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This bit of info surfaced about a week ago.
https://twitter.com/borzou/status/1589879942858166273?s=20&t=uzohmsZC7eAYHjQfwe7q1Q
Today, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Sunday announced the US will sanction a transnational network that’s been illicitly supplying Russia with military technology to support its war in Ukraine.
She identified that 14 individuals and 28 entities will fall under the sanctions, following widespread allegations particularly against Iran and North Korea. In the former case, advanced Iranian-manufactured suicide drones have been observed used with greater frequency by Russian forces on the Ukraine battlefield. Tehran has since admitted to selling Moscow drones; however, Iranian officials have claimed this was done before the invasion and the deal had nothing to do with the Ukraine conflict. (source: zerohedge)
Many western companies are knotted up with Russia’s military supply chain, particularly Germany.
Russia is suddenly realizing that they depend completely on Western technologies.
"If we nationalize everything, we'll have nothing to drive, nothing to make calls with…"
Did you want to kill people and at the same time use Western technologies and vacation in Europe? pic.twitter.com/7NJnuHmUz3
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 16, 2022
Solovyov (2008)
Fascinating video: chief Kremlin propagandist Vladimir Solovyov explains to a 2008 Moscow theatre audience why war between Russia and Ukraine would be the greatest crime imaginable pic.twitter.com/15HngdYhs9
— Business Ukraine mag (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag) October 12, 2022
Solovyov partying with Ze (2013)
This is one of the wildest clips ten years out https://t.co/EWGjUSclaL
— Nuno Felix (@Felix_Nuno) November 1, 2022
Solovyov (This morning)
Tensions rise as Solovyev starts his morning with a rant, demanding a response to the strikes at the Belgorod People's Republic. He demands conscripts to be used to move away Ukrainians from the border and suggests demolishing Ukrainian cities for repeated attacks. pic.twitter.com/Ka6iNy6oyf
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) November 15, 2022
Discontent on the battlefield
Russian reporter and fighter Vladlen Tatarsky is very mad about Zelensky visiting Kherson. According to him, they are spilling their blood for nothing, meanwhile, the Russian government is taking half-measures. Similar sentiment was seen across all Russian channels today. pic.twitter.com/0nErv82sfy
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) November 14, 2022
Discontent at home
https://twitter.com/francis_scarr/status/1592449466736742400?s=20&t=RPxOs1LRqQlIq9WCTVl27g
Contrast to 8 months ago. State TV propaganda entertains, confuses and overwhelms the audience.
I've been going through some of my TV notes from the start of the war and rediscovered some real gems
This (from March) is pundit Alexei Mukhin proudly declaring that Russia is waging a "war of the future" which will be held up by other countries as an example for years to come pic.twitter.com/ihg5jL0GBI
— Francis Scarr (@francis_scarr) November 14, 2022
anticlimactic,
These guys aren’t ready for winter. Recently mobilized troops lack training and equipment. There’s been many signs of the poor condition of mobilized troops.
Alexander Sladkov says that thousands of mobilized men in Budyonnovsk don’t have weapons even though they were mobilized awhile ago. He says that Russian soldiers are still using boots and armor taken from the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers.
Nothing is more disastrous than poorly trained men on a winter battlefield. Winter nights in Ukraine are long and sadly these guys will look like light bulbs to anyone wearing night vision equipment.
Recently liberated town.
https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1592247625793044480?s=20&t=__jyVfDfCyfUHWYQhIO06Q
Another example. Every man for himself.
I would guess, the men and equipment maneuvered out of Kherson are being sent northeast. Also, giving the current situation Ukraine could blitz from Melitopol to Berdyansk and cut off all the supply routes to the Russian military. This leaves Crimea thinly defended, but all the water crossings are blown.
Mobilised of the 2nd Commandant Company of 362nd Motorised Rifle Regiment from Lipetsk were abandoned by the command on the frontline at Svatove. This call with one of the survivors describes how from the regiment, 2500 have already perished. pic.twitter.com/wt0UsHitat
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) November 14, 2022
More on #Russia using "barrier troops" (soldiers who form ranks behind the other soldiers to shoot anyone who retreats). https://t.co/1qoiaGUbLm
— Kyle Orton (@KyleWOrton) November 15, 2022
Alexander Carpenter,
Definitely one of the puzzles that I shy away from. Too many initial/boundary conditions. Then if you build a model, how good does the data need to be to benchmark it? And to ultimately validate it, do you have to back test all the way back to the big bang moment?
Noirette,
Geopolitical forecasting is not one of the puzzles that I wish to tackle. But as I read up on the progress of the conflict in the Ukraine I come across comments related to Germany and its role. I tend to focus on the German ties to the Russian military supply chain and how it might impact things going forward.
It seems the Euro may be/has become the deutsche mark by another name. Today I came this
https://twitter.com/AMFChina/status/1591499096229122049?s=20&t=0kL8GDSry-IOGfN5PXe4fw
Velina Tchakarova pops into the feeds that I frequent, she had this response.European powers will be confronted with either/or choice amid growing bifurcation of the global system. If Germany sides with China, there will be growing fragmentation within the EU members based on their approach to the #DragonBear, which will lead to bifurcation of Europe too. https://t.co/7md5lwroEx
— Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) November 13, 2022
This seems to be in her area of interest. As of late, She has been posting the following graphic quite often.Who is the more important trading partner: China (red) or USA (blue)? The bifurcation of the global system is becoming more apparent. #geopolitics #geoeconomics https://t.co/moXPLLbGCy
— Velina Tchakarova (@vtchakarova) November 13, 2022
Press conference the other day, It’s Biden so grain of salt. But 160 mile range is 3x what they have been receiving. This brings nearly all of Crimea within range of Kherson.
Ukraine has already received ATACMS…
…according to this recent interview. @Kartinamaslom5 shows here that @POTUS states that 1000km missiles weren’t given (PrSM) but 300km missiles were (ATACMS). pic.twitter.com/dbawPflKQC
— CJ (@CasualArtyFan) November 10, 2022
With Ukraine capturing the city of Kherson and pushing Russian forces to the opposite side of the Dnipro, we can show potential ranges for the M142 HIMARS multiple launch rocket system in the area: the current M31 GMLRS, and possible ranges for ATACMS rockets. H/t @vcdgf555 pic.twitter.com/W8ETNDAhMt
— Amelia Smith (@ameliairheart) November 12, 2022
The other day I ran into some Space Force cadets and struck up a conversation about Elon. They were aware of the fluff up surrounding the twitter purchase and SpaceX efforts to get the reimbursement for StarLink, but unaware its impact on the battlefield and the fact that the Russians would like to take those satellites out which would seem to be in the Space Force wheelhouse. Anyway, I suggested some things to be curious about and went on my way.
It is estimated that Ukraine has a drone team for every combat team typically spaced 5 km apart. A Russian mortar team, 15 miles out, has 2 minutes to shoot and scoot in this kind of drone rich environment. Then if there is a HIMARS in the area, holy hell, 2.5 Mach on the deck and very destructive. This is scalable (more men, more drones, more HIMARS and longer range missiles all networked to effectively manage combat maneuvers) to the point that Russia will lose this conflict unless they come up with a countermeasure this winter.
1/ QUICK THREAD: Russia's MK published opinions of several Russian bloggers on the need for different types of drones in the war. Main points below: https://t.co/Xm9TqFCTTw pic.twitter.com/HrdIK1Mq5J
— Samuel Bendett (@SamBendett) November 6, 2022
Another odd development. Not quite as odd as the ruddy face of the Darya Dugina in the open coffin, even though it had been announced only the day before that after the explosion the victim’s body had been almost completely burned beyond recognition.
Stremousov did not have any real power or influence. But he was probably the most outspoken and most enthusiastic representative of Russia's occupation, and constantly posted online. He visited Kherson villages and persuaded locals to back Russia https://t.co/4hMNWyTVZU
— Matthew Luxmoore (@mjluxmoore) November 9, 2022
Stremousov did not have any real power or influence. But he was probably the most outspoken and most enthusiastic representative of Russia's occupation, and constantly posted online. He visited Kherson villages and persuaded locals to back Russia https://t.co/4hMNWyTVZU
— Matthew Luxmoore (@mjluxmoore) November 9, 2022
September 30
“I want the Kyiv government and their real bosses in the west to hear me … Residents of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson are becoming our citizens forever.”
November 9
Moment Surovikin and Shoygu admit defeat in the Kherson direction and announce the withdrawal of troops. pic.twitter.com/10UZgVuIcm
— Dmitri (@wartranslated) November 9, 2022
It's interesting to just observe their faces as they discuss the news. pic.twitter.com/3HY8xpdaAN
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 9, 2022
"We're ready for negotiations, taking into consideration the realities formed at a current moment" – Maria Zakharova, head of press department at Russian ministry of foreign affairs, said today.
In these realities it's necessary to discuss a trial in the Hague, not negotiations. pic.twitter.com/GjXnbBjwlp
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) November 9, 2022
On this video Russian defense minister Sergei Shoigu orders a General Sergei Surivikin to begin withdrawing Russian forces from the western bank of the #Dnipro river (from #Kherson city area). He said this is because "the lives of Rus soldiers is always a priority for us." pic.twitter.com/9AI790CmvP
— Viktor Kovalenko (@MrKovalenko) November 9, 2022
Current buzz hitting telegram channels.
The Russians will withdraw from Kherson city and the west bank of the Dnipro.
Sergei Shoigu and Sergei Surovikin announced that Russian forces will begin to withdraw from the right-bank of the Dnipro in Kherson. https://t.co/Iejev36DUhhttps://t.co/ALUFxcYRsU pic.twitter.com/F2H65dhAGv
— Rob Lee (@RALee85) November 9, 2022
June 14th, 2022
Pope Francis has blasted the “ferocity and cruelty” of Russian troops in Ukraine while praising the “heroism” and “courage” of Ukrainians to defend their land.
November 7th, 2022
“I am struck by a cruelty that is not characteristic of the Russian people, perhaps because the Russian people are a great people. This is the cruelty of mercenaries, soldiers going to war for adventure… I prefer to think about it this way, because I have great respect for the Russian people, Russian humanism. Remember Dostoevsky, who still inspires us Christians to think like a Christian”, the Pope said.
So what makes this interesting is the delineation in the cruelty of the mercenaries. The reason being is that articles and mug shots of Yevgeny Prigozhin have been popping into twitter feeds wherever I went today. Looks like the fix for the fall guy for the war crimes against Ukrainian’s is being set up.
Wherever the money calls, “our plausible denials” are dancing.
Prigozhin heads the Wagner group.
Interestingly, there has been some chatter regarding Russians leaving Russia.
“Ever since the war in Ukraine started there have been reports about Russians emigrating, either fleeing conscription or simply dismayed at the conflict and Vladimir Putin’s authoritarian turn.”
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-many-russians-have-fled/
While this is interesting on mainly levels, take note of Solovyov early statements regarding Russians leaving. Is Sobchak’s return to effort to stem the exodus?
Meanwhile in Russia: top propagandist Vladimir Solovyov was dispatched to address the youth. He lied up a storm, mixed trash talk with biblical references & veiled nuclear threats & told the young to get ready to march to the front as soon as they're old enough. Watch this mess: pic.twitter.com/C3fpLMUB31
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) November 6, 2022
Curious recent events around Ksenia Sobchak.
[..] In September 2017, prior to her announcement to run, Putin said of Sobchak’s presidential intentions to a press conference at the 9th BRICS summit, that “Every person has the right to nominate himself in accordance with the law. And Ksenia Sobchak is not an exception here. I respect her father Anatoly Sobchak, I believe that he was an outstanding figure in contemporary Russian history. I’m saying this without a trace of irony. He was very decent, played a big role in my own destiny. But when it comes to running for presidency, things of a personal nature cannot play any significant role. It depends on what program she’s offering, if she’ll actually run, and how she’ll build her presidential campaign”.
[..] Sobchak did not believe she could win against Putin in 2018, but has stated she’s in it for the long haul: “Of course I want to be president, I want to win, but I also want to be sincere. In a system created by Putin, it is only possible for Putin to win. I am realistic about who will become the president.”
[..] On 15 March 2018, Sobchak and Dmitry Gudkov announced the creation of a new party, called the Party of Changes on the basis of the party Civic Initiative. The aim was of party was to “return our freedom and your freedom”. Sobchak won 1.68% of the vote in the 2018 presidential election.
[..] Ksenia Sobchak is of the opinion that, having annexed Crimea from Ukraine in 2014, Russia violated the 1994 Budapest Memorandum; she claimed on 24 October 2017 that “Under these agreements, we agreed that Crimea is Ukrainian, which is the most important for me”. Sobchak stressed that she did not consider the issue with Crimea resolved. “I believe that these things need to be discussed, it is very important to discuss them….look for some ways out.”She also added that “the most important thing that Russia and Ukraine should do now is to restore our friendship at any cost.”Simultaneously she suggested to hold a new referendum on the status of Crimea after “a broad and equal campaign.”[36] In December 2017, Sobchak claimed that an unconditional withdrawal of Russia from Crimea would lead to a civil war in Russia.
[..] On 24 February 2022 Sobchak voiced opposition to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, writing that “We the Russians will be dealing with the consequences of today for many more years”.
[..] In 2015, Sobchak said that if there was ever the possibility of political persecution against her, she had thought about emigration or getting an Israeli passport, but would prefer the United States where she could find a Russian-speaking community:
I’m a very big patriot. I really love my job, the city, my friends. And if tomorrow is war, then the place for emigration will have to be a Russian-speaking place. I have to work in Russian.In April 2022, she received Israeli citizenship.
Source: wiki
In reality, she appears to be another one of Russia’s head girls, who sits in both chairs because real opposition forces are not allowed to participate in elections.
She fled the country on Oct. 27th
Ksenia Sobchak has fled Russia. This footage shows the Belarus-Lithuanian border. Her employees in Moscow in the meantime are getting arrested. pic.twitter.com/HBlmBxi6O1
— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) October 27, 2022
It’s now being reported that she is back.
aspnaz,
You said, “You are obviously pro-Ukraine, yet your posts are very thin on decisive Ukrainian victories,”
You are right, I am a big fan of women’s Ukrainian volleyball.
Seriously though, this is headed towards a frozen conflict (pun intended). Descalation forces are gaining traction, hopefully they can take hold.
One of Russias head girls, Margarita Simonyan, (Editor-in-chief of RT)
Russian state TV is telling the viewers that it's better to die than to lose the war to the wicked West, claiming that if they lose, Russians will be on display in Western zoos alongside the animals.
More in my latest article ⤵️https://t.co/F6YGqtvNPE pic.twitter.com/INPBiA5X10
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) November 1, 2022
Latest developments in Kherson and some take aways on what is playing out. In the moment, there are a lot of troops. Both sides combined, probably approaching 75k to 100k.
The Russians are currently building three lines of trenches and bunkers on the right side of the Dnieper. These defensive positions use natural and artificial barriers such as the Dnieper River and the numerous canals in the Kherson region.
2/ pic.twitter.com/aHyhTR9J1b— Benjamin Pittet (@COUPSURE) November 5, 2022
1/ Russian forces in the #Kherson region are trying to fool #Ukrainians that they are retreating. In fact, they're preparing strongholds/traps for urban fighting with artillery support from the eastern riverbank, said spox of the Ukr South Command Natalya Gumeniuk of Ukr TV. pic.twitter.com/WLpFy0eS6W
— Viktor Kovalenko (@MrKovalenko) November 6, 2022
Dr. D,
Yes, that was funny. I kinda doubt it was produced by Russians as propaganda but some will think that it was and it would only serve as some content to further ridicule the Russians with. Maybe that was the point.
But then again,
New jokes from putin. Mocking Europe and the civilised world when his country is drown in poverty pic.twitter.com/xIWCvlelkx
— Iuliia Mendel (@IuliiaMendel) November 5, 2022
Orlov said,
“As for all those assorted media whores who are scaring people with their nuclear nonsense in order to catch some hype—shame on them!”
Hmmm…
Putin explicitly stated that Russia’s nuclear arsenal would play a deterrent role. On Feb. 24th after launching the SMO, he stated.
“I would now like to say something very important for those who may be tempted to interfere in these developments from the outside. No matter who tries to stand in our way or all the more so create threats for our country and our people, they must know that Russia will respond immediately, and the consequences will be such as you have never seen in your entire history.”
A clear restatement of this position recently on 14 October at a press conference. Putin was asked a question from a state media journalist, Sergei Dianov:
‘NATO officials are saying explicitly that Ukraine’s defeat would mean the alliance’s defeat. Do you think NATO will send troops into Ukraine if the situation on the battlefield becomes disastrous for Kyiv?’
He replied:
‘ ….. in any event, sending troops into direct engagement, a direct clash with the Russian Army is a very dangerous step that could lead to a global catastrophe. I hope those who talk about this will be smart enough not to undertake such dangerous steps.’
This threat is meant to generate as much anxiety as possible about these weapons being used, which their state media is more than willing to accommodate.
Olga Skabeyeva grin is priceless.
Meanwhile in Russia: since the Kremlin is losing to Ukraine on the battlefield, state TV propagandists are forced to resort to nuclear intimidation of the U.S. and its allies — with the help of Tucker Carlson. They promise to help Carlson to campaign against Biden.#TuckyoRose pic.twitter.com/5fgodVkjqf
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 27, 2022
This was interesting.
Russian propaganda really gone mad. Hilarious to see how Russian TV bosses imagine the winter conditions in the UK comparing to Russia. Now you understand why Soviet propaganda was always a laughing stock for the West. pic.twitter.com/Vvx4WexOgc
— Taras Berezovets (@TarasBerezovets) November 2, 2022
Solovyov, disagrees with Ritter. Says it started the Feb 17th. Love the way he says “Tucker Carlson”
Russian propagandist Vladimir Solovyov is angry and despondent because Russia is floundering in Ukraine. He lies that NATO started the war against Russia on Feb 17 and airs a multitude of grievances against Joe Biden, Volodymyr Zelensky, Jamie Raskin, Oleg Tinkov, Germany et al. pic.twitter.com/S2duEVGqe5
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) November 2, 2022
Redneck said,
“I wrote a reply to Dr.D late last night back on yesterdays page , I was going to bring it over and paste it here but I could not find it , sometimes I forget to push the post button , duh. Cognitive decline.”
Ha, yesterday finally posted today.
Thanks for the levity.
Redneck,
In college (about the time Rocky IV came out) I had a chance to go to Russia with the Russia club. Regret not taking the opportunity. I have worked with a few over the years nothing to note.
Looks like mobilization exceeded targets and the lines of combat have been fortified. Russia TV seems like a good proxy on how things are going and it seems they have emerged from denial/anger. With the weather things will slow down so pretty much artillery dodge ball until one side finds a weakness to exploit. If things stay stalled, maybe the calls for descalation can gain traction,
Anyway, taking a break.
https://www.duffelblog.com/p/family-tires-of-dads-daily-ukraine?utm_source=direct
Yesterday I was stripped of my board certifications in Internal Medicine and Cardiology after decades of perfect clinical performance, board scores, and hundreds of peer reviewed publications.
None of this will stop until there is a “needle in every arm.”
Redneck,
You beat me to the latest Soloyvov rant. So I will to go with another.
Thanks for that, that’s a lot of moving parts to distill. At this point, I don’t think China is willing to double down with Russia. Chinese social media now refers to Russia as the “weak goose”.
In spite the Taiwan distraction, China’s Global Times newspaper issued the following statement regarding the recent 20th national congress.
“If one of the most important events in international relations in the past 50 years is the restoration and development of China-U.S. relations, which has benefited both countries and the world, then the most important thing in international relations for the next 50 years is that China and the U.S. must find the right way to get along with each other. The key for China and the U.S. to find the right way to get on with each other is mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation proposed by General Secretary Xi Jinping. Common interests between China and the U.S. far outweigh differences, and a sound and stable China-U.S. relationship serves the common interests of the two peoples.”
Anyway, back to Ukraine/Russia.
There has been a partial withdrawal troops and such across the river from Kherson. Makes strategic sense. Ukraine would need to maintain a 5:1 troop ratio for maintain effective urban combat there. This prevents the level of redeployment that would have been possible with a full withdrawal.
They also moved out monuments and other historical stuff. In the event of flooding?
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1585266292545798147?s=20&t=lFb0HFFwtf_ereFS55SBCA
I came across some video a couple weeks ago. It was from the Kherson region and it looked like a single gravity bomb that had fell from above. Seemed a bit odd. Maybe at some point they are planning to carpet bomb the region. There has been a lot of chatter about that recently.
Since Putin mentioned satanism in his September speech, the talking heads on state tv have picked up on it. It’s now a holy war.
While the Security Council of Russia decided to free Ukraine from Satanism, the Russian propagandist Solovyov screamed hysterically and called Macron a Satanist.
I don’t know what to say, just look at this madness pic.twitter.com/ntBMAwXytf
— Oleksiy Goncharenko (@GoncharenkoUa) October 25, 2022
It took Russians more than 4 months, the usage of their best troops and countless losses on their part to even reach the city perimeter of Bakhmut and now they are starting to get pushed out.
Wonder if that was what Musk was eluding too.
That’s a lot of recruits, if true.
A new, and a very good, estimate of the number of people that Russia mobilized over the last 30 days is higher than before. @mediazzzona get the estimate of 500,000 using a very smart identification strategy. They link the number of draftees in each region to excess marriages. 1/ pic.twitter.com/5TiwSvPcA5
— Konstantin Sonin (@k_sonin) October 24, 2022
RT has suspended presenter [director of broadcasting] Anton Krasovsky for genocidal hate speech against Ukrainians.
Seems like a vibe the permeates Russian culture.
Meanwhile in Russia: genocidal denials of the Ukrainian identity from the host and his guest. They claim that Ukrainians are just mentally ill Russians, whom they will "cure" once Russia wins. They propose destroying all Holodomor memorials. They discuss killing Americans. Watch: pic.twitter.com/CcRsoxfIiY
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 24, 2022
Medvedev responded to Musk.
https://twitter.com/minna_alander/status/1583341140572803072?s=20&t=HAB-RgXJW2U6eyc18hjcSA
Starlink was a game changer for the Ukrainian forces. They were able to network their UAV-guided artillery. Anything found by an UAV within 10–15km from the frontline is shelled by the artillery in a matter of 1–5 minutes. Until they caught on, Russian infantry was easy to find. They tended to be vehicle tied and they rarely ventured more than 100 metres away from their vehicles. Because these vehicles are easy to detect and track wiping out a battalion group was like…
The other benefit of this networked command/communication system is that it makes it difficult to provide close air combat support with jets and helos due to the risk of being shot down if they get to close to the frontline.
Thus all the fuss surrounding Musk.
Russian propagandists called to shoot down @elonmusk's satellites last night to hurt Ukrainian Army… pic.twitter.com/nSsk0IjyuK
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 21, 2022
Every pro Russian blogger speaks of positive progress in the battle for Bakhmut, yet Musk directs a dig at Medvedev. Curious.
And if thou gaze long into an abyss, the abyss will also gaze into thee. https://t.co/WRoNysmT8p
— Jack Detsch (@JackDetsch) October 21, 2022
A strategic withdraw from Kherson may happen soon. It would make strategic sense for the Russians to blow the dam after withdrawal and flood the region.
Meanwhile in Russia: anger and disappointment fill the studio, as the viewers are being prepared for the loss of Kherson and other territories. Host Olga Skabeeva bitterly questions why Russia was so wrong in the beginning, believing that Zelensky would run & NATO wouldn't help. pic.twitter.com/sQpxokXDSv
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 19, 2022
Forgot to link tweet.
The fastest way to bring the conflict in Ukraine to the point of no return is to arm the psychos in Kiev with longer-range MRLs.
The elderly leaders of Washington obkom and NATO upstarts must use their softened brains at least sometimes.
— Dmitry Medvedev (@MedvedevRussiaE) October 11, 2022
I wonder if it was a missile?
Back in August…
‘Floating HIMARS’ – Ukraine Threatens Russia With Inflatable MLRS As It Stares At Crimean Kerch Bridge – Watch
Found this interesting, Medvedev tweeted this three days after the Kerch bridge was hit. Wonder if we will get to see images of the damage to the submerged sections.
Quite a buzz surrounding Elon and Starlink lately.
Roman Kovalenko, a company commander with Ukraine’s 72nd Mechanized Brigade, said Friday that “fighting without Starlink service at the front line is like fighting without a gun.”
During the ramp up in counter offensive on Kherson several weeks ago there was quite a bit of chatter on Russian channels that indicated the the Ukrainians were networked to the extent the they could operate V & Z marked vehicles (left behind during the regrouping) against the Russian forces.
[..] Elon Musk personally rejected a Ukrainian request to extend his satellite internet service to Crimea, fearing that an effort to retake the peninsula from Russian forces could lead to a nuclear war, the influential political analyst Ian Bremmer said in a newsletter published on Monday.
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, Musk — and the US government — provided Kyiv with thousands of Starlink systems, enabling Ukrainian forces to communicate in what had previously been dead zones. The low energy requirements of the service’s satellite receivers have enabled connection to reconnaissance drones, providing valuable real-time intelligence on Russian movements and the ability to target them, Yahoo News reported in August.
But recently there have been problems. Last week, a senior Ukrainian government official told the Financial Times reported that the service was suffering “catastrophic” outages on the front lines, prompting speculation that it had been shut off in areas controlled by Russia — perhaps to prevent the Kremlin from exploiting the network.
On Twitter, Musk said he could not comment on battlefield conditions, saying, “That’s classified.” But Bremmer, the founder and president of the political-risk research firm Eurasia Group, said on Monday that in a conversation with Musk in late September, Musk appeared to confirm that the satellite service was being intentionally disabled.
Neither SpaceX nor Ukraine’s ministry of defense immediately responded to requests for comment.
Bremmer said Musk told him he’d been asked by Ukraine’s defense ministry to activate Starlink in Crimea, which Russia invaded and illegally annexed in 2014. Bremmer said Musk “refused given the potential for escalation.”
According to Bremmer, Musk claimed to have recently spoken with Russian President Vladimir Putin, asserting that he was “prepared to negotiate.” (Musk this month proposed a Ukraine peace plan seen as aligning with Russian interests.) Bremmer said Musk told him that in that conversation, Putin threatened to use nuclear weapons if Ukraine tried to retake the Crimean peninsula, which serves as the base for Russia’s naval forces on the Black Sea.
On Twitter, however, Musk flatly denied having any recent conversation with the Russian leader, writing on Tuesday that he had “spoken to Putin only once and that was about 18 months ago.” The subject, he said, “was space.” Bremmer was likewise adamant, tweeting that Musk “told me he had spoken with putin and the kremlin directly about ukraine.”
I imagine Putin has Elon’s contact info. Wonder if he sent him a link to the wiki page cataloging the the recent surge in oligarch deaths.
Meanwhile in Russia, state TV propagandists are brainstorming about cultivating relations with the likes of Elon Musk and Tulsi Gabbard, in order to further Russia's interests through "private diplomacy." Host Vladimir Solovyov proposes Dmitry Medvedev as the intermediary. pic.twitter.com/AV3226toGA
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 14, 2022
And Solovyov continues to lament.
The knives are well and truly out in Russia after recent retreats in Ukraine
This morning Vladimir Solovyov had this to say to the military top brass
"Do you think time is on our side? They've hugely increased their amount of weapons… But what have you done in that time?" pic.twitter.com/7zBnNl6mLY
— Francis Scarr (@francis_scarr) October 6, 2022
John,
Russia still does not fully control a single oblast in Ukraine (or in the annexed territories), Russia “regrouped” out of: Kyiv, Suny, and Chernihiv, Russia barely has toeholds in Kharkiv and Mykolaiv after “regrouping” and Russia has almost lost full control of: Luhansk due to “regrouping.”
On Tuesday, Sash was on Russian state TV giving an “truthful update”. Note commentary on the Kreminna-Svatove area.
Meanwhile on Russian state TV: grim predictions that Russia is at least two months away from even attempting to advance. Also, some surprising admissions about how unprepared they were and the magnitude of the losses they've experienced in Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/VXL05R7JpN
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 5, 2022
On Wednesday the following rumor, likely Russian, was circulating. (Hohol is racial slang Derived from the typical rural Ukranian haircut of the 19th century: a shaved head with a “hohol”- a single strand of hair hanging to the side.)
Briefly about the situation in the Kreminna-Svatove area. Hohols completed the regrouping and concentrated forces
near the village of Pershotravneve. Forces from Kupyansk approached there and joined with those troops that were operating in the Lyman area. The forces are large, a lot of
equipment, including Caesars. The bulk of the equipment is new armored vehicles of Western and Turkish production. The main goal is a concentrated strike on Svatove, with the attempted actions towards Kreminna. Hohols, by the way, disperse rumours that the main strike is planned for Kremeninna and post videos with the alleged concentration of
equipment and personnel, which, logically, should be used for Kreminna, but in my opinion this is not so. The attacking formations of the enemy are aimed at Svatove and most likely the offensive will take place no later than tomorrow.Today, Pro-Russian authorities in Luhansk have acknowledged that the situation is “alarming” in the town of Svatove due to the advance of the Ukrainian counter-offensive. An attack on the road between Svatove and the city of Kreminna would reduce the supply capacity of Kremlin troops deployed in eastern Ukraine.
Regarding the mobilization of these 200k call ups. Source is Ukrainian, so take away what you want. Doesn’t seem they they are ready for prime yet.
Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov: “We have precise information from our Turkish partners that Russians tried to order 200 thousand flak jackets and 500 thousand sets of winter clothes through third countries. It means that they have a problem with this.”
anticlimactic,
Are you referring to the latest setup around
Kherson?Kherson: In the past 72 hours, Ukraine has liberated 2,000+ sq kms in Kherson alone. Ukraine is now in artillery range of the entire Russian army stranded across the river.
The end is near. pic.twitter.com/KIbC5JsDHd
— CJ (@CasualArtyFan) October 4, 2022
If you think you are having a bad day:
Imagine being the Idiot who ordered 5th, 29th, 35th, 36th, 2nd, 41st CAA and most of the VDV away from the east front to protect Kherson and Zaporizhzhia region. Then loose 10000km2 in the east and now getting your ass kicked in the south. pic.twitter.com/atFPO4m4fa— Def Mon (@DefMon3) October 4, 2022
A timelapse of the development of Ukraine's counter-offensive in Kherson Oblast over the past 5 days. pic.twitter.com/HBMjlrTK4F
— War Mapper (@War_Mapper) October 5, 2022
Ukrainian forces made substantial gains around #Lyman and in the northern #Kherson region over the last 24 hours.
Ex-Russian separatist commander Igor Girkin (Strelkov) says Russian forces now abandoning the entire northeast end of the Kherson frontline to avoid encirclement following Ukrainian breakthrough.
“We aren’t just moving back. We are retreating, I can’t even find a word for it. This is an escape… There is nowhere to run. Antonovsky bridge is completely destroyed.”
Russian brigades have no rotations across Kherson region. Their troops have been fighting for 7 months. Morale is 0
Russian units defeated on these fronts were previously considered among Putin’s top conventional fighting forces.
Solovyov continues to lament.
Top pro-Kremlin propagandist is despondent because of Russia's defeats in Ukraine. He refuses to be cheered up even by Elon Musk's insertion into the timeline of propaganda. Solovyov advocates for the restoration of the death penalty, because people refuse to shoot themselves. pic.twitter.com/sR7cpoAexU
— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) October 4, 2022
