Bias. “illegally annex” Lie. Bias. Arguable. “Congress have not done enough” Lie. Bias. They did nothing and/or actively prevented it.

    Every word is a lie because their mind paradigms are constructed of other lies. If they weren’t, they’d be fired. .: If they said it, it’s a lie.

    ““Europe was by far the largest market, the largest client for Russia, and Russia lost this client forever.”

    So? Here’s a mind paradigm that nations are corporations. Why? Because he’s never seen anyone or anything not for sale before. No, a nation does not have to be a corporation. They can just stay in their self-sufficient borders and leave 200 other nations the h—l alone, not sitting on them with military bases.

    “Russian oil and gas revenues will drop by more than half in the coming years, from around $75 billion last year to less than $30 billion in 2030.”

    A mere $30B? That sounds pretty easy to cover.

    “So to replace the natural gas exports to Europe with Russia is, in the short term, a pipe dream.”

    Sure, and they know that, and in the meantime, Europe replacing natural IMports is a pipe dream. Who do you think will better endure the middle period of living modestly, or even rough? A: Europe is already cracking and there’s not even cold and hunger yet. Nor do they have a Siberian forest to burn in their tile stoves in London.

    We are in the middle of the first truly global energy crisis.”

    No, you’re in the middle of an energy attack. Europe got up one day and said, “Hey! Let’s not have any energy anymore. Won’t that be a riot?” They can stop any moment they like which means there is no crisis, the crisis is false.

    “unprecedented depth and complexity in terms of energy, with a profound reorientation of international energy trade”

    They said it, therefore lie. It’s very simple: Europe is broke and didn’t want to pay. So they stopped buying and in fact stole all Russian money, and is looking to steal all of China’s. That IS a profound reorientation in that Europe, being broke, is a useless nobody with no options, while the rest-of-world is having no trouble going around them to other customers and other shipping locations. Sorry to Europe. But admitting it is the first step, bc you’re in SERIOUS, <<le plus maximum>>, danger.

    ” US LNG Cannot Replace the Russian Natural Gas that Europe Has Lost (OP)”

    Why would it? They’re broke and can’t pay for our gas anyway. Coincidentally, our to-Europe LNG terminal blew up and we’re not fixing it. No one notices, we keep our own gas for winter. We’re also doing a direct frontal attack on Europe with bond rates, headed to 6%, fastest in history, even if we’re not doing a direct deadly attack on Germany with NordStream.

    Therefore, European demand will need to fall, Timera Energy said.”

    “Good news, kids! The cupboard is bare! Therefore, no one will eat. Isn’t it wonderful how simple that is?” Somehow I suspect THEY are not going to be the first houses and businesses and cars shut off.

    ““a world without superpowers”, still in need of “a system of self-regulation,”

    Think about the implications of this. No superpower means no superpower’s currency. Or banking center. The “System” of “self” regulation must therefore be a non-empire, probably non-state currency. Usually gold, but could be lots of things these days. Go the other way: how could the reserve currency persist in the ABSENCE of the global empire, backed by a competent, non-constantly-failing Army? Or if the Pentagon and NATO fail everywhere they’ve ever been, can’t even beat goatherders, is that the reliable basis for a currency?

    US$ backed by “Faith and Confidence”? Maybe, or maybe once. But actually, like all governments, it is FIRE, it is FORCE, it is backed by VIOLENCE and murder: “War is a Racket”.

    “allowed Ukraine to resume its Black Sea grain exports, which had been blocked when Russia invaded”

    Passive tense. If passive tense is used, assume it’s a lie. If they use words, it’s a lie. It “had been blocked” but not by “Russia” but by their own badly-deployed sea mines which floated all over the 4,000 sq miles, all the way to Turkey, threatening everybody and everything. Russia had nothing to do with that one.

    Lie: the Black Sea grain exports were going to Europe, who is attacking them, to pay Ukraine, who is in a war with them. And Russia LET THEM OUT, voluntarily, and you IMMEDIATELY attacked and thought you could get away with it? What is this s—t? If your rival and enemy is doing a favor that’s good, I don’t know what you think you’ll get by attacking them for it. …To say nothing of using same ships to re-import major explosives from outside.

    “Still no investigation results. Top secret.”

    Just like Covid. We know because we never looked, never will, and all the documents we have are redacted, can be read in 75 years. That’s how you can be sure we’re innocent and true!

    “British Navy Involved in Nord Stream 2 ‘Terrorist Attack’ – Russia (RT)”

    Kinda. As I’ve said, the Anglo way is to lie, re-define, confuse, obfuscate, and proxy such that, in their own tiny, crooked minds, they can justify themselves. So the HMS Navy planned, armed, trained, paid, and set the date of the attack, however, they’re “totally not involved” because they hired two Poles and a Ukrainian to do it using a UAV owned by Kolomoisky for 6 hours, and provided all the aerial surveillance and accuracy. So both sides can say they’re right…if you follow the language precisely, using diplo-speak. A Parseltounge used by soulless lizards.

    But okay: if it’s not the Brits, where’s the camera footage? What’s the hold up? We saw Deepwater Horizon bringing up nations of oil from improbable depths day after day in hi-res, real-time, but now we un-invented cameras and don’t know how to go underwater? Because it’s Russia, and Sweden, Denmark, and Germany are fronting for and protecting Russia? Huh? “I don’t think so” LL Cool J / Homey the Clown

    German Bailout Of Struggling Energy Giant May Reach €60 Billion – BBG (RT)
    At some point, someone will say that is an awful lot of money to keep a bunch of neo-nazis in power.”

    Who will say that? The Nazis in Europe like Klaus are the same ones. It would take an outside “someone” like the starving people. And sadly, a strongman like Napoleon. Same as it ever was: France started to “Burn it all Down” to “Build Back Better” as wildly advertised by their social media influencers in 1785. A wonderland of freedom and social justice. Just as everybody said, 5 minutes into power, they went insane, being insane people, and broke literally every thing, and killed every body they could lay hands on when their own stupid ideas had their own predictable failure. Battle Cry: “It’s somebody’s else’s fault!” That barber over there, probably, or must be that war vet. Having broken Every. Thing.; Culture, religion, economy, government, in a riot of pure chaos and anarchy of blood-soaked orgy of “me, me, me” violence, no one COULD go back. Everyone was dead, untrusting, or held fatal grudges.

    Therefore there WAS no option but for a strongman who cracked heads with raw, concentrated power to take over. Once he provided order, people saw that as a lesser evil. And once accepted that was the goal, it took mere weeks to restore the French Republic, as happened in Germany, 100 years later: Leon re-instated the French currency and gold standard, under law. That’s it. Boom. Instant prosperity in months as a bunch of hard-living kids who grew up in nothing but violence turned their attention to fixing s—t instead of breaking it. Great!

    One problem: Now a charismatic strongman, happy to smash the old order was in charge of a newly-recreated, squeaky-clean, modern efficient state having only new loyalties, not frayed or historic ones. And a rough, hardened, newly-armed military of an extremely large people. …And being the sort of guy who LIKED getting in fights and taking over and organizing things – thus how he got into the state in the first place – he continued his psychology by getting into MORE fights and taking over MORE things.

    So if you want to remove the Nazis – who are indeed literal Nazis – and the WEF, and the Old guard of Europe who are behind them, the most likely path is with someone like this. Congratulations. Of course you COULD have a religious reform of the heart, where you recognize evil and refuse to participate in it, standing up peacefully to thousands of murders and millions of beatings and imprisonments instead, as the government falls, bringing Europe to heel under the control of the people. But then Jesus could come back in space ship at the head of an alien invasion too. That doesn’t seem any more likely.

    “What now connects most of these newer political entities with Hungary, and indeed its old neighbours, Romania and Austria, is EU membership.”

    This is pure nonsense and I don’t grasp what he’s implying. No: if the EU ceased to exist, no one would notice and the interactions between these nations that reach back 2,000 years would scarcely change.

    “GM “Paused” Ads on Musk’s Twitter (WS)”

    Again: they’re all broke and are directing money to “family” only. In the sense that one Mafia arm only takes from enemies and gives to family. So they’re calculating what they have to do here, but the ROOT of it is that they’re broke. They need to cut spending anyway. When I “spend” to a family member, it’s only a poker chit he never calls or we settle up as a favor. When it’s outside the family, it takes actual cash I don’t have. Because I’m a failure, and totally broke, and the only thing keeping it off is raw violence.

    PS, this is the exact same reason Twitter was also broke, failing, and COULD be bought out. They gave nothing but free favors to friends and had no actual business or business model.

    You have to understand: corporations no longer make money anymore. They don’t even try. When they don’t, it doesn’t matter, as the money-fountain just directs a CIA contract to them to cover. Like WaPo. That’s Capitalism! No profits, no sales, no bankruptcy!

    “Writers, Publishers, Editors Call for Termination of Barrett Book Deal (Turley)”

    Such rebels and outsiders. The Resistance. Made up of CIA, FBI, Congress, Nike, Amazon, Lockheed, Exxon…

    “Agriculture experts say we will need two or more good crop years in North and South America to relieve the tight food supply situation.”

    No it won’t because we no longer have trains or elevators to store it in. That’s what happens when you’re 3rd world infrastructure and your express, written goal is to live in caves and eat bugs.

    “UN finds ‘no credible pathway to 1.5C in place”

    This from an organization, in a system of organizations, who have been exactly wrong about everything in my entire lifetime. But they know this to the first decimal place. EXACTLY x tonnes of CO2, to the second decimal place. Uh-huh. After none of their climate models worked.

    Well, luckily they don’t have any plausible pathway, because their present pathway will kill nearly every human on earth. Instead, it will all happen without any “government”, “rules” or “help.” How? The US lowered their CO2 emissions more than anyone. Why? Because it’s cheaper. And more efficient. Market. Canada lowered their fertilizer use by 1/3. Why? Because it’s cheaper. Why put on stuff that isn’t being efficiently used?

    With us, the UN does nothing, wastes money worldwide, supports wars, applauds the Pentagon burning more CO2 than most major nations, flies more private jets than can park at O’Hare, and yet CO2 is falling. Why? Europe’s stupid war. Nothing to do with the UN. Things changed. That nobody planned. AS ALWAYS. This “not-planning” will probably have a greater effect on CO2 than all the hot air and conferences they’ve released for 40 years. All the loveless nagging and scolding they’ve done while never changing a whit in their own lives. Just like Carter, doing one initiative for domestic insulation, had more effect on oil use than all Presidents combined.

    But we Must. Not. Do. This. Thing. No!!! No insulation for Europe! Never!!!!!!! (It would reduce sales, GDP, tax revenue, and control.)

    That means:
    No local food.
    No domestic solar hot water.
    No home schooling (must have 1h on busses)
    No railways, esp not low-speed local support
    No canals as they are the most efficient
    No collectivized communities
    No 500-year houses (must be disposable)
    No enduring Tech (phones, cars, washers must all fail immediately, and we must mock enduring copper-line tech like Russian fax machines)
    No coppice trees or methods (we much outprice, cut down, and condo these lands instead, esp in Holland)
    No wool or linen, must use plastic.
    No reuse of glass bottles.
    Never recycle lithium.
    No ownership of seeds in Europe, must be made illegal.
    And much, much more!

    Stop. Protest these things. Never Conserve. That’s what Conservatives do. Never, ever Use it up, wear it out; make it do or do without. Buy more today! Operators standing by!

    #119635
    Germ
    Participant

    Dr. Aseem Malhotra – UK Consultant Cardiologist, who was a regular guest on UK TV promoting the death vaxx.
    Brave man for fessing up to the truth.
    Albeit after most folks in the UK have had multiple death jabs.

    “I had the vaccine, I believed it was safe, I got it wrong. The information now is unequivocal. We need to do something about it and we need to suspend it for everybody’’ “For Me It’s A No Brainer; The Evidence Of Harms Are Clear’’

    https://t.me/backtolife_2022/4677

    ☠️☠️

    #119636
    Oroboros
    Participant

    Fatih Birol

    “The IEA chief predicted the continent [Eurotardistan] will be able to make it through the upcoming winter with just some “economic and social bruises” and no major damage…

    hahahaha

    Eurotardistan’s collective economy will descend into chaos and ruin because of no Russian fossil fuel.

    Birol the Buttplug has spoken!

    The IEA has been weaponized and is part and parcel of the Empire of Lies, Fossil Fuel Division for years.

    My name is Ozymandias Birol, King of Kings;
    Look on my Works, ye Mighty, and despair!

    Is Birol a manwhore crackhead like his BBE (best buddy ever) Hunter Biden, gas board executive in Ukronaziland?

    Sure seems like it.

    Eurotardistan is already utterly destroyed as a competitive global industrial power, forever.

    Master resource, Major General Energy, is NEVER coming back the Theme Park of the rump sub-continent.

    Like NEVER.

    Read the cards and weep oh Euro Tards, your fate is sealed.

    Russia is never coming back, the mask has been ripped off and the monster of Russophobia revealed.

    Russia will have plenty of customers for all it’s commodities in the globe running out of everything.

    A word from the Russian squirrel:

    .

    #119637
    Oroboros
    Participant

    Anyway, when food runs short in the Empire of Lies, there’s always a replacement

    .

    #119638
    Figmund Sreud
    Participant

    U.S. Emissions Set to Decline but Global Climate Pledges Fall Short of Goals, U.N. Says

    “Only a root-and-branch transformation of our economies and societies can save us from accelerating climate disaster,” – Inger Andersen, executive director of the United Nations Environment Program.

    https://images.wsj.net/im-652251?width=860&size=1.5005861664712778&pixel_ratio=1.5

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-emissions-set-to-decline-but-global-pledges-fall-short-of-climate-goals-u-n-says-11666832112

    F.S.

    #119639
    willem
    Participant

    Russian oil and gas revenues will drop by more than half in the coming years, from around $75 billion last year to less than $30 billion in 2030.

    Maybe, maybe not. I think not–this year’s experience has already demonstrated that lower sales don’t necessarily equal lower revenues. But more importantly for Europe: What other countries will see their revenues drop between now and 2030? Perhaps the former customers who have been forced by their own sanctions to deindustrialize, and thus will no longer produce anything that can be traded?

    #119640
    those darned kids
    Participant

    highly entertaining:

    [video src="https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/119/112/040/playable/8f2ad6136f05c059.mp4" /]

    #119641
    those darned kids
    Participant

    [video src="https://media.gab.com/system/media_attachments/files/119/112/040/playable/8f2ad6136f05c059.mp4" /]

    #119642
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    I appreciate Clare Daly’s words. It is generally accepted by frequenters of TAE that the specific actors responsible for blowing up the Nord Stream come from the same general group (or were directed by the same group) that are responsible for the censorship, the prolonging of the war in Ukraine, the Covid/vax nonsense, and the technocratic response towards “climate change.” By framing the Nord Stream methane release as a “climate catastrophe” perpetrated by the same folks pushing the technocratic climate response, there is potential for the absurdity to jog folks that support the technocrats out of their stupor of thought. This is beneficial for all of us.

    #119643
    phoenixvoice
    Participant

    If journalists want to learn how to write without bias, all they need to do us dust off 40 year old text books and follow the directions therein for news articles. I was on the high school newspaper in high school and I remember how the text book urged us to write news articles. That was before the existence of “fact checkers.”

    #119644
    zerosum
    Participant

    Deniers
    War of words
    regardless of referendums
    illegally annex
    play pretend
    ———–
    TAE is here.
    It’s going to get worst/change/different.

    “When we were young, In the 1970s, we had an oil crisis, but it was only oil.

    Now we have diminishing energy, (oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, food), plus unstable finance, (too much leveraging), weather extremes, (drought, floods), pandemics, supply line distribution, political revolts/changes, rejection of liars/deniers, racism, Multiple communication channel of/with/by social networks.
    Inflation, (volatile and high energy prices), and we/someone have to find solutions for humanity
    ———–
    multipolarity
    Multipolarity – (Green Zones), is a distribution and acceptance different amounts of political, military, cultural, and economic development/influence/abilities/energy/.
    ———–
    Where is the whole truth?
    Putin: “Gas pipeline systems were blown up-they are not only ours. They are also pan-European, there are 5 European companies represented in Nord Stream 1.

    (Bankruptcy) At some point, someone will say that is an awful lot of money to keep a bunch of neo-nazis in power.

    • German Bailout Of Struggling Energy Giant May Reach €60 Billion – BBG (RT)

    ———–
    NATO interest
    Poland interest
    Russian interest
    Hungary’s interests: 1.5 million in Romania, 500,000 in Slovakia, 300,000 in Serbia, 16,000 in Croatia, 15,000 in Slovenia and 150,000 in Ukraine
    ————
    Twitter
    “I very much believe that advertising, when done right, can delight, entertain, and inform you.” And he said, “Twitter aspires to be the most respected, (money maker for me), advertising platform in the world that strengthens your brand and grows your enterprise.”
    ——
    No love lost
    It, (Russia), is also offering employment possibilities in the Ukraine battle zone to NATO-trained, (and equipped), Afghans left in the lurch and without income when the Americans suddenly left Afghanistan without even informing their ‘allies’.
    ———-
    Salad winner
    ‘believers’ lose all intelligence

    ——-

    #119646
    Maxwell Quest
    Participant

    Let’s Go Brandon

    Thanks, TDK, that was entertaining.

    The Obama magic is dead, dead, dead. Gone are the crowds who waited on his every word with giddy anticipation. The jig is up. He’s just another slick sellout politician, who only gets attention when surrounded by social-climbing lickspittles at parties. Go back to Martha’s Vineyard and ponder how you wasted a golden opportunity to make a difference in this world.

    #119647
    zerosum
    Participant

    Fact check
    https://t.me/ravenstvomedia/103
    Equality.Media
    = Ukrainian ship with 66% of grain went to the West

    🚢From August to October, 350 out of 455 ships with 6.1 out of 9.3 million tons (66%) of Ukrainian grain and its processed products were sent from the unblocked ports of Ukraine to developed countries, Equality calculated according tothe UNand MarineTraffic. 65% of exported products are fodder, i.e. feed for livestock.

    Seriouslyhungrycountries, where more than 10% of the population suffers from malnutrition, got only 1.18 million tons (13%) of cereals, including 25% of wheat. In particular, 11 ships with 0.36 million tons of grain (4%) went to the poorest countries of Africa.

    Total – 9.3 million tonnes
    🇪🇸Spain – 1.80 (or 19% of weight)
    🇹🇷Turkey – 1.29 (14%)
    🇮🇹Italy – 0,86 (9%)
    🇨🇳China – 0,84 (9%)
    🇳🇱Netherlands – 0,55 (6%)
    🇪🇬Egypt – 0,42 (5%)
    🇧🇩Bangladesh – 0,27 (3%)
    🇹🇩Romania – 0,25 (3%)
    🇮🇱Israel – 0,24 (3%)
    🇩🇪Germany – 0.22 (2%)
    Other countries – 2.59 (28%)
    –––––––-Western
    countries and NATO – 6.15 (66%)
    Starving countries – 1.18 (13%)The

    West has been hysterical for months that Russia has allegedly doomed Africans to starvation by blocking the ports of Ukraine. The “grain deal” assumed that the Russian Federation would unblock the ports so that ships could supply grain to the starving. In fact, Ukraine transported it mainly to Europe and historically exports mainly fodder.

    The Russian Federation has 80% wheat in grain exports, but sanctions prevent it from being supplied. The countries of the center of world capitalism do not care much about the hungry, especially since the inequality caused by the current world order remains the main cause of hunger. The word itself is mentioned more than150 times in the FAO report.

    On October 29, russia suspended participation in the “grain deal” after an attack on the Black Sea Fleet. Even before the deal was concluded, experts feared ([1][2]) that under the pretext of grain supplies, Kiev was seeking to import weapons. With the unblocking of ports, the US Department of Defense has become more active in supplying Ukraine by sea, WP wrote, without specifying whether we are talking about routes through neighboring countries or ineffective control. There are precedents. It was on the ship, which left Odessa in August, that there were explosives to blow up the Crimean bridge, the FSB found.

    #119648
    zerosum
    Participant

    In Chisinau, there are again mass rallies with tens of thousands of participants. As usual, they demand the resignation of Sandu and her government, which is destroying Moldova’s already frail economy.
    Accordingly, they demand new early elections and normalization of relations with Russia in order to sit with gas and light in the winter, and not to warm up with firewood.
    202.5Kviews
    Boris Rozhin

    06:27

    #119649
    zerosum
    Participant

    Telegram news
    https://t.me/boris_rozhin/68814
    Situation in the Starobilsk direction
    as of 15.00 on October 30, 2022

    🔻Inthe Kupyansk sector,units of the 14th Mechanized Brigade, with the support of artillery and aviation, made another attempt to storm the positions of the Russian Armed Forces inOrlyanka, Pershotravnev, Tabaevka, Berestov.

    During the attack, the strike detachments of 14 Ombr partially entrenched themselves on the outskirts of the line, but the Russian troops with artillery and MLRS fire knocked out the formations of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to their original lines.

    ▪️The Ukrainian unit was tasked withreaching the Lower Duvanka atany cost. The commander of the 14th Ombr ordered reserves to be brought into the battle and to continue the offensive. InSinkovka there is amangroup OF RER VSU.

    At the same time, part of the personnel of the 2nd battalion of the 14th brigade refuses to advance on the Russian borders from the positional area inNovoosinovobecause of the large losses in manpower.

    🔻In theSvatovskysector, Ukrainian formations unsuccessfully tried to dislodge Russian troops in theareas of StelmakhovkaandMakiivka. The attacks were repulsed.

    ▪️The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine intends to resume the offensive in the directionof Raygorodok. Additional units have been transferred to theBorovayaarea.

    🔻In theLimansky sector,assault squads of the 3rd battalion of the 66th mechanized brigade of the Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the positions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the directionof Chervonopopovka.

    ▪️Support for the advancing formations of the 65th Ombr was carried out by the strike groups of the 25th Airborne Brigade fromthe Kolodezi area, which were transferred to the village the day before. The Russian Armed Forces successfully repelled the attack.

    🔻В ходе боёв на всем направлении российские войска ликвидировали как минимум 52 украинских военнослужащих, более 100 получили ранения различной степени тяжести. Были уничтожены два танка, восемь БМП, пять БТР и девять ББМ.

    Карта в большом разрешении

    @rybar
    t.me/boris_rozhin
    /68814
    206.8Kviews
    Boris Rozhin
    ,
    Oct 30 at 05:58

    #119650
    zerosum
    Participant

    google translation
    🔻During the battles in the entire direction, Russian troops eliminated at least 52 Ukrainian servicemen, more than 100 were injured of varying severity. Two tanks, eight IFVs, five APCs and nine armored personnel carriers were destroyed.

    Map in high resolution

    #119651
    Noirette
    Participant

    WaPo on the US change of nuke arms doctrine.

    Snippets:

    Russia, the documents acknowledge, presents a more “acute” threat, particularly because its president, Vladimir Putin, is actively waging a war in Ukraine and threatening to employ nuclear weapons in combat. (….)

    The document also states that while “moving toward a sole purpose declaration” remains a goal, the options its writers considered — including adopting a “No First Use” doctrine — “would result in an unacceptable level of risk.” As a result, it will be left to future Pentagon strategists and the White House to contemplate any eventual moves to articulate potential limits to how far the United States is prepared to go in its developing arms race with China and Russia.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/10/27/6-highlights-pentagon-nuclear-china/

    Quoting the WaPo because that is what many around the world, including pols, will read, refer to, they will be confused, see the second quote.

    Note the length, ambiguous language, syntax.. pussy footing around.

    Addendum. How many LNG terminals does Germany have? —Zero.

    Statista, just an overview which doesn’t treat volumes,

    https://bit.ly/3sGpK8m.

    #119652
    Afewknowthetruth
    Participant

    /It took me a few seconds to find out that methane is only 2 parts per MILLION in the atmosphere and so it is not worth spending a single dollar in ‘fighting’ it’

    Except that methane has a heat trapping potential of 300 times that of CO2 for time frames that matter. So the 2 ppm of CH4 has a CO2e of 600!

    And the current level is three times the pre-industrial level and rising at the fastest pace in history.

    But never allow scientific facts to interfere with a political argument, eh?

    #119653
    Afewknowthetruth
    Participant

    On the matter of the bollocks report on likely overheating pf the Earth, as long as people quote GDP or the effect on the economy, they have no credibility.

    GDP is fraud, and the economy is the problem.

    We can have a planet that supports life, or we can have an industrial economy for a little longer, but not both.

    We already know that the controllers have chosen to preserve their Ponzi schemes in preference to maintaining the habitability of the Earth. And that is what they will always choose. Therefore, they will keep generating nonsense ‘reports’ until they can’t.

    For the sake of life, I am looking forward to the banksters’ Ponzi schemes unravelling in the near future. That said, the transition phase to life without Ponzi will be hellish.

    #119654
    Alexander Carpenter
    Participant

    It appears that AFKTT can’t tell the difference between in vitro and in vivo. And makes up “units” of… something… something probably as meaningful as “average global temperature.” Total gibberish, but it’s “reasonable.”
    When your premises are wrong, you will ask the wrong questions, get the wrong answers, and believe in them (especially if those premises are belief-based — ie, religious in nature). Belief is the sanity-killer.

    #119655
    zerosum
    Participant

    Trudeau has ‘selective hearing’. He chose to ‘listen’ to some voters to get elected. …before it was the sleepy/tired civil servants then it was the natives, now it’s the Ukrainians.

    #119656
    TAE Summary
    Participant

    A Tale of Three Narratives, Energy Edition

    * Background
    – We are addicted to high energy use.
    – Each first world citizen has the equivalent of scores of energy slaves.
    – We spend colossal amounts of energy on useless things.
    – Governments and especially militaries are fabulous energy wasters.
    – People and even experts don’t understand energy.

    * The Green Narrative
    – Radical action is required to move to renewable, sustainable energy sources to save the environment from climate change. We need to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050 by shifting to renewable energy sources like hydro, solar, wind, tidal and geothermal. Electric cars are our future.
    – Hydrogen can be a green energy source when it is produced from green electricity sources. Nuclear and fusion power are also carbon free and possibly parts of a green energy future. Improving technologies will help solve our energy problems.
    – We need massive investments in green energy. Financial instruments like subsidies, carbon credits and green energy bonds will help us move to a renewable energy future. The world will be better off without fossil fuels.
    – The price of green energy has dropped and is now competitive with fossil fuel energy. Switching to renewables will save most people money. Moving to clean energy will create millions of good paying jobs.
    – By moving to green energy we have a bright future awaiting us.

    * The Abundance Narrative
    – There is plenty of energy but its availability is blocked by those who use energy scarcity to enhance their own power. The real cause of energy insecurity is under-investment in oil and gas. Climate policy is being used as an excuse to limit energy.
    – Energy Cost of Energy is a myth rolled out when energy production is blocked. There are at least 47 years of oil in known reserves in the world and that doesn’t include the trillions of barrels of recoverable shale oil in the US alone. Oil was and is continuously produced by abiotic means in the earth. We will never run out of oil.
    – We need to harness all possible sources of energy including oil, gas, hydro, wind, solar, thermal and tidal energy. Nuclear and fusion power are important parts of our energy solution.
    – Technology will help solve our energy problems. “Clean” energy sources abound within humanity’s grasp. By 2100, we will have quantum reactors creating zero-point energy, air-wired to your car with TeraGigaHertz transmission, and matter synthesizers as well.
    – By using all available sources of energy we have a bright future awaiting us.

    * The Going, Going, Gone Narrative
    – The easily extractable energy is mostly gone. Sane energy policies in the 60’s or 70’s could have mitigated the problems but not much can be done now. New technologies almost always end up using more energy than they produce.
    – Green energy is a mirage. All so-called green energy solutions require fossil fuels as precursors and are not sustainable long term. We don’t have enough lithium, cobalt, etc. for car batteries and our electric grid won’t support charging everyone’s electric cars. People may say they want green energy but are unwilling to significantly sacrifice for it.
    – Infinite growth in a finite world is not possible. We are nearing an energy cliff where there will be drastically less energy available and which will cause an economic depression that never ends. Energy scarcity will be used by those in charge to enhance their own power. We will eventually return to only having local energy from the sun at our disposal, that is, about 1% of the energy we use now. Everything will be mostly local.
    – Our future is not bright. Prepare now.

    #119657
    Afewknowthetruth
    Participant

    ‘When your premises are wrong, you will ask the wrong questions, get the wrong answers, and believe in them’

    Absolutely!

    It also helps, when making political arguments and emotional arguments, to ignore all the facts and make up your own shit as a replacement for facts! (as all politicians in NATOstan nations do).

    #119658
    Afewknowthetruth
    Participant

    From minute 8 to minute 20

    #119659
    zerosum
    Participant

    @TAE Summary
    Good Presentation.
    Here is my list of obstacles.

    “When we were young, In the 1970s, we had an oil crisis, but it was only oil.

    Now we have diminishing energy, (oil, natural gas, coal, electricity, food),
    plus unstable finance, (too much leveraging),
    weather extremes, (drought, floods),
    pandemics,
    supply line distribution,
    political revolts/changes, rejection of liars/deniers,
    racism,
    Multiple communication channel of/with/by social networks.
    Inflation, (volatile and high energy prices),
    Poor education.
    Those with the most will not give up the most to save humanity
    and we/someone have to find solutions humanity

    #119660
    Armenio Pereira
    Participant

    As long as The Everlasting Dissatisfaction sees it fit, pleasure & pain will never go out of style, thus, dorénavant
    Mourn when you feel pleasure,
    ’cause sorrow dully follows.
    Cheer when you feel pain
    ’cause after that there will be
    joy.

    (hail to the forgotten guitar hero)

    #119661
    zerosum
    Participant

    Ukraine Farmers will have new problems that will affect their crop yield.
    Clean and repair their farms of the damage, from the bombing, tanks, etc. before planting their crops

    #119662
    Alexander Carpenter
    Participant

    AFAIK:

    “When your premises are wrong, you will ask the wrong questions, get the wrong answers, and believe in them”
    Absolutely!
    It also helps, when making political arguments and emotional arguments, to ignore all the facts and make up your own shit as a replacement for facts! (as all politicians in NATOstan nations do).

    Political arguments? Yes, universal. Scientific arguments? Not on your life. In science we have much-more-readily-available objective facts, which, despite all the politicization of science, totally falsify the standard narrative as it relates to both epidemiological and climate science (both intense in the propaganda-mill over the past few years).
    So you in particular should stop ignoring all the important truths, making shit up, and just prattling the Carbon Cult fear-mongering that is being used by those same politicians (as dupes and puppets of their Lords and Masters). It’s not enough to be able to see through the political lies; to not be a dupe yourself you have to be able to see through the “science” lies as well.
    The information to accomplish that is as readily available online as the lies, were you to bother to look and dig deeper into the complexities and nuances, and to acknowledge the incomplete nature of contemporary climate science as compared to the specious certainty of the politicized-science lies. So shut up until you do your due diligence. Otherwise you disgrace yourself and undermine your credibility.
    What is the origination of your climate blind-spot? Why subscribe to this religion-like folly, that is even more dangerous to our civilization than most of the more-obviously-political lies? In ultimate fact, your politicized version of “climate denial” is just another political lie, and it appears to have fooled you by pretending to wear a white lab coat.
    Do you have an emotional fear-fetish that blinds you in this area?
    Let us know. Explain yourself (and outside the narrow range of in vitro factoids and fakey “reasonableness” you rely on so far).

    #119663
    Redneck
    Participant

    Russia hits power plants, railways and other civilian targets , that’s the SMO don’t ya know.
    Ukraine hits Russian navy in Sevastopol , TERRORISTS! TERRORISTS! SO precious.

    #119664

    04:20? Why that detail?
    “Thanks for Starlink?” “You’re one of us, now, so be a mensch”?
    Kinda like when the Russian guy (Volodin) alluded to 9/11. “Truss’s phone proves we know what’s up, and have forever. Want us to spill your beans?”
    Potemkin’s bones. What does the word “Potemkin” conjure up? False front?
    Sometimes I think there are messages in the propaganda.

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