Ian Graham
Forum Replies Created
-
AuthorPosts
-
Ian GrahamParticipant
“Planet is headed for at least 2.5C of heating with disastrous results for humanity, poll of hundreds of scientists finds…
““I think we are headed for major societal disruption within the next five years,” said Gretta Pecl, at the University of Tasmania. “[Authorities] will be overwhelmed by extreme event after extreme event, food production will be disrupted. I could not feel greater despair over the future.””
Ian GrahamParticipantJeff Bridges shares the screen with scientists, profound thinkers and a dazzling array of Earth’s living creatures to reveal eye-opening concepts about ourselves and our past, providing fresh insights into our subconscious motivations and their unintended consequences. Energy is the currency of life. Bridges reveals the keys we need to move into the future wisely.
Ian GrahamParticipant“Unwise to neglect Himalayan crisis…
“The depletion of glaciers would lead to a sharp reduction in freshwater supply. All the major rivers in north India, Pakistan and China are fed by the Himalayan glaciers. The depletion of glaciers will result not only in a water crisis but also in serious economic and social problems.”
https://www.deccanherald.com/opinion/editorial/unwise-to-neglect-himalayan-crisis-2998773
Ian GrahamParticipantPut Kunstler’s podcast on vandenBosch against this in Forbes:
“What I am predicting,” he said, “is a massive, massive tsunami” of illness and death among highly-vaccinated populations with dysregulated immune systems.
Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2024/04/01/black-swan-events-may-be-predictable-after-all/?sh=326e9ce13b84
While we can’t accurately predict when and where a black swan will strike, we can hedge against it by using the stochastic method and planning ahead. In business, this may mean planning for what your company would do if rail lines shut down in high temperatures. In real estate, that could mean installing air conditioning units in your multifamily propertyIan GrahamParticipant“Copernicus online portal offers terrifying view of climate emergency. Looking at the mass of information, there is only one conclusion: we are running out of time…
“…it seemed to this observer that scientists have been underestimating for some time how quickly the situation is deteriorating.”
Ian GrahamParticipantClimate news worth noting.
If the fracturing of our once stable climate doesn’t terrify you, then you don’t fully understand it. The reality is that, as far as we know, and in the natural course of events, our world has never — in its entire history — heated up as rapidly as it is doing now. Nor have greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere ever seen such a precipitous hike.Think about that for a moment. We’re experiencing, in our lifetimes, a heating episode that is probably unique in the last 4.6 billion years.
Posted on CNN< who have to say Editor’s Note: Bill McGuire is professor emeritus of geophysical & climate hazards at University College London and author of “Hothouse Earth: An Inhabitant’s Guide.” The views expressed in this commentary are his own.
https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/07/opinions/climate-scientist-scare-doom-anxiety-mcguire/index.htmlIan GrahamParticipant“You’ve got to get up every morning with a smile on your face and show the world all the love in your heart “
How can Escobar be published like in The Cradle extract, when is supposedly behind bars in Uk?
Ian GrahamParticipantHow did humans get to the brink of crashing climate?
“…Previous centuries created the right conditions for human-caused climate change, but the last few generations made it a reality. In 1960, humans put about 9 billion tons of carbon dioxide into the air; in 2021, they produced more than four times that amount, according to the Global Carbon Project.
“Energy use skyrocketed as cars, air travel and technology became more affordable in many North American and European countries. Other nations such as China, Japan and India were assembling their own energy regimes based on fossil fuels. And this all happened amid growing understanding and concern about heat-trapping gases.”
Green growth or degrowth: what is the right way to tackle climate change?
“…to avoid ecological collapse, sectors such as fossil fuels, fast fashion, industrial meat farming, air travel, plastics and many more need to draw down their economic activity. Meanwhile, other sectors need to grow. These include clean energy, obviously, but also biodegradable materials, green steel and pesticide-free agriculture.”
Get more perspective on the reality of overshoot/bottleneck and its symptoms at http://www.climateandeconomy.com
Ian GrahamParticipant“Global daily average temperature 2C above pre-industrial norm for first time [and on two consecutive days].
“On Friday the temperature reached 2.07C above the temperature average for 1850-1900, a larger increase than at any other time in recorded history, while provisional figures show the following day to have reached 2.06C.”
Ian GrahamParticipantWhen will you start posted better sources on climate/overshoot/energy issues? Maybe some more range of perspectives, not just the clickbait for the deniers?
Some examples today:Economic models buckle under strain of climate reality…
“”…climate change is fundamentally different to other shocks because once it has hit, it doesn’t go away,” said Thierry Philipponnat, author of a report by Finance Watch, a Brussels-based public interest NGO on financial issues. And if the fundamental assumption is flawed, all the rest makes little sense – if any,” he told Reuters.
“Another issue is that IAMs have for years used a “quadratic function” to calculate GDP losses that involves squaring the temperature change – while ignoring other methods such as the exponential function better suited for rapid change.
“Critics say this choice is doomed to underplay the likely impact – particularly if the planet hits environmental tipping points in which damage is not only irreversible but happens at an ever-accelerating rate.”
“Global daily average temperature 2C above pre-industrial norm for first time [and on two consecutive days].
“On Friday the temperature reached 2.07C above the temperature average for 1850-1900, a larger increase than at any other time in recorded history, while provisional figures show the following day to have reached 2.06C.”
“World facing ‘hellish’ 3C of climate heating, UN warns before Cop28…
“Guterres said: “Present trends are racing our planet down a dead-end 3C temperature rise. This is a failure of leadership, a betrayal of the vulnerable, and a massive missed opportunity.”
Ian GrahamParticipant“World behind on almost every policy required to cut carbon emissions, research finds.
“Coal must be phased out seven times faster than is now happening, deforestation must be reduced four times faster, and public transport around the world built out six times faster than at present, if the world is to avoid the worst impacts of climate breakdown, new research has found.”
“One Huge Contradiction Is Undoing Our Best Climate Efforts.
“The world is still using more energy each year, our consumption ticking ever upward, swallowing any gains made by renewable energy. Emissions are still rising—more slowly than they used to but, nonetheless, rising… And so we are now in climate purgatory.”
Ian GrahamParticipantFacebook
Twitter“I made a new graph of global 2-meter surface temperatures that includes data back to 1940.
“Just stunning.
“We now live on a planet that human civilization has never experienced before.”
I made a new graph of global 2-meter surface temperatures that includes data back to 1940. Just stunning.
We now live on a planet that human civilization has never experienced before. pic.twitter.com/j9DEIs5Dbx
— Prof. Eliot Jacobson (@EliotJacobson) November 11, 2023
Ian GrahamParticipantRaul, you say ” There doesn’t appear to be much sense in “saving the Planet” if the only way to do that is to kill your economy and society.” Don’t you think it would be an awful waste of evolutionary brilliance and marvel and beauty to have to start all over again? ‘No sense’ to us alive now in our toxic normal culture (to quote Gabor Mate), but that toxic ‘americanized’ version of economy and society is grinding us down anyway.
Ian GrahamParticipantEveryone who reads TAE should check in on http://www.climateandeconomy.com in tandem. You’ll see headlines from various media on climate events one day and economy the next. Will help shake you awake about global system glitching. https://climateandeconomy.com/2022/12/16/16th-december-2022-todays-round-up-of-climate-news/
example:
“Record low water levels on the Mississippi River in 2022 show how climate change is altering large rivers…“In 2022, water levels in some of the world’s largest rivers, including the Rhine in Europe and the Yangtze in China, fell to historically low levels. The Mississippi River fell so low in Memphis, Tennessee, in mid-October that barges were unable to float, requiring dredging and special water releases from upstream reservoirs to keep channels navigable.”
https://phys.org/news/2022-12-mississippi-river-climate-large-rivers.html
Ian GrahamParticipantIan GrahamParticipantIan GrahamParticipantI wonder how you can say, @v arnold, industrialization hasn’t taken over the whole world; maybe not in area but surely in hegemony, economic dominance, extraction industries reach far into the hinterlands.
William Catton crafted a plausible explanation in his last book Bottle: Humanity’s Impending Impasse, 2009. (Available as ebook from googlebooks)_
Division of labour and commodification of relationships are his big two reasons why we have run the course of modern history the way we have. He’s doubtful many of us will survive the bottleneck.Ian GrahamParticipantSo who is Dr D and where does s/he hang out?
There is huge case for downshifting while we have the chance to energy-scant lifestyles, before all hell breaks loose. See http://www.retrosuburbia.com -
AuthorPosts