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Latest numbers from Hubei are 16,678 confirmed nCoV cases and 479 deaths–a rate of 2.9%. So far the death rate is going down not up.
The CDC https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/preliminary-in-season-estimates.htm estimates that so far this season in the US there has been 180,000 to 310,000 flu hospitalizations resulting in 10,000 to 25,000 deaths. The lowest death rate per hospitalization that one can calculate from these numbers is one death for every 31 hospitalizations or 3.2%. From what information I can glean from the web, the number of nCoV cases that China is reporting as confirmed cases should correspond reasonably well to what CDC calls flu hospitalizations. According to the website https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 , mainland China has 20,492 confirmed cases of nCoV that has resulted in 425 deaths for a death rate of 2.1%. Hubei province, which is the centre of the epidemic and accounts for 414 of the deaths, has a death rate of 3.1%. The rest of mainland China has had only 11 deaths for a death rate of 0.2%.
Death rates will likely change as more numbers come in but so far it looks like one has more to fear from the usual seasonal flu than from 2019 nCoV. On the other hand, China has implemented containment measures that are certain to have a very large negative effect on the economy. ?????
This study https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2374803/ seems to suggest that pretty near everything we are told about influenza and pandemics is made-up bullshit.
Dr. D “There is no “other” on planet earth, only “us”. ”
Seeking the best possible understanding of this statement– ethically, morally, scientifically, spiritually, etc.–should be a foundational aspect of all human endeavour. Also, a great slogan for sweatshirts, bumper-stickers, entry-ways, coffee mugs and so on.
the story implies one can borrow oneself out of debt. rather than a tourist coming in, the motel owner goes to the bank and borrows the $100. then after the money cancels out all the debts and gets back to the motel owner, he goes to the bank and pays off his debt. oops–he still owes the interest . and that is how the rich got rich and why jesus had a problem with money lenders
Dr D There are some bright spots in the darkness that lies ahead. Many people are working hard to make a difference. See for example Living the Change free on Mercola through Mar ll, https://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2019/03/09/living-the-change-documentary.aspx?utm_source=dnl&utm_medium=email&utm_content=art1&utm_campaign=20190309Z1_UCM&et_cid=DM272115&et_rid=563290438
“… the reality is, if one were to have a major contraction, much less plan a voluntary, intentional one, the pressure to stop it would be overwhelming and from every side: retail, political, financial, human, ecological, economic, military; there is no way such a plan could be seriously considered, much less implemented. WE ARE NEVER MOVING TO EFFICIENCY UNDER A DEBT-BASED MONETARY SYSTEM. End of story….
We not only need a New Green Deal, we need a New Deal altogether. A better one, a fairer one. A possible one. One with a future. So let’s start acting like it and begin.”
Looking forward to another post where you explain how to make the impossible possible.
‘There is simply no viable alternative to the dollar’s global role as a unit of account, a means of payment, a transactions currency and a store of value.’
Creating an alternative to the US dollar is not difficult but the consequences will be profound.
How to do it? — the same way that the dollar was created, i.e., out of thin air and trust.
For purposes of thin air – just pick a convenient number. Let’s say 1 trillion. Give the unit a name. I like trade reserve unit (TRU).
For trust you need an administrative body founded by treaty between participating nations with all nations having equal rights and responsibilities. Give the administrative body a name. I like TRU Registry and Clearinghouse (TRAC).
So far, we have TRAC sitting on 1 trillion TRUs. The purpose of the TRUs is to replace US dollars as a means of payment for international transactions. To accomplish their purposes, the TRUs must be allocated to nations on some objective basis related to their function. I propose that TRAC set up an account for every member of the United Nations and allocate the TRUs to those accounts in proportion to each nation’s share of global imports. Every nation on earth will then have a supply of TRUs waiting for them to use.
To get the process started it is necessary that a significant group of nations get together to found TRAC My preferred group would be the members of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and its observer status nations.
Nations would get access to the reserves waiting for them in TRAC when then they become members by ratifying the TRAC treaty.