₿oogaloo
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At least I was able to get some IVM before being robbed of $150 USD on a subsequent re-order…
Whoa. What happened? I finally got my Revolut card working, and just placed two orders, one for myself and one for family in the USA. Did you have a customs problem in Thailand?
So I watched a significant chunk of deflationista’s recommended youtube video.
They make the point we have heard before that Iverectin data is unreliable because of the lack of large, double blinded, high powered trials. They dismiss the smaller observational trials and cite publication bias. They reject meta-analysis, arguing that new drugs can never be approved based on meta analysis.
I do not find this to be a sound argument. Sometimes you need to go with the best available evidence. To use an analogy from law, the best evidence might be an video and audio recording of the crime. But sometimes that evidence is not available. Sometimes you might only have eyewitnesses, but witnesses have poor memories and are unreliable. Sometimes you might not even have an eye witness. But does the lack of an AV recording mean that you throw out all the other evidence? Of course not. When all of the evidence points to the same conclusion, that means something. If there are 57 trials that say Ivermectin is effective, these two will break those down one by one, and they argue “garbage in, garbage out.” But I do not buy this. In the aggregate, they still say something.
They claim publication bias because the 57 trials were not preregistered, suggesting that there may be failed Ivermectin studies out there that were never published because the results were bad. That’s speculation.
I disagree with their premise that the same standards should apply to new drugs and repurposed drugs. For new drugs, we need data that the drugs is both safe and effective. For repurposed drugs, we have a better undertstanding of the safety profile from the outset. As long as the drug has a good safety profile, why not experiment? They say that there is a risk that this could do more harm than good. But here is where the mindset of the clinician and the ivory tower academic diverges. A clinician will naturally experiment, altering doses on a patient by patient basis, increasing a dose if it does not seem to be working o a particular patient, or reducing a dose if a patient has side effects. These guys are opposed to that, and seem to be saying that no medicine should ever be administered unless supported by a double blind randomized control trial, and even then only in the doses in the trial. In my opinion, this is “evidence based medicine” at its worst.
These guys dismiss FLCCC, but how many papers have they published?
These guys criticize observational studies, but then rush to embrace a single researcher’s speculation that hydroxycholoquine killed ~100,000 people. That seems to be a contradiction to me.
@absolute galore
@V.ArnoldRe #3: No data, but I recall an article that Covid antibodies in India are much higher than expected in the general population, which suggests, but does not prove, that it might be possible to develop immunity while taking Ivermectin prophylactally. Maybe so, maybe not.
@V.Arnold
As I recall, Pierre Kory gave these recommendations on the Dark Horse podcast a few weeks ago:
For prophylaxis: Loading doses on Day 1 and Day 3, then follow up doses every 14 days. Early FLCCC recommendations were follow up doses every 7 days, but is probably unnecessary. One study showed that every 30 days also worked, but not as effectively. Every 14 days is probably ideal.
For treatment: Doses on Day 1 and 3, then Day 7, and if symptoms persist, another dose on Day 9.
@VArnold — Happy to try to help. I have a limited supply but I have started getting a lot of requests from friends and family, so I need more. The guy I ordered from before in India had his paypal account shut down. I can arrange the payment, but don’t know who to order from without starting over from scratch.
@island raider Yes, that’s precisely why it needs to say “Ivermectin” and nothing more. Those in the know will get the message, and will recognize it as a small act of resistance. The vast majority won’t get it. Which is fine with me.
I have also been thinking about a cycling jersey. But instead of all the corporate logos, I would have sexy replacements like Ivermectin, Zinc, Cholecalciferol (Vitamin D3), Ascorbate (Vitamin C), Plaquenil (hydroxychloroquine), etc.
Here is an idea for a TAE fundraiser: A t-shirt that simply says “Ivermectin” across the front. I would pay good money for that, and I would wear it all the time. I might need to act on my own and have one custom-made. My “Free Assange” t-shirt is getting all worn out.
FLCCC recommended dose for Ivermectin prophylaxis has been switched to every two weeks after the loading dose, rather than every week. And Dr Kory mentioned that even once per month will also be quite effective.
Zerohedge comments are an echo chamber with a few trolls to spice it up. NC is an echo chamber who blocks anyone who questions the zietgiest.
I have a love-hate relationship with NC. The blog is fantastic in that they cover a wide range of important topics that would otherwise be off my radar. But I try to stay away from the comments section because no dissent is permitted, or even any nuanced counterpoint. The site is run by a gaggle of well-meaning authoritarians who get things right most of the time, but not always. Read the articles but avoid the comments.
A few days ago VietnamVet encouraged us all to listen to the three hour Dark Horse podcast. I had started it, but quit after 30 minutes because I was so annoyed by the entrepreneur who kept interrupting the other two. I went back and listened to the rest, even though the interruptions just got worse and worse, and that guy got more and more annoying. I agree it was worth it to listen to the end. But it was difficult.
So yesterday I got vaccinated.
No, not with any of the coronavirus vaccines. I restarted my Hepatitis B vaccine. I took the first two shots 20 years ago, but never finished with the third, so my antibodies never got as high as they were supposed to be. I dug out my WHO vaccine record book last night — that fold up yellow paper that fits into a clear plastic cover about the size of a passport. I actually shocked myself at the number of vaccines I received over the years. As an adult, I have been vaccinated for yellow fever, rabies, Japanese enchephalitis, typhoid, cholera, diptheria, whooping cough, Hepatitis A and Hepatitis B (though I didn’t finish that last one). Plus all the childhood vaccines. Plus the annual flu vaccines. I never hesitated to get any vaccine before now, and I never had any negative reaction of any kind, however mild. In my mind, these new vaccines are different.
So yesterday I have gone around boasting to people that I got my vaccination, but then explaining that no, no, no, not one of those COVID vaccinations — I won’t get one of those until I am practically forced to.
As usual, I clicked “submit” too hastily, and now I see the typos in my post. But I do not dare try to correct them now or the whole post will disappear!
Interestingly, I was trying to dig up any news on current fertility frustrations on DDGo. Maybe my mind is closing, but I didn’t see a single one I wanted to visit.
Web search has become totally useless. My doctor told me last year that I need to start watching my blood pressure and suggested medication. My numbers have been gradually creeping up over the years. I declined the medication and resolved to start watching the number. I bought a home monitor. And tried to learn as much as possible about hypertension on the internet. Good luck with that. It is nearly impossible to find any useful information on the major “official” sites. The sites have been dumbed-down too much. For example, you will see a frequent chart on these sites that says that 120/80 is normal and that 140/90 is too high. But what does that really mean? The reality is that almost everyone has a daily cycle because of circadian rhythm, and many people have high peaks and low troughs. High in the afternoon. Low in the middle of the high. I will often hit 140/90 in the afternoons at work, but on my bed when I wake up in the morning I am typically 110/70. So do I have high blood pressure or not? This is one of the most obvious questions someone will have, but there is no information on the “trusted” and “brand name” health information sites. But have to through those in the rubbish bin and start digging deeper for answers. Fortunately they are out there if you dig enough. But that experience has reinforced my skepticism about official sources.
I think there is room for some entrepreneur to develop a search engine that deletes all of the official trusted sites or puts them at the bottom of the list.
At Michael’s suggestions I wanted the video Germ posted at #75970. I was not impressed.
Why will all older people be dead in 2-3 years and everyone age 30 in 5-10 years?
Why will 50 million people die?
What is the logic? ADE? I understand that there is a time delay aspect to ADE, but it is also true that some people have a weaker antibody response than others, and some see antibodies drop off sooner than others. So with more than 100 million vaccinated people, we would expect to see some evidence by now if that was an issue. But so far no evidence of ADE, even though there is plenty exposure to the virus.
Is the logic that the mRNA will stay active too long without breaking down and will produce too much s protein, so that people who seem to get over the vaccine in the beginning will die later? How’s that supposed to work?
Is the logic that the mRNA will trigger other autoimmune disease? If so, what is the hypothesis? By what mechanism?
Is the logic that the mRNA will interact with DNA? One of the so-called doctors in the interviews mentioned DNA, but I think that doctor is confused. mRNA works in the ribosomes, not the nucleus. So what is the theory for how it will affect the DNA? And where is the evidence that it does?There is a big difference between saying that we do not have enough data to know whether these vaccines are safe and effective, on one hand, and saying that they are unsafe and will kill 20-100% of the population, on the other hand.
I do not plan to get the vaccine because I think I will be fine with my Vitamin D and Ivermectin. But these predictions of widespread delayed death from the vaccine seem quite over the top, especially with no explanation in the video . . .
Today’s art reminds me of Wilson in Castaway.
I got my annual blood test results yesterday. After a full year of taking 5000 IU of Vitamin D, my level came out to 68. It was 61 this time last year. That’s mostly attributable to the supplements because I work all day in a building with very small windows. Before I started following Dr John’s advice My Vitamin D level was below 20. I had been concerned that 5000 might be too much every day, but now it seems 5000 is about right, at least for me.
Bitcoin is approaching Tulip mania craze and it will end up the same.
Or not.
You can always grow more tulips, but you can never grow more bitcoin.
There was never a use case for tulip bulbs as a long term hard asset.
There was never a use case for tulip bulbs to compete with negative yielding sovereign debt.
There are a lot of pretender alt coins these days. Because of network effect, only a few will survive in the long run. Once the mania phase passes, many of the pretenders will fall hard. But some will go on to become the Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook of the cryptocurrency space. Pick the winner and 10x or 100x is a reasonable and rationale outcome, even from these prices.
CBDCs are coming, and they might dominate the payments layer, but that’s as far as they can go. They can never become digital gold, and the Central Banks would never try to turn them into digital gold.
The China news on Bitcoin is the real news for the day. The next strategic step is for the PBOC to move 1% of reserves into Bitcoin and to encourage citizens to hold it. People will say that the Chinese will never back something they cannot control, but that is only partially true. The Chinese will insist on controlling the payments currency but not necessarily the reserve asset. That’s why they did not hesitate to encourage citizens to buy gold, even though gold is hard to control and cannot be used for payments.
Bitcoin does not aim to be a payments currency, and it will never become a payments currency. That it why it does not compete with central bank digital currencies. But Bitcoin can and just might become the world’s next global reserve asset. Even if it fails at that, it may still prove to be the pin that pops the USD balloon, freeing gold will return to the center of gravity in the financial system.
We live in interesting times.
It’s the source that makes it interesting guys, the NIH.
Well, not really. It’s posted in the NIH’s National Library of Medicine, but it is just an article by a single author (Baruch Vainshelboim) who works as a cardiologist at the Palo Alto VA. It seems he has no affiliation with NIH. And it is published as a “Medical Hypothesis” — he is not publishing new data here.
I have mixed feelings about Naked Capitalism. I appreciate that they made a determined effort to keep covering a wide range of topics other than COVID. I think they cover a lot of worthwhile topics that the mainstream press ignores. I will continue to visit — but these days I mostly stay away from the comments, especially on contentious topics where I hold a differing view — like on Bitcoin. The comments section is an echo chamber when it comes to MMT and all things monetary.
I have also ordered from India. A heads up about the site: You post what you want, and then a dozen Indian companies will email you their offers until you pick one. The emails stop after a couple weeks — they give up, and they don’t spam you after that. The service and speed will depend on the particular company you select. I had my Ivermectin in a week.
“There is absolutely NO EVIDENCE that masks reduced transmission of the virus. None.”
For those who have eyes to see, the evidence is staring you in the face: Japan, Korea, China, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand, Malaysia. Countries that embraced masks with voluntary high compliance rates have done much, much, much better. Just look at the numbers. How many East Asian countries in the top 50 for cases or deaths? Look and be amazed.
Right, Dr D, right. It must be the kimchee. Maybe that’s a better explanation for why the infection rate is 99% lower in Korea even though the population density is much higher. Not masks. Nope, it must be the kimchee. Evidently the KCDC hasn’t seen your link yet. Because we are still wearing masks. And still going about our daily business with no lockdowns.
John, you forgot to answer this one from koltsommer’s list:
– Isn’t it already proven that masks are useless, yet we can not run daily life without?
No, it is not proven that “masks are useless” — not when everyone is wearing them. Masks are one of the main reasons Asian countries have fared much, much better than Western countries. Voluntary (common sense) compliance was already 95% before the mandates, and now it is close to 100%. Densely-populated Korea has kept new cases to under 500 per day, and has had only 90,000 cases since the beginning — with a case counted as a positive PCR test. 90,000 is just another day in the USA. Isn’t it funny how the “masks are useless” crowd never talks about the data from Asia?
By the way, thanks whoever suggested the India site to buy Ivermectin. Mine arrived today, and now I have enough for the whole neighborhood.
I have found the hardest thing about old age is the brain sees what it wants to see.
“All lies and jest, still a man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest.”
For everyone taking Vitamin D supplements: I was listening to Robb Wolf’s podcast (Healthy Rebellion Radio), and he mentioned that Vitamin D can increase calcium retention. Which is not necessarily a bad thing, but it can be a bad thing if the body does not put the calcium in the right place. You want it in your bones, not your arteries. He recommends to take Vitamin D with Vitamin K2. Apparently Vitamin K2 helps the body figure out where the calcium should go.
I am curious to hear if our resident doctors agree.
I also recommend his podcast. He is another rebel who is fighting against the tech monopolies and the government censors who are trying to shut down scientific debate on a lot of food, health and nutrition topics.
The Snowden video yesterday was worth watching — interesting to hear him say that the small acts of rebellion are worth it, even when we feel powerless. Chris Hedges also talks about small acts of rebellion and defiance. I don’t think I do as much as my conscience is telling me I should do to resist and speak out, but what more should I do? I think that there are many of us that need to better understand the practical steps that we should be taking. I have a hunch that no change will come until people take to the streets, but the whole propaganda machine will be geared to make sure that doesn’t happen, or to co-opt or discredit it if does happen.
A fitting work of art for January 20, 2021. Not the least because Trump failed to pardon Assange or Snowden.
Now is the time for the Populist Deplorable wing of the Republican Party to leave and form a new party. Yes, blow up the GOP. Tell Mitch McConnell to go pound sand. I hope dissolution is inevitable. The sooner it happens, the better.
And if they can find the right leadership, and the right PR managers, maybe, just maybe, they could create an identity that is more “Populist” and less “Deplorable”. Maybe, just maybe, they could join forces with the trampled down Populist Progressives in the Democratic Party — who should have learned by now that the Democratic Party will never be democratic. Leave the Democrats to self-destruct with nothing left but the Neoliberal and Identity Politics faction.
This is my hope.
On another note: Bitcoin is now being called a store of value! Since when is fiat and a Ponzi scheme a store of value the same as gold?
Long term I think there is a possibility that Bitcoin may become the world’s go-to store of value. It has several advantages over gold: Easier and cheaper to store, easier to transport across borders, impossible to counterfeit, lower premium when buying and selling, finiste amount, and harder for central banks to manipulate through the futures market. Plus the general direction of the whole world is to all things digital. On the other hand, gold has advanatges of its own. The biggest advantage is that it is the only non-fiat asset on central bank balance sheets, and therefore the only way to recapitalize the world when the next monetary system starts. Other advantages are indestructibility and universal worldwide acceptance. It is a decent store of value if you do not mind central banks capping the price at just above production value. But there is so much synthetic gold that there can be no real price discovery in the present system. Bitcoin seems more of a true supply and demand market. But that means a lot more volatility until it matures.
Is it a ponzi scheme? Of course not. A ponzi scheme is by definition an investment fraud that relies on new investors to pay a return to old investors. A ponzi scheme must collapse. With Bitcoin, there is no return, no guarantee that the price will go up — it can go on forever. The price might collapse, but if you buy a bitcoin, it is yours — nobody owes you anything like in a Ponzi scheme.
Is it speculative? Sure. But lots of things are speculative. Stocks and bonds are speculative to one degree or another. Anything you buy with the hope that you will be able to sell it at a higher price is speculative.
Although the number of Bitcoins is limited, the number of potential digital currencies is theoretically unlimited. But does that make Bitcoin worthless? Not if it wins acceptance. Acceptance is a bit arbitrary, of course, but it is a fact of life. Why gold and not silver? Why did Windows beat Macintosh? Why is the world down to only a handful of smartphone manufacturers?
I think everyone with savings should own some Bitcoin. And gold. Doesn’t need to be a lot.
One more comment on the PCR test:
The test was never intended to be used as a diagnostic tool to diagnose disease. It’s only purpose is to detect whether the virus is present in the body. For those suggesting that we throw out the PCR test, what then are you suggesting we use as an alternative? Do you want to go back to the days when doctors would just give their best guess (like they regularly do in diagnosing influenza or “influenza-like-illness” — without actually verifying that the virus was flu) ? When we tried that there was nothing but endless bitching that doctors were making stuff up without any actual verification.
So which way should it be? Use the “gold standard” PCR test to verify whether the virus is in the patient? Or just let doctors decide without a PCR test? Or something else? What exactly is the alternative recommendation?
Lots of crazy statements on the TAE board today.
Sorry, Basseterre Kitona, but masks do work, which is why Asia is kicking America’s and Europe’s asses.
Sorry, Dr. D, but people are dying. Except in India, where they use Ivermectin, and where the death rate has been gradually declining. Another example of a country kicking America’s and Europe’s asses.
Sorry Huskynut, there is a positive correlation between lockdown and positive outcome, but only if you are quick and draconian with your lockdown. If you wait too long to start, and if you have halfass execution, then I agree with you that it does not work. Which is why China kicked America’s and Europe’s asses.
Sorry WES, but cases can drop off even in winter. Although cases started rising in Korea in December, where it has been damn cold this year, the trend has now reversed and cases are dropping. You guessed it: Another example of a country kicking America’s and Europe’s asses. But Korea does not get a pass because the officials are drinking the koolaid on vaccines but dissing Ivermectin as “the drug for head lice” that some desperate countries have been resorting too.
Sorry for being so antisocial today everyone.
WES is right. There needs to be a backup plan if this site is deplatformed.
At a minimum, Raul should compile a list of email addresses of friends of TAE.
But it would be nice to find a friendly backup host.
Having reflected on the spectacle that played out, I have to say this: Is there anywhere else in the world where a guy dressed like a Viking — wearing bearskins, with horns on his head, and wearing facepaint leads the charge to overrun the nation’s capital? I think that must be uniquely American.
“Life is a comedy to those who think, a tragedy to those who feel.” Jean-Baptiste Racine
@VietnamVet
I usually agree with you, but I wonder about your comment that the USA will splinter apart like the USSR. The difference seems to be that there is no outside threat to the USA in the sense that the USA was always a threat to the USSR, both militarily and economically. Contrary to what the warmongers in the swamp want us to believe, Russia and China are not hell-bent on invading or containing America, or conducting military drills on the edge of American airspace. Only the Imperialists behave like that. And because the State doesn’t own American companies, there is no need to be concerned about Russia and China overseeing the fire sale of US assets to Russian and Chinese companies. I think there will be a lot of talk about secession in days to come, but the US oligarchs will do all they can to prevent anyone from leaving. I think the predictions of increased repression are probably correct.@ barnaby33
@V.ArnoldYes, the USA has gone mad. But is it really all that surprising? Isn’t this exactly what we should expect in a corrupt plutocracy that owns both political parties and the press? Elections stopped mattering even when people still had faith in them. And now that neither side has faith in elections, and computer science professors can demonstrate that it takes less then 5 minutes to hack the machines, aren’t public demonstrations the only option the people have left? Forget the ballot box.
I think the elites thought they could coopt and redirect the violence. That has been the game plan so far: Instigate violence between Antifa and the Proud Boys. Coopt legitimate grass roots movements like BLM and the Tea Party. Let the poor fight each other in a proxy war with elites pulling the strings in the background. But violence that turns against the State itself? Whoa. Guillotines that threaten to behead the oppressors rather than riffraff criminals? Whoa. That’s not in the playbook. That’s how real revolutions actually get started.
I have a different view of the history of the collapse of Rome.
The key decision came in 325AD when Constantine the Great decided to move the capital to Constantinople. Almost all of the aristocracy went with him. The only lasting institution that was left in Rome was the Roman Catholic Church, which is why the church grew as powerful as it did. The church stepped in to fill the power vacuum — and along the way adopted a centralized top down power structure that was always shunned in the east.
Although there were periods over the next 200 years where there was both a Western Empire and an Eastern Empire, Constantinople was the seat of real power, and the great estates of Anatolia generated much of the Empire’s wealth.
The Fall of Rome cannot be properly understood except in connection with the Rise of Constantinople — which continued on, and continued to prosper — for centuries. But the history of Byzantium is not taught in the West, so most people think that there was some sort of collapse and period of Dark Ages — when in fact the center of learning had simply moved across the Mediterranean — deliberately and intentionally. It is wrong to think of Rome as the center from and after 325AD. Rome fell because of Constantine’s strategic decision – one of the key decisions that completely changed the course of Western history.
So-called “messenger” RNA takes a bit of genetic code and places it in the cell’s DNA so that every time that cell replicates itself the “newly revised” DNA is replicated right along with it.
Gepetto, D Benton Smith,
This statement is not true. I do not think that there is any evidence that any mRNA has ever penetrated any cell nucleus and put genetic code into any cell’s DNA. The mRNA is used by the ribosomes to encode various proteins. The ribosomes are not in the nucleus of the cell.
TAE will soon need to find new topics besides the virus!
Here are some topics for 2021:
Great Reset I: The rise of Bitcoin and the end of the debt based monetary system
Great Reset II: Billionaire globalist plans to cull the herd and enslave the masses
Great Reset III: The rise of secessionist and decentralization movements
Great Reset IV: The final move to quash dissentI have been praying for Julian Assange in my daily prayers for about three months — the only person who I have prayed for who I do not know personally. The news today was encouraging, as I was expecting his extradition. Not out of the woods yet, but I hope today is the day when the tide has started to turn. Lord have mercy on us all.
My thoughts on Bitcoin are a lot like my thoughts on gold: Everyone should have some. It doesn’t matter what price you get in. There is no need to buy a lot, no need to take a big risk — this is an asymmetrical bet with huge upside against little downside. The day will come when the USD loses reserve currency status. Nobody knows when that day will come, or what the trigger will be. But when it happens, everything in the world will be revalued overnight, and a new asset will take over as the reserve asset. In the long run, I expect that gold will be the big winner. But Bitcoin may have an important role to play on the journey to that destination. At present, Bitcoin cannot be manipulated through the futures market the same way that gold can be, which makes it unique. Governments may be able to manipulate it by buying up a large reserve, but that would run the price to the stratosphere. In the sense that it is beyond manipulation, it is the only way to vote against the status quo financial system. Bitcoin is immune to sanctions, so it is the only way to vote against Empire. There is $300Trillion is assets sloshing around the financial system. If only 1% of that ends up in Bitcoin, that still puts us 6x higher than the current market cap of $500Billion. And if the USD loses reserve status, Bitcoin has the potential to go to the moon and never come back. Same with gold. That is why it makes sense to own a little of both. The physicality and indestructability of gold is both a strength and a weakness. It can be a problem if you are trying to cross borders. It can be a problem if you are the leader of a small country opposed to Empire and you are worried about the US Army coming to seize your gold. It can be a problem if your gold is parked in England or New York, and the Empire changes the rules and refuses to recognize a duly elected government. It can be a problem if you are an institution like a pension fund that does not have a vault for secure storage. Of course there are risks to Bitcoin — including the risk of legislation to make it illegal, or the risk of losing the keys, or the risks of a competitor like Etherium, or the risk of huge volatility swings while this nonexistent asset finds its niche in the international financial ecosystem. But now that Bitcoin is winning over more institutional investors, the risks of being banned are waning, the risks of competition are waning, and the upside greatly outweighs the downside — especially in a world trending towards negative interest rates. As for me, I bought my first gold coins in 2009. I bought my first Bitcoin at the beginning of November. And I have decided that no matter what happens — whether they shoot to the moon or trend towards zero — I will not sell any gold or Bitcoin until after the USD loses reserve currency status. I sleep a lot better at night now that I have a slice of this nonexistent asset.
UK medicine is more $&@%ed up than I thought. A trial at this stage that uses hydroxcholoquine, but NOT in combination with zinc? That makes no sense. A trial with azithromycin, but NOT in combination with ivermectin? That makes no sense either. Are they trying to fail? How can they screw up this badly with all the data they already have to work with? Maybe it’s just really bad reporting by The Guardian?
