Figmund Sreud
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Helmer again:
BLACK BOX DEFENCE FOR THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY – DOLLAR DEBT REPAYMENTS BLOCKED; GAS AND OIL DELIVERIES TO GERMANY STOPPED; OLIGARCH ASSETS NATIONALIZED
“Commencing with Putin’s February 21 speech, the recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, and the commencement of the military campaign in the Ukraine, the management of the Russian economy has moved on to a war footing. In the interpretation of a leading European banker, the escalation of US and European Union (EU) sanctions intends to confiscate Central Bank assets and destroy all financial links between Russia and the west. He comments that nothing on this scale against a major world power has been attempted since President Franklin Roosevelt froze the foreign assets of Japan on July 26, 1941, and imposed an embargo on Japanese oil and gasoline imports six days later.”
F.S.
It’s Time to Get Serious About Energy
https://doomberg.substack.com/p/its-time-to-get-serious-about-energy?utm_source=url“And so, I hope President Putin will help us to stay on track with respect to what we need to do for the climate.” – John Kerry, February 23, 2022
“In the pantheon of unserious statements by a leading US official on the literal eve of war, it will be tough to top the one quoted above from former Secretary of State and current Special Presidential Envoy for Climate John Kerry. Kerry’s sober concern for the emissions that will result from Putin’s aggression is only topped by his worry that kinetic war will distract attention away from the climate crisis.
Is there any doubt how we got here?”
For months we’ve been treated to the dumbest and most infuriating facsimile of diplomacy I’ve ever witnessed. – Luongo
——————————————F.S.
CBC’s hatched job on Freedom Convoy, … about 45 min. long vid. Two days old. Mind you, they are calling it “investigation”
The convoy and the questions: How a protest paralyzed a capital
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/convoy-and-questions-fifth-estate-1.6360859
… and a bonus from the same source, … same journo:
Vladimir Putin’s Long Shadow – Fifth Estate
… enjoy it all, or not!
Best,
F.S.
The Pentagon Bio-weapons
The US Army regularly produces deadly viruses, bacteria and toxins in direct violation of the UN Convention on the prohibition of Biological Weapons. Hundreds of thousands of unwitting people are systematically exposed to dangerous pathogens and other incurable diseases. Bio warfare scientists using diplomatic cover test man-made viruses at Pentagon bio laboratories in 25 countries across the world. These US bio-laboratories are funded by the Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) under a $ 2.1 billion military program– Cooperative Biological Engagement Program (CBEP), and are located in former Soviet Union countries such as Georgia and Ukraine, the Middle East, South East Asia and Africa.
F.S.
Helmer continues his string of comments. Here is his most recent, but big snip first:
In advance of what we didn’t yet know, we already knew three things: the Stavka, not Putin alone, decides. There was a change of decision between Monday evening’s speech by Putin and Thursday morning’s speech; this was not, however, a change of plans; they have been ready for some time, as everyone can see now. The black box defence would still be a surprise.
With the retrospect of hours, demilitarization of the Ukraine and denazification of the Galicians cannot be a surprise if you are Russian or Ukrainian. To them it is welcome. By contrast, Chrystia Freeland, the deputy prime minister of Canada, has repeated the lie which enriched her grandfather, her mother, and the Galicians she represents: “We cannot allow Russia,” she said, “to destroy the rules based order Canadians died to defend in the Second World War…” When the Galicians go on trial for their war crimes in the coming months – this is part of what denazification will mean — Canadian judicial observers will be invited to attend and investigate the evidence; the Dutch too.
In the interview we also discuss what it’s like to think like the Russians and Ukrainians do when the choice is – do now for yourselves, or wait to die later when they will kill you.
F.S.
Very best from Canadian independent leftist press. Enjoy.
Meet the Face of Global Fascism
Ten things to know about Putin’s past, his designs on Ukraine and the dire road ahead.“The unprovoked invasion of Ukraine by Vladimir Putin will change our economic and political lives more than the pandemic.
When one of the world’s most powerful petro states declares war in order to “denazify” a legitimate democracy with a Jewish president, don’t expect life to continue as normal.”
Quick question: Can any of you folks watch CBC The National, from outside Canada on uTube? Just curious, …
Anyway, if you can, here is link to the latest broadcast entitled, The National | Russia invades Ukraine
If you do have the access and care to view it, I would be very much interested of what’s your impression.
Thanks a bunch.
F.S.
@Dr. D – can’t figure out what’s going on in Ukraine because everything every adult in the West says is a guaranteed lie.
________________________Well, … best I can figured, using machine translation, reading Russian and Polish chatter, … sounds like Russians bombed to smithereens 74 major military installations in Ukraine, … lost one attack helicopter, … lost couple or three unmanned spy drones, … and are now done, leaving Ukrainian air space. Satisfied with the results, …
Also, rumours are floating around that Russians are installing defensive batteries and operating crews in the newly independent the two districts (S-300 and Buk-M1 missile systems).
Other than that, … translating machine says that average Russian on the street is quite happy with the results. Polacks, on the other hand, are terrified that they will be bombed soon.
F.S.
This Russia thinggie: … I’m watching closely markets reaction to this phlunkin’ circus. Looks like significant panic from retail investors (FOLOs), for sure, … and institutional investors? Shopping! Yes, …
The best indicator of institutional investors mood is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF – NASDAQ: TLT. Yes, long term bond ETF. This type of ETF is misunderstood retail crowds. it’s different than bonds, … it trades like a stock. It reacts to sentiment of institutional investors, primarily. If institutional investors suspect problems (risk rising) they turn to TLT type of stock that holds highest investment grade possible – and force that ETF to go up by shopping it. Not such action today, … TLT is down today, … it’s been going down since about beginning of December last year, … indicating market risk is not much of an issue. At least not yet, …
… fwiw,
F.S.
@zerosum –Russia destroyer/bombed the first round of assets.
Machine translation of https://cont.ws/@sam8807/2216623
Eyewitnesses publish photos and videos from Ochakov, Mykolaiv region, where earlier US military builders erected a command post for the Naval Forces.
The day before, Vladimir Putin, in an appeal for the recognition of the LDNR, mentioned Ochakov among the threats to Russia due to the expansion of NATO infrastructure.
F.S.
Disarming Ukraine (MoA)
________________________________Not quite, … it’s just the initial step to halt the United States’ ongoing process to balkanize Russia, … perhaps even to go much, much further. MoA added an update at the bottom:
Putin’s speech last night (English version) explains why this is happening.
Read it! Read it slowly for good comprehension, … the whole statement is simply the most unambiguous message to Russia’s national greatest enemy, …
… this will not end well to us all!
F.S.
The Canadian PM revoked the controversial order that had given the government sweeping powers to crack down on mandate protesters
_____________________Yes. This is a beginning of the end of him, … and all of his immediate handlers! Before summer arrives, he will be gone: … will resign as PM, and party leader, … begin sitting in back benches of Canadian Parliament. Depart a political theatre within six months after that. Over time, he will just become a footnote in Canadian history, …
… good riddance!
F.S.
Well, well, … Justine Trudeau will announce plans to revoke the Emergencies Act, … within minutes from now! Yes!
F.S.
@ zerosum # 102696
____________I believe it’s more insidious than that. I believe the US is – ultimately – yearning to be the undivided chief executive officer of the entire Earth, … having all the various organizational, administrative, judicial and punitive functions, …
… and, once that is accomplished, of course, the next goal is already check-marked as the out-and-out control of the Universe itself!
F.S., … just musing out loud!”Reading” Putin: … here goes Helmer.
Not in his entire life has President Vladimir Putin made a speech like Monday’s Donbass address to the Russian people.
Nor has he ever named the Americans to be Russia’s national enemy in such unequivocal Russian terms – American promises worthless, American intentions deadly, American speeches lies, American actions intimidation, extortion, blackmail.
“So I want to ask”, Putin said: “why, why all this, for what? Okay, you don’t want to see us as a friend and ally, but why make us an enemy? There is only one answer: it’s not about our political regime, it’s not about anything else, they just don’t need such a large independent country as Russia. That’s the answer to all the questions. This is the source of traditional American policy towards Russia.”
“The pretext for another sanctions attack will always be found or simply fabricated, regardless of the situation in Ukraine. There is only one goal – to restrain the development of Russia. And they will do it as they did before, even without any formal pretext at all, just because we are and will never give up our sovereignty, national interests and our values.” […]
… The last time the United States faced an enemy as calm, unmoving, disciplined, and confident was in the Vietnam War. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and deputy Victoria Nuland were less than eight years old at the time; National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan had not been born.
THE BODY LANGUAGE OF THE SPEECH — PUTIN HAS REPUDIATED LENIN, STALIN, GORBACHEV, YELTSIN & MOBILIZED RUSSIA’S DEFENCE AGAINST US ATTACK AS NEVER BEFORE
F.S.
@Dr. Day – My blog no longer exists.
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What a terrible news. So very sad. I’m so disheartened, …F.S.
Medvedev — ‘Welcome to the brave new world where Europeans pay €2,000 for gas’
Following actions by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to halt the approval process for Nord Stream 2, former Russian President and current Deputy Chair of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev had this to say:
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has issued an order to halt the process of certifying the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline. Well. Welcome to the brave new world where Europeans are very soon going to pay €2.000 for 1.000 cubic meters of natural gas!
— Dmitry Medvedev (@MedvedevRussiaE) February 22, 2022
Nord Stream 2 recently reached mechanical completion, but has yet to begin flowing gas from Russia to Germany, as the pipeline’s approval has been hung up in the German certification process. For Russia to sustain current levels of gas exports to Europe, either Nord Stream 2 needs to start production, or pipelines in Ukraine need to remain operational. Western leaders have consistently indicated that sanctions should not impact Russian energy exports, and Russia has yet to indicate they will reduce export volumes. However, today’s comments from Medvedev could indicate a change in tack.
Natural gas prices are often quoted in USD / mmbtu; converting €2,000 / bcm would suggest prices of ~$63/mmtbu. Having hit those levels in recent months, European gas prices currently sit at ~$25/mmbtu. Whether Mr. Medvedev’s comments lead to a change in gas policy remains to be seen; however, with Russia firmly in control of Europe’s energy markets, it’s worth keeping an eye on comments of this nature as the situation in Ukraine develops.
Ironically, Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) would be a major beneficiary of lower volumes but much higher European natural gas prices. As would LNG producers like Shell (NYSE:SHEL), Cheniere (NYSE:LNG), and Exxon (NYSE:XOM). In addition to domestic suppliers, like Equinor (NYSE:EQNR), Vermillion (NYSE:VET) and NRT (NYSE:NRT). Shell shared its bullish view on the medium term outlook for gas markets Monday, with no indication that Russian supply reductions would be needed to sustain elevated prices.
F.S.
Note: That seekingalpha.com article may not work since sometimes articles are behind a paywall and Sometimes not, … hence a big, big snip above.
Well, … Putin just signed series papers recognizing the two self-declared, Ukrainian breakaway republics, Donbass and Lugansk, as sovereign nations! Stand by for Biden signing a set of toughest yet set of sanctions against Russia, … and probably Putin, too. Vid of the event: https://youtu.be/GjMnTo85S4A
… so you know,
F.S.
Jordan Peterson met Elon Musk, … and now talks about it:
( … it’s all about Peterson, me thinks, …)
F.S.
… just run into this, The Catastrophe of Canada, … recorded February 19, 2022. Long chat – ~1 hr. – between Jordan Peterson and Rex Murphy:
F.S.
@phoenixvoice – Well…we now know that the SPEAKER is one of Klaus Schwab’s guys….
Not sure that’s quite accurate. The speaker on duty, at that time, was a deputy speaker – an interim fill for a regular bum ( Anthony Rota MP – Liberal), … who probably was out for a loo session, I presume. Anyway, … he let quite a large bit of the question to be aired very clearly, without realizing it’s importance, … he turned distraught only half way through the question. Most likely because of someone’s interference (voice in his earpiece, perhaps?), … than he improvised a quite an awkward ending. The next MP who who was called up to speak was an NDPer (Charlie Angus MP – NDP) ,he wanted to attack the poser of the original question, … but he was also quashed quite promptly, … and again, by an external command to the speaker. The whole thing worked, … no parliamentary record of mentioning Klaus Schwab!
… fwiw,
F.S.
Police horses trample demonstrators at Freedom Convoy protest in Ottawa
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Roberta Paulsen is the lady on the ground, she has since passed away! Apparently, there is one more death since, not sure if associated, … rumour for now.F.S.
Socks in the news today:
Almost three years after the Federal government of Canada announced its intention to acquire the Trans Mountain pipeline, Ottawa is pulling the plug on funding. An expansion project slated to bring an additional ~600kb/d of Canadian oil to market was long delayed by protest and appeal when the Federal government stepped in to purchase the pipe for C$4.5b. Since, Ottawa has been able to move forward with construction, but at an increasingly high cost. Under Kinder Morgan’s (NYSE:KMI) ownership, the expansion project was slated to cost C$7.4b; however, in 2020 the budget increased to C$12.6b, and Friday – today – was updated to C$21.4b.
… some phlunkin’ dump truck that Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau! Yes?
F.S.
… and he is no longer living on his sailboat in Boston Harbour. He sold his boat and now lives in Leningrad, … er, St. Petersburg, Russia. fwiw
F.S.
In person, Orlov is really a contemptible man!
Latest from Orlov on Donetsk and Lugansk:
Denis Pushilin, leader of Donetsk, has just ordered a full evacuation. Leonid Pasechnik, leader of Lugansk, did the same. In doing so, they did exactly as I expected, and as I predicted. […]
Putin’s Ukrainian Judo Revisited
Putin’s Ukrainian Judo Revisited@ctbarnum – I’ve seen nothing out of the Canadian Parliament all day,
That’s because debate in the House of Commons on the government’s decision to invoke the Emergencies Act has been suspended for now as the police operation continues on the parliamentary grounds and immediate surroundings. Vote on it is still scheduled for Monday.
… and yes, Emerson, Manitoba border crossing blockade was a big issue!
F.S.
Latest from The Man Who Knows Too Much About Russia:
RUSSIAN BLACK BOX DEFENCE AGAINST AMERICAN BOOBY TRAP OFFENCERUSSIAN BLACK BOX DEFENCE AGAINST AMERICAN BOOBY TRAP OFFENCE
F.S.
@Germ, #101981
________________That woman next to Bill Gates is Canada’s Foreign Minister, Mélanie Joly!
https://pm.gc.ca/en/cabinet/honourable-melanie-jolyShe currently is most active on the Ukrainian file:
Canada ready to deploy ‘vast array’ of sanctions against Russia if Putin invades Ukraine: Mélanie Joly
Joly confirmed to the Post that the sanction tool box included ‘Magnitsky-style’ sanctions, which involve the seizing of assets and travel bans on specific individuals… and The Convoy, too:
Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Joly: “Disinformation” And “Financing” Fueling The Convoy Is Coming From “Foreign Elements”
… That’s some bimbolina that Joly!
F.S.
Well, … just about all ”Live” streams from Ottawa – on uTube – no longer are available from my location. Just two still functioning, both from helicopters: CBC and Global – official media. Plus a third one, Reuters, is from the roof top. Very poor quality. The others that I was watching about 26 minutes ago are all dead and gone now, … all were erratic since the morning, … very uncharacteristic, since last few weeks were never interrupted.
From CBC and Global feeds, it shows cops all around, … mostly outnumbering civilian folks. Mostly looks like cops are trying to isolate various clusters of trucks by forming secure rings around. Most in riot gear: helmets, shields, riot paraphernalia. Shot guns, … this will not end well, me thinks.
F.S.
@those-darned-kids #101925 fake media, fake government run on fake polls.
———————————-Yes. But the commentariat at the end of any article is not exactly reflective of reality either, since only a specific group is attracted to any specific article, specific topic.
Anyway, … another indicator: RealCanadianSuperstore: … my son a manager there: the number of bitches in his stores virtually skyrocketed, primarily because of shortages of stuff. Empty shelves. Shoppers there – most of them – openly curse at phlunkin’ truckers!
fwiw,
F.S.
On that Jordan Peterson thinggie, …“let the political machine work” – Dr. Day:
… the political machine Peterson meant is this => https://youtu.be/wTBxceB9xgU
Specifically, the opposition party: https://www.conservative.ca/, … join them, work with them!
Anyway, … this is just 2/100s of one Canadian Loonie worth of opinion from me. Others may, or may not agree.
Best,
F.S.
Hmmn, … I think we all (most?) here on this forum recognize tyranny when we see it: … Mr. Socks*) and his encourage. For sure, …
Canadians in general, however, are submissive bunch, … quite divided. Example:
Two-thirds of Canadians support use of Emergencies Act and want Freedom Convoy cleared out: poll
But at the same time, 54 per cent of Canadians say they are ‘ashamed’ of how politicians have let the Freedom Convoy protests get out of hand… another one:
Nearly Half (46%) of Canadians Say they “May Not Agree with Everything” Trucker Convoy Says or Does, But …
Snip:
[…]The Prime Minister so far has refused to meet with the leaders of the movement, and Canadians are divided on whether this is the right move or not. Half (53%) agree (29% strongly/24% somewhat) that the Prime Minister is right to refuse to meet with the truck protestors to hear their grievances, while the other half (47%) of Canadians disagrees (26% strongly/21% somewhat) that this is the right decision. Liberal voters (81%) are most aligned on this approach, while fewer supporters of the NDP (57%), Bloc (49%) or Conservative (31%) parties endorse this decision.
https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/nearly-half-say-they-may-not-agree-with-trucker-convoy
… and there is also stuff like this ( opinion bit):
Please Advise! Now Musk Prefers Hitler to Trudeau?
And what does Tucker Carlson mean by ‘Canadian-style tyranny’? Trying to keep up!Snip:
I think we all recognize tyranny when we see it. The Toronto Maple Leafs come to Vancouver on a Saturday night and suddenly the game time shifts from 7 p.m. to 4 p.m. so those precious Torontonians won’t have to stay up late to watch their beloved Buds on Hockey Night in Canada. That, my friends, is tyranny.[…]
Anyway, … long weekend in Canada this weekend, … we shall see if support for truckers will swell over the weekend as during weekends past. That will be tellin’…
… fwiw,
F.S.
*) Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s socks are seen during a session at the Economic Forum annual meeting on Jan. 25, 2018 in Davos, Switzerland. GETTY IMAGES
https://smartcdn.gprod.postmedia.digital/torontosun/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/socks.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&w=944&h=708&type=webpLatest (8:59 ET): … Ottawa goes under the siege! One hundred check points are being erected throughout of the city over the next 12 hours. “Freedom Convoy” co-organizer, Chris Barber, was just arrested. Police presence on city streets is growing minute by minute, … seems exponentially. Things are not looking too good, …
… fwiw,
F.S.
@ Dr. Day – I looked at the 2:30 video of Canadian clinical psychologist, Jordan Peterson telling the truckers, “You’ve maybe obtained some beginnings of recognition/representation, so go home before things get worse”
Doc, Peterson is referring in this to trucker’s support by selected – and growing numbers – of Progressive Conservative Party, … Pierre Poilievre PC MP and his gang. And not Trudeau’s owners.
Also, … I believe Peterson is looking at the entry into Canadian politics, … hence his numerous uTube vids on the subject.
… fwiw,
F.S.
